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Abstract Since 2021, the emergence of variants of concern (VOC) has led Brazil to experience record numbers of in COVID-19 cases and deaths. The expanded spread of the SARS-CoV-2 combined with a low vaccination rate has contributed to the emergence of new mutations that may enhance viral fitness, leading to the persistence of the disease. Due to limitations in the real-time genomic monitoring of new variants in some Brazilian states, we aimed to investigate whether genomic surveillance, coupled with epidemiological data and SARS-CoV-2 variants spatiotemporal spread in a smaller region, can reflect the pandemic progression at a national level. Our findings revealed three SARS-CoV-2 variant replacements from 2021 to early 2022, corresponding to the introduction and increase in the frequency of Gamma, Delta, and Omicron variants, as indicated by peaks of the Effective Reproductive Number (Reff). These distinct clade replacements triggered two waves of COVID-19 cases, influenced by the increasing vaccine uptake over time. Our results indicated that the effectiveness of vaccination in preventing new cases during the Delta and Omicron circulations was six and eleven times higher, respectively, than during the period when Gamma was predominant, and it was highly efficient in reducing the number of deaths. Furthermore, we demonstrated that genomic monitoring at a local level can reflect the national trends in the spread and evolution of SARS-CoV-2.

BACKGROUND: It is unclear whether genetic variants affecting vitamin D metabolism are associated with melanoma prognosis. Two functional missense variants in the vitamin D-binding protein gene (GC), rs7041 and rs4588, determine 3 common haplotypes, Gc1s, Gc1f, and Gc2, of which Gc1f may be associated with decreased all-cause death among melanoma patients based on results of a prior study, but the association of Gc1f with melanoma-specific death is unclear. METHODS: We investigated the association of the Gc1s, Gc1f, and Gc2 haplotypes with melanoma-specific and all-cause death among 4490 individuals with incident, invasive primary melanoma in 2 population-based studies using multivariable Cox-proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: In the pooled analysis of both datasets, the patients with the Gc1f haplotype had a 37% lower risk of melanoma-specific death than the patients without Gc1f (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.47 to 0.83, P = .001), with adjustments for age, sex, study center, first- or higher-order primary melanoma, tumor site, pigmentary phenotypes, and Breslow thickness. Associations were similar in both studies. In pooled analyses stratified by Breslow thickness, the corresponding melanoma-specific death HRs for those patients with the Gc1f haplotype compared with those without Gc1f were 0.89 (95% CI = 0.63 to 1.27) among participants with tumor Breslow thickness equal to or less than 2.0 mm and 0.40 (95% CI = 0.25 to 0.63) among participants with tumor Breslow thickness greater than 2.0 mm (Pinteraction = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that individuals with the GC haplotype Gc1f may have a lower risk of dying from melanoma-specifically from thicker, higher-risk melanoma-than individuals without this Gc1f haplotype.

MDM2-SNP309 (rs2279744), a common genetic modifier of cancer incidence in Li-Fraumeni syndrome, modifies risk, age of onset, or prognosis in a variety of cancers. Melanoma incidence and outcomes vary by sex, and although SNP309 exerts an effect on the estrogen receptor, no consensus exists on its effect on melanoma. MDM2 and MDM4 restrain p53-mediated tumor suppression, independently or together. We investigated SNP309, an a priori MDM4-rs4245739, and two coinherited variants, in a population-based cohort of 3663 primary incident melanomas. Per-allele and per-haplotype (MDM2_SNP309-SNP285; MDM4_rs4245739-rs1563828) odds ratios (OR) for multiple-melanoma were estimated with logistic regression models. Hazard ratios (HR) for melanoma death were estimated with Cox proportional hazards models. In analyses adjusted for covariates, females carrying MDM4-rs4245739*C were more likely to develop multiple melanomas (ORper-allele = 1.25, 95% CI 1.03-1.51, and Ptrend = 0.03), while MDM2-rs2279744*G was inversely associated with melanoma-death (HRper-allele = 0.63, 95% CI 0.42-0.95, and Ptrend = 0.03). We identified 16 coinherited expression quantitative loci that control the expression of MDM2, MDM4, and other genes in the skin, brain, and lungs. Our results suggest that MDM4/MDM2 variants are associated with the development of subsequent primaries and with the death of melanoma in a sex-dependent manner. Further investigations of the complex MDM2/MDM4 motif, and its contribution to the tumor microenvironment and observed associations, are warranted.