23 results on '"Sturrock H"'
Search Results
2. Avian malaria (Plasmodium spp) in yellow-eyed penguins : investigating the cause of high seroprevalence but low observed infection
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Sturrock, H. J. W. and Tompkins, D M
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- 2007
3. Is there a correlation between malaria incidence and IRS coverage in western Zambezi region, Namibia?
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Mumbengegwi, D. R., primary, Sturrock, H., additional, Hsiang, M., additional, Roberts, K., additional, Kleinschmidt, I., additional, Nghipumbwa, M., additional, Uusiku, P., additional, Smith, J., additional, Bennet, A., additional, Kizito, W., additional, Takarinda, K., additional, Ade, S., additional, and Gosling, R., additional
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- 2018
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4. SPATIAL HETEROGENEITY OF SOIL-TRANSMITTED HELMINTHS: IMPLICATIONS FOR RAPID ASSESSMENT AND CONTROL
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Sturrock, H, Gething, P, Clements, A, Kolaczinski, J, Kabatereine, N, and Brooker, S
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- 2009
5. Finding hotspots: the role of active surveillance methods in malaria control and elimination
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Sturrock Hugh JW, Bousema Teun, Mosha Jacklin, and Gosling Roly D
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Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine ,RC955-962 ,Infectious and parasitic diseases ,RC109-216 - Published
- 2012
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6. Is the neglected tropical disease mass drug administration campaign approach an effective strategy to deliver universal health coverage? A case study of the Liberia neglected tropical disease programme.
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Tate A, Kollie K, Senyonjo L, Sturrock H, Downs P, Bush S, Bedell A, and Molyneux D
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- Liberia, Humans, Onchocerciasis drug therapy, Onchocerciasis prevention & control, Tropical Medicine methods, Health Services Accessibility, Mass Drug Administration methods, Neglected Diseases drug therapy, Neglected Diseases prevention & control, Elephantiasis, Filarial drug therapy, Elephantiasis, Filarial prevention & control, Universal Health Insurance
- Abstract
Background: Access to affordable, quality healthcare is the key element of universal health coverage (UHC). This study examines the effectiveness of the neglected tropical disease (NTD) mass drug administration (MDA) campaign approach as a means to deliver UHC, using the example of the Liberia national programme., Methods: We first mapped the location of 3195 communities from the 2019 national MDA treatment data reporting record of Liberia. The association between coverage for onchocerciasis and lymphatic filariasis treatment achieved in these communities was then explored using a binomial geo-additive model. This model employed three key determinants for community 'remoteness': population density and the modelled travel time of communities to their supporting health facility and to their nearest major settlement., Results: Maps produced highlight a small number of clusters of low treatment coverage in Liberia. Statistical analysis suggests there is a complex relationship between treatment coverage and geographic location., Conclusions: We accept the MDA campaign approach is a valid mechanism to reach geographically marginal communities and, as such, has the potential to deliver UHC. We recognise there are specific limitations requiring further study., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.)
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- 2024
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7. Estimating spatially disaggregated probability of severe COVID-19 and the impact of handwashing interventions: The case of Zimbabwe.
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Joseph G, Milusheva S, Sturrock H, Mapako T, Ayling S, and Hoo YR
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- Humans, Hand Disinfection, SARS-CoV-2, Zimbabwe epidemiology, Obesity, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 prevention & control, Anemia, HIV Infections epidemiology, HIV Infections prevention & control
- Abstract
Introduction: The severity of COVID-19 disease varies substantially between individuals, with some infections being asymptomatic while others are fatal. Several risk factors have been identified that affect the progression of SARS-CoV-2 to severe COVID-19. They include age, smoking and presence of underlying comorbidities such as respiratory illness, HIV, anemia and obesity. Given that respiratory illness is one such comorbidity and is affected by hand hygiene, it is plausible that improving access to handwashing could lower the risk of severe COVID-19 among a population. In this paper, we estimate the potential impact of improved access to handwashing on the risk of respiratory illness and its knock-on impact on the risk of developing severe COVID-19 disease across Zimbabwe., Methods: Spatial generalized additive models were applied to cluster level data from the 2015 Demographic and Health Survey. These models were used to generate continuous (1km resolution) estimates of risk factors for severe COVID-19, including prevalence of major comorbidities (respiratory illness, HIV without viral load suppression, anemia and obesity) and prevalence of smoking, which were aggregated to district level alongside estimates of the proportion of the population under 50 from Worldpop data. The risk of severe COVID-19 was then calculated for each district using published estimates of the relationship between comorbidities, smoking and age (under 50) and severe COVID-19. Two scenarios were then simulated to see how changing access to handwashing facilities could have knock on implications for the prevalence of severe COVID-19 in the population., Results: This modeling conducted in this study shows that (1) current risk of severe disease is heterogeneous across the country, due to differences in individual characteristics and household conditions and (2) that if the quantifiable estimates on the importance of handwashing for transmission are sound, then improvements in handwashing access could lead to reductions in the risk of severe COVID-19 of up to 16% from the estimated current levels across all districts., Conclusions: Taken alongside the likely impact on transmission of SARS-CoV-2 itself, as well as countless other pathogens, this result adds further support for the expansion of access to handwashing across the country. It also highlights the spatial differences in risk of severe COVID-19, and thus the opportunity for better planning to focus limited resources in high-risk areas in order to potentially reduce the number of severe cases., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Joseph et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2023
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8. A stitch in time: The importance of water and sanitation services (WSS) infrastructure maintenance for cholera risk. A geospatial analysis in Harare, Zimbabwe.
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Ayling S, Milusheva S, Maidei Kashangura F, Hoo YR, Sturrock H, and Joseph G
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- Humans, Water, Zimbabwe epidemiology, Disease Outbreaks prevention & control, Sanitation, Cholera epidemiology, Cholera prevention & control
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Understanding the factors associated with cholera outbreaks is an integral part of designing better approaches to mitigate their impact. Using a rich set of georeferenced case data from the cholera epidemic that occurred in Harare from September 2018 to January 2019, we apply spatio-temporal modelling to better understand how the outbreak unfolded and the factors associated with higher risk of being a reported case. Using Call Detail Records (CDR) to estimate weekly population movement of the community throughout the city, results suggest that broader human movement (not limited to infected agents) helps to explain some of the spatio-temporal patterns of cases observed. In addition, results highlight a number of socio-demographic risk factors and suggest that there is a relationship between cholera risk and water infrastructure. The analysis shows that populations living close to the sewer network, with high access to piped water are associated with at higher risk. One possible explanation for this observation is that sewer bursts led to the contamination of the piped water network. This could have turned access to piped water, usually assumed to be associated with reduced cholera risk, into a risk factor itself. Such events highlight the importance of maintenance in the provision of SDG improved water and sanitation infrastructure., Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist., (Copyright: © 2023 Ayling et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.)
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- 2023
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9. Mapping malaria incidence using routine health facility surveillance data in Uganda.
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Epstein A, Namuganga JF, Nabende I, Kamya EV, Kamya MR, Dorsey G, Sturrock H, Bhatt S, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, and Greenhouse B
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- Humans, Incidence, Uganda epidemiology, Cross-Sectional Studies, Health Facilities, Mosquito Control, Malaria epidemiology
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Introduction: Maps of malaria risk are important tools for allocating resources and tracking progress. Most maps rely on cross-sectional surveys of parasite prevalence, but health facilities represent an underused and powerful data source. We aimed to model and map malaria incidence using health facility data in Uganda., Methods: Using 24 months (2019-2020) of individual-level outpatient data collected from 74 surveillance health facilities located in 41 districts across Uganda (n=445 648 laboratory-confirmed cases), we estimated monthly malaria incidence for parishes within facility catchment areas (n=310) by estimating care-seeking population denominators. We fit spatio-temporal models to the incidence estimates to predict incidence rates for the rest of Uganda, informed by environmental, sociodemographic and intervention variables. We mapped estimated malaria incidence and its uncertainty at the parish level and compared estimates to other metrics of malaria. To quantify the impact that indoor residual spraying (IRS) may have had, we modelled counterfactual scenarios of malaria incidence in the absence of IRS., Results: Over 4567 parish-months, malaria incidence averaged 705 cases per 1000 person-years. Maps indicated high burden in the north and northeast of Uganda, with lower incidence in the districts receiving IRS. District-level estimates of cases correlated with cases reported by the Ministry of Health (Spearman's r=0.68, p<0.0001), but were considerably higher (40 166 418 cases estimated compared with 27 707 794 cases reported), indicating the potential for underreporting by the routine surveillance system. Modelling of counterfactual scenarios suggest that approximately 6.2 million cases were averted due to IRS across the study period in the 14 districts receiving IRS (estimated population 8 381 223)., Conclusion: Outpatient information routinely collected by health systems can be a valuable source of data for mapping malaria burden. National Malaria Control Programmes may consider investing in robust surveillance systems within public health facilities as a low-cost, high benefit tool to identify vulnerable regions and track the impact of interventions., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2023. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2023
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10. Characterizing mobility patterns of forest goers in southern Lao PDR using GPS loggers.
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Rerolle F, Dantzer E, Phimmakong T, Lover A, Hongvanthong B, Phetsouvanh R, Marshall J, Sturrock H, and Bennett A
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- Child, Humans, Laos, Risk Factors, Forests, Malaria epidemiology
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Background: In the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS), forest-going populations are considered high-risk populations for malaria and are increasingly targeted by national control programmes' elimination efforts. A better understanding of forest-going populations' mobility patterns and risk associated with specific types of forest-going trips is necessary for countries in the GMS to achieve their objective of eliminating malaria by 2030., Methods: Between March and November 2018, as part of a focal test and treat intervention (FTAT), 2,904 forest-goers were recruited in southern Lao PDR. A subset of forest-goers carried an "i-Got-U" GPS logger for roughly 2 months, configured to collect GPS coordinates every 15 to 30 min. The utilization distribution (UD) surface around each GPS trajectory was used to extract trips to the forest and forest-fringes. Trips with shared mobility characteristics in terms of duration, timing and forest penetration were identified by a hierarchical clustering algorithm. Then, clusters of trips with increased exposure to dominant malaria vectors in the region were further classified as high-risk. Finally, gradient boosting trees were used to assess which of the forest-goers' socio-demographic and behavioural characteristics best predicted their likelihood to engage in such high-risk trips., Results: A total of 122 forest-goers accepted carrying a GPS logger resulting in the collection of 803 trips to the forest or forest-fringes. Six clusters of trips emerged, helping to classify 385 (48%) trips with increased exposure to malaria vectors based on high forest penetration and whether the trip happened overnight. Age, outdoor sleeping structures and number of children were the best predictors of forest-goers' probability of engaging in high-risk trips. The probability of engaging in high-risk trips was high (~ 33%) in all strata of the forest-going population., Conclusion: This study characterized the heterogeneity within the mobility patterns of forest-goers and attempted to further segment their role in malaria transmission in southern Lao People's Democratic Republic (PDR). National control programmes across the region can leverage these results to tailor their interventions and messaging to high-risk populations and accelerate malaria elimination., (© 2023. The Author(s).)
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- 2023
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11. Association between indoor residual spraying and pregnancy outcomes: a quasi-experimental study from Uganda.
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Roh ME, Mpimbaza A, Oundo B, Irish A, Murphy M, Wu SL, White JS, Shiboski S, Glymour MM, Gosling R, Dorsey G, and Sturrock H
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- Disease Progression, Female, Humans, Mosquito Control methods, Pregnancy, Stillbirth epidemiology, Uganda epidemiology, Insecticides, Malaria epidemiology, Malaria prevention & control
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Background: Malaria is a risk factor for adverse pregnancy outcomes. Indoor residual spraying with insecticide (IRS) reduces malaria infections, yet the effects of IRS on pregnancy outcomes are not well established. We evaluated the impact of a large-scale IRS campaign on pregnancy outcomes in Eastern Uganda., Methods: Birth records (n = 59 992) were obtained from routine surveillance data at 25 health facilities from five districts that were part of the IRS campaign and six neighbouring control districts ∼27 months before and ∼24 months after the start of the campaign (January 2013-May 2017). Campaign effects on low birthweight (LBW) and stillbirth incidence were estimated using the matrix completion method (MC-NNM), a machine-learning approach to estimating potential outcomes, and compared with the difference-in-differences (DiD) estimator. Subgroup analyses were conducted by HIV and gravidity., Results: MC-NNM estimates indicated that the campaign was associated with a 33% reduction in LBW incidence: incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 0.67 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.49-0.93)]. DiD estimates were similar to MC-NNM [IRR = 0.69 (0.47-1.01)], despite a parallel trends violation during the pre-IRS period. The campaign was not associated with substantial reductions in stillbirth incidence [IRRMC-NNM = 0.94 (0.50-1.77)]. HIV status modified the effects of the IRS campaign on LBW [βIRSxHIV = 0.42 (0.05-0.78)], whereby HIV-negative women appeared to benefit from the campaign [IRR = 0.70 (0.61-0.81)], but not HIV-positive women [IRR = 1.12 (0.59-2.12)]., Conclusions: Our results support the effectiveness of the campaign in Eastern Uganda based on its benefit to LBW prevention, though HIV-positive women may require additional interventions. The IRS campaign was not associated with a substantively lower stillbirth incidence, warranting further research., (© The Author(s) 2022; all rights reserved. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association.)
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- 2022
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12. Cost and cost effectiveness of reactive case detection (RACD), reactive focal mass drug administration (rfMDA) and reactive focal vector control (RAVC) to reduce malaria in the low endemic setting of Namibia: an analysis alongside a 2×2 factorial design cluster randomised controlled trial.
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Ntuku H, Smith-Gueye C, Scott V, Njau J, Whittemore B, Zelman B, Tambo M, Prach LM, Wu L, Schrubbe L, Kang Dufour MS, Mwilima A, Uusiku P, Sturrock H, Bennett A, Smith J, Kleinschmidt I, Mumbengegwi D, Gosling R, and Hsiang M
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- Cost-Benefit Analysis, Humans, Namibia epidemiology, Research Design, Malaria diagnosis, Malaria epidemiology, Malaria prevention & control, Mass Drug Administration
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Objectives: To estimate the cost and cost effectiveness of reactive case detection (RACD), reactive focal mass drug administration (rfMDA) and reactive focal vector control (RAVC) to reduce malaria in a low endemic setting., Setting: The study was part of a 2×2 factorial design cluster randomised controlled trial within the catchment area of 11 primary health facilities in Zambezi, Namibia., Participants: Cost and outcome data were collected from the trial, which included 8948 community members that received interventions due to their residence within 500 m of malaria index cases., Outcome Measures: The primary outcome was incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) per in incident case averted. ICER per prevalent case and per disability-adjusted life years (DALY) averted were secondary outcomes, as were per unit interventions costs and personnel time. Outcomes were compared as: (1) rfMDA versus RACD, (2) RAVC versus no RAVC and (3) rfMDA+RAVC versus RACD only., Results: rfMDA cost 1.1× more than RACD, and RAVC cost 1.7× more than no RAVC. Relative to RACD only, the cost of rfMDA+RAVC was double ($3082 vs $1553 per event). The ICERs for rfMDA versus RACD, RAVC versus no RAVC and rfMDA+RAVC versus RACD only were $114, $1472 and $842, per incident case averted, respectively. Using prevalent infections and DALYs as outcomes, trends were similar. The median personnel time to implement rfMDA was 20% lower than for RACD (30 vs 38 min per person). The median personnel time for RAVC was 34 min per structure sprayed., Conclusion: Implemented alone or in combination, rfMDA and RAVC were cost effective in reducing malaria incidence and prevalence despite higher implementation costs in the intervention compared with control arms. Compared with RACD, rfMDA was time saving. Cost and time requirements for the combined intervention could be decreased by implementing rfMDA and RAVC simultaneously by a single team., Trial Registration Number: NCT02610400; Post-results., Competing Interests: Competing interests: None declared., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2022. Re-use permitted under CC BY. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2022
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13. Epidemics of chikungunya, Zika, and COVID-19 reveal bias in case-based mapping.
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Bustos Carrillo FA, Mercado BL, Monterrey JC, Collado D, Saborio S, Miranda T, Barilla C, Ojeda S, Sanchez N, Plazaola M, Laguna HS, Elizondo D, Arguello S, Gajewski AM, Maier HE, Latta K, Carlson B, Coloma J, Katzelnick L, Sturrock H, Balmaseda A, Kuan G, Gordon A, and Harris E
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Accurate tracing of epidemic spread over space enables effective control measures. We examined three metrics of infection and disease in a pediatric cohort (N≈3,000) over two chikungunya and one Zika epidemic, and in a household cohort (N=1,793) over one COVID-19 epidemic in Managua, Nicaragua. We compared spatial incidence rates (cases/total population), infection risks (infections/total population), and disease risks (cases/infected population). We used generalized additive and mixed-effects models, Kulldorf's spatial scan statistic, and intracluster correlation coefficients. Across different analyses and all epidemics, incidence rates considerably underestimated infection and disease risks, producing large and spatially non-uniform biases distinct from biases due to incomplete case ascertainment. Infection and disease risks exhibited distinct spatial patterns, and incidence clusters inconsistently identified areas of either risk. While incidence rates are commonly used to infer infection and disease risk in a population, we find that this can induce substantial biases and adversely impact policies to control epidemics.
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- 2022
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14. A quasi-experimental study estimating the impact of long-lasting insecticidal nets with and without piperonyl butoxide on pregnancy outcomes.
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Roh ME, Oundo B, Dorsey G, Shiboski S, Gosling R, Glymour MM, Staedke SG, Bennett A, Sturrock H, and Mpimbaza A
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- Adult, Female, Humans, Interrupted Time Series Analysis, Malaria prevention & control, Mosquito Vectors drug effects, Pregnancy, Retrospective Studies, Uganda, Young Adult, Insecticide-Treated Bednets statistics & numerical data, Insecticides pharmacology, Piperonyl Butoxide pharmacology, Pregnancy Outcome epidemiology
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Background: Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) are the main vector control tool for pregnant women, but their efficacy may be compromised, in part, due to pyrethroid resistance. In 2017, the Ugandan Ministry of Health embedded a cluster randomized controlled trial into the national LLIN campaign, where a random subset of health subdistricts (HSDs) received LLINs treated with piperonyl butoxide (PBO), a chemical synergist known to partially restore pyrethroid sensitivity. Using data from a small, non-randomly selected subset of HSDs, this secondary analysis used quasi-experimental methods to quantify the overall impact of the LLIN campaign on pregnancy outcomes. In an exploratory analysis, differences between PBO and conventional (non-PBO) LLINs on pregnancy outcomes were assessed., Methods: Birth registry data (n = 39,085) were retrospectively collected from 21 health facilities across 12 HSDs, 29 months before and 9 months after the LLIN campaign (from 2015 to 2018). Of the 12 HSDs, six received conventional LLINs, five received PBO LLINs, and one received a mix of conventional and PBO LLINs. Interrupted time-series analyses (ITSAs) were used to estimate changes in monthly incidence of stillbirth and low birthweight (LBW; <2500 g) before-and-after the campaign. Poisson regression with robust standard errors modeled campaign effects, adjusting for health facility-level differences, seasonal variation, and time-varying maternal characteristics. Comparisons between PBO and conventional LLINs were estimated using difference-in-differences estimators., Results: ITSAs estimated the campaign was associated with a 26% [95% CI: 7-41] reduction in stillbirth incidence (incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 0.74 [0.59-0.93]) and a 15% [-7, 33] reduction in LBW incidence (IRR=0.85 [0.67-1.07]) over a 9-month period. The effect on stillbirth incidence was greatest for women delivering 7-9 months after the campaign (IRR=0.60 [0.41-0.87]) for whom the LLINs would have covered most of their pregnancy. The IRRs estimated from difference-in-differences analyses comparing PBO to conventional LLINs was 0.78 [95% CI: 0.52, 1.16] for stillbirth incidence and 1.15 [95% CI: 0.87, 1.52] for LBW incidence., Conclusions: In this region of Uganda, where pyrethroid resistance is high, this study found that a mass LLIN campaign was associated with reduced stillbirth incidence. Effects of the campaign were greatest for women who would have received LLINs early in pregnancy, suggesting malaria protection early in pregnancy can have important benefits that are not necessarily realized through antenatal malaria services. Results from the exploratory analyses comparing PBO and conventional LLINs on pregnancy outcomes were inconclusive, largely due to the wide confidence intervals that crossed the null. Thus, future studies with larger sample sizes are needed., (© 2022. The Author(s).)
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- 2022
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15. Access to Care and Diagnostic Delays in Juvenile Dermatomyositis: Results From the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Legacy Registry.
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Neely J, Shalen J, Sturrock H, and Kim S
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Objective: To determine factors associated with diagnostic delays and outcomes in juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM) in the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Legacy Registry (CLR)., Methods: This was a cross-sectional study of subjects aged 0 to 17 years with JDM enrolled to the CLR from 2010 to 2015. Access to care was measured by calculating the distance from the subject zip code of residence to the treating pediatric rheumatology center and determining the state density of pediatric rheumatologists based on the 2015 American College of Rheumatology Workforce Study. Delay was categorized as early (<30 days), typical (1-3 months), moderate (3-12 months), and severe (>12 months). Ordered generalized additive models were used to determine the association between these measures and diagnostic delays., Results: The median time to diagnosis was 3.1 months; 37.2% of patients experienced moderate delays, and 14.6% experienced severe delays. In a univariate analysis, younger age of disease onset and male sex were associated with delays. Using a generalized additive model accounting for age, sex, race, and ethnicity, increasing distance from treating pediatric rheumatologist and younger age at disease onset were associated with diagnostic delay. There was no association between the state density of rheumatologists and diagnostic delays in this model., Conclusion: In the CLR, we found moderate to severe diagnostic delays in the majority of subjects with JDM. Our data suggest that access to care, measured as the distance traveled to treating rheumatologist, is an important factor associated with delays in care but also highlight age as a contributing factor, suggesting that JDM may be less recognizable in young children., (© 2021 The Authors. ACR Open Rheumatology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American College of Rheumatology.)
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- 2021
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16. Supporting elimination of lymphatic filariasis in Samoa by predicting locations of residual infection using machine learning and geostatistics.
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Mayfield HJ, Sturrock H, Arnold BF, Andrade-Pacheco R, Kearns T, Graves P, Naseri T, Thomsen R, Gass K, and Lau CL
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- Aedes, Animals, Antibodies, Helminth analysis, Antibodies, Helminth immunology, Antigens, Helminth analysis, Antigens, Helminth immunology, Brugia malayi pathogenicity, Disease Reservoirs, Epidemiological Monitoring, Family Characteristics, Humans, Insect Vectors, Machine Learning, Prevalence, Samoa epidemiology, Wuchereria bancrofti pathogenicity, Elephantiasis, Filarial epidemiology, Elephantiasis, Filarial prevention & control, Elephantiasis, Filarial transmission
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The global elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF) is a major focus of the World Health Organization. One key challenge is locating residual infections that can perpetuate the transmission cycle. We show how a targeted sampling strategy using predictions from a geospatial model, combining random forests and geostatistics, can improve the sampling efficiency for identifying locations with high infection prevalence. Predictions were made based on the household locations of infected persons identified from previous surveys, and environmental variables relevant to mosquito density. Results show that targeting sampling using model predictions would have allowed 52% of infections to be identified by sampling just 17.7% of households. The odds ratio for identifying an infected individual in a household at a predicted high risk compared to a predicted low risk location was 10.2 (95% CI 4.2-22.8). This study provides evidence that a 'one size fits all' approach is unlikely to yield optimal results when making programmatic decisions based on model predictions. Instead, model assumptions and definitions should be tailored to each situation based on the objective of the surveillance program. When predictions are used in the context of the program objectives, they can result in a dramatic improvement in the efficiency of locating infected individuals.
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- 2020
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17. Active Case Finding for Malaria: A 3-Year National Evaluation of Optimal Approaches to Detect Infections and Hotspots Through Reactive Case Detection in the Low-transmission Setting of Eswatini.
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Hsiang MS, Ntshalintshali N, Kang Dufour MS, Dlamini N, Nhlabathi N, Vilakati S, Malambe C, Zulu Z, Maphalala G, Novotny J, Murphy M, Schwartz A, Sturrock H, Gosling R, Dorsey G, Kunene S, and Greenhouse B
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- Eswatini, Humans, Molecular Diagnostic Techniques, Prospective Studies, Malaria diagnosis, Malaria epidemiology, Nucleic Acid Amplification Techniques
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Background: Reactive case detection (RACD) is a widely practiced malaria elimination intervention whereby close contacts of index cases receive malaria testing to inform treatment and other interventions. However, the optimal diagnostic and operational approaches for this resource-intensive strategy are not clear., Methods: We conducted a 3-year prospective national evaluation of RACD in Eswatini, a malaria elimination setting. Loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) was compared to traditional rapid diagnostic testing (RDT) for the improved detection of infections and for hotspots (RACD events yielding ≥1 additional infection). The potential for index case-, RACD-, and individual-level factors to improve efficiencies was also evaluated., Results: Among 377 RACD events, 10 890 participants residing within 500 m of index cases were tested. Compared to RDT, LAMP provided a 3-fold and 2.3-fold higher yield to detect infections (1.7% vs 0.6%) and hotspots (29.7% vs 12.7%), respectively. Hotspot detection improved with ≥80% target population coverage and response times within 7 days. Proximity to the index case was associated with a dose-dependent increased infection risk (up to 4-fold). Individual-, index case-, and other RACD-level factors were considered but the simple approach of restricting RACD to a 200-m radius maximized yield and efficiency., Conclusions: We present the first large-scale national evaluation of optimal RACD approaches from a malaria elimination setting. To inform delivery of antimalarial drugs or other interventions, RACD, when conducted, should utilize more sensitive diagnostics and clear context-specific operational parameters. Future studies of RACD's impact on transmission may still be needed., (© The Author(s) 2019. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2020
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18. Examining the role of a retail density ordinance in reducing concentration of tobacco retailers.
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Vyas P, Sturrock H, and Ling PM
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- Humans, San Francisco, Spatio-Temporal Analysis, Commerce legislation & jurisprudence, Residence Characteristics, Tobacco Products economics
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Neighborhood characteristics and the built environment are important determinants in shaping health inequalities. We evaluate the role of a retail density ordinance in reducing concentration of tobacco stores based on neighborhood characteristics and land use pattern in San Francisco. The study evaluated the spatial distribution of tobacco retailers before and after the ordinance to identify geographic pockets where the most significant reduction had occurred. A generalized additive model was applied to assess the association between the location of the closure of tobacco retailer and socio-demographic characteristics and land use pattern. We did not find a meaningful change in the overall concentration of retailers based on neighborhood income and ethnicity but found a significant association based on patterns of land use. Our findings suggest that future polices must account for the differential distribution of retailers based on land use mix to lower concentration in areas where it is needed the most., (Copyright © 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
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- 2020
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19. Association of Short-Term Ultraviolet Radiation Exposure and Disease Severity in Juvenile Dermatomyositis: Results From the Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance Legacy Registry.
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Neely J, Long CS, Sturrock H, and Kim S
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- Calcinosis diagnosis, Calcinosis ethnology, Calcinosis etiology, Child, Child, Preschool, Cross-Sectional Studies, Dermatomyositis ethnology, Disease Progression, Female, Follow-Up Studies, Humans, Incidence, Male, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, Rheumatology, Risk Factors, Severity of Illness Index, Skin pathology, United States epidemiology, Dermatomyositis diagnosis, Environmental Exposure adverse effects, Registries, Skin radiation effects, Ultraviolet Rays adverse effects
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Objective: Ultraviolet (UV) radiation is considered to be an important environmental factor in the clinical course of children with juvenile dermatomyositis (DM). We aimed to evaluate the association between UV radiation and severe disease outcomes in juvenile DM., Methods: This is a cross-sectional study of patients with juvenile DM enrolled in the US multicenter Childhood Arthritis and Rheumatology Research Alliance (CARRA) Legacy Registry from 2010 to 2015. The mean UV index (UVI) in the calendar month prior to symptom onset in each subject's zip code was calculated from daily satellite solar noon measurements. Multivariable logistic regression was used to model the relationship between the mean UVI and calcinosis as well as other outcomes of severe disease. Covariates included sex, race, age, time to diagnosis, disease duration, and latitude., Results: In a multivariable model, there was no association between the mean UVI and calcinosis. African American race was associated with a 3-fold greater odds of calcinosis. However, there was a significant statistical interaction between race and mean UVI. Accounting for this interaction, the odds of calcinosis markedly decreased in African American subjects and steadily increased in non-African American subjects over a range of increasing the mean UVI. Higher mean UVI was associated with decreased odds of using biologics or nonmethotrexate disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs and skin ulceration., Conclusion: We described a novel association between UV radiation, calcinosis, and race in a large cohort of patients with juvenile DM. This study furthers our knowledge of the role of UV radiation in the clinical course of juvenile DM and highlights the complex interplay between genes and environment in the clinical phenotypes and development of calcinosis in children with juvenile DM., (© 2019, American College of Rheumatology.)
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- 2019
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20. Subpatent malaria in a low transmission African setting: a cross-sectional study using rapid diagnostic testing (RDT) and loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) from Zambezi region, Namibia.
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McCreesh P, Mumbengegwi D, Roberts K, Tambo M, Smith J, Whittemore B, Kelly G, Moe C, Murphy M, Chisenga M, Greenhouse B, Ntuku H, Kleinschmidt I, Sturrock H, Uusiku P, Gosling R, Bennett A, and Hsiang MS
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- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Child, Child, Preschool, Cross-Sectional Studies, Diagnostic Tests, Routine, Female, Humans, Infant, Infant, Newborn, Malaria, Falciparum diagnosis, Male, Middle Aged, Namibia epidemiology, Nucleic Acid Amplification Techniques, Prevalence, Risk Factors, Sensitivity and Specificity, Young Adult, Malaria, Falciparum epidemiology
- Abstract
Background: Subpatent malaria infections, or low-density infections below the detection threshold of microscopy or standard rapid diagnostic testing (RDT), can perpetuate persistent transmission and, therefore, may be a barrier for countries like Namibia that are pursuing malaria elimination. This potential burden in Namibia has not been well characterized., Methods: Using a two-stage cluster sampling, cross-sectional design, subjects of all age were enrolled during the end of the 2015 malaria transmission season in Zambezi region, located in northeast Namibia. Malaria RDTs were performed with subsequent gold standard testing by loop-mediated isothermal amplification (LAMP) using dried blood spots. Infection prevalence was measured and the diagnostic accuracy of RDT calculated. Relationships between recent fever, demographics, epidemiological factors, and infection were assessed., Results: Prevalence of Plasmodium falciparum malaria infection was low: 0.8% (16/1919) by RDT and 2.2% (43/1919) by LAMP. All but one LAMP-positive infection was RDT-negative. Using LAMP as gold standard, the sensitivity and specificity of RDT were 2.3% and 99.2%, respectively. Compared to LAMP-negative infections, a higher portion LAMP-positive infections were associated with fever (45.2% vs. 30.4%, p = 0.04), though 55% of infections were not associated with fever. Agricultural occupations and cattle herding were significantly associated with LAMP-detectable infection (Adjusted ORs 5.02, 95% CI 1.77-14.23, and 11.82, 95% CI 1.06-131.81, respectively), while gender, travel, bed net use, and indoor residual spray coverage were not., Conclusions: This study presents results from the first large-scale malaria cross-sectional survey from Namibia using molecular testing to characterize subpatent infections. Findings suggest that fever history and standard RDTs are not useful to address this burden. Achievement of malaria elimination may require active case detection using more sensitive point-of-care diagnostics or presumptive treatment and targeted to high-risk groups.
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- 2018
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21. Study protocol for a cluster randomised controlled factorial design trial to assess the effectiveness and feasibility of reactive focal mass drug administration and vector control to reduce malaria transmission in the low endemic setting of Namibia.
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Medzihradsky OF, Kleinschmidt I, Mumbengegwi D, Roberts KW, McCreesh P, Dufour MK, Uusiku P, Katokele S, Bennett A, Smith J, Sturrock H, Prach LM, Ntuku H, Tambo M, Didier B, Greenhouse B, Gani Z, Aerts A, Gosling R, and Hsiang MS
- Subjects
- Adult, Animals, Artemether, Lumefantrine Drug Combination, Child, Drug Combinations, Female, Humans, Malaria drug therapy, Malaria transmission, Male, Namibia, Organothiophosphorus Compounds, Research Design, Residence Characteristics, Antimalarials therapeutic use, Artemisinins therapeutic use, Ethanolamines therapeutic use, Fluorenes therapeutic use, Insecticides, Malaria prevention & control, Mass Drug Administration, Mosquito Control methods, Mosquito Vectors
- Abstract
Introduction: To interrupt malaria transmission, strategies must target the parasite reservoir in both humans and mosquitos. Testing of community members linked to an index case, termed reactive case detection (RACD), is commonly implemented in low transmission areas, though its impact may be limited by the sensitivity of current diagnostics. Indoor residual spraying (IRS) before malaria season is a cornerstone of vector control efforts. Despite their implementation in Namibia, a country approaching elimination, these methods have been met with recent plateaus in transmission reduction. This study evaluates the effectiveness and feasibility of two new targeted strategies, reactive focal mass drug administration (rfMDA) and reactive focal vector control (RAVC) in Namibia., Methods and Analysis: This is an open-label cluster randomised controlled trial with 2×2 factorial design. The interventions include: rfMDA (presumptive treatment with artemether-lumefantrine (AL)) versus RACD (rapid diagnostic testing and treatment using AL) and RAVC (IRS with Acellic 300CS) versus no RAVC. Factorial design also enables comparison of the combined rfMDA+RAVC intervention to RACD. Participants living in 56 enumeration areas will be randomised to one of four arms: rfMDA, rfMDA+RAVC, RACD or RACD+RAVC. These interventions, triggered by index cases detected at health facilities, will be targeted to individuals residing within 500 m of an index. The primary outcome is cumulative incidence of locally acquired malaria detected at health facilities over 1 year. Secondary outcomes include seroprevalence, infection prevalence, intervention coverage, safety, acceptability, adherence, cost and cost-effectiveness., Ethics and Dissemination: Findings will be reported on clinicaltrials.gov, in peer-reviewed publications and through stakeholder meetings with MoHSS and community leaders in Namibia., Trial Registration Number: NCT02610400; Pre-results., Competing Interests: Competing interests: AA and ZG are employed by Novartis Foundation. All other authors declare no competing interests., (© Article author(s) (or their employer(s) unless otherwise stated in the text of the article) 2018. All rights reserved. No commercial use is permitted unless otherwise expressly granted.)
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- 2018
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22. Spatial Distribution of Falciparum Malaria Infections in Zanzibar: Implications for Focal Drug Administration Strategies Targeting Asymptomatic Parasite Carriers.
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Björkman A, Cook J, Sturrock H, Msellem M, Ali A, Xu W, Molteni F, Gosling R, Drakeley C, and Mårtensson A
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- Adolescent, Adult, Animals, Blood parasitology, Diagnostic Tests, Routine, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Spatial Analysis, Tanzania epidemiology, Young Adult, Antimalarials therapeutic use, Carrier State drug therapy, Carrier State epidemiology, Malaria, Falciparum drug therapy, Malaria, Falciparum epidemiology, Topography, Medical
- Abstract
Background: Optimal use of mass/targeted screen-and-treat or mass or focal drug administration as malaria elimination strategies remains unclear. We therefore studied spatial distribution of Plasmodium falciparum infections to compare simulated effects of these strategies on reducing the parasite reservoir in a pre-elimination setting., Methods: P. falciparum rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) and molecular (polymerase chain reaction [PCR]) and serological (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay) analyses were performed on finger-prick blood samples from a population-based survey in 3 adjacent communities., Results: Among 5278 persons screened, 13 (0.2%) were positive by RDT and 123 (2.3%) by PCR. PCR-positive individuals were scattered over the study area, but logistic regression analysis suggested a propensity of these infections to cluster around RDT-positive individuals. The odds ratios for being PCR positive was 7.4 (95% confidence interval, 2.8-19.9) for those living in the household of an RDT-positive individual and 1.64 (1.0-2.8; P = .06) for those living within <300 m, compared with >1000 m. Treating everyone within households of RDT-positive individuals (1% population) would target 13% of those who are PCR positive. Treating all living within a radius of <300 or <1000 m (14% or 58% population) would target 30% or 66% of infections, respectively. Among 4431 serologically screened individuals, 26% were seropositive. Treating everyone within seropositive households (63% population) would target 77% of PCR-positive individuals., Conclusions: Presumptive malaria treatment seemed justified within RDT-positive households and potentially worth considering within, for example, a radius of <300 m. Serology was not discriminative enough in identifying ongoing infections for improving focal interventions in this setting but may rather be useful to detect larger transmission foci., (© The Author 2017. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America.)
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- 2017
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23. Poor housing construction associated with increased malaria incidence in a cohort of young Ugandan children.
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Snyman K, Mwangwa F, Bigira V, Kapisi J, Clark TD, Osterbauer B, Greenhouse B, Sturrock H, Gosling R, Liu J, and Dorsey G
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- Child, Preschool, Construction Materials, Family Characteristics, Female, Housing standards, Humans, Incidence, Infant, Malaria epidemiology, Male, Risk Factors, Surveys and Questionnaires, Uganda epidemiology, Housing statistics & numerical data, Malaria etiology
- Abstract
Despite the use of accepted interventions to combat malaria, such as insecticide-treated bed nets and artemisinin-based combination therapy, malaria remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in Uganda. We investigated associations between household factors and malaria incidence in a cohort of children living in a highly endemic region of Uganda. Living in a modern house, defined as the use of non-earth floors, non-thatched roofs, and non-mud walls, was associated with approximately half malaria incidence compared with living in a traditional home (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 0.54, P = 0.001). Other factors found to be associated with a lower incidence of malaria included living in town versus rural setting; sleeping in a room with openings to the outside (windows, eaves, and airbricks); and having an older and more educated primary caregiver. This study adds to the growing body of evidence that improved house construction may be associated with a lower risk of malaria., (© The American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.)
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- 2015
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