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1. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: A pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Pilav, Aida, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Bo Andersen, Lars, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicová, Mária, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barceló, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Björkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, De León, Antonio Cabrera, Can, Günay, Cåndido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, De Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-De La Peña, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernández-Bergés, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J.M., Finn, Joseph D., Föger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Do Carmo Franco, Maria, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, González-Gross, Marcela M., Rivas, Juan P. González, Gorbea, Mariano Bonet, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dušan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grøntved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, He, Jiang, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi, Sirkka, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Korrovits, Paul, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimäki, Terho, Rampal, Lekhraj, León-Muñoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda, Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Lozano, José Eugenio, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L.L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Miquel, Juan Francisco, Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohd Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli, Møller, Niels C., Molnár, Dénes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Müller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Námešná, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Navarrete-Muñoz, Eva Maria, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martínez, Ramfis E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Avilés, Angélica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubió, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L.P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodríguez-Artalejo, Fernando, Del CristoRodriguez-Perez, María, Rodríguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra, Horimoto, Andrea R.V. Russo, Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sánchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, Dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugène, Söderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stöckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B, Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T.H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A.M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M.T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, Van Rossem, Lenie, Van Valkengoed, Irene G.M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W.M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Visvikis-Siest, Sophie, Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Wan Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wiecek, Andrzej, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Cisneros, Julio Zuñiga, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Pilav, Aida, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Bo Andersen, Lars, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicová, Mária, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barceló, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Björkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, De León, Antonio Cabrera, Can, Günay, Cåndido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, De Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-De La Peña, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernández-Bergés, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J.M., Finn, Joseph D., Föger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Do Carmo Franco, Maria, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, González-Gross, Marcela M., Rivas, Juan P. González, Gorbea, Mariano Bonet, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dušan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grøntved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, He, Jiang, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi, Sirkka, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Korrovits, Paul, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimäki, Terho, Rampal, Lekhraj, León-Muñoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda, Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Lozano, José Eugenio, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L.L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Miquel, Juan Francisco, Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohd Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli, Møller, Niels C., Molnár, Dénes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Müller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Námešná, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Navarrete-Muñoz, Eva Maria, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martínez, Ramfis E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Avilés, Angélica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubió, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L.P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodríguez-Artalejo, Fernando, Del CristoRodriguez-Perez, María, Rodríguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra, Horimoto, Andrea R.V. Russo, Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sánchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, Dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugène, Söderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stöckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B, Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T.H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A.M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M.T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, Van Rossem, Lenie, Van Valkengoed, Irene G.M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W.M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Visvikis-Siest, Sophie, Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Wan Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wiecek, Andrzej, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Cisneros, Julio Zuñiga
Abstract: Background: One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are aff ecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods: We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used data from 751 studies including 4372000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-17.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in, Funder: Wellcome Trust;License fulltext: CC BY;For erratum, see: Department of Errror. The Lancet 389(10068) e2. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32060-8
Published: 2016
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2. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: A pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Pilav, Aida, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Bo Andersen, Lars, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicová, Mária, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barceló, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Björkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, De León, Antonio Cabrera, Can, Günay, Cåndido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, De Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-De La Peña, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernández-Bergés, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J.M., Finn, Joseph D., Föger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Do Carmo Franco, Maria, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, González-Gross, Marcela M., Rivas, Juan P. González, Gorbea, Mariano Bonet, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dušan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grøntved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, He, Jiang, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi, Sirkka, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Korrovits, Paul, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimäki, Terho, Rampal, Lekhraj, León-Muñoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda, Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Lozano, José Eugenio, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L.L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Miquel, Juan Francisco, Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohd Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli, Møller, Niels C., Molnár, Dénes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Müller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Námešná, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Navarrete-Muñoz, Eva Maria, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martínez, Ramfis E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Avilés, Angélica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubió, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L.P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodríguez-Artalejo, Fernando, Del CristoRodriguez-Perez, María, Rodríguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra, Horimoto, Andrea R.V. Russo, Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sánchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, Dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugène, Söderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stöckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B, Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T.H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A.M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M.T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, Van Rossem, Lenie, Van Valkengoed, Irene G.M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W.M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Visvikis-Siest, Sophie, Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Wan Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wiecek, Andrzej, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Cisneros, Julio Zuñiga, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Pilav, Aida, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Bo Andersen, Lars, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicová, Mária, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barceló, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Björkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, De León, Antonio Cabrera, Can, Günay, Cåndido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, De Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-De La Peña, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernández-Bergés, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J.M., Finn, Joseph D., Föger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Do Carmo Franco, Maria, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, González-Gross, Marcela M., Rivas, Juan P. González, Gorbea, Mariano Bonet, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dušan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grøntved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, He, Jiang, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Keinänen-Kiukaanniemi, Sirkka, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Korrovits, Paul, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimäki, Terho, Rampal, Lekhraj, León-Muñoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Lima-Costa, M. Fernanda, Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Lozano, José Eugenio, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L.L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Miquel, Juan Francisco, Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Mohd Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli, Møller, Niels C., Molnár, Dénes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Müller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Námešná, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Navarrete-Muñoz, Eva Maria, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martínez, Ramfis E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Avilés, Angélica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubió, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L.P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodríguez-Artalejo, Fernando, Del CristoRodriguez-Perez, María, Rodríguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca Sandra, Horimoto, Andrea R.V. Russo, Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sánchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, Dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugène, Söderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stöckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B, Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T.H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A.M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M.T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, Van Rossem, Lenie, Van Valkengoed, Irene G.M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W.M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Visvikis-Siest, Sophie, Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Wan Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wiecek, Andrzej, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Cisneros, Julio Zuñiga
Abstract: Background: One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are aff ecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods: We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings: We used data from 751 studies including 4372000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-17.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in, Funder: Wellcome Trust;License fulltext: CC BY;For erratum, see: Department of Errror. The Lancet 389(10068) e2. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(16)32060-8
Published: 2016
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3. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zuniga Cisneros, Julio, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Zuniga Cisneros, Julio
Abstract: Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Pol
Published: 2016
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4. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zuniga Cisneros, Julio, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Zuniga Cisneros, Julio
Abstract: Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Pol
Published: 2016
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5. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Söderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundstrom, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zuniga Cisneros, Julio, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Söderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundstrom, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Zuniga Cisneros, Julio
Abstract: Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Pol
Published: 2016
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6. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zuniga Cisneros, Julio, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Zuniga Cisneros, Julio
Abstract: Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Pol
Published: 2016
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7. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zuniga Cisneros, Julio, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Zuniga Cisneros, Julio
Abstract: Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Pol
Published: 2016
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8. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

Author: Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, Zuniga Cisneros, Julio, Zhou, Bin, Lu, Yuan, Hajifathalian, Kaveh, Bentham, James, Di Cesare, Mariachiara, Danaei, Goodarz, Bixby, Honor, Cowan, Melanie J., Ali, Mohammed K., Taddei, Cristina, Lo, Wei-Cheng, Reis-Santos, Barbara, Stevens, Gretchen A., Riley, Leanne M., Miranda, J. Jaime, Bjerregaard, Peter, Rivera, Juan A., Fouad, Heba M., Ma, Guansheng, Mbanya, Jean Claude N., McGarvey, Stephen T., Mohan, Viswanathan, Onat, Altan, Ramachandran, Ambady, Ben Romdhane, Habiba, Paciorek, Christopher J., Bennett, James E., Ezzati, Majid, Abdeen, Ziad A., Kadir, Khalid Abdul, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M., Acosta-Cazares, Benjamin, Adams, Robert, Aekplakorn, Wichai, Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A., Agyemang, Charles, Ahmadvand, Alireza, Al-Othman, Amani Rashed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Amouyel, Philippe, Amuzu, Antoinette, Andersen, Lars Bo, Anderssen, Sigmund A., Anjana, Ranjit Mohan, Aounallah-Skhiri, Hajer, Aris, Tahir, Arlappa, Nimmathota, Arveiler, Dominique, Assah, Felix K., Avdicova, Maria, Azizi, Fereidoun, Balakrishna, Nagalla, Bandosz, Piotr, Barbagallo, Carlo M., Barcelo, Alberto, Batieha, Anwar M., Baur, Louise A., Benet, Mikhail, Bernabe-Ortiz, Antonio, Bharadwaj, Sumit, Bhargava, Santosh K., Bi, Yufang, Bjertness, Espen, Bjertness, Marius B., Bjorkelund, Cecilia, Blokstra, Anneke, Bo, Simona, Boehm, Bernhard O., Boissonnet, Carlos P., Bovet, Pascal, Brajkovich, Imperia, Breckenkamp, Juergen, Brenner, Hermann, Brewster, Lizzy M., Brian, Garry R., Bruno, Graziella, Bugge, Anna, Cabrera de Leon, Antonio, Can, Gunay, Candido, Ana Paula C., Capuano, Vincenzo, Carlsson, Axel C., Carvalho, Maria J., Casanueva, Felipe F., Casas, Juan-Pablo, Caserta, Carmelo A., Castetbon, Katia, Chamukuttan, Snehalatha, Chaturvedi, Nishi, Chen, Chien-Jen, Chen, Fangfang, Chen, Shuohua, Cheng, Ching-Yu, Chetrit, Angela, Chiou, Shu-Ti, Cho, Yumi, Chudek, Jerzy, Cifkova, Renata, Claessens, Frank, Concin, Hans, Cooper, Cyrus, Cooper, Rachel, Costanzo, Simona, Cottel, Dominique, Cowell, Chris, Crujeiras, Ana B., D'Arrigo, Graziella, Dallongeville, Jean, Dankner, Rachel, Dauchet, Luc, de Gaetano, Giovanni, De Henauw, Stefaan, Deepa, Mohan, Dehghan, Abbas, Deschamps, Valerie, Dhana, Klodian, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto F., Djalalinia, Shirin, Doua, Kouamelan, Drygas, Wojciech, Du, Yong, Dzerve, Vilnis, Egbagbe, Eruke E., Eggertsen, Robert, El Ati, Jalila, Elosua, Roberto, Erasmus, Rajiv T., Erem, Cihangir, Ergor, Gul, Eriksen, Louise, Escobedo-de la Pena, Jorge, Fall, Caroline H., Farzadfar, Farshad, Felix-Redondo, Francisco J., Ferguson, Trevor S., Fernandez-Berges, Daniel, Ferrari, Marika, Ferreccio, Catterina, Feskens, Edith J. M., Finn, Joseph D., Foeger, Bernhard, Foo, Leng Huat, Forslund, Ann-Sofie, Francis, Damian K., Franco, Maria do Carmo, Franco, Oscar H., Frontera, Guillermo, Furusawa, Takuro, Gaciong, Zbigniew, Garnett, Sarah P., Gaspoz, Jean-Michel, Gasull, Magda, Gates, Louise, Geleijnse, Johanna M., Ghasemian, Anoosheh, Ghimire, Anup, Giampaoli, Simona, Gianfagna, Francesco, Giovannelli, Jonathan, Giwercman, Aleksander, Gonzalez Gross, Marcela, Gonzalez Rivas, Juan P., Bonet Gorbea, Mariano, Gottrand, Frederic, Grafnetter, Dusan, Grodzicki, Tomasz, Grontved, Anders, Gruden, Grabriella, Gu, Dongfeng, Guan, Ong Peng, Guerrero, Ramiro, Guessous, Idris, Guimaraes, Andre L., Gutierrez, Laura, Hambleton, Ian R., Hardy, Rebecca, Kumar, Rachakulla Hari, Hata, Jun, Heidemann, Christin, Herrala, Sauli, Hihtaniemi, Ilpo Tapani, Ho, Sai Yin, Ho, Suzanne C., Hofman, Albert, Hormiga, Claudia M., Horta, Bernardo L., Houti, Leila, Howitt, Christina, Htay, Thein Thein, Htet, Aung Soe, Htike, Maung Maung Than, Hu, Yang, Hussieni, Abdullatif S., Huybrechts, Inge, Hwalla, Nahla, Iacoviello, Licia, Iannone, Anna G., Ibrahim, M. Mohsen, Ikeda, Nayu, Ikram, M. Arfan, Irazola, Vilma E., Islam, Muhammad, Iwasaki, Masanori, Jacobs, Jeremy M., Jafar, Tazeen, Jamil, Kazi M., Jasienska, Grazyna, Jiang, Chao Qiang, Jonas, Jost B., Joshi, Pradeep, Kafatos, Anthony, Kalter-Leibovici, Ofra, Kasaeian, Amir, Katz, Joanne, Kaur, Prabhdeep, Kavousi, Maryam, Kelishadi, Roya, Kengne, Andre P., Kersting, Mathilde, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalili, Davood, Khang, Young-Ho, Kiechl, Stefan, Kim, Jeongseon, Kolsteren, Patrick, Kratzer, Wolfgang, Kromhout, Daan, Kujala, Urho M., Kula, Krzysztof, Kyobutungi, Catherine, Laatikainen, Tiina, Lachat, Carl, Laid, Youcef, Lam, Tai Hing, Landrove, Orlando, Lanska, Vera, Lappas, Georg, Laxmaiah, Avula, Leclercq, Catherine, Lee, Jeannette, Lee, Jeonghee, Lehtimaki, Terho, Lekhraj, Rampal, Leon-Munoz, Luz M., Li, Yanping, Lim, Wei-Yen, Fernanda Lima-Costa, M., Lin, Hsien-Ho, Lin, Xu, Lissner, Lauren, Lorbeer, Roberto, Eugenio Lozano, Jose, Luksiene, Dalia, Lundqvist, Annamari, Lytsy, Per, Machado-Coelho, George L. L., Machi, Suka, Maggi, Stefania, Magliano, Dianna J., Makdisse, Marcia, Rao, Kodavanti Mallikharjuna, Manios, Yannis, Manzato, Enzo, Margozzini, Paula, Marques-Vidal, Pedro, Martorell, Reynaldo, Masoodi, Shariq R., Mathiesen, Ellisiv B., Matsha, Tandi E., McFarlane, Shelly R., McLachlan, Stela, McNulty, Breige A., Mediene-Benchekor, Sounnia, Meirhaeghe, Aline, Menezes, Ana Maria B., Merat, Shahin, Meshram, Indrapal I., Mi, Jie, Francisco Miquel, Juan, Jaime Miranda, J., Mohamed, Mostafa K., Mohammad, Kazem, Mohammadifard, Noushin, Yusoff, Muhammad Fadhli Mohd, Moller, Niels C., Molnar, Denes, Mondo, Charles K., Morejon, Alain, Moreno, Luis A., Morgan, Karen, Moschonis, George, Mossakowska, Malgorzata, Mostafa, Aya, Mota, Jorge, Motta, Jorge, Mu, Thet Thet, Muiesan, Maria Lorenza, Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina, Mursu, Jaakko, Nagel, Gabriele, Namesna, Jana, Nang, Ei Ei K., Nangia, Vinay B., Maria Navarrete-Munoz, Eva, Ndiaye, Ndeye Coumba, Nenko, Ilona, Nervi, Flavio, Nguyen, Nguyen D., Nguyen, Quang Ngoc, Nieto-Martinez, Ramfi S. E., Ning, Guang, Ninomiya, Toshiharu, Noale, Marianna, Noto, Davide, Al Nsour, Mohannad, Ochoa-Aviles, Angelica M., Oh, Kyungwon, Ordunez, Pedro, Osmond, Clive, Otero, Johanna A., Owusu-Dabo, Ellis, Pahomova, Elena, Palmieri, Luigi, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Panza, Francesco, Parsaeian, Mahboubeh, Peixoto, Sergio Viana, Peltonen, Markku, Peters, Annette, Peykari, Niloofar, Pham, Son Thai, Pilav, Aida, Pitakaka, Freda, Piwonska, Aleksandra, Piwonski, Jerzy, Plans-Rubio, Pedro, Porta, Miquel, Portegies, Marileen L. P., Poustchi, Hossein, Pradeepa, Rajendra, Price, Jacqueline F., Punab, Margus, Qasrawi, Radwan F., Qorbani, Mostafa, Radisauskas, Ricardas, Rahman, Mahmudur, Raitakari, Olli, Rao, Sudha Ramachandra, Ramke, Jacqueline, Ramos, Rafel, Rampal, Sanjay, Rathmann, Wolfgang, Redon, Josep, Reganit, Paul Ferdinand M., Rigo, Fernando, Robinson, Sian M., Robitaille, Cynthia, Rodriguez-Artalejo, Fernando, del Cristo Rodriguez-Perez, Maria, Rodriguez-Villamizar, Laura A., Rojas-Martinez, Rosalba, Ronkainen, Kimmo, Rosengren, Annika, Rubinstein, Adolfo, Rui, Ornelas, Sandra Ruiz-Betancourt, Blanca, Russo Horimoto, Andrea R. V., Rutkowski, Marcin, Sabanayagam, Charumathi, Sachdev, Harshpal S., Saidi, Olfa, Sakarya, Sibel, Salanave, Benoit, Salonen, Jukka T., Salvetti, Massimo, Sanchez-Abanto, Jose, Santos, Diana, dos Santos, Renata Nunes, Santos, Rute, Saramies, Jouko L., Sardinha, Luis B., Sarrafzadegan, Nizal, Saum, Kai-Uwe, Scazufca, Marcia, Schargrodsky, Herman, Scheidt-Nave, Christa, Sein, Aye Aye, Sharma, Sanjb K., Shaw, Jonathan E., Shibuya, Kenji, Shin, Youchan, Shiri, Rahman, Siantar, Rosalynn, Sibai, Abla M., Simon, Mary, Simons, Judith, Simons, Leon A., Sjostrom, Michael, Slowikowska-Hilczer, Jolanta, Slusarczyk, Przemyslaw, Smeeth, Liam, Snijder, Marieke B., So, Hung-Kwan, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soderberg, Stefan, Solfrizzi, Vincenzo, Sonestedt, Emily, Soumare, Aicha, Staessen, Jan A., Stathopoulou, Maria G., Steene-Johannessen, Jostein, Stehle, Peter, Stein, Aryeh D., Stessman, Jochanan, Stoeckl, Doris, Stokwiszewski, Jakub, Stronks, Karien, Strufaldi, Maria Wany, Sun, Chien-An, Sundström, Johan, Sung, Yn-Tz, Suriyawongpaisal, Paibul, Sy, Rody G., Tai, E. Shyong, Tamosiunas, Abdonas, Tang, Line, Tarawneh, Mohammed, Tarqui-Mamani, Carolina B., Taylor, Anne, Theobald, Holger, Thijs, Lutgarde, Thuesen, Betina H., Tolonen, Hanna K., Tolstrup, Janne S., Topbas, Murat, Torrent, Maties, Traissac, Pierre, Trinh, Oanh T. H., Tulloch-Reid, Marshall K., Tuomainen, Tomi-Pekka, Turley, Maria L., Tzourio, Christophe, Ueda, Peter, Ukoli, Flora A. M., Ulmer, Hanno, Uusitalo, Hannu M. T., Valdivia, Gonzalo, Valvi, Damaskini, van Rossem, Lenie, van Valkengoed, Irene G. M., Vanderschueren, Dirk, Vanuzzo, Diego, Vega, Tomas, Velasquez-Melendez, Gustavo, Veronesi, Giovanni, Verschuren, W. M. Monique, Verstraeten, Roosmarijn, Viet, Lucie, Vioque, Jesus, Virtanen, Jyrki K., Viswanathan, Bharathi, Vollenweider, Peter, Voutilainen, Sari, Vrijheid, Martine, Wade, Alisha N., Wagner, Aline, Walton, Janette, Mohamud, Wan Nazaimoon Wan, Wang, Feng, Wang, Ming-Dong, Wang, Qian, Wang, Ya Xing, Wannamethee, S. Goya, Weerasekera, Deepa, Whincup, Peter H., Widhalm, Kurt, Wijga, Alet H., Wilks, Rainford J., Willeit, Johann, Wilsgaard, Tom, Wojtyniak, Bogdan, Wong, Tien Yin, Woo, Jean, Woodward, Mark, Wu, Frederick C., Wu, Shou Ling, Xu, Haiquan, Yan, Weili, Yang, Xiaoguang, Ye, Xingwang, Yoshihara, Akihiro, Younger-Coleman, Novie O., Zambon, Sabina, Zargar, Abdul Hamid, Zdrojewski, Tomasz, Zhao, Wenhua, Zheng, Yingfeng, and Zuniga Cisneros, Julio
Abstract: Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes. Methods We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue. Findings We used data from 751 studies including 4 372 000 adults from 146 of the 200 countries we make estimates for. Global age-standardised diabetes prevalence increased from 4.3% (95% credible interval 2.4-7.0) in 1980 to 9.0% (7.2-11.1) in 2014 in men, and from 5.0% (2.9-7.9) to 7.9% (6.4-9.7) in women. The number of adults with diabetes in the world increased from 108 million in 1980 to 422 million in 2014 (28.5% due to the rise in prevalence, 39.7% due to population growth and ageing, and 31.8% due to interaction of these two factors). Age-standardised adult diabetes prevalence in 2014 was lowest in northwestern Europe, and highest in Polynesia and Micronesia, at nearly 25%, followed by Melanesia and the Middle East and north Africa. Between 1980 and 2014 there was little change in age-standardised diabetes prevalence in adult women in continental western Europe, although crude prevalence rose because of ageing of the population. By contrast, age-standardised adult prevalence rose by 15 percentage points in men and women in Pol
Published: 2016
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8 results on '"Sharma, Sanjb K."'

1. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: A pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

2. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: A pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

3. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

4. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

5. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

6. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

7. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

8. Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980 : a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants

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8 results on '"Sharma, Sanjb K."'

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