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1. Correction for O’Donnell et al., Empirical audit and review and an assessment of evidentiary value in research on the psychological consequences of scarcity

Author

O'Donnell, Michael, Dev, Amelia S, Antonoplis, Stephen, Baum, Stephen M, Benedetti, Arianna H, Brown, N Derek, Carrillo, Belinda, Choi, Andrew L, Connor, Paul, Donnelly, Kristin, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica E, Foushee, Ruthe, Jansen, Rachel, Jarvis, Shoshana N, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph M, Okafor, Gold N, Azad, Zahra Rahmani, Rosenblum, Michael, Schatz, Derek, Stein, Daniel H, Wang, Yilu, Moore, Don A, and Nelson, Leif D

Subjects
Accounting, Auditing and Accountability, Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services, Good Health and Well Being, Clean Water and Sanitation
Published
2022

2. Empirical audit and review and an assessment of evidentiary value in research on the psychological consequences of scarcity.

Author

ODonnell, Michael, Dev, Amelia, Antonoplis, Stephen, Baum, Stephen, Benedetti, Arianna, Brown, N, Carrillo, Belinda, Choi, Andrew, Connor, Paul, Donnelly, Kristin, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Foushee, Ruthe, Jansen, Rachel, Jarvis, Shoshana, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Okafor, Gold, Azad, Zahra, Rosenblum, Michael, Schatz, Derek, Stein, Daniel, Wang, Yilu, Moore, Don, and Nelson, Leif

Subjects
evidentiary value, meta-analysis, open science, reproducibility, scarcity, Empirical Research, Food Insecurity, Humans, Pain Measurement, Reproducibility of Results, Research Design, Resource Allocation
Abstract

Empirical audit and review is an approach to assessing the evidentiary value of a research area. It involves identifying a topic and selecting a cross-section of studies for replication. We apply the method to research on the psychological consequences of scarcity. Starting with the papers citing a seminal publication in the field, we conducted replications of 20 studies that evaluate the role of scarcity priming in pain sensitivity, resource allocation, materialism, and many other domains. There was considerable variability in the replicability, with some strong successes and other undeniable failures. Empirical audit and review does not attempt to assign an overall replication rate for a heterogeneous field, but rather facilitates researchers seeking to incorporate strength of evidence as they refine theories and plan new investigations in the research area. This method allows for an integration of qualitative and quantitative approaches to review and enables the growth of a cumulative science.

Published
2021

3. Overprecision increases subsequent surprise.

Author

Moore, Don and Schatz, Derek

Subjects
Adult, Female, Humans, Judgment, Knowledge, Male, Middle Aged, Young Adult
Abstract

Overconfident people should be surprised that they are so often wrong. Are they? Three studies examined the relationship between confidence and surprise in order to shed light on the psychology of overprecision in judgment. Participants reported ex-ante confidence in their beliefs, and after receiving accuracy feedback, they then reported ex-post surprise. Results show that more ex-ante confidence produces less ex-post surprise for correct answers; this relationship reverses for incorrect answers. However, this sensible pattern only holds for some measures of confidence; it fails for confidence-interval measures. The results can help explain the robust durability of overprecision in judgment.

Published
2020

4. Empirical audit and review and an assessment of evidentiary value in research on the psychological consequences of scarcity

Author

O’Donnell, Michael, Dev, Amelia S., Antonoplis, Stephen, Baum, Stephen M., Benedetti, Arianna H., Brown, N. Derek, Carrillo, Belinda, Choi, Andrew L., Connor, Paul, Donnelly, Kristin, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica E., Foushee, Ruthe, Jansen, Rachel, Jarvis, Shoshana N., Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph M., Okafor, Gold N., Azad, Zahra Rahmani, Rosenblum, Michael, Schatz, Derek, Stein, Daniel H., Wang, Yilu, Moore, Don A., and Nelson, Leif D.

Published
2021

6. Sequential azacitidine and lenalidomide for patients with relapsed and refractory acute myeloid leukemia: Clinical results and predictive modeling using computational analysis

Author

Stevens, Brett, Winters, Amanda, Gutman, Jonathan A., Fullerton, Aaron, Hemenway, Gregory, Schatz, Derek, Miltgen, Nicholas, Wei, Qi, Abbasi, Taher, Vali, Shireen, Singh, Neeraj K., Drusbosky, Leylah, Cogle, Christopher R., Hammes, Andrew, Abbott, Diana, Jordan, Craig T., Smith, Clayton, and Pollyea, Daniel A.

Published
2019
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7. Venetoclax with azacitidine disrupts energy metabolism and targets leukemia stem cells in patients with acute myeloid leukemia

Author

Pollyea, Daniel A., Stevens, Brett M., Jones, Courtney L., Winters, Amanda, Pei, Shanshan, Minhajuddin, Mohammad, D’Alessandro, Angelo, Culp-Hill, Rachel, Riemondy, Kent A., Gillen, Austin E., Hesselberth, Jay R., Abbott, Diana, Schatz, Derek, Gutman, Jonathan A., Purev, Enkhtsetseg, Smith, Clayton, and Jordan, Craig T.

Published
2018
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8. Boundaries of the Hindsight Bias

Author

Schatz, Derek

Subjects
Management, Decision Making, Hindsight Bias, Psychology
Abstract

The hindsight bias may not be as robust as previously believed. Also known as the “knew-it-all-along effect” (Fischhoff, 1975) the hindsight bias refers to the inability for individuals to remember their previous state of knowledge after learning an outcome. Researchers have found people fall victim to hindsight biases in a variety of domains, including general knowledge (Fischoff, 1977; Wood, 1978), medical decisions (Arkes, Wortmann, Saville, & Harkness, 1981), and political outcomes (Fischhoff & Beyth, 1975). Multiple failures to debias, with methods including informing participants about the bias (Fischhoff, 1977) and manipulating participant perspective (Wood, 1978) further grew the reputation for the strength of this bias. However, we must interpret older results in the behavioral sciences with new perspective on the importance of sample size and statistical power (Ioannidis, 2005). This dissertation proposes to investigate when and why hindsight bias fails to appear, and what it means for the psychological processes underlying the hindsight bias, and more broadly, the interpretation of older psychological research.

Published
2019

9. Additional Materials

Author

O'Donnell, Michael, Donnelly, Kristin, Connor, Paul, Wang, Yilu, Schatz, Derek, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Antonoplis, Stephen, Foushee, Ruthe, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Jansen, Rachel, Baum, Stephen, Choi, Andrew, Carrillo, Belinda, Rosenblum, Michael, Rahmani Azad, Zahra, Jarvis, Shoshana, Benedetti, Arianna, Nelson, Leif, Moore, Don, Stein, Daniel, Okafor, Gold, Brown, N. Derek, Dev, Amelia, Carr, Christina, and Zheng, Andrew

Published
2022
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13. Overclaiming Perceptions

Author

Stein, Daniel, Schatz, Derek, Schroeder, Juliana, and Chatman, Jennifer

Subjects
Social and Behavioral Sciences
Abstract

The Mistaken Preference for Overclaiming Credit in Groups

Published
2022
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18. BRS

Author

Schatz, Derek

Abstract

A sub-project of OSO which examines the effect of confidence on surprise.

Published
2022
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28. Monga, May, & Bagchi, 2017 - Study 4 Replication (Okafor)

Author

Okafor, Gold, O'Donnell, Michael, Donnelly, Kristin, Connor, Paul, Wang, Yilu, Schatz, Derek, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Antonoplis, Stephen, Foushee, Ruthe, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Jansen, Rachel, Baum, Stephen, Choi, Andrew, Carrillo, Belinda, Rosenblum, Michael, Rahmani Azad, Zahra, Jarvis, Shoshana, Benedetti, Arianna, Nelson, Leif, Moore, Don, Stein, Daniel, Brown, N. Derek, Dev, Amelia, Carr, Christina, and Zheng, Andrew

Published
2022
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30. Zhu & Ratner, 2015 - Study 2 Replication (Connor)

Author

Connor, Paul, O'Donnell, Michael, Donnelly, Kristin, Wang, Yilu, Schatz, Derek, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Antonoplis, Stephen, Foushee, Ruthe, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Jansen, Rachel, Baum, Stephen, Choi, Andrew, Carrillo, Belinda, Rosenblum, Michael, Rahmani Azad, Zahra, Jarvis, Shoshana, Benedetti, Arianna, Nelson, Leif, Moore, Don, Stein, Daniel, Okafor, Gold, Brown, N. Derek, Dev, Amelia, Carr, Christina, and Zheng, Andrew

Published
2022
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33. Empirical audit and review and an assessment of evidentiary value in research on the psychological consequences of scarcity

Author

O'Donnell, Michael, Donnelly, Kristin, Connor, Paul, Wang, Yilu, Schatz, Derek, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Antonoplis, Stephen, Foushee, Ruthe, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Jansen, Rachel, Baum, Stephen, Choi, Andrew, Carrillo, Belinda, Rosenblum, Michael, Rahmani Azad, Zahra, Jarvis, Shoshana, Benedetti, Arianna, Nelson, Leif, Moore, Don, Stein, Daniel, Okafor, Gold, Brown, N. Derek, Dev, Amelia, Carr, Christina, and Zheng, Andrew

Subjects
Social and Behavioral Sciences
Abstract

Registration of data and materials

Published
2022
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34. Emery, Walsh, & Slotter, 2015 - Study 3 Replication (Brown)

Author

Brown, N. Derek, O'Donnell, Michael, Donnelly, Kristin, Connor, Paul, Wang, Yilu, Schatz, Derek, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Antonoplis, Stephen, Foushee, Ruthe, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Jansen, Rachel, Baum, Stephen, Choi, Andrew, Carrillo, Belinda, Rosenblum, Michael, Rahmani Azad, Zahra, Jarvis, Shoshana, Benedetti, Arianna, Nelson, Leif, Moore, Don, Stein, Daniel, Okafor, Gold, Dev, Amelia, Carr, Christina, and Zheng, Andrew

Published
2022
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35. Camerer et al., 2018 (replication of Shah et al., 2012) - Replication (Jansen)

Author

Jansen, Rachel, O'Donnell, Michael, Donnelly, Kristin, Connor, Paul, Wang, Yilu, Schatz, Derek, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Antonoplis, Stephen, Foushee, Ruthe, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Baum, Stephen, Choi, Andrew, Carrillo, Belinda, Rosenblum, Michael, Rahmani Azad, Zahra, Jarvis, Shoshana, Benedetti, Arianna, Nelson, Leif, Moore, Don, Stein, Daniel, Okafor, Gold, Brown, N. Derek, Dev, Amelia, Carr, Christina, and Zheng, Andrew

Published
2022
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36. Abeyta, Routledge, Kersten, & Cox, 2017 - Study 2 Replication (Benedetti)

Author

Benedetti, Arianna, O'Donnell, Michael, Donnelly, Kristin, Connor, Paul, Wang, Yilu, Schatz, Derek, Lundell-Creagh, Ryan, Ocampo, Joseph, Antonoplis, Stephen, Foushee, Ruthe, Ellwood-Lowe, Monica, Jansen, Rachel, Baum, Stephen, Choi, Andrew, Carrillo, Belinda, Rosenblum, Michael, Rahmani Azad, Zahra, Jarvis, Shoshana, Nelson, Leif, Moore, Don, Stein, Daniel, Okafor, Gold, Brown, N. Derek, Dev, Amelia, Carr, Christina, and Zheng, Andrew

Published
2022
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43. Sequential Azacitidine and Lenalidomide for Patients with Relapsed and Refractory Acute Myeloid Leukemia: Clinical Results and Predictive Modeling Using Computational Analysis

Author

Stevens, Brett, primary, Winters, Amanda, additional, Gutman, Jonathan A., additional, Fullerton, Aaron, additional, Hemenway, Gregory, additional, Schatz, Derek, additional, Miltgen, Nicholas, additional, Wei, Qi, additional, Abbasi, Taher, additional, Vali, Shireen, additional, Singh, Neeraj K, additional, Drusbosky, Leylah, additional, Cogle, Christopher R., additional, Hammes, Andrew, additional, Abbott, Diana, additional, Jordan, Craig T., additional, Smith, Clayton, additional, and Pollyea, Daniel, additional

Published
2018
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48. Bias Busters: Motivations under the microscope.

Author

Rinaudo, Eileen Kelly, Koller, Tim, and Schatz, Derek

Subjects
INCENTIVE (Psychology), MOTIVATION (Psychology), MICROSCOPES, RESOURCE allocation
Abstract

This article from McKinsey Insights discusses the importance of understanding motivations in the context of resource allocation within a company. It highlights the collective-action problem, where individuals or teams fail to cooperate due to conflicting interests, and how this can lead to suboptimal outcomes. To address this, the article suggests creating a motivation map, which helps leaders understand the motivations and priorities of different business unit leaders. By tailoring messaging and incentives based on these motivations, leaders can better align everyone towards a more productive outcome. [Extracted from the article]

Published
2023

49. Bias Busters: The perils of executive typecasting.

Author

Rinaudo, Eileen Kelly, Koller, Tim, and Schatz, Derek

Subjects
EXECUTIVES, WOMEN executives, FINANCIAL risk, SOCIAL comparison, BUSINESS enterprises
Abstract

The perils of executive typecasting The dilemma The new CFO at a medical-device company has heard nothing but positive things about a line of products, now in their third generation, from the Consumer Health Division. When the meeting ends, the CFO thinks twice about bringing up the idea of divestiture with the CEO and other members of the executive-leadership team (ELT). Decision making can be clouded when people attribute others' actions and motivations to the societal roles that they play (such as parent, teacher, and manager). [Extracted from the article]

Published
2023

50. Backfires.

Author

Paul, Rick, DeVore, Peter, Goslin, Chris, Feldman, Stacy, Follebout, Don, McAdoo, John, Jeff T., DiGiovanni, Jeff, Paul, Schatz, Derek, Daugherty, Ray, Pontifex, Trevor, Knell, Scott, Dicks, David, Denney, Bill, Moler, Pete, King, Walter, Kempf, Robert, Curry, Clarence, and Chris

Abstract

Several letters to the editor are presented in response to articles including "New Cars for 2017" in the September 2016 issue, "B46, B58, Whatever it Takes," and "Attack of the Clones."

Published
2016

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