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4. The Impact of Government Effectiveness on Trade and Financial Openness: The Generalized Quantile Panel Regression Approach.

Author

Nzama, Lethiwe, Sithole, Thanda, and Kahyaoglu, Sezer Bozkus

Subjects
QUANTILE regression, CAPITAL movements, FINANCIAL ratios, GAUSSIAN distribution, QUANTITATIVE research, BUREAUCRACY
Abstract

Purpose: This paper aims to investigate the impact of government effectiveness on trade and financial openness in 35 selected countries around the globe. Design/methodology/approach: A quantitative research approach was applied in the study using the generalized quantile panel regression approach to analyze the impact of identified variables in these selected countries. Panel quantile models with high estimation performance are preferred in the presence of excessive deviations and in cases where the normal distribution is invalid. Findings/results: The empirical findings indicate that selected countries with above-average governmental effectiveness, that is, with a well-established state bureaucracy and a historically strong state tradition, will further increase their activities toward international integration through financial and trade openness. Practical implications: This study aims to provide valuable information that governments and regulatory authorities can benefit from in their decision-making processes. Originality/value: In this study, it is preferred to use the trade openness of countries as the share of exports in total world exports and financial openness as the ratio of capital flows to world flows. In this way, these variables will provide new information to analyze the influence of government effectiveness. Implementing the generalized quantile panel regression technique can also be expressed as an innovation in this field of literature. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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5. ANOTHER YEAR, ANOTHER MINI-BUDGET.

Author

MATIKINCA-NGWENYA, MAMELLO, SITHOLE, THANDA, MKHWANAZI, SIPHAMANDLA, and MANO, KOKETSO

Abstract

The article focuses on the 2022 Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS), a statement of National Treasury's medium-term Budget policy of South Africa. Topics discussed include total expenditure growth estimate for the current fiscal year 2022, revenue collection over the medium term expenditure framework (MTEF) and fiscal consolidation and sustainability.

Published
2022

6. Asymmetric TVP-VAR Connectedness Approach : The Case of South Africa

Author

Nzama, Lethiwe, Sithole, Thanda, and Bozkus Kahyaoglu, Sezer

Subjects
Business & Economics
Abstract

This chapter assesses connectedness of critical financial variables within the South African context. The key variables determining countries’ international financial risk levels are the prices of their main export goods in the international markets. From this perspective, there is a connection between the prices of financialised commodities and precious metals in international markets, the exchange rates of the countries supplying these goods to the world economy and their risk indicators. As a result, a spill-over effect of financial risk increases the stress between the price movements in international markets, especially in countries whose national economy is based on the precious metals in question, and the risk indicators in international markets. From this point of view, the connection firstly between the gold prices (and secondly between platinum prices), which have an impact on the world economy, and the credit default swaps (CDSs), which show the country’s risk level, and exchange rates of South Africa (RD) are examined. New econometric techniques are used for analysis based on the relevant literature. The empirical findings obtained from the study will be a source of information in the process of forming the economic policy of South Africa.

Published
2019

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