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In recent years, a worsening outcome of hepatitis C virus (HCV)-positive recipients and a faster progression of recurrent disease to overt cirrhosis has been reported. Our aims were to 1) assess patient survival and development of severe recurrent disease (Ishak fibrosis score > 3) in different transplant years; and 2) model the effects of pre- and post-liver transplantation (LT) variables on the severity of recurrent disease. A multicenter retrospective analysis was conducted on 502 consecutive HCV-positive transplant recipients between January 1990 and December 2002. Protocol liver biopsies were obtained at 1, 3, 5, 7, and 10 yr post-LT in almost 90% of the patients. All 502 patients were included in the overall survival analysis, while only the 354 patients with a follow-up longer than 1 yr were considered for the analysis of predictors of disease progression. The overall Kaplan-Meier survival rates were 78.7%, 66.3%, and 58.6%, at 12, 60, and 120 months, respectively, and a trend for a better patient survival over the years emerged from all 3 centers. The cumulative probability of developing HCV-related recurrent severe fibrosis (Ishak score 4-6) in the cohort of 354 patients who survived at least 1 yr remained unchanged over the years. Multivariate analysis indicated that older donors (P = 0.0001) and female gender of recipient (P = 0.02) were the 2 major risk factors for the development of severe recurrent disease, while the adoption of antilymphocytic preparations was associated with a less aggressive course (P = 0.03). Two of these prognostic factors, donor age and recipient gender, are easily available before LT and their combination showed an important synergy, such that a female recipient not only had a much higher probability of severe recurrent disease than a male recipient but her risk increased with the increasing age of the donor, reaching almost 100% when the age of the donor was 60 or older. In conclusion, a trend for a better patient survival was observed in more recent years but the cumulative probability of developing severe recurrent disease remained unchanged. The combination of a female recipient receiving an older graft emerged as a strong risk factor for a severe recurrence.

Although steroid withdrawal has been successfully performed in heart and kidney transplant recipients, no controlled studies of SW have been carried out in liver transplant patients. To evaluate this possibility a prospective controlled study was carried out in 46 liver transplant recipients operated on after may 1991. They all received a sequential quadruple immunosuppression consisting of 3 mg/kg antithymocyte globulins (RATG) for the first 5 postoperative days, cyclosporin A (starting from day 3-5 and maintaining parenteral whole-blood trough levels at 200-300 ng/ml during the first month and at 150-250 thereafter), azathioprine (1 mg/kg per day for the first month) and steroids. Prednisone was started at a dose of 200 mg per day 1 and then tapered to 20 mg/day over the first posteroperative week; this dose was maintained until day 90 when the patients were randomly allocated either to long-term steroid therapy (0.1 mg/kg per day) or to steroid withdrawal. Minimum follow-up after randomization was 6 months (6-27 months). Liver biochemistry was checked at regular intervals throughout the follow-up period. Liver biopsies were performed whenever clinically indicated and also in the first 19 patients during readmission for annual review. The incidence ot acute and chronic rejection 90 days from liver transplantation was 2.5% in patients maintained on long-term therapy. No patient in the steroid-withdrawal group had experienced either an acute or a chronic rejection episode so far. Steroid-related complications did not differ significantly between the two groups. The most recent interim analysis showed that steroid withdrawal is a safe undertaking in liver transplant recipients and may be successfully accomplished in almost all patients.