152 results on '"Sullivan TR"'
Search Results
2. Using provider-parent strategies to improve influenza vaccination in children and adolescents with special risk medical conditions: a randomised controlled trial protocol
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Tuckerman, J, Harper, K, Sullivan, TR, Fereday, J, Couper, J, Smith, N, Tai, A, Kelly, A, Couper, R, Friswell, M, Flood, L, Danchin, M, Blyth, CC, Marshall, H, Tuckerman, J, Harper, K, Sullivan, TR, Fereday, J, Couper, J, Smith, N, Tai, A, Kelly, A, Couper, R, Friswell, M, Flood, L, Danchin, M, Blyth, CC, and Marshall, H
- Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Influenza immunisation is a highly cost-effective public health intervention. Despite a comprehensive National Immunisation Program, influenza vaccination in children and adolescents with special risk medical conditions (SRMCs) is suboptimal. Flutext-4U is an innovative, multi-component strategy targeting paediatric hospitals, general practice and parents of children and adolescents with SRMC. The Flutext-4U study aims to assess the impact of Flutext-4U to increase influenza immunisation in children and adolescents with SRMC. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a randomised controlled trial involving parents of children and adolescents (aged >6 months to <18 years) with SRMC receiving tertiary care at the Women's and Children's Hospital (WCH), Adelaide, South Australia, who are eligible for funded influenza immunisation with a hospital appointment between the start of the seasonal influenza vaccination season and 31 July 2021, their treating general practitioners (GPs), and WCH paediatric specialists.Parents (of children/adolescents with SRMC) are randomised (1:1 ratio) to standard care plus intervention (SMS reminder messages to parents; reminders (written correspondence) for their child's GP from the hospital's Paediatric Outpatients Department) or standard care (hospital vaccine availability, ease of access and reminders for WCH subspecialists) with randomisation stratified by age-group (<5, 5-14, >14 to <18 years).The primary outcome is influenza vaccination, as confirmed by the Australian Immunisation Register.The proportion vaccinated (primary outcome) will be compared between randomised groups using logistic regression, with adjustment made for age group at randomisation. The effect of treatment will be described using an OR with a 95% CI. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The protocol and all study materials have been reviewed and approved by the Women's and Children's Health Network Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/20/WCHN/5). Results will be dissemina
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- 2022
3. PrEggNut Study: protocol for a randomised controlled trial investigating the effect of a maternal diet rich in eggs and peanuts from <23 weeks' gestation during pregnancy to 4 months' lactation on infant IgE-mediated egg and peanut allergy outcomes
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Palmer, DJ, Sullivan, TR, Campbell, DE, Nanan, R, Gold, MS, Hsu, PS, Netting, MJ, McWilliam, V, Koplin, JJ, Perrett, KP, Quinn, P, O'Sullivan, M, Prescott, SL, Grivell, R, Makrides, M, Palmer, DJ, Sullivan, TR, Campbell, DE, Nanan, R, Gold, MS, Hsu, PS, Netting, MJ, McWilliam, V, Koplin, JJ, Perrett, KP, Quinn, P, O'Sullivan, M, Prescott, SL, Grivell, R, and Makrides, M
- Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Clinical studies supported by immunological data indicate early life intervention strategies to be promising in reducing the growing global burden of food allergies. The events that predispose to food allergy, including the induction of allergen-specific immune responses, appear to be initiated early in development. Early exposure to food allergens in utero and via breast milk is likely to be important in initiating oral tolerance. We aim to determine the effectiveness of higher maternal food allergen consumption during pregnancy and lactation on infant food allergy outcomes. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is a multisite, parallel, two-arm (1:1 allocation), single-blinded (outcome assessors, statistical analyst and investigators), randomised controlled trial. Pregnant women (<23 weeks' gestation) whose (unborn) infants have at least two biological family members (mother, father or siblings) with medically diagnosed allergic disease are eligible to participate. After obtaining written informed consent, pregnant women are randomised to either a high egg and peanut diet (at least 6 eggs and 60 peanuts per week) or standard (low) egg and peanut diet (no more than 3 eggs and 30 peanuts per week). The women are asked to follow their allocated diet from <23 weeks' gestation to 4 months' lactation. The primary outcome is food challenge proven IgE-mediated egg and/or peanut allergy in the infants at 12 months of age. Key secondary outcomes include infant sensitisation to egg and/or peanut and infant eczema. Our target sample size is 2136 women. Analyses will be performed on an intention-to-treat basis according to a pre-specified statistical analysis plan. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval has been granted from the Women's and Children's Health Network Human Research Ethics Committee (approval number HREC/18/WCHN/42). Trial results will be presented at scientific conferences and published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Australian New
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- 2022
4. Multiple imputation for handling missing outcome data in randomized trials involving a mixture of independent and paired data
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Sullivan, TR, Yelland, LN, Moreno-Betancur, M, Lee, KJ, Sullivan, TR, Yelland, LN, Moreno-Betancur, M, and Lee, KJ
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Randomized trials involving independent and paired observations occur in many areas of health research, for example in paediatrics, where studies can include infants from both single and twin births. Multiple imputation (MI) is often used to address missing outcome data in randomized trials, yet its performance in trials with independent and paired observations, where design effects can be less than or greater than one, remains to be explored. Using simulated data and through application to a trial dataset, we investigated the performance of different methods of MI for a continuous or binary outcome when followed by analysis using generalized estimating equations to account for clustering due to the pairs. We found that imputing data separately for independent and paired data, with paired data imputed in wide format, was the best performing MI method, producing unbiased point and standard error estimates for the treatment effect throughout. Ignoring clustering in the imputation model performed well in settings where the design effect due to the inclusion of paired data was close to one, but otherwise led to moderately biased variance estimates. Including a random cluster effect in the imputation model led to slightly biased point estimates for binary outcome data and variance estimates that were too small in some settings. Based on these results, we recommend researchers impute independent and paired data separately where feasible to do so. The exception is if the design effect due to the inclusion of paired data is close to one, where ignoring clustering may be appropriate.
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- 2021
5. Protocol for assessing whether cognition of preterm infants <29 weeks' gestation can be improved by an intervention with the omega-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acid docosahexaenoic acid (DHA): a follow-up of a randomised controlled trial
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Gould, JF, Makrides, M, Sullivan, TR, Anderson, PJ, Gibson, RA, Best, KP, McPhee, AJ, Doyle, LW, Opie, G, Travadi, J, Cheong, J, Davis, PG, Sharp, M, Simmer, K, Collins, CT, Gould, JF, Makrides, M, Sullivan, TR, Anderson, PJ, Gibson, RA, Best, KP, McPhee, AJ, Doyle, LW, Opie, G, Travadi, J, Cheong, J, Davis, PG, Sharp, M, Simmer, K, and Collins, CT
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INTRODUCTION: Docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) is an omega-3 (n-3) fatty acid that accumulates into neural tissue during the last trimester of pregnancy, as the fetal brain is undergoing a growth spurt. Infants born <29 weeks' gestation are deprived the normal in utero supply of DHA during this period of rapid brain development. Insufficient dietary DHA postnatally may contribute to the cognitive impairments common among this population. This follow-up of the N-3 fatty acids for improvement in respiratory outcomes (N3RO) randomised controlled trial aims to determine if enteral DHA supplementation in infants born <29 weeks' gestation during the first months of life improves cognitive development at 5 years of age corrected for prematurity. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: N3RO was a randomised controlled trial of enteral DHA supplementation (60 mg/kg/day) or a control emulsion (without DHA) in 1273 infants born <29 weeks' gestation to determine the effect on bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). We showed that DHA supplementation did not reduce the risk of BPD and may have increased the risk.In this follow-up at 5 years' corrected age, a predefined subset (n=655) of children from five Australian sites will be invited to attend a cognitive assessment with a psychologist. Children will be administered the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence (fourth edition) and a measure of inhibitory control (fruit stroop), while height, weight and head circumference will be measured.The primary outcome is full-scale IQ. To ensure 90% power, a minimum of 592 children are needed to detect a four-point difference in IQ between the groups.Research personnel and families remain blinded to group assignment. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The Women's and Children Health Network Human Research Ethics Committee reviewed and approved the study (HREC/17/WCHN/187). Caregivers will give informed consent prior to taking part in this follow-up study. Findings of this study will be disseminated through peer
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- 2021
6. Protocol for assessing if behavioural functioning of infants born <29 weeks' gestation is improved by omega-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids: follow-up of a randomised controlled trial
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Gould, JF, Roberts, RM, Anderson, PJ, Makrides, M, Sullivan, TR, Gibson, RA, McPhee, AJ, Doyle, LW, Opie, G, Travadi, J, Cheong, JLY, Davis, PG, Sharp, M, Simmer, K, Tan, K, Morris, S, Lui, K, Bolisetty, S, Liley, H, Stack, J, Best, KP, Collins, CT, Gould, JF, Roberts, RM, Anderson, PJ, Makrides, M, Sullivan, TR, Gibson, RA, McPhee, AJ, Doyle, LW, Opie, G, Travadi, J, Cheong, JLY, Davis, PG, Sharp, M, Simmer, K, Tan, K, Morris, S, Lui, K, Bolisetty, S, Liley, H, Stack, J, Best, KP, and Collins, CT
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INTRODUCTION: During the last trimester of pregnancy, the fetal brain undergoes a rapid growth spurt and accumulates essential nutrients including docosahexaenoic acid (DHA). This takes place ex-utero for infants born <29 weeks' gestation, without the in-utero provisions of DHA. Infants born <29 weeks' are more likely to experience behavioural and emotional difficulties than their term-born counterparts. It has been hypothesised that supplementing preterm infants with dietary DHA may alleviate insufficiency and subsequently prevent or minimise behavioural problems. This protocol describes a follow-up of infants born <29 weeks gestation who were enrolled in a randomised controlled trial (RCT) of DHA supplementation. We aim to determine whether DHA supplementation improves the behaviour, and general health of these infants. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Infants born <29 weeks' gestation were enrolled in a multicentre blinded RCT of enteral DHA supplementation. Infants were randomised to receive an enteral emulsion that provided 60 mg/kg/day of DHA or a control emulsion commenced within the first 3 days of enteral feeding, until 36 weeks' postmenstrual age or discharge home, whichever occurred first. Families of surviving children (excluding those who withdrew from the study) from the Australian sites (up to 955) will be invited to complete a survey. The survey will include questions regarding child behavioural and emotional functioning, executive functioning, respiratory health and general health. We hypothesise that the DHA intervention will have a benefit on the primary outcome, parent-rated behaviour and emotional status as measured using the Total Difficulties score of the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire. Detecting a 2-point difference between groups (small effect size of 0.25 SD) with 90% power will require follow-up of 676 participants. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The Women's and Children Health Network Human Research Ethics Committee reviewed and approved the st
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- 2021
7. Fish oil in recent onset rheumatoid arthritis: Three-year follow-up of a randomised, double-blind controlled trial
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James, MJ, Metcalf, RG, Spargo, LD, Sullivan, TR, and Proudman, SM
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- 2016
8. Omega-3 fatty acid supplementation in pregnancy-baseline omega-3 status and early preterm birth: exploratory analysis of a randomised controlled trial.
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Simmonds, LA, Sullivan, TR, Skubisz, M, Middleton, PF, Best, KP, Yelland, LN, Quinlivan, J, Zhou, SJ, Liu, G, McPhee, AJ, Gibson, RA, Makrides, M, Simmonds, LA, Sullivan, TR, Skubisz, M, Middleton, PF, Best, KP, Yelland, LN, Quinlivan, J, Zhou, SJ, Liu, G, McPhee, AJ, Gibson, RA, and Makrides, M
- Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To identify a polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) biomarker able to detect which women with singleton pregnancies are most likely to benefit from omega-3 supplementation to reduce their risk of early preterm birth. DESIGN: Exploratory analysis of a randomised controlled trial. SETTING: Six Australian hospitals. POPULATION: Women with a singleton pregnancy enrolled in the ORIP trial. METHODS: Using maternal capillary whole blood collected ~14 weeks' gestation, the fatty acids in total blood lipids were quantified using gas chromatography. Interaction tests examined whether baseline PUFA status modified the effect of omega-3 supplementation on birth outcomes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Early preterm birth (<34 weeks' gestation). RESULTS: A low total omega-3 PUFA status in early pregnancy was associated with a higher risk of early preterm birth. Among women with a total omega-3 status ≤4.1% of total fatty acids, omega-3 supplementation substantially reduced the risk of early preterm birth compared with control (0.73 versus 3.16%; relative risk = 0.23, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.07-0.79). Conversely, women with higher total omega-3 status in early pregnancy were at lower risk of early preterm birth. Supplementing women with a baseline status above 4.9% increased early preterm birth (2.20 versus 0.97%; relative risk = 2.27, 95% CI 1.13-4.58). CONCLUSIONS: Women with singleton pregnancies and low total omega-3 PUFA status early in pregnancy have an increased risk of early preterm birth and are most likely to benefit from omega-3 supplementation to reduce this risk. Women with higher total omega-3 status are at lower risk and additional omega-3 supplementation may increase their risk. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Low total omega-3 fat status helps identify which women benefit from extra omega-3 to reduce early prematurity.
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- 2020
9. Linking data from a large clinical trial with the Australian Cerebral Palsy Register
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Shepherd, E, Mcintyre, S, Smithers-Sheedy, H, Ashwood, P, Sullivan, TR, Te Velde, A, Doyle, LW, Makrides, M, Middleton, P, Crowther, CA, Shepherd, E, Mcintyre, S, Smithers-Sheedy, H, Ashwood, P, Sullivan, TR, Te Velde, A, Doyle, LW, Makrides, M, Middleton, P, and Crowther, CA
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Aim To link data from a large maternal perinatal trial with the Australian Cerebral Palsy Register (ACPR) to identify children with cerebral palsy (CP). Method Deidentified data from the Australasian Collaborative Trial of Magnesium Sulphate (ACTOMgSO4) and the ACPR were linked. Children born from 1996 to 2000 at Australian hospitals who survived and had 2‐year paediatric assessments were included. Children identified with CP in: (1) both the ACTOMgSO4 (2y) and the ACPR (5y), (2) the ACTOMgSO4 only, and (3) the ACPR only were compared. Results We included 913 children (492 males, 421 females; mean gestational age at birth 27.8wks [standard deviation 2.1wks]; range 23.0–40.0wks). Eighty‐four children received a CP diagnosis: 35 by the ACTOMgSO4 and the ACPR, 29 by the ACTOMgSO4 only, and 20 by the ACPR only. The ACTOMgSO4 diagnosed 76.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 65.9–84.1) and the ACPR identified 65.5% (95% CI 54.7–74.9). Children born in states/territories with long‐standing versus more recently established registers were more likely to be included on the ACPR (p<0.05). Interpretation Linking deidentified perinatal trial data with the ACPR was achieved. Limitations of both strategies for identifying children with CP in this era (late 1990s and early 2000s) probably explain many of the differences observed, and inform future linkage studies and evaluations of CP‐preventive interventions. What this paper adds Randomized trial data were linked with the Australian Cerebral Palsy Register. Trial (2y) and register (up to 5y) diagnoses of cerebral palsy (CP) differed. States with long‐standing registers were more likely to include children with CP.
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- 2020
10. Omega‐3 fatty acid supplementation in pregnancy—baseline omega‐3 status and early preterm birth: exploratory analysis of a randomised controlled trial
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Simmonds, LA, primary, Sullivan, TR, additional, Skubisz, M, additional, Middleton, PF, additional, Best, KP, additional, Yelland, LN, additional, Quinlivan, J, additional, Zhou, SJ, additional, Liu, G, additional, McPhee, AJ, additional, Gibson, RA, additional, and Makrides, M, additional
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- 2020
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11. Should multiple imputation be the method of choice for handling missing data in randomized trials?
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Sullivan, TR, White, IR, Salter, AB, Ryan, P, Lee, KJ, Sullivan, TR, White, IR, Salter, AB, Ryan, P, and Lee, KJ
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The use of multiple imputation has increased markedly in recent years, and journal reviewers may expect to see multiple imputation used to handle missing data. However in randomized trials, where treatment group is always observed and independent of baseline covariates, other approaches may be preferable. Using data simulation we evaluated multiple imputation, performed both overall and separately by randomized group, across a range of commonly encountered scenarios. We considered both missing outcome and missing baseline data, with missing outcome data induced under missing at random mechanisms. Provided the analysis model was correctly specified, multiple imputation produced unbiased treatment effect estimates, but alternative unbiased approaches were often more efficient. When the analysis model overlooked an interaction effect involving randomized group, multiple imputation produced biased estimates of the average treatment effect when applied to missing outcome data, unless imputation was performed separately by randomized group. Based on these results, we conclude that multiple imputation should not be seen as the only acceptable way to handle missing data in randomized trials. In settings where multiple imputation is adopted, we recommend that imputation is carried out separately by randomized group.
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- 2018
12. Accounting for twin births in sample size calculations for randomised trials
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Yelland, LN, Sullivan, TR, Collins, CT, Price, DJ, McPhee, AJ, Lee, KJ, Yelland, LN, Sullivan, TR, Collins, CT, Price, DJ, McPhee, AJ, and Lee, KJ
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BACKGROUND: Including twins in randomised trials leads to non-independence or clustering in the data. Clustering has important implications for sample size calculations, yet few trials take this into account. Estimates of the intracluster correlation coefficient (ICC), or the correlation between outcomes of twins, are needed to assist with sample size planning. Our aims were to provide ICC estimates for infant outcomes, describe the information that must be specified in order to account for clustering due to twins in sample size calculations, and develop a simple tool for performing sample size calculations for trials including twins. METHODS: ICCs were estimated for infant outcomes collected in four randomised trials that included twins. The information required to account for clustering due to twins in sample size calculations is described. A tool that calculates the sample size based on this information was developed in Microsoft Excel and in R as a Shiny web app. RESULTS: ICC estimates ranged between -0.12, indicating a weak negative relationship, and 0.98, indicating a strong positive relationship between outcomes of twins. Example calculations illustrate how the ICC estimates and sample size calculator can be used to determine the target sample size for trials including twins. CONCLUSIONS: Clustering among outcomes measured on twins should be taken into account in sample size calculations to obtain the desired power. Our ICC estimates and sample size calculator will be useful for designing future trials that include twins. Publication of additional ICCs is needed to further assist with sample size planning for future trials.
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- 2018
13. Sample size calculations for randomised trials including both independent and paired data
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Yelland, LN, Sullivan, TR, Price, DJ, Lee, KJ, Yelland, LN, Sullivan, TR, Price, DJ, and Lee, KJ
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- 2017
14. Multiple imputation for handling missing outcome data when estimating the relative risk
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Sullivan, TR, Lee, KJ, Ryan, P, Salter, AB, Sullivan, TR, Lee, KJ, Ryan, P, and Salter, AB
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BACKGROUND: Multiple imputation is a popular approach to handling missing data in medical research, yet little is known about its applicability for estimating the relative risk. Standard methods for imputing incomplete binary outcomes involve logistic regression or an assumption of multivariate normality, whereas relative risks are typically estimated using log binomial models. It is unclear whether misspecification of the imputation model in this setting could lead to biased parameter estimates. METHODS: Using simulated data, we evaluated the performance of multiple imputation for handling missing data prior to estimating adjusted relative risks from a correctly specified multivariable log binomial model. We considered an arbitrary pattern of missing data in both outcome and exposure variables, with missing data induced under missing at random mechanisms. Focusing on standard model-based methods of multiple imputation, missing data were imputed using multivariate normal imputation or fully conditional specification with a logistic imputation model for the outcome. RESULTS: Multivariate normal imputation performed poorly in the simulation study, consistently producing estimates of the relative risk that were biased towards the null. Despite outperforming multivariate normal imputation, fully conditional specification also produced somewhat biased estimates, with greater bias observed for higher outcome prevalences and larger relative risks. Deleting imputed outcomes from analysis datasets did not improve the performance of fully conditional specification. CONCLUSIONS: Both multivariate normal imputation and fully conditional specification produced biased estimates of the relative risk, presumably since both use a misspecified imputation model. Based on simulation results, we recommend researchers use fully conditional specification rather than multivariate normal imputation and retain imputed outcomes in the analysis when estimating relative risks. However fully con
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- 2017
15. Identifying and Understanding Scientific Network Flows
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Attebury Garhan, Babik Marian, Carder Dale, Chown Tim, Hanushevsky Andrew, Hoeft Bruno, Lake Andrew, Lambert Michael, Letts James, McKee Shawn, Newell Karl, and Sullivan Tristan
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Physics ,QC1-999 - Abstract
The High-Energy Physics (HEP) and Worldwide LHC Computing Grid (WLCG) communities have faced significant challenges in understanding their global network flows across the world’s research and education (R&E) networks. This article describes the status of the work carried out to tackle this challenge by the Research Technical Networking Working Group (RNTWG) and the Scientific Network Tags (Scitags) initiative, including the evolving framework and tools, as well as our plans to improve network visibility before the next WLCG Network Data Challenge in early 2024. The Scitags initiative is a long-term effort to improve the visibility and management of network traffic for data-intensive sciences. The efforts of the RNTWG and Scitags initiatives have created a set of tools, standards, and proof-of-concept demonstrators that show the feasibility of identifying the owner (community) and purpose (activity) of network traffic anywhere in the network.
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- 2024
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16. HEPScore: A new CPU benchmark for the WLCG
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Giordano Domenico, Barbet Jean-Michel, Boccali Tommaso, Borge Gonzalo Menéndez, Hollowell Christopher, Innocente Vincenzo, Lampl Walter, Michelotto Michele, Meinhard Helge, Ondris Ladislav, Sciabà Andrea, Schnepf Matthias J., Sobie Randall J., Southwick David, Sullivan Tristan S., Valassi Andrea, Wenzel Sandro, Willis John L., and Yan Xiaofei
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Physics ,QC1-999 - Abstract
HEPScore is a new CPU benchmark created to replace the HEPSPEC06 benchmark that is currently used by the WLCG for procurement, computing resource pledges, usage accounting and performance studies. The development of the new benchmark, based on HEP applications or workloads, has involved many contributions from software developers, data analysts, experts of the experiments, representatives of several WLCG computing centres and WLCG site managers. In this contribution, we review the selection of workloads and the validation of the new HEPScore benchmark.
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- 2024
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17. Managing remote cloud resources for multiple HEP VOs with cloudscheduler
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Driemel Colson, Ebert Marcus, Sobie Randall, and Sullivan Tristan
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Physics ,QC1-999 - Abstract
Cloudscheduler is a system to manage resources of local and remote compute clouds and makes those resources available to HTCondor pools. It examines the resource needs of idle jobs, then starts virtual machines (VMs), sized accordingly, on allowed clouds with available resources. Using yaml files, cloudscheduler then provisions the VMs during the boot process with all necessary tools needed to register with HTCondor and run the experiment’s jobs. Although we have run cloudscheduler in its first version for ATLAS and Belle-II workloads successfully for more than 10 years, we developed cloudscheduler version 2 (CSV2), a complete overhaul and modernization of cloudscheduler. The new system is used successfully in production for Belle-II, ATLAS, DUNE, and BABAR. In addition to using cloudscheduler version 2 as a WLCG site, we also run it as a service for other WLCG sites, and the Canadian Advanced Network for Astronomical Research (CANFAR) group uses its own instance of CSV2 for their astronomy workloads. In this paper, we report on our experience in operating CSV2 for different experiment’s jobs, running on up to 10,000 cores across all experiments and clouds in North America, Australia, and Europe. We will also report on how to correctly account for the resource usage in the WLCG APEL system, how the monitoring works, as well as on the integration of different clouds and how to use resources opportunistically.
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- 2024
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18. Applying the intention-to-treat principle in practice: Guidance on handling randomisation errors
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Yelland, LN, Sullivan, TR, Voysey, M, Lee, KJ, Cook, JA, Forbes, AB, Yelland, LN, Sullivan, TR, Voysey, M, Lee, KJ, Cook, JA, and Forbes, AB
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BACKGROUND: The intention-to-treat principle states that all randomised participants should be analysed in their randomised group. The implications of this principle are widely discussed in relation to the analysis, but have received limited attention in the context of handling errors that occur during the randomisation process. The aims of this article are to (1) demonstrate the potential pitfalls of attempting to correct randomisation errors and (2) provide guidance on handling common randomisation errors when they are discovered that maintains the goals of the intention-to-treat principle. METHODS: The potential pitfalls of attempting to correct randomisation errors are demonstrated and guidance on handling common errors is provided, using examples from our own experiences. RESULTS: We illustrate the problems that can occur when attempts are made to correct randomisation errors and argue that documenting, rather than correcting these errors, is most consistent with the intention-to-treat principle. When a participant is randomised using incorrect baseline information, we recommend accepting the randomisation but recording the correct baseline data. If ineligible participants are inadvertently randomised, we advocate keeping them in the trial and collecting all relevant data but seeking clinical input to determine their appropriate course of management, unless they can be excluded in an objective and unbiased manner. When multiple randomisations are performed in error for the same participant, we suggest retaining the initial randomisation and either disregarding the second randomisation if only one set of data will be obtained for the participant, or retaining the second randomisation otherwise. When participants are issued the incorrect treatment at the time of randomisation, we propose documenting the treatment received and seeking clinical input regarding the ongoing treatment of the participant. CONCLUSION: Randomisation errors are almost inevitable and shoul
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- 2015
19. Neurodevelopmental outcomes at 7 years' corrected age in preterm infants who were fed high-dose docosahexaenoic acid to term equivalent: a follow-up of a randomised controlled trial
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Collins, CT, Gibson, RA, Anderson, PJ, McPhee, AJ, Sullivan, TR, Gould, JF, Ryan, P, Doyle, LW, Davis, PG, McMichael, JE, French, NP, Colditz, PB, Simmer, K, Morris, SA, Makrides, M, Collins, CT, Gibson, RA, Anderson, PJ, McPhee, AJ, Sullivan, TR, Gould, JF, Ryan, P, Doyle, LW, Davis, PG, McMichael, JE, French, NP, Colditz, PB, Simmer, K, Morris, SA, and Makrides, M
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OBJECTIVE: To determine if improvements in cognitive outcome detected at 18 months' corrected age (CA) in infants born <33 weeks' gestation receiving a high-docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) compared with standard-DHA diet were sustained in early childhood. DESIGN: Follow-up of a multicentre randomised controlled trial. Randomisation was stratified for sex, birth weight (<1250 vs ≥1250 g) and hospital. SETTING: Five Australian tertiary hospitals from 2008 to 2013. PARTICIPANTS: 626 of the 657 participants randomised between 2001 and 2005 were eligible to participate. INTERVENTIONS: High-DHA (≈1% total fatty acids) enteral feeds compared with standard-DHA (≈0.3% total fatty acids) from age 2-4 days until term CA. PRIMARY OUTCOME: Full Scale IQ of the Wechsler Abbreviated Scale of Intelligence (WASI) at 7 years CA. Prespecified subgroup analyses based on the randomisation strata (sex, birth weight) were conducted. RESULTS: 604 (92% of the 657 originally randomised) consented to participate (291 high-DHA, 313 standard-DHA). To address missing data in the 604 consenting participants (22 for primary outcome), multiple imputation was performed. The Full Scale IQ was not significantly different between groups (high-DHA 98.3, SD 14.0, standard-DHA 98.5, SD 14.9; mean difference adjusted for sex, birthweight strata and hospital -0.3, 95% CI -2.9 to 2.2; p=0.79). There were no significant differences in any secondary outcomes. In prespecified subgroup analyses, there was a significant sex by treatment interaction on measures of parent-reported executive function and behaviour. Scores were within the normal range but girls receiving the high-DHA diet scored significantly higher (poorer outcome) compared with girls receiving the standard-DHA diet. CONCLUSIONS: Supplementing the diets of preterm infants with a DHA dose of approximately 1% total fatty acids from days 2-4 until term CA showed no evidence of benefit at 7 years' CA. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Australian New Zealand Clinica
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- 2015
20. Full outfield could force Rangers' hand
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Sullivan, TR
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General interest ,News, opinion and commentary - Abstract
Byline: TR Sullivan The Rangers are always looking for starting pitching. That hasn't changed at any time for much of the past 33 years. But for sheer intrigue, try figuring [...]
- Published
- 2004
21. A partial nucleated differential cell count of the bone marrow aspirate that is independent of peripheral blood dilution.
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Lee S, Ho S, Thomas DT, Giri P, Lee H, Sia H, To LB, and Sullivan TR
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- 2008
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22. The Effect of Pressure on the Anation of Diaquabis(ethane-1,2-diamine)cobalt(III) by Selenate and Sulfate, and on the Isomerization of the trans-Aquabis(ethane-1,2-diamine)(hydrogenselenito)cobalt(III) Ion
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Fowless, AD, Lawrance, GA, Stranks, DR, Sullivan, TR, and Vanderhoek, N
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The reversible nucleophilic substitution of cis-[Co(en)2(OH2)2]3+ (en = ethane-1,2-diamine) by sulfate and selenate at pH 2.0 was studied at elevated pressure, and activation volumes (ΔV‡) for anation and solvolysis were determined. The ΔV‡ values for anation by sulfate and selenate were +8.30.5 and +8.50.4 cm3 mol-1 respectively, whereas solvolysis of sulfato and selenato complexes cis -[Co(en)2(OH2)(XO4)]+ gave ΔV‡ values of -2.20.4 and -3.30.7 cm3 mol-1 respectively. The trans → cis [Co(en)2(OH2)(OSeO2H)]2+ isomerization studied at pH 1.0 and elevated pressure yielded ΔV‡ + 7.20.4 cm3 mol-1. All reactions can be interpreted in terms of dissociative mechanisms.
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- 1988
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23. Pressure-dependent aquation of the Tris(2,2'-bipyridyl)iron(II) cation
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Lawrance, GA, Stranks, DR, and Sullivan, TR
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The aquation of Fe(bpy)32+ (bpy = 2,2'-bipyridyl) was studied in aqueous hydrochloric acid at a range of pressures between 1 and 2070 bar. Activation volumes (ΔV‡) in 1.0 M HCl (+ 12.3 cm3 mol-1), 0.01 M HCl (+14.8cm3 mol-1), 1.0 M DCl (+13.3 cm3 mol-1) and 0.01 M DCl (+16.3 cm3 mol-1) were determined. A mechanism involving a significant positive contribution to ΔV‡ arising from a low-spin ↔ high-spin preequilibrium is proposed. The minor effect of the deuterium solvent isotope on ΔV‡ is consistent with this proposal.
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- 1981
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24. Safety of meningococcal B vaccine (4CMenB) in adolescents in Australia
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Helen Marshall, Kristine Macartney, A.P. Koehler, Nigel W Crawford, Nicole L. Pratt, Thomas Sullivan, Bing Wang, Michael Gold, M. A'Houre, Helen E. Quinn, Marshall, HS, Koehler, AP, Wang, B, A'Houre, M, Gold, M, Quinn, H, Crawford, N, Pratt, N, Sullivan, TR, and Macartney, K
- Subjects
Vaccine safety ,Pediatrics ,medicine.medical_specialty ,4CMenB ,Adolescent ,Nausea ,Meningococcal Vaccines ,Meningococcal disease ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,MENINGOCOCCAL B ,030225 pediatrics ,Injection site reaction ,South Australia ,medicine ,Odds Ratio ,Humans ,vaccine safety ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Cluster randomised controlled trial ,adolescents ,Adverse effect ,meningococcal B disease ,General Veterinary ,General Immunology and Microbiology ,business.industry ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Australia ,Infant ,Odds ratio ,medicine.disease ,adverse events ,Meningococcal Infections ,Infectious Diseases ,Molecular Medicine ,Female ,medicine.symptom ,business - Abstract
Background Four-component meningococcal B (4CMenB) vaccine is licensed in many countries but has had limited use in adolescents despite this age group being at increased risk of meningococcal disease. Objectives To assess the safety profile of two doses of 4CMenB in adolescents. Methods Cluster randomised controlled trial of senior school students in South Australia (SA) with participating schools randomised to intervention (4CMenB) or control. Vaccine safety was monitored using the South Australian Vaccine Safety Surveillance System (SAVSS), a spontaneous reporting system for adverse events following immunisation (AEFI) with enhanced follow-up of AEFI. Results 58,637 doses of 4CMenB vaccine were administered to 30,522 students (median age 16 years) during 2017–2018. Of 18,348 and 12,174 students vaccinated in 2017 and 2018, 97.3% and 84.3%, respectively, received both scheduled doses (N = 28,115). 193 AEFI in 187 students were reported with a reporting rate of 0.32% (95%CI: 0.28–0.39%). Seventy individuals sought medical review, including nine serious adverse events. 98% (166/169) of those who were contactable for AEFI follow-up (87.6% 169/193) reported resolution of the event. Most common AEFI were injection site reaction (126/193), headache (99/193) and nausea (61/193). AEFI were more frequently reported in females (aOR = 1.409 (95%CI: 1.002, 1.980)), schools with high level of educational advantage (adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) = 1.515 (95%CI: 1.005, 2.284)), following first dose (aOR = 1.619 (95%CI: 1.168, 2.244)), and in 2017 (aOR = 1.437 (95%CI: 1.001, 2.064)). Reported AEFI declined with increasing age (aOR = 0.771 (95%CI: 0.673, 0.883)). Conclusion In this largest post-licensure use of 4CMenB in adolescents, the low AEFI reporting rate provides real-world evidence of 4CMenB safety in this age group. (ClinicalTrials.gov number: NCT03089086).
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- 2020
25. Omega-3 fatty acid supplementation in pregnancy--baseline omega-3 status and early preterm birth: exploratory analysis of a randomised controlled trial
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Lisa N Yelland, Karen P Best, Ge Liu, Maria Makrides, Robert A. Gibson, Shao J. Zhou, Lucy Simmonds, Thomas Sullivan, Philippa Middleton, Monika Skubisz, Julie A. Quinlivan, Andrew J McPhee, Simmonds, LA, Sullivan, TR, Skubisz, M, Middleton, PF, Best, KP, Yelland, LN, Quinlivan, J, Zhou, SJ, Liu, G, McPhee, AJ, Gibson, RA, and Makrides, M
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Adult ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Population ,Gestational Age ,Lower risk ,law.invention ,03 medical and health sciences ,0302 clinical medicine ,Randomized controlled trial ,Pregnancy ,law ,Fatty Acids, Omega-3 ,medicine ,Humans ,Prospective Studies ,education ,Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic ,chemistry.chemical_classification ,education.field_of_study ,030219 obstetrics & reproductive medicine ,omega-3 fatty acids ,Obstetrics ,business.industry ,Australia ,Infant, Newborn ,Pregnancy Outcome ,Obstetrics and Gynecology ,Gestational age ,preterm birth ,docosahexaenoic acid ,medicine.disease ,chemistry ,Premature birth ,Dietary Supplements ,Premature Birth ,Gestation ,biomarker ,Female ,business ,Polyunsaturated fatty acid - Abstract
usc Objective: To identify a polyunsaturated fatty acid (PUFA) biomarker able to detect which women with singleton pregnancies are most likely to benefit from omega-3 supplementation to reduce their risk of early preterm birth. Design: Exploratory analysis of a randomised controlled trial. Setting: Six Australian hospitals. Population: Women with a singleton pregnancy enrolled in the ORIP trial. Methods: Using maternal capillary whole blood collected ~14 weeks’ gestation, the fatty acids in total blood lipids were quantified using gas chromatography. Interaction tests examined whether baseline PUFA status modified the effect of omega-3 supplementation on birth outcomes. Main outcome measure: Early preterm birth (
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- 2020
26. U-shaped relationship between tissue docosahexaenoic acid and atrial fibrillation following cardiac surgery
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Lara Bjorgvinsdottir, Gudrun V. Skuladottir, Glenn D. Young, Runolfur Palsson, Olafur S. Indridason, Ragnhildur Heidarsdottir, Aaron L. Farquharson, Robert A. Gibson, Davíð O. Arnar, Prashanthan Sanders, Thomas Sullivan, Leslie G. Cleland, Michael J. James, Robert G. Metcalf, Metclaf, RG, Skuladottir, GV, Indridason, OS, Sullivan, TR, Bjorgvinsdottir, L, Sanders, P, Arnar, DO, Gibson, RA, Heidarsdottir, R, Cleland, LG, Palsson, R, Farquharson, AL, Young, GD, and James, MJ
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Adult ,Male ,eicosapentaenoic acid ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Adolescent ,Docosahexaenoic Acids ,Iceland ,Medicine (miscellaneous) ,Gastroenterology ,dietary supplements ,Young Adult ,Fish Oils ,Internal medicine ,Atrial Fibrillation ,medicine ,Odds Ratio ,Humans ,atrial fibrillation ,Cardiac Surgical Procedures ,cardiac surgical procedures ,Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic ,docosahexaenoic acids ,chemistry.chemical_classification ,Postoperative Care ,Nutrition and Dietetics ,omega-3 fatty acids ,business.industry ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,Incidence ,Australia ,Atrial fibrillation ,Odds ratio ,medicine.disease ,Fish oil ,postoperative care ,Eicosapentaenoic acid ,fish oils ,Surgery ,Cardiac surgery ,Logistic Models ,chemistry ,Eicosapentaenoic Acid ,Docosahexaenoic acid ,Dietary Supplements ,Multivariate Analysis ,Female ,business ,cardiac surgery ,Polyunsaturated fatty acid - Abstract
Background/objectives: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating the effect of fish oil supplementation on postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) following cardiac surgery have produced mixed results. In this study, we examined relationships between levels of red blood cell (RBC) n-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (LC-PUFAs) and the incidence of POAF. Subjects/methods: We used combined data (n=355) from RCTs conducted in Australia and Iceland. The primary end point was defined as POAF lasting >10 min in the first 6 days following surgery. The odds ratios (ORs) for POAF were compared between quintiles of preoperative RBC n-3 LC-PUFA levels by multivariable logistic regression. Results: Subjects with RBC docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) in the fourth quintile, comprising a RBC DHA range of 7.0–7.9%, had the lowest incidence of POAF. Subjects in the lowest and highest quintiles had significantly higher risk of developing POAF compared with those in the fourth quintile (OR=2.36: 95% CI; 1.07–5.24 and OR=2.45: 95% CI; 1.16–5.17, respectively). There was no association between RBC eicosapentaenoic acid levels and POAF incidence. Conclusions: The results suggest a ‘U-shaped’ relationship between RBC DHA levels and POAF incidence. The possibility of increased risk of POAF at high levels of DHA suggests an upper limit for n-3 LC-PUFAs in certain conditions. Refereed/Peer-reviewed
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- 2013
27. Performance of mixed effects models and generalized estimating equations for continuous outcomes in partially clustered trials including both independent and paired data.
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Lange KM, Sullivan TR, Kasza J, and Yelland LN
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- Humans, Cluster Analysis, Sample Size, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic statistics & numerical data, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic methods, Clinical Trials as Topic methods, Clinical Trials as Topic statistics & numerical data, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Infant, Newborn, Computer Simulation, Models, Statistical
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Many clinical trials involve partially clustered data, where some observations belong to a cluster and others can be considered independent. For example, neonatal trials may include infants from single or multiple births. Sample size and analysis methods for these trials have received limited attention. A simulation study was conducted to (1) assess whether existing power formulas based on generalized estimating equations (GEEs) provide an adequate approximation to the power achieved by mixed effects models, and (2) compare the performance of mixed models vs GEEs in estimating the effect of treatment on a continuous outcome. We considered clusters that exist prior to randomization with a maximum cluster size of 2, three methods of randomizing the clustered observations, and simulated datasets with uninformative cluster size and the sample size required to achieve 80% power according to GEE-based formulas with an independence or exchangeable working correlation structure. The empirical power of the mixed model approach was close to the nominal level when sample size was calculated using the exchangeable GEE formula, but was often too high when the sample size was based on the independence GEE formula. The independence GEE always converged and performed well in all scenarios. Performance of the exchangeable GEE and mixed model was also acceptable under cluster randomization, though under-coverage and inflated type I error rates could occur with other methods of randomization. Analysis of partially clustered trials using GEEs with an independence working correlation structure may be preferred to avoid the limitations of mixed models and exchangeable GEEs., (© 2024 The Author(s). Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2024
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28. Maternal serum unmetabolized folic acid concentration following multivitamin and mineral supplementation with or without folic acid after 12 weeks gestation: A randomized controlled trial.
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Sulistyoningrum DC, Sullivan TR, Skubisz M, Palmer DJ, Wood S, Ueland PM, McCann A, Makrides M, Green TJ, and Best KP
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- Humans, Female, Pregnancy, Double-Blind Method, Adult, South Australia, Micronutrients administration & dosage, Micronutrients blood, Young Adult, Biomarkers blood, Prenatal Care methods, Maternal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena physiology, Pregnancy Trimester, First blood, Minerals blood, Minerals administration & dosage, Folic Acid blood, Folic Acid administration & dosage, Dietary Supplements, Vitamins administration & dosage, Vitamins blood
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Pregnant women are advised to take folic acid (FA) supplements before conception and during the first trimester of pregnancy. Many women continue FA supplementation throughout pregnancy, and concerns have been raised about associations between excessive FA intake and adverse maternal and child health outcomes. Unmetabolized folic acid (UMFA) is found in serum after high FA intakes and is proposed as a biomarker for excessive FA intake. We aimed to determine if removing FA from prenatal micronutrient supplements after 12 weeks of pregnancy reduces serum UMFA concentrations at 36 weeks gestation. In this double-blind, randomized controlled trial conducted in South Australia, 103 women with a singleton pregnancy were randomly assigned at 12-16 weeks gestation to take a micronutrient supplement containing no FA or 800 µg/day FA from enrollment until 36 weeks gestation. Ninety women (0 µg/day FA n = 46; 800 µg/day FA n = 44) completed the study. Mean, UMFA concentration was lower in the women randomized to the 0 µg/day group compared to the 800 µg/day FA group, 0.6 ± 0.7 and 1.4 ± 2.7 nmol/L, respectively. The adjusted mean difference (95% CI) in UMFA between the groups was [-0.85 (-1.62, -0.08) nmol/L, p = 0.03]. Maternal serum and red blood cell folate concentrations were lower in the 0 µg/day FA group than in the 800 µg/day group (median 23.2 vs. 49.3 and 1335 vs. 1914 nmol/L, respectively; p < 0.001). Removing FA at 12-16 weeks gestation from prenatal micronutrient supplements reduced the concentration of UMFA at 36 weeks gestation., (© 2024 The Authors. Maternal & Child Nutrition published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2024
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29. Urinary Ferritin as a Noninvasive Means of Assessing Iron Status in Young Children.
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Moumin NA, D'Vaz N, Kidd C, MacRae A, Zhou SJ, Richards T, Palmer DJ, Grzeskowiak LE, Sullivan TR, and Green TJ
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- Humans, Child, Preschool, Male, Female, Longitudinal Studies, Iron Deficiencies, Sensitivity and Specificity, Specific Gravity, Western Australia, Cohort Studies, Predictive Value of Tests, Ferritins blood, Biomarkers urine, Biomarkers blood, Iron urine, Iron blood, Anemia, Iron-Deficiency urine, Anemia, Iron-Deficiency diagnosis, Anemia, Iron-Deficiency blood, Nutritional Status, Creatinine urine, Creatinine blood
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Background: Iron deficiency (ID) is the most common nutritional deficiency affecting young children. Serum ferritin concentration is the preferred biomarker for measuring iron status because it reflects iron stores; however, blood collection can be distressing for young children and can be logistically difficult. A noninvasive means to measure iron status would be attractive to either diagnose or screen for ID in young children., Objectives: This study aimed to determine the correlation between urinary and serum ferritin concentrations in young children; to determine whether correcting urinary ferritin for creatinine and specific gravity improves the correlation; and to determine a urine ferritin cut point to predict ID., Methods: Validation study was conducted using paired serum and urine collected from 3-y-old children (n = 142) participating in a longitudinal birth cohort study: the ORIGINS project in Perth, Western Australia. We calculated the sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values of urinary ferritin amount in identifying those with ID at the clinical cut point used by the World Health Organization (serum ferritin concentration of <12 ng/mL)., Results: Urine ferritin, corrected for creatinine, correlated moderately with serum ferritin [r = 0.53 (0.40-0.64)] and performed well in predicting those with ID (area under the curve: 0.85; 95% confidence interval: 0.75, 0.94). Urine ferritin <2.28 ng/mg creatinine was sensitive (86%) and specific (77%) in predicting ID and had a high negative predictive value of 97%; however, the positive predictive value was low (40%) owing to the low prevalence of ID in the sample (16%)., Conclusions: Urine ferritin shows good diagnostic performance for ID. This noninvasive biomarker maybe a useful screening tool to exclude ID in healthy young children; however, further research is needed in other populations., (Copyright © 2024 American Society for Nutrition. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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30. Effects of pregnancy and lactation prebiotics supplementation on infant allergic disease: A randomized controlled trial.
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Palmer DJ, Cuthbert AR, Sullivan TR, Pretorius RA, Garssen J, Rueter K, Jenmalm MC, Keelan JA, Silva D, and Prescott SL
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Background: Ingestion of prebiotics during pregnancy and lactation may have immunomodulatory benefits for the developing fetal and infant immune system and provide a potential dietary strategy to reduce the risk of allergic diseases., Objective: We sought to determine whether maternal supplementation with dietary prebiotics reduces the risk of allergic outcomes in infants with hereditary risk., Methods: We undertook a double-blind randomized controlled trial in which pregnant women were allocated to consume prebiotics (14.2 g daily of galacto-oligosaccharides and fructo-oligosaccharides in the ratio 9:1) or placebo (8.7 g daily of maltodextrin) powder from less than 21 weeks' gestation until 6 months postnatal during lactation. Eligible women had infants with a first-degree relative with a history of medically diagnosed allergic disease. The primary outcome was medically diagnosed infant eczema by age 1 year, and secondary outcomes included allergen sensitization, food allergy, and recurrent wheeze by age 1 year., Results: A total of 652 women were randomized between June 2016 and November 2021 (329 in the prebiotics group and 323 in the placebo group). There was no significant difference between groups in the percentage of infants with medically diagnosed eczema by age 1 year (prebiotics 31.5% [103 of 327 infants] vs placebo 32.6% [105 of 322 infants]; adjusted relative risk, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.77-1.23; P = .84). Secondary outcomes and safety measures also did not significantly differ between groups., Conclusions: We found little evidence that maternal prebiotics supplementation during pregnancy and lactation reduces the risk of medically diagnosed infant eczema by age 1 year in infants who are at hereditary risk of allergic disease., Competing Interests: Disclosure statement This trial was supported by a National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) project grant (grant no. ID1099480) and a Telethon-Perth Children’s Hospital Research Fund grant. D.J.P. was supported by the NHMRC Medical Research Futures Fund Career Development Fellowship (ID1144544) (2018-2021) and the Telethon Kids Institute Ascend Fellowship (2022-2026). T.R.S. was supported by an NHMRC Investigator Grant (grant no. ID1173576). S.L.P. was supported by a fellowship from the Nova Institute for Health. Substantial in-kind support has been provided by Telethon Kids Institute and Joondalup Health Campus. All study powders were manufactured, packaged, and labeled by the independent company, Danone (Utrecht, The Netherlands). The trial was investigator-initiated, and Danone had no other involvement other than the provision of study powders. All funders had no role in the study design nor writing of this trial protocol article. Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: J. Garssen is a part-time employee of Danone Nutricia Research; and receives research funding/grants from the European Union, the Dutch government, Bill Gates Foundation, public and private research funding from the Netherlands, and some companies such as Danone Nutricia Research, Nutricia Research Foundation, Friesland Campina, and DSM. M. C. Jenmalm received funding for a clinical trial; received honoraria for lectures from BioGaia AB; and received consultant fees and travel support from Danone Nutricia and Abigo Medical. S. L. Prescott received speaker fees from Danone Nutricia. The rest of the authors declare that they have no relevant conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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31. Categorisation of continuous covariates for stratified randomisation: How should we adjust?
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Sullivan TR, Morris TP, Kahan BC, Cuthbert AR, and Yelland LN
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- Humans, Computer Simulation, Linear Models, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Logistic Models, Random Allocation, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic statistics & numerical data
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To obtain valid inference following stratified randomisation, treatment effects should be estimated with adjustment for stratification variables. Stratification sometimes requires categorisation of a continuous prognostic variable (eg, age), which raises the question: should adjustment be based on randomisation categories or underlying continuous values? In practice, adjustment for randomisation categories is more common. We reviewed trials published in general medical journals and found none of the 32 trials that stratified randomisation based on a continuous variable adjusted for continuous values in the primary analysis. Using data simulation, this article evaluates the performance of different adjustment strategies for continuous and binary outcomes where the covariate-outcome relationship (via the link function) was either linear or non-linear. Given the utility of covariate adjustment for addressing missing data, we also considered settings with complete or missing outcome data. Analysis methods included linear or logistic regression with no adjustment for the stratification variable, adjustment for randomisation categories, or adjustment for continuous values assuming a linear covariate-outcome relationship or allowing for non-linearity using fractional polynomials or restricted cubic splines. Unadjusted analysis performed poorly throughout. Adjustment approaches that misspecified the underlying covariate-outcome relationship were less powerful and, alarmingly, biased in settings where the stratification variable predicted missing outcome data. Adjustment for randomisation categories tends to involve the highest degree of misspecification, and so should be avoided in practice. To guard against misspecification, we recommend use of flexible approaches such as fractional polynomials and restricted cubic splines when adjusting for continuous stratification variables in randomised trials., (© 2024 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2024
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32. THE ROLE OF SCHOOLS IN MENINGOCOCCAL CARRIAGE AMONG ADOLESCENTS AND YOUNG ADULTS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA.
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Mohammed H, Peut C, McMillan M, Wang B, Sullivan TR, and Marshall HS
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Neisseria meningitidis carriage peaks in adolescents. This secondary analysis of a randomized controlled trial (NCT03089086) assessing 4CMenB herd protection in South Australia ("B-Part-of-It" study) explored school attributes linked to baseline carriage in 34,489 adolescents prevaccination. Carriage was higher in students attending single-sex [adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.49; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.14-1.93], boarding (aOR: 1.92; 1.13-3.27) and government schools (aOR: 1.32, 1.09-1.61)., Competing Interests: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose., (Copyright © 2024 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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33. Equity Concerns Across Pediatric Research Recruitment: An Analysis of Research Staff Interviews.
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Weiss EM, Porter KM, Sullivan TR, Sotelo Guerra LJ, Anderson EE, Garrison NA, Baker L, Smith JM, and Kraft SA
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- Humans, Child, Language, Research, Medically Underserved Area
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Background and Objectives: Difficulty recruiting individuals from minoritized and underserved populations for clinical research is well documented and has health equity implications. Previously, we reported findings from interviews with research staff about pediatric research recruitment processes. Respondents raised equity concerns related to recruitment and enrollment of participants from minoritized, low resourced, and underserved populations. We therefore decided to perform a secondary coding of the transcripts to examine equity-related issues systematically., Methods: We conducted a process of secondary coding and analysis of interviews with research staff involved in recruitment for pediatric clinical research. Through consensus we identified codes relevant to equity and developed a conceptual framework including 5 stages of research., Results: We analyzed 28 interviews and coded equity-related items. We report 6 implications of our findings. First, inequitable access to clinical care is an upstream barrier to research participation. Second, there is a need to increase research opportunities where underserved and under-represented populations receive care. Third, increasing research team diversity can build trust with patients and families, but teams must ensure adequate support of all research team members. Fourth, issues related to consent processes raise institutional-level opportunities for improvement. Fifth, there are numerous study procedure-related barriers to participation. Sixth, our analysis illustrates that individuals who speak languages other than English face barriers across multiple stages., Conclusions: Research staff members identified equity-related concerns and recommended potential solutions across 5 stages of the research process, which may guide those endeavoring to improve research recruitment for pediatric patients from minoritized and underserved populations., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors have no conflicts of interest relevant to this article to disclose., (Copyright © 2023 Academic Pediatric Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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34. Nudging towards COVID-19 and influenza vaccination uptake in medically at-risk children: EPIC study protocol of randomised controlled trials in Australian paediatric outpatient clinics.
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Wang B, Andraweera P, Danchin M, Blyth CC, Vlaev I, Ong J, Dodd JM, Couper J, Sullivan TR, Karnon J, Spurrier N, Cusack M, Mordaunt D, Simatos D, Dekker G, Carlson S, Tuckerman J, Wood N, Whop LJ, and Marshall H
- Abstract
Introduction: Children with chronic medical diseases are at an unacceptable risk of hospitalisation and death from influenza and SARS-CoV-2 infections. Over the past two decades, behavioural scientists have learnt how to design non-coercive 'nudge' interventions to encourage positive health behaviours. Our study aims to evaluate the impact of multicomponent nudge interventions on the uptake of COVID-19 and influenza vaccines in medically at-risk children., Methods and Analyses: Two separate randomised controlled trials (RCTs), each with 1038 children, will enrol a total of approximately 2076 children with chronic medical conditions who are attending tertiary hospitals in South Australia, Western Australia and Victoria. Participants will be randomly assigned (1:1) to the standard care or intervention group. The nudge intervention in each RCT will consist of three text message reminders with four behavioural nudges including (1) social norm messages, (2) different messengers through links to short educational videos from a paediatrician, medically at-risk child and parent and nurse, (3) a pledge to have their child or themselves vaccinated and (4) information salience through links to the current guidelines and vaccine safety information. The primary outcome is the proportion of medically at-risk children who receive at least one dose of vaccine within 3 months of randomisation. Logistic regression analysis will be performed to determine the effect of the intervention on the probability of vaccination uptake., Ethics and Dissemination: The protocol and study documents have been reviewed and approved by the Women's and Children's Health Network Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/22/WCHN/2022/00082). The results will be published via peer-reviewed journals and presented at scientific meetings and public forums., Trial Registration Number: NCT05613751., Competing Interests: Competing interests: HM acknowledges support from the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia: Practitioner Fellowship (APP1155066). CCB acknowledges support from the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia: Investigator Grant (APP1173163). HM is an independent investigator on clinical trials of investigational vaccines manufactured by pharmaceutical companies including Pfizer, ILiAD Biotechnologies and Merck. The institution at which HM, BW and PA are employed has received funding for investigator-led research from GlaxoSmithKline, Sanofi-Pasteur and Pfizer Vaccines. All authors receive no personal payments from industry. There are no other conflicts of interest to declare., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2024
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35. Longitudinal study of meningococcal carriage in adolescents and young adults in South Australia 2017-2020.
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McMillan M, Mohammed H, Bednarz J, Leong LEX, Lawrence A, Sullivan TR, Maiden MCJ, and Marshall HS
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- Humans, Adolescent, Young Adult, South Australia epidemiology, Longitudinal Studies, Cross-Sectional Studies, Multilocus Sequence Typing, Carrier State epidemiology, Prevalence, Meningococcal Infections epidemiology, Neisseria meningitidis genetics
- Abstract
Background: This analysis investigated longitudinal changes in meningococcal carriage in adolescents in South Australia over 4 years., Methods: Data from the "B Part of It" study, which included a state-wide cluster randomized controlled trial in secondary-school students (n = 34,489 in 2017 and 2018) and serial cross-sectional studies in school leavers aged 17-25 years (n = 4028 in 2019-2020). Individuals had oropharyngeal swabs collected annually. This study included two unique cohorts: (1) individuals enrolled in 2019, with three consecutive annual swabs taken in 2017, 2018 and 2019; and (2) individuals enrolled in 2020, with swabs taken in 2017, 2018, and 2020. Disease-associated N. meningitidis genogroups were identified using PCR and whole genome sequencing. Univariate analysis identified risk factors for recurrent carriage (≥2)., Results: Among school leavers, 50 (1.7%, total n = 2980) had carriage detected at successive visits. In participants with meningococcal carriage at successive visits, 38/50 (76.0%) had the same genogroup detected by porA PCR. Of those, 19 had the same MLST type and demonstrated minimal variation, indicating they most likely had sustained carriage of the same isolate (range 226 to 490 days, mean duration 352 [SD 51] days). In the 2019 school leaver cohort, 6.7% acquired carriage in their first year out of school compared to 3.3% in their final school year. Compared to single carriage detection, recurrent carriage was potentially more likely in older adolescents (16 compared to ≤15 years; OR = 1.97 (95%CI 1.0, 3.86); p = 0.048)., Conclusion: Whilst carriage is typically transient, some adolescents/young adults may have persistent carriage and are likely to be an important group in the transmission of meningococci., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest H.S.M. is an investigator on vaccine trials sponsored by the GSK group of companies, Novavax, and Pfizer. H.S.M.’s, M.M.’s, and H.M.’s institution receives funding for investigator-led studies from Pfizer and the GSK. H.S.M. and M.M. receive no personal payments from industry., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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36. High-Dose Docosahexaenoic Acid in Newborns Born at Less Than 29 Weeks' Gestation and Behavior at Age 5 Years: Follow-Up of a Randomized Clinical Trial.
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Gould JF, Roberts RM, Anderson PJ, Makrides M, Sullivan TR, Gibson RA, McPhee AJ, Doyle LW, Bednarz JM, Best KP, Opie G, Travadi J, Cheong JLY, Davis PG, Sharp M, Simmer K, Tan K, Morris S, Lui K, Bolisetty S, Liley H, Stack J, and Collins CT
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- Child, Preschool, Female, Humans, Infant, Newborn, Male, Pregnancy, Australia, Dietary Supplements, Follow-Up Studies, Gestational Age, Docosahexaenoic Acids, Infant, Premature
- Abstract
Importance: Children born at less than 29 weeks' gestation are at risk of behavioral difficulties. This may be due in part to the lack of transplacental supply of docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), a key fatty acid with structural and functional roles in the brain., Objective: To determine whether meeting the neonatal DHA requirement through supplementation is associated with improved behavioral functioning of children born at less than 29 weeks' gestation., Design, Setting and Participants: This was a follow-up of children from 10 Australian participating centers in a multi-center, blinded, parallel group randomized clinical trial of infants born at less than 29 weeks' gestation conducted from June 2012 and September 2015, excluding those with additional fatty acid supplementation or major congenital or chromosomal abnormalities. Follow-up took place from August 2018 to May 2021. Parents of surviving children who had not withdrawn from the original trial were invited to complete questionnaires when the child turned 5 years' corrected age., Interventions: Infants were randomized to receive daily enteral emulsions providing 60 mg/kg/d of DHA or a soy-oil emulsion (with no DHA) from within the first 3 days of enteral feeding until 36 weeks' postmenstrual age or discharge home, whichever occurred first., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome of this follow-up was parent-rated behavior and emotional functioning as indicated by the Total Difficulties score of the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire. Parents also completed questionnaires about their child's behavioral manifestations of executive functioning, as well as a range of health outcomes to assess potential longer-term side effects of DHA intervention., Results: Primary outcome data were available for 731 children (76% of 958 surviving eligible children; 361 in the intervention group and 370 in the control group). Of these 731, 452 (47%) were female, and the mean (SD) corrected age at follow-up was 5.4 (0.5) years. Following imputation for missing data, the mean Total Difficulties score was the same in both groups (intervention group, n = 465; mean [SD], 11.8 [6.3]; control group, n = 493; mean [SD], 11.8 [6.0]; mean difference adjusted for sex, gestational age stratum, and hospital, 0.01; 95% CI, -0.87 to 0.89; P = .98). There was no evidence for differences between the groups in any secondary outcomes of behavior, executive functioning, or health., Conclusions and Relevance: In this follow-up of a randomized clinical trial, enteral DHA supplementation at the equivalent of the estimated in utero dose for infants born at less than 29 weeks' gestation did not improve behavioral functioning at age 5 years. There were no indications of adverse effects with DHA supplementation., Trial Registration: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry: ACTRN12612000503820.
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- 2024
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37. Too Much Too Little: Clarifying the Relationship Between Maternal Iodine Intake and Neurodevelopmental Outcomes.
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Sullivan TR, Best KP, Gould J, Zhou SJ, Makrides M, and Green TJ
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- Infant, Humans, Female, Pregnancy, Child, Preschool, Prospective Studies, Australia, Dietary Supplements, Lactation, Iodine
- Abstract
Background: In 2009, the Australian government mandated the fortification of bread salt with iodine. In 2010, pregnant and lactating women were also advised to take an iodine-containing supplement. Our assessment of this policy in an iodine-sufficient population showed that children whose mothers were in the highest and lowest quartiles of iodine intake performed more poorly on early childhood tests of cognition and language than those in the second quartile. However, we did not quantify the iodine intake associated with optimal neurodevelopment., Objectives: The aim was to establish the iodine intake range in pregnancy associated with optimal child neurodevelopment., Methods: A prospective cohort study of pregnant women and their young children (n = 699). Iodine intake was assessed by a validated food frequency questionnaire at 16 and 28 wk of gestation. Child neurodevelopment at 18 mo of age was measured using the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition (Bayley-III). The relationship between average iodine intake during pregnancy and child neurodevelopment was assessed using linear regression with fractional polynomials and adjustment for confounders., Results: Mean (SD) iodine intake was similar at study entry and 28 wk, 308 (120) μg/d, with 82% of women taking iodine supplements at study entry. The relationship between iodine intake during pregnancy and Bayley-III cognitive and language scores was curvilinear (P = 0.001 and P = 0.004, respectively), with the lowest Bayley-III scores observed at lower and higher iodine intakes. The inflection point that drove the association between lower iodine intake in pregnancy and poorer child neurodevelopment scores was around 185 μg/d; for the higher pregnancy iodine intakes, language and cognitive scores were negatively affected from ∼350 μg/d to 370 μg/d, respectively. Higher iodine intakes were being driven by supplement use., Conclusions: Targeted, not blanket, iodine supplementation may be needed for pregnant women with low-iodine intake from food., (Copyright © 2023 American Society for Nutrition. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)
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- 2024
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38. Predictors of compliance with higher dose omega-3 fatty acid supplementation during pregnancy and implications for the risk of prematurity: exploratory analysis of the ORIP randomised trial.
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Sullivan TR, Yelland LN, Gibson RA, Thakkar SK, Huang F, Best KP, Devaraj S, Zolezzi IS, and Makrides M
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- Infant, Newborn, Female, Pregnancy, Humans, Capsules, Australia epidemiology, Dietary Supplements, Fatty Acids, Premature Birth epidemiology, Premature Birth prevention & control, Fatty Acids, Omega-3
- Abstract
Background: Intention-to-treat analyses of the Omega-3 to Reduce the Incidence of Prematurity (ORIP) trial found that omega-3 (n-3) fatty acid supplementation reduces the risk of prematurity in the subgroup of women with a singleton pregnancy and low n-3 status early in pregnancy, but not overall. However, results may have been influenced by less-than-optimal compliance., Objectives: To identify predictors of compliance with n-3 supplementation and determine treatment effects among compliers., Design: Exploratory analyses of a multicentre-blinded randomised trial., Setting: 6 tertiary care centres in Australia., Participants: 5328 singleton pregnancies., Interventions: Daily capsules containing 900 mg n-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids or vegetable oil, consumed from before 20 weeks gestation until 34 weeks gestation., Outcome Measures: Early preterm (<34 weeks gestation) and preterm birth (<37 weeks gestation). Women were considered compliant if they reported missing less than a third of their allocated capsules in the previous week during a mid-pregnancy appointment., Results: Among 2654 singleton pregnancies in the n-3 intervention group, 1727 (65%) were deemed compliant with supplementation. Maternal characteristics associated with compliance included age, years of full-time education, consuming alcohol but not smoking in the 3 months leading up to pregnancy, fewer previous births and taking dietary supplements at enrolment. Based on complier average causal effects, n-3 supplementation reduced the risk of preterm birth in compliers (relative risk=0.76; 95% CI 0.60 to 0.97), but not early preterm birth (relative risk=0.80; 95% CI 0.44 to 1.46). Consistent with intention-to-treat analyses, the lack of an overall effect on early preterm birth in compliers appeared to be due to beneficial effects in women with low n-3 status at enrolment but not women with replete status., Conclusions: Results in compliers were similar to those from intention-to-treat analyses, suggesting that non-compliance was not a major factor in explaining outcomes from the ORIP trial., Trial Registration Number: ACTRN12613001142729., Competing Interests: Competing interests: RAG has received supplies from Croda UK, prepared supplies for a trial for Efamol/Wassen UK and holds a patent (WO2013/10 40 25 A1) on stabilising and analysing fatty acids in a biologic sample stored on solid media, owned by Adelaide Research and Innovation, the University of Adelaide, and licensed to Xerion. SKT, FH, SD and ISZ are employees of Société des Produits Nestlé (SPN). MM has received supplies from Croda UK, and prepared supplies for a trial for Efamol/Wassen UK. The other authors do not have any competing interests., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2023
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39. Handling misclassified stratification variables in the analysis of randomised trials with continuous outcomes.
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Yelland LN, Louise J, Kahan BC, Morris TP, Lee KJ, and Sullivan TR
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- Humans, Linear Models, Computer Simulation, Random Allocation, Research Design
- Abstract
Many trials use stratified randomisation, where participants are randomised within strata defined by one or more baseline covariates. While it is important to adjust for stratification variables in the analysis, the appropriate method of adjustment is unclear when stratification variables are affected by misclassification and hence some participants are randomised in the incorrect stratum. We conducted a simulation study to compare methods of adjusting for stratification variables affected by misclassification in the analysis of continuous outcomes when all or only some stratification errors are discovered, and when the treatment effect or treatment-by-covariate interaction effect is of interest. The data were analysed using linear regression with no adjustment, adjustment for the strata used to perform the randomisation (randomisation strata), adjustment for the strata if all errors are corrected (true strata), and adjustment for the strata after some errors are discovered and corrected (updated strata). The unadjusted model performed poorly in all settings. Adjusting for the true strata was optimal, while the relative performance of adjusting for the randomisation strata or the updated strata varied depending on the setting. As the true strata are unlikely to be known with certainty in practice, we recommend using the updated strata for adjustment and performing subgroup analyses, provided the discovery of errors is unlikely to depend on treatment group, as expected in blinded trials. Greater transparency is needed in the reporting of stratification errors and how they were addressed in the analysis., (© 2023 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)
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- 2023
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40. Enteral supplementation with high-dose docosahexaenoic acid on the risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in very preterm infants: a collaborative study protocol for an individual participant data meta-analysis.
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Marc I, Lavoie PM, McPhee AJ, Collins CT, Simonyan D, Pronovost E, Guillot M, Gould JF, Mohamed I, Beltempo M, Boutin A, Fortier I, Sullivan TR, Moore L, and Makrides M
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- Child, Preschool, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Humans, Infant, Premature, Docosahexaenoic Acids, Australia, Canada, Dietary Supplements, Meta-Analysis as Topic, Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia prevention & control, Infant, Premature, Diseases
- Abstract
Introduction: Severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is a well-known factor consistently associated with impaired cognitive outcomes. Regarding reported benefits on long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes, the potential adverse effects of high-dose docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) supplementation on this short-term neonatal morbidity need further investigations in infants born very preterm. This study will determine whether high-dose DHA enteral supplementation during the neonatal period is associated with the risk of severe BPD at 36 weeks' postmenstrual age (PMA) compared with control, in contemporary cohorts of preterm infants born at less than 29 weeks of gestation., Methods and Analysis: As part of an Australian-Canadian collaboration, we will conduct an individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials targeting infants born at less than 29 weeks of gestation and evaluating the effect of high-dose DHA enteral supplementation in the neonatal period compared with a control. Primary outcome will be severe grades of BPD (yes/no) at 36 weeks' PMA harmonised according to a recent definition that predicts early childhood morbidities. Other outcomes will be survival without severe BPD, death, BPD severity grades, serious brain injury, severe retinopathy of prematurity, patent ductus arteriosus and necrotising enterocolitis requiring surgery, sepsis, combined neonatal morbidities and growth. Severe BPD will be compared between groups using a multivariate generalised estimating equations log-binomial regression model. Subgroup analyses are planned for gestational age, sex, small-for-gestational age, presence of maternal chorioamnionitis and mode of delivery., Ethics and Dissemination: The conduct of each trial was approved by institutional research ethics boards and written informed consent was obtained from participating parents. A collaboration and data sharing agreement will be signed between participating authors and institutions. This IPD meta-analysis will document the role of DHA in nutritional management of BPD. Findings will be disseminated through conferences, media interviews and publications to peer-reviewed journals., Prospero Registration Number: CRD42023431063., Trial Registration Number: NCT05915806., Competing Interests: Competing interests: IsM, PML, AJM, CTC, IbM, TRS and MM were investigators of RCTs expected to be included in this IPD meta-analysis., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2023
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41. Study protocol of the WashT Trial: transfusion with washed versus unwashed red blood cells to reduce morbidity and mortality in infants born less than 28 weeks' gestation - a multicentre, blinded, parallel group, randomised controlled trial.
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Stark MJ, Collins CT, Andersen CC, Crawford TM, Sullivan TR, Bednarz J, Morton R, Marks DC, Dieng M, Owen LS, Opie G, Travadi J, Tan K, and Morris S
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- Child, Female, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Humans, Australia, Erythrocytes, Blood Transfusion, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Multicenter Studies as Topic, Child Health, Women's Health
- Abstract
Introduction: Many extremely preterm newborns develop anaemia requiring a transfusion, with most receiving three to five transfusions during their admission. While transfusions save lives, the potential for transfusion-related adverse outcomes is an area of growing concern. Transfusion is an independent predictor of death and is associated with increased morbidity, length of hospital stay, risk of infection and immune modulation. The underlying mechanisms include adverse pro-inflammatory and immunosuppressive responses. Evidence supports an association between transfusion of washed red cells and fewer post-transfusion complications potentially through removal of chemokines, lipids, microaggregates and other biological response modifiers. However, the clinical and cost-effectiveness of washed cells have not been determined., Methods and Analysis: This is a multicentre, randomised, double-blinded trial of washed versus unwashed red cells. Infants <28 weeks' gestation requiring a transfusion will be enrolled. Transfusion approaches will be standardised within each study centre and will occur as soon as possible with a recommended fixed transfusion volume of 15 mL/kg whenever the haemoglobin is equal to or falls below a predefined restrictive threshold, or when clinically indicated. The primary outcome is a composite of mortality and/or major morbidity to first discharge home, defined as one or more of the following: physiologically defined bronchopulmonary dysplasia; unilateral or bilateral retinopathy of prematurity grade >2, and; necrotising enterocolitis stage ≥2. To detect a 10% absolute reduction in the composite outcome from 69% with unwashed red blood cell (RBCs) to 59% with washed RBCs with 90% power, requires a sample size of 1124 infants (562 per group). Analyses will be performed on an intention-to-treat basis with a prespecified statistical analysis plan. A cost-effectiveness analysis will also be undertaken., Ethics and Dissemination: Ethics approval has been obtained from the Women's and Children's Health Network Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC/12/WCHN/55). The study findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed articles and conferences., Trial Registration Number: ACTRN12613000237785 Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2023
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42. Randomised controlled trials of behavioural nudges delivered through text messages to increase influenza and COVID-19 vaccines among pregnant women (the EPIC study): study protocol.
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Andraweera PH, Wang B, Danchin M, Blyth C, Vlaev I, Ong J, Dodd J, Couper J, Sullivan TR, Karnon J, Spurrier N, Cusack M, Mordaunt D, Simatos D, Dekker G, Carlson S, Tuckerman J, Wood N, Whop L, and Marshall HS
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- Infant, Female, Pregnancy, Humans, COVID-19 Vaccines, Pregnant Women, Victoria, Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic, Influenza Vaccines adverse effects, Influenza, Human prevention & control, Text Messaging, COVID-19 prevention & control
- Abstract
Background: Influenza and COVID-19 infections during pregnancy may have serious adverse consequences for women as well as their infants. However, uptake of influenza and COVID-19 vaccines during pregnancy remains suboptimal. This study aims to assess the effectiveness of a multi-component nudge intervention to improve influenza and COVID-19 vaccine uptake among pregnant women., Methods: Pregnant women who receive antenatal care at five tertiary hospitals in South Australia, Western Australia and Victoria will be recruited to two separate randomised controlled trials (RCTs). Women will be eligible for the COVID-19 RCT is they have received two or less doses of a COVID-19 vaccine. Women will be eligible for the influenza RCT if they have not received the 2023 seasonal influenza vaccine. Vaccination status at all stages of the trial will be confirmed by the Australian Immunisation Register (AIR). Participants will be randomised (1:1) to standard care or intervention group (n = 1038 for each RCT). The nudge intervention in each RCT will comprise three SMS text message reminders with links to short educational videos from obstetricians, pregnant women and midwives and vaccine safety information. The primary outcome is at least one dose of a COVID-19 or influenza vaccine during pregnancy, as applicable. Logistic regression will compare the proportion vaccinated between groups. The effect of treatment will be described using odds ratio with a 95% CI., Discussion: Behavioural nudges that facilitate individual choices within a complex context have been successfully used in other disciplines to stir preferred behaviour towards better health choices. If our text-based nudges prove to be successful in improving influenza and COVID-19 vaccine uptake among pregnant women, they can easily be implemented at a national level., Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier NCT05613751. Registered on November 14, 2022., (© 2023. Crown.)
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- 2023
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43. Mediation Analysis to Untangle Opposing Associations of High-Dose Docosahexaenoic Acid With IQ and Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia in Children Born Preterm.
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Sullivan TR, Gould JF, Bednarz JM, McPhee AJ, Gibson R, Anderson PJ, Best KP, Sharp M, Cheong JLY, Opie GF, Travadi J, Davis PG, Simmer K, Collins CT, Doyle LW, and Makrides M
- Subjects
- Infant, Newborn, Male, Child, Preschool, Humans, Child, Infant, Infant, Premature, Mediation Analysis, Cohort Studies, Emulsions, Australia, Docosahexaenoic Acids therapeutic use, Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia epidemiology, Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia prevention & control
- Abstract
Importance: High-dose omega-3 docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) supplementation of children born at less than 29 weeks' gestation has been shown to improve IQ despite increasing the risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). Given that BPD is associated with poorer cognitive outcomes, it is unclear whether the increased risk of BPD with DHA supplementation is associated with decreased benefit to IQ., Objective: To investigate whether the increased risk of BPD with DHA supplementation was associated with diminished IQ benefit., Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used data collected from a multicenter, blinded, randomized controlled trial of DHA supplementation in children born at less than 29 weeks' gestation. Participants were recruited from 2012 to 2015 and followed up until 5 years' corrected age. Data were analyzed from November 2022 to February 2023., Interventions: Enteral DHA emulsion (60 mg/kg/d, to match the estimated in-utero requirement) or a control emulsion from the first 3 days of enteral feeds until 36 weeks' postmenstrual age or discharge home., Main Outcomes and Measures: Physiological BPD was assessed at 36 weeks' postmenstrual age. IQ was assessed at 5 years' corrected age using the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence, 4th Edition; children from the 5 highest-recruiting Australian hospitals were assessed. The total effect of DHA supplementation on IQ was divided into direct and indirect effects using mediation analysis, with BPD as the presumed mediating variable., Results: Among 656 surviving children from hospitals involved in IQ follow-up (mean [SD] gestational age at birth, 26.8 [1.4] weeks; 346 males [52.7%]), there were 323 children with DHA supplementation and 333 children in the control group. Mean IQ was 3.45 points (95% CI, 0.38 to 6.53 points) higher in the DHA group than the control group, despite an increase in the risk of BPD (160 children [49.7%] vs 143 children [42.8%] with BPD). The indirect effect of DHA on IQ via BPD was not statistically significant (-0.17 points; 95% CI, -0.62 to 0.13 points), with most of the effect of DHA on IQ occurring independently of BPD (direct effect = 3.62 points; 95% CI, 0.55 to 6.81 points)., Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that associations of DHA with BPD and IQ were largely independent. This finding suggests that if clinicians supplement children born preterm with high-dose DHA, any resulting increase in BPD risk would not be associated with meaningful reductions in the IQ benefit.
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- 2023
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44. Identifying women who may benefit from higher dose omega-3 supplementation during pregnancy to reduce their risk of prematurity: exploratory analyses from the ORIP trial.
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Yelland LN, Sullivan TR, Gibson RA, Simmonds LA, Thakkar SK, Huang F, Devaraj S, Best KP, Zolezzi IS, and Makrides M
- Subjects
- Infant, Newborn, Pregnancy, Humans, Female, Fish Oils, Dietary Supplements, Gestational Age, Premature Birth prevention & control, Fatty Acids, Omega-3 therapeutic use
- Abstract
Objectives: The risk factors for prematurity are multifactorial and include low omega-3 status. Omega-3 supplementation in pregnancy has been found to reduce prematurity risk, particularly among women with low omega-3 levels. This study aimed to identify maternal characteristics that predict whether women with a singleton pregnancy will benefit from omega-3 supplementation to reduce their risk of prematurity., Design: Exploratory analyses of a multicentre, double-blind randomised trial., Setting: 6 tertiary care centres in four states in Australia., Participants: 5328 singleton pregnancies in 5305 women recruited before 20 weeks of gestation., Interventions: Fish oil capsules containing 900 mg omega-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids per day versus vegetable oil capsules consumed from enrolment until 34 weeks' gestation., Outcome Measures: Early preterm birth (EPTB, <34 weeks' gestation) and preterm birth (PTB, <37 weeks' gestation) analysed using logistic regression models with interactions between treatment group and a range of maternal biological, clinical and demographic characteristics., Results: Omega-3 supplementation reduced the odds of EPTB for women with low total omega-3 status in early pregnancy (OR=0.30, 95% CI 0.10-0.93). No additional maternal characteristics influenced whether omega-3 supplementation reduced the odds of EPTB. For PTB, women were more likely to benefit from omega-3 supplementation if they were multiparous (OR=0.65, 95% CI 0.49-0.87) or avoided alcohol in the lead up to pregnancy (OR=0.62, 95% CI 0.45-0.86)., Conclusions: Our results support previous findings that women with low total omega-3 levels in early pregnancy are most likely to benefit from taking omega-3 supplements to reduce their risk of EPTB. Understanding how other maternal characteristics influence the effectiveness of omega-3 supplementation on reducing PTB requires further investigation., Trial Registration Number: ACTRN12613001142729., Competing Interests: Competing interests: RAG has received supplies from Croda UK, prepared supplies for a trial for Efamol/Wassen UK and holds a patent (WO2013/104025A1) on stabilising and analysing fatty acids in a biological sample stored on solid media, owned by Adelaide Research and Innovation, The University of Adelaide, and licensed to Xerion. SKT, FH, SD and ISZ are employees of Société des Produits Nestlé (SPN). MM has received supplies from Croda UK and prepared supplies for a trial for Efamol/Wassen UK., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2023
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45. Partially clustered designs for clinical trials: Unifying existing designs using consistent terminology.
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Lange KM, Kasza J, Sullivan TR, and Yelland LN
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- Humans, Infant, Cluster Analysis, Clinical Trials as Topic, Research Design
- Abstract
Introduction: Clinical trial designs based on the assumption of independent observations are well established. Clustered clinical trial designs, where all observational units belong to a cluster and outcomes within clusters are expected to be correlated, have also received considerable attention. However, many clinical trials involve partially clustered data, where only some observational units belong to a cluster. Examples of such trials occur in neonatology, where participants include infants from both singleton and multiple births, and ophthalmology, where one or two eyes per participant may need treatment. Partial clustering can also arise in trials of group-based treatments (e.g. group education or counselling sessions) or treatments administered individually by a discrete number of health care professionals (e.g. surgeons or physical therapists), when this is compared to an unclustered control arm. Trials involving partially clustered data have received limited attention in the literature and the current lack of standardised terminology may be hampering the development and dissemination of methods for designing and analysing these trials., Methods and Examples: In this article, we present an overarching definition of partially clustered trials, bringing together several existing trial designs including those for group-based treatments, clustering due to facilitator effects and the re-randomisation design. We define and describe four types of partially clustered trial designs, characterised by whether the clustering occurs pre-randomisation or post-randomisation and, in the case of pre-randomisation clustering, by the method of randomisation that is used for the clustered observations (individual randomisation, cluster randomisation or balanced randomisation within clusters). Real life examples are provided to highlight the occurrence of partially clustered trials across a variety of fields. To assess how partially clustered trials are currently reported, we review published reports of partially clustered trials., Discussion: Our findings demonstrate that the description of these trials is often incomplete and the terminology used to describe the trial designs is inconsistent, restricting the ability to identify these trials in the literature. By adopting the definitions and terminology presented in this article, the reporting of partially clustered trials can be substantially improved, and we present several recommendations for reporting these trial designs in practice. Greater awareness of partially clustered trials will facilitate more methodological research into their design and analysis, ultimately improving the quality of these trials.
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- 2023
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46. Short Message Service Reminder Nudge for Parents and Influenza Vaccination Uptake in Children and Adolescents With Special Risk Medical Conditions: The Flutext-4U Randomized Clinical Trial.
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Tuckerman J, Harper K, Sullivan TR, Cuthbert AR, Fereday J, Couper J, Smith N, Tai A, Kelly A, Couper R, Friswell M, Flood L, Blyth CC, Danchin M, and Marshall HS
- Subjects
- Humans, Child, Female, Adolescent, Reminder Systems, Australia, Parents, Vaccination, Chronic Disease, Text Messaging, Influenza, Human prevention & control, Influenza Vaccines
- Abstract
Importance: Children with chronic medical conditions are at increased risk of severe influenza. Uptake of influenza vaccination in children and adolescents with these identified special risk medical conditions (SRMCs) is suboptimal., Objective: To assess the effectiveness of Flutext-4U, a parent short message service (SMS) reminder nudge intervention, in increasing influenza immunization in children and adolescents with SRMCs., Design, Setting, and Participants: This randomized clinical trial was conducted at a tertiary pediatric hospital in Adelaide, South Australia, from April 15 to September 30, 2021. Children and adolescents aged 6 months to younger than 18 years with SRMCs and a subspecialist outpatient appointment over a 5-month period during the Australian seasonal influenza vaccination season (April-August 2021) were eligible to participate. Follow-up was until September 30, 2021., Interventions: Participants were randomly assigned (1:1 ratio) to control: clinician nudges (hospital vaccine availability, ease of access, and recommendation from hospital subspecialists) or SMS intervention (control conditions plus an additional SMS reminder nudge to parents), with randomization stratified by age group (<5 years, 5-14 years, or >14 to <18 years)., Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was influenza vaccination, as confirmed by the Australian Immunisation Register., Results: A total of 600 participants (intervention group: 298 [49.7%]; mean [SD] age, 11.5 [4.6] years; 162 female participants [54.4%]; control group: 302 [50.3%]; mean [SD] age, 11.4 [4.7] years; 155 female participants [51.3%]) were included. Influenza vaccination was 38.6% (113 of 293) in the SMS intervention group compared with 26.2% (79 of 302) in the control group (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.79; 95% CI, 1.27-2.55; P = .001). Time to vaccine receipt was significantly lower among SMS participants (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.67; 95% CI, 1.25-2.22; P < .001). For participants randomly assigned by June 15, a significantly greater proportion receiving the SMS intervention were vaccinated during the optimal delivery period April to June 30 (SMS group: 40.0% [76 of 190] vs 25.4% [50 of 197]; aOR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.28-3.06; P = .002)., Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this randomized clinical trial suggest that an additional SMS reminder nudge for parents delivered in the tertiary care hospital setting to children and adolescents with SMRCs resulted in higher influenza vaccine uptake compared with clinician nudges alone., Trial Registration: ANZCTR Identifier: ACTRN12621000463875.
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- 2023
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47. Variable preterm oral microbiome stabilizes and reflects a full-term infant profile within three months.
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Selway CA, Collins CT, Makrides M, Sullivan TR, and Weyrich LS
- Abstract
Background: Preterm infants suffer higher morbidity and mortality rates compared to full-term infants, but little is known about how changes to oral and respiratory tract microbiota may impact disease development., Methods: Here, very preterm neonates (n = 50) were selected to study oral and respiratory microbiota development during the first few months post-birth, where 26 individuals were diagnosed with BPD and/or sepsis. These infants were compared to 14 healthy full-term infants and 16 adults. Microbiota diversity, composition, and species abundances were calculated from 16S ribosomal RNA gene sequences in buccal swabs and tracheal aspirates at two time points (within a week and 1-3 months post-birth)., Results: Collection time point was the biggest factor to significantly influence the preterm oral microbial diversity and composition. In addition, BPD and sepsis were linked to distinct preterm oral microbiota diversity and composition, and opportunistic pathogens previously associated with these diseases were identified in the initial sample for both healthy preterm neonates and those with the disease. Compared to the full-term infant and adult dataset, preterm infant diversity and composition was initially significantly different, but resembled full-term infant diversity and composition over time., Conclusion: Overall, consequences of microbiota development need further examination in preterm infant infections and later development., Impact: Non-gut microbiota research on preterm infants is limited. At one week post-birth, preterm infants harbor distinct oral microbiota that are not shared with full-term children or adults, eventually becoming similar to full-term infants at 36 weeks postmenstrual age. DNA from potential opportunistic pathogens was observed in the mouth and lungs of preterm infants within a week of birth, and microbes associated with BPD were identified in the lungs. Oral microbiota in preterm infants over the first 2-3 months is unique and may be connected to short- and long-term health outcomes in these children., (© 2023. The Author(s).)
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- 2023
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48. Association Between Enteral Supplementation With High-Dose Docosahexaenoic Acid and Risk of Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia in Preterm Infants: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.
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Marc I, Boutin A, Pronovost E, Perez Herrera NM, Guillot M, Bergeron F, Moore L, Sullivan TR, Lavoie PM, and Makrides M
- Subjects
- Infant, Newborn, Infant, Male, Female, Humans, Adult, Docosahexaenoic Acids therapeutic use, Infant, Premature, Gestational Age, Fetal Growth Retardation drug therapy, Dietary Supplements, Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia epidemiology, Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia prevention & control, Infant, Premature, Diseases drug therapy
- Abstract
Importance: High-dose docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), a long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acid, may affect the risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). However, high-level summative evidence supporting such clinical association in very preterm infants is lacking., Objective: To examine the association between enteral supplementation with high-dose DHA during the neonatal period and the risk of BPD in preterm infants born at less than 29 weeks' gestation., Data Sources: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, medRxiv, and ClinicalTrials.gov were searched from inception to August 1, 2022, for eligible articles with no language restrictions., Study Selection: Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) were eligible for inclusion (1) if their interventions involved direct administration of a minimum DHA supplementation of 40 mg/kg/d or breast milk or formula feeding of at least 0.4% of total fatty acids, and (2) if they reported data on either BPD, death, BPD severity, or a combined outcome of BPD and death., Data Extraction and Synthesis: Two investigators completed independent review of titles and abstracts, full text screening, data extraction, and quality assessment using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2.0. Risk ratios (RRs) with 95% CIs were pooled using random-effect meta-analyses., Main Outcomes and Measures: Primary outcome was BPD using trial-specific definitions, which was further stratified for RCTs that used a more stringent BPD definition based on systematic pulse oximetry assessment at 36 weeks' postmenstrual age. Other outcomes were BPD, death, BPD severity, or combined BPD and death., Results: Among the 2760 studies screened, 4 RCTs were included, which involved 2304 infants (1223 boys [53.1%]; mean [SD] gestational age, 26.5 [1.6] weeks). Enteral supplementation with high-dose DHA was associated with neither BPD (4 studies [n = 2186 infants]; RR, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.86-1.34]; P = .53; I2 = 72%) nor BPD or death (4 studies [n = 2299 infants]; RR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.91-1.18]; P = .59; I2 = 61%). However, an inverse association with BPD was found in RCTs that used a more stringent BPD definition (2 studies [n = 1686 infants]; RR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.01-1.42]; P = .04; I2 = 48%). Additionally, DHA was inversely associated with moderate-to-severe BPD (3 studies [n = 1892 infants]; RR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.04-1.29]; P = .008; I2 = 0%)., Conclusions and Relevance: Results of this study showed that enteral supplementation with high-dose DHA in the neonatal period was not associated overall with BPD, but an inverse association was found in the included RCTs that used a more stringent BPD definition. These findings suggest that high-dose DHA supplementation should not be recommended to prevent BPD in very preterm infants.
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- 2023
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49. Effect of Docosahexaenoic Acid (DHA) Supplementation of Preterm Infants on Growth, Body Composition, and Blood Pressure at 7-Years Corrected Age: Follow-Up of a Randomized Controlled Trial.
- Author
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Best KP, Sullivan TR, Gunaratne AW, Gould JF, Gibson RA, Collins CT, Makrides M, and Green TJ
- Subjects
- Infant, Child, Humans, Infant, Newborn, Child, Preschool, Docosahexaenoic Acids therapeutic use, Birth Weight, Follow-Up Studies, Blood Pressure, Australia, Fatty Acids, Dietary Supplements, Body Composition, Infant, Premature, Pediatric Obesity drug therapy
- Abstract
Aim: To determine if supplementation of infants born <33 weeks’ gestation with higher dose docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) affects growth, body composition, and blood pressure at 7 y corrected age (CA) and if treatment effects differed by infant sex at birth and birth weight strata (<1250 and ≥1250 g). Methods: Seven-year follow-up of an Australian multicenter randomized controlled trial in which 657 infants were fed high-DHA (≈1% total fatty acids) enteral feeds or standard-DHA (≈0.3% total fatty acids) from age 2−4 d until term CA. Seven-year CA outcomes were growth (weight, height), body composition (lean body mass, fat mass, waist, and hip circumference), and blood pressure. Results: There was no effect of high-DHA enteral feeds compared with standard-DHA on growth, body composition, and blood pressure at 7-year CA either overall or in subgroup analysis by sex. There was a significant interaction between high-DHA and birthweight strata on height at 7-y CA (p = 0.03). However, the post-hoc analyses by birthweight strata did not reach significance (p > 0.1). High-DHA group infants were more likely to be classified as obese (relative risk 1.6 (95% CI 1.0, 2.6); p = 0.05). Conclusions: DHA supplementation of premature infants did not affect growth, body composition, or blood pressure at 7-year CA overall by sex and birthweight strata. The finding of a higher risk of obesity in children who receive high-DHA needs to be interpreted with caution due to the small number of children classified as obese.
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- 2023
- Full Text
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50. Neonatal Docosahexaenoic Acid in Preterm Infants and Intelligence at 5 Years.
- Author
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Gould JF, Makrides M, Gibson RA, Sullivan TR, McPhee AJ, Anderson PJ, Best KP, Sharp M, Cheong JLY, Opie GF, Travadi J, Bednarz JM, Davis PG, Simmer K, Doyle LW, and Collins CT
- Subjects
- Child, Child, Preschool, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Australia, Dietary Supplements adverse effects, Emulsions, Follow-Up Studies, Enteral Nutrition, Wechsler Scales, Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia prevention & control, Docosahexaenoic Acids deficiency, Docosahexaenoic Acids pharmacology, Docosahexaenoic Acids therapeutic use, Infant, Premature growth & development, Intelligence drug effects, Cognition drug effects
- Abstract
Background: Docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) is a component of neural tissue. Because its accretion into the brain is greatest during the final trimester of pregnancy, infants born before 29 weeks' gestation do not receive the normal supply of DHA. The effect of this deficiency on subsequent cognitive development is not well understood., Methods: We assessed general intelligence at 5 years in children who had been enrolled in a trial of neonatal DHA supplementation to prevent bronchopulmonary dysplasia. In the previous trial, infants born before 29 weeks' gestation had been randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive an enteral emulsion that provided 60 mg of DHA per kilogram of body weight per day or a control emulsion from the first 3 days of enteral feeds until 36 weeks of postmenstrual age or discharge home, whichever occurred first. Children from 5 of the 13 centers in the original trial were invited to undergo assessment with the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence (WPPSI) at 5 years of corrected age. The primary outcome was the full-scale intelligence quotient (FSIQ) score. Secondary outcomes included the components of WPPSI., Results: A total of 1273 infants underwent randomization in the original trial; of the 656 surviving children who had undergone randomization at the centers included in this follow-up study, 480 (73%) had an FSIQ score available - 241 in the DHA group and 239 in the control group. After imputation of missing data, the mean (±SD) FSIQ scores were 95.4±17.3 in the DHA group and 91.9±19.1 in the control group (adjusted difference, 3.45; 95% confidence interval, 0.38 to 6.53; P = 0.03). The results for secondary outcomes generally did not support that obtained for the primary outcome. Adverse events were similar in the two groups., Conclusions: In infants born before 29 weeks' gestation who had been enrolled in a trial to assess the effect of DHA supplementation on bronchopulmonary dysplasia, the use of an enteral DHA emulsion until 36 weeks of postmenstrual age was associated with modestly higher FSIQ scores at 5 years of age than control feeding. (Funded by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council and Nu-Mega Ingredients; N3RO Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12612000503820.)., (Copyright © 2022 Massachusetts Medical Society.)
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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