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Sedimentary landforms on Earth and other planetary bodies are built through scour, transport, and deposition of sediment. Sediment connectivity refers to the hypothesis that pathways of sediment transport do not occur in isolation, but rather are mechanistically linked. In dryland river systems, one such example of sediment connectivity is the transport of fluvially deposited sediment by wind. However, predictive tools that can forecast fluvial‐aeolian sediment connectivity at meaningful scales are rare. Here we develop a suite of models for quantifying the availability of river‐sourced sediment for aeolian transport as a function of river flow, wind regime, and land cover across 168 km of the Colorado River in Grand Canyon, USA. We compare and validate these models using topographic changes observed over 10 years in a coupled river sandbar‐aeolian dunefield setting. The models provide a path forward for directly linking fluvial hydrology with the management and understanding of aeolian landscapes. Plain Language Summary: Landscapes on Earth are built from sediment, which is deposited by a variety of processes, especially water and wind. In rivers located in dry regions, sediment is deposited by flowing water during river floods. Once this sediment dries, it is often then moved by wind across the landscape. Although we frequently observe this sediment connectivity between water and wind, we are not currently able to predict when and where windblown transport of river‐deposited sediment may occur. We used maps of sand in Grand Canyon along 168 km of the Colorado River, along with records of river flow, wind speed, and vegetation cover, to develop four models that predict how much sediment is available for wind to move. We compared the results of these models to actual windblown sediment transport at a study site in Grand Canyon, finding that when models predicted more sand was available at the site, we also observed more landscape changes there which were due to wind. Our research makes it possible to understand how changes in river flows affect the amount of sediment moved by wind. Key Points: We developed four methods for modeling the extent of exposed, bare sand available for windblown transport in river valleysOur models employ data on river flow, land cover, wind velocity, and vegetation to predict exposed, bare sand extent at corridor scalesWhere models predict increased areal extent of bare sand, we also observe a greater volume of topographic changes driven by wind [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aeolian sediment transport occurs as a function of, and with feedback to ecosystem changes and disturbances. Many desert grasslands are undergoing rapid changes in vegetation, including the encroachment of woody plants, which alters fire regimes and in turn can change the spatial and temporal patterns of aeolian sediment transport. We investigated aeolian sediment transport and spatial distribution of sediment in the surface soil for 7 years following a prescribed fire using a multiple rare earth element (REE) tracer‐based approach in a shrub‐encroached desert grassland in the northern Chihuahuan desert. Results indicate that even though the aeolian horizontal sediment mass flux increased approximately three‐fold in the first windy season in the burned areas compared to control areas, there were no significant differences after three windy seasons. The soil surface of bare microsites was the major contributor of aeolian sediments in unburned areas (87%), while the shrub microsites contributed the least (<2%) during the observation period. However, after the prescribed fire, the contribution of aeolian sediments from shrub microsites increased considerably (∼40%), indicating post‐fire microsite‐scale sediment redistribution. The findings of this study, which is the first to use multiple REE tracers for multi‐year analysis of the spatial and temporal dynamics of aeolian sediment transport, illustrate how disturbance by prescribed fire can influence aeolian processes and alters dryland soil geomorphology in which distinct soils develop over time at very fine spatial scales of individual plants. Plain Language Summary: In this study, we investigated how soil and nutrients attached to soil particles are transported and redeposited by wind after a prescribed fire using a new tracer method in a desert grassland. Results from this long‐term (7‐years) experiment in a desert grassland in the northern Chihuahuan desert reveal the role of fire in changing the erosional and depositional areas on the soil surface, which in turn determine what vegetation type can dominate the landscape. In a grassland encroached with shrubs, prescribed fire modified soil erosion processes and resulted in a more uniform distribution of nutrients in the landscape, favoring grass recovery. The findings also highlight the role of prescribed fires as an effective grassland management tool. Key Points: First long‐term analysis of post‐fire aeolian sediment transport using multiple rare earth element tracersAeolian transport, fires, and vegetation modify surface processes in which distinct soils develop at very fine spatial scales of individual plantsDemonstrates long‐term changes in the post‐fire shift in aeolian sediment source and sink dynamics in heterogeneous dryland landscapes [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]