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9. IDENTIFYING MARKETS AND DEVELOPING EXPORT PROMOTION STRATEGY FOR WOOLLEN TEXTILES FROM INDIA

Author

Siddiqui, Areej Aftab and Singh, Ram

Subjects
Textile industry -- Forecasts and trends -- International economic relations, Exports -- Forecasts and trends, Raw materials -- International trade -- Forecasts and trends, Market trend/market analysis, Business, Economics, Business, international, Regional focus/area studies
Abstract

The woollen textile industry in India is an industry in the MSME sector with a few key players but having huge export potential mainly attributed to the abundance of availability of raw material. India is one of the leading producers of wool and woolen products in the world and it is estimated to be the seventh-largest producer of wool in the world. The present paper uses yearly and monthly data of exports of woollen products from India from 2008-2018 collected from UN-COMTRADE to forecast exports from 2016-2022. The paper based on Revealed Comparative Advantage and Export Intensity Index narrows down on top 9 countries where India has a potential for increasing its exports.An attempt has been made to identify the markets using ARIMA Model to forecast the future destinations for woolen exporters. Before applying ARIMA, it is necessary to check the stationarity of the series being forecasted. The paper indicates that the thrust countries of India's exports of woollen textiles are Australia, Bahrain, Brazil, Saudi Arabia, Senegal, South Africa, Senegal and United Arab Emirates. It is found that projected woollen textile exports from 2018-2022 are constant in case of Australia, Bahrain, Brazil and Senegal but rising at an increasing rate for Saudi Arabia, Sri Lanka, South Africa and United Arab Emirates. Thus, this indicates that India needs to gain more competitive advantage to diversify and grow in the identified markets for export and further to enter new markets of various other countries and increase its level of exports in the future. For enhancing exports of woollen textiles from India, it is suggested that, policy makers as well as exporters of Woollen products from India need to work in sync to achieve the objective of export promotion to the identified thrust markets. Favourable terms should be negotiated to meet the non-tariff barriers in the identified export destinations. Initiatives need to be taken to reduce the cost of production, increase manufacturing capacity and integrate the fragmented supply chain. Keywords: India's Woollen Textiles, Export Forecasting, Revealed Comparative Advantage, Export Intensity, ARIMA JEL Classification: F14, F17, O13, O53 Corresponding Author's Email Address: areej@iift.edu, INTRODUCTION India is one of the leading producers of wool and woolen products in the world and it is estimated to be the seventh-largest producer of wool in the world. [...]

Published
2021

28. Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Sectoral Growth of Indian Economy

Author

Siddiqui, Areej Aftab and Ahmed, Shahid

Subjects
Foreign Direct Investment,Growth,Sectors, lcsh:HB71-74, growth, sectors, foreign direct investment, lcsh:Economics as a science, lcsh:Business, lcsh:HF5001-6182
Abstract

At the backdrop of expanding economies and in the race of attracting higher investments and enhancing exports, it becomes important to analyse the relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in terms of output of the economy. A number of studies have been conducted for analysing the relationship and impact of FDI on Growth of the aggregate economy. This paper aims at assessing the impact and relationship of FDI and Growth with each other at the sectoral level. The impact is examined through Panel co-integration test followed by Random effects model. Granger causality test is also applied to assess the causation of each of these. The results indicate that Growth has an impact on FDI but FDI doesn’t have an impact on Growth at the sectoral level.

Published
2017

33. Technology Exports and Global Value Chain Linkages: A Comparative Sectoral Study of India

Author

Arora, Kashika and Siddiqui, Areej Aftab

Abstract

Technology being incorporated in products, intermediate inputs and processes varies from sector to sector. Using annual time series data (1991–2017), a comparative performance of two sectors, namely, a high-tech (electronics and hardware) and low-tech (textiles and clothing), is undertaken to elaborate on the linkages between trade and technology. The empirical analysis in the form of auto regressive distributive lag (ARDL) testing approach to co-integration concludes that there is strong evidence of positive long-run relationship between extensive margin, gross fixed capital formation and revealed comparative advantage (RCA) with gross exports (GE) for the textile and clothing sector. Also, there runs a bidirectional Granger causality between RCA and GE and unidirectional Granger causality from GE to extensive and intensive margins and production value. However, there is a lack of evidence of long-run co-integration in the electronics sector. Still, a short-run positive causal relationship exists between lagged values of GE, intensive margin and production with GE. Together, the impact of these variables on the sector’s export performance varies, thus posing a challenge as well as providing a direction for the policies to reap further from this potential nexus of trade, investment and global value chains.

Published
2021
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34. FDI and Growth in the Service Sector in India: Empirical Evidences.

Author

SIDDIQUI, AREEJ AFTAB, JAIN, ASHISH, and AHMED, SHAHID

Abstract

The article discusses the increasing interdependence between growth, foreign direct investment (FDI) and trade focusing on the growth in the Indian service industry, employment generation, and the growth rate of service exports.

Published
2016

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