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28. The potential risks and impact of the start of the 2015-2016 influenza season in the WHO European Region: a rapid risk assessment

Author

Tjon‐Kon‐Fat, Raïssa, Meerhoff, Tamara, Nikisins, Sergejs, Pires, João, Pereyaslov, Dmitriy, Gross, Diane, Brown, Caroline, Drishti, A., Hasibra, I., Kota, M., Simaku, A., Sarkisian, S., Torosyan, L., El Belazi, G., Hain, C., Lachner, P., Muchl, R., Popow‐Kraupp, T., Redlberger‐Fritz, M., Strauss, R., Abdullayeva, N., Salimov, O., Gribkova, N., Shimanovich, V., Bossuyt, N., Hombrouck, A., Moreels, S., Thomas, I., an Casteren, ., Bastinac, D., Dedejic Ljubovic, A., Kojic, D., Kovacevic Suljkanovic, M., Kuzmanovic, M., Vukmir Rodic, N., Georgieva, T., Kojouharova, M., Korsun, N., Drazenovic, V., Erceg, M., Kurecic‐Filipovic, S., Simunovic, A., Visekruna, V.V., Bagatzouni, D., Elia, A., Koliou, M., Havlickova, M., Jirincova, H., Kyncl, J., Bragstad, K., Kolsen Fischer, T., Krause, K.L., Mazick, A., Trebbien, R., Dontsenko, I., Dotsenko, L., Pokras, L., Sadikova, O., Ikonen, N., Lyytikainen, O., Murtopuro, S., Ruutu, P., Behillil, S., Belchior, E., Blanchon, T., Bonmarin, I., Bruno, L., Cohen, J.M., Enouf, V., Levy, B.D., Mosnier, A., Turbelin, C., Valette, M., an der Werf, ., Chakhunashvili, G., Machablishvili, A., Zakhashvili, K., Andreas, G., Buda, S., Eckmanns, T., Krause, G., Poggensee, G., Schweiger, B., Kossivakis, A., Malisiovas, N., Mentis, A., Spala, G., Csohan, A., Jankovics, I., Kaszas, K., Molnar, Z., Rozsa, M., Gudnason, T., Löve, A., Sigmundsdottir, G., Coughlan, S., Domegan, L., Duffy, M., Igoe, D., O'Donnell, J., O'Flanagan, D., Waters, A., Kaufman, Z., Mandelboim, M., Bella, A., Donatelli, I., Pompa, M.G., Rizzo, C., Amandosova, D., Kuatbaeva, A., Nusupbaeva, G., Smagulova, M., Smagul, M., Sultanova, M., Otorbaeva, D., Saparova, G., Butirina, R., Nikiforova, R., Storozenko, J., Zamjatina, N., Griskevicius, A., Lipnickiene, V., Muralyte, S., Mossong, J., Opp, M., Barbara, C., Graziella, Z., Maistre, M.J., Melillo, T., Rakocevic, B., Vratnica, Z., Hooiveld, I., de Lange, M., Dijkstra, F., Donker, G., Meijer, A., Rimmelzwaan, G., Teirlinck, A., van der Hoek, W., Dudman, S., Hauge, S.H., Hungnes, O., Kilander, A., Tonnessen, R., Bednarska, K., Brydak, L., Wozniak‐Kosek, A., Zielinski, A., Guiomar, R., Nunes, B., Eder, V., Spinu, C., Alexandrescu, V., Lupulescu, E., Popovici, F., Burtseva, E., Komissarov, A., Smorodintseva, E., Sominina, A., Dimitrijevic, D., Filipovic, S., Staronova, E., Berginc, N., Prosenc, K., Socan, M., Ucakar, V., Grgic Vitek, M., Casas, I., de Lejarazu, R. Ortiz, Larrauri, A., Pozo, F., Vega, T., Ali, M., Brytting, M., Dahl, H., Englund, H., Tegnell, A., Wallensten, A., Wiman, A., Born, R., Cordey, S., Kamolov, M., Bosevska, G., Karadzovski, Z., Kuzmanovska, G., Mikik, V., Korukluoglu, G., Topal, S., Ashyrova, A., Ovliyakulova, G., Demchyshyna, I., Dykhanovska, T., Mironenko, A., Blatchford, O., Carman, W., Coyle, P., Gunson, R., Kearns, C., MacLean, A., Mcmenamin, J., Moore, C., Nugent, C., Pebody, R., Phin, N., Reynolds, A., Smyth, B., Watson, J., Zambon, M., Dzemileva, S., and Rakhimov, R.

Subjects
0301 basic medicine, Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine, Epidemiology, Influenza season, Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus, Seasonal influenza, 03 medical and health sciences, Environmental protection, Virology, Environmental health, Estado de Saúde, 2015–2016 Influenza season, Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health, virus diseases, 1103 Clinical Sciences, European region, 030112 virology, Europe, 030104 developmental biology, Infectious Diseases, Geography, 1117 Public Health And Health Services, 2015-2016 Influenza season, Original Article, seasonal influenza, Determinantes da Saúde e da Doença, WHO European Region, Risk assessment
Abstract

WHO European Region Influenza Network: P.Conde, I. Costa, P. Crostovão, R. Guiomar, B. Nunes, P.Pechirra, A. Rodrigues (Portugal) BACKGROUND: Countries in the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region are reporting more severe influenza activity in the 2015-2016 season compared to previous seasons. OBJECTIVES: To conduct a rapid risk assessment to provide interim information on the severity of the current influenza season METHODS: Using the WHO manual for rapid risk assessment of acute public health events and surveillance data available from Flu News Europe, an assessment of the current influenza season from 28 September 2015 (week 40/2015) up to 31 January 2016 (week 04/2016) was made compared with the 4 previous seasons. RESULTS: The current influenza season started around week 51/2015 with higher influenza activity reported in eastern Europe compared to Western Europe. There is a strong predominance of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 compared to previous seasons, but the virus is antigenically similar to the strain included in the seasonal influenza vaccine. Compared to the 2014/2015 season, there was a rapid increase in the number of severe cases in eastern European countries with the majority of such cases occurring among adults aged

Published
2016

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