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STUDY QUESTION Does BMI of gestational carriers (GCs) affect perinatal outcomes after embryo transfer? SUMMARY ANSWER Overweight and class I obesity in GCs does not affect the rate of good perinatal outcomes. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY The use of GCs is increasing, but uniform guidance regarding optimal BMI for GCs is lacking. Women with obesity who conceive without fertility treatment or through autologous or donor in vitro fertilization are at higher risk of adverse maternal and fetal outcomes, but data on obesity in GCs are very limited. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION We performed a retrospective cohort study of 1121 GC cycles from January 2015 to December 2020 at US Fertility, the largest national partnership of fertility practices in the USA. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, AND METHODS All GC cycles performed at a large network of fertility practices were reviewed. Same-sex partners undergoing co-IVF were excluded. The primary outcome was good perinatal outcome from the first embryo transfer, defined as a singleton live birth at ≥37 weeks of gestation with birth weight between 2500 and 4000 g. Secondary outcome measures included frequencies of live birth, clinical pregnancy, miscarriage, full-term birth, low birth weight, large for gestational age, and cesarean delivery. A generalized linear model (log-binomial) was used for each to compare outcomes across BMI groups using normal BMI (20–24.9 kg/m2) as the reference group. Risk ratios and 95% CIs were estimated for each category group relative to normal BMI. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE We identified 1121 cycles in which GCs underwent first embryo transfer, of which 263 (23.5%) were in GCs with BMI >30. Demographics and reproductive history for GCs did not differ by BMI groups. The age of intended parents, use of frozen eggs, and fresh embryo transfers were higher with increasing BMI group. There were no statistically significant associations between BMI and good perinatal outcomes, live birth, clinical pregnancy, biochemical, spontaneous abortion, or low birth weight. However, among live births, higher BMI was significantly associated with birth by cesarean (P  = 0.015) and large for gestational age infants (P  = 0.023). LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION This was a retrospective study, and there may be unmeasured confounders. The number of patients with BMI <20 or ≥35 was small, limiting the power for these groups. We were not able to assess all maternal and fetal outcomes. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS In this study, we did not identify any significant impact of BMI on the chances of having a good perinatal outcome. Prior research studies have been inconsistent and this is the largest study to date. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S) No external funding was received for this work. The authors do not have any conflicts of interest to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER N/A. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: We sought to determine if early placental size, as measured by 3-dimensional ultrasonography, is associated with an increased risk of delivering a macrosomic or large-for-gestational age (LGA) infant. Methods: We prospectively collected 3-dimensional ultrasound volume sets of singleton pregnancies at 11-14 weeks and 18-24 weeks. Birth weights were collected from the medical records. After delivery, the ultrasound volume set were used to measure the placental volume (PV) and placental quotient (PQ = PV/gestational age), as well as the mean placental and chorionic diameters (MPD and MCD, respectively). Placental measures were analyzed as predictors of macrosomia (birth weight ≥4000 g) and LGA (birth weight ≥90th percentile). Results: The 578 pregnancies with first trimester volumes included 44 (7.6%) macrosomic and 43 (7.4%) LGA infants. 373 subjects also had second trimester volumes available. A higher PV and PQ were both significantly associated with macrosomia and LGA in both the first and second trimesters. Second trimester MPD was significantly associated with both outcomes as well, while second trimester MCD was only associated with LGA. The above associations remained significant after adjusting for maternal demographic variables such as race, ethnicity, age and diabetes. Adjusted models yielded moderate prediction of macrosomia and LGA (AUC: 0.71-0.77). Conclusions: Sonographic measurement of the early placenta can identify pregnancies at greater risk of macrosomia and LGA. Macrosomia and LGA are already determined in part by early placental growth and development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective Reproductive hormone levels are associated with body size, and the association between estradiol and body size varies over the menopausal transition. This study aims to delineate these relationships using quantitative measures of visceral and subcutaneous fat. Methods Early follicular hormones (follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), estradiol, luteinizing hormone, dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate, testosterone) and T-1 weighted abdominal MRI images were obtained in a cross-sectional assessment of 77 women in the Penn Ovarian Aging Study. Fat volume (cm3) was quantified using validated software (Amira) and divided into tertiles of visceral and subcutaneous fat volume for analysis. Multivariable linear regression models compared hormone values between tertiles adjusting for race, age, and menopausal status. Results In adjusted models, estradiol was positively associated with visceral fat tertiles (geometric mean (GM) estradiol (pg/ml): Low 13.0, Mid 17.5, High 26.7, p = 0.006) while FSH was inversely associated with visceral fat tertiles (GM FSH (mIU/ml): Low 42.8, Mid 43.2, High 30.8, p = 0.03). The association of estradiol with visceral and subcutaneous fat tertiles varied by menopausal status ( p < 0.001). In the early transition, estradiol was similar across tertiles of fat; postmenopause, estradiol was positively associated with visceral fat. Other hormones were not associated with fat measures. Conclusions Estradiol was associated with quantitative measures of visceral fat and varies by menopausal status. This finding suggests that visceral fat may be an important mediator in hormone changes over the menopausal transition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A section of 11 abstracts on dermatology, ophthalmology, surgery, neurology, general psychiatry, internal medicine, head and neck surgery, pediatrics and adolescent medicine, and facial plastic surgery are presented. Abstracts include "Indoor Tanning Attitudes and Practices of US Dermatologists Compared With Other Medical Specialists," "Protracted Ictal Confusion in Elderly Patients," and "Adoption of Patient-Centered Care Practices by Physicians: Results From a National Survey."

Objective: To determine the incidence of and risk factors for dose-limiting chemotherapy induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN) in non-metastatic breast cancer. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 488 women with an adjuvant or neoadjuvant treatment plan with docetaxel or paclitaxel from June 1, 2009 to December 31, 2011. Exclusion criteria were: metastatic disease, previous neurotoxic chemotherapy, preexisting neuropathy, pregnant or within 3 months post-partum, and prosthetic limb. The primary outcome was dose-limiting CIPN, defined as a treatment modification event (dose delay, dose reduction, or treatment discontinuation) attributed to CIPN. The primary risk factor of interest was obesity (BMI 30). Covariates included race, age, menopausal status, diabetes, and other comorbidities, node status, tumor size, regimen, and oncologist. With 80% power and 0.05 type I error rate, the study could detect a risk ratio of 1.8 in the obese versus non-obese. Results: Fifty (10.2%) women had a treatment modification event attributed to CIPN (TMCIPN). TM-CIPN incidence differed significantly by agent (docetaxel = 2.4% (N = 5/209), paclitaxel=16.1% (N = 45/279); p < 0.001). In analyses restricted to patients treated with paclitaxel with complete covariate data (N = 273), the odds of TM-CIPN did not differ by obesity, OR = 1.17 (95% CI 0.59-2.35). After adjusting for black race, menopausal status, disease severity, and type II diabetes the TM-CIPN and obesity association was attenuated. The attenuation occurred after adjustment for black race, which was a confounder of the obesity and TM-CIPN relationship, and associated with obesity (OR = 3.78, p = <0.001). Post-menopausal status, disease severity, and type II diabetes were associated with obesity, but were not confounders. Compared to whites, and after controlling for disease severity, menopausal status, and oncologist, blacks and other nonwhites had significantly increased odds of CIPN-TM (OR = 2.5, p < 0.02; OR = 4.8, p < 0.01; respectively). Tests of homogeneity indicated the race and TM-CIPN association was not modified by oncologist or disease severity. Conclusion: Obese and non-obese women have a comparable likelihood of having their treatment modified due to CIPN. Women of racial minorities had over 2-to 4-fold increased odds of TM-CIPN compared to white women. Investigations addressing the mechanistic explanations for this association are warranted. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article discusses the study that aims to determine whether the new onset depression is associated with menopausal transition and hormonal changes within individual women. Information on the design of the study, the setting and date the study was conducted, and the covered population were also provided.

The article presents information on a study on the frequency of abuse of boys in homes located in neighborhoods in which abuse of intimate partners and girls is common, and to see whether men who were abused as children have profiles of health and social problems known to occur frequently in men who abuse partners and children. Although abuse of intimate partners and girls gets much attention, boys also experience physical abuse in the home. Our understanding of abuse of boys is limited. In several surveys, 25% to 50% of men have reported physical abuse as children. The study found that one hundred of the 197 men (51%) studied had experienced physical abuse in the home when they were children, and 57 of them had experienced severe abuse.

The article discusses finding of a research which suggests that depression increases in women during early to late menopause but decreases after menopause. Although there is suggestive evidence from observational studies that oestrogen therapy improves mood and cognition, the clinical relevance of oestrogens is unproved. There are weak data that oestrogens might be considered for mild depressive symptoms attributed to hot flushes, sleep disorder or climacteric symptoms. No hard data exist to indicate whether oestrogens could be used as adjunctive therapy for other depressive disorders during the menopausal transition.

Many women experience pain during hysterosalpingogram (HSG). This prospective, randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled study assessed whether the use of benzocaine spray during HSG is associated with reduced pain as compared with placebo. Thirty women presenting for HSG were enrolled and randomized to either benzocaine or saline spray. Treatment groups were similar in age, race, parity, pre-procedure oral analgesic use and history of dysmenorrhoea and/or chronic pelvic pain. Median change in pain score from baseline to procedure was 50.6 mm (-7.4 to 98.8 mm) in the benzocaine group and 70.4 mm (19.8 to 100 mm) in the placebo group. There was no difference between groups after adjusting for history of dysmenorrhoea. There was no difference in resolution of pain in benzocaine versus placebo groups at 5 min post procedure - median pain score difference -11.1 (-90.1 to 18.5) versus - 37.0 ( -100 to 1.2) -- or at 30 min post procedure. Satisfaction scores did not differ by treatment and did not correlate with pain score during the procedure (rho = 0.005). The use of benzocaine spray does not significantly improve pain relief during HSG nor does it hasten resolution of pain post HSG. Of interest, patient satisfaction was not correlated with pain. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Context: Anti-Müllerian hormone based (AMH) age at menopause predictions remain cumbersome due to predictive inaccuracy., Objective: To perform an Individual Patient Data (IPD) meta-analysis, regarding AMH based menopause prediction., Data Sources: A systematic literature search was performed using PubMed, Embase and Cochrane databases., Study Selection: Prospective cohort studies regarding menopause prediction using serum AMH levels were selected by consensus discussion., Data Selection: Individual cases were included if experiencing a regular cycle at baseline. Exclusion criteria were hormone use and gynecological surgery., Data Synthesis: 2596 women were included, 1077 experienced menopause. A multivariable Cox regression analysis assessed time to menopause (TTM) using age and AMH. AMH predicted TTM, however, added value on top of age was poor (age alone C-statistic 84%; age + AMH HR 0.66 95% CI 0.61-0.71, C-statistic 86%). Moreover, the capacity of AMH to predict early (≤45 years) and late menopause (≥55 years) was assessed. An added effect of AMH was demonstrated for early menopause (age alone C-statistic 52%; age + AMH HR 0.33, 95% CI 0.24-0.45, C-statistic 80%). A Weibull regression model calculating individual age at menopause revealed that predictive inaccuracy remained present and increased with decreasing age at menopause. Lastly, a check of non-proportionality of the predictive effect of AMH demonstrated a reduced predictive effect with increasing age., Conclusion: AMH was a significant predictor of TTM and especially of time to early menopause. However, individual predictions of age at menopause demonstrated a limited precision, particularly when concerning early age at menopause, making clinical application troublesome.

Antibiotics are commonly used in animal agriculture; they can improve animal health and productivity, but their use may also represent a public health threat. Very little is known about antibiotic use on small farms in lower/middle income countries. To understand antibiotic use on these farms and promote the judicious use of these drugs, pharmacoepidemiologic data are necessary. However, acquiring such data can be difficult, as farmers are often illiterate (and therefore cannot participate in written surveys or keep treatment records), antibiotics can be obtained over-the-counter (in which case no prescriptions are generated) and monitoring and surveillance systems for drug use are often non-existent. The goal of this study was to compare two methods of acquiring pharmacoepidemiologic data pertaining to antibiotics that are well-adapted to farms in lower-middle income countries: self-report and the collection of discarded drug packaging. A convenience sample of 20 farmers in Cajamarca, Peru, participated in the study. Farmers placed discarded antibiotic packaging in bins for six months. At the end of the six-month period, farmers were interviewed and asked to recall the antibiotic usage that occurred on their farm over the past month and past six months; these self-reported data were quantitatively and qualitatively compared to the bin contents collected in the last month and previous six months. We found that the agreement between the bins and self-report was relatively poor for both the quantity and types of antibiotics used. The bins appeared to perform better than self-report when bottles and mLs of antibiotics were measured, while self-report appeared to perform better for intra-mammary infusions. The bins also appeared to perform better when data pertaining to an extended time period (six months) were collected. The results of this study will provide guidance to investigators seeking to collect pharmacoepidemiologic data in similar environments., (Copyright © 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Study Question: Are there improvements in the accuracy of prediction of ectopic pregnancy (EP) in women with early symptomatic pregnancy using human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG) curves when clinicians consider visits beyond the first 48 h after initial presentation?, Summary Answer: Two hCG values, measured 48 h (2 days) apart, are often not sufficient to accurately predict the outcome of a woman with a pregnancy of unknown location (PUL), but adding a third visit on Day 4 or 7 significantly improved the prediction for 1 in 15 women., What Is Known Already: The use of serial hCG values is commonly used to aid in the prediction of the final diagnosis in women with a PUL. Initial outcome predictions based on two hCG values may often be incorrect., Study Design, Size, Duration: This retrospective multicenter cohort study included 646 women with a PUL, recruited over 2 years. Of these women, 146 were ultimately diagnosed with EP., Participants/materials, Setting, Methods: Women presenting to the emergency room with first trimester pain or bleeding, with a PUL, at least 2 hCG values and a definitive final diagnosis from the University of Pennsylvania, University of Miami and University of Southern California, were recruited from 2007 to 2009., Main Results and the Role of Chance: Using currently recommended prediction rules, adding a third hCG evaluation on Day 4 after initial presentation significantly improved the accuracy of initial prediction from the first two values (48 h apart, or Day 2) by 9.3% (P = 0.015). Adding a third value on Day 7 improved prediction significantly by 6.7% (P = 0.031), compared with prediction based on first two values. The improvement in prediction by assessing four hCG values (Days 0, 2, 4 and 7) compared with three values (Days 0, 2 and 4) was 1.3% and not statistically significant., Limitations, Reasons for Caution: Missing data imputation likely biased results toward the null; predicted outcomes may not match those made by clinicians; and the study does not predict intrauterine pregnancy and spontaneous miscarriage separately., Wider Implications of the Findings: This study provides useful information for the prediction of outcomes for women with a symptomatic first trimester pregnancy of unknown location, but may not be generalizable to all pregnant women., Study Funding/competing Interest(s): Supported by NIH grant numbers R01-HD036455 to Dr Barnhart and Dr Sammel, K24HD060687 to Dr Barnhart, and 5T32MH065218 to Ms. Zee. The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.

Very little is known about the use of antibiotics on small dairy farms in lower/middle-income countries. The use of these drugs can have profound impacts on animal health, farmer income and public health. A survey of 156 farmers was conducted in Cajamarca, a major dairy-producing center in the highlands of Peru characterized by small farms (<15 cows) to assess patterns and determinants of antibiotic use and farmers' knowledge of antibiotics. The reported incidence of disease on these farms was relatively low (0.571 episodes of disease per cow-year), but more than 83% of the reported episodes were treated with antibiotics. The most commonly used antibiotics were oxytetracycline, penicillin and trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole drugs; antiparasitic drugs were also used to treat what were likely bacterial infections. An increased incidence of treated disease was significantly associated with smaller farm size, lower farmer income, the previous use of the Californian Mastitis test on the farm and antibiotic knowledge. Farmers' knowledge of antibiotics was assessed with a series of questions on antibiotics, resulting in a "knowledge score". Increased knowledge was significantly associated with the use of antibiotics for preventative reasons, the purchase of antibiotics from feed-stores, the experience of complications in animals after having administered antibiotics, the number of workers on the farm and the educational level of the farmer. Overall, antibiotics appeared to be used infrequently, most likely because therapeutic interventions were sought only when the animal had reached an advanced stage of clinical disease. Few farmers were able to define an antibiotic, but many farmers understood that the use of antibiotics carried inherent risks to their animals and potentially to the consumers of dairy products from treated animals. The results of this study are useful for understanding the patterns of antibiotic use and associated management, demographic and knowledge factors of farmers on small dairy farms in rural Peru., (Copyright © 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

The use of antibiotics in livestock can pose a public health threat, especially if antibiotic residues remain in the food product. Understanding how often and why farmers sell products with antibiotic residues is critical to improving the quality of these products. To understand how often milk with antibiotic residues is sold on small farms in a major dairy-producing region of Peru and identify factors associated with selling milk with antibiotic residues, we tested milk samples for antibiotic residues from every provider on three routes of commercial milk companies and from bulk tanks of farmers currently treating cows with antibiotics. We also asked farmers if they sold milk from treated cows and examined factors associated with the tendency to do so. The prevalence of milk contamination with antibiotic residues on commercial routes was low (0-4.2%); however, 33/36 farmers treating their animals with antibiotics sold milk that tested positive for antibiotic residues. The self-reported sale of milk from treated cows had a sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of 75.8%, 100%, 100% and 27.2%, respectively (with testing of milk for residues as the gold standard). Finally, 69/156 randomly selected farmers reported selling milk from treated cows, and farmers' knowledge of antibiotics and the milk purchaser were significantly associated with a farmer's tendency to report doing so. Educating farmers on the risks associated with antibiotics and enforcement of penalties for selling contaminated milk by milk companies are needed to improve milk quality.

Background: We demonstrated recently that adeno-associated virus-2 (AAV-2) DNA was detected significantly more frequently in placental trophoblast cells from cases of severe pre-eclampsia than from normal term deliveries. Here, we sought to determine if maternal AAV-2 infection early in pregnancy preceded adverse outcomes resulting from placental dysfunction., Methods: We collected first trimester maternal serum samples and compared anti-AAV-2 IgM antibody levels (indicating primary infection or reactivation of latent AAV-2) between controls delivered at term (n = 106) and three groups of cases: spontaneous abortions (n = 34), spontaneous preterm deliveries (n = 24) and women with at least one outcome usually attributed to placental dysfunction, including pre-eclampsia, intrauterine growth restriction (IUGR) or stillbirth (n = 20). The seroprevalence of immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies against AAV-2 and IgM antibodies against viruses that promote AAV-2 replication [adenovirus and cytomegalovirus (CMV)] were also determined., Results: First trimester maternal IgM seropositivity was 5.6 times more prevalent among pre-eclampsia/IUGR/stillbirth cases (P = 0.0004) and 7.6 times more prevalent among preterm deliveries (P < 0.0001) than among controls. CMV and adenovirus IgM antibodies and chronic AAV-2 infections (IgG seropositivity) were not associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes., Conclusions: Primary or reactivated AAV-2 infection (maternal IgM seropositivity) early in pregnancy was associated with adverse reproductive outcomes associated with placental dysfunction, including pre-eclampsia, stillbirth and spontaneous preterm delivery.

Objective: (1) Characterize the relationship between follicular phase hormone levels and menstrual bleeding patterns in the approach to menopause; (2) identify racial differences in hormone levels; (3) determine independent contributions of menstrual status, race, age, BMI, and smoking to hormone levels., Design: Randomly identified, population-based cohort, stratified to obtain equal numbers of African American and Caucasian women, prospectively followed for 5 years., Setting: Women in Philadelphia County, PA, identified by random-digit telephone dialing., Participant(s): Women aged 35 to 47 years with regular menstrual cycles at enrollment (N = 436)., Data Collection: Blood sampling twice in each of 7 assessment periods during days 1-6 of the cycle, menstrual dates identified through structured interview and daily symptom reports, anthropometric measures and standardized questionnaires at each assessment period., Main Outcome Measure(s): Serum levels of follicular E(2), FSH, inhibin B, and LH., Result(s): The mean levels of E(2), FSH, inhibin B, and LH were differentially associated with the 5 menstrual status groups defined by changes in bleeding patterns. Significant changes in hormone levels occurred prior to missed menstrual cycles for inhibin B, FSH, and LH. All hormones had a highly significant interaction between menstrual status and BMI. African American women had significantly lower levels of E(2) and LH compared to Caucasian women in univariate analyses. The interaction of race, menstrual status, and BMI was highly significant (P<.001) for E(2), with African American women having lower E(2) levels until postmenopause, when E(2) levels were higher in AA women with BMI > or =25 and BMI > or =30., Conclusion(s): Levels of E(2), FSH, LH, and inhibin B are significantly associated with menstrual bleeding patterns in late reproductive age women and differentiate the earliest stages of the menopausal transition. Racial differences in mean levels of E(2) appear strongly mediated by BMI.

Objective: This study was undertaken to determine whether matrix metalloproteinase-8, which is produced by neutrophils, is a useful marker for the detection of intra-amniotic infection., Study Design: We performed a case-control study using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays to detect matrix metalloproteinase-8 in 77 amniotic fluid specimens that were obtained by amniocentesis from women with preterm contractions or preterm labor and intact fetal membranes (n = 66) and from women with preterm premature rupture of membranes (n = 11)., Results: Thirty women had culture-proven intra-amniotic infection (cases), 21 of whom had intact membranes. After constructing receiver operating characteristic curves to establish the optimal threshold concentration of matrix metalloproteinase-8 for a positive test result, we detected matrix metalloproteinase-8 in 27 of 30 women with intra-amniotic infection; only 10 of 47 control specimens contained matrix metalloproteinase-8 (P <.001; odds ratio, 33.3; 95% CI, 8.4, 132.7). Matrix metalloproteinase-8 was present in 20 of 21 women with intact membranes and intra-amniotic infection and in only 10 of 45 control subjects (P <.001; odds ratio, 70.0; 95% CI, 8.3, 587.6). Among women with intact membranes, the sensitivity of the assay was 0.95 and the specificity was 0.78., Conclusion: Our results indicate that matrix metalloproteinase-8 is highly correlated with intra-amniotic infection and that enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay for matrix metalloproteinase-8 may be a clinically useful test for the diagnosis of intra-amniotic infection in women with preterm contractions and preterm labor.

Context: A large body of evidence documents the role of phytoestrogens in influencing hormone-dependent states. Infants fed soy formula receive high levels of phytoestrogens, in the form of soy isoflavones, during a stage of development at which permanent effects are theoretically possible. However, a paucity of data exists on the long-term effects of infant soy formulas., Objective: To examine the association between infant exposure to soy formula and health in young adulthood, with an emphasis on reproductive health., Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study conducted from March to August 1999 among adults aged 20 to 34 years who, as infants, participated during 1965-1978 in controlled feeding studies conducted at the University of Iowa, Iowa City (248 were fed soy formula and 563 were fed cow milk formula during infancy)., Main Outcome Measures: Self-reported pubertal maturation, menstrual and reproductive history, height and usual weight, and current health, compared based on type of formula exposure during infancy., Results: No statistically significant differences were observed between groups in either women or men for more than 30 outcomes. However, women who had been fed soy formula reported slightly longer duration of menstrual bleeding (adjusted mean difference, 0.37 days; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.06-0.68), with no difference in severity of menstrual flow. They also reported greater discomfort with menstruation (unadjusted relative risk for extreme discomfort vs no or mild pain, 1.77; 95% CI, 1.04-3.00)., Conclusions: Exposure to soy formula does not appear to lead to different general health or reproductive outcomes than exposure to cow milk formula. Although the few positive findings should be explored in future studies, our findings are reassuring about the safety of infant soy formula.

Hot flashes are a primary reason that midlife women seek medical care, but there is little information about the onset or the predictors of hot flashes in the years before the menopause. This study examines women's experience of hot flashes in the late reproductive years, comparing African American and Caucasian women, and identifies hormonal, behavioral, and environmental risk factors for hot flashes associated with ovarian aging. Data are from a population-based prospective cohort study of ovarian aging in women who were ages 35--47, in general good health, and had regular menstrual cycles at study enrollment. Hot flashes were assessed by subject report in a structured interview at the first follow-up period and correlated highly with previous prospective daily ratings of hot flashes (p = 0.0001). Blood samples were obtained in the first 6 days of the menstrual cycle in two consecutive cycles at enrollment and two consecutive cycles at follow-up. Predictor variables include hormone measures, structured interview, and standard questionnaire data. Thirty-one percent of the sample (n = 375) reported hot flashes (mean age 41 years). In bivariate analysis, more African American than Caucasian women reported hot flashes (38% vs. 25%, p = 0.01). Significant predictors of hot flashes in the final multivariable logistic regression model were higher follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) levels (odds ratio [OR] 3.19), anxiety (OR 1.06), baseline menopausal symptoms (OR 4.91), alcohol use (OR 1.09), body mass index (BMI) (OR 1.04), and parity (OR 1.20). Race did not predict hot flashes after adjusting for these variables. Hot flashes commonly occur before observable menstrual irregularities in the perimenopause and are associated with both hormonal and behavioral factors. The association of hot flashes with increased body mass (BMI) challenges the current "thin" hypothesis and raises important questions about the role of BMI in hormone dynamics in the late reproductive years.

The hypothesis tested was that digit anomalies among individuals exposed in utero to antiepileptic drugs (AED) are best identified by a systematic search, including radiographs and dermatoglyphics, rather than relying only on visual inspection. A systematic search was made for five types of digit abnormalities in 46 AED-exposed individuals ages 5-29 years in comparison with controls: visible anomalies, size of fingernails, dermal ridge patterns, length of metacarpals and phalanges, and qualitative changes in the distal phalanges. Among the AED-exposed, nail size was not decreased. However, there was a 10.8% frequency of digit anomalies, a 12% frequency of three or more arch patterns, and significant shortening and qualitative changes in the distal phalanges, all of which are consistent with the fetal effects of AED. Among the 42 individuals who underwent all evaluations, 14.3% had two or more of these abnormalities, most of which would not be identified by clinical inspection. This frequency is much higher in these AED-exposed individuals than in the general population. Radiographs in 13 individuals over a period of several years showed that the changes in the phalanges and metacarpals persisted., (Copyright 2000 Wiley-Liss, Inc.)

In the analysis of binary response data from many types of large studies, the data are likely to have arisen from multiple centers, resulting in a within-center correlation for the response. Such correlation, or clustering, occurs when outcomes within centers tend to be more similar to each other than to outcomes in other centers. In studies where there is also variability among centers with respect to the exposure of interest, analysis of the exposure-outcome association may be confounded, even after accounting for within-center correlations. We apply several analytic methods to compare the risk of major complications associated with two strategies, staged and combined procedures, for performing percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA), a mechanical means of relieving blockage of blood vessels due to atherosclerosis. Combined procedures are used in some centers as a cost-cutting strategy. We performed a number of population-averaged and cluster-specific (conditional) analyses, which (a) make no adjustments for center effects of any kind; (b) make adjustments for the effect of center on only the response; or (c) make adjustments for both the effect of center on the response and the relationship between center and exposure. The method used for this third approach decomposes the procedure type variable into within-center and among-center components, resulting in two odds ratio estimates. The naive analysis, ignoring clusters, gave a highly significant effect of procedure type (OR = 1.6). Population average models gave marginally to very nonsignificant estimates of the OR for treatment type ranging from 1.6 to 1.2 with adjustment only for the effect of centers on response. These results depended on the assumed correlation structure. Conditional (cluster-specific) models and other methods that decomposed the treatment type variable into among- and within-center components all found no within-center effect of procedure type (OR = 1.02, consistently) and a considerable among-center effect. This among-center variability in outcomes was related to the proportion of patients who receive combined procedures and was found even when conditioned on procedure type (within-center) and other patient- and center-level covariates. This example illustrates the importance of addressing the potential for center effects to confound an outcome-exposure association when average exposure varies across clusters. While conditional approaches provide estimates of the within-cluster effect, they do not provide information about among-center effects. We recommend using the decomposition approach, as it provides both types of estimates.

We discuss latent variable models that allow for fixed effect covariates, as well as covariates affecting the latent variable directly. Restricted maximum likelihood and maximum likelihood are used to estimate model parameters. A generalized likelihood ratio test can be used to test significance of the covariates effecting the latent outcomes. Special cases of the proposed model correspond to factor analysis, mixed models, random effects models, and simultaneous equations. The model is applied to birth defects data, where continuous data on the size of infants who were exposed to anticonvulsant medications in utero are compared to controls.