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Introduction Although several models to predict intensive care unit (ICU) mortality are available, their performance decreases in certain subpopulations because specific factors are not included. Moreover, these models often involve complex techniques and are not applicable in low-resource settings. We developed a prediction model and simplified risk score to predict 14-day mortality in ICU patients infected with Klebsiella pneumoniae. Methodology A retrospective cohort study was conducted using data of ICU patients infected with Klebsiella pneumoniae at the largest tertiary hospital in Northern Vietnam during 2016–2018. Logistic regression was used to develop our prediction model. Model performance was assessed by calibration (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve-AUC) and discrimination (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test). A simplified risk score was also constructed. Results Two hundred forty-nine patients were included, with an overall 14-day mortality of 28.9%. The final prediction model comprised six predictors: age, referral route, SOFA score, central venous catheter, intracerebral haemorrhage surgery and absence of adjunctive therapy. The model showed high predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.83; p-value Hosmer-Lemeshow test = 0.92). The risk score has a range of 0–12 corresponding to mortality risk 0–100%, which produced similar predictive performance as the original model. Conclusions The developed prediction model and risk score provide an objective quantitative estimation of individual 14-day mortality in ICU patients infected with Klebsiella pneumoniae. The tool is highly applicable in practice to help facilitate patient stratification and management, evaluation of further interventions and allocation of resources and care, especially in low-resource settings where electronic systems to support complex models are missing.

Background: In Flanders, the uptake in the population-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program (using fecal immunochemical test, FIT) is suboptimal (~50%). This study explored the reasons for inconsistent participation in FIT screening among irregular participants in Flanders. Methods: An online survey with both open questions and fixed statements was sent to irregular participants (2016–2018) in the Flemish CRC screening program. A reminder email followed eight weeks after the first email. Data analysis used both qualitative and quantitative approaches. Post-stratification weights based on gender, age group, and the first two digits of the postcode were employed to reduce non-response bias. Results: In total, 5328 out of 19,592 irregular participants responded to the survey. While the main reasons not to participate were related to ‘postponing participation’ and ‘having other priorities’, the main reasons to participate were related to the importance of (preventive) health checks. The role of general practitioners (GPs) in promoting CRC screening also emerged as an important theme among the respondents’ answers (based on fixed statements). Conclusions: The study reported the main reasons for inconsistent participation in FIT screening for CRC in Flanders. The findings are helpful in guiding tailored interventions to increase FIT screening uptake in the region.

The faecal immunochemical test (FIT) has been increasingly used for organised colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. We assessed the impact of a six-year existing FIT screening programme in Flanders (Belgium) on CRC incidence, mortality and survival. The Flemish CRC screening programme started in 2013, targeting individuals aged 50–74 years. Joinpoint regression was used to investigate trends of age-standardised CRC incidence and mortality among individuals aged 50–79 years (2004–2019). Their 5-year relative survival was calculated using the Ederer II method. We found that FIT screening significantly reduced CRC incidence, especially that of advanced-stage CRCs (69.8/100,000 in 2012 vs. 51.1/100,000 in 2019), with a greater impact in men. Mortality started to decline in men two years after organised screening implementation (annual reduction of 9.3% after 2015 vs. 2.2% before 2015). The 5-year relative survival was significantly higher in screen-detected (93.8%) and lower in FIT non-participant CRCs (61.9%) vs. FIT interval cancers and CRCs in never-invited cases (67.6% and 66.7%, respectively). Organised FIT screening in Flanders clearly reduced CRC incidence (especially advanced-stage) and mortality (in men, but not yet in women). Survival is significantly better in screen-detected cases vs. CRCs in unscreened people. Our findings support the implementation of FIT organised screening and the continued effort to increase uptake.

Background Interval cancer (IC) is a critical issue in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. We identified factors associated with ICs after faecal immunochemical test (FIT) screening and explored the impact of lowering FIT cut-off or shortening screening interval on FIT-ICs in Flanders. Methods FIT participants diagnosed with a CRC during 2013–2018 were included. Factors associated with FIT-ICs were identified using logistic regression. Distributions of FIT results among FIT-ICs were examined. Results In total, 10,122 screen-detected CRCs and 1534 FIT-ICs were included (FIT-IC proportion of 13%). FIT-ICs occurred more frequently in women (OR 1.58 [95% CI 1.41–1.76]) and ages 70–74 (OR 1.35 [1.14–1.59]). FIT-ICs were more often right-sided (OR 3.53 [2.98–4.20]), advanced stage (stage IV: OR 7.15 [5.76–8.88]), and high grade (poorly/undifferentiated: OR 2.57 [2.08–3.18]). The majority (83–92%) of FIT-ICs would still be missed if FIT cut-off was lowered from 15 to 10 µg Hb/g or screening interval was shortened from 2 to 1 year. Conclusions FIT-ICs were more common in women, older age, right-sided location, advanced stage and high grade. In Flanders, lowering FIT cut-off (to 10 µg Hb/g) or shortening screening interval (to 1 year) would have a minimal impact on FIT-ICs.

The role of chest radiography to diagnose active tuberculosis in symptomatic patients who have a negative Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) test result is unclear. This study aimed to assess the performance of chest radiography and the value of chest radiography findings for a prediction tool to identify cases of active pulmonary tuberculosis among symptomatic, Xpert-negative hospitalised patients. Xpert-negative patients hospitalised between January and July 2019 at Jimma University Medical Center in Ethiopia were assessed by mycobacterial culture and chest radiography. Chest radiography was interpreted by a clinician for clinical decision making and by a radiologist for research purposes. Using bacteriological confirmation as the reference standard, the performance of chest radiography to diagnose active tuberculosis was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC); predictors of active tuberculosis were identified using bivariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses. Of 247 Xpert-negative patients, 38% and 40% were classified as suggestive of tuberculosis by clinician and radiologist, respectively. Of the 39 (15.8%) bacteriologically confirmed cases, 69% and 79% were classified as having chest radiography findings suggestive of tuberculosis by clinician or radiologist, respectively. While there was a strong association between bacteriologically confirmed tuberculosis and chest radiography classified by clinician as suggestive of tuberculosis (adjusted OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.2–6.6), chest radiography with signs typical of tuberculosis (adjusted OR 5.3, 95% CI 2.1–14.4) or compatible with tuberculosis (adjusted OR 5.1, 95% CI 1.3–20.0), the positive predictive value of the chest radiography was low (27% and 34% for classification by clinician and radiologist, respectively). The addition of chest radiography findings by clinician or radiologist to clinical characteristics did not improve the performance of the prediction tool, with similar risk classification distribution, AUCs and negative and positive prediction values. Despite the strong association between chest radiography findings and active tuberculosis among hospitalised Xpert negative individuals, chest radiography findings did not improve the performance of a risk prediction tool based solely on clinical symptoms. Countries with a high tuberculosis/HIV burden should urgently replace Xpert by the more sensitive Xpert Ultra assay to improve the diagnosis of active tuberculosis., In hospitalised people with symptoms of TB and a negative Xpert assay, knowledge of chest radiography findings does not improve the ability of clinicians to predict the presence of active TB beyond what is possible based solely on clinical characteristics https://bit.ly/30s72mX

Municipal characteristics associated with response rate to organised colorectal cancer screening in Flanders Introduction In Flanders (Belgium), the response rate to organised colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is still suboptimal (~ 50%). We studied the characteristics of municipalities in the Flemish provinces with the highest and lowest response rates to explore factors that might be associated with the response rate to organised CRC screening. Methods The response rates of municipalities in 5 Flemish provinces and the characteristics of municipalities in the provinces with the highest and lowest response rates were compared to the average measures of Flanders (data 2017) using an unpaired two-sample Wilcoxon test. Results The municipal response rates in Limburg and Antwerp were significantly higher, and those in West Flanders and Flemish Brabant significantly lower compared to Flanders. Further analyses of Limburg (highest response rate) and Flemish Brabant (lowest response rate) suggested that municipalities with higher response rates had more men and people aged 60-64 in the target population, more jobseekers and more people who contacted GPs/specialists frequently, but fewer people aged 70-74 in the target population and with a lower average income compared to Flanders. In contrast, municipalities with lower response rates had fewer men in the target population, fewer people having a partner, fewer jobseekers and fewer people having a global medical file, but more people with a non-Dutch or non-Belgian nationality and a higher average income (p-values < 0.01). Conclusion This exploratory study identifies certain demographic, socioeconomic and health‑related municipal characteristics that may be related to the response rate to CRC screening in Flanders. These findings can guide future research and investigations with the aim to improve the response rate to CRC screening.

Despite the recognized benefits of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening, uptake is still suboptimal in many countries. In addressing this issue, one important element that has not received sufficient attention is population preference. Our review provides a comprehensive summary of the up-to-date evidence relative to this topic. Four OVID databases were searched: Ovid MEDLINE® ALL, Biological Abstracts, CAB Abstracts, and Global Health. Among the 742 articles generated, 154 full texts were selected for a more thorough evaluation based on predefined inclusion criteria. Finally, 83 studies were included in our review. The general population preferred either colonoscopy as the most accurate test, or fecal occult blood test (FOBT) as the least invasive for CRC screening. The emerging blood test (SEPT9) and capsule colonoscopy (nanopill), with the potential to overcome the pitfalls of the available techniques, were also favored. Gender, age, race, screening experience, education and beliefs, the perceived risk of CRC, insurance, and health status influence one’s test preference. To improve uptake, CRC screening programs should consider offering test alternatives and tailoring the content and delivery of screening information to the public’s preferences. Other logistical measures in terms of the types of bowel preparation, gender of endoscopist, stool collection device, and reward for participants can also be useful.

WHAT IS KNOWN AND OBJECTIVE Despite the numerous studies investigating drug-induced Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis (SJS/TEN), the understanding and quantitative data in developing countries remain limited. The study aimed to describe and quantify the drug-related risk of SJS/TEN in a resource-limited context using the Vietnamese spontaneous reporting database (VSRD) of adverse drug reactions. METHODS Spontaneous reports relating to medium- and late-onset severe cutaneous adverse reactions (MLOSCAR) and SJS/TEN recorded in the VSRD from 2010 to 2015 were retrospectively analysed. The demographic characteristics and drug information were described and compared between SJS/TEN and other MLOSCAR reports. The drug-induced SJS/TEN signals were estimated using subgrouped disproportionality analysis with calculation of the reporting odds ratio (ROR) and the respective 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS The VSRD received 2,849 MLOSCAR reports, 136 of which focus on SJS/TEN over a 6-year period. About 60% of SJS/TEN patients were male, and the majority of them were adults (mean age 42.5 ± 22.9). Up to 91.8% of drugs induced SJS/TEN within 1-28 days, and 45% SJS/TEN cases were evaluated as life-threatening. Positive signals were generated with carbamazepine (n = 25, ROR [95% CI] = 11.99 [7.07-19.92]), allopurinol (n = 15, ROR [95% CI] = 4.2 [2.20-7.59]), traditional/herbal medicines (n = 7, ROR [95% CI] = 2.76 [1.12-5.86]), colchicine (n = 4, ROR [95% CI] = 6.22 [1.69-18.72]), valproic acid (n = 3, ROR [95% CI] = 8.71 [1.89-30.19]) and meloxicam (n = 3, ROR [95% CI] = 7.09 [1.55-24.29]), which are well known for SJS/TEN. Cefixime (n = 5, ROR [95% CI] = 3.34 [1.13-8.00]) and paracetamol (n = 22, ROR [95% CI] = 5.23 [3.10-8.49]) also generated positive signals despite their popularity in Vietnam. WHAT IS NEW AND CONCLUSION This first Vietnamese population-based study has highlighted original characteristics and signals of drug-induced SJS/TEN, which are relatively consistent with other worldwide data and typical for a developing country.

We investigated factors associated with organised and non-organised colorectal cancer screening using faecal occult blood tests, based on data from 308 municipalities in Flanders (6.6 million residents, 57% of Belgium) during 2015–2017. Logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used to assess the associations between municipal characteristics and organised and non-organised screening coverages. Factors associated negatively with both organised and non-organised screening: percentage of people aged 70–74 in the target population [OR (odds ratios) = 0.98, 95%CI (confidence interval): 0.97–0.99 and OR = 0.98, 95%CI: 0.96–0.999, respectively], negatively with organised screening: average income [OR = 0.97, 95%CI: 0.96–0.98], percentage of people with a non-Belgian/Dutch nationality [OR = 0.962, 95%CI: 0.957–0.967], positively with organised screening: percentages of men in the target population [OR = 1.13, 95%CI: 1.11–1.14], jobseekers [OR = 1.12, 95%CI: 1.09–1.15] and people with at least one general practitioner (GP) visit in the last year [OR = 1.04, 95%CI: 1.03–1.05], positively with non-organised screening: number of patients per GP [OR = 1.021, 95%CI: 1.016–1.026], percentage of people with a global medical dossier handled by a preferred GP [OR = 1.025, 95%CI: 1.018–1.031]. This study helps to identify the hard-to-reach subpopulations in CRC screening, and highlights the important role of GPs in the process of promoting screening among non-participants and encouraging non-organised participants to switch to organised screening.

Objective To investigate the validity of recommendations in treatment guidelines to use higher than approved doses of oseltamivir in patients with severe influenza. Design Double blind randomised trial. Setting Thirteen hospitals in Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. Participants Patients aged ≥1 year admitted to hospital with confirmed severe influenza. Interventions Oral oseltamivir at double dose (150 mg twice a day/paediatric equivalent) versus standard dose (75 mg twice a day/paediatric equivalent). Main outcome measure Viral status according to reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for influenza RNA in nasal and throat swabs on day five. Results Of 326 patients (including 246 (75.5%) children aged