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1. The present and future disease burden of hepatitis C virus infections with todayʼs treatment paradigm – volume 3

Author

Sibley, A., Han, K. H., Abourached, A., Lesmana, L. A., Makara, M., Jafri, W., Salupere, R., Assiri, A. M., Goldis, A., Abaalkhail, F., Abbas, Z., Abdou, A., Al Braiki, F., Al Hosani, F., Al Jaberi, K., Al Khatry, M., Al Mulla, M. A., Al Quraishi, H., Al Rifai, A., Al Serkal, Y., Alam, A., Alavian, S. M., Alashgar, H. I., Alawadhi, S., Al-Dabal, L., Aldins, P., Alfaleh, F. Z., Alghamdi, A. S., Al-Hakeem, R., Aljumah, A. A., Almessabi, A., Alqutub, A. N., Alswat, K. A., Altraif, I., Alzaabi, M., Andrea, N., Babatin, M. A., Baqir, A., Barakat, M. T., Bergmann, O. M., Bizri, A. R., Blach, S., Chaudhry, A., Choi, M. S., Diab, T., Djauzi, S., El Hassan, E. S., El Khoury, S., Estes, C., Fakhry, S., Farooqi, J. I., Fridjonsdottir, H., Gani, R. A., Ghafoor Khan, A., Gheorghe, L., Gottfredsson, M., Gregorcic, S., Gunter, J., Hajarizadeh, B., Hamid, S., Hasan, I., Hashim, A., Horvath, G., Hunyady, B., Husni, R., Jeruma, A., Jonasson, J. G., Karlsdottir, B., Kim, D. Y., Kim, Y. S., Koutoubi, Z., Liakina, V., Lim, Y. S., Löve, A., Maimets, M., Malekzadeh, R., Matičič, M., Memon, M. S., Merat, S., Mokhbat, J. E., Mourad, F. H., Muljono, D. H., Nawaz, A., Nugrahini, N., Olafsson, S., Priohutomo, S., Qureshi, H., Rassam, P., Razavi, H., Razavi-Shearer, D., Razavi-Shearer, K., Rozentale, B., Sadik, M., Saeed, K., Salamat, A., Sanai, F. M., Sanityoso Sulaiman, A., Sayegh, R. A., Sharara, A. I., Siddiq, M., Siddiqui, A. M., Sigmundsdottir, G., Sigurdardottir, B., Speiciene, D., Sulaiman, A., Sultan, M. A., Taha, M., Tanaka, J., Tarifi, H., Tayyab, G., Tolmane, I., Ud din, M., Umar, M., Valantinas, J., Videčnik-Zorman, J., Yaghi, C., Yunihastuti, E., Yusuf, M. A., Zuberi, B. F., and Schmelzer, J. D.

Published
2015
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2. Historical epidemiology of hepatitis C virus (HCV) in select countries – volume 3

Author

Liakina, V., Hamid, S., Tanaka, J., Olafsson, S., Sharara, A. I., Alavian, S. M., Gheorghe, L., El Hassan, E. S., Abaalkhail, F., Abbas, Z., Abdou, A., Abourached, A., Al Braiki, F., Al Hosani, F., Al Jaberi, K., Al Khatry, M., Al Mulla, M. A., Al Quraishi, H., Al Rifai, A., Al Serkal, Y., Alam, A., Alashgar, H. I., Alawadhi, S., Al-Dabal, L., Aldins, P., Alfaleh, F. Z., Alghamdi, A. S., Al-Hakeem, R., Aljumah, A. A., Almessabi, A., Alqutub, A. N., Alswat, K. A., Altraif, I., Alzaabi, M., Andrea, N., Assiri, A. M., Babatin, M. A., Baqir, A., Barakat, M. T., Bergmann, O. M., Bizri, A. R., Blach, S., Chaudhry, A., Choi, M. S., Diab, T., Djauzi, S., El Khoury, S., Estes, C., Fakhry, S., Farooqi, J. I., Fridjonsdottir, H., Gani, R. A., Ghafoor Khan, A., Goldis, A., Gottfredsson, M., Gregorcic, S., Hajarizadeh, B., Han, K. H., Hasan, I., Hashim, A., Horvath, G., Hunyady, B., Husni, R., Jafri, W., Jeruma, A., Jonasson, J. G., Karlsdottir, B., Kim, D. Y., Kim, Y. S., Koutoubi, Z., Lesmana, L. A., Lim, Y. S., Löve, A., Maimets, M., Makara, M., Malekzadeh, R., Matičič, M., Memon, M. S., Merat, S., Mokhbat, J. E., Mourad, F. H., Muljono, D. H., Nawaz, A., Nugrahini, N., Priohutomo, S., Qureshi, H., Rassam, P., Razavi, H., Razavi-Shearer, D., Razavi-Shearer, K., Rozentale, B., Sadik, M., Saeed, K., Salamat, A., Salupere, R., Sanai, F. M., Sanityoso Sulaiman, A., Sayegh, R. A., Schmelzer, J. D., Sibley, A., Siddiq, M., Siddiqui, A. M., Sigmundsdottir, G., Sigurdardottir, B., Speiciene, D., Sulaiman, A., Sultan, M. A., Taha, M., Tarifi, H., Tayyab, G., Tolmane, I., Ud din, M., Umar, M., Valantinas, J., Videčnik-Zorman, J., Yaghi, C., Yunihastuti, E., Yusuf, M. A., Zuberi, B. F., and Gunter, J.

Published
2015
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3. Strategies to manage hepatitis C virus infection disease burden – volume 3

Author

Alfaleh, F. Z., Nugrahini, N., Matičič, M., Tolmane, I., Alzaabi, M., Hajarizadeh, B., Valantinas, J., Kim, D. Y., Hunyady, B., Abaalkhail, F., Abbas, Z., Abdou, A., Abourached, A., Al Braiki, F., Al Hosani, F., Al Jaberi, K., Al Khatry, M., Al Mulla, M. A., Al Quraishi, H., Al Rifai, A., Al Serkal, Y., Alam, A., Alashgar, H. I., Alavian, S. M., Alawadhi, S., Al-Dabal, L., Aldins, P., Alghamdi, A. S., Al-Hakeem, R., Aljumah, A. A., Almessabi, A., Alqutub, A. N., Alswat, K. A., Altraif, I., Andrea, N., Assiri, A. M., Babatin, M. A., Baqir, A., Barakat, M. T., Bergmann, O. M., Bizri, A. R., Chaudhry, A., Choi, M. S., Diab, T., Djauzi, S., El Hassan, E. S., El Khoury, S., Estes, C., Fakhry, S., Farooqi, J. I., Fridjonsdottir, H., Gani, R. A., Ghafoor Khan, A., Gheorghe, L., Goldis, A., Gottfredsson, M., Gregorcic, S., Gunter, J., Hamid, S., Han, K. H., Hasan, I., Hashim, A., Horvath, G., Husni, R., Jafri, W., Jeruma, A., Jonasson, J. G., Karlsdottir, B., Kim, Y. S., Koutoubi, Z., Lesmana, L. A., Liakina, V., Lim, Y. S., Löve, A., Maimets, M., Makara, M., Malekzadeh, R., Memon, M. S., Merat, S., Mokhbat, J. E., Mourad, F. H., Muljono, D. H., Nawaz, A., Olafsson, S., Priohutomo, S., Qureshi, H., Rassam, P., Razavi, H., Razavi-Shearer, D., Razavi-Shearer, K., Rozentale, B., Sadik, M., Saeed, K., Salamat, A., Salupere, R., Sanai, F. M., Sanityoso Sulaiman, A., Sayegh, R. A., Schmelzer, J. D., Sharara, A. I., Sibley, A., Siddiq, M., Siddiqui, A. M., Sigmundsdottir, G., Sigurdardottir, B., Speiciene, D., Sulaiman, A., Sultan, M. A., Taha, M., Tanaka, J., Tarifi, H., Tayyab, G., Ud din, M., Umar, M., Videčnik-Zorman, J., Yaghi, C., Yunihastuti, E., Yusuf, M. A., Zuberi, B. F., and Blach, S.

Published
2015
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4. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: A modelling study

Author

Blach, S. Zeuzem, S. Manns, M. Altraif, I. Duberg, A.-S. Muljono, D.H. Waked, I. Alavian, S.M. Lee, M.-H. Negro, F. Abaalkhail, F. Abdou, A. Abdulla, M. Abou Rached, A. Aho, I. Akarca, U. Al Ghazzawi, I. Al Kaabi, S. Al Lawati, F. Al Namaani, K. Al Serkal, Y. Al-Busafi, S.A. Al-Dabal, L. Aleman, S. Alghamdi, A.S. Aljumah, A.A. Al-Romaihi, H.E. Andersson, M.I. Arendt, V. Arkkila, P. Assiri, A.M. Baatarkhuu, O. Bane, A. Ben-Ari, Z. Bergin, C. Bessone, F. Bihl, F. Bizri, A.R. Blachier, M. Blasco, A.J. Brandao Mello, C.E. Bruggmann, P. Brunton, C.R. Calinas, F. Chan, H.L.Y. Chaudhry, A. Cheinquer, H. Chen, C.-J. Chien, R.-N. Choi, M.S. Christensen, P.B. Chuang, W.-L. Chulanov, V. Cisneros, L. Clausen, M.R. Cramp, M.E. Craxi, A. Croes, E.A. Dalgard, O. Daruich, J.R. De Ledinghen, V. Dore, G.J. El-Sayed, M.H. Ergor, G. Esmat, G. Estes, C. Falconer, K. Farag, E. Ferraz, M.L.G. Ferreira, P.R. Flisiak, R. Frankova, S. Gamkrelidze, I. Gane, E. Garcia-Samaniego, J. Khan, A.G. Gountas, I. Goldis, A. Gottfredsson, M. Grebely, J. Gschwantler, M. Guimaraes Pessoa, M. Gunter, J. Hajarizadeh, B. Hajelssedig, O. Hamid, S. Hamoudi, W. Hatzakis, A. Himatt, S.M. Hofer, H. Hrstic, I. Hui, Y.-T. Hunyady, B. Idilman, R. Jafri, W. Jahis, R. Janjua, N.Z. Jarčuška, P. Jeruma, A. Jonasson, J.G. Kamel, Y. Kao, J.-H. Kaymakoglu, S. Kershenobich, D. Khamis, J. Kim, Y.S. Kondili, L. Koutoubi, Z. Krajden, M. Krarup, H. Lai, M.-S. Laleman, W. Lao, W.-C. Lavanchy, D. Lazaro, P. Leleu, H. Lesi, O. Lesmana, L.A. Li, M. Liakina, V. Lim, Y.-S. Luksic, B. Mahomed, A. Maimets, M. Makara, M. Malu, A.O. Marinho, R.T. Marotta, P. Mauss, S. Memon, M.S. Mendes Correa, M.C. Mendez-Sanchez, N. Merat, S. Metwally, A.M. Mohamed, R. Moreno, C. Mourad, F.H. Mullhaupt, B. Murphy, K. Nde, H. Njouom, R. Nonkovic, D. Norris, S. Obekpa, S. Oguche, S. Olafsson, S. Oltman, M. Omede, O. Omuemu, C. Opare-Sem, O. Ovrehus, A.L.H. Owusu-Ofori, S. Oyunsuren, T.S. Papatheodoridis, G. Pasini, K. Peltekian, K.M. Phillips, R.O. Pimenov, N. Poustchi, H. Prabdial-Sing, N. Qureshi, H. Ramji, A. Razavi-Shearer, D. Razavi-Shearer, K. Redae, B. Reesink, H.W. Ridruejo, E. Robbins, S. Roberts, L.R. Roberts, S.K. Rosenberg, W.M. Roudot-Thoraval, F. Ryder, S.D. Safadi, R. Sagalova, O. Salupere, R. Sanai, F.M. Sanchez Avila, J.F. Saraswat, V. Sarmento-Castro, R. Sarrazin, C. Schmelzer, J.D. Schreter, I. Seguin-Devaux, C. Shah, S.R. Sharara, A.I. Sharma, M. Shevaldin, A. Shiha, G.E. Sievert, W. Sonderup, M. Souliotis, K. Speiciene, D. Sperl, J. Starkel, P. Stauber, R.E. Stedman, C. Struck, D. Su, T.-H. Sypsa, V. Tan, S.-S. Tanaka, J. Thompson, A.J. Tolmane, I. Tomasiewicz, K. Valantinas, J. Van Damme, P. Van Der Meer, A.J. Van Thiel, I. Van Vlierberghe, H. Vince, A. Vogel, W. Wedemeyer, H. Weis, N. Wong, V.W.S. Yaghi, C. Yosry, A. Yuen, M.-F. Yunihastuti, E. Yusuf, A. Zuckerman, E. Razavi, H. The Polaris Observatory HCV Collaborators

Abstract

Background The 69th World Health Assembly approved the Global Health Sector Strategy to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection by 2030, which can become a reality with the recent launch of direct acting antiviral therapies. Reliable disease burden estimates are required for national strategies. This analysis estimates the global prevalence of viraemic HCV at the end of 2015, an update of—and expansion on—the 2014 analysis, which reported 80 million (95% CI 64–103) viraemic infections in 2013. Methods We developed country-level disease burden models following a systematic review of HCV prevalence (number of studies, n=6754) and genotype (n=11 342) studies published after 2013. A Delphi process was used to gain country expert consensus and validate inputs. Published estimates alone were used for countries where expert panel meetings could not be scheduled. Global prevalence was estimated using regional averages for countries without data. Findings Models were built for 100 countries, 59 of which were approved by country experts, with the remaining 41 estimated using published data alone. The remaining countries had insufficient data to create a model. The global prevalence of viraemic HCV is estimated to be 1·0% (95% uncertainty interval 0·8–1·1) in 2015, corresponding to 71·1 million (62·5–79·4) viraemic infections. Genotypes 1 and 3 were the most common cause of infections (44% and 25%, respectively). Interpretation The global estimate of viraemic infections is lower than previous estimates, largely due to more recent (lower) prevalence estimates in Africa. Additionally, increased mortality due to liver-related causes and an ageing population may have contributed to a reduction in infections. Funding John C Martin Foundation. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd

Published
2017

5. Hepatitis C virus prevalence and level of intervention required to achieve the WHO targets for elimination in the European Union by 2030: a modelling study

Author

Razavi, H. Robbins, S. Zeuzem, S. Negro, F. Buti, M. Duberg, A. Roudot-Thoraval, F. Craxi, A. Manns, M. Marinho, R.T. Hunyady, B. Colombo, M. Aleman, S. Antonov, K. Arkkila, P. Athanasakis, K. Blach, S. Blachier, M. Blasco, A.J. Calinas, F. Calleja, J.L. Christensen, P.B. Cramp, M.E. Croes, E. de Knegt, R.J. de Ledinghen, V. Delile, J.-M. Estes, C. Falconer, K. Färkkilä, M. Flisiak, R. Frankova, S. Gamkrelidze, I. García-Samaniego, J. Genov, J. Gerstoft, J. Gheorghe, L. Goldis, A. Gountas, I. Gregorčič, S. Gschwantler, M. Gunter, J. Halota, W. Harcouet, L. Hézode, C. Hoffmann, P. Horvath, G. Hrstic, I. Jarčuška, P. Jelev, D. Jeruma, A. Kåberg, M. Kieran, J. Kondili, L.A. Kotzev, I. Krarup, H. Kristian, P. Lagging, M. Laleman, W. Lázaro, P. Liakina, V. Lukšić, B. Maimets, M. Makara, M. Mateva, L. Maticic, M. Mennini, F.S. Mitova, R. Moreno, C. Mossong, J. Murphy, K. Nde, H. Nemecek, V. Nonkovic, D. Norris, S. Oltman, M. Øvrehus, A.L.H. Papatheodoridis, G. Pasini, K. Razavi-Shearer, D. Razavi-Shearer, K. Reesink, H.W. Reic, T. Rozentale, B. Ryder, S.D. Salupere, R. Sarmento-Castro, R. Sarrazin, C. Schmelzer, J.D. Schréter, I. Seguin-Devaux, C. Simojoki, K. Simonova, M. Smit, P.J. Souliotis, K. Speiciene, D. Sperl, J. Stärkel, P. Struck, D. Sypsa, V. Thornton, L. Tolmane, I. Tomasiewicz, K. Valantinas, J. Van Damme, P. van de Vijver, D. van der Meer, A.J. van Santen, D. Van Vlierberghe, H. Vandijck, D. Vella, S. Videčnik-Zorman, J. Vogel, W. Weis, N. Hatzakis, A. The European Union HCV Collaborators

Abstract

Background Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide. In the European Union (EU), treatment and cure of HCV with direct-acting antiviral therapies began in 2014. WHO targets are to achieve a 65% reduction in liver-related deaths, a 90% reduction of new viral hepatitis infections, and 90% of patients with viral hepatitis infections being diagnosed by 2030. This study assessed the prevalence of HCV in the EU and the level of intervention required to achieve WHO targets for HCV elimination. Methods We populated country Markov models for the 28 EU countries through a literature search of PubMed and Embase between Jan 1, 2000, and March 31, 2016, and a Delphi process to gain expert consensus and validate inputs. We aggregated country models to create a regional EU model. We used the EU model to forecast HCV disease progression (considering the effect of immigration) and developed a strategy to acehive WHO targets. We used weighted average sustained viral response rates and fibrosis restrictions to model the effect of current therapeutic guidelines. We used the EU model to forecast HCV disease progression (considering the effect of immigration) under current screening and therapeutic guidelines. Additionally, we back-calculated the total number of patients needing to be screened and treated to achieve WHO targets. Findings We estimated the number of viraemic HCV infections in 2015 to be 3 238 000 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 2 106 000–3 795 000) of a total population of 509 868 000 in the EU, equating to a prevalence of viraemic HCV of 0·64% (95% UI 0·41–0·74). We estimated that 1 180 000 (95% UI 1 003 000–1 357 000) people were diagnosed with viraemia (36·4%), 150 000 (12 000–180 000) were treated (4·6% of the total infected population or 12·7% of the diagnosed population), 133 000 (106 000–160 000) were cured (4·1%), and 57 900 (43 900–67 300) were newly infected (1·8%) in 2015. Additionally, 30 400 (26 600–42 500) HCV-positive immigrants entered the EU. To achieve WHO targets, unrestricted treatment needs to increase from 150 000 patients in 2015 to 187 000 patients in 2025 and diagnosis needs to increase from 88 800 new cases annually in 2015 to 180 000 in 2025. Interpretation Given its advanced health-care infrastructure, the EU is uniquely poised to eliminate HCV; however, expansion of screening programmes is essential to increase treatment to achieve the WHO targets. A united effort, grounded in sound epidemiological evidence, will also be necessary. Funding Gilead Sciences. © 2017 Elsevier Ltd

Published
2017

6. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015: A modelling study.

Author

Farag E., De Ledinghen V., Dore G.J., Papatheodoridis G., Pasini K., Peltekian K.M., Phillips R.O., Pimenov N., Poustchi H., Prabdial-Sing N., Qureshi H., Ramji A., Razavi-Shearer D., Razavi-Shearer K., Redae B., Reesink H.W., Ridruejo E., Robbins S., Roberts L.R., Roberts S.K., Rosenberg W.M., Roudot-Thoraval F., Ryder S.D., Safadi R., Sagalova O., Salupere R., Sanai F.M., Sanchez Avila J.F., Saraswat V., Sarmento-Castro R., Sarrazin C., Schmelzer J.D., Schreter I., Seguin-Devaux C., Shah S.R., Sharara A.I., Sharma M., Shevaldin A., Shiha G.E., Sonderup M., Souliotis K., Speiciene D., Sperl J., Starkel P., Stauber R.E., Stedman C., Struck D., Su T.-H., Sypsa V., Tan S.-S., Tanaka J., Thompson A.J., Tolmane I., Tomasiewicz K., Valantinas J., Van Damme P., Van Der Meer A.J., Van Thiel I., Van Vlierberghe H., Vince A., Vogel W., Wedemeyer H., Weis N., Wong V.W.S., Yaghi C., Yosry A., Yuen M.-F., Yunihastuti E., Yusuf A., Zuckerman E., Razavi H., Sievert W., Blach S., Zeuzem S., Manns M., Altraif I., Duberg A.-S., Muljono D.H., Waked I., Alavian S.M., Lee M.-H., Negro F., Abaalkhail F., Abdou A., Abdulla M., Abou Rached A., Aho I., Akarca U., Al Ghazzawi I., Al Kaabi S., Al Lawati F., Al Namaani K., Al Serkal Y., Al-Busafi S.A., Al-Dabal L., Aleman S., Alghamdi A.S., Aljumah A.A., Al-Romaihi H.E., Andersson M.I., Arendt V., Arkkila P., Assiri A.M., Baatarkhuu O., Bane A., Ben-Ari Z., Bergin C., Bessone F., Bihl F., Bizri A.R., Blachier M., Blasco A.J., Brandao Mello C.E., Bruggmann P., Brunton C.R., Calinas F., Chan H.L.Y., Chaudhry A., Cheinquer H., Chen C.-J., Chien R.-N., Choi M.S., Christensen P.B., Chuang W.-L., Chulanov V., Cisneros L., Clausen M.R., Cramp M.E., Craxi A., Croes E.A., Dalgard O., Daruich J.R., El-Sayed M.H., Ergor G., Esmat G., Estes C., Falconer K., Ferraz M.L.G., Ferreira P.R., Flisiak R., Frankova S., Gamkrelidze I., Gane E., Garcia-Samaniego J., Khan A.G., Gountas I., Goldis A., Gottfredsson M., Grebely J., Gschwantler M., Guimaraes Pessoa M., Gunter J., Hajarizadeh B., Hajelssedig O., Hamid S., Hamoudi W., Hatzakis A., Himatt S.M., Hofer H., Hrstic I., Hui Y.-T., Hunyady B., Idilman R., Jafri W., Jahis R., Janjua N.Z., Jarcuska P., Jeruma A., Jonasson J.G., Kamel Y., Kao J.-H., Kaymakoglu S., Kershenobich D., Khamis J., Kim Y.S., Kondili L., Koutoubi Z., Krajden M., Krarup H., Lai M.-S., Laleman W., Lao W.-C., Lavanchy D., Lazaro P., Leleu H., Lesi O., Lesmana L.A., Li M., Liakina V., Lim Y.-S., Luksic B., Mahomed A., Maimets M., Makara M., Malu A.O., Marinho R.T., Marotta P., Mauss S., Memon M.S., Mendes Correa M.C., Mendez-Sanchez N., Merat S., Metwally A.M., Mohamed R., Moreno C., Mourad F.H., Mullhaupt B., Murphy K., Nde H., Njouom R., Nonkovic D., Norris S., Obekpa S., Oguche S., Olafsson S., Oltman M., Omede O., Omuemu C., Opare-Sem O., Ovrehus A.L.H., Owusu-Ofori S., Oyunsuren T.S., Farag E., De Ledinghen V., Dore G.J., Papatheodoridis G., Pasini K., Peltekian K.M., Phillips R.O., Pimenov N., Poustchi H., Prabdial-Sing N., Qureshi H., Ramji A., Razavi-Shearer D., Razavi-Shearer K., Redae B., Reesink H.W., Ridruejo E., Robbins S., Roberts L.R., Roberts S.K., Rosenberg W.M., Roudot-Thoraval F., Ryder S.D., Safadi R., Sagalova O., Salupere R., Sanai F.M., Sanchez Avila J.F., Saraswat V., Sarmento-Castro R., Sarrazin C., Schmelzer J.D., Schreter I., Seguin-Devaux C., Shah S.R., Sharara A.I., Sharma M., Shevaldin A., Shiha G.E., Sonderup M., Souliotis K., Speiciene D., Sperl J., Starkel P., Stauber R.E., Stedman C., Struck D., Su T.-H., Sypsa V., Tan S.-S., Tanaka J., Thompson A.J., Tolmane I., Tomasiewicz K., Valantinas J., Van Damme P., Van Der Meer A.J., Van Thiel I., Van Vlierberghe H., Vince A., Vogel W., Wedemeyer H., Weis N., Wong V.W.S., Yaghi C., Yosry A., Yuen M.-F., Yunihastuti E., Yusuf A., Zuckerman E., Razavi H., Sievert W., Blach S., Zeuzem S., Manns M., Altraif I., Duberg A.-S., Muljono D.H., Waked I., Alavian S.M., Lee M.-H., Negro F., Abaalkhail F., Abdou A., Abdulla M., Abou Rached A., Aho I., Akarca U., Al Ghazzawi I., Al Kaabi S., Al Lawati F., Al Namaani K., Al Serkal Y., Al-Busafi S.A., Al-Dabal L., Aleman S., Alghamdi A.S., Aljumah A.A., Al-Romaihi H.E., Andersson M.I., Arendt V., Arkkila P., Assiri A.M., Baatarkhuu O., Bane A., Ben-Ari Z., Bergin C., Bessone F., Bihl F., Bizri A.R., Blachier M., Blasco A.J., Brandao Mello C.E., Bruggmann P., Brunton C.R., Calinas F., Chan H.L.Y., Chaudhry A., Cheinquer H., Chen C.-J., Chien R.-N., Choi M.S., Christensen P.B., Chuang W.-L., Chulanov V., Cisneros L., Clausen M.R., Cramp M.E., Craxi A., Croes E.A., Dalgard O., Daruich J.R., El-Sayed M.H., Ergor G., Esmat G., Estes C., Falconer K., Ferraz M.L.G., Ferreira P.R., Flisiak R., Frankova S., Gamkrelidze I., Gane E., Garcia-Samaniego J., Khan A.G., Gountas I., Goldis A., Gottfredsson M., Grebely J., Gschwantler M., Guimaraes Pessoa M., Gunter J., Hajarizadeh B., Hajelssedig O., Hamid S., Hamoudi W., Hatzakis A., Himatt S.M., Hofer H., Hrstic I., Hui Y.-T., Hunyady B., Idilman R., Jafri W., Jahis R., Janjua N.Z., Jarcuska P., Jeruma A., Jonasson J.G., Kamel Y., Kao J.-H., Kaymakoglu S., Kershenobich D., Khamis J., Kim Y.S., Kondili L., Koutoubi Z., Krajden M., Krarup H., Lai M.-S., Laleman W., Lao W.-C., Lavanchy D., Lazaro P., Leleu H., Lesi O., Lesmana L.A., Li M., Liakina V., Lim Y.-S., Luksic B., Mahomed A., Maimets M., Makara M., Malu A.O., Marinho R.T., Marotta P., Mauss S., Memon M.S., Mendes Correa M.C., Mendez-Sanchez N., Merat S., Metwally A.M., Mohamed R., Moreno C., Mourad F.H., Mullhaupt B., Murphy K., Nde H., Njouom R., Nonkovic D., Norris S., Obekpa S., Oguche S., Olafsson S., Oltman M., Omede O., Omuemu C., Opare-Sem O., Ovrehus A.L.H., Owusu-Ofori S., and Oyunsuren T.S.

Abstract

Background The 69th World Health Assembly approved the Global Health Sector Strategy to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection by 2030, which can become a reality with the recent launch of direct acting antiviral therapies. Reliable disease burden estimates are required for national strategies. This analysis estimates the global prevalence of viraemic HCV at the end of 2015, an update of-and expansion on-the 2014 analysis, which reported 80 million (95% CI 64-103) viraemic infections in 2013. Methods We developed country-level disease burden models following a systematic review of HCV prevalence (number of studies, n=6754) and genotype (n=11 342) studies published after 2013. A Delphi process was used to gain country expert consensus and validate inputs. Published estimates alone were used for countries where expert panel meetings could not be scheduled. Global prevalence was estimated using regional averages for countries without data. Findings Models were built for 100 countries, 59 of which were approved by country experts, with the remaining 41 estimated using published data alone. The remaining countries had insufficient data to create a model. The global prevalence of viraemic HCV is estimated to be 1.0% (95% uncertainty interval 0.8-1.1) in 2015, corresponding to 71.1 million (62.5-79.4) viraemic infections. Genotypes 1 and 3 were the most common cause of infections (44% and 25%, respectively). Interpretation The global estimate of viraemic infections is lower than previous estimates, largely due to more recent (lower) prevalence estimates in Africa. Additionally, increased mortality due to liver-related causes and an ageing population may have contributed to a reduction in infections. Funding John C Martin Foundation.Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd

Published
2017

9. Global prevalence and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus infection in 2015:a modelling study

Author

Hans Van Vlierberghe, Soo Aleman, Naveed Z. Janjua, Henry Lik-Yuen Chan, Olufunmilayo A. Lesi, Irena Hrstić, Abdullah M. Assiri, William Rosenberg, Moon sing Lai, Vladimir Chulanov, Jan Sperl, Beat Müllhaupt, Michael Manns, William Sievert, Sabahattin Kaymakoglu, Cesar Yaghi, Evy Yunihastuti, Pierre Van Damme, Jon G. Jonasson, Antonio Javier Blasco, Young Sik Kim, S. Olafsson, Rohani Jahis, Christoph Sarrazin, Manik Sharma, Aasim Yusuf, Omer Hajelssedig, Javier García-Samaniego, Boris Lukšić, Peter Stärkel, Stefan Zeuzem, Stephen Oguche, E. A. Croes, Abdullah S. Alghamdi, Richard Njouom, CE Omuemu, Carlos E Brandão Mello, Adam Mahomed, Behzad Hajarizadeh, Ogu Omede, Said A. Al-Busafi, Sarah Robbins, Peer Brehm Christensen, Ammal M. Metwally, Béla Hunyady, Gamal Esmat, Ivane Gamkrelidze, Maheeba Abdulla, Suzanne Norris, Sarah Blach, Harald Hofer, Maria C Mendes Correa, Devin Razavi-Shearer, Matti Maimets, Chien-Jen Chen, Peter Jarcuska, Marian Oltman, Francesco Negro, Ilias Gountas, Ayman Yosry, Sona Frankova, Adrian Goldis, Laurentius A. Lesmana, Ivan Schréter, Danute Speiciene, Kevork M. Peltekian, Berhane Redae, Stuart K. Roberts, Valentina Liakina, Seyed M Alavian, Wai-cheung C Lao, Ziv Ben-Ari, Imad Al Ghazzawi, Cheryl Brunton, Rudolf E. Stauber, Akram Khan, Tung-Hung Su, Manal H El-Sayed, Kimberly Murphy, Kyriakos Souliotis, Adriana Vince, Ramazan Idilman, Christophe Moreno, Angelos Hatzakis, Lewis R. Roberts, Richard Phillips, Jason Grebely, Michael Gschwantler, Hugo Cheinquer, Vana Sypsa, Samir Shah, Wolfgang Vogel, M. Blachier, Abate Bane, Henri Leleu, Saeed Hamid, Ohene Opare-Sem, Hamad Al-Romaihi, Wan-Long Chuang, Alexander J. Thompson, Agita Jeruma, Robert Flisiak, Catherine A.M. Stedman, Ingo van Thiel, Carole Seguin-Devaux, Jonathan Schmelzer, Juan F.Sanchez Avila, Rui Tato Marinho, Muhammad S. Memon, Nina Weis, Rosmawati Mohamed, Florian Bihl, Moon Seok Choi, David Kershenobich, Vic Arendt, Yee Tak Hui, Mei Hsuan Lee, N. N. Pimenov, Saad Al Kaabi, Ken Pasini, Henrik Krarup, Stefan Mauss, Shahin Merat, Khalid Al Namaani, Rong-Nan Chien, Perttu Arkkila, Henk W. Reesink, Françoise Roudot-Thoraval, Paul Marotta, Shirley Owusu-Ofori, Fadi H. Mourad, Abdul Rahman Bizri, Chris Estes, Heiner Wedemeyer, Faisal M. Sanai, Mihály Makara, Stephen D. Ryder, Mel Krajden, Laura Cisneros, Adriaan J. van der Meer, Eli Zuckerman, Matthew E. Cramp, Rui Sarmento-Castro, Magnus Gottfredsson, Gregory J. Dore, Huma Qureshi, Yasser Kamel, Olga Sagalova, Rifaat Safadi, Wim Laleman, Solomon Obekpa, Karolin Falconer, Edward Gane, Philip Bruggmann, Fernando Bessone, Jia-Horng Kao, Daniel Lavanchy, Riina Salupere, Anne Øvrehus, Ulus Salih Akarca, Monique Andersson, Man-Fung Yuen, Ala I. Sharara, Olav Dalgard, Homie Razavi, Gamal Shiha, Paulo R. Ferreira, George V. Papatheodoridis, Anatoly Shevaldin, Jawad Khamis, Waseem Hamoudi, Kathryn Razavi-Shearer, Vincent Ws Wong, Loreta A. Kondili, Maria Lucia Gomes Ferraz, Wasim Jafri, Pablo Lázaro, Faisal Abaalkhail, David H. Muljono, Youssif Al Serkal, Imam Waked, Zaher Koutoubi, Oidov Baatarkhuu, Nahum Méndez-Sánchez, Abraham O. Malu, Daniel Struck, Helen Nde, Alnoor Ramji, Ahmed Abdou, Antoine Abou Rached, Michael Li, Diana Nonković, Jorge Daruich, Ezequiel Ridruejo, Gül Ergör, Ann-Sofi Duberg, Krzysztof Tomasiewicz, Filipe Calinas, Hossein Poustchi, Layla Al-Dabal, Jessie Gunter, Mark W. Sonderup, Colm Bergin, Mario G. Pessoa, Jonas Valantinas, Asad Chaudhry, Junko Tanaka, Tsendsuren S. Oyunsuren, Soek Siam Tan, Vivek A. Saraswat, Young-Suk Lim, Ibrahim Altraif, Victor de Ledinghen, Faryal Al Lawati, Mette Rye Clausen, Ieva Tolmane, Antonio Craxì, Abdulrahman Aljumah, Elmoubashar Farag, Inka Aho, Sayed Himatt, Nishi Prabdial-Sing, Blach S., Zeuzem S., Manns M., Altraif I., Duberg A.-S., Muljono D.H., Waked I., Alavian S.M., Lee M.-H., Negro F., Abaalkhail F., Abdou A., Abdulla M., Abou Rached A., Aho I., Akarca U., Al Ghazzawi I., Al Kaabi S., Al Lawati F., Al Namaani K., Al Serkal Y., Al-Busafi S.A., Al-Dabal L., Aleman S., Alghamdi A.S., Aljumah A.A., Al-Romaihi H.E., Andersson M.I., Arendt V., Arkkila P., Assiri A.M., Baatarkhuu O., Bane A., Ben-Ari Z., Bergin C., Bessone F., Bihl F., Bizri A.R., Blachier M., Blasco A.J., Brandao Mello C.E., Bruggmann P., Brunton C.R., Calinas F., Chan H.L.Y., Chaudhry A., Cheinquer H., Chen C.-J., Chien R.-N., Choi M.S., Christensen P.B., Chuang W.-L., Chulanov V., Cisneros L., Clausen M.R., Cramp M.E., Craxi A., Croes E.A., Dalgard O., Daruich J.R., De Ledinghen V., Dore G.J., El-Sayed M.H., Ergor G., Esmat G., Estes C., Falconer K., Farag E., Ferraz M.L.G., Ferreira P.R., Flisiak R., Frankova S., Gamkrelidze I., Gane E., Garcia-Samaniego J., Khan A.G., Gountas I., Goldis A., Gottfredsson M., Grebely J., Gschwantler M., Guimaraes Pessoa M., Gunter J., Hajarizadeh B., Hajelssedig O., Hamid S., Hamoudi W., Hatzakis A., Himatt S.M., Hofer H., Hrstic I., Hui Y.-T., Hunyady B., Idilman R., Jafri W., Jahis R., Janjua N.Z., Jarcuska P., Jeruma A., Jonasson J.G., Kamel Y., Kao J.-H., Kaymakoglu S., Kershenobich D., Khamis J., Kim Y.S., Kondili L., Koutoubi Z., Krajden M., Krarup H., Lai M.-S., Laleman W., Lao W.-C., Lavanchy D., Lazaro P., Leleu H., Lesi O., Lesmana L.A., Li M., Liakina V., Lim Y.-S., Luksic B., Mahomed A., Maimets M., Makara M., Malu A.O., Marinho R.T., Marotta P., Mauss S., Memon M.S., Mendes Correa M.C., Mendez-Sanchez N., Merat S., Metwally A.M., Mohamed R., Moreno C., Mourad F.H., Mullhaupt B., Murphy K., Nde H., Njouom R., Nonkovic D., Norris S., Obekpa S., Oguche S., Olafsson S., Oltman M., Omede O., Omuemu C., Opare-Sem O., Ovrehus A.L.H., Owusu-Ofori S., Oyunsuren T.S., Papatheodoridis G., Pasini K., Peltekian K.M., Phillips R.O., Pimenov N., Poustchi H., Prabdial-Sing N., Qureshi H., Ramji A., Razavi-Shearer D., Razavi-Shearer K., Redae B., Reesink H.W., Ridruejo E., Robbins S., Roberts L.R., Roberts S.K., Rosenberg W.M., Roudot-Thoraval F., Ryder S.D., Safadi R., Sagalova O., Salupere R., Sanai F.M., Sanchez Avila J.F., Saraswat V., Sarmento-Castro R., Sarrazin C., Schmelzer J.D., Schreter I., Seguin-Devaux C., Shah S.R., Sharara A.I., Sharma M., Shevaldin A., Shiha G.E., Sievert W., Sonderup M., Souliotis K., Speiciene D., Sperl J., Starkel P., Stauber R.E., Stedman C., Struck D., Su T.-H., Sypsa V., Tan S.-S., Tanaka J., Thompson A.J., Tolmane I., Tomasiewicz K., Valantinas J., Van Damme P., Van Der Meer A.J., Van Thiel I., Van Vlierberghe H., Vince A., Vogel W., Wedemeyer H., Weis N., Wong V.W.S., Yaghi C., Yosry A., Yuen M.-F., Yunihastuti E., Yusuf A., Zuckerman E., Razavi H., Polaris Observ HCV Collaborators, Negro, Francesco, and Ege Üniversitesi

Subjects
Viremia/epidemiology, Population ageing, medicine.medical_specialty, CIENCIAS MÉDICAS Y DE LA SALUD, Delphi Technique, Genotype, Voxilaprevir, Genotype, Global Health, Hepatitis C, Eradication, Modelling study, Medicina Clínica, ddc:616.07, Global Health, Bioinformatics, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Cost of Illness, Epidemiology, Journal Article, medicine, Global health, Prevalence, Humans, Viremia, 030212 general & internal medicine, Disease Eradication, Disease burden, ddc:616, Hepatology, Hepatitis C, Chronic/epidemiology, business.industry, Gastroenterology, Hepatitis C, Glecaprevir, Hepatitis C, Chronic, medicine.disease, Viremia/epidemiology/genetics, Pibrentasvir, Global Health/statistics & numerical data, HCV, HEPATITIS C, 030211 gastroenterology & hepatology, Medicina Critica y de Emergencia, Human medicine, business, Chronic/epidemiology/genetics/prevention & control, Demography
Abstract

WOS: 000426979400014, PubMed ID: 28404132, Background The 69th World Health Assembly approved the Global Health Sector Strategy to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection by 2030, which can become a reality with the recent launch of direct acting antiviral therapies. Reliable disease burden estimates are required for national strategies. This analysis estimates the global prevalence of viraemic HCV at the end of 2015, an update of-and expansion on-the 2014 analysis, which reported 80 million (95% CI 64-103) viraemic infections in 2013. Methods We developed country-level disease burden models following a systematic review of HCV prevalence (number of studies, n=6754) and genotype (n=11 342) studies published after 2013. A Delphi process was used to gain country expert consensus and validate inputs. Published estimates alone were used for countries where expert panel meetings could not be scheduled. Global prevalence was estimated using regional averages for countries without data. Findings Models were built for 100 countries, 59 of which were approved by country experts, with the remaining 41 estimated using published data alone. The remaining countries had insufficient data to create a model. The global prevalence of viraemic HCV is estimated to be 1.0% (95% uncertainty interval 0.8-1.1) in 2015, corresponding to 71.1 million (62.5-79.4) viraemic infections. Genotypes 1 and 3 were the most common cause of infections (44% and 25%, respectively). Interpretation The global estimate of viraemic infections is lower than previous estimates, largely due to more recent (lower) prevalence estimates in Africa. Additionally, increased mortality due to liver-related causes and an ageing population may have contributed to a reduction in infections., John C Martin Foundation, John C Martin Foundation.

Published
2017

10. Variants at IRF5-TNPO3, 17q12-21 and MMEL1 are associated with primary biliary cirrhosis.

Author

Hirschfield GM, Liu X, Han Y, Gorlov IP, Lu Y, Xu C, Lu Y, Chen W, Juran BD, Coltescu C, Mason AL, Milkiewicz P, Myers RP, Odin JA, Luketic VA, Speiciene D, Vincent C, Levy C, Gregersen PK, Zhang J, Heathcote EJ, Lazaridis KN, Amos CI, and Siminovitch KA

Subjects
Case-Control Studies, Genes, Genome-Wide Association Study, Genotype, Humans, Risk Factors, Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary genetics
Abstract

We genotyped individuals with primary biliary cirrhosis and unaffected controls for suggestive risk loci (genome-wide association P < 1 x 10(-4)) identified in a previous genome-wide association study. Combined analysis of the genome-wide association and replication datasets identified IRF5-TNPO3 (combined P = 8.66 x 10(-13)), 17q12-21 (combined P = 3.50 x 10(-13)) and MMEL1 (combined P = 3.15 x 10(-8)) as new primary biliary cirrhosis susceptibility loci. Fine-mapping studies showed that a single variant accounts for the IRF5-TNPO3 association. As these loci are implicated in other autoimmune conditions, these findings confirm genetic overlap among such diseases.

Published
2010
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11. Changes in hepatitis C virus infection routes and genotype distribution in a Lithuanian cohort with chronic hepatitis C.

Author

Liakina V, Speiciene D, Irnius A, and Valantinas J

Subjects
Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Cohort Studies, Female, Genotype, Hepatitis C, Chronic epidemiology, Hepatitis C, Chronic virology, Hospitalization, Humans, Lithuania epidemiology, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Substance Abuse, Intravenous complications, Tattooing adverse effects, Young Adult, Hepacivirus genetics, Hepatitis C, Chronic transmission
Abstract

Background: We evaluated the distribution of hepatitis C virus genotypes and determined their association with routes of infection according to the sex and age of the study subjects., Material/methods: We studied 1158 patients with chronic hepatitis C. Hepatitis C virus antibodies were detected with a microparticle enzyme immunoassay, hepatitis C virus ribonucleic acid was identified via polymerase chain reaction, and hepatitis C virus genotypes were determined with a line probe assay. An anonymous questionnaire completed by all subjects included the date of chronic hepatitis C diagnosis, the age and sex of the patient, the hepatitis C virus genotype and subtype, and possible routes of infection., Results: Of the patients studied, 50.9% had more than 1 possible route of infection, 41.2% had a single route of infection, and 7.9% had an unknown route of infection. The most common hepatitis C transmission routes were intravenous drug use and tattoos in younger patients and surgery or long or multiple hospitalizations in older patients. The genotype distribution was as follows: genotype 1, 65.0% of patients; genotype 2, 26.3%; and genotype 3, 8.7%. The transmission of genotype 1 was associated primarily with surgery and that of genotype 3 was linked with intravenous drug use., Conclusions: Today, the main routes of hepatitis C virus transmission are intravenous drug use and tattoos. Some hepatitis C infections are associated with surgery or are acquired from a family member. The shift in transmission pathways predetermined the shift in hepatitis C virus genotypes from 1 to 3.

Published
2009

12. Primary biliary cirrhosis in Lithuania: diagnosis and clinical picture.

Author

Speiciene D, Irnius A, Leuschner U, Liakina V, Semuchiniene T, and Barakauskiene A

Subjects
Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Alkaline Phosphatase metabolism, Female, Humans, Immunoglobulin M blood, Lithuania, Liver metabolism, Liver pathology, Male, Medical Records, Middle Aged, Mitochondria metabolism, Retrospective Studies, Sex Factors, Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary diagnosis, Liver Cirrhosis, Biliary epidemiology
Abstract

Background: The rising detection and considerable geographical variation of primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) in some regions demand increased awareness of the disease. The aim was to analyze the clinical, biochemical, immunological, and histological criteria of PBC patients in Lithuania and evaluate the patterns of disease presentation and histological features., Material/methods: One hundred thirty-one PBC patients were examined and followed in the Center of Hepatology, Gastroenterology, and Dietetics, Vilnius University Hospital. Their case records were evaluated in this retrospective record-review study., Results: Most of the patients were women (94.6%) older than 50 years with late stages of PBC. Men were significantly older and had a threefold shorter duration from disease presentation to diagnosis (4.0+/-0.4 vs. 1.4+/-0.4 years). 29.8% of patients had asymptomatic disease at presentation and at diagnosis, were older than the symptomatic ones, and presented with significantly lower prevalence of jaundice, skin signs, and lower alkaline phosphatase (ALP) activity, but higher frequency of sicca syndrome. Antimitochondrial antibody (AMA) positivity was found in 91.7%, bile duct lesions in all patients, while the frequency of histological signs of cholestasis (except copper accumulation) was lower. No significant differences in these parameters in asymptomatic and symptomatic patients were found., Conclusions: Most PBC patients in Lithuania were at late histological stages, with a predominance of females older than 50 years and long duration from disease presentation to diagnosis. One third of these PBC patients initially had asymptomatic course, with some differences in clinical signs and their prevalence compared with initially symptomatic patients.

Published
2007

13. Prevalence of cryoglobulinemia in patients with chronic HCV infection.

Author

Liakina V, Speiciene D, Irnius A, Naraskeviciene J, Barakauskiene A, and Semuchiniene T

Subjects
Adult, Aged, Female, Fibrosis complications, Humans, Liver metabolism, Male, Middle Aged, Cryoglobulinemia complications, Cryoglobulins metabolism, Hepatitis C complications
Abstract

Background: The purpose of our research was to determine the prevalence of cryoglobulins in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) at different levels of activity and stage of fibrosis and to identify their association with the extrahepatic clinical manifestations., Material/methods: 87 patients with CHC were investigated for the presence of cryoglobulins. Cryocrit was measured by the Weiner method. AntiHCV, HCV RNR, conventional biochemical tests and liver biopsy were also performed., Results: Cryoglobulins were found in a total of 44 patients: 16 from Group I, 11 from Group II, and 17 from Group III. A low level of cryoglobulinemia (Cg) (cryocritL2%) was detected in 16 patients: 9 from Group I, 3 from Group II, and 4 from Group III. Moreover, a high Cg (cryocrit >5-10%) or very high Cg (cryocrit >10%) was found in a total of 13 patients: 1 patient from Group I, 3 from Group II, and 9 from Group III. Cryo positivity was found in 5 patients with F 1-2, in 13 with F 2-3, in 4 with F 3-4, and in 17 with F 4., Conclusions: Our findings confirmed the high prevalence of Cg in CHC patients in Lithuania, a clear association between Cg and the stage of fibrosis, the higher prevalence of Cg in cirrhotic patients, and the occurrence of several typical extrahepatic manifestations. The impact of Cg on the course of chronic hepatitis C is not clearly understood; therefore, further studies are needed to clarify this issue.

Published
2002

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