1. COVID-19 spread and inter-county travel: Daily evidence from the U.S.
- Author
-
Hakan Yilmazkuday
- Subjects
COVID-19 ,Coronavirus ,Same-County Stayers ,County-level investigation ,The U.S ,Transportation and communications ,HE1-9990 - Abstract
Daily data at the U.S. county level suggest that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases and deaths are lower in counties where a higher share of people have stayed in the same county (or travelled less to other counties). This observation is tested formally by using a difference-in-difference design controlling for county-fixed effects and time-fixed effects, where weekly changes in COVID-19 cases or deaths are regressed on weekly changes in the share of people who have stayed in the same county during the previous 14 days. A counterfactual analysis based on the formal estimation results suggests that staying in the same county has the potential of reducing total weekly COVID-19 cases and deaths in the U.S. as much as by 139,503 and by 23,445, respectively.
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF