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Objectives: To assess intra- and inter-institutional concordance and identify methods to increase precision in radiologic extranodal extension (rENE) ascertainment in HPV+ oropharyngeal carcinoma. Methods: Six radiologists, blinded to clinical outcomes, from three centers assessed rENE in two phases: Phase-I (20 cases) utilized each individual's a priori appreciation of the literature. Phase-II (30 additional cases) was performed after deliberating experience and consolidating operating definitions. Intra- and inter-institutional Kappa were calculated at >50% and >75% certainty levels, respectively. Results: The Phase-I intra-institutional kappa was 0.76, 0.32, and 0.44 at >50% certainty and improved to 0.89, 0.61, and 0.66 at >75% certainty. Inter-institutional Fleiss' kappa also improved with higher certainty (from 0.40 to 0.57, p = 0.039). The Phase-II inter-rater kappa was significantly higher than Phase-I at the same certainty level (both p < 0.001). Conclusion: A learning curve exists for rENE assessment. Strategies to augment reliability include high certainty for declaration, consolidated operating definitions, and sharing experience among radiologists.

Supplementary Figure from Tumor-Naïve Multimodal Profiling of Circulating Tumor DNA in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PDF file - 53K, Survival analysis of the 88 analyzed OPC patients

PDF file - 31K, The list of the aberrantly-expressed miRNAs between OPC and normals

PDF file - 27K, MiRNAs associated with p16 in OPCs samples

PDF file - 71K

Supplementary Data from Tumor-Naïve Multimodal Profiling of Circulating Tumor DNA in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PDF file - 65K, Comparison of differential miRNA expression levels by p16 IHC and HPV16 ISH

PDF file - 31K, Comparison of miRNA expression between tumor and normal samples

Purpose:Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) enables personalized treatment strategies in oncology by providing a noninvasive source of clinical biomarkers. In patients with low ctDNA abundance, tumor-naïve methods are needed to facilitate clinical implementation. Here, using locoregionally confined head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) as an example, we demonstrate tumor-naïve detection of ctDNA by simultaneous profiling of mutations and methylation.Experimental Design:We conducted CAncer Personalized Profiling by deep Sequencing (CAPP-seq) and cell-free Methylated DNA ImmunoPrecipitation and high-throughput sequencing (cfMeDIP-seq) for detection of ctDNA-derived somatic mutations and aberrant methylation, respectively. We analyzed 77 plasma samples from 30 patients with stage I–IVA human papillomavirus–negative HNSCC as well as plasma samples from 20 risk-matched healthy controls. In addition, we analyzed leukocytes from patients and controls.Results:CAPP-seq identified mutations in 20 of 30 patients at frequencies similar to that of The Tumor Genome Atlas (TCGA). Differential methylation analysis of cfMeDIP-seq profiles identified 941 ctDNA-derived hypermethylated regions enriched for CpG islands and HNSCC-specific methylation patterns. Both methods demonstrated an association between ctDNA abundance and shorter fragment lengths. In addition, mutation- and methylation-based ctDNA abundance was highly correlated (r > 0.85). Patients with detectable pretreatment ctDNA by both methods demonstrated significantly worse overall survival (HR = 7.5; P = 0.025) independent of clinical stage, with lack of ctDNA clearance post-treatment strongly correlating with recurrence. We further leveraged cfMeDIP-seq profiles to validate a prognostic signature identified from TCGA samples.Conclusions:Tumor-naïve detection of ctDNA by multimodal profiling may facilitate biomarker discovery and clinical use in low ctDNA abundance applications.

Purpose: Deregulation of miRNAs is associated with almost all human malignancies. Human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) has a significantly more favorable outcome compared with HPV-negative OPCs; however, the underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Hence, the objectives of this study were to determine whether miRNA expression differed as a function of HPV status and to assess whether such miRNAs provide prognostic value beyond HPV status.Methods: Global miRNA profilings were conducted on 88 formalin-fixed and paraffin-embedded (FFPE) OPC biopsies (p16-positive: 56; p16-negative: 32), wherein the expression levels of 365 miRNAs plus 3 endogenous controls were simultaneously measured using quantitative real-time (qRT)-PCR. Seven FFPE specimens of histologically normal tonsils were used as controls.Results: Overall, 224 miRNAs were expressed in more than 80% of the investigated samples, with 128 (57%) being significantly differentially expressed between tumor versus normal tissues (P < 0.05). Upregulated miR-20b, miR-9, and miR-9* were significantly associated with HPV/p16-status. Three miRNA sets were significantly associated with overall survival (miR-107, miR-151, miR-492; P = 0.0002), disease-free survival (miR-20b, miR-107, miR-151, miR-182, miR-361; P = 0.0001), and distant metastasis (miR-151, miR-152, miR-324-5p, miR-361, miR492; P = 0.0087), which retained significance even after adjusting for p16 status. The associated biologic functions of these miRNAs include immune surveillance, treatment resistance, invasion, and metastasis.Conclusion: We have identified several miRNAs, which associate with HPV status in OPC; furthermore, three candidate prognostic sets of miRNAs seem to correlate with clinical outcome, independent of p16 status. Furthermore, evaluations will offer biologic insights into the mechanisms underlying the differences between HPV-positive versus HPV-negative OPC. Clin Cancer Res; 19(8); 2154–62. ©2013 AACR.

IMPORTANCE: Patient-derived xenografts (PDXs) offer the opportunity to identify patients with oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) who are at risk for recurrence and optimize clinical decision-making. OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a prediction score for locoregional failure (LRF) and distant metastases (DM) in OSCC that incorporates PDX engraftment in addition to known clinicopathological risk factors. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: In this retrospective cohort study, PDX models were generated from patients with OSCC treated with curative intent at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre (Toronto, Canada) between 2006 and 2018. The cohort included 288 patients (aged ≥18 years) with a new diagnosis of nonmetastatic (M0) OSCC whose tumor samples were available for engraftment under the skin of xenograft mice. Patients were scored as a nonengrafter if PDX formation did not occur within 6 months. Data analysis was performed between August 2006 and May 2018. INTERVENTIONS: All patients received up-front curative-intent surgery followed by either observation or postoperative radiation with or without concurrent chemotherapy based on institutional guidelines. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Main outcomes were LRF, DM, and overall survival (OS). Multivariable analysis (MVA) was used to identify predictors of LRF and DM. Factors retained in the final MVA were used to construct a prediction score and classify patients into risk groups. RESULTS: Overall, 288 patients (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 63.3 [12.3] years; 112 [39%] women and 176 [61%] men) with OSCC were analyzed. The MVA identified pT3-4, pathologic extranodal extension, and engraftment as predictors of LRF and DM. Patients whose tumors engrafted (n = 198) were more likely to develop LRF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.98; 95% CI, 1.24-3.18) and DM (HR, 2.64; 95% CI, 1.21-5.75) compared with nonengrafters. A prediction score based on the aforementioned variables identified patients at high risk and low risk for LRF (43.5% vs 26.5%), DM (38.2% vs 8.4%), and inferior OS (34% vs 66%) at 5 years. Additionally, rapid engraftment was shown to be similarly prognostic, with rapid engrafters demonstrating higher rates of relapse and poor OS. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort study, a prediction score using OSCC PDX engraftment, in conjunction with pT3-4 and pathologic extranodal extension, was associated with improved prognostic utility of existing clinical models and predicted patients at risk for LRF, DM, and poor survival.

The objective of this study was to describe the clinical presentation and outcomes of human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC) versus Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-positive NPC and HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer (OPC).Clinical characteristics and presenting signs/symptoms were compared between patients who had viral-related NPC versus viral-related OPC treated with intensity-modulated radiotherapy from 2005 to 2020 and who were matched 1:1 (by tumor and lymph node categories, smoking, age, sex, histology, and year of diagnosis). Locoregional control (LRC), distant control (DC), and overall survival (OS) were compared using the 2005-2018 cohort to maintain 2 years of minimum follow-up. Multivariable analysis was used to evaluate the cohort effect.Similar to HPV-positive OPC (n = 1531), HPV-positive NPC (n = 29) occurred mostly in White patients compared with EBV-positive NPC (n = 422; 86% vs. 15%; p.001). Primary tumor volumes were larger in HPV-positive NPC versus EBV-positive NPC (median volume, 51 vs. 23 cmHPV-positive NPC and EBV-positive NPC seem to be mutually exclusive diseases. Patients who have HPV-positive NPC have greater local symptom burden and larger primary tumors but have similar outcomes compared with patients who have EBV-positive NPC or HPV-positive OPC.

The aim of this trial was to address whether elective ipsilateral upper-neck irradiation (UNI) sparing the uninvolved lower neck provides similar regional relapse-free survival compared with standard whole-neck irradiation (WNI) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma.This open-label, non-inferiority, randomised, controlled, phase 3 trial was done at three Chinese medical centres. Patients aged 18-65 years with untreated, non-keratinising, non-distant metastatic (M0) nasopharyngeal carcinoma; with N0-N1 disease (according to International Union Against Cancer-American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM classification, seventh edition); and a Karnofsky performance status score of 70 or higher were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive elective UNI or WNI of the uninvolved neck. Total radiation doses of 70 Gy (for the primary tumour volume and the enlarged retropharyngeal nodes), 66-70 Gy (for the involved cervical lymph nodes), 60-62 Gy (for the high-risk target volume), and 54-56 Gy (for the low-risk target volume) were administered in 30-33 fractions, five fractions per week. Patients with stage II-IVA disease were recommended to receive combined intravenous cisplatin-based chemotherapy (either induction chemotherapy followed by concurrent chemoradiotherapy or concurrent chemoradiotherapy alone). Randomisation was done centrally by the Clinical Trials Centre of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Centre by means of a computer-generated random number code with a block size of four. Patients were stratified according to treatment centre and nodal status. Investigators and patients were not masked to treatment allocation. The primary endpoint was regional relapse-free survival in the intention-to-treat population. Non-inferiority was indicated if the upper limit of the 95% CI of the difference in 3-year regional relapse-free survival between the UNI and WNI groups was within 8%. Adverse events were analysed in the safety population (defined as all patients who commenced the randomly assigned treatment). This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02642107, and is closed.Between Jan 22, 2016, and May 23, 2018, 446 patients from 469 screened were randomly assigned to receive UNI (n=224) or WNI (n=222). Median follow-up was 53 months (IQR 46-59). 3-year regional relapse-free survival was similar in the UNI and WNI groups (97·7% [95% CI 95·7-99·7] in the UNI group vs 96·3% [93·8-98·8] in the WNI group; difference -1·4% [95% CI -4·6 to 1·8]; pElective UNI of the uninvolved neck provides similar regional control and results in less radiation toxicity compared with standard WNI in patients with N0-N1 nasopharyngeal carcinoma.Sun Yat-sen University Clinical Research 5010 Program, the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province, and the Overseas Expertise Introduction Project for Discipline Innovation.For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

The survival prognosis of human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive and HPV-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is largely different, and little is known about the anti-tumor mechanism of tumor-infiltrated exhausted CD8+ T cells (Tex) in HNSCC. We performed cell-level multi-omics sequencing on human HNSCC samples to decipher the multi-dimensional characteristics of Tex cells. A proliferative exhausted CD8+ T cell cluster (P-Tex) which was beneficial to survival outcomes of patients with HPV-positive HNSCC was identified. Interestingly, P-Tex cells expressed CDK4 genes as high as cancer cells, which could be simultaneously inhibited by CDK4 inhibitors and might be a potential reason for the ineffectiveness of CDK4 inhibitors in treating HPV-positive HNSCC. P-Tex cells could aggregate in the antigen-presenting cell niches and activate certain signaling pathways. Together, our findings suggest a promising role for P-Tex cells in the prognosis of patients with HPV-positive HNSCC by providing modest but persistent anti-tumor effects.

Head and neck cancer is often diagnosed late and prognosis for most head and neck cancer patients remains poor. To aid early detection, we developed a risk prediction model based on demographic and lifestyle risk factors, human papillomavirus (HPV) serological markers, and genetic markers. A total of 10,126 head and neck cancer cases and 5,254 controls from 5 North American and European studies were included. HPV serostatus was determined by antibodies for HPV16 early oncoproteins (E6, E7) and regulatory early proteins (E1, E2, E4). The data were split into a training set (70%) for model development and a hold-out testing set (30%) for model performance evaluation, including discriminative ability and calibration. The risk models including demographic, lifestyle risk factors and polygenic risk score showed a reasonable predictive accuracy for head and neck cancer overall. A risk model that also included HPV serology showed substantially improved predictive accuracy for oropharyngeal cancer (AUC=0.94, 95%CI=0.92–0.95 in men and AUC=0.92, 95%CI=0.88–0.95 in women). The 5-year absolute risk estimates showed distinct trajectories by risk factor profiles. Based on the UK Biobank cohort, the risks of developing oropharyngeal cancer among 60 years old and HPV16 seropositive in the next 5 years ranged from 5.8% to 14.9% with an average of 8.1% for men, 1.3% to 4.4% with an average of 2.2% for women. Absolute risk was generally higher among individuals with heavy smoking, heavy drinking, HPV seropositivity, and those with higher polygenic risk score. These risk models may be helpful for identifying people at high risk of developing head and neck cancer.

Extranodal extension (ENE) represents a spectrum of tumor invasion beyond the nodal capsule. The earliest stages of ENE can only be detected under the microscope (pathologic-ENE, pENE). As ENE progresses, it can eventually become visible on imaging (radiologic-ENE, rENE). When ENE further advances to invade skin and/or underlining structures causing fixation and neurovascular impairment, it becomes clinically evident (clinical-ENE, cENE). pENE is the most objective and sensitive way of identifying ENE while subjectivity exists for rENE and cENE detection. Hence, pENE often serves as a gold standard for assessing the accuracy of rENE and cENE. The sensitivity and specificity of rENE for pENE depends on the level of certainty that a radiologist has adopted for declaration. If unequivocal radiologic signs are used for declaration, the specificity of rENE for pENE is very high. Unequivocal rENE carries prognostic significance beyond traditional cN classification for both viral-related and unrelated head and neck cancer, and can serve an important role for clinical care and risk stratification. For clinical care, such as triaging HPV-positive oropharyngeal cancer to surgery vs radiotherapy, a relatively modest level of certainty (>50%) may be used for rENE declaration before treatment assignment to achieve high sensitivity and avoid potential triple-modality treatment. For staging, a high level of certainty (>90%) should be used for rENE declaration to preserve its prognostic importance and avoid dilution due to equivocal cases, or the inclusion of minimal ENE lacking importance due to mitigation by contemporary treatments. Standardization of definitions and radiology reporting templates should facilitate the adoption of rENE into clinical care and staging.

PURPOSE To confirm the prognostic value of radiologic extranodal extension (rENE) and its role in clinical-N classification in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated in a western institution. METHODS AND MATERIALS NPC treated between 2010 and 2017 were included. Pre-treatment MRI were reviewed for unequivocal rENE and its grade: grade-1: tumour invading through any nodal capsule but confined to perinodal fat; grade-2: ≥2 adjacent nodes forming a coalescent nodal mass; grade-3: tumour extending beyond perinodal fat to invade/encase adjacent structures. Overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were compared between rENE-positive (rENE+) and rENE-negative (rENE-) patients. Multivariable analysis (MVA) confirmed the prognostic importance of rENE and its grade. Staging schemas including rENE in N-classification were proposed and their performance evaluated. RESULTS A total of 274 patients were eligible (43 cN0; 231 cN-positive). rENE was identified in 83/231 (36%) cN-positive, including grade 1/2/3 rENE in 14/58/11 cases. Compared to rENE-, rENE+ patients had a lower OS (68% vs 89%, p

In the current eighth edition head and neck TNM staging, extranodal extension (ENE) is an adverse feature in oral cavity squamous cell cancer (OSCC). The previous seventh edition N1 with ENE is now staged as N2a. Seventh edition N2+ with ENE is staged as N3b in the eighth edition. We evaluated its potential impact on patients treated with surgery and postoperative intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT).OSCC patients treated with primary surgery and adjuvant (chemo)radiotherapy between January 2005 and December 2014 were reviewed. Cohorts with pathological node-negative (pN-), pathological node-positive without ENE (pN+_pENE-) and pathological node-positive with ENE (pN+_pENE+) diseases were compared for local control, regional control, distant control and overall survival. The pN+ cohorts were further stratified into seventh edition N-staging subgroups for outcomes comparison.In total, 478 patients were evaluated: 173 pN-; 159 pN+_pENE-; 146 pN+_pENE+. Outcomes at 5 years were: local control was identical (78%) in all cohorts (P = 0.892), whereas regional control was 91%, 80% and 68%, respectively (P0.001). Distant control was 97%, 87%, 68% (P0.001) and overall survival was 75%, 53% and 39% (P0.001), respectively. Overall survival for N1 and N2a subgroups was not significantly different. In the seventh edition N2b subgroup of pENE- (n = 79) and pENE+ (n = 79) cohorts, overall survival was 67% and 37%, respectively. In the seventh edition N2c subgroups, overall survival for pENE- (n = 17) and pENE+ (n = 38) cohorts was 65% and 35% (P = 0.08), respectively. Overall, an additional 128 patients (42% pN+) were upstaged as N3b.When eighth edition staging was applied, stage migration across the N2-3 categories resulted in expected larger separations of overall survival by stage. Patients treated with primary radiation without surgical staging should have outcomes carefully monitored. Strategies to predict ENE preoperatively and trials to improve the outcomes of pENE+ patients should be explored.

The survival prognosis of human papillomavirus (HPV)-positive and HPV-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) is largely different, and little is known about the anti-tumor mechanism of tumor-infiltrated CD8+exhausted T cells (Tex) in HNSCC. We performed cell level multi-omics sequencing on human HNSCC samples to decipher the multi-dimensional characteristics of Tex cells. A proliferative exhausted CD8+T cell cluster (P-Tex) which was beneficial to survival outcomes of patients with HPV-positive HNSCC was identified. Interestingly, P-Tex cells expressed CDK4 genes as high as cancer cells, which could be simultaneously inhibited by CDK4 inhibitors and might be a potential reason for the ineffectiveness of CDK4 inhibitors in treating HPV-positive HNSCC. P-Tex cells could aggregate in the antigen presenting cell niches and activate certain signaling pathways. Together, our findings suggest a promising role for P-Tex cells in the prognosis of patients with HPV-positive HNSCC by providing modest but persistent anti-tumor effects.Graphic abstract

PurposeRadiomics is an emerging imaging assessment technique that has shown promise in predicting survival among nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. Studies so far have focused on PET or MR-based radiomics independently. The aim of our study was to evaluate the prognostic value of clinical and radiomic parameters derived from both PET/CT and MR.MethodsRetrospective evaluation of 124 NPC patients with PET/CT and radiotherapy planning MR (RP-MR). Primary tumors were segmented using dedicated software (LIFEx version 6.1) from PET, CT, contrast-enhanced T1-weighted (T1-w), and T2-weighted (T2-w) MR sequences with 376 radiomic features extracted. Summary statistics describe patient, disease, and treatment characteristics. The Kaplan–Meier (KM) method estimates overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Clinical factors selected based on univariable analysis and the multivariable Cox model were subsequently constructed with radiomic features added.ResultsThe final models comparing clinical, clinical + RP-MR, clinical + PET/CT and clinical + RP-MR + PET/CT for OS and PFS demonstrated that combined radiomic signatures were significantly associated with improved survival prognostication (AUC 0.62 vs 0.81 vs 0.75 vs 0.86 at 21 months for PFS and 0.56 vs 0.85 vs 0.79 vs 0.96 at 24 months for OS). Clinical + RP-MR features initially outperform clinical + PET/CT for both OS and PFS (42 months).ConclusionOur study demonstrated that PET/CT-based radiomic features may improve survival prognostication among NPC patients when combined with baseline clinical and MR-based radiomic features.

Background The cost utility of image-guided surveillance using computed tomography (CT) and positron emission tomography (PET)-CT to planned postradiation neck dissection (PRND) was compared for the management of advanced nodal human papillomavirus-positive oropharyngeal cancer following chemoradiation. Methods A universal payer perspective was adopted. A Markov model was designed to simulate four treatment approaches with 3-month cycles over a lifetime horizon: 1) CT surveillance, 2) standard PET-CT surveillance, 3) a novel PET-CT approach with repeat PET at 6 months postchemoradiation for equivocal responders, and 4) PRND. Parameters including probabilities of CT nodal progression/resolution, PET avidity, recurrence, and survival were obtained from the literature. Costs were reported in 2019 Canadian dollars and utilities were expressed in quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate model uncertainty. Results PET-CT surveillance dominated CT surveillance and PRND in the base case scenario, and the novel PET-CT approach was the most cost-effective strategy across a wide range of variables tested in one-way sensitivity analysis. On probabilistic sensitivity analysis, novel PET-CT surveillance was the most cost-effective strategy in 78.1% of model iterations at a willingness-to-pay of $50,000/QALYs. Novel PET-CT surveillance resulted in a 49% lower rate of neck dissection compared with traditional PET-CT, and yielded an incremental benefit of 0.14 QALYs with average cost savings of $1309. Conclusions Image-guided surveillance including PET-CT and CT are more cost effective than PRND. The novel PET-CT approach with repeat PET for equivocal responders was the dominant strategy and yielded both higher benefit and lower costs compared with standard PET-CT surveillance.

Tumor breaching the capsule of a lymph node is termed extranodal extension (ENE). It reflects aggressiveness of a tumor, creates anatomic challenges for disease clearance, and increases the risk of distant metastasis. Extranodal extension can be assessed on a pathology specimen, by radiology studies, and by clinical examination. Presence of ENE in a pathology specimen has long been considered a high-risk feature of disease progression and would ordinarily benefit from the addition of chemotherapy to adjuvant radiotherapy. Although the eighth edition of the Union for International Cancer Control/American Joint Committee on Cancer stage classification dichotomizes pathologic ENE according to its presence or absence, emerging evidence suggests that the extent of a pathologic ENE may provide additional value for risk stratification to guide adjuvant therapy. Recent data suggest that the prognostic importance of pathologic ENE is also applicable for HPV-associated head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. In addition, compelling data demonstrate that indisputable radiologic ENE is a powerful risk stratification tool to identify patients at high risk for treatment failure, especially distant metastasis, applicable for both HPV-positive and HPV-negative head and neck squamous cell carcinoma. However, the definition and taxonomy of radiologic ENE requires standardization. The goal of this review is to clarify the contemporary understanding of the prognostic implications of ENE in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, present the nuances of what is presently known and unknown, and elucidate how to classify ENE pathologically and radiologically with an understanding of the strengths and weaknesses of each approach. Finally, with the development of several risk stratification methods, the relative role of ENE and other prognostic schema will be explored.

This commentary highlights three important findings in the study by Vijayvargiya et al, published in this journal, involving 9554 oropharyngeal cancer patients from the SEER database. Firstly, there is improved performance in outcome prediction with TNM-8 in HPV+ OPC. However, heterogeneity exists, especially in TNM-8 stage I disease, and there is need for ongoing improvement in risk stratification. Several anatomical and non-anatomical prognostic factors have been proposed. Among them, radiologic extranodal extension has emerged as one of the promising parameters to be considered for future staging. These baseline prognostic factors should address sensitivity, specificity, and diagnostic accuracy to serve different clinical needs. Secondly, cure is possible for some patients presenting with M1 disease. Optimal management of such patients remains to be explored, and clinical trials targeting de novo M1 disease should be encouraged to optimize outcomes for this subset. Finally, methodologies to address missing tumor HPV status in historical cohorts have been discussed, including using baseline demographics and clinical characteristics, as well as statistical procedures such as multiple imputation.

A minority of patients with metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) present with oligometastatic disease. Oligometastasis not only reflects a disease state, but might also present an opportunity for cure in the metastatic setting. Radical ablation of all oligometastatic sites may confer prolonged survival and possibly achieve cure in some patients. However, substantial debate remains about whether patients with oligometastatic disease could benefit from curative intent therapy or whether aggressive treatments expose some patients to futile toxicity. Optimal selection of patients, carefully balancing the currently known prognostic factors against the risks of toxicity is critical. Emerging evidence suggests that patients with a limited burden of disease, viral-related pharyngeal cancer, metachronous metastasis and lung-only metastasis may benefit most from this approach. Efforts are underway to identify biomarkers that can detect oligometastasis and better select patients who would derive the maximum benefit from an aggressive radical approach. The combination of radiotherapy and immunotherapy promises to enhance the anti-tumoral immune response and help overcome resistance. However, optimization of management algorithms, including patient selection, radiation dose and sequencing, will be critical in upcoming clinical trials. This review summarizes recent knowledge about the characteristics and investigational efforts regarding oligometastasis in HNSCC.

Purpose: We aim determine the value of PET and CT radiomic parameters on survival with serial follow-up PET/CT in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) for which curative intent therapy is undertaken. Methods: Patients with NPC and available pre-treatment as well as follow up PET/CT were included from 2005 to 2006 and were followed to 2021. Baseline demographic, radiological and outcome data were collected. Univariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate features from baseline and follow-up time points, and landmark analyses were performed for each time point. Results: Sixty patients were enrolled, and two-hundred and seventy-eight (278) PET/CT were at baseline and during follow-up. Thirty-eight percent (38%) were female, and sixty-two patients were male. All patients underwent curative radiation or chemoradiation therapy. The median follow-up was 11.72 years (1.26–14.86). Five-year and ten-year overall survivals (OSs) were 80.0% and 66.2%, and progression-free survival (PFS) was 90.0% and 74.4%. Time-dependent modelling suggested that, among others, PET gray-level zone length matrix (GLZLM) gray-level non-uniformity (GLNU) (HR 2.74 95% CI 1.06, 7.05) was significantly associated with OS. Landmark analyses suggested that CT parameters were most predictive at 15 month, whereas PET parameters were most predictive at time points 3, 6, 9 and 15 month. Conclusions: This study with long-term follow up data on NPC suggests that mainly PET-derived radiomic features are predictive for OS but not PFS in a time-dependent evaluation. Furthermore, CT radiomic measures may predict OS and PFS best at initial and long-term follow-up time points and PET measures may be more predictive in the interval. These modalities are commonly used in NPC surveillance, and prospective validation should be considered.

OBJECTIVES/HYPOTHESIS The ideal strategy in the treatment of mucosal melanoma of the head and neck (MMHN) remains unclear. Our objective was to evaluate the importance of surgical margins, radiotherapy, and systemic therapy in MMHN. STUDY DESIGN Retrospective Single Institutional Review. METHODS Retrospective review of patients with MMHN treated at a tertiary care oncology center between 1999 and 2016. RESULTS Seventy-six patients were included, 60 of whom were treated with curative intent. Negative or close margins compared with positive margins were associated with higher 3-year overall survival (OS) (62% vs. 29% vs. 13% P = .012), disease-free survival (33% vs. 29% vs. 4% P = .003), and distant control (48% vs. 29% vs. 22% P = .039). Cases with pre-/postoperative radiotherapy had a marginally higher locoregional control versus without (69% vs. 59%, P = .117). Immunotherapy for recurrent and/or metastatic disease was associated with an increase in 3-year OS (15% vs. 3% P = .01). CONCLUSION Achieving negative surgical margins is relevant in disease control. Despite small sample size, our data suggest that radiotherapy may enhance surgical outcomes. Immunotherapy has therapeutic benefit. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE 3 Laryngoscope, 131:2269-2276, 2021.

To describe the utilization pattern of head and neck (HN) surveillance imaging and explore the optimal strategy for radiologic "residual" lymph node (LN) surveillance following definitive (chemo)radiotherapy (RT/CRT) in human papillomavirus (HPV)+ oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC).All HPV+ OPC patients who completed RT/CRT from 2012 to 2015 were included. Schedule and rationale for post-treatment HN-CT/MRI were recorded. Imaging findings and oncologic outcomes were evaluated.A total of 1036 scans in 412 patients were reviewed: 414 scans for first post-treatment response assessment and 622 scans for the following reasons: follow-up of radiologic "residual" LN(s) (293 scans/175 patients); local symptoms (227/146); other (17/16); unknown (85/66). Rate of scans with "unstated" reason varied significantly among clinicians (3-28%, p 0.001) and none of them yielded any positive imaging findings. First post-treatment scans identified 192 (47%) patients with radiologic "residual" LNs. Neck dissection (ND) was performed in 28 patients: 16 immediately (6/16 positive), 10 after one follow-up scan (2/10 positive), and 2 after 2nd follow-up scan (1/2 positive). Thirty patients had2 consecutive follow-up scans at 2-3-month intervals, and none showed subsequent imaging progression or regional failure.Pattern of HN imaging utilization for surveillance varied significantly among clinicians. Imaging surveillance reduces the need for ND. However, routine HN-CT/MR surveillance without clinical symptoms/signs does not demonstrate proven value in identifying locoregional failure or toxicity. Radiologic "residual" LNs without adverse features are common. If two subsequent follow-up scans demonstrate stable/regressing radiologic "residual" LNs, clinical surveillance without further imaging appears to be safe in this population.

Highlights • Different trial types require different sample size calculation and interpretation. • Statistical modeling may help to minimize confounding effects and bias. • Statistical pitfalls can be avoided by following correct statistical guidance., Purpose To facilitate understanding statistical principles and methods for clinicians involved in cancer research. Methods An overview of study design is provided on cancer research for both observational and clinical trials addressing study objectives and endpoints, superiority tests, non-inferiority and equivalence design, and sample size calculation. The principles of statistical models and tests including contemporary standard methods of analysis and evaluation are discussed. Finally, some statistical pitfalls frequently evident in clinical and translational studies in cancer are discussed. Results We emphasize the practical aspects of study design (superiority vs non-inferiority vs equivalence study) and assumptions underpinning power calculations and sample size estimation. The differences between relative risk, odds ratio, and hazard ratio, understanding outcome endpoints, purposes of interim analysis, and statistical modeling to minimize confounding effects and bias are also discussed. Conclusion Proper design and correctly constructed statistical models are critical for the success of cancer research studies. Most statistical inaccuracies can be minimized by following essential statistical principles and guidelines to improve quality in research studies.

BACKGROUND Our study assessed post-radiation therapy (RT) G-tube presence, duration, and clinical predictors in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC). METHODS We identified those 1-5-years post-RT with stage III/IV nasopharyngeal, oropharyngeal, hypopharyngeal, laryngeal, or unknown primaries. Logistic regression identified predictors of post-RT G-tube presence, Kaplan-Meier analysis estimated G-tube days, and log-rank test compared by tumor site. RESULTS The 977 patients had mean age 60.6 ± 11.6 years, 804 (82.3%) male, 764 (78.2%) stage IV, and 618 (63.3%) oropharyngeal primaries. All patients received intensity-modulated RT (IMRT), 571 (58.4%) received chemotherapy, and 698 (71.4%) prophylactic G-tube. G-tube prevalence 1- and 5-years post-IMRT was 7.1% and 4.8%, respectively. Median post-IMRT G-tube days were overall 63 (95%CI: 56-70), nasopharynx 119 (95%CI: 109-131), oropharynx 57 (95%CI: 51-68), hypopharynx 126 (95%CI: 77-256), larynx 53 (95%CI: 21-63), unknown 30 (95%CI: 17-55), of which hypopharynx was highest p

Highlights • Definitive RT/CRT for OSCC achieved acceptable rate of locoregional control. • Definitive RT is a reasonable alternative treatment strategy if surgery is not possible. • cN2-3 is associated with poor distant control, DFS, and OS., Purpose To determine the outcomes of oral cavity squamous cell cancer (OSCC) patients treated with non-surgical approach i.e. definitive intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT). Methods All OSCC patients treated radically with IMRT (without primary surgery) between 2005–2014 were reviewed in a prospectively collected database. OSCC patients treated with definitive RT received concurrent chemotherapy except for early stage patients or those who declined or were unfit for chemotherapy. The 5-year local, and regional, distant control rates, disease-free, overall, and cancer-specific survival, and late toxicity were analyzed. Results Among 1316 OSCC patients treated with curative-intent; 108 patients (8%) received non-operative management due to: medical inoperability (n = 14, 13%), surgical unresectability (n = 8, 7%), patient declined surgery (n = 15, 14%), attempted preservation of oral structure/function in view of required extensive surgery (n = 53, 49%) or extensive oropharyngeal involvement (n = 18, 17%). Sixty-eight (63%) were cT3-4, 38 (35%) were cN2-3, and 38 (35%) received concurrent chemotherapy. With a median follow-up of 52 months, the 5-year local, regional, distant control rate, disease-free, overall, and cancer-specific survival were 78%, 92%, 90%, 42%, 50%, and 76% respectively. Patients with cN2-3 had higher rate of 5-year distant metastasis (24% vs 3%, p = 0.001), with detrimental impact on DFS (p = 0.03) and OS (p

Patients with cancer often experience multiple symptoms concurrently. We identified patient clusters based on longitudinal symptom severity trajectories in oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) and evaluated the potential clinical utility of this approach.A retrospective OPC patient cluster analysis using 6 months of symptom severity data from radiotherapy initiation. The clinico-demographic characteristics and overall survival of patients were compared between clusters.We identified four clusters of patients differing in longitudinal symptom severity. Cluster A (n = 168) included patients with the mildest longitudinal symptoms, cluster B (n = 59) and cluster C (n = 63) were intermediate, and cluster D (n = 30) included patients with the worst symptoms. The clusters differed in their HPV status, ECOG performance status, smoking history, drinking history, treatment modality, and 5-year survival. These clusters separated symptom severity trajectories more distinctly than individual clinico-demographic characteristics.Early symptom severity trajectory clustering revealed distinct patient clusters that were prognostic of overall survival.

(1) Background: NPC patients with de novo distant metastasis appears to be a heterogeneous group who demonstrate a wide range of survival, as suggested by growing evidence. Nevertheless, the current 8th edition of TNM staging (TNM-8) grouping all these patients into the M1 category is not able to identify their survival differences. We sought to identify any anatomic and non-anatomic subgroups in this study. (2) Methods: Sixty-nine patients with treatment-naive de novo M1 NPC (training cohort) were prospectively recruited from 2007 to 2018. We performed univariable and multivariable analyses (UVA and MVA) to explore anatomic distant metastasis factors, which were significantly prognostic of overall survival (OS). Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) with the incorporation of significant factors from MVA was then performed to derive a new set of RPA stage groups with OS segregation (Set 1 Anatomic-RPA stage groups); another run of MVA was performed with the addition of pre-treatment plasma EBV DNA. A second-round RPA with significant prognostic factors of OS identified in this round of MVA was performed again to derive another set of stage groups (Set 2 Prognostic-RPA stage groups). Both sets were then validated externally with an independent validation cohort of 67 patients with distant relapses of their initially non-metastatic NPC (rM1) after radical treatment. The performance of models in survival segregation was evaluated by the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and concordance index (C-index) under 1000 bootstrapping samples for the validation cohort; (3) Results: The 3-year OS and median follow-up in the training cohort were 36.0% and 17.8 months, respectively. Co-existence of liver-bone metastases was the only significant prognostic factor of OS in the first round UVA and MVA. Set 1 RPA based on anatomic factors that subdivide the M1 category into two groups: M1a (absence of co-existing liver-bone metastases; median OS 28.1 months) and M1b (co-existing liver-bone metastases; median OS 19.2 months, p = 0.023). When pre-treatment plasma EBV DNA was also added, it became the only significant prognostic factor in UVA (p = 0.001) and MVA (p = 0.015), while co-existing liver-bone metastases was only significant in UVA. Set 2 RPA with the incorporation of pre-treatment plasma EBV DNA yielded good segregation (M1a: EBV DNA ≤ 2500 copies/mL and M1b: EBV DNA > 2500 copies/mL; median OS 44.2 and 19.7 months, respectively, p < 0.001). Set 2 Prognostic-RPA groups (AIC: 228.1 [95% CI: 194.8–251.8] is superior to Set 1 Anatomic-RPA groups (AIC: 278.5 [254.6–301.2]) in the OS prediction (p < 0.001). Set 2 RPA groups (C-index 0.59 [95% CI: 0.54–0.67]) also performed better prediction agreement in the validation cohort (vs. Set 1: C-index 0.47 [95% CI: 0.41–0.53]) (p < 0.001); (4) Conclusions: Our Anatomic-RPA stage groups yielded good segregation for de novo M1 NPC, and prognostication was further improved by incorporating plasma EBV DNA. These new RPA stage groups for M1 NPC can be applied to countries/regions regardless of whether reliable and sensitive plasma EBV DNA assays are available or not.