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BACKGROUND: The risk of recurrence is overestimated by the Kaplan-Meier method when competing events, such as death without recurrence, are present. Such overestimation can be avoided by using the Aalen-Johansen method, which is a direct extension of Kaplan-Meier that accounts for competing events. Meningiomas commonly occur in older individuals and have slow-growing properties, thereby warranting competing risk analysis. The extent to which competing events are considered in meningioma literature is unknown, and the consequences of using incorrect methodologies in meningioma recurrence risk analysis have not been investigated. METHODS: We surveyed articles indexed on PubMed since 2020 to assess the usage of competing risk analysis in recent meningioma literature. To compare recurrence risk estimates obtained through Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen methods, we applied our international database comprising ~ 8,000 patients with a primary meningioma collected from 42 institutions. RESULTS: Of 513 articles, 169 were eligible for full-text screening. There were 6,537 eligible cases from our PERNS database. The discrepancy between the results obtained by Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen was negligible among low-grade lesions and younger individuals. The discrepancy increased substantially in the patient groups associated with higher rates of competing events (older patients with high-grade lesions). CONCLUSION: The importance of considering competing events in recurrence risk analysis is poorly recognized as only 6% of the studies we surveyed employed Aalen-Johansen analyses. Consequently, most of the previous literature has overestimated the risk of recurrence. The overestimation was negligible for studies involving low-grade lesions in younger individuals; however, overestimation might have been substantial for studies on high-grade lesions.

Objective: The modern management of patients with Koos grade IV vestibular schwannomas (VSs) aims at functional preservation and long-term tumor control. Gross-total resection (GTR) leads to optimal tumor control but frequently also results in permanent facial nerve (FN) palsy. Subtotal resection (STR) or near-total resection (NTR) followed by a wait-and-scan protocol and second-line radiation therapy (RT) in case of progressive residuals yields excellent tumor control rates with less permanent morbidity., Methods: The authors present the results of their prospective cohort of Koos grade IV VS patients who underwent less-than-total resection followed by a wait-and-scan protocol between January 2009 and December 2019 and discuss the latest evidence on this controversial subject. The cohort was followed up with annual clinical and volumetric outcome analyses after standardized MRI., Results: Forty-eight patients were included in the analysis. The mean extent of resection was 87% (median 91%, range 45%-100%), best fitting into the definition of STR rather than NTR. In 2 cases, the proximal portion of the FN at the brainstem could not be reliably identified and monitored during the initial operation, and a second-stage resection was necessary. At 4.4 years after surgery, 81% (39/48) of the tumor residuals regressed or were stable in size. The percentage of regressive tumor residuals increased over time. Nineteen percent (9/48) of the tumor residuals displayed volumetric progression within a mean time of 35 months (median 36 months, range 14-72 months), resulting in a Kaplan-Meier estimate for progression-free survival of 79% after 4 years; higher postoperative volume showed a linear correlation with higher volumetric progression (factor 1.96, 95% CI 1.67-2.30; p < 0.001). Thirty-four of the 48 (71%) patients continue to undergo a wait-and-scan protocol. Second-line RT was performed in 14 patients (29%) within a mean time of 25 months (median 23 months, range 5-54 months), 12 (86%) of whom responded with post-RT pseudoprogression, resulting in an overall tumor control rate of 96%. At the 4.4-year follow-up from the initial resection, 92% of the patients had a good facial outcome (House-Brackmann [HB] grade I or II), 6% had a fair facial outcome (HB grade III), and 2% had a poor facial outcome (HB grades IV-VI). So far, there has been no need for salvage surgery after RT., Conclusions: STR followed by observation and second-line RT in cases of progression leads to good facial outcome and an excellent tumor control rate in the longer term.