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1. Computing Power and the Governance of Artificial Intelligence

Author

Sastry, Girish, Heim, Lennart, Belfield, Haydn, Anderljung, Markus, Brundage, Miles, Hazell, Julian, O'Keefe, Cullen, Hadfield, Gillian K., Ngo, Richard, Pilz, Konstantin, Gor, George, Bluemke, Emma, Shoker, Sarah, Egan, Janet, Trager, Robert F., Avin, Shahar, Weller, Adrian, Bengio, Yoshua, and Coyle, Diane

Subjects
Computer Science - Computers and Society
Abstract

Computing power, or "compute," is crucial for the development and deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities. As a result, governments and companies have started to leverage compute as a means to govern AI. For example, governments are investing in domestic compute capacity, controlling the flow of compute to competing countries, and subsidizing compute access to certain sectors. However, these efforts only scratch the surface of how compute can be used to govern AI development and deployment. Relative to other key inputs to AI (data and algorithms), AI-relevant compute is a particularly effective point of intervention: it is detectable, excludable, and quantifiable, and is produced via an extremely concentrated supply chain. These characteristics, alongside the singular importance of compute for cutting-edge AI models, suggest that governing compute can contribute to achieving common policy objectives, such as ensuring the safety and beneficial use of AI. More precisely, policymakers could use compute to facilitate regulatory visibility of AI, allocate resources to promote beneficial outcomes, and enforce restrictions against irresponsible or malicious AI development and usage. However, while compute-based policies and technologies have the potential to assist in these areas, there is significant variation in their readiness for implementation. Some ideas are currently being piloted, while others are hindered by the need for fundamental research. Furthermore, naive or poorly scoped approaches to compute governance carry significant risks in areas like privacy, economic impacts, and centralization of power. We end by suggesting guardrails to minimize these risks from compute governance., Comment: Figures can be accessed at: https://github.com/lheim/CPGAI-Figures

Published
2024

2. Confidence-Building Measures for Artificial Intelligence: Workshop Proceedings

Author

Shoker, Sarah, Reddie, Andrew, Barrington, Sarah, Booth, Ruby, Brundage, Miles, Chahal, Husanjot, Depp, Michael, Drexel, Bill, Gupta, Ritwik, Favaro, Marina, Hecla, Jake, Hickey, Alan, Konaev, Margarita, Kumar, Kirthi, Lambert, Nathan, Lohn, Andrew, O'Keefe, Cullen, Rajani, Nazneen, Sellitto, Michael, Trager, Robert, Walker, Leah, Wehsener, Alexa, and Young, Jessica

Subjects
Computer Science - Computers and Society
Abstract

Foundation models could eventually introduce several pathways for undermining state security: accidents, inadvertent escalation, unintentional conflict, the proliferation of weapons, and the interference with human diplomacy are just a few on a long list. The Confidence-Building Measures for Artificial Intelligence workshop hosted by the Geopolitics Team at OpenAI and the Berkeley Risk and Security Lab at the University of California brought together a multistakeholder group to think through the tools and strategies to mitigate the potential risks introduced by foundation models to international security. Originating in the Cold War, confidence-building measures (CBMs) are actions that reduce hostility, prevent conflict escalation, and improve trust between parties. The flexibility of CBMs make them a key instrument for navigating the rapid changes in the foundation model landscape. Participants identified the following CBMs that directly apply to foundation models and which are further explained in this conference proceedings: 1. crisis hotlines 2. incident sharing 3. model, transparency, and system cards 4. content provenance and watermarks 5. collaborative red teaming and table-top exercises and 6. dataset and evaluation sharing. Because most foundation model developers are non-government entities, many CBMs will need to involve a wider stakeholder community. These measures can be implemented either by AI labs or by relevant government actors.

Published
2023

3. GPT-4 Technical Report

Author

OpenAI, Achiam, Josh, Adler, Steven, Agarwal, Sandhini, Ahmad, Lama, Akkaya, Ilge, Aleman, Florencia Leoni, Almeida, Diogo, Altenschmidt, Janko, Altman, Sam, Anadkat, Shyamal, Avila, Red, Babuschkin, Igor, Balaji, Suchir, Balcom, Valerie, Baltescu, Paul, Bao, Haiming, Bavarian, Mohammad, Belgum, Jeff, Bello, Irwan, Berdine, Jake, Bernadett-Shapiro, Gabriel, Berner, Christopher, Bogdonoff, Lenny, Boiko, Oleg, Boyd, Madelaine, Brakman, Anna-Luisa, Brockman, Greg, Brooks, Tim, Brundage, Miles, Button, Kevin, Cai, Trevor, Campbell, Rosie, Cann, Andrew, Carey, Brittany, Carlson, Chelsea, Carmichael, Rory, Chan, Brooke, Chang, Che, Chantzis, Fotis, Chen, Derek, Chen, Sully, Chen, Ruby, Chen, Jason, Chen, Mark, Chess, Ben, Cho, Chester, Chu, Casey, Chung, Hyung Won, Cummings, Dave, Currier, Jeremiah, Dai, Yunxing, Decareaux, Cory, Degry, Thomas, Deutsch, Noah, Deville, Damien, Dhar, Arka, Dohan, David, Dowling, Steve, Dunning, Sheila, Ecoffet, Adrien, Eleti, Atty, Eloundou, Tyna, Farhi, David, Fedus, Liam, Felix, Niko, Fishman, Simón Posada, Forte, Juston, Fulford, Isabella, Gao, Leo, Georges, Elie, Gibson, Christian, Goel, Vik, Gogineni, Tarun, Goh, Gabriel, Gontijo-Lopes, Rapha, Gordon, Jonathan, Grafstein, Morgan, Gray, Scott, Greene, Ryan, Gross, Joshua, Gu, Shixiang Shane, Guo, Yufei, Hallacy, Chris, Han, Jesse, Harris, Jeff, He, Yuchen, Heaton, Mike, Heidecke, Johannes, Hesse, Chris, Hickey, Alan, Hickey, Wade, Hoeschele, Peter, Houghton, Brandon, Hsu, Kenny, Hu, Shengli, Hu, Xin, Huizinga, Joost, Jain, Shantanu, Jain, Shawn, Jang, Joanne, Jiang, Angela, Jiang, Roger, Jin, Haozhun, Jin, Denny, Jomoto, Shino, Jonn, Billie, Jun, Heewoo, Kaftan, Tomer, Kaiser, Łukasz, Kamali, Ali, Kanitscheider, Ingmar, Keskar, Nitish Shirish, Khan, Tabarak, Kilpatrick, Logan, Kim, Jong Wook, Kim, Christina, Kim, Yongjik, Kirchner, Jan Hendrik, Kiros, Jamie, Knight, Matt, Kokotajlo, Daniel, Kondraciuk, Łukasz, Kondrich, Andrew, Konstantinidis, Aris, Kosic, Kyle, Krueger, Gretchen, Kuo, Vishal, Lampe, Michael, Lan, Ikai, Lee, Teddy, Leike, Jan, Leung, Jade, Levy, Daniel, Li, Chak Ming, Lim, Rachel, Lin, Molly, Lin, Stephanie, Litwin, Mateusz, Lopez, Theresa, Lowe, Ryan, Lue, Patricia, Makanju, Anna, Malfacini, Kim, Manning, Sam, Markov, Todor, Markovski, Yaniv, Martin, Bianca, Mayer, Katie, Mayne, Andrew, McGrew, Bob, McKinney, Scott Mayer, McLeavey, Christine, McMillan, Paul, McNeil, Jake, Medina, David, Mehta, Aalok, Menick, Jacob, Metz, Luke, Mishchenko, Andrey, Mishkin, Pamela, Monaco, Vinnie, Morikawa, Evan, Mossing, Daniel, Mu, Tong, Murati, Mira, Murk, Oleg, Mély, David, Nair, Ashvin, Nakano, Reiichiro, Nayak, Rajeev, Neelakantan, Arvind, Ngo, Richard, Noh, Hyeonwoo, Ouyang, Long, O'Keefe, Cullen, Pachocki, Jakub, Paino, Alex, Palermo, Joe, Pantuliano, Ashley, Parascandolo, Giambattista, Parish, Joel, Parparita, Emy, Passos, Alex, Pavlov, Mikhail, Peng, Andrew, Perelman, Adam, Peres, Filipe de Avila Belbute, Petrov, Michael, Pinto, Henrique Ponde de Oliveira, Michael, Pokorny, Pokrass, Michelle, Pong, Vitchyr H., Powell, Tolly, Power, Alethea, Power, Boris, Proehl, Elizabeth, Puri, Raul, Radford, Alec, Rae, Jack, Ramesh, Aditya, Raymond, Cameron, Real, Francis, Rimbach, Kendra, Ross, Carl, Rotsted, Bob, Roussez, Henri, Ryder, Nick, Saltarelli, Mario, Sanders, Ted, Santurkar, Shibani, Sastry, Girish, Schmidt, Heather, Schnurr, David, Schulman, John, Selsam, Daniel, Sheppard, Kyla, Sherbakov, Toki, Shieh, Jessica, Shoker, Sarah, Shyam, Pranav, Sidor, Szymon, Sigler, Eric, Simens, Maddie, Sitkin, Jordan, Slama, Katarina, Sohl, Ian, Sokolowsky, Benjamin, Song, Yang, Staudacher, Natalie, Such, Felipe Petroski, Summers, Natalie, Sutskever, Ilya, Tang, Jie, Tezak, Nikolas, Thompson, Madeleine B., Tillet, Phil, Tootoonchian, Amin, Tseng, Elizabeth, Tuggle, Preston, Turley, Nick, Tworek, Jerry, Uribe, Juan Felipe Cerón, Vallone, Andrea, Vijayvergiya, Arun, Voss, Chelsea, Wainwright, Carroll, Wang, Justin Jay, Wang, Alvin, Wang, Ben, Ward, Jonathan, Wei, Jason, Weinmann, CJ, Welihinda, Akila, Welinder, Peter, Weng, Jiayi, Weng, Lilian, Wiethoff, Matt, Willner, Dave, Winter, Clemens, Wolrich, Samuel, Wong, Hannah, Workman, Lauren, Wu, Sherwin, Wu, Jeff, Wu, Michael, Xiao, Kai, Xu, Tao, Yoo, Sarah, Yu, Kevin, Yuan, Qiming, Zaremba, Wojciech, Zellers, Rowan, Zhang, Chong, Zhang, Marvin, Zhao, Shengjia, Zheng, Tianhao, Zhuang, Juntang, Zhuk, William, and Zoph, Barret

Subjects
Computer Science - Computation and Language, Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence
Abstract

We report the development of GPT-4, a large-scale, multimodal model which can accept image and text inputs and produce text outputs. While less capable than humans in many real-world scenarios, GPT-4 exhibits human-level performance on various professional and academic benchmarks, including passing a simulated bar exam with a score around the top 10% of test takers. GPT-4 is a Transformer-based model pre-trained to predict the next token in a document. The post-training alignment process results in improved performance on measures of factuality and adherence to desired behavior. A core component of this project was developing infrastructure and optimization methods that behave predictably across a wide range of scales. This allowed us to accurately predict some aspects of GPT-4's performance based on models trained with no more than 1/1,000th the compute of GPT-4., Comment: 100 pages; updated authors list; fixed author names and added citation

Published
2023

18. Digitization & Challenges to Democracy

Author

Bannerman, Sara, Porter, Tony, Tan, Netina, Gabel, Chelsea, Budd, Brian, Midzain-Gobin, Liam, Goodman, Nicole, Ouellette, Devin, Shoker, Sarah, Tabassum, Nowrin, Frost, Catherine, Goguen, Marcel, Detlor, Brian, Stecula, Dominik, Joseph, Ameil, Zeffiro, Andrea, Orasch, Angela, and Globalization

Published
2019

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