1. Identifying clustering of cholera cases using geospatial analysis in Kolkata and surrounding districts: data from patients at tertiary care referral hospitalsResearch in context
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Rounik Talukdar, Suman Kanungo, Kei Kitahara, Goutam Chowdhury, Debmalya Mitra, Asish Kumar Mukhopadhyay, Alok Kumar Deb, Pallavi Indwar, Biswanath Sharma Sarkar, Sandip Samanta, Basilua Andre Muzembo, Ayumu Ohno, Shin-ichi Miyoshi, and Shanta Dutta
- Subjects
Priority areas for multisectoral interventions ,PAMIs ,Cluster ,Spatial analysis ,Hotspot ,Cholera ,Public aspects of medicine ,RA1-1270 - Abstract
Summary: Background: Cholera cases have increased globally across the Eastern Mediterranean, Africa, Southeast Asia, and parts of Europe since early 2024. This study aims to identify cholera hotspots and understand the spatial distribution of cholera in Kolkata and surrounding regions, a key cholera reservoir. Additionally, we examine sociodemographic factors and aspects related to water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH). Methods: Cholera clusters were detected using kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation through Global Moran’s-I statistics, with local cluster patterns examined using Local Moran’s-I statistics. Cholera cases from August 2021 to December 2023, treated at two tertiary care facilities in Kolkata: Infectious Diseases and Beleghata General Hospital and Dr. B C Roy Post Graduate Institute of Paediatric Sciences Hospital were included. Additionally, through a case–control study, 196 culture-confirmed cholera cases and 764 age/sex-matched neighborhood controls were enrolled, to investigate cholera risk factors. Findings: Spatial analysis revealed a concentration of 196 cholera cases in Kolkata and its surrounding regions of Howrah, Hooghly, and North and South 24 Parganas. Hotspot analysis showed significant clustering in several Kolkata wards (31, 33, 56, 46, 57, 58, 59, 61, 66, 71, and 107), particularly in the northern, central, and east Kolkata wetlands areas (Global Moran’s I statistic = 0.14, p
- Published
- 2024
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