21 results on '"Theeuwes, Natalie E."'
Search Results
2. The hectometric modelling challenge: Gaps in the current state of the art and ways forward towards the implementation of 100‐m scale weather and climate models.
- Author
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Lean, Humphrey W., Theeuwes, Natalie E., Baldauf, Michael, Barkmeijer, Jan, Bessardon, Geoffrey, Blunn, Lewis, Bojarova, Jelena, Boutle, Ian A., Clark, Peter A., Demuzere, Matthias, Dueben, Peter, Frogner, Inger‐Lise, de Haan, Siebren, Harrison, Dawn, Heerwaarden, Chiel van, Honnert, Rachel, Lock, Adrian, Marsigli, Chiara, Masson, Valéry, and Mccabe, Anne
- Abstract
For a number of years research has been carried out in several centres which has demonstrated the potential benefits of 100‐m scale models for a range of meteorological phenomena. More recently, some meteorological services have started to consider seriously the operational implementation of practical hectometric models. Many, but by no means all, of the applications are likely to relate to urban areas, where the enhanced resolution has obvious benefits. This article is concerned with the issues that need to be addressed to bridge the gap between research at 100‐m scales and practical models. We highlight a number of key issues that need to be addressed, with suggestions of important avenues for future development. An overarching issue is the high computational cost of these models. Although some ideas to reduce this are presented, it will always be a serious constraint. This means that the benefits of these models over lower resolution ones, or other techniques for generating high‐resolution forecasts, will need to be clearly understood, as will the trade‐offs with resolution. We discuss issues with model dynamical cores and physics–dynamics coupling. There are a number of challenges around model parameterisations, where some of the traditional problems (e.g., convection) become easier but a number of new challenges (e.g., around surface parameterisations) appear. Observational data at these scales present a challenge and novel types of observations will need to be considered. Data assimilation will be needed for short‐range forecasts, but there is currently little knowledge of this, although some of the likely issues are clear. An ensemble approach will be essential in many cases (e.g., convection), but research is needed into ensembles at these scales and significant work on post‐processing systems is required to make the best use of models at these grid lengths. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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3. Modelling wind farm effects in HARMONIE-AROME (cycle 43.2.2) - Part 1: Implementation and evaluation
- Author
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Fischereit, Jana, Vedel, Henrik, Larsen, Xiaoli Guo, Theeuwes, Natalie E., Giebel, Gregor, Kaas, Eigil, Fischereit, Jana, Vedel, Henrik, Larsen, Xiaoli Guo, Theeuwes, Natalie E., Giebel, Gregor, and Kaas, Eigil
- Abstract
With increasing number and proximity of wind farms, it becomes crucial to consider wind farm effects (WFEs) in the numerical weather prediction (NWP) models used to forecast power production. Furthermore, these WFEs are also expected to affect other weather-related parameters at least locally. Thus, we implement the explicit wake parameterization (EWP) in the NWP model HARMONIE-AROME (hereafter HARMONIE) along-side the existing wind farm parameterization (WFP) by (FITCH). We evaluate and compare the two WFPs against research flight measurements as well as against similar simulations performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using case studies. The case studies include a case for WFEs above a wind farm as well as two cases for WFEs at hub height in the wake of farms. The results show that EWP and FITCH have been correctly implemented in HARMONIE. For the simulated cases, EWP underestimates the WFEs on wind speed and strongly underestimates the effect on turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). FITCH agrees better with the observations, and WFEs on TKE are particularly well captured by HARMONIE-FITCH. After this successful evaluation, simulations with all wind turbines in Europe will be performed with HARMONIE and presented in the second part of this paper series.
- Published
- 2024
4. Observations of Tall-Building Wakes Using a Scanning Doppler Lidar.
- Author
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., Barlow, Janet F., Mannisenaho, Antti, Hertwig, Denise, O'Connor, Ewan, and Robins, Alan
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DOPPLER lidar ,TALL buildings ,SKYSCRAPERS ,ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer ,TURBULENT mixing ,AERODYNAMICS of buildings ,BOUNDARY layer (Aerodynamics) ,WIND tunnels - Abstract
High-rise buildings, increasingly a feature of many large cities, impact local atmospheric flow conditions. Tall building wakes affect air quality downstream due to turbulent mixing and require parametrization in dispersion models. Previous studies using numerical or physical modelling have been idealised and under neutral conditions. There has been a lack of data available in real urban environments due to the difficulty in deploying traditional wind sensors. Doppler wind lidars (DWLs) have been used frequently for studying wind turbine wakes but never building wakes. This study is a year-long deployment of a DWL in a complex urban environment studying tall building wakes under atmospheric conditions. A HALO Photonic Streamline DWL was deployed in a low- and mid-rise densely packed area in central London. From its roof-top position (33.5 m agl compared to mean building height 12.5 m), Velocity Azimuth Display (VAD) scans at zero-degree elevation intersected with two, taller nearby buildings of 90 and 40 m agl. Using an ensemble averaging approach, wake dimensions were investigated in terms of wind direction, stability and wind speed. Boundary-layer stability categories were defined using eddy covariance observations from the BT Tower (191 m) and mixing height estimations from vertical stare scans. A method for calculating normalised velocity deficit from VAD scans is presented. For neutral conditions, wake dimensions around both buildings for the prevailing wind direction were compared with the ADMS-Build wake model for a single, isolated cube. The model underpredicts wakes dimensions, confirming previous wind tunnel findings for the same area. Under varying stability, unstable and deep boundary layers were shown to produce shorter, narrower wakes. Typical observed wake lengths were 120–300 m and widths were 80–150 m and were reduced by 50–100 m downwind. Stable and shallow boundary layers were less frequent and produced an insignificant difference in wake dimensions to neutral conditions. The sensitivity to stability was weakened by enhanced turbulence upstream (i.e., due to other building wakes). Weakened stability dependence was confirmed if there were more obstacles upstream as the wind direction incident on the buildings changed. The results highlight the potential for future wake studies using multiple DWLs deploying both vertical and horizontal scan patterns. Dispersion models should incorporate the effect of a complex urban canopy within which tall buildings are embedded. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. Urban Multi-scale Environmental Predictor (UMEP): An integrated tool for city-based climate services
- Author
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Lindberg, Fredrik, Grimmond, C.S.B., Gabey, Andrew, Huang, Bei, Kent, Christoph W., Sun, Ting, Theeuwes, Natalie E., Järvi, Leena, Ward, Helen C., Capel-Timms, I., Chang, Yuanyong, Jonsson, Per, Krave, Niklas, Liu, Dongwei, Meyer, D., Olofson, K. Frans G., Tan, Jianguo, Wästberg, Dag, Xue, Lingbo, and Zhang, Zhe
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- 2018
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6. Parametrizing Horizontally-Averaged Wind and Temperature Profiles in the Urban Roughness Sublayer
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., Ronda, Reinder J., Harman, Ian N., Christen, Andreas, and Grimmond, C. Sue B.
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- 2019
- Full Text
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7. DEVELOPING A RESEARCH STRATEGY TO BETTER UNDERSTAND, OBSERVE, AND SIMULATE URBAN ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES AT KILOMETER TO SUBKILOMETER SCALES
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Barlow, Janet, Best, Martin, Bohnenstengel, Sylvia I., Clark, Peter, Grimmond, Sue, Lean, Humphrey, Christen, Andreas, Emeis, Stefan, Haeffelin, Martial, Harman, Ian N., Lemonsu, Aude, Martilli, Alberto, Pardyjak, Eric, Rotach, Mathias W, Ballard, Susan, Boutle, Ian, Brown, Andy, Cai, Xiaoming, Carpentieri, Matteo, Coceal, Omduth, Crawford, Ben, Di Sabatino, Silvana, Dou, Junxia, Drew, Daniel R., Edwards, John M., Fallmann, Joachim, Fortuniak, Krzysztof, Gornall, Jemma, Gronemeier, Tobias, Halios, Christos H., Hertwig, Denise, Hirano, Kohin, Holtslag, Albert A. M., Luo, Zhiwen, Mills, Gerald, Nakayoshi, Makoto, Pain, Kathy, Schlünzen, K. Heinke, Smith, Stefan, Soulhac, Lionel, Steeneveld, Gert-Jan, Sun, Ting, Theeuwes, Natalie E, Thomson, David, Voogt, James A., Ward, Helen C., Xie, Zheng-Tong, and Zhong, Jian
- Published
- 2017
8. Modelling wind farm effects in HARMONIE-AROME (cycle 43.2.2) – part 1: Implementation and evaluation
- Author
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Fischereit, Jana, Vedel, Henrik, Larsén, Xiaoli Guo, Theeuwes, Natalie E., Giebel, Gregor, and Kaas, Eigil
- Abstract
With increasing number and proximity of wind farms it becomes crucial to consider wind farm effects (WFE) in the numerical weather prediction (NWP) models used to forecast power production. Furthermore, these WFE are also expected to affect other weather-related parameters at least locally. Thus, we implement the explicit wake parameterization (EWP) in the NWP model HARMONIE-AROME (hereafter HARMONIE) along-side the existing wind farm parameterization (WFP) by Fitch et al. (2012) (FITCH). We evaluate and compare the two WFPs against research flight measurements as well as against similar simulations performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) using case studies. The case studies include a case for WFE above a wind farm as well as two cases for WFE at hub height in the wake of farms. The results show that EWP and FITCH have been correctly implemented in HARMONIE. For the simulated cases, EWP underestimates the WFE on wind speed and strongly underestimates the effect on turbulent kinetic energy (TKE). FITCH agrees better with the observations and WFE on TKE are particularly well captured by HARMONIE-FITCH. After this successful evaluation, simulations with all wind turbines in Europe will be performed with HARMONIE and presented in the second part of this paper series.
- Published
- 2023
9. Validation of wind farm parameterisation in Weather Forecast Model HARMONIE-AROME: Analysis of 2019
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Dirksen, M. (author), Wijnant, Ine (author), Siebesma, A.P. (author), Baas, Peter (author), Theeuwes, Natalie E. (author), Dirksen, M. (author), Wijnant, Ine (author), Siebesma, A.P. (author), Baas, Peter (author), and Theeuwes, Natalie E. (author)
- Abstract
In the next few decades climate mitigation efforts will transform the North Sea into one of the most important energy sources. The present wind energy capacity on the North Sea is expected to increase by almost a factor 5 in 2030 and almost a factor 10 in 2050. It is therefore of paramount importance to know how wind farms influence the atmosphere. Wind farms extract kinetic energy from the atmosphere and in doing so decrease the wind speed and increase turbulence levels. More turbulence means more mixing of vertical layers in the atmosphere and a change in humidity and temperature profiles. This may lead to cloud forming or dissipation. Wind farms are also an obstacle to the flow, which is what is called the blockage effect, as opposed to the wake effect behind the wind farm. This report is about the wake effect, mainly on wind, but we also analysed temperature and humidity profiles. In order to assess and quantify the wake effect, we compared two high resolution re-analyses for the year 2019 on a 2000 by 2000 km North Sea domain. The high resolution re-analyses with a 2.5 km horizontal grid spacing is based on global re-analysis ERA5 and downscaled with mesoscale weather model HARMONIE-AROME which is used operationally at KNMI. One of the re-analyses is without the effect of wind farms (referred to as control or HarmCY43-CTL in this report) and one with the Fitch wind farm parametrization that was recently incorporated in HARMONIE-AROME (HarmCY43-WFP). From the differences between the two we can isolate the wind speed deficits, or wakes, from the wind farms. Earlier validation studies have shown that a previous version of the HARMONIE-AROME model (HarmCY40) produces accurate wind climatology for undisturbed wind fields (period 2008-2018) and validates well against disturbed tower, aircraft and lidar measurements from 2016. In these studies the wind climatology is not validated for different stability regimes. In this study we do make t, Atmospheric Remote Sensing
- Published
- 2022
10. Validation of wind farm parameterisation in Weather Forecast Model HARMONIE-AROME: Analysis of 2019
- Author
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Dirksen, M., Wijnant, Ine, Siebesma, A.P., Baas, Peter, and Theeuwes, Natalie E.
- Abstract
In the next few decades climate mitigation efforts will transform the North Sea into one of the most important energy sources. The present wind energy capacity on the North Sea is expected to increase by almost a factor 5 in 2030 and almost a factor 10 in 2050. It is therefore of paramount importance to know how wind farms influence the atmosphere. Wind farms extract kinetic energy from the atmosphere and in doing so decrease the wind speed and increase turbulence levels. More turbulence means more mixing of vertical layers in the atmosphere and a change in humidity and temperature profiles. This may lead to cloud forming or dissipation. Wind farms are also an obstacle to the flow, which is what is called the blockage effect, as opposed to the wake effect behind the wind farm. This report is about the wake effect, mainly on wind, but we also analysed temperature and humidity profiles. In order to assess and quantify the wake effect, we compared two high resolution re-analyses for the year 2019 on a 2000 by 2000 km North Sea domain. The high resolution re-analyses with a 2.5 km horizontal grid spacing is based on global re-analysis ERA5 and downscaled with mesoscale weather model HARMONIE-AROME which is used operationally at KNMI. One of the re-analyses is without the effect of wind farms (referred to as control or HarmCY43-CTL in this report) and one with the Fitch wind farm parametrization that was recently incorporated in HARMONIE-AROME (HarmCY43-WFP). From the differences between the two we can isolate the wind speed deficits, or wakes, from the wind farms.Earlier validation studies have shown that a previous version of the HARMONIE-AROME model (HarmCY40) produces accurate wind climatology for undisturbed wind fields (period 2008-2018) and validates well against disturbed tower, aircraft and lidar measurements from 2016. In these studies the wind climatology is not validated for different stability regimes. In this study we do make that distinction and use measurements from 2019 for validation of HarmCY43-CTL and HarmCY43-WFP. * Generally HarmCY43-WFP outperforms HarmCY43-CTL in wake areas. HarmCY43-WFP even seems to capture the wind in wind farms reasonably well, although the WFP is not designed for that.* The selection criterion that we used to select disturbed (in wakes) and undisturbed wind directions (outside wakes) seems to work well: the WFP reduces the wind speed bias for disturbed winds significantly, but hardly affects undisturbed winds. * Our results confirm earlier studies that wakes are strongest for situations with stable stratification: we observed wake lengths as long as about 50 km. We can conclude that HarmCY43-CTL tends to underestimate the wind speed for stable stratification and overestimate the wind speed for weakly stable and unstable stratification, mainly for the lidar measurements. As expected HarmCY43-WFP reduces the wind speed in the wake. This means that HarmCY43-WFP validates better against measurements for weakly stable and unstable stratification. However, for stable stratification HarmCY43-WFP makes the underestimation of the measurements worse (note that this does not imply the wake deficits are biased). This could even become worse if wind turbines are not performing according to the power curve or are not turning at all because of maintenance or legislation, the WFP will not be aware of that and will extract too much energy, overestimate the wake effect and underestimate the wind speed. * Earlier studies have shown that HarmCY40-CTL captures the diurnal cycle well. HarmCY43-CTL does as well and including the WFP does not seem to affect that. The results of this study give us confidence that the present HARMONIE-AROME model configuration, including the Fitch WFP, can be used to assess the influence of the anticipated wind farm infrastructure in 2050 on the wind climatology.
- Published
- 2022
11. Understanding London's summertime cloud cover
- Author
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., Boutle, Ian A., Clark, Peter A., and Grimmond, Sue
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Physics::Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - Abstract
Cities are a source of complex land--atmosphere interactions. Spatial differences in the energy balance and enhanced surface roughness interact with the atmosphere to alter clouds and precipitation. Here, we explore how London (UK) alters cloud formation during the spring and summer. The Met Office's high-resolution operational forecasts predict enhanced cloud cover over the city as found in observations, but underpredicts the intensity. During low wind-speeds, cloud enhancement over the city is strongest and linked to an urban induced thermal circulation. These circulations advect moist air from the city edge inwards, transporting it upwards with a large moisture convergence over the urban area. At around 1000 m above the surface, the turbulent moisture flux takes over the moisture transport to the cloud layer. A relative-humidity budget shows the moisture flux in the upper boundary layer to be the largest contribution to the urban-rural differences in relative humidity.
- Published
- 2021
12. A year-long evaluation of a wind-farm parameterisation in HARMONIE-AROME
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van Stratum, Bart, primary, Theeuwes, Natalie E., additional, Barkmeijer, Jan, additional, van Ulft, Bert, additional, and Wijnant, Ine, additional
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Understanding London's summertime cloud cover
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., primary, Boutle, Ian A., additional, Clark, Peter A., additional, and Grimmond, Sue, additional
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- 2021
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14. Understanding London's summertime cloud cover.
- Author
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., Boutle, Ian A., Clark, Peter A., and Grimmond, Sue
- Subjects
- *
CLOUDINESS , *LAND-atmosphere interactions , *HUMIDITY , *EDDY flux , *ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer - Abstract
Cities are a source of complex land–atmosphere interactions. Spatial differences in the energy balance and enhanced surface roughness interact with the atmosphere to alter clouds and precipitation. Here, we explore how London (UK) alters cloud formation during the spring and summer. The Met Office's high‐resolution operational forecasts predict enhanced cloud cover over the city, as found in observations, but underpredicts the intensity. During low wind speeds, cloud enhancement over the city is strongest and linked to an urban‐induced thermal circulation. These circulations advect moist air from the city edge inwards, transporting it upwards with a large moisture convergence over the urban area. At around 1,000 m above the surface, the turbulent moisture flux takes over the moisture transport to the cloud layer. A relative humidity budget shows the moisture flux in the upper boundary layer to be the largest contribution to the urban–rural differences in relative humidity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Persistent cloud cover over mega-cities linked to surface heat release
- Author
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., Barlow, Janet F., Teuling, Adriaan J., Grimmond, Sue B., Kotthaus, Simone, Theeuwes, Natalie E., Barlow, Janet F., Teuling, Adriaan J., Grimmond, Sue B., and Kotthaus, Simone
- Abstract
Urban areas are a hotspot for the interactions between the built environment, its inhabitants, and weather. Unlike the impact of temperatures through the well-known urban heat island effect, urban effects on cloud formation remain unknown. In this study we show observational evidence of a systematic enhancement of cloud cover in the afternoon and evening over two large metropolitan areas in Europe (Paris and London). Long-term measurements in and around London show that during late-spring and summer, even though less moisture is available at the surface and the atmosphere is drier, low clouds can persist longer over the urban area as vertical mixing of the available moisture is maintained for a longer period of time, into the evening transition. Our findings show that urban impacts on weather extend beyond temperature effects. These prolonged clouds over the city might enhance the urban heat island via night-time radiative forcing.
- Published
- 2019
16. Persistent cloud cover over mega-cities linked to surface heat release
- Author
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., primary, Barlow, Janet F., additional, Teuling, Adriaan J., additional, Grimmond, C. Sue B., additional, and Kotthaus, Simone, additional
- Published
- 2019
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17. Developing a research strategy to better understand, observe and simulate urban atmospheric processes at kilometre to sub-kilometre scales
- Author
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Barlow, Janet, Best, Martin, Bohnenstengel, Sylvia I., Clark, Peter, Grimmond, Sue, Lean, Humphrey, Christen, Andreas, Emeis, Stefan, Haeffelin, Martial, Harman, Ian N., Lemonsu, Aude, Martilli, Alberto, Pardyjak, Eric, Rotach, Mathias W., Ballard, Susan, Boutle, Ian, Brown, Andy, Cai, Xiaoming, Carpentieri, Matteo, Coceal, Omduth, Crawford, Ben, Di Sabatino, Silvana, Dou, Junxia, Drew, Daniel R., Edwards, John M., Fallmann, Joachim, Fortuniak, Krzysztof, Gornall, Jemma, Gronemeier, Tobias, Halios, Christos H., Hertwig, Denise, Hirano, Kohin, Holtslag, Albert A. M., Luo, Zhiwen, Mills, Gerald, Nakayoshi, Makoto, Pain, Kathy, Schlünzen, K. Heinke, Smith, Stefan, Soulhac, Lionel, Steeneveld, Gert-Jan, Sun, Ting, Theeuwes, Natalie E., Thomson, David, Voogt, James A., Ward, Helen C., Xie, Zheng-Tong, and Zhong, Jian
- Subjects
Earth sciences ,ddc:550 - Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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18. Urban Multi-scale Environmental Predictor - an extensive tool for climate services in urban areas
- Author
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Lindberg, Fredrik, Grimmond, Sue, Gabey, Andrew, Huang, Bei, Kent, Christoph W., Sun, Ting, Theeuwes, Natalie E., Järvi, Leena, Ward, Helen, Capel-Timms, Izzy, Chang, YY, Jonsson, Per, Krave, Niklas, Liu, Dongwei, Meyer, D., Olofson, K. Frans G., Tan, Jian-Guo, Wästberg, Dag, Xue, Lingbo, and Zhang, Zhe
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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19. A diagnostic equation for the daily maximum urban heat island effect for cities in northwestern Europe
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., primary, Steeneveld, Gert-Jan, additional, Ronda, Reinder J., additional, and Holtslag, Albert A. M., additional
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
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20. Cool city mornings by urban heat
- Author
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Theeuwes, Natalie E, primary, Steeneveld, Gert-Jan, additional, Ronda, Reinder J, additional, Rotach, Mathias W, additional, and Holtslag, Albert A M, additional
- Published
- 2015
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21. A diagnostic equation for the daily maximum urban heat island effect for cities in northwestern Europe.
- Author
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Theeuwes, Natalie E., Steeneveld, Gert‐Jan, Ronda, Reinder J., and Holtslag, Albert A. M.
- Subjects
- *
URBAN heat islands , *URBAN climatology , *METEOROLOGICAL observations , *DIMENSIONAL analysis , *RURAL geography , *ATMOSPHERIC temperature - Abstract
ABSTRACT The urban heat island (UHI) effect, defined as the air temperature difference between the urban canyon and the nearby rural area, is investigated. Because not all cities around the world are equipped with an extensive measurement network, a need exists for a relatively straightforward equation for the UHI effect. Here, we derive a simple, diagnostic equation for the UHI using dimensional analysis. This equation provides a first-order estimation of the daily maximum UHI based on routine meteorological observations and straightforward urban morphological properties. The equation is tested for 14 cities across northwestern Europe and appears to be robust. The comprehensiveness of this analytical equation allows for applications beyond urban meteorological studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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