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Abstract Background Disparities in invasive cervical cancer (ICC) incidence exist globally, particularly in HIV positive women who are at elevated risk compared to HIV negative women. We aimed to determine the spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal incidence of ICC and the potential risk factors among HIV positive women in South Africa. Methods We included ICC cases in women diagnosed with HIV from the South African HIV cancer match study during 2004–2014. We used the Thembisa model, a mathematical model of the South African HIV epidemic to estimate women diagnosed with HIV per municipality, age group and calendar year. We fitted Bayesian hierarchical models, using a reparameterization of the Besag-York-Mollié to capture spatial autocorrelation, to estimate the spatiotemporal distribution of ICC incidence among women diagnosed with HIV. We also examined the association of deprivation, access to health (using the number of health facilities per municipality) and urbanicity with ICC incidence. We corrected our estimates to account for ICC case underascertainment, missing data and data errors. Results We included 17,821 ICC cases and demonstrated a decreasing trend in ICC incidence, from 306 to 312 in 2004 and from 160 to 191 in 2014 per 100,000 person-years across all municipalities and corrections. The spatial relative rate (RR) ranged from 0.27 to 4.43 in the model without any covariates. In the model adjusting for covariates, the most affluent municipalities had a RR of 3.18 (95% Credible Interval 1.82, 5.57) compared to the least affluent ones, and municipalities with better access to health care had a RR of 1.52 (1.03, 2.27) compared to municipalities with worse access to health. Conclusions The results show an increased incidence of cervical cancer in affluent municipalities and in those with more health facilities. This is likely driven by better access to health care in more affluent areas. More efforts should be made to ensure equitable access to health services, including mitigating physical barriers, such as transportation to health centres and strengthening of screening programmes.

Objective: The objective of this study was to map place of cancer diagnosis in relation to Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) care centre among people living with HIV (PLHIV) within South Africa (SA) using national laboratory database. Design: We linked HIV and cancer laboratory data from 2004–2014 using supervised machine-learning algorithms. We performed a cross-sectional analysis comparing province where individuals accessed their HIV care versus where they had their cancer diagnosis. Setting: We used laboratory test records related to HIV diagnostics and care, such as CD4 cell counts and percentages, rapid tests, qualitative Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR), antibody and antigen tests for HIV data that was documented as HIV positive and laboratory diagnosed cancer records from SA. Study population: Our study population consisted of HIV records from the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS) that linked to cancer record at the National Cancer Registry (NCR) between 2004–2014. Primary and secondary outcomes: We linked HIV records from NHLS to cancer records at NCR in order to study the inherent characteristics of the population with both HIV and cancer. Results: The study population was 68,284 individuals with cancer and documented HIV related laboratory test. The median age at cancer diagnosis was 40 [IQR, 33–48] years for the study population with most cancers in PLHIV diagnosed in females 70.9% [n = 46,313]. Of all the PLHIV and cancer, 25% (n = 16,364 p < 0.001) sought treatment outside their province of residence with 60.7% (n = 10,235) travelling to Gauteng. KZN had 46.6% (n = 4,107) of its PLHIV getting cancer diagnosis in Gauteng. Western Cape had 95% (n = 6,200) of PLHIV getting cancer diagnosis within the province. Conclusions: Our results showed health systems inequalities across provinces in SA with respect to cancer diagnosis. KZN for example had nearly half of the PLHIV getting cancer diagnosis outside the province while Western Cape is able to offer cancer diagnostic services to most of the PLHIV in the province. Gauteng is getting over burdened with referral for cancer diagnosis from other provinces. More effort is required to ensure equitable access to cancer diagnostic services within the country. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Men of African descent are disproportionately affected by prostate cancer (PCa), and many have metastatic disease at presentation. In South Africa (SA), androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) is the first-line treatment for stage IV PCa. Objective: To identify predictors of overall survival (OS) in Black South African men with stage IV PCa treated with ADT. Design, Setting, and Participants: Men diagnosed with prostate cancer (3/22/2016–10/30/2020) at Chris Hani Baragwanath Academic Hospital in Soweto, Johannesburg, were recruited for the Men of African Descent with Cancer of the Prostate study. We included men with newly diagnosed stage IV PCa treated with ADT who had a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level drawn prior to initiation of ADT and had ≥1 PSA drawn ≥12weeks after ADT start. Outcomes Measures and Statistical Analysis: We used Kaplan–Meier statistics to estimate OS and Cox regression models to identify predictors of OS. Results and Limitations: Of the 1097 men diagnosed with prostate cancer, we included 153 men with stage IV PCa who received ADT and met PSA requirements. The median age was 68.0 years (interquartile range 64–73 years). Median OS from time of ADT initiation was 3.39 years (95% confidence interval (CI): 3.14%–noncalculable), while biochemical progression-free survival was 2.36 years (95% CI: 2.03%–3.73%). Biochemical progression (HR 3.52, 95% CI: 1.85%–6.70%), PSA nadir level >4ng/mL (HR 3.77, 95% CI: 1.86%–7.62%), alkaline phosphatase level at diagnosis >150 IU/dL (HR 3.09, 95% CI: 1.64%– 5.83%), and hemoglobin at diagnosis <13.5 g/dL (HR 2.90, 95% CI: 1.28%–6.56%) were associated with worse OS. Conclusions: In this study, we identified factors associated with poor OS among Black South African men with stage IV PCa treated with ADT. These factors may be useful in identifying patients for upfront treatment escalation, including the use of docetaxel chemotherapy or escalation of therapy at the time of biochemical progression. Patient Summary: In this study, we found that high alkaline phosphatase level, anemia at diagnosis, and high PSA nadir after initiation of androgen deprivation therapy are associated with worse overall survival among Black South African men treated with androgen deprivation therapy for metastatic prostate cancer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

South Africa's HIV epidemic has evolved over time in terms of numbers of people living with HIV, access to antiretroviral treatment (ART) and age. These changes have profoundly influenced local cancer patterns. The Johannesburg Cancer Study has, over a period of 22 years (1995‐2016), recruited over 20 000 incident black cancer patients who consented to provide answers to a questionnaire and blood samples (serum, DNA). This has presented a unique opportunity to examine the evolving association of HIV with cancer in Africa. We used logistic regression models to explore case‐control associations between specific cancers and HIV, using participants with non‐infection related cancers as controls. Using data of 20 835 cancer patients with confirmed HIV status, we found the following cancers to be associated with HIV: Kaposi's sarcoma (ORadj; 95%CI): (99.1;72.6‐135.1), non‐Hodgkin lymphoma (11.3;9.3‐13.6), cervical cancer (2.7;2.4‐3.0), Hodgkin lymphoma (3.1;2.4‐4.2), cancer of the eye/conjunctiva (18.7;10.1‐34.7), anogenital cancers (anus [2.1;1.4‐3.2], penis [5.4;2.7‐10.5], vulva [4.8;3.5‐6.4], vagina [5.5;3.0‐10.2]), oropharyngeal cancer (1.6;1.3‐1.9), squamous cell carcinoma of the skin (3.5;2.4‐4.9), melanoma (2.0;1.2‐3.5) and cancer of the larynx (1.7;1.3‐2.4). Kaposi's sarcoma odds ratios increased from the pre‐ART (1995‐2004) to the early ART (2005‐2009) period but declined in the late ART (2010‐2016) period. Odds ratios for cancers of the eye/conjunctiva, cervix, penis and vulva continued to increase in recent ART periods. Our study confirms the spectrum of HIV‐associated cancers found in other African settings. The odds ratios of conjunctival and HPV‐related cancers continue to rise in the ART era as the HIV positive population ages. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We reviewed the literature on the importance of selected anti‐high‐risk human papillomavirus (HR‐HPV) antibodies (namely, 16/18 and early oncoproteins E6 and E7) as potential serological markers for early detection of individuals at high risk of cervical cancer. We searched for studies in PubMed and Embase databases published from 2010 to 2020 on antibodies against HR‐HPV E6 and E7 early proteins and cervical cancer. Pooled sensitivity and specificity for HPV16 and HPV18 antibodies were calculated using a bivariate hierarchical random‐effects model. A total of 69 articles were identified; we included three studies with 1550 participants. For the three HPV16/18 E6 and E7 antibody tests, enzyme‐linked immunosorbent assay‐based assays had a sensitivity of 18% for detecting CIN2+ (95% confidence interval [CI]: 15–21) and a specificity of 96% (95% CI: 92–98), for slot‐blot, sensitivity was 28.9% (95% CI: 23.3–35.1) and specificity was 72% (95% CI: 66.6–77.0) for detecting CIN2+, and for multiplex HPV serology assay based on a glutathione S‐transferase, sensitivity was 16% (95% CI: 8.45–28.6) and specificity was 98% (95% CI: 97–99) for detecting invasive cervical cancer. HR‐HPV16/18 E6 and E7 serological markers showed high specificity, but sensitivity was suboptimal for the detection of cervical cancer in either population screening settings or as point‐of‐care screening tests. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To determine the frequency and incidence rate of retinoblastoma in children in South Africa from 2004 to 2018. Incident cases of histologically diagnosed retinoblastoma were identified from the South African National Cancer Registry. Crude incidence rates were calculated using national population data on children <15 years and live births. Incidence rates were stratified and compared by age, sex and population group. Direct age-standardised incidence rates and comparative incidence ratios were calculated. The overall age-standardised incidence rate for children <15 years was 3.3 per million or 1 per 21 641 live births. Age-specific rates for children aged 0–4, 5–9 and 10–14 years were 7.7, 0.8 and 0.2 per million, respectively. There was no difference in incidence rates by sex. White children had a significantly higher incidence rate compared to other population groups, but this finding may be due to systemic biases introduced by access to healthcare in South Africa or study methodology. This is the largest study to provide population-based, histologically confirmed national estimates of retinoblastoma incidence from an African nation to date and affirms the need for high-quality cancer registries across the African continent. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]