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Purpose The overuse of laboratory tests contributes to impair health systems effectiveness, tumor markers (TMs) being a paradigmatic example. In the present study we applied indicators of TMs appropriateness developed from administrative datasets to appraise regionwide overordering in the clinical practice. Patients and methods TMs ordered to outpatients in the Veneto Region over 6 years were obtained from the eletronic Outpatients’ Records of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Procedures. TMs orders were examined as aggregated data or stratified according to disease codes, gender, age, and requests per patient. TMs recommended only for specific malignancies were examined using epidemiological data obtained from Veneto Tumor Registry. Results A total of 5,821,251 TMs were ordered in 4,382,159 patients over 6 years. Overall, 3,252,389 (55.9%) TMs were ordered without appropriate disease codes (ranging from 77.0% for PSA to 17.5% for CA15.3). TM orders declined over 6 years (−13.4%), with a noticeable reduction of orders without appropriate disease codes (−21.3%). Orders decreased sharply from 2015 to 2016, after the enactment of a national Decree-Law aimed at improving appropriateness, and remained stable thereafter. However, the rate of inappropriate TMs requests still remained elevated (44.4%) in the last year of observation, with orders of TMs being much higher than expected on the basis of prevalence and incidence figures of specific malignancies. Conclusions Indicators developed from administrative datasets were effective in assessing the overordering of TMs and the impact of interventions to improve appropriateness. The developed indicators could be considered for other diagnostic tests.

ObjectiveAutoimmune gastritis (AIG) is an immunomediated disease targeting parietal cells, eventually resulting in oxyntic-restricted atrophy. This long-term follow-up study aimed at elucidating the natural history, histological phenotype(s), and associated cancer risk of patients with AIG consistently testedH. pylori-negative (naïveH. pylori-negative subjects).DesignTwo-hundred eleven naïveH. pylori-negative patients (tested by serology, histology, molecular biology) with AIG (F:M=3.15:1; pResultsOver the long-term histological follow-up, AIG consistently featured oxyntic-predominant-mononuclear inflammation. At T1, PPM-score was greater than IM (200/211 vs 160/211, respectively); IM scores increased from T1 to T2 (160/211 to 179/211), with no changes in the PPM prevalence (T1=200/211; T2=201/211). At both T1/T2, the prevalence of OLGA-III-stage was ConclusionsOxyntic-restricted inflammation, PPM (more than IM), and ECL-cell hyperplasia/neoplasia are the histological AIG hallmarks. Compared with the general population, corpus-restricted inflammation/atrophy does not increase the GC risk. The excess of GC risk reported in patients with AIG could plausibly result from unrecognised previous/currentH. pyloricomorbidity.

Background The impact of a faecal immunochemical test-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program in terms of patient prognosis could be affected by lead-time bias, which artificially increases the survival of screen-detected patients due to the early diagnosis. Aims To provide a description of the impact of the CRC screening program in the Trentino Region (Italy), including the Cure Fraction (CF), a prognostic indicator not affected by lead-time bias. Methods The program started in 2008, inviting the resident population aged 50–69 years. In this retrospective cohort study, 1,697 CRC diagnosed between 2003 and 2014 in patients aged 50–69 years were classified as pre-screening (PS), screen-detected (SD), interval cancers (IC) and not-screen-detected (NSD). We compared groups by stage at diagnosis and CF. Trends in CRC mortality were reported. Results The proportion of stage I among SD cases was 51%, higher than PS (19%; OR 4.66, 95%CI 3.50–6.20), NSD (20.6%; OR 3.96, 95%CI 2.95–5.32) and IC (33.3%; OR 2.11, 95%CI 1.10–4.04). The CF of PS, NSD and SD cases was respectively 57% (95%CI 54–60%), 60% (95%CI 58–63%) and 93% (95%CI 89–96%). CRC mortality dropped from 40.7 to 25.6\100,000. Conclusion The program significantly improved the prognosis of patients, decreasing CRC mortality and incidence of advanced CRCs.

to update the Italian estimates of survival for patients with a paediatric cancer, tobacco smoke-associated cancers, and cancers targeted by screening; to assess geographical differences.population-based descriptive study.incident cancer cases diagnosed in 2010-2014, with follow-up to 2018, from 17 Italian cancer registries (covering 31% of the national population; 43% of the population residing in the North-Centre of the country and 8% of the population living in the South and Islands).age-standardized 5-year net survival (NS) by cancer site or type, sex, age, and geographical area.NS of patients aged ≥15 years with breast, prostate, colorectal, and lung cancers was higher in the North-Centre than in the South and Islands. The overall survival of people diagnosed with cancer in childhood (0-14 years) was 84.3%, with similar values among the geographical macro-areas and between males and females. Women with breast cancer within the current target age of the screening programmes and those in the younger age groups (45-49 years) show similar survival values; the same is true for women with colorectal cancer. In both cases, survival decreased in the age groups after the age of cessation of screening programmes. Survival of patients with tobacco smoke-associated cancers varies according to cancer site (from 11.1% for patients with pancreatic cancer to 79.7% for those with bladder cancer). For most cancer sites, women have higher survival than men.for adults, a geographical survival gap persists. The results may contribute to the debate on extending the target age for screening programmes and to support initiatives to encourage tobacco smoking cessation even after cancer diagnosis. For patients who receive a cancer diagnosis in childhood, survival similar to highest values internationally.

Background: Incidence of pancreatic cancer (PC) is increasing worldwide and is set to become the second leading cause of cancer-related death in 2040 with a poor 5-year overall survival (OS). The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of microscopic diagnosis of PC (MiDPC) on diagnostic–therapeutic management and outcome. Methods: The Veneto region (north-eastern Italy) has been covered by a cancer registry (CR) since 1987. Clinical and oncological data about all cases of PC in the Veneto region from 1987 were extracted from the Veneto CR database. Results: In 2018, 1340 incident cases of PC in the Veneto population were registered (4.1% of all malignant tumors), with an increasing trend in females and stable incidence in males. Five-year OS in patients with PC was 8%. The percentage of MiDPC increased from 44% in 2010 to 60% in 2018 (p = 0.001). MiDPC was higher among patients aged < 75 years old (84.4%) compared to those aged ≥75 years old (38.9%), p = 0.001. Between 2010 and 2018, a significant increase in biopsy on the primary neoplasm (24.9% vs. 13%, p < 0.001) was reported. Patients with MiDPC had higher 5-year survival than patients with no MiDPC (12.9% vs. 1.2%, p < 0.001). Conclusions: The implementation of MiDPC was essential to improve diagnostic–therapeutic pathways and consequently the survival of PC patients.

Incidence of pancreatic cancer (PC) is increasing worldwide and is set to become the second leading cause of cancer-related death in 2040 with a poor 5-year overall survival (OS). The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of microscopic diagnosis of PC (MiDPC) on diagnostic-therapeutic management and outcome.The Veneto region (north-eastern Italy) has been covered by a cancer registry (CR) since 1987. Clinical and oncological data about all cases of PC in the Veneto region from 1987 were extracted from the Veneto CR database.In 2018, 1340 incident cases of PC in the Veneto population were registered (4.1% of all malignant tumors), with an increasing trend in females and stable incidence in males. Five-year OS in patients with PC was 8%. The percentage of MiDPC increased from 44% in 2010 to 60% in 2018 (The implementation of MiDPC was essential to improve diagnostic-therapeutic pathways and consequently the survival of PC patients.

Objectives To identify and provide lists of procedures and drugs related to diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer. These lists can be used for the estimation of the cost of illness. Methods The method consists of identifying lists of procedures/interventions/drugs related to the tumour of interest, drawn by a panel of expert clinicians and oncologists on the basis of clinical guidelines and current practice. The lists are applied to data referring to breast cancer female patients, collected by population-based Cancer Registries and linked at individual level with information on health care treatments. A comparison with lists obtained via the matched control method is implemented. Results The distribution of administered procedures and drug prescriptions is coherent with the patient clinical pathway: surgery is the main cause of hospitalization in the first year since diagnosis, diagnostic and monitoring interventions are more frequent in the following years (recurrences detection), and at end-of-life (palliative care). Most outpatient services are due to diagnosis and monitoring, one third of services in the first year since diagnosis is radiotherapy and chemotherapy. Drugs prescribed to patients and sold in pharmacy include hormonal drugs as first course treatment and analgesics as palliative care. Conclusions This direct method represents a valid alternative to the matched control method in describing patterns of care and costs related to the entire disease pathway. It is particularly suitable in case of cancer sites with complex patterns of care, such as breast cancer. The lists of codes developed here are based on international classification systems and can be easily applicable to other countries.

Population-based cancer registration methods are subject to internationally-established rules. To ensure efficient and effective case recording, population-based cancer registries widely adopt digital processing (DP) methods. At the Veneto Tumor Registry (RTV), about 50% of all digitally-identified (putative) cases of cancer are further profiled by means of registrars’ assessments (RAs). Taking these RAs for reference, the present study examines how well the registry’s DP performs. A series of 1,801 (putative) incident and prevalent cancers identified using DP methods were randomly assigned to two experienced registrars (blinded to the DP output), who independently re-assessed every case. This study focuses on the concordance between the DP output and the RAs as concerns cancer status (incident versus prevalent), topography, and morphology. The RAs confirmed the cancer status emerging from DP for 1,266/1,317 incident cancers (positive predictive value [PPV] = 96.1%) and 460/472 prevalent cancers (PPV = 97.5%). This level of concordance ranks as “optimal”, with a Cohen’s K value of 0.91. The overall prevalence of false-positive cancer cases identified by DP was 2.9%, and was affected by the number of digital variables available. DP and the RAs were consistent in identifying cancer topography in 88.7% of cases; differences concerned different sites within the same anatomo-functional district (according to the International Agency for Research on Cancer [IARC]) in 9.6% of cases. In short, using DP for cancer case registration suffers from only trivial inconsistencies. The efficiency and reliability of digital cancer registration is influenced by the availability of good-quality clinical information, and the regular interdisciplinary monitoring of a registry’s DP performance.

BackgroundThe risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) among subjects with a positive faecal immunochemical test (FIT) who do not undergo a colonoscopy is unknown. We estimated whether non-compliance with colonoscopy after a positive FIT is associated with increased CRC incidence and mortality.MethodsThe FIT-based CRC screening programme in the Veneto region (Italy) invited persons aged 50 to 69 years with a positive FIT (>20 µg Hb/g faeces) for diagnostic colonoscopy at an endoscopic referral centre. In this retrospective cohort study, we compared the 10-year cumulative CRC incidence and mortality among FIT positives who completed a diagnostic colonoscopy within the programme (compliers) and those who did not (non-compliers), using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox-Aalen models.ResultsSome 88 013 patients who were FIT positive complied with colonoscopy (males: 56.1%; aged 50–59 years: 49.1%) while 23 410 did not (males: 54.6%; aged 50–59 years: 44.9%).The 10-year cumulative incidence of CRC was 44.7 per 1000 (95% CI, 43.1 to 46.3) among colonoscopy compliers and 54.3 per 1000 (95% CI, 49.9 to 58.7) in non-compliers, while the cumulative mortality for CRC was 6.8 per 1000 (95% CI, 5.9 to 7.6) and 16.0 per 1000 (95% CI, 13.1 to 18.9), respectively. The risk of dying of CRC among non-compliers was 103% higher than among compliers (adjusted HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.68 to 2.44).ConclusionThe excess risk of CRC death among those not completing colonoscopy after a positive faecal occult blood test should prompt screening programmes to adopt effective interventions to increase compliance in this high-risk population.

Introduction: Cancer prevalence (people alive on a certain date in a population who previously had a cancer diagnosis) is expected to increase in the United States and Europe due to improvements in survival and population aging. Examination of prevalence by phase of care allows us to identify subgroups of patients according to their care trajectories, thus allowing us to improve health care planning, resource allocation, and calculation of costs. Methods: A new method to estimate prevalence by phase of care using grouped data is illustrated. Prevalence is divided into 3 mutually exclusive phases: initial, continuing, and end-of-life. An application to US and Italian data is applied to prevalent cases diagnosed with colon–rectum, stomach, lung, or breast cancer. Results: The distribution of phase of care prevalence estimated by cancer type and sex and results from the two datasets are very similar. Most survivors are in the continuing phase; the end-of-life phase is larger for cancers with worse prognosis. All phases prevalence is generally higher in the Italian than in the US dataset, except for lung cancer in women, where prevalence proportion in the Italian dataset is 30% lower than in the United States. Discussion: Incidence, survival, and population age structure are the main determinants of prevalence and they can affect differences in all phases of prevalence, as well as in discrete phases. Incidence is the most influential determinant. Ours is the first study that compares prevalence by phase of care between two populations in Italy and the United States. Despite great differences in health care management in the two countries, we found extremely similar distribution of survivors by phase of care for most cancer sites under study.

Background Post-colonoscopy adverse events are a key quality indicator in population-based colorectal cancer screening programs, and affect safety and costs. This study aimed to assess colonoscopy-related adverse events and mortality in a screening setting. Methods We retrieved data from patients undergoing colonoscopy within a screening program (fecal immunochemical test every 2 years, 50–69-year-olds, or post-polypectomy surveillance) in Italy between 2002 and 2014, to assess the rate of post-colonoscopy adverse events and mortality. Any admission within 30 days of screening colonoscopy was reviewed to capture possible events. Mortality registries were also matched with endoscopy databases to investigate 30-day post-colonoscopy mortality. Association of each outcome with patient-/procedure-related variables was assessed using multivariable analysis. Results Overall, 117 881 screening colonoscopies (66 584, 56.5 %, with polypectomy) were included. Overall, 497 (0.42 %) post-colonoscopy adverse events occurred: 281 (0.24 %) bleedings (3.69‰/0.68‰, operative/diagnostic procedures) and 65 (0.06 %) perforations (0.75‰/0.29‰, respectively). At multivariable analysis, bleeding was associated with polyp size (≥ 20 mm: odds ratio [OR] 16.29, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 9.38–28.29), proximal location (OR 1.46, 95 %CI 1.14–1.87), and histology severity (high risk adenoma: OR 5.6, 95 %CI 2.43–12.91), while perforation was associated with endoscopic resection (OR 2.91, 95 %CI 1.62–5.22), polyp size (OR 4.34, 95 %CI 1.46–12.92), and proximal location (OR 1.94, 95 %CI 1.12–3.37). Post-colonoscopy mortality occurred in 15 /117 881 cases (1.27/10 000 colonoscopies). Conclusions In an organized screening program, post-colonoscopy adverse events were rare but not negligible. The most frequent event was post-polypectomy bleeding, especially after resection of large (≥ 20 mm) and proximal lesions.

Background Clinical factors, such as tumor thickness, ulceration and growth phase have a role as prognostic factors for stage I melanoma. However, it is still under debate whether these variables influence the related direct costs. We aimed to investigate which clinical factors represent direct health care “cost drivers” for stage I melanoma. Materials and method Analyses were conducted on a cohort of patients diagnosed with stage I melanoma. Differences in the costs incurred by different groups of patients were examined using Mann-Whitney or Kruskal-Wallis non-parametric tests. Log linear multivariate analysis was used to identify the clinical drivers of the total direct costs one and two years after diagnosis. The study was conducted from the perspective of Italy's National Health care System. Results One year after diagnosis, patients whose melanomas had a Breslow thickness ≥0.8 mmin (compared with those with lower thickness) and a vertical growth phase (compared with those with radial growth) incurred higher costs for hospitalization, as well as higher overall costs. One year after their diagnosis, treatment of patients with stage I melanoma in the vertical growth phase costs 50% more (95% CI: 22–85%) than their counterparts with a radial growth pattern, resulting in an estimated absolute increase of € 256.23. Having a tumor thicker than 0.8 mm prompted an increase of 91% (95% CI: 43–155%) in the costs (€955.24 in absolute terms). Conclusion Our data indicate a heterogeneity in the direct costs of stage I melanoma patients during the first year after diagnosis, which can be partly explained by clinical prognostic factors, like tumor thickness and growth pattern.

Introduction: This study assesses the risk of infection and clinical outcomes in a large consecutive population of cancer and non-cancer patients tested for SARS-CoV-2 status. Methods: Study patients underwent SARS-CoV-2 molecular-testing between 22 February 2020 and 31 July 2020, and were found infected (CoV2+ ve) or uninfected. History of malignancy was obtained from regional population-based cancer registries. Cancer-patients were distinguished by time between cancer diagnosis and SARS-CoV-2 testing (Results: Among 552,362 individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2, 55,206 (10.0%) were cancer-patients and 22,564 (4.1%) tested CoV2+ ve. Irrespective of time since cancer diagnosis, SARS-CoV-2 infection was significantly lower among cancer patients (1,787; 3.2%) than non-cancer individuals (20,777; 4.2% - Odds Ratio (OR)=0.60; 0.57-0.63). CoV2+ ve cancer-patients were older than non-cancer individuals (median age: 77 versus 57 years; pConclusions: The risks of hospitalization and death are significantly higher in CoV2+ ve individuals with past or present cancer (particularly malignancies of the lung, hematologic or breast) than in those with no history of cancer.

Background: Evidence about late effects in adolescent and young adult (AYA) cancer survivors is scarce. This study assessed the risk of subsequent malignant neoplasms (SMNs) to identify the most common SMNs to be considered in follow-up care. Methods: Population-based cancer registries retrospectively identified first primary tumors (between 1976 and 2013) and SMNs in AYAs (15-39years old at their cancer diagnosis). AYA cancer survivors were those alive at least 5years after their first cancer diagnosis. The excess risk of SMNs was measured as standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and absolute excess risk together with the cumulative incidence of SMNs. Results: The cohort included 67,692 AYA cancer survivors. The excess risk of developing any SMN (SIR, 1.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-1.7) was 60%. The excess risk of SMNs was significantly high for survivors of lymphomas; cancers of the breast, thyroid, female genital tract, digestive organs, gonads, and urinary tract; and melanomas. The cumulative incidence of all SMNs in AYA cancer survivors within 25years of their first cancer diagnosis was approximately 10%. Subsequent tumors contributing to approximately 60% of all SMNs were breast cancer, colorectal cancer, corpus uteri cancer, and ovarian cancer in females and colorectal cancer, bladder cancer, prostate cancer, lung cancer, and lymphomas in males. Conclusions: These results highlight the need to personalize follow-up strategies for AYA cancer survivors.

(1) Background: Liver cancer in Italy is characterised by one of the highest incidence rates worldwide outside of Asia coupled with comparatively favourable survival figures. The objective of this study was to evaluate the most recent epidemiologic trends of the disease. (2) Methods: Thirteen cancer registries covering a population of about 12,740,000 (21% of the national population) made available the records of 35,574 cases registered between 2003 and 2017. Trends in age-standardised (Europe 2013) incidence rates were analysed using the results of age–drift models. Trends in survival were analysed using 1-year, 2-year, 5-year and 10-year net survival (NS) and 5|1-year and 5|2-year conditional NS. (3) Results: Over the study period, the average annual incidence rates per 100,000 persons were 29.4 (men) and 9.4 (women) for total liver cancer; 14.6 and 3.5 for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); 1.8 and 1.1 for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC); and 13.0 and 4.8 for the ‘other liver cancer types’ group. The incidence of total liver cancer and HCC decreased significantly for both sexes. For total liver cancer, the estimated average annual percent change was −1.6% among men and −2.1% among women. For HCC, the change was −1.3% among men and −2.7% among women. ICC followed an opposite trend. For men, the risk of HCC had two peaks, one in the birth cohorts of 1928 and 1933 and another, more moderate peak in the cohort of 1958. Men and women exhibited comparable improvements in both early and mid-term conditional NS from HCC. In 2013–2017, 5-year NS was 28.9% (95% CI: 27.3%; 30.6%) for men and 30.1% (95% CI: 26.9%; 33.5%) for women. The uptrend in survival from ICC was less pronounced and was weakly significant, with a 5-year NS in 2013-2017 of 13.9% (95% CI: 10.8%; 17.3%) for men and 17.4% (95% CI: 13.5%; 21.7%) for women. (4) Conclusions: The opposite incidence trends of HCC and ICC confirm a pattern observed in other populations. The generalised, albeit slow, improvement in survival from HCC indicates a trend towards earlier detection coupled with improvements in treatments.

Massimo Gion,1 Giulia Cardinali,2 Stefano Guzzinati,3 Paolo Morandi,4 Chiara Trevisiol,5 Aline SC Fabricio,5 Massimo Rugge,3,6 Manuel Zorzi3 1Regional Center for Biomarkers, Department of Clinical Pathology, Azienda ULSS 3 Serenissima, Venice, Italy; 2Management Control Unit, Azienda ULSS 3 Serenissima, Venice, Italy; 3Veneto Tumour Registry, Azienda Zero, Padua, Italy; 4Medical Oncology Unit, Azienda ULSS 3 Serenissima, Venice, Italy; 5Veneto Institute of Oncology IOV - IRCCS, Padua, Italy; 6University of Padova, Department of Medicine DIMED, Padua, ItalyCorrespondence: Massimo Gion, Regional Center for Biomarkers, Department of Clinical Pathology, Azienda ULSS 3 Serenissima, Ospedale SS. Giovanni e Paolo – Castello, Venezia, 6777 – 30122, Italy, Tel +39 041 5294260, Fax +39 041 5295603, Email massimo.gion@aulss3.veneto.itPurpose: Clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) recommend against intensive follow-up in asymptomatic women with breast cancer (BC). The present study assessed the adherence to CPGs of diagnostic tests ordering during BC follow-up by exploring routinely collected health data through an algorithm developed to distinguish patients according to their status at follow-up.Patients and Methods: A retrospective population-based cohort study was performed monitoring the diagnostic tests ordered during 5 years of follow-up in all BC cases incident in 2013 in the Veneto Region, Italy. Data were extracted from the Veneto Tumour Registry, the Hospital Discharge Records and the Outpatients’ Records of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Procedures. The algorithm was developed using information on infusion of anticancer agents, imaging exams ordered, and death.Results: The algorithm classified patients by status at follow-up in four groups: (i) probably no-evidence-of-disease (NED), (ii) suspicious signs of relapse not confirmed, (iii) increased risk of relapse and (iv) advanced disease at presentation or progressive disease. A total of 3930 consecutive incident cases were followed-up for 5 years, corresponding to 17,184 person-years, 15,345 of which pertaining to NED cases. In NED cases, 32,900 tumour markers and 15,858 imaging exams were ordered. Liver ultrasonography and chest radiography were most frequently ordered.Conclusion: In contrast with recommendations of CPGs, a substantial overordering of tumour markers and imaging exams occurred in NED BC patients. The developed algorithm can be repeatedly applied to routine health datasets for regular monitoring of the adherence to CPGs and of the impact of interventions to improve appropriateness.Keywords: tumour markers, imaging exams, adherence to guidelines, routinely collected health data

To investigate the association of the 2019–2020 influenza vaccine with prognosis of patients positive for SARS-CoV-2A, a large multi-database cohort study was conducted in four Italian regions (i.e., Lazio, Lombardy, Veneto, and Tuscany) and the Reggio Emilia province (Emilia-Romagna). More than 21 million adults were residing in the study area (42% of the population). We included 115,945 COVID-19 cases diagnosed during the first wave of the pandemic (February–May, 2020), 34.6% of these had been vaccinated against influenza. Three outcomes were considered: hospitalization, death, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission/death. The adjusted relative risk (RR) of being hospitalized in the vaccinated group when compared with the non-vaccinated group was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.86–0.88). This reduction in risk was not confirmed for death (RR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01–1.06), or for the combined outcome of ICU admission or death. In conclusion, our study, conducted on the vast majority of the population during the first wave of the pandemic in Italy, showed a 13% statistically significant reduction in the risk of hospitalization in some geographical areas and in the younger population. No impact of seasonal influenza vaccination on COVID-19 prognosis in terms of death and death or ICU admission was estimated.

Nowadays, evidence suggests that several cancer types are curable diseases and that some common cancers are cured in less than 10 years. This new reality, that is the recognition of cancer patients as “cured,” changes our understanding of cancer survivorship, since it has relevant clinical, economic, and social implications. Cancer survivor is defined as anyone with a diagnosis of cancer and who is still alive. In Europe and in the United States, the number of individuals living after a cancer diagnosis (i.e., cancer prevalence) is growing by approximately 3% annually. Presently in Europe are estimated at least 20 million cancer survivors and five million of cured people. Cancer survivors are a vulnerable population that requires medical and nonmedical interventions. They are particularly at risk not only of having a low quality of life due to the long-term side effects of treatment with consequences for patients’ physical, mental, and social health. Moreover, 15% of them are at risk of developing another primary cancer.

Valuable information is stored in a healthcare record system and over 40% of it is estimated to be unstructured in the form of free clinical text. A collection of pathology records is provided by the Veneto Cancer Registry: these medical records refer to cases of melanoma and contain free text, in particular, the diagnosis. The aim of this research is to extract from the free text the size of the primary tumour, the involvement of lymph nodes, the presence of metastasis, and the cancer stage of the tumour. This goal is achieved with text mining techniques based on a supervised statistical approach. Since the procedure of information extraction from a free text can be traced back to a statistical classification problem, we apply several machine learning models in order to extract the variables mentioned above from the text. A gold standard for these variables is available: the clinical records have already been assessed case-by-case by an expert. The most efficient of the estimated models is the gradient boosting. Despite the good performance of gradient boosting, the classification error is not low enough to allow this kind of text mining procedures to be used in a Cancer Registry as it is proposed.

Background Although heterogenous risks of recurrence or late effects according to cancer type and host factors exist, increasing evidence of cure has emerged for some cancers. This leads, among other important topics, to the so-called “right to be forgotten” law, adopted in France and Belgium to help cancer survivors access loans and insurance. The aim of the study was to estimate population-based indicators of cancer cure in Europe by type, sex, age, and period. Methods Data from 7.2 million cancer patients, aged 15-74 years, from 42 population-based cancer registries in 17 countries were extracted from the EUROCARE-5 dataset. Mixture-cure models were used to estimate: a) median life expectancy of fatal cases (LEF); b) cure fraction (CF) as a proportion of patients with death rates similar to the general population; and c) time to cure (TTC) as the time to reach five-year conditional relative survival (CRS)>95%. Results LEF ranged from 10 years for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia to Conclusions In a context of increasing number of people living after a cancer diagnosis, these results may help to reduce unneeded medicalization (e.g., follow-up) and resources needed for their care, and they further document that there is already a cure for some cancers. Fundings This work was supported by the Italian Association of Cancer Research (AIRC) and the European Commission (IPAAC). Key messages Cancer cure indicators are provided for European patients and 32 cancer type. Recognizing cancer patients as cured has relevant clinical and social implications.

In 84,246 consecutive Italians tested for SARS-CoV-2, we examined the prevalence of cancer and clinical outcomes of viral infection. Overall, 5.7% (4,789/84,246) had previously been diagnosed with cancer and, among the SARS-CoV-2-positive (CV2+ve) patients, 7.8% had a cancer diagnosis (723/9,275). Prevalence of cancer was not associated with risk of infection (odds ratio of 0.97; 95% confidence interval of 0.89–1.06). The proportion of CV2+ve people hospitalized was higher among patients with cancer (56.6 versus 34.4% among other people), and so was the proportion of deaths (14.7% versus 4.5%). The risk of adverse outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection was significantly higher for patients with cancer versus those without, particularly for males and older people. Rugge and colleagues report that patients with cancer, particularly those who are older and male, face a significantly increased risk of adverse outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

The histological spectrum of oxyntic mucosal atrophy (a major determinant of gastric cancer risk) includes pseudopyloric metaplasia (PPM), which histological assessment has been regarded as unreliable. PPM consistently expresses Trefoil-Factor 2 (TFF2), which is histochemically detecteble (TFF2-IHC).Intra- and inter-observer consistency in assessing PPM was examined using both hematoxylineosin (HE) and TFF2-IHC.Seventy-four oxyntic biopsy samples obtained from autoimmune gastritis were considered. Two serial histological sections obtained from the paraffin-embedded tissue-samples were stained with HE and TFF2-IHC. Three pathologists (Alpha, Beta, Gamma) independently scored PPM by both staining and the Intra- and inter-observer consistency (HE versus TFF2-IHC) was calculated using k-statistics and/or Spearman's coefficient.Based on HE-stain versus TFF2-IHC, intra-observer consistency in PPM assessement was ranked as consistently "good" (k-values: Alpha=0.79; Beta=0.78; Gamma=0.75). Based on HE, the overall PPM inter-observer consistency among the 3 observers was ranked as "good" (k=0.77) (the inter-observer consistency for pairs of observers was as follows: Alpha versus Beta k=0.88; Alpha versus Gamma k=0.87; Beta versus Gamma k=0.80). Based on TFF2-IHC, the overall PPM inter-observer agreement was ranked as "excellent" (k=0.91) (the inter-observer consistency for pairs of observers was as follows: Alpha versus Beta k=1; Alpha versus Gamma k=0.91; Beta versus Gamma k=0.91).Relying on either HE staining or TFF2-IHC, pathologists assess PPM consistently.

Objectives To estimate total direct health care costs associated to diagnosis and treatment of women with breast cancer in Italy, and to investigate their distribution by service type according to the disease pathway and patient characteristics. Methods Data on patients provided by population-based Cancer Registries are linked at individual level with data on health-care services and corresponding claims from administrative databases. A combination of cross-sectional approach and a threephase of care decomposition model with initial, continuing and final phases-of-care defined according to time occurred since diagnosis and disease outcome is adopted. Direct estimation of cancer-related costs is obtained. Results Study cohort included 49,272 patients, 15.2% were in the initial phase absorbing 42% of resources, 79.7% in the continuing phase absorbing 44% of resources and 5.1% in the final phase absorbing 14% of resources. Hospitalization was the most important cost driver, accounting for over 55% of the total costs. Conclusions This paper represents the first attempt in Italy to estimate the economic burden of cancer at population level taking into account the entire disease pathway and using multiple current health care databases. The evidence produced by the study can be used to better plan resources allocation. The model proposed is replicable to countries with individual health care information on services and claims.

Purpose: Adolescent and young adult (AYA, 15-39 years) cancer survivors (alive at least 5 years after cancer diagnosis) are less studied than younger and older cancer survivors and research on their late effects is limited. To facilitate research on long-term outcomes of AYA cancer survivors, we established, in Italy, a population-based AYA cancer survivors' cohort. This article describes the study design and main characteristics of this cohort. Methods: The cohort derives from population-based cancer registries (CRs). Each CR identified AYA cancer patients retrospectively. Treatment for first primary cancer and all health events from diagnosis to death can be traced through linkage with available health databases, such as hospital discharge records (HDRs), mortality files, and outpatient and pharmaceutical databases. Results: Thirty-four CRs participated to the cohort which overall includes 93,291 AYAs with cancer and 67,692 cancer survivors. First primary cancer distribution in AYA cancer survivors differs by sex and age groups because of the different cancer types diagnosed in AYAs. Almost 78% of AYA cancer survivors have HDRs and 14.8% also pharmaceutical and outpatient databases. Conclusion: This cohort will be used to study, for the first time in Italy, the pattern and excess risk of late effects in AYA cancer survivors. HDRs, outpatient and pharmaceutical databases will be used to define primary treatment to assess its impact on AYA cancer survivors' late effects. This cohort exploiting data sources already available at CRs, minimize the data collection effort and it will contribute to assess the feasibility of using administrative database to study cancer survivors' late effects.

Gastritis OLGA-staging ranks the risk for gastric cancer (GC) in progressive stages (0–IV). This long-term follow-up study quantifies the GC risk associated with each OLGA stage. Consecutive patients (7436) underwent esophagogastroscopy (T-0), with mapped gastric biopsies, OLGA staging, and H. pylori status assessment. Patients with neoplastic lesion (invasive or non-invasive) at the index endoscopy (and/or within 12 months) were excluded. All patients were followed-up (T-1) by combining different sources of clinical/pathological information (Regional Registries of: (i) esophagogastroduodenoscopies; (ii) pathology reports; (iii) cancer, (iv) mortality). The endpoint was histologically documented development of gastric epithelial neoplasia. At T-0, the patients’ distribution by OLGA stage was: Stage 0 = 80.8%; Stage I = 12.6%; Stage II = 4.3%; Stage III = 2.0%; Stage IV = 0.3%; H. pylori infection was detected in 25.9% of patients. At the end of the follow-up (mean/median = 6.3/6.6 years), 28 incident neoplasia were documented (overall prevalence = 0.60 per 103/person-years; low-grade intraepithelial neoplasia = 17/28; high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia = 4/28; GC = 7/28). By OLGA stage at the enrollment, the rate of incident neoplasia was: Stage 0 = 1 case; rate/103 person-years = 0.03; 95%CI: 0.004–0.19; Stage I = 2 cases; rate/103 person-years = 0.34; 95%CI: 0.09–1.36; Stage II = 3 cases; rate/103 person-years = 1.48; 95%CI: 0.48–4.58; Stage III = 17 cases; rate/103 person-years = 19.1; 95%CI: 11.9–30.7; Stage IV = 5 cases; rate/103 person-years = 41.2; 95%CI: 17.2–99.3. Multivariate analysis including gender, age, H. pylori status, and OLGA stage at enrollment only disclosed OLGA stage as predictor of neoplastic progression (OLGA stage III: HR = 712.4, 95%CI = 92.543–5484.5; OLGA stage IV: HR = 1450.7, 95%CI = 166.7–12626.0). Among 7436 patients, OLGA stages at the enrollment correlated significantly with different risk for gastric neoplasia. Based on the obtained results, gastritis staging is a critical adjunct in endoscopy follow-up protocols aimed at GC secondary prevention.

Background Estimates of cancer prevalence are widely based on limited duration, often including patients living after a cancer diagnosis made in the previous 5 years and less frequently on complete prevalence (i.e., including all patients regardless of the time elapsed since diagnosis). This study aims to provide estimates of complete cancer prevalence in Italy by sex, age, and time since diagnosis for all cancers combined, and for selected cancer types. Projections were made up to 2020, overall and by time since diagnosis. Methods Data were from 27 Italian population-based cancer registries, covering 32% of the Italian population, able to provide at least 7 years of registration as of December 2009 and follow-up of vital status as of December 2013. The data were used to compute the limited-duration prevalence, in order to estimate the complete prevalence by means of the COMPREV software. Results In 2010, 2,637,975 persons were estimated to live in Italy after a cancer diagnosis, 1.2 million men and 1.4 million women, or 4.6% of the Italian population. A quarter of male prevalent cases had prostate cancer (n = 305,044), while 42% of prevalent women had breast cancer (n = 604,841). More than 1.5 million people (2.7% of Italians) were alive since 5 or more years after diagnosis and 20% since ≥15 years. It is projected that, in 2020 in Italy, there will be 3.6 million prevalent cancer cases (+ 37% vs 2010). The largest 10-year increases are foreseen for prostate (+ 85%) and for thyroid cancers (+ 79%), and for long-term survivors diagnosed since 20 or more years (+ 45%). Among the population aged ≥75 years, 22% will have had a previous cancer diagnosis. Conclusions The number of persons living after a cancer diagnosis is estimated to rise of approximately 3% per year in Italy. The availability of detailed estimates and projections of the complete prevalence are intended to help the implementation of guidelines aimed to enhance the long-term follow-up of cancer survivors and to contribute their rehabilitation needs.

Cancers diagnosed in children below the age of 15 years represent 1.2% of all cancer cases, and survival after a childhood cancer has greatly improved over the past 40 years in all high income countries. This study aims to estimate the number of people living in Italy after a childhood cancer for all cancers combined and for a selection of cancer types. We computed 15-year prevalence using data from 15 Italian population-based cancer registries (covering 19% of Italian population) and estimated complete prevalence for Italy by using the CHILDPREV method, implemented in the COMPREV software. A total of 44,135 persons were alive at January 1st, 2010 after a cancer diagnosed during childhood. This number corresponds to a proportion of 73 per 100,000 Italians and to about 2% of all prevalent cases. Among them, 54% were males and 64% had survived after being diagnosed before 1995, the start of the observation period. A quarter of all childhood prevalent cases were diagnosed with brain and central nervous system tumors, a quarter with acute lymphoid leukemia, and 7% with Hodgkin lymphoma. Nearly a quarter of prevalent patients were aged 40 years and older. Information about the number of people living after a childhood cancer in Italy by cancer type and their specific health care needs may be helpful to health-care planners and clinicians in the development of guidelines aimed to reduce the burden of late effect of treatments during childhood.

The aim of the SUDCAN collaborative study was to compare the net survival from 15 cancers diagnosed in 2000-2004 in six European Latin countries and provide trends in net survival and dynamics of excess mortality rates up to 5 years after diagnosis from 1992 to 2004 in France, Italy, Spain, and Switzerland, and from 2000 to 2004 in Belgium and Portugal. This paper presents a detailed description of the data analyzed and quality indicators. Incident cases from Belgium, France, Italy, Portugal, Spain, and Switzerland were retrieved from 56 general or specialized population-based cancer registries that participated in the EUROCARE-5 database. Fifteen cancer sites were analyzed. The data were checked according to the EUROCARE protocol. The percentages of excluded cases, cases based on death-certificate only, cases lost to follow-up at 5 years after diagnosis, and the proportions of microscopically verified cases were evaluated across countries and cancer sites. Data exclusions for major flaws were negligible. Cases based on death-certificate only were quite rare, except for some poor-prognosis cancers in some countries. The site-specific proportions of microscopically verified cases were generally high, but slightly lower in Italy than elsewhere. The percentage of cases lost to follow-up at 5 years after diagnosis was generally low. The net survival analyses in 2000-2004 included 873 314 tumors, whereas trend analyses included 1 426 004 tumors. The quality of the data analyzed was generally good. In fact, the analyzed data have been already checked and accepted for EUROCARE-5. However, slight differences in quality indexes, for some cancers, should be kept in mind in the interpretation of survival comparisons across countries.