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Understanding the relationships among ecosystem services (ESs) are crucial for sustainable watershed management. Current studies on ESs often focus on mapping individual services, but there is limited research on the trade-offs and synergies degree (TSD) among them. The objectives of this study are: (i) to map multi-year data for three Ess: water yield (WY), carbon stock (CS), and soil conservation (SC); (ii) to examine the TSD among these ESs; and (iii) to identify the variables that influence TSD. The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model was used to map WY, SC, and CS in the Citarum Watershed, Indonesia. Multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model was employed to explore the relationships between the factors influencing TSD. The results indicate that (1) both WY and CS experienced similar downward trends, decreasing by 18.37% and 2.89% from 2000 to 2010, and by 15.01% and 4.98% from 2010 to 2020, respectively. In contrast, SC increased by 10.60% from 2000 to 2010 and by 12.03% from 2010 to 2020. (2) The TSD analysis revealed significant variations in trade-offs and synergies within the Citarum watershed, with the most prominent TSD occurring between WY and SC (approximately 64%). (3) The driving factors of TSD include vegetation, topography, climate, and social factors, contributing 34.51%, 31.99%, 20.92%, and 11.58%, respectively, to the WY-SC trade-off. The novelty of this research lies in its integration of TSD with the MGWR model, providing valuable insights into the complex spatial relationships between TSD and its driving factors. These findings offer important contributions to sustainable watershed management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

During the COVID-19 pandemic, which spanned much of 2020–2023 and beyond, daily case and death counts were recorded globally. In this study, we examined available mortality counts and associated case counts, with a focus on the estimation missing information related to age distributions. In this paper, we explored a model-based paradigm for generating age distributions of mortality counts in a spatio-temporal context. We pursued this aim by employing Bayesian spatio-temporal lagged dependence models for weekly mortality at the county level. We compared three US states at the county level: South Carolina (SC), Ohio, and New Jersey (NJ). Models were developed for mortality counts using Bayesian spatio-temporal constructs, incorporating both dependence on current and cumulative case counts and lagged dependence on previous deaths. Age dependence was predicted based on total deaths in proportion to population estimates. This latent age field was generated as counterfactuals and then compared to observed deaths within age groups. The optimal retrospective space–time models for weekly mortality counts were those with lagged dependence and a function of caseload. Added random effects were found to vary across states: Ohio favored a spatially correlated model, while SC and NJ favored a simpler formulation. The generation of age-specific latent fields was performed for SC only and compared to a 15-month, 13-county data set of observed >65 age population. It is possible to model spatio-temporal variations in mortality at the county level with lagged dependencies, spatial effects, and case dependencies. In addition, it is also possible to generate latent age-specific fields based on estimates of death risk (using population proportions or more sophisticated modeling approaches). More detailed data will be needed to make more calibrated comparisons for future epidemic monitoring. The proposed discrepancy tool could serve as a useful resource for public health planners in tailoring interventions during epidemic situations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Dust is one of the generally harmful weather phenomena that every year disrupts economic affairs and daily life, causing financial damage and threatening the physical and even mental health of people in society. This phenomenon, which is considered one of the environmental hazards in arid and semi-arid regions, is affected by the change of atmospheric conditions, and if the mechanism of its occurrence and spread is known, its damages can be reduced or at least adapted to it. The studied area includes the western and northwestern provinces of Iran. The data used in this study are divided into two categories: ground and RemoteSensing data. Based on this, the library method has been used. The ground data of 27 synoptic stations in the western half of the country and a collection of satellite images have been extracted. The current situation has been described in the environment of Excel, ArcGIS and GEE. The obtained results show that the maximum amount of dust cover was observed on the first, second, third and fourth day of July in Fars and Bushehr provinces, but the lowest index value was observed in the farthest parts of the study area, including the provinces of West and East Azerbaijan, Qom and Makrazi. Also, the main source of these dusts is outside the borders of the country and originates from the deserts of distant regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we target the problem of generating facial expressions from a piece of audio. This is challenging since both audio and video have inherent characteristics that are distinct from the other. Some words may have identical lip movements, and speech impediments may prevent lip-reading in some individuals. Previous approaches to generating such a talking head suffered from stiff expressions. This is because they focused only on lip movements and the facial landmarks did not contain the information flow from the audio. Hence, in this work, we employ spatio-temporal independent component analysis to accurately sync the audio with the corresponding face video. Proper word formation also requires control over the face muscles that can be captured using a barrier function. We first validated the approach on the diffusion of salt water in coastal areas using a synthetic finite element simulation. Next, we applied it to 3D facial expressions in toddlers for which training data is difficult to capture. Prior knowledge in the form of rules is specified using Fuzzy logic, and multi-objective optimization is used to collectively learn a set of rules. We observed significantly higher F-measure on three real-world problems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Illegal waste disposal site (IWDS) have become a chronic and severe environmental issue worldwide. Monitoring of IWDS is a central environmental issue in both developed and developing countries. The main aim of this study is to analyze changes in the shape and size of the IWDS over a period of time and to evaluate problems related to IWDS activities. This study also aims to determine the spatial and temporal pattern distribution of IWDS activities based on land use by combining time-series analysis from 2021 to 2023 using historical satellite imagery and ArcGIS. The results show an increase in IWDS locations in Deli Serdang from 98 in 2021 to 112 in 2022 and 120 in 2023. The total area IWDS in Deli Serdang also rose from 115,138.1971 m2 in 2021 to 164,194.87 m² in 2023. Plantation/estate areas consistently recorded the highest number of IWDS incidents each year. The result shows that the trend highlights the tendency for IWDS to occur in natural vegetation-rich environments, which effectively hides these activities and complicates detection and access efforts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Extreme weather events are becoming more severe and frequent worldwide. This study employs the Mann–Kendall test and Thein-Sen estimator for analysing the mean temperature trend in India’s four densely populated metropolitan cities of New Delhi, Kolkata, Mumbai, and Chennai under representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The trend reveals rising temperatures across four Indian regions with the change being more dominant under RCP 8.5 scenario. By the end of the twenty-first century, RCP 4.5 and 8.5 anticipate a significant rise in mean temperature of 6.0°C and 9.0°C in the Western Himalayas, 5.0°C and 7.5°C in East India and 4.0°C and 7.0°C in the Thar Desert’s south-eastern region. Spatio-temporal variation also indicated the influence of heat waves across different regions of India in the late twenty-first century. There should be relevant long-term and short-term policies to mitigate the effect of climate change and optimise the mortality rate caused by heat stress. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Public transport systems worldwide experienced significant declines in usage during the COVID-19 pandemic due to lockdowns and work-from-home mandates. While numerous studies have examined these phenomena, there is still a need for empirical evidence that not only documents what occurred but also provides actionable insights for future transport planning. This study aims to enhance understanding of public transport passengers' mobility behaviors during different stages of the pandemic, using the Metropolitan Area of Porto, Portugal, as a case study. Automated Fare Collection data from 2020 were analyzed and compared with data from the pre-pandemic year of 2019. The analysis included temporal, spatial, spatio-temporal, and sociodemographic dimensions. Key patterns and trends identified include a rapid recovery of ridership post-restriction easing, homogenized daily travel patterns, varied impacts on different transport modes, and significant shifts in demographic travel behaviors. These findings highlight the resilience of public transport demand and suggest that adaptive scheduling, enhanced safety measures, targeted support for vulnerable groups, promotion of off-peak travel, investment in bus infrastructure, and encouragement of multi-modal transport are essential strategies. Implementing these strategies can help improve public transport planning and mitigate the adverse effects of future crises. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Namibia, a low malaria transmission country targeting elimination, has made substantial progress in reducing malaria burden through improved case management, widespread indoor residual spraying and distribution of insecticidal nets. The country's diverse landscape includes regions with varying population densities and geographical niches, with the north of the country prone to periodic outbreaks. As Namibia approaches elimination, malaria transmission has clustered into distinct foci, the identification of which is essential for deployment of targeted interventions to attain the southern Africa Elimination Eight Initiative targets by 2030. Geospatial modelling provides an effective mechanism to identify these foci, synthesizing aggregate routinely collected case counts with gridded environmental covariates to downscale case data into high-resolution risk maps. Methods: This study introduces innovative infectious disease mapping techniques to generate high-resolution spatio-temporal risk maps for malaria in Namibia. A two-stage approach is employed to create maps using statistical Bayesian modelling to combine environmental covariates, population data, and clinical malaria case counts gathered from the routine surveillance system between 2018 and 2021. Results: A fine-scale spatial endemicity surface was produced for annual average incidence, followed by a spatio-temporal modelling of seasonal fluctuations in weekly incidence and aggregated further to district level. A seasonal profile was inferred across most districts of the country, where cases rose from late December/early January to a peak around early April and then declined rapidly to a low level from July to December. There was a high degree of spatial heterogeneity in incidence, with much higher rates observed in the northern part and some local epidemic occurrence in specific districts sporadically. Conclusions: While the study acknowledges certain limitations, such as population mobility and incomplete clinical case reporting, it underscores the importance of continuously refining geostatistical techniques to provide timely and accurate support for malaria elimination efforts. The high-resolution spatial risk maps presented in this study have been instrumental in guiding the Namibian Ministry of Health and Social Services in prioritizing and targeting malaria prevention efforts. This two-stage spatio-temporal approach offers a valuable tool for identifying hotspots and monitoring malaria risk patterns, ultimately contributing to the achievement of national and sub-national elimination goals. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Alpine landscapes are notable regarding their sensitivity to environmental change. Surface waters are especially sensitive as many are influenced by glacial meltwaters that are diminishing with the retreat of glaciers worldwide. The Macun Lakes region, Swiss National Park, is an alpine cirque landscape housing a number of lakes interconnected by streams. The area has been non-glaciated for decades, although rock glaciers are still present in the south basin. Surface waters, 10 stream sites in the present study, have been monitored in mid-summer since the year 2001 for physico-chemistry, periphyton and macroinvertebrates (including 74 species of chironomids). Water physico-chemistry revealed that the two main basins in the catchment differed, reflecting the inputs of rock glacier waters in the south basin. However, trends suggest that waters are becoming more similar as rock glacier inputs diminish over time along with a general decrease in nitrogen levels in all waters. Periphyton biomass showed some spatial differences among sites and a general decrease after 2010. Macroinvertebrate assemblages, including chironomids, clearly differed among basins and spatially along the stream network in each basin. Notably, no significant temporal trend was observed in the long-term data for macroinvertebrates, including chironomids, at the monitored sites. The results suggest that lotic macroinvertebrates may be buffered by the interconnectedness of streams and lakes in the landscape, which mitigates major response patterns of running waters to environmental change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change mitigation is a pressing global challenge that requires reducing CO2 emissions without hindering economic growth. Using an extended Kaya identity, Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI), and Tapio decoupling indicator, this paper investigates the spatio-temporal variations, drivers, and decoupling of CO2 emissions from economic growth in 150 countries from 1990 to 2019, considering regional disparities and income-based inequalities. The findings reveal increasing CO2 emissions between 1990 and 2019, with notable fluctuations in certain 5-year intervals. CO2 emission growth varied significantly by region, with countries like China, the USA, India, and Japan experiencing rapid increases. Economic growth emerged as the primary driver of CO2 emission growth, and its impact strengthened over time. Population growth also contributed significantly to CO2 emissions, particularly in middle- and low-income countries. The study identifies energy and carbon intensity as crucial mitigating factors that weaken CO2 emissions, offering hope for effective climate change mitigation. Furthermore, the degree of decoupling between economic growth and CO2 emissions varied among countries in the same region, with high-income countries demonstrating stronger decoupling compared to upper-middle-income countries, which accounted for 71% of global CO2 emission increase. These findings underline the imperative of accounting for income levels and regional differences in formulating CO2 emission mitigation strategies. Also, the study emphasizes the pressing necessity for cohesive global coordination to facilitate the transition toward a low-carbon economy. Such collaborative endeavors are paramount in our collective pursuit to combat climate change effectively, safeguarding the well-being and sustenance of our planet for future generations. As policymakers, it is imperative to integrate these insights into decision-making processes to chart a sustainable and resilient course forward. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The detection of changepoints in spatio-temporal datasets has been receiving increased focus in recent years and is utilised in a wide range of fields. With temporal data observed at different spatial locations, the current approach is typically to use univariate changepoint methods in a marginal sense with the detected changepoint being representative of a single location only. We present a spatio-temporal changepoint method that utilises a generalised additive model (GAM) dependent on the 2D spatial location and the observation time to account for the underlying spatio-temporal process. We use the full likelihood of the GAM in conjunction with the pruned linear exact time (PELT) changepoint search algorithm to detect multiple changepoints across spatial locations in a computationally efficient manner. When compared to a univariate marginal approach our method is shown to perform more efficiently in simulation studies at detecting true changepoints and demonstrates less evidence of overfitting. Furthermore, as the approach explicitly models spatio-temporal dependencies between spatial locations, any changepoints detected are common across the locations. We demonstrate an application of the method to an air quality dataset covering the COVID-19 lockdown in the United Kingdom. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Public transport systems worldwide experienced significant declines in usage during the COVID-19 pandemic due to lockdowns and work-from-home mandates. While numerous studies have examined these phenomena, there is still a need for empirical evidence that not only documents what occurred but also provides actionable insights for future transport planning. This study aims to enhance understanding of public transport passengers’ mobility behaviors during different stages of the pandemic, using the Metropolitan Area of Porto, Portugal, as a case study. Automated Fare Collection data from 2020 were analyzed and compared with data from the pre-pandemic year of 2019. The analysis included temporal, spatial, spatio-temporal, and sociodemographic dimensions. Key patterns and trends identified include a rapid recovery of ridership post-restriction easing, homogenized daily travel patterns, varied impacts on different transport modes, and significant shifts in demographic travel behaviors. These findings highlight the resilience of public transport demand and suggest that adaptive scheduling, enhanced safety measures, targeted support for vulnerable groups, promotion of off-peak travel, investment in bus infrastructure, and encouragement of multi-modal transport are essential strategies. Implementing these strategies can help improve public transport planning and mitigate the adverse effects of future crises.

Abstract Background Namibia, a low malaria transmission country targeting elimination, has made substantial progress in reducing malaria burden through improved case management, widespread indoor residual spraying and distribution of insecticidal nets. The country's diverse landscape includes regions with varying population densities and geographical niches, with the north of the country prone to periodic outbreaks. As Namibia approaches elimination, malaria transmission has clustered into distinct foci, the identification of which is essential for deployment of targeted interventions to attain the southern Africa Elimination Eight Initiative targets by 2030. Geospatial modelling provides an effective mechanism to identify these foci, synthesizing aggregate routinely collected case counts with gridded environmental covariates to downscale case data into high-resolution risk maps. Methods This study introduces innovative infectious disease mapping techniques to generate high-resolution spatio-temporal risk maps for malaria in Namibia. A two-stage approach is employed to create maps using statistical Bayesian modelling to combine environmental covariates, population data, and clinical malaria case counts gathered from the routine surveillance system between 2018 and 2021. Results A fine-scale spatial endemicity surface was produced for annual average incidence, followed by a spatio-temporal modelling of seasonal fluctuations in weekly incidence and aggregated further to district level. A seasonal profile was inferred across most districts of the country, where cases rose from late December/early January to a peak around early April and then declined rapidly to a low level from July to December. There was a high degree of spatial heterogeneity in incidence, with much higher rates observed in the northern part and some local epidemic occurrence in specific districts sporadically. Conclusions While the study acknowledges certain limitations, such as population mobility and incomplete clinical case reporting, it underscores the importance of continuously refining geostatistical techniques to provide timely and accurate support for malaria elimination efforts. The high-resolution spatial risk maps presented in this study have been instrumental in guiding the Namibian Ministry of Health and Social Services in prioritizing and targeting malaria prevention efforts. This two-stage spatio-temporal approach offers a valuable tool for identifying hotspots and monitoring malaria risk patterns, ultimately contributing to the achievement of national and sub-national elimination goals.

Abstract Hand gesture recognition based on sparse multichannel surface electromyography (sEMG) still poses a significant challenge to deployment as a muscle–computer interface. Many researchers have been working to develop an sEMG-based hand gesture recognition system. However, the existing system still faces challenges in achieving satisfactory performance due to ineffective feature enhancement, so the prediction is erratic and unstable. To comprehensively tackle these challenges, we introduce a novel approach: a lightweight sEMG-based hand gesture recognition system using a 4-stream deep learning architecture. Each stream strategically combines Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN)-based time-varying features with Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based frame-wise features. In the first stream, we harness the power of the TCN module to extract nuanced time-varying temporal features. The second stream integrates a hybrid Long short-term memory (LSTM)-TCN module. This stream extracts temporal features using LSTM and seamlessly enhances them with TCN to effectively capture intricate long-range temporal relations. The third stream adopts a spatio-temporal strategy, merging the CNN and TCN modules. This integration facilitates concurrent comprehension of both spatial and temporal features, enriching the model’s understanding of the underlying dynamics of the data. The fourth stream uses a skip connection mechanism to alleviate potential problems of data loss, ensuring a robust information flow throughout the network and concatenating the 4 stream features, yielding a comprehensive and effective final feature representation. We employ a channel attention-based feature selection module to select the most effective features, aiming to reduce the computational complexity and feed them into the classification module. The proposed model achieves an average accuracy of 94.31% and 98.96% on the Ninapro DB1 and DB9 datasets, respectively. This high-performance accuracy proves the superiority of the proposed model, and its implications extend to enhancing the quality of life for individuals using prosthetic limbs and advancing control systems in the field of robotic human–machine interfaces.

Traffic prediction is crucial for urban planning and transportation management, and deep learning techniques have emerged as effective tools for this task. While previous works have made advancements, they often overlook comprehensive analyses of spatio-temporal distributions and the integration of multimodal representations. Our research addresses these limitations by proposing a large-scale spatio-temporal multimodal fusion framework that enables accurate predictions based on location queries and seamlessly integrates various data sources. Specifically, we utilize Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for spatial information processing and a combination of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) for final spatio-temporal traffic prediction. This framework not only effectively reveals its ability to integrate various modal data in the spatio-temporal hyperspace, but has also been successfully implemented in a real-world large-scale map, showcasing its practical importance in tackling urban traffic challenges. The findings presented in this work contribute to the advancement of traffic prediction methods, offering valuable insights for further research and application in addressing real-world transportation challenges.

This study proposes an approach of leveraging information gathered from multiple traffic data sources at different resolutions to obtain approximate inference on the traffic distribution of Chicago's O'Hare Airport area. Specifically, it proposes the ingestion of traffic datasets at different resolutions to build spatiotemporal models for predicting the distribution of traffic volume on the road network. Due to its good adaptability and flexibility for spatiotemporal data, the Gaussian process (GP) regression was employed to provide short-term forecasts using data collected by loop detectors (sensors) and supplemented by telematics data. The GP regression is used to make predictions of the distribution of the proportion of sensor data traffic volume represented by the telematics data for each location of the sensors. Consequently, the fitted GP model can be used to determine the approximate traffic distribution for a testing location outside of the training points. Policymakers in the transportation sector can find the results of this work helpful for making informed decisions relating to current and future transportation conditions in the area.

Abstract Background Despite the successful efforts in controlling malaria in Vietnam, the disease remains a significant health concern, particularly in Central Vietnam. This study aimed to assess correlations between environmental, climatic, and socio-economic factors in the district with malaria cases. Methods The study was conducted in 15 provinces in Central Vietnam from January 2018 to December 2022. Monthly malaria cases were obtained from the Institute of Malariology, Parasitology, and Entomology Quy Nhon, Vietnam. Environmental, climatic, and socio-economic data were retrieved using a Google Earth Engine script. A multivariable Zero-inflated Poisson regression was undertaken using a Bayesian framework with spatial and spatiotemporal random effects with a conditional autoregressive prior structure. The posterior random effects were estimated using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation with Gibbs sampling. Results There was a total of 5,985 Plasmodium falciparum and 2,623 Plasmodium vivax cases during the study period. Plasmodium falciparum risk increased by five times (95% credible interval [CrI] 4.37, 6.74) for each 1-unit increase of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) without lag and by 8% (95% CrI 7%, 9%) for every 1ºC increase in maximum temperature (TMAX) at a 6-month lag. While a decrease in risk of 1% (95% CrI 0%, 1%) for a 1 mm increase in precipitation with a 6-month lag was observed. A 1-unit increase in NDVI at a 1-month lag was associated with a four-fold increase (95% CrI 2.95, 4.90) in risk of P. vivax. In addition, the risk increased by 6% (95% CrI 5%, 7%) and 3% (95% CrI 1%, 5%) for each 1ºC increase in land surface temperature during daytime with a 6-month lag and TMAX at a 4-month lag, respectively. Spatial analysis showed a higher mean malaria risk of both species in the Central Highlands and southeast parts of Central Vietnam and a lower risk in the northern and north-western areas. Conclusion Identification of environmental, climatic, and socio-economic risk factors and spatial malaria clusters are crucial for designing adaptive strategies to maximize the impact of limited public health resources toward eliminating malaria in Vietnam.

Abstract Human activity recognition has a wide range of applications in various fields, such as video surveillance, virtual reality and human–computer intelligent interaction. It has emerged as a significant research area in computer vision. GCN (Graph Convolutional networks) have recently been widely used in these fields and have made great performance. However, there are still some challenges including over-smoothing problem caused by stack graph convolutions and deficient semantics correlation to capture the large movements between time sequences. Vision Transformer (ViT) is utilized in many 2D and 3D image fields and has surprised results. In our work, we propose a novel human activity recognition method based on ViT (HAR-ViT). We integrate enhanced AGCL (eAGCL) in 2s-AGCN to ViT to make it process spatio-temporal data (3D skeleton) and make full use of spatial features. The position encoder module orders the non-sequenced information while the transformer encoder efficiently compresses sequence data features to enhance calculation speed. Human activity recognition is accomplished through multi-layer perceptron (MLP) classifier. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves SOTA performance on three extensively used datasets, NTU RGB+D 60, NTU RGB+D 120 and Kinetics-Skeleton 400.

Soil properties vary greatly over space and time; therefore, the precise detection of spatio-temporal variation is essential to understand the dynamic soil conditions and consequently apply site-specific management. This paper aims at studying the spatial and temporal variation in some soil properties within a period of 4 years in a field cultivated by potato crop with a fixed annual compost application. Inverse distance weighting as a deterministic method was used to develop the spatial distribution maps of the studied soil properties (soil reaction, electrical conductivity, cation exchange capacity and soil organic matter). These maps were annually created for the soil properties under investigation, i.e. 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022. Results revealed that there was variation over space and time for all soil parameters under study. Spatial maps of soil pH showed an annual change with a temporal increase comparing 2019 with 2022. Soil salinity maps revealed a decrease in both spatial and temporal scales. Spatial maps of CEC showed a fluctuation in the spatial distribution as well as from year to year with final improvement reaching a value of 20.4 cmol+/kg. Soil organic matter spatial maps showed an opposite pattern compared with the other soil parameters where a decrease in SOM was observed comparing the start and end of the whole period of study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Asset management is a process that deals with numerous types of data, including spatial and temporal data. Such an occurrence is attributed to the proliferation of information sources. However, the lack of a comprehensive asset data model that encompasses the management of both spatial and temporal data remains a challenge. Therefore, this paper proposes a graph-based spatio-temporal data model to integrate spatial and temporal information into asset management. In the spatial layer, we provide a graph-based method that uses topological containment and connectivity relationships to model the interior building space using data from 3D city models. In the temporal layer, we proposed the Aggregated Directly-Follows Multigraph (ADFM), a novel process model based on a directly-follows graph (DFG), to show the chronological flow of events in asset management by taking into consideration the repetitive nature of events in asset management. The integration of both layers allows spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal queries to be made regarding information about events in asset management. This method offers a more straightforward query, which helps to eliminate duplicate and false query results when assessed and compared with a flattened graph event log. Finally, this paper provides information for the management of 3D spaces using a NoSQL graph database and the management of events and their temporal information through graph modelling. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Human motion prediction in various motion capture applications, e.g., optical and inertial, is challenging because of the complexity of human motion sequences. Current studies on this issue have insufficient analysis on the latent motion information in a given motion sequence, such as motion trends, transient changes, and temporal evolution. Meanwhile, methods using simple graph convolution networks suffer from over-smoothing, causing the predicted poses staying invariant in long-term prediction. To address these challenges, we propose a multi-feature-based orthogonal graph convolution network (MFOGCN), where the multi-feature extraction consists of two key modules: (1) hybrid spectral transform, which captures local transient features and global motion trends of motion sequences by discrete wavelet transform while considering temporal smoothing between human joints and (2) mask-aware multiple attention, with sliding time windows to extract motion sequence feature representations from historical multiple subsequences, refining the correlation between adjacent poses while obtaining global dependencies between sequences. In addition, we propose orthogonal graph convolution and orthogonal loss for the prediction network, which help to stabilize the feature transformation of the graph convolution to resolve the over-smoothing issue. An extensive evaluation on the Human 3.6M, AMASS and 3DPW datasets has been conducted, showing reliable effectiveness of the proposed MFOGCN that outperforms other approaches. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Infections are known to interact as previous infections may have an effect on risk of succumbing to a new infection. The co-dynamics can be mediated by immunosuppression or modulation, shared environmental or climatic drivers, or competition for susceptible hosts. Research and statistical methods in epidemiology often concentrate on large pooled datasets, or high quality data from cities, leaving rural areas underrepresented in literature. Data considering rural populations are typically sparse and scarce, especially in the case of historical data sources, which may introduce considerable methodological challenges. In order to overcome many obstacles due to such data, we present a general Bayesian spatio-temporal model for disease co-dynamics. Applying the proposed model on historical (1820–1850) Finnish parish register data, we study the spread of infectious diseases in pre-healthcare Finland. We observe that measles, pertussis, and smallpox exhibit positively correlated dynamics, which could be attributed to immunosuppressive effects or, for example, the general weakening of the population due to recurring infections or poor nutritional conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To evaluate the seasonal changes in quality and quantity of river Rispana (a tributary of river Ganges—Dehradun region of India) water quality index (WQI) was calculated at four major locations by using the weighted arithmetic method. Sixteen samples in all were taken throughout the pre‐monsoon (April 2022), monsoon (July 2022), post‐monsoon (November 2022), and the Winter season (January 2023). The major parameters, namely, temperature, dissolved oxygen (DO), pH, electrical conductivity (EC), and total dissolved solids (TDS), E‐coliform, sulphate, total alkalinity (TA), total hardness (TH), and biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) were considered for calculation of WQI. The WQI varied from minimum 44.53 (good) at site 1 – Kairwaan Gaon during monsoon season to maximum 302.69 (unfit for drinking) at site 4 – Mothrowala during the pre‐monsoon period. In 75% samples quality of water was unfit for domestic purpose and the contributing factors are DO, BOD, and Coliform which exceeds permissible limit in all samples. The major factors attributed for decline in the Rispana water quality are discharge of sewage, commercial sites effluent, and urban runoff. Pre‐monsoon, monsoon, post‐monsoon, and winter had average total coliform levels of 1849.6, 2419.6, 2419.6, and 1546.25, respectively, in MPN units. The average value of E‐coli for the four season vary from 1306.8 to 1888.1 MPN. The pollution load (physico‐chemical parameters and bacteriological factors) increases as the river Rispana flows to downstream in urban locations. Streamflow was observed as very lean except monsoon season (~1500 cfs) due to more extraction of Rispana's fresh water in upstream and unplanned changes in its catchment basin; thus establishes an extensive decline in availability of fresh water sources (Domestic use) in downstream Dehradun city area. In monsoon season, more streamflow (rain water influx) maintains the WQI also in good‐moderate category. The land use/land cover – LULC analysis in Rispana basin area, depicted 71% enhancement in urbanization (24.16%–41.55%) takes place in 15 years' span (2003–2017). The study establishes the potential causes (natural and anthropogenic) for Rispana deterioration and provides a baseline (quality index) for aquatic and ecological rejuvenation of its watershed by executing a proper management strategy with people participation. This work contributes discernments for effective water resource management to address the smart city objectives and sustainable development goal‐SDG:6, urban and municipal authorities must take cognizance for revival of this domestic water resource. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Landsat land use/land cover (LULC) data analysis to establish freshwater lakes' temporal and spatial distribution can provide a solid foundation for future ecological and environmental policy development to manage ecosystems better. Analysis of changes in LULC is a method that can be used to learn more about direct and indirect human interactions with the environment for sustainability. Neural network technology significantly facilitates mapping between asymmetric and high-dimensional data. This paper presents a methodological advancement that integrates the CA-ANN (cellular automata-artificial neural network) technique with the dynamic characteristics of the water body to forecast forthcoming water levels and their spatial distribution in "Wular Lake." We used remote sensing data from 2001 to 2021 with a 10-year interval to predict spatio-temporal change and LULC simulation. The validation of the calibration of predicted and accurate LULC maps for 2021 yielded a maximum kappa value of 0.86. Over the past three decades, the study region has seen an increase in a net change % in the impervious surface of 22.41% and in agricultural land by 52.02%, while water decreased by 14.12%, trees/forests decreased by 40.77%, shrubs decreased by 11.53%, and aquatic vegetation decreased by 4.14%. Multiple environmental challenges have arisen in the environmentally sustainable Wular Lake in the Kashmir Valley due to the vast land transformation, primarily due to human activities, and have been predominantly negative. The research acknowledges the importance of (LULC) analysis, recognizing it as a fundamental cornerstone for developing future ecological and environmental policy frameworks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Despite the successful efforts in controlling malaria in Vietnam, the disease remains a significant health concern, particularly in Central Vietnam. This study aimed to assess correlations between environmental, climatic, and socio-economic factors in the district with malaria cases. Methods: The study was conducted in 15 provinces in Central Vietnam from January 2018 to December 2022. Monthly malaria cases were obtained from the Institute of Malariology, Parasitology, and Entomology Quy Nhon, Vietnam. Environmental, climatic, and socio-economic data were retrieved using a Google Earth Engine script. A multivariable Zero-inflated Poisson regression was undertaken using a Bayesian framework with spatial and spatiotemporal random effects with a conditional autoregressive prior structure. The posterior random effects were estimated using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation with Gibbs sampling. Results: There was a total of 5,985 Plasmodium falciparum and 2,623 Plasmodium vivax cases during the study period. Plasmodium falciparum risk increased by five times (95% credible interval [CrI] 4.37, 6.74) for each 1-unit increase of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) without lag and by 8% (95% CrI 7%, 9%) for every 1ºC increase in maximum temperature (TMAX) at a 6-month lag. While a decrease in risk of 1% (95% CrI 0%, 1%) for a 1 mm increase in precipitation with a 6-month lag was observed. A 1-unit increase in NDVI at a 1-month lag was associated with a four-fold increase (95% CrI 2.95, 4.90) in risk of P. vivax. In addition, the risk increased by 6% (95% CrI 5%, 7%) and 3% (95% CrI 1%, 5%) for each 1ºC increase in land surface temperature during daytime with a 6-month lag and TMAX at a 4-month lag, respectively. Spatial analysis showed a higher mean malaria risk of both species in the Central Highlands and southeast parts of Central Vietnam and a lower risk in the northern and north-western areas. Conclusion: Identification of environmental, climatic, and socio-economic risk factors and spatial malaria clusters are crucial for designing adaptive strategies to maximize the impact of limited public health resources toward eliminating malaria in Vietnam. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Integrating RGB and Event (RGBE) multi-domain information obtained by high-dynamic-range and temporal-resolution event cameras has been considered an effective scheme for robust object tracking. However, existing RGBE tracking methods have overlooked the unique spatio-temporal features over different domains, leading to object tracking failure and ineffeciency, especally for objects against complex backgrounds. To address this problem, we propose a novel tracker based on adaptive-time feature extraction hybrid networks, namely Siamese Event Frame Tracker (SiamEFT), which focuses on the effective representation and utilization of the diverse spatio-temporal features of RGBE. We first design an adaptive-time attention module to aggregate event data into frames based on adaptive-time weights to enhance information representation. Subsequently, the SiamEF module and cross-network fusion module combining artificial neural networks and spiking neural networks hybrid network are designed to effectively extract and fuse the spatio-temporal features of RGBE. Extensive experiments on two RGBE datasets (VisEvent and COESOT) show that the SiamEFT achieves a success rate of 0.456 and 0.574, outperforming the state-of-the-art competing methods and exhibiting a 2.3-fold enhancement in effeciency. These results validate the superior accuracy and effeciency of SiamEFT in diverse and challenging scenes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Urbanisation is indeed a global trend that is significantly transforming societies and landscapes. India, in particular, has been experiencing rapid urbanisation in recent years, and this is fundamentally changing the country’s social and economic dynamics. However, the state of Kerala, located in the southwestern part of India, stands out for its unique pattern of urbanisation, which is closely aligned with its distinctive topography and socio-economic factors. This study offers a comprehensive examination of urbanisation in Kerala, focusing on its unique spatial and temporal characteristics. The spatial analysis of urbanisation in the state reveals that urban development is not concentrated solely within its major cities, but is widespread. These urban clusters align with Kerala’s topographical diversity, with the majority concentrated along the coastal regions in the west, while the eastern highlands of the Western Ghats exhibit fewer urban centres. The state has witnessed a substantial surge in urbanisation rates, with projections anticipating that approximately 68 percent of the population will reside in urban areas by the middle of this century. Understanding these temporal shifts and spatial variations is essential for policymakers and urban planners to effectively address the challenges and opportunities linked to increasing urbanisation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study proposes an approach of leveraging information gathered from multiple traffic data sources at different resolutions to obtain approximate inference on the traffic distribution of Chicago's O'Hare Airport area. Specifically, it proposes the ingestion of traffic datasets at different resolutions to build spatiotemporal models for predicting the distribution of traffic volume on the road network. Due to its good adaptability and flexibility for spatiotemporal data, the Gaussian process (GP) regression was employed to provide short-term forecasts using data collected by loop detectors (sensors) and supplemented by telematics data. The GP regression is used to make predictions of the distribution of the proportion of sensor data traffic volume represented by the telematics data for each location of the sensors. Consequently, the fitted GP model can be used to determine the approximate traffic distribution for a testing location outside of the training points. Policymakers in the transportation sector can find the results of this work helpful for making informed decisions relating to current and future transportation conditions in the area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In solar forecasting, it is common practice for solar data (be it irradiance or photovoltaic power) to be converted into a stationary index (e.g., clear-sky or clearness index) before being used as inputs for solar-forecasting models. However, its actual impact is rarely quantified. Thus, this paper aims to study the impact of including this processing step in the modeling workflow within the scope of very-short-term spatio-temporal forecasting. Several forecasting models are considered, and the observed impact is shown to be model-dependent. Persistence does not benefit from this for such short timescales; however, the statistical models achieve an additional 0.5 to 2.5 percentual points (PPs) in terms of the forecasting skill. Machine-learning (ML) models achieve 0.9 to 1.9 more PPs compared to a linear regression, indicating that stationarization reveals non-linear patterns in the data. The exception is Random Forest, which underperforms in comparison with the other models. Lastly, the inclusion of solar elevation and azimuth angles as inputs is tested since these are easy to compute and can inform the model on time-dependent patterns. Only the cases where the input is not made stationary, or the underperforming Random Forest model, seem to benefit from this. This indicates that the apparent Sun position data can compensate for the lack of stationarization in the solar inputs and can help the models to differentiate the daily and seasonal variability from the shorter-term, weather-driven variability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Human activity recognition has a wide range of applications in various fields, such as video surveillance, virtual reality and human–computer intelligent interaction. It has emerged as a significant research area in computer vision. GCN (Graph Convolutional networks) have recently been widely used in these fields and have made great performance. However, there are still some challenges including over-smoothing problem caused by stack graph convolutions and deficient semantics correlation to capture the large movements between time sequences. Vision Transformer (ViT) is utilized in many 2D and 3D image fields and has surprised results. In our work, we propose a novel human activity recognition method based on ViT (HAR-ViT). We integrate enhanced AGCL (eAGCL) in 2s-AGCN to ViT to make it process spatio-temporal data (3D skeleton) and make full use of spatial features. The position encoder module orders the non-sequenced information while the transformer encoder efficiently compresses sequence data features to enhance calculation speed. Human activity recognition is accomplished through multi-layer perceptron (MLP) classifier. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves SOTA performance on three extensively used datasets, NTU RGB+D 60, NTU RGB+D 120 and Kinetics-Skeleton 400. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Land price maps help the government and stakeholders to recognize fluctuations in land values in the economy. This paper aims to examine the trends of land lease prices from spatio-temporal perspectives for development. The study employed a mixed research approach. The result indicated that the lease price of residential land has been increasing rapidly in the past decade. Inefficiency in the land administration system, high speculation, and low provision of land for auction are the main drivers for the increment. The researchers thus suggest that the government rethink the tenure system, impose the maximum number and size of land parcels, and introduce the capital gain tax. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

During the COVID-19 pandemic, which spanned much of 2020–2023 and beyond, daily case and death counts were recorded globally. In this study, we examined available mortality counts and associated case counts, with a focus on the estimation missing information related to age distributions. In this paper, we explored a model-based paradigm for generating age distributions of mortality counts in a spatio-temporal context. We pursued this aim by employing Bayesian spatio-temporal lagged dependence models for weekly mortality at the county level. We compared three US states at the county level: South Carolina (SC), Ohio, and New Jersey (NJ). Models were developed for mortality counts using Bayesian spatio-temporal constructs, incorporating both dependence on current and cumulative case counts and lagged dependence on previous deaths. Age dependence was predicted based on total deaths in proportion to population estimates. This latent age field was generated as counterfactuals and then compared to observed deaths within age groups. The optimal retrospective space–time models for weekly mortality counts were those with lagged dependence and a function of caseload. Added random effects were found to vary across states: Ohio favored a spatially correlated model, while SC and NJ favored a simpler formulation. The generation of age-specific latent fields was performed for SC only and compared to a 15-month, 13-county data set of observed >65 age population. It is possible to model spatio-temporal variations in mortality at the county level with lagged dependencies, spatial effects, and case dependencies. In addition, it is also possible to generate latent age-specific fields based on estimates of death risk (using population proportions or more sophisticated modeling approaches). More detailed data will be needed to make more calibrated comparisons for future epidemic monitoring. The proposed discrepancy tool could serve as a useful resource for public health planners in tailoring interventions during epidemic situations.

Abstract Maternal mortality ratio (MMR) estimates have been studied over time for understanding its variation across the country. However, it is never sufficient without accounting for presence of variability across in terms of space, time, maternal and system level factors. The study endeavours to estimate and quantify the effect of exposures encompassing all maternal health indicators and system level indicators along with space–time effects influencing MMR in India. Using the most recent level of possible -factors of MMR, maternal health indicators from the National Family Health Survey (NFHS: 2019–21) and system level indicators from government reports a heatmap compared the relative performance of all 19 SRS states. Facet plots with a regression line was utilised for studying patterns of MMR for different states in one frame. Using Bayesian Spatio-temporal random effects, evidence for different MMR patterns and quantification of spatial risks among individual states was produced using estimates of MMR from SRS reports (2014–2020). India has witnessed a decline in MMR, and for the majority of the states, this drop is linear. Few states exhibit cyclical trend such as increasing trends for Haryana and West Bengal which was evident from the two analytical models i.e., facet plots and Bayesian spatio- temporal model. Period of major transition in MMR levels which was common to all states is identified as 2009–2013. Bihar and Assam have estimated posterior probabilities for spatial risk that are relatively greater than other SRS states and are classified as hot spots. More than the individual level factors, health system factors account for a greater reduction in MMR. For more robust findings district level reliable estimates are required. As evident from our study the two most strong health system influencers for reducing MMR in India are Institutional delivery and Skilled birth attendance.

Dry upland agriculture is vital for securing food production in several countries. However, the research on evaluating cropping patterns using remote sensing techniques is completely neglected due to several factors such as the availability of clean imagery and the complexity of the landscape. This research primarily focused on the evaluation of data availability from three different satellite imageries: Sentinel-2, Landsat-8, and MODIS. The consistently high data availability demonstrated by Sentinel-2 established its potential as a reliable source for gap-filling analysis in remote sensing studies. Using a classification model, various land cover types were identified with an overall accuracy of 86.4%, indicating the model's efficiency in accurately classifying these areas. This research also analyzed the detailed cropping patterns, revealing seven distinct temporal cultivation patterns of various crops. This period is strategically positioned between the cultivation of maize, which spans an area of 5,943 ha in December, January, and February, suggesting a potential crop rotation system. The rotation indicated that nearly 83.7% of the cultivated land was planted between maize and shallot throughout the year. The study emphasizes the significance of continuous monitoring and adaptive management in agriculture to ensure sustainability and productivity.

Abstract Due to the ignoring of rich spatio-temporal and global contextual information with convolutional neural networks in features extraction, the traditional method is prone to tracking drift or even failure in complex scenario, especially for the tiny targets in aerial photography scenario. In this work, it proposes a transformer feature integration network (TFITrack) to obtain diverse and comprehensive target feature for the robust object tracking. Based on the typical transformer architecture, it optimizes encoder and decoder structure for aggregating discriminative spatio-temporal information and global context-awareness feature. Furthermore, the encoder introduces the similarity calculation layer and dual-attention module; the aim is to deepen the similarity between features and make corrections for channel and spatial dimensions, and feature representation is improved. Finally, with the introduction of the temporal context filtering layer, unimportant feature information is ignored adaptively, obtaining a balance between the parameters number reduction and stable performance. Experimental results show that the proposed tracking algorithm exhibits excellent tracking performance on seven benchmark datasets, especially on the aerial dataset UAV123, UAV20L, and UAV123@10fps, which presents the advantages of the novel method in dealing with fast motion and external interference.

Abstract Background Malaria is one of the most devastating tropical diseases, resulting in loss of lives each year, especially in children under the age of 5 years. Malaria burden, related deaths and stall in the progress against malaria transmission is evident, particularly in countries that have moderate or high malaria transmission. Hence, mitigating malaria spread requires information on the distribution of vectors and the drivers of insecticide resistance (IR). However, owing to the impracticality in establishing the critical need for real-world information at every location, modelling provides an informed best guess for such information. Therefore, this review examines the various methodologies used to model spatial, temporal and spatio-temporal patterns of IR within populations of malaria vectors, incorporating pest-biology parameters, adopted ecological principles, and the associated modelling challenges. Methods The review focused on the period ending March 2023 without imposing restrictions on the initial year of publication, and included articles sourced from PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. It was also limited to publications that deal with modelling of IR distribution across spatial and temporal dimensions and excluded articles solely focusing on insecticide susceptibility tests or articles not published in English. After rigorous selection, 33 articles met the review's elibility criteria and were subjected to full-text screening. Results Results show the popularity of Bayesian geostatistical approaches, and logistic and static models, with limited adoption of dynamic modelling approaches for spatial and temporal IR modelling. Furthermore, our review identifies the availability of surveillance data and scarcity of comprehensive information on the potential drivers of IR as major impediments to developing holistic models of IR evolution. Conclusions The review notes that incorporating pest-biology parameters, and ecological principles into IR models, in tandem with fundamental ecological concepts, potentially offers crucial insights into the evolution of IR. The results extend our knowledge of IR models that provide potentially accurate results, which can be translated into policy recommendations to combat the challenge of IR in malaria control. Graphical Abstract