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Downscaling seasonal climate forecasts using regional climate models (RCMs) became an emerging area during the last decade owing to RCMs' more comprehensive representation of the important physical processes at a finer resolution. However, it is crucial to test RCMs for the most appropriate model setup for a particular purpose over a given region through numerical experiments. Thus, this sensitivity study was aimed at identifying an optimum configuration in the Weather, Research, and Forecasting (WRF) model over Ethiopia. A total of 35 WRF simulations with different combinations of parameterization schemes for cumulus (CU), planetary boundary layer (PBL), cloud microphysics (MP), longwave (LW), and shortwave (SW) radiation were tested during the summer (June to August, JJA) season of 2002. The WRF simulations used a two-domain configuration with a 12 km nested domain covering Ethiopia. The initial and boundary forcing data for WRF were from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR). The simulations were compared with station and gridded observations to evaluate their ability to reproduce different aspects of JJA rainfall. An objective ranking method using an aggregate score of several statistics was used to select the best-performing model configuration. The JJA rainfall was found to be most sensitive to the choice of cumulus parameterization and least sensitive to cloud microphysics. All the simulations captured the spatial distribution of JJA rainfall with the pattern correlation coefficient (PCC) ranging from 0.89 to 0.94. However, all the simulations overestimated the JJA rainfall amount and the number of rainy days. Out of the 35 simulations, one that used the Grell CU, ACM2 PBL, LIN MP, RRTM LW, and Dudhia SW schemes performed the best in reproducing the amount and spatio-temporal distribution of JJA rainfall and was selected for downscaling the CFSv2 operational forecast. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cover crops (CCs) offer ecosystem benefits, yet their impact on subsequent crop yields varies with climate, soil, and management practices. Using the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln's Eastern Nebraska Research, Education, and Extension Center (ENREEC), we identified optimal cereal rye management strategies focusing on planting, termination, and the intervals between CC termination and corn planting. Results showed minimal impact of CC management variations on corn yield, underscoring corn's resilience to management changes. Delayed planting notably decreased CC biomass, nitrogen uptake, and biomass nitrogen content on average by 8.8%, 11%, and 9.2% for every five-day delay from 25 September. Every 5-day increase in the interval between CC termination and corn planting reduced biomass by 19.3%. Conversely, each 5-day delay in CC termination from 10 September to 10 October increased biomass by 30%, enhancing SOC accumulation. SOC changes over the 30-year simulation ranged from 5.8% to 7.7%, peaking with late May terminations. The earliest termination showed the highest nitrogen content in biomass (3.4%), with the lowest (0.69%) in mid-May. Our results demonstrate that strategic CC management supports soil health without negatively impacting corn yield in Eastern Nebraska, providing valuable insights for farmers and practitioners aiming to implement sustainable CC practices while preserving crop productivity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The interplay between climate and land use/cover significantly shapes streamflow characteristics within watersheds, with dominance varying based on geography and watershed attributes. This study quantifies the relative and combined impacts of land use/cover change (LULCC) and climate change (CC) on streamflow variability in the Baro River Basin (BRB) using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool Plus (SWAT+). The model was calibrated and validated with observed streamflow data from 1985 to 2014 and projected the future streamflow from 2041 to 2070 under two Shared Socio-Economic Pathway (i.e., SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) scenarios, based on the ensemble of four Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) models. The LULCC was analyzed through Google Earth Engine (GEE) and predicted for the future using the Land Change Modeler (LCM), revealing reductions in forest and wetlands, and increases in agriculture, grassland, and shrubland. Simulations show that the decrease in streamflow is attributed to LULCC, whereas an increase in flow is attributed to the impact of CC. The combined impact of LULCC and CC results in a net increase in streamflow by 9.6% and 19.9% under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively, compared to the baseline period. Our findings indicate that climate change outweighs the impact of land use/cover (LULC) in the basin, emphasizing the importance of incorporating comprehensive water resources management and adaptation approaches to address the changing hydrological conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper presents relationship between the Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI) and physiological responses of individual trees in a beech stand using an example of an experimental plot in Bienska valley (Zvolen, Slovakia). SPI is a widely used tool for monitoring both short-term and long-term droughts, and for the assessments of drought impacts on agriculture. Due to the complex ecosystem bonds, monitoring of drought in forests often requires a sophisticated technological approach. The aim of the paper was to correlate the SPI on the physiological responses of trees that were recorded during the performed physiological research (sap flow, and stem circumference increment) at the site in the growing seasons (May to September) of the years 2012-2014. The results revealed a relationship between the index and the physiological responses, although the problem with the impact of other environmental factors has also come up. The secondary correlation, in which soil water potential that significantly affects physiological responses of forest tree species was used as a dependent variable, showed a tighter relationship with the SPI. We found the highest correlation between the soil water potential and the values of SPI aggregated for five weeks. This indicates that the beech forest has a five week resistance to drought stress. The results also enable simple monitoring of the initiation of the drought stress by applying SPI for five weeks.

Accurate estimation of crop parameters, such as Leaf Area Index (LAI) and biomass over large areas using remote sensing techniques, is crucial for monitoring crop growth and yield prediction. In this study, a Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) method was developed to estimate LAI and biomass values of sugarcane during growth season using optical and synthetic-Aperture Radar (SAR) data fusion. Predicting LAI on an independent test data set using the GPR and the combined optical and SAR indices provided better prediction accuracies of LAI; with the GPR based on radial basis function (Root Mean Square Error [RMSE] = 0.34, Mean Absolute Error [MAE] = 0.28 and Mean Absolute Percentage Error [MAPE] = 10.5%) and polynomial function (RMSE = 0.42, MAE = 0.31 and MAPE = 12.58%), respectively. The test results of sugarcane biomass also showed that the GPR (poly) produced the highest statistical results (RMSE = 2.45 kg/m2, MAE = 1.72 kg/m2, MAPE = 8.1%) using the combined indices. The results suggest that the crop biophysical retrieval based on optical and SAR data fusion and GPR proposed in this study could improve LAI and biomass estimation that could help for effective crop growth monitoring and mapping applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]