1. Is the EuroSCORE II best suited for reoperative risk estimation in patients with structural deterioration of aortic bioprostheses?
- Author
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Vito G. Ruggieri, Amedeo Anselmi, Vincent Auffret, Majid Harmouche, Jean-Philippe Verhoye, Hervé Le Breton, Xavier Beneux, Sophie Mascle, Service de chirurgie thoracique cardiaque et vasculaire [Rennes] = Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery [Rennes], CHU Pontchaillou [Rennes], Laboratoire Traitement du Signal et de l'Image (LTSI), Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Service de cardiologie et maladies vasculaires [Rennes] = Cardiac, Thoracic, and Vascular Surgery [Rennes], Service d'anesthésie réanimation chirurgicale [Rennes], Hôpital Pontchaillou-Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES), Université de Rennes (UR)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), Université de Rennes (UR)-Hôpital Pontchaillou, and Senhadji, Lotfi
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,Validation study ,[SDV.MHEP.CHI] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Surgery ,Heart Valve Diseases ,[SDV.MHEP.CHI]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Surgery ,Logistic regression ,Models, Biological ,Risk Assessment ,Euroscore ii ,Aortic valve replacement ,[SDV.MHEP.CSC]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Cardiology and cardiovascular system ,Internal medicine ,medicine ,Humans ,In patient ,Structural valve deterioration Ϯ ,Aorta ,[SDV.IB] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Bioengineering ,Valve-in-Valve implantation ,business.industry ,Patient Selection ,valvular heart disease ,Operative risk ,EuroSCORE ,General Medicine ,Odds ratio ,medicine.disease ,Surgery ,[SDV.MHEP.CSC] Life Sciences [q-bio]/Human health and pathology/Cardiology and cardiovascular system ,Blood Vessel Prosthesis ,Surgical Procedures, Operative ,Cardiology ,[SDV.IB]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Bioengineering ,business ,Algorithms - Abstract
International audience; Background - Operative risk prediction systems (logistic EuroSCORE I, EuroSCORE II and STS Score) are employed together with multidisciplinary discussion to contraindicate conventional surgery in patients with valvular heart disease and propose the employment of alternative transcatheter procedures. The EuroSCORE I has been reported to underperform in these circumstances; we hypothesize that the EuroSCORE II is best suited for the stratification of risk in patients with structural deterioration (SVD) of valvular bioprostheses and potential candidates to the Valve-in-Valve procedure (deployment of a transcatheter valve within a failing valvular bioprosthesis). Methods and evaluation of the hypothesis - A multi-institutional collaboration is required to fully address such hypothesis. Therefore, we performed a preliminary validation study by retrieval of the complete records of 81 patients undergoing reoperative aortic valve replacement for preoperative diagnosis of bioprosthetic SVD at our Institution. Logistic EuroSCORE I, EuroSCORE II and STS Score were calculated by preoperatively available data. Faced to an observed reoperative mortality of 4.9%, average EuroSCORE I was 15.8%±13.4, EuroSCORE II was 7.3%±7.4 and the STS Score was 15%±9.8. The three systems provided sufficient adequacy (Hosmer-Lemeshow p=0.847, p=0.999 and p=0.9948, respectively). Yet, the area under the ROC curve was significantly higher for the EuroSCORE II (0.9903) vs. the EuroSCORE I (0.8994) (p=0.044). The STS Score yielded an intermediate figure (0.9643). The odds ratios (logistic regression) were 1.079 for EuroSCORE I, 1.223 for the STS Score and 1.474 for EuroSCORE II. Conclusions - The three investigated algorithms showed reasonable calibration in the prediction of mortality for reoperative aortic valve replacement, but they evenly overestimated the observed mortality. The hypothesis that the EuroSCORE II is better suited for the selection of candidates to Valve-in-Valve implantation is worth of further multi-institutional investigations on the basis of our preliminary findings and due to the expanding role of transcatheter techniques.
- Published
- 2015