29 results on '"Shikhani, Muhammed"'
Search Results
2. Composition of photosynthetic gas bubbles from submerged macrophytes
- Author
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Shikhani, Muhammed, Reinschke, Lena, Aurich, Patrick, Waldemer, Carolin, Koschorreck, Matthias, Boehrer, Bertram, Shikhani, Muhammed, Reinschke, Lena, Aurich, Patrick, Waldemer, Carolin, Koschorreck, Matthias, and Boehrer, Bertram
- Abstract
Dissolved oxygen plays a central role for all organisms dwelling in water. However, the flux of oxygen by ebullition has not received much attention in environmental science. For a better quantitative understanding of the oxygen flux due to ebullition, we conducted a series of laboratory experiments, where we forced macrophytes to produce photosynthetic gas bubbles. Raising the CO2 concentration in the water greatly increased bubble formation. Depth was varied to compare the results with theoretically predicted composition of photosynthetic bubbles forming at minimum required gas pressure. Oxygen concentrations lay between this theoretical line as lower boundary (ca. 21% O2 at 0.3 m depth and 45% of O2 at 4.5 m) and 45% of oxygen as the purely empirical upper limit for all depths. As a consequence, no bubble formation was observed at depths below 4.5 m.
- Published
- 2024
3. Contemporary community composition, spatial distribution patterns, and biodiversity characteristics of zooplankton in large alpine Lake Sevan, Armenia
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Hayrapetyan, Armine, primary, Gevorgyan, Gor, additional, Schultze, Martin, additional, Shikhani, Muhammed, additional, Khachikyan, Termine, additional, Krylov, Aleksandr, additional, and Rinke, Karsten, additional
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- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Contemporary community composition, spatial distribution patterns, and biodiversity characteristics of zooplankton in large alpine Lake Sevan, Armenia
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Hayrapetyan, A., Gevorgyan, G., Schultze, Martin, Shikhani, Muhammed, Khachikyan, T., Krylov, A., Rinke, Karsten, Hayrapetyan, A., Gevorgyan, G., Schultze, Martin, Shikhani, Muhammed, Khachikyan, T., Krylov, A., and Rinke, Karsten
- Abstract
We studied the quantitative composition, spatial distribution, and temporal dynamics of the zooplankton community of the alpine Lake Sevan, Armenia, the largest surface water in the Caucasus region. This article is providing a long-term information and fills the research gap of multiyear data on zooplankton, as the previous research on zooplankton provided only snapshots of the community, and a consistent assessment over multiple years was missing. However, an initial mini-review of historical studies indicated that zooplankton biomass and fish abundance were undergoing large fluctuations, indicating the importance of top-down control. We analysed 239 samples from the period 2016-2019 from 32 sampling sites in Lake Sevan and recorded 37 species of meso- and macrozooplankton (Rotifers, Copepods, Cladocera). Biomass fluctuations were high with peaking biomasses in 2016 and lowest biomasses in 2018, yearly averaged biomass varied about one order of magnitude. Variability over time was hence much higher than spatial variability. The pelagic habitat at the deepest part of the lake showed the highest diversity and biomasses but contrasts between sampling sites remained smaller than changes from year to year or seasonally. Many samples were dominated by a single species, and these key species explain observed biomass dynamics to a wide extent. We applied hierarchical clustering in order to identify phenological groups that appear to show similar patterns of occurrence. This clustering resulted in 6 groups where of 5 groups just consisting of one single species and these 5 key species were the Cladocerans Daphnia magna, Daphnia hyalina, Diaphanosoma sp. as well as the calanoids Arctodiaptomus bacillifer and Acanthodiaptomus denticornis. The most important species in Lake Sevan’s zooplankton during the observation period was D. magna, which reached high biomasses in 2016 and 2017 but then suddenly almost disappeared in 2018 and 2019. When there were more D. magna present, th
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- 2023
5. Release_to_publish_data_for_bubble_MS
- Author
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Shikhani, Muhammed and Shikhani, Muhammed
- Abstract
Dissolved oxygen plays a central role for all organisms dwelling in water. However, the flux of oxygen by ebullition has not received much attention in environmental science. For a better quantitative understanding of the oxygen flux due to ebullition, we conducted a series of laboratory experiments, where we forced macrophytes to produce photosynthetic gas bubbles. Raising the CO2 concentration in the water greatly increased bubble formation. Depth was varied to compare the results with theoretically predicted composition of photosynthetic bubbles forming at minimum required gas pressure. Oxygen concentrations lay between this theoretical line as lower boundary (ca. 21% O2 at 0.3 m depth and 45% of O2 at 4.5 m) and 45% of oxygen as the purely empirical upper limit for all depths. As a consequence, no bubble formation was observed at depths below 4.5 m.
- Published
- 2023
6. Sources of skill in lake temperature, discharge and ice-off seasonal forecasting tools
- Author
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Clayer, Francois, Jackson-Blake, Leah, Mercado-Bettin, Daniel, Shikhani, Muhammed, French, Andrew, Moore, Tadhg, Sample, James, Norling, Magnus, Frias, Maria-Dolores, Herrera, Sixto, de Eyto, Elvira, Jennings, Eleanor, Rinke, Karsten, van der Linden, Leon, Marce, Rafael, Clayer, Francois, Jackson-Blake, Leah, Mercado-Bettin, Daniel, Shikhani, Muhammed, French, Andrew, Moore, Tadhg, Sample, James, Norling, Magnus, Frias, Maria-Dolores, Herrera, Sixto, de Eyto, Elvira, Jennings, Eleanor, Rinke, Karsten, van der Linden, Leon, and Marce, Rafael
- Abstract
Despite high potential benefits, the development of seasonal forecasting tools in the water sector has been slower than in other sectors. Here we assess the skill of seasonal forecasting tools for lakes and reservoirs set up at four sites in Australia and Europe. These tools consist of coupled hydrological catchment and lake models forced with seasonal meteorological forecast ensembles to provide probabilistic predictions of seasonal anomalies in water discharge, temperature and ice-off. Successful implementation requires a rigorous assessment of the tools' predictive skill and an apportionment of the predictability between legacy effects and input forcing data. To this end, models were forced with two meteorological datasets from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the seasonal forecasting system, SEAS5, with 3-month lead times and the ERA5 reanalysis. Historical skill was assessed by comparing both model outputs, i.e. seasonal lake hindcasts (forced with SEAS5), and pseudo-observations (forced with ERA5). The skill of the seasonal lake hindcasts was generally low although higher than the reference hindcasts, i.e. pseudo-observations, at some sites for certain combinations of season and variable. The SEAS5 meteorological predictions showed less skill than the lake hindcasts. In fact, skilful lake hindcasts identified for selected seasons and variables were not always synchronous with skilful SEAS5 meteorological hindcasts, raising questions on the source of the predictability. A set of sensitivity analyses showed that most of the forecasting skill originates from legacy effects, although during winter and spring in Norway some skill was coming from SEAS5 over the 3-month target season. When SEAS5 hindcasts were skilful, additional predictive skill originates from the interaction between legacy and SEAS5 skill. We conclude that lake forecasts forced with an ensemble of boundary conditions resampled from historical meteorology are currentl
- Published
- 2023
7. Sources of skill in lake temperature, discharge and ice-off seasonal forecasting tools
- Author
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Clayer, F., Jackson-Blake, L., Mercado-Bettín, D., Shikhani, Muhammed, French, A., Moore, T., Sample, J., Norling, M., Frias, M.-D., Herrera, S., de Eyto, E., Jennings, E., Rinke, Karsten, van der Linden, L., Marcé, R., Clayer, F., Jackson-Blake, L., Mercado-Bettín, D., Shikhani, Muhammed, French, A., Moore, T., Sample, J., Norling, M., Frias, M.-D., Herrera, S., de Eyto, E., Jennings, E., Rinke, Karsten, van der Linden, L., and Marcé, R.
- Abstract
Despite high potential benefits, the development of seasonal forecasting tools in the water sector has been slower than in other sectors. Here we assess the skill of seasonal forecasting tools for lakes and reservoirs set up at four sites in Australia and Europe. These tools consist of coupled hydrological catchment and lake models forced with seasonal meteorological forecast ensembles to provide probabilistic predictions of seasonal anomalies in water discharge, temperature and ice-off. Successful implementation requires a rigorous assessment of the tools' predictive skill and an apportionment of the predictability between legacy effects and input forcing data. To this end, models were forced with two meteorological datasets from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the seasonal forecasting system, SEAS5, with 3-month lead times and the ERA5 reanalysis. Historical skill was assessed by comparing both model outputs, i.e. seasonal lake hindcasts (forced with SEAS5), and pseudo-observations (forced with ERA5). The skill of the seasonal lake hindcasts was generally low although higher than the reference hindcasts, i.e. pseudo-observations, at some sites for certain combinations of season and variable. The SEAS5 meteorological predictions showed less skill than the lake hindcasts. In fact, skilful lake hindcasts identified for selected seasons and variables were not always synchronous with skilful SEAS5 meteorological hindcasts, raising questions on the source of the predictability. A set of sensitivity analyses showed that most of the forecasting skill originates from legacy effects, although during winter and spring in Norway some skill was coming from SEAS5 over the 3-month target season. When SEAS5 hindcasts were skilful, additional predictive skill originates from the interaction between legacy and SEAS5 skill. We conclude that lake forecasts forced with an ensemble of boundary conditions resampled from historical meteorology are currentl
- Published
- 2023
8. Supplementary material to "Inertia and seasonal climate prediction as sources of skill in lake temperature, discharge and ice-off forecasting tools"
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Clayer, François, primary, Jackson-Blake, Leah, additional, Mercado, Daniel, additional, Shikhani, Muhammed, additional, French, Andrew, additional, Moore, Tadhg, additional, Sample, James, additional, Norling, Magnus, additional, Frías, Maria-Dolores, additional, Herrera, Sixto, additional, de Eyto, Elvira, additional, Jennings, Eleanor, additional, Rinke, Karsten, additional, van der Linden, Leon, additional, and Marcé, Rafael, additional
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Inertia and seasonal climate prediction as sources of skill in lake temperature, discharge and ice-off forecasting tools
- Author
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Clayer, François, primary, Jackson-Blake, Leah, additional, Mercado, Daniel, additional, Shikhani, Muhammed, additional, French, Andrew, additional, Moore, Tadhg, additional, Sample, James, additional, Norling, Magnus, additional, Frías, Maria-Dolores, additional, Herrera, Sixto, additional, de Eyto, Elvira, additional, Jennings, Eleanor, additional, Rinke, Karsten, additional, van der Linden, Leon, additional, and Marcé, Rafael, additional
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- 2022
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10. AEMON-J/DSOS Archive: 'Hacking Limnology' Workshop + Virtual Summit in Data Science & Open Science in Aquatic Research
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Meyer, Michael, Ladwig, Robert, Oleksy, Isabella, Mesman, Jorrit, Zwart, Jacob, Cramer, Alli, Cawley, Kaelin, feldbauer, johannes, Tran, Patricia, Moreira, Gregor, Shikhani, Muhammed, Gurung, Deviyani, Hensley, Robert, Matta, Elena, McClure, Ryan, Petzoldt, Thomas, Lopez, Nuria, Soetaert, Karline, Thomas, Mridul, Topp, Simon, Yangxiao, McDaniel, Elizabeth, Schaerer, Laura, Mezzini, Stefano, Varadharajan, Charuleka, Simpson, Gavin, Hollister, Jeffrey, Pedersen, Eric, Ross, Matthew, Gries, Corinna, Husic, Admin, Beck, Marcus, Scheuerell, Mark, Williams, Clayton, Kincaid, Dustin, Pilla, Rachel, Shuvo, Arnab, Koenig, Lauren, Cavalcanti, J, Sonnewald, Maike, Hondula, Kelly, Nell, Colleen, Erdmann, Christopher, Stachelek, Joseph, Saia, Sheila, Hanly, Patrick, Adam, Jennifer, Pollard, Amina, King, Tyler, Chen, Shengyu, Fickas, Kate, Barbosa, Carolina, Stengel, Victoria, Brousil, Matthew, Filazzola, Alessandro, Andersen, Tobias, Trolle, Dennis, Schnedler-Meyer, Nicolas, Macedo, Heloisa, Sikder, Safat, Newall, Sam, Speir, Shannon, Robison, Andrew, Lowman, Heili, Ren, Jianning, Yousefi, Azadeh, Dolan, Wayana, Wu, Qiusheng, Aydin, Orhun, Conlon, Matthew, Soares, Laura, Jones, Amber, Stahl, Amanda, Culpepper, Joshua, and Bah, Abdou
- Subjects
early career researcher ,remote sensing ,workshop ,big data ,limnology ,open science ,hydrology ,modeling ,data science ,virtual conference ,ecology ,oceanography ,ECR - Abstract
This OSF project is meant to serve as a long-term storage repository for presentations and workshop materials for the Aquatic Ecosystem Modeling-Junior (AEMON-J) and Virtual Summit: Incorporating Data Science and Open Science (DSOS) communities. Contributors in this repository include past presenters and workshop organizers. Contributors are only responsible for those individual presentations that are labeled with their surname.
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Opportunities for seasonal forecasting to support water management outside the tropics
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Jackson-Blake, Leah A., Clayer, Francois, de Eyto, Elvira, French, Andrew S., Dolores Frias, Maria, Mercado-Bettin, Daniel, Moore, Tadhg, Puertolas, Laura, Poole, Russell, Rinke, Karsten, Shikhani, Muhammed, van der Linden, Leon, Marce, Rafael, Jackson-Blake, Leah A., Clayer, Francois, de Eyto, Elvira, French, Andrew S., Dolores Frias, Maria, Mercado-Bettin, Daniel, Moore, Tadhg, Puertolas, Laura, Poole, Russell, Rinke, Karsten, Shikhani, Muhammed, van der Linden, Leon, and Marce, Rafael
- Abstract
Advance warning of seasonal conditions has the potential to assist water management in planning and risk mitigation, with large potential social, economic, and ecological benefits. In this study, we explore the value of seasonal forecasting for decision-making at five case study sites located in extratropical regions. The forecasting tools used integrate seasonal climate model forecasts with freshwater impact models of catchment hydrology, lake conditions (temperature, water level, chemistry, and ecology), and fish migration timing and were co-developed together with water managers. To explore the decision-making value of forecasts, we carried out a qualitative assessment of (1) how useful forecasts would have been for a problematic past season and (2) the relevance of any windows of opportunity (seasons and variables where forecasts are thought to perform well) for management. Overall, water managers were optimistic about the potential for improved decision-making and identified actions that could be taken based on forecasts. However, there was often a mismatch between those variables that could best be predicted and those which would be most useful for management. Reductions in forecast uncertainty and a need to develop practical, hands-on experience were identified as key requirements before forecasts would be used in operational decision-making. Seasonal climate forecasts provided little added value to freshwater forecasts in these extratropical study sites, and we discuss the conditions under which seasonal climate forecasts with only limited skill are most likely to be worth incorporating into freshwater forecasting workflows.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Opportunities for seasonal forecasting to support water management outside the tropics
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Jackson-Blake, L.A., Clayer, F., de Eyto, E., French, A.S., Frías, M.D., Mercado-Bettín, D., Moore, T., Puértolas, L., Poole, R., Rinke, Karsten, Shikhani, Muhammed, van der Linden, L., Marcé, R., Jackson-Blake, L.A., Clayer, F., de Eyto, E., French, A.S., Frías, M.D., Mercado-Bettín, D., Moore, T., Puértolas, L., Poole, R., Rinke, Karsten, Shikhani, Muhammed, van der Linden, L., and Marcé, R.
- Abstract
Advance warning of seasonal conditions has the potential to assist water management in planning and risk mitigation, with large potential social, economic, and ecological benefits. In this study, we explore the value of seasonal forecasting for decision-making at five case study sites located in extratropical regions. The forecasting tools used integrate seasonal climate model forecasts with freshwater impact models of catchment hydrology, lake conditions (temperature, water level, chemistry, and ecology), and fish migration timing and were co-developed together with water managers. To explore the decision-making value of forecasts, we carried out a qualitative assessment of (1) how useful forecasts would have been for a problematic past season and (2) the relevance of any windows of opportunity (seasons and variables where forecasts are thought to perform well) for management. Overall, water managers were optimistic about the potential for improved decision-making and identified actions that could be taken based on forecasts. However, there was often a mismatch between those variables that could best be predicted and those which would be most useful for management. Reductions in forecast uncertainty and a need to develop practical, hands-on experience were identified as key requirements before forecasts would be used in operational decision-making. Seasonal climate forecasts provided little added value to freshwater forecasts in these extratropical study sites, and we discuss the conditions under which seasonal climate forecasts with only limited skill are most likely to be worth incorporating into freshwater forecasting workflows.
- Published
- 2022
13. Opportunities for seasonal forecasting to support water management outside the tropics
- Author
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Jackson-Blake, Leah A., primary, Clayer, François, additional, de Eyto, Elvira, additional, French, Andrew S., additional, Frías, María Dolores, additional, Mercado-Bettín, Daniel, additional, Moore, Tadhg, additional, Puértolas, Laura, additional, Poole, Russell, additional, Rinke, Karsten, additional, Shikhani, Muhammed, additional, van der Linden, Leon, additional, and Marcé, Rafael, additional
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- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. The AEMON‐J “Hacking Limnology” Workshop Series & Virtual Summit: Incorporating Data Science and Open Science in Aquatic Research
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Meyer, Michael F., primary, Ladwig, Robert, additional, Mesman, Jorrit P., additional, Oleksy, Isabella A., additional, Barbosa, Carolina C., additional, Cawley, Kaelin M., additional, Cramer, Alli N., additional, Feldbauer, Johannes, additional, Tran, Patricia Q., additional, Zwart, Jacob A., additional, López Moreira M., Gregorio A., additional, Shikhani, Muhammed, additional, Gurung, Deviyani, additional, Hensley, Robert T., additional, Matta, Elena, additional, McClure, Ryan P., additional, Petzoldt, Thomas, additional, Sánchez‐López, Nuria, additional, Soetaert, Karline, additional, Thomas, Mridul K., additional, Topp, Simon N., additional, and Yang, Xiao, additional
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- 2021
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15. Simulating thermal dynamics of the largest lake in the Caucasus region: The mountain Lake Sevan
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Shikhani, Muhammed, primary, Mi, Chenxi, additional, Gevorgyan, Artur, additional, Gevorgyan, Gor, additional, Misakyan, Amalya, additional, Azizyan, Levon, additional, Barfus, Klemens, additional, Schulze, Martin, additional, Shatwell, Tom, additional, and Rinke, Karsten, additional
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- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Opportunities for seasonal forecasting to support water management outside the tropics
- Author
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Jackson-Blake, Leah Amber, primary, Clayer, François, additional, de Eyto, Elvira, additional, French, Andrew, additional, Frías, María Dolores, additional, Mercado-Bettín, Daniel, additional, Moore, Tadhg, additional, Puértolas, Laura, additional, Poole, Russell, additional, Rinke, Karsten, additional, Shikhani, Muhammed, additional, van der Linden, Leon, additional, and Marcé, Rafael, additional
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Inertia and seasonal climate prediction as sources of skill in lake temperature, discharge and ice-off forecasting tools.
- Author
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Clayer, François, Jackson-Blake, Leah, Mercado, Daniel, Shikhani, Muhammed, French, Andrew, Moore, Tadhg, Sample, James, Norling, Magnus, Frías, Maria-Dolores, Herrera, Sixto, de Eyto, Elvira, Jennings, Eleanor, Rinke, Karsten, van der Linden, Leon, and Marcé, Rafael
- Abstract
Despite high potential benefits, the development of seasonal forecasting tools in the water sector has been slower than in other sectors. Here we assess the skill of seasonal forecasting tools for lake and reservoir set up at four sites in Australia and Europe. These tools, as previously presented, consist of coupled hydrological catchment and lake models forced with seasonal climate forecast ensembles to provide probabilistic predictions of seasonal anomalies in water discharge, temperature and ice-off. Successful implementation requires a rigorous assessment of the tools' predictive skill and an apportionment of the predictability between legacy effects and input data. To this end, models were forced with two meteorological datasets from the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), the seasonal forecasts SEAS5 and the ERA5 reanalysis. Historical skill was assessed by comparing both model outputs, i.e., seasonal lake hindcasts (forced with SEAS5) and pseudo-observations (forced with ERA5). The skill of the seasonal lake hindcasts was generally low, but higher than SEAS5 climate hindcasts. Nevertheless, lake and SEAS5 windows of opportunity were identified, although they were not always synchronous, raising questions on the source of the predictability. A set of sensitivity analyses showed that most of the forecasting skill originates from legacy effects, although during winter and spring in Norway some skill was coming from SEAS5 over the target season. When SEAS5 hindcasts were skillful, additional predictability originates from the interaction between legacy and SEAS5 skill. We conclude that a climatology driven forecast is currently likely to yield higher quality forecasts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Virtual Growing Pains: Initial Lessons Learned from Organizing Virtual Workshops, Summits, Conferences, and Networking Events during a Global Pandemic
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Meyer, Michael F., Ladwig, Robert, Dugan, Hilary A., Anderson, Alyssa, Bah, Abdou R., Boehrer, Bertram, Borre, Lisa, Chapina, Rosaura J., Doyle, Chris, Favot, Elizbaeth J., Flaim, Giovanna, Forsberg, Philip, Hanson, Paul C., Ibelings, Bas W., Isles, Peter, Lin, Fang-Pang, Lofton, Dendy, Moore, Tadhg N., Peel, Sara, Peters, Jody A., Pierson, Don, de Senerpont Domis, Lisette N., Schloss, Jeffrey A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Smagula, Amy P., Stockwell, Jason D., Thomas, Perry, Thomas, R. Quinn, Tietjen, Todd, Weathers, Kathleen C., Meyer, Michael F., Ladwig, Robert, Dugan, Hilary A., Anderson, Alyssa, Bah, Abdou R., Boehrer, Bertram, Borre, Lisa, Chapina, Rosaura J., Doyle, Chris, Favot, Elizbaeth J., Flaim, Giovanna, Forsberg, Philip, Hanson, Paul C., Ibelings, Bas W., Isles, Peter, Lin, Fang-Pang, Lofton, Dendy, Moore, Tadhg N., Peel, Sara, Peters, Jody A., Pierson, Don, de Senerpont Domis, Lisette N., Schloss, Jeffrey A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Smagula, Amy P., Stockwell, Jason D., Thomas, Perry, Thomas, R. Quinn, Tietjen, Todd, and Weathers, Kathleen C.
- Abstract
For many, 2020 was a year of abrupt professional and personal change. For the aquatic sciences community, many were adapting to virtual formats for conducting and sharing science, while simultaneously learning to live in a socially distanced world. Understandably, the aquatic sciences community postponed or canceled most in-person scientific meetings. Still, many scientific communities either transitioned annual meetings to a virtual format or inaugurated new virtual meetings. Fortunately, increased use of video conferencing platforms, networking and communication applications, and a general comfort with conducting science virtually helped bring the in-person meeting experience to scientists worldwide. Yet, the transition to conducting science virtually revealed new barriers to participation whereas others were lowered. The combined lessons learned from organizing a meeting constitute a necessary knowledge base that will prove useful, as virtual conferences are likely to continue in some form. To concentrate and synthesize these experiences, we showcase how six scientific societies and communities planned, organized, and conducted virtual meetings in 2020. With this consolidated information in hand, we look forward to a future, where scientific meetings embrace a virtual component, so to as help make science more inclusive and global.
- Published
- 2021
19. The AEMON-J “Hacking Limnology” Workshop Series & Virtual Summit : Incorporating Data Science and Open Science in Aquatic Research
- Author
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Meyer, Michael F., Ladwig, Robert, Mesman, Jorrit P., Oleksy, Isabella A., Barbosa, Carolina C., Cawley, Kaelin M., Cramer, Alli N., Feldbauer, Johannes, Tran, Patricia Q., Zwart, Jacob A., López Moreira M., Gregorio A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Gurung, Deviyani, Hensley, Robert T., Matta, Elena, McClure, Ryan P., Petzoldt, Thomas, Sánchez-López, Nuria, Soetaert, Karline, Thomas, Mridul K., Topp, Simon N., Yang, Xiao, Meyer, Michael F., Ladwig, Robert, Mesman, Jorrit P., Oleksy, Isabella A., Barbosa, Carolina C., Cawley, Kaelin M., Cramer, Alli N., Feldbauer, Johannes, Tran, Patricia Q., Zwart, Jacob A., López Moreira M., Gregorio A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Gurung, Deviyani, Hensley, Robert T., Matta, Elena, McClure, Ryan P., Petzoldt, Thomas, Sánchez-López, Nuria, Soetaert, Karline, Thomas, Mridul K., Topp, Simon N., and Yang, Xiao
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- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Virtual Growing Pains: Initial Lessons Learned from Organizing Virtual Workshops, Summits, Conferences, and Networking Events during a Global Pandemic
- Author
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Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Meyer, Michael F., Ladwig, Robert, Dugan, Hilary A., Anderson, Alyssa, Bah, Abdou R., Boehrer, Bertram, Borre, Lisa, Chapina, Rosaura J., Doyle, Chris, Favot, Elizbaeth J., Flaim, Giobanna, Forsberg, Philip, Hanson, Paul C., Ibelings, Bas W., Isles, Peter, Lin, Fang-Pang, Lofton, Dendy, Moore, Tadhg N., Peel, Sara, Peters, Jody A., Pierson, Don, de Senerpont Domis, Lisette N., Schloss, Jeffrey A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Smagula, Amy P., Stockwell, Jason D., Thomas, Perry, Thomas, R. Quinn, Tietjen, Todd, Weathers, Kathleen C., Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Meyer, Michael F., Ladwig, Robert, Dugan, Hilary A., Anderson, Alyssa, Bah, Abdou R., Boehrer, Bertram, Borre, Lisa, Chapina, Rosaura J., Doyle, Chris, Favot, Elizbaeth J., Flaim, Giobanna, Forsberg, Philip, Hanson, Paul C., Ibelings, Bas W., Isles, Peter, Lin, Fang-Pang, Lofton, Dendy, Moore, Tadhg N., Peel, Sara, Peters, Jody A., Pierson, Don, de Senerpont Domis, Lisette N., Schloss, Jeffrey A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Smagula, Amy P., Stockwell, Jason D., Thomas, Perry, Thomas, R. Quinn, Tietjen, Todd, and Weathers, Kathleen C.
- Abstract
For many, 2020 was a year of abrupt professional and personal change. For the aquatic sciences community, many were adapting to virtual formats for conducting and sharing science, while simultaneously learning to live in a socially distanced world. Understandably, the aquatic sciences community postponed or canceled most in-person scientific meetings. Still, many scientific communities either transitioned annual meetings to a virtual format or inaugurated new virtual meetings. Fortunately, increased use of video conferencing platforms, networking and communication applications, and a general comfort with conducting science virtually helped bring the in-person meeting experience to scientists worldwide. Yet, the transition to conducting science virtually revealed new barriers to participation whereas others were lowered. The combined lessons learned from organizing a meeting constitute a necessary knowledge base that will prove useful, as virtual conferences are likely to continue in some form. To concentrate and synthesize these experiences, we showcase how six scientific societies and communities planned, organized, and conducted virtual meetings in 2020. With this consolidated information in hand, we look forward to a future, where scientific meetings embrace a virtual component, so to as help make science more inclusive and global.
- Published
- 2021
21. Forecasting water temperature in lakes and reservoirs using seasonal climate prediction
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Mercado-Bettín, D., Clayer, F., Shikhani, Muhammed, Moore, T.N., Frías, M.D., Jackson-Blake, L., Sample, J., Iturbide, M., Herrera, S., French, A.S., Norling, M.D., Rinke, Karsten, Marcé, R., Mercado-Bettín, D., Clayer, F., Shikhani, Muhammed, Moore, T.N., Frías, M.D., Jackson-Blake, L., Sample, J., Iturbide, M., Herrera, S., French, A.S., Norling, M.D., Rinke, Karsten, and Marcé, R.
- Abstract
Seasonal climate forecasts produce probabilistic predictions of meteorological variables for subsequent months. This provides a potential resource to predict the influence of seasonal climate anomalies on surface water balance in catchments and hydro-thermodynamics in related water bodies (e.g., lakes or reservoirs). Obtaining seasonal forecasts for impact variables (e.g., discharge and water temperature) requires a link between seasonal climate forecasts and impact models simulating hydrology and lake hydrodynamics and thermal regimes. However, this link remains challenging for stakeholders and the water scientific community, mainly due to the probabilistic nature of these predictions. In this paper, we introduce a feasible, robust, and open-source workflow integrating seasonal climate forecasts with hydrologic and lake models to generate seasonal forecasts of discharge and water temperature profiles. The workflow has been designed to be applicable to any catchment and associated lake or reservoir, and is optimized in this study for four catchment-lake systems to help in their proactive management. We assessed the performance of the resulting seasonal forecasts of discharge and water temperature by comparing them with hydrologic and lake (pseudo)observations (reanalysis). Precisely, we analysed the historical performance using a data sample of past forecasts and reanalysis to obtain information about the skill (performance or quality) of the seasonal forecast system to predict particular events. We used the current seasonal climate forecast system (SEAS5) and reanalysis (ERA5) of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). We found that due to the limited predictability at seasonal time-scales over the locations of the four case studies (Europe and South of Australia), seasonal forecasts exhibited none to low performance (skill) for the atmospheric variables considered. Nevertheless, seasonal forecasts for discharge present some skill in all but
- Published
- 2021
22. Virtual growing pains: Initial lessons learned from organizing virtual workshops, summits, conferences, and networking events during a global pandemic
- Author
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Meyer, M.F., Ladwig, R., Dugan, H.A., Anderson, A., Bah, A.R., Boehrer, Bertram, Borre, L., Chapina, R.J., Doyle, C., Favot, E.J., Flaim, G., Forsberg, P., Hanson, P.C., Ibelings, B.W., Isles, P., Lin, F.-P., Lofton, D., Moore, T.N., Peel, S., Peters, J.A., Pierson, D., De Senerpont Domis, L.N., Schloss, J.A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Smagula, A.P., Stockwell, J.D., Thomas, P., Thomas, R.Q., Tietjen, T., Weathers, K.C., Meyer, M.F., Ladwig, R., Dugan, H.A., Anderson, A., Bah, A.R., Boehrer, Bertram, Borre, L., Chapina, R.J., Doyle, C., Favot, E.J., Flaim, G., Forsberg, P., Hanson, P.C., Ibelings, B.W., Isles, P., Lin, F.-P., Lofton, D., Moore, T.N., Peel, S., Peters, J.A., Pierson, D., De Senerpont Domis, L.N., Schloss, J.A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Smagula, A.P., Stockwell, J.D., Thomas, P., Thomas, R.Q., Tietjen, T., and Weathers, K.C.
- Abstract
For many, 2020 was a year of abrupt professional and personal change. For the aquatic sciences community, many were adapting to virtual formats for conducting and sharing science, while simultaneously learning to live in a socially distanced world. Understandably, the aquatic sciences community postponed or canceled most in‐person scientific meetings. Still, many scientific communities either transitioned annual meetings to a virtual format or inaugurated new virtual meetings. Fortunately, increased use of video conferencing platforms, networking and communication applications, and a general comfort with conducting science virtually helped bring the in‐person meeting experience to scientists worldwide. Yet, the transition to conducting science virtually revealed new barriers to participation whereas others were lowered. The combined lessons learned from organizing a meeting constitute a necessary knowledge base that will prove useful, as virtual conferences are likely to continue in some form. To concentrate and synthesize these experiences, we showcase how six scientific societies and communities planned, organized, and conducted virtual meetings in 2020. With this consolidated information in hand, we look forward to a future, where scientific meetings embrace a virtual component, so to as help make science more inclusive and global.
- Published
- 2021
23. The AEMON-J “Hacking Limnology” Workshop Series & Virtual Summit: Incorporating data science and open science in aquatic research
- Author
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Meyer, M.F., Ladwig, R., Mesman, J.P., Oleksy, I.A., Barbosa, C.C., Cawley, K.M., Cramer, A.N., Feldbauer, J., Tran, P.Q., Zwart, J.A., López Moreira M., G.A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Gurung, D., Hensley, R.T., Matta, E., McClure, R.P., Petzoldt, T., Sánchez-López, N., Soetaert, K., Thomas, M.K., Topp, S.N., Yang, X., Meyer, M.F., Ladwig, R., Mesman, J.P., Oleksy, I.A., Barbosa, C.C., Cawley, K.M., Cramer, A.N., Feldbauer, J., Tran, P.Q., Zwart, J.A., López Moreira M., G.A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Gurung, D., Hensley, R.T., Matta, E., McClure, R.P., Petzoldt, T., Sánchez-López, N., Soetaert, K., Thomas, M.K., Topp, S.N., and Yang, X.
- Abstract
no abstract
- Published
- 2021
24. Simulating thermal dynamics of the largest lake in the Caucasus region: The mountain Lake Sevan
- Author
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Shikhani, Muhammed, Mi, Chenxi, Gevorgyan, A., Gevorgyan, G., Misakyan, A., Azizyan, L., Barfus, K., Schultze, Martin, Shatwell, Thomas, Rinke, Karsten, Shikhani, Muhammed, Mi, Chenxi, Gevorgyan, A., Gevorgyan, G., Misakyan, A., Azizyan, L., Barfus, K., Schultze, Martin, Shatwell, Thomas, and Rinke, Karsten
- Abstract
Lake Sevan is the largest freshwater body in the Caucasus region, situated at an altitude of 1,900 m asl. While it is a major water resource in the whole region, Lake Sevan has received little attention in international limnological literature. Although recent studies pointed to algal blooms and negative impacts of climate change and eutrophication, the physical controls on thermal dynamics have not been characterized and model-based assessments of climate change impacts are lacking. We compiled a decade of historical data for meteorological conditions and temperature dynamics in Lake Sevan and used a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model (GLM 3.1) in order to study thermal structure, the stratification phenology and their meteorological drivers in this large mountain lake. We then evaluated the representativeness of meteorological data products covering almost 4 decades (EWEMBI-dataset: 1979-2016) for driving the model and found that these data are well suited to restore long term thermal dynamics in Lake Sevan. This established model setting allowed us to identify major changes in Lake Sevan’s stratification in response to changing meteorological conditions as expected from ongoing climate change. Our results point to a changing mixing type from dimictic to monomictic as Lake Sevan will experience prolonged summer stratification periods and more stable stratification. These projected changes in stratification must be included in long-term management perspectives as they will intensify water quality deteriorations like surface algal blooms or deep water anoxia.
- Published
- 2021
25. Virtual Growing Pains: Initial Lessons Learned from Organizing Virtual Workshops, Summits, Conferences, and Networking Events during a Global Pandemic
- Author
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Meyer, Michael F., primary, Ladwig, Robert, additional, Dugan, Hilary A., additional, Anderson, Alyssa, additional, Bah, Abdou R., additional, Boehrer, Bertram, additional, Borre, Lisa, additional, Chapina, Rosaura J., additional, Doyle, Chris, additional, Favot, Elizbaeth J., additional, Flaim, Giovanna, additional, Forsberg, Philip, additional, Hanson, Paul C., additional, Ibelings, Bas W., additional, Isles, Peter, additional, Lin, Fang‐Pang, additional, Lofton, Dendy, additional, Moore, Tadhg N., additional, Peel, Sara, additional, Peters, Jody A., additional, Pierson, Don, additional, Senerpont Domis, Lisette N., additional, Schloss, Jeffrey A., additional, Shikhani, Muhammed, additional, Smagula, Amy P., additional, Stockwell, Jason D., additional, Thomas, Perry, additional, Thomas, R. Quinn, additional, Tietjen, Todd, additional, and Weathers, Kathleen C., additional
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. Contemporary community composition, spatial distribution patterns, and biodiversity characteristics of zooplankton in large alpine Lake Sevan, Armenia.
- Author
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Hayrapetyan, Armine, Gevorgyan, Gor, Schultze, Martin, Shikhani, Muhammed, Khachikyan, Termine, Krylov, Aleksandr, and Rinke, Karsten
- Subjects
EUTROPHICATION ,EUTROPHICATION control ,ZOOPLANKTON ,CLADOCERA ,DAPHNIA magna ,TROPHIC cascades ,EVIDENCE gaps - Abstract
We studied the quantitative composition, spatial distribution, and temporal dynamics of the zooplankton community of the alpine Lake Sevan, Armenia, the largest surface water in the Caucasus region. This article is providing a long-term information and fills the research gap of multiyear data on zooplankton, as the previous research on zooplankton provided only snapshots of the community, and a consistent assessment over multiple years was missing. However, an initial mini-review of historical studies indicated that zooplankton biomass and fish abundance were undergoing large fluctuations, indicating the importance of top-down control. We analysed 239 samples from the period 2016-2019 from 32 sampling sites in Lake Sevan and recorded 37 species of meso- and macrozooplankton (Rotifers, Copepods, Cladocera). Biomass fluctuations were high with peaking biomasses in 2016 and lowest biomasses in 2018, yearly averaged biomass varied about one order of magnitude. Variability over time was hence much higher than spatial variability. The pelagic habitat at the deepest part of the lake showed the highest diversity and biomasses but contrasts between sampling sites remained smaller than changes from year to year or seasonally. Many samples were dominated by a single species, and these key species explain observed biomass dynamics to a wide extent. We applied hierarchical clustering in order to identify phenological groups that appear to show similar patterns of occurrence. This clustering resulted in 6 groups whereof 5 groups just consisting of one single species and these 5 key species were the Cladocerans Daphnia magna, Daphnia hyalina, Diaphanosoma sp. as well as the calanoids Arctodiaptomus bacillifer and Acanthodiaptomus denticornis. The most important species in Lake Sevan's zooplankton during the observation period was D. magna, which reached high biomasses in 2016 and 2017 but then suddenly almost disappeared in 2018 and 2019. When there were more D. magna present, the water became clearer, which was measured using Secchi depth. This shows that these large water fleas effectively controlled the amount of phytoplankton in the water. Daphnia magna, in turn, managed to dominate zooplankton community only during times of extremely low fish biomass indicating strong top-down control of this large Cladoceran by fish. Both observations together imply a strong trophic linkage between fish, zooplankton, and phytoplankton and provide evidence for trophic cascades in Lake Sevan. Besides the novel insights into zooplankton community dynamics of this unique lake of high socio-economical, cultural, and ecological importance, our study also points to potential management opportunities for eutrophication control by biomanipulation, as well as our investigation allows us to conclude that probably biotic factors were more important than abiotic factors in explaining the observed changes and dynamics within the plankton community. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Simulating thermal dynamics of the largest lake in the Caucasus region: The mountain Lake Sevan.
- Author
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Shikhani, Muhammed, Chenxi Mi, Gevorgyan, Artur, Gevorgyan, Gor, Misakyan, Amalya, Azizyan, Levon, Barfus, Klemens, Schulze, Martin, Shatwell, Tom, and Rinke, Karsten
- Subjects
EUTROPHICATION control ,ANOXIC waters ,ALGAL blooms ,WATER quality ,LAKES ,WATER supply ,MOUNTAIN soils - Abstract
Lake Sevan is the largest freshwater body in the Caucasus region, situated at an altitude of 1,900 m asl. While it is a major water resource in the whole region, Lake Sevan has received little attention in international limnological literature. Although recent studies pointed to algal blooms and negative impacts of climate change and eutrophication, the physical controls on thermal dynamics have not been characterized and model-based assessments of climate change impacts are lacking. We compiled a decade of historical data for meteorological conditions and temperature dynamics in Lake Sevan and used a one-dimensional hydrodynamic model (GLM 3.1) in order to study thermal structure, the stratification phenology and their meteorological drivers in this large mountain lake. We then evaluated the representativeness of meteorological data products covering almost 4 decades (EWEMBI-dataset: 1979-2016) for driving the model and found that these data are well suited to restore long term thermal dynamics in Lake Sevan. This established model setting allowed us to identify major changes in Lake Sevan's stratification in response to changing meteorological conditions as expected from ongoing climate change. Our results point to a changing mixing type from dimictic to monomictic as Lake Sevan will experience prolonged summer stratification periods and more stable stratification. These projected changes in stratification must be included in long-term management perspectives as they will intensify water quality deteriorations like surface algal blooms or deep water anoxia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Opportunities for seasonal forecasting to support water management outside the tropics.
- Author
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Jackson-Blake, Leah Amber, Clayer, François, Eyto, Elvira de, French, Andrew, Frías, María Dolores, Mercado-Bettín, Daniel, Moore, Tadhg, Puértolas, Laura, Poole, Russell, Rinke, Karsten, Shikhani, Muhammed, Linden, Leon van der, and Marcé, Rafael
- Abstract
Advance warning of seasonal conditions has potential to assist water management in planning and risk mitigation, with large potential social, economic and ecological benefits. In this study, we explore the value of seasonal forecasting for decision making at five case study sites located in extratropical regions. The forecasting tools used integrate seasonal climate model forecasts with freshwater impact models of catchment hydrology, lake conditions (temperature, level, chemistry and ecology) and fish migration timing, and were co-developed together with stakeholders. To explore the decision making value of forecasts, we carried out a qualitative assessment of: (1) how useful forecasts would have been for a problematic past season, and (2) the relevance of any "windows of opportunity" (seasons and variables where forecasts are thought to perform well) for management. Overall, stakeholders were optimistic about the potential for improved decision making and identified actions that could be taken based on forecasts. However, there was often a mismatch between those variables that could best be predicted and those which would be most useful for management. Reductions in forecast uncertainty and a need to develop practical hands-on experience were identified as key requirements before forecasts would be used in operational decision making. Seasonal climate forecasts provided little added value to freshwater forecasts in the study sites, and we discuss the conditions under which seasonal climate forecasts with only limited skill are most likely to be worth incorporating into freshwater forecasting workflows. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. The AEMON‐J“Hacking Limnology” Workshop Series & Virtual Summit: Incorporating Data Science and Open Science in Aquatic Research
- Author
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Meyer, Michael F., Ladwig, Robert, Mesman, Jorrit P., Oleksy, Isabella A., Barbosa, Carolina C., Cawley, Kaelin M., Cramer, Alli N., Feldbauer, Johannes, Tran, Patricia Q., Zwart, Jacob A., López Moreira M., Gregorio A., Shikhani, Muhammed, Gurung, Deviyani, Hensley, Robert T., Matta, Elena, McClure, Ryan P., Petzoldt, Thomas, Sánchez‐López, Nuria, Soetaert, Karline, Thomas, Mridul K., Topp, Simon N., and Yang, Xiao
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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