1. The potential of Facebook advertising data for understanding flows of people from Ukraine to the European Union
- Author
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Umberto Minora, Claudio Bosco, Stefano M. Iacus, Sara Grubanov-Boskovic, Francesco Sermi, and Spyridon Spyratos
- Subjects
Ukraine ,Armed conflict ,Crisis response ,Human migration ,Innovative data ,Facebook ,Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics ,R858-859.7 - Abstract
Abstract This work contributes to the discussion on how innovative data can support a fast crisis response. We use operational data from Facebook to gain useful insights on where people fleeing Ukraine following the Russian invasion are likely to be displaced, focusing on the European Union. In this context, it is extremely important to anticipate where these people are moving so that local and national authorities can better manage challenges related to their reception and integration. By means of the audience estimates provided by Facebook advertising platform, we analyse the flows of people fleeing Ukraine towards the European Union. At the fifth week since the beginning of the war, our results indicate an increase in the number of Ukrainian stocks derived from Ukrainian-speaking Facebook user estimates in all the European Union (EU) countries, with Poland registering the highest percentage share (33%) of the overall increase, followed by Germany (17%), and Czechia (15%). We assess the reliability of prewar Facebook estimates by comparison with official statistics on the Ukrainian diaspora, finding a strong correlation between the two data sources (Pearson’s r = 0.9 $r=0.9$ , p < 0.0001 $p
- Published
- 2022
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