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The present study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of the real‐world use of axitinib and to develop a prognostic model for stratifying patients who could derive long‐term benefit from axitinib. This was a retrospective, descriptive study evaluating the efficacy of axitinib in patients with metastatic renal cell carcinoma that had been treated with 1 or 2 systemic antiangiogenic therapy regimens at 1 of 36 hospitals belonging to the Japan Urologic Oncology Group between January 2012 and February 2019. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS). Using a split‐sample method, candidate variables that exhibited significant relationships with OS were chosen to create a model. The new model was validated using the rest of the cohort. In total, 485 patients were enrolled. The median OS was 34 months in the entire study population, whereas it was not reached, 27 months, and 14 months in the favorable, intermediate, and poor risk groups, respectively, according to the new risk classification model. The following 4 variables were included in the final risk model: the disease stage at diagnosis, number of metastatic sites at the start of axitinib therapy, serum albumin level, and neutrophil : lymphocyte ratio. The adjusted area under the curve values of the new model at 12, 36, and 60 months were 0.77, 0.82, and 0.82, respectively. The efficacy of axitinib in routine practice is comparable or even superior to that reported previously. The patients in the new model’s favorable risk group might derive a long‐term survival benefit from axitinib treatment., The accuracy of the overall survival predictions made after the initiation of axitinib treatment, area under the curve (AUC) values were calculated for each model. The adjusted AUC values at 12, 36, and 60 months after the initiation of axitinib were 0.77, 0.82, and 0.82, respectively, for the axitinib treatment prediction model, and 0.69, 0.67 and 0.56, respectively, for the International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium model.

Objectives: With the emergence of several effective combination therapies, information on their effects at the primary site will be crucial for planning future cytoreductive nephrectomy (CN). The present study focused exclusively on changes in primary tumor sizes following treatment with nivolumab plus ipilimumab and investigated the clinical factors associated with a good response in primary tumors. Methods and materials: We retrospectively assessed 27 patients diagnosed with advanced renal cell carcinoma (RCC) who started treatment with nivolumab plus ipilimumab. Changes in tumor sizes at the primary site were described using waterfall and spider plots, respectively. We analyzed the correlation of tumor shrinkage between primary and metastatic site. The parameters analyzed between responders and non-responders according to primary tumor sizes were International Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Database Consortium (IMDC) risk scores, peripheral blood markers, and CRP. Results: The median age and follow-up period were 66 years and 9.3 months, respectively. The median IMDC risk score was 3 (range: 1-6). Nineteen patients were diagnosed with clear-cell RCC (ccRCC) and 8 patients with non-ccRCC. Among ccRCC patients, 9 (47.4%) achieved a significant response with a maximum reduction of 30% or more in the size of the primary tumor from baseline within 4 months, while 3 (37.5%) out of 8 patients with non-ccRCC achieved a significant response. Shrinkage of the primary tumor correlated with the metastatic tumors in both ccRCC and non-ccRCC cases. Of note, 6 patients underwent CN and no viable tumor cells were detected in the surgical specimens of 3 patients whose primary tumors shrank by approximately 50%-60% with a reduction to 4 cm or less. Among ccRCC patients, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio were slightly lower in responders than in non-responders (P = 0.0944 and P = 0.0691). The platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio was significantly lower in responders than in non-responder (P = 0.0391). Conclusions: Significant responses in primary tumors to nivolumab plus ipilimumab were observed in 50% of ccRCC patients, while responses varied among non-ccRCC patients. Inflammation markers may be predictive factors of treatment responses in primary tumors. Although further studies are needed, the present results suggest the importance of considering CN from radiological and pathological viewpoints. (C) 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc.