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The STREAM stage 2 trial assessed two bedaquiline-containing regimens for rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis: a 9-month all-oral regimen and a 6-month regimen containing an injectable drug for the first 2 months. We did a within-trial economic evaluation of these regimens.STREAM stage 2 was an international, phase 3, non-inferiority randomised trial in which participants with rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis were randomly assigned (1:2:2:2) to the 2011 WHO regimen (terminated early), a 9-month injectable-containing regimen (control regimen), a 9-month all-oral regimen with bedaquiline (oral regimen), or a 6-month regimen with bedaquiline and an injectable for the first 2 months (6-month regimen). We prospectively collected direct and indirect costs and health-related quality of life data from trial participants until week 76 of follow-up. Cost-effectiveness of the oral and 6-month regimens versus control was estimated in four countries (oral regimen) and two countries (6-month regimen), using health-related quality of life for cost-utility analysis and trial efficacy for cost-effectiveness analysis. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN18148631.300 participants were included in the economic analyses (Ethiopia, 61; India, 142; Moldova, 51; Uganda, 46). In the cost-utility analysis, the oral regimen was not cost-effective in Ethiopia, India, Moldova, and Uganda from either a provider or societal perspective. In Moldova, the oral regimen was dominant from a societal perspective. In the cost-effectiveness analysis, the oral regimen was likely to be cost-effective from a provider perspective at willingness-to-pay thresholds per additional favourable outcome of more than US$4500 in Ethiopia, $1900 in India, $3950 in Moldova, and $7900 in Uganda, and from a societal perspective at thresholds of more than $15 900 in Ethiopia, $3150 in India, and $4350 in Uganda, while in Moldova the oral regimen was dominant. In Ethiopia and India, the 6-month regimen would cost tuberculosis programmes and participants less than the control regimen and was highly likely to be cost-effective in both cost-utility analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis. Reducing the bedaquiline price from $1·81 to $1·00 per tablet made the oral regimen cost-effective in the provider-perspective cost-utility analysis in India and Moldova and dominate over the control regimen in the provider-perspective cost-effectiveness analysis in India.At current costs, the oral bedaquiline-containing regimen for rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis is unlikely to be cost-effective in many low-income and middle-income countries. The 6-month regimen represents a cost-effective alternative if injectable use for 2 months is acceptable.USAID and Janssen ResearchDevelopment.

The STREAM stage 1 trial showed that a 9-month regimen for the treatment of rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis was non-inferior to the 20-month 2011 WHO-recommended regimen. In STREAM stage 2, we aimed to compare two bedaquiline-containing regimens with the 9-month STREAM stage 1 regimen.We did a randomised, phase 3, non-inferiority trial in 13 hospital clinics in seven countries, in individuals aged 15 years or older with rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis without fluoroquinolone or aminoglycoside resistance. Participants were randomly assigned 1:2:2:2 to the 2011 WHO regimen (terminated early), a 9-month control regimen, a 9-month oral regimen with bedaquiline (primary comparison), or a 6-month regimen with bedaquiline and 8 weeks of second-line injectable. Randomisations were stratified by site, HIV status, and CD4 count. Participants and clinicians were aware of treatment-group assignments, but laboratory staff were masked. The primary outcome was favourable status (negative cultures for Mycobacterium tuberculosis without a preceding unfavourable outcome) at 76 weeks; any death, bacteriological failure or recurrence, and major treatment change were considered unfavourable outcomes. All comparisons used groups of participants randomly assigned concurrently. For non-inferiority to be shown, the upper boundary of the 95% CI should be less than 10% in both modified intention-to-treat (mITT) and per-protocol analyses, with prespecified tests for superiority done if non-inferiority was shown. This trial is registered with ISRCTN, ISRCTN18148631.Between March 28, 2016, and Jan 28, 2020, 1436 participants were screened and 588 were randomly assigned. Of 517 participants in the mITT population, 133 (71%) of 187 on the control regimen and 162 (83%) of 196 on the oral regimen had a favourable outcome: a difference of 11·0% (95% CI 2·9-19·0), adjusted for HIV status and randomisation protocol (p0·0001 for non-inferiority). By 76 weeks, 108 (53%) of 202 participants on the control regimen and 106 (50%) of 211 allocated to the oral regimen had an adverse event of grade 3 or 4; five (2%) participants on the control regimen and seven (3%) on the oral regimen had died. Hearing loss (Brock grade 3 or 4) was more frequent in participants on the control regimen than in those on the oral regimen (18 [9%] vs four [2%], p=0·0015). Of 134 participants in the mITT population who were allocated to the 6-month regimen, 122 (91%) had a favourable outcome compared with 87 (69%) of 127 participants randomly assigned concurrently to the control regimen (adjusted difference 22·2%, 95% CI 13·1-31·2); six (4%) of 143 participants on the 6-month regimen had grade 3 or 4 hearing loss.Both bedaquiline-containing regimens, a 9-month oral regimen and a 6-month regimen with 8 weeks of second-line injectable, had superior efficacy compared with a 9-month injectable-containing regimen, with fewer cases of hearing loss.USAID and Janssen ResearchDevelopment.

International audience; Background: Global HIV-1 genetic diversity and evolution form a major challenge to treatment and prevention efforts. An increasing number of distinct HIV-1 recombinants have been identified worldwide, but their contribution to the global epidemic is unknown. We aimed to estimate the global and regional distribution of HIV-1 recombinant forms during 1990-2015.Methods: We assembled a global HIV-1 molecular epidemiology database through a systematic literature review and a global survey. We searched the PubMed, Embase (Ovid), CINAHL (Ebscohost), and Global Health (Ovid) databases for HIV-1 subtyping studies published from Jan 1, 1990, to Dec 31, 2015. Unpublished original HIV-1 subtyping data were collected through a survey among experts in the field who were members of the WHO-UNAIDS Network for HIV Isolation and Characterisation. We included prevalence studies with HIV-1 subtyping data collected during 1990-2015. Countries were grouped into 14 regions and analyses were done for four time periods (1990-99, 2000-04, 2005-09, and 2010-15). The distribution of circulating recombinant forms (CRFs) and unique recombinant forms (URFs) in individual countries was weighted according to the UNAIDS estimates of the number of people living with HIV in each country to generate regional and global estimates of numbers and proportions of HIV-1 recombinants in each time period. The systematic review is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42017067164.Findings: Our global data collection yielded an HIV-1 molecular epidemiology database of 383 519 samples from 116 countries in 1990-2015. We found that the proportion of recombinants increased over time, both globally and in most regions, reaching 22·8% (7 978 517 of 34 921 639) of global HIV-1 infections in 2010-15. Both the proportion and the number of distinct CRFs detected increased over time to 16·7% and 57 CRFs in 2010-15. The global and regional distribution of HIV-1 recombinants was diverse and evolved over time, and we found large regional variation in the numbers (0-44 CRFs), types (58 distinct CRFs), and proportions (0-80·5%) of HIV-1 recombinants. Globally, CRF02_AG was the most prevalent recombinant, accounting for 33·9% (2 701 364 of 7 978 517) of all recombinant infections in 2010-15. URFs accounted for 26·7% (2 131 450 of 7 978 517), CRF01_AE for 23·0% (1 838 433), and other CRFs for 16·4% (1 307 270) of all recombinant infections in 2010-15. Although other CRFs accounted for small proportions of infections globally (

ObjectiveTo describe content domains and applications of the IeDEA Data Exchange Standard, its development history, governance structure, and relationships to other established data models, as well as to share open source, reusable, scalable, and adaptable implementation tools with the informatics community.MethodsIn 2012, the International Epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) collaboration began development of a data exchange standard, the IeDEA DES, to support collaborative global HIV epidemiology research. With the HIV Cohorts Data Exchange Protocol as a template, a global group of data managers, statisticians, clinicians, informaticians, and epidemiologists reviewed existing data schemas and clinic data procedures to develop the HIV data exchange model. The model received a substantial update in 2017, with annual updates thereafter.FindingsThe resulting IeDEA DES is a patient-centric common data model designed for HIV research that has been informed by established data models from US-based electronic health records, broad experience in data collection in resource-limited settings, and informatics best practices. The IeDEA DES is inherently flexible and continues to grow based on the ongoing stewardship of the IeDEA Data Harmonization Working Group with input from external collaborators. Use of the IeDEA DES has improved multiregional collaboration within and beyond IeDEA, expediting over 95 multiregional research projects using data from more than 400 HIV care and treatment sites across seven global regions. A detailed data model specification and REDCap data entry templates that implement the IeDEA DES are publicly available on GitHub.ConclusionsThe IeDEA common data model and related resources are powerful tools to foster collaboration and accelerate science across research networks. While currently directed towards observational HIV research and data from resource-limited settings, this model is flexible and extendable to other areas of health research.HighlightsThe IeDEA Data Exchange Standard is a data model for HIV epidemiology research.The model has expedited 95 projects using data from >400 HIV clinics worldwide.A browsable and adaptable version and data collection templates are available online.

BACKGROUND Estimates of incidence of switching to second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) among children with HIV are necessary to inform the need for paediatric second-line formulations. We aimed to quantify the cumulative incidence of switching to second-line ART among children in an international cohort collaboration. METHODS In this international cohort collaboration study, we pooled individual patient-level data for children younger than 18 years who initiated ART (two or more nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitors [NRTI] plus a non-NRTI [NNRTI] or boosted protease inhibitor) between 1993 and 2015 from 12 observational cohort networks in the Collaborative Initiative for Paediatric HIV Education and Research (CIPHER) Global Cohort Collaboration. Patients who were reported to be horizontally infected with HIV and those who were enrolled in trials of treatment monitoring, switching, or interruption strategies were excluded. Switch to second-line ART was defined as change of one or more NRTI plus either change in drug class (NNRTI to protease inhibitor or vice versa) or protease inhibitor change, change from single to dual protease inhibitor, or addition of a new drug class. We used cumulative incidence curves to assess time to switching, and multivariable proportional hazards models to explore patient-level and cohort-level factors associated with switching, with death and loss to follow-up as competing risks. FINDINGS At the data cutoff of Sept 16, 2015, 182 747 children with HIV were included in the CIPHER dataset, of whom 93 351 were eligible, with 83 984 (90·0%) from sub-Saharan Africa. At ART initiation, the median patient age was 3·9 years (IQR 1·6-6·9) and 82 885 (88·8%) patients initiated NNRTI-based and 10 466 (11·2%) initiated protease inhibitor-based regimens. Median duration of follow-up after ART initiation was 26 months (IQR 9-52). 3883 (4·2%) patients switched to second-line ART after a median of 35 months (IQR 20-57) of ART. The cumulative incidence of switching at 3 years was 3·1% (95% CI 3·0-3·2), but this estimate varied widely depending on the cohort monitoring strategy, from 6·8% (6·5-7·2) in settings with routine monitoring of CD4 (CD4% or CD4 count) and viral load to 0·8% (0·6-1·0) in settings with clinical only monitoring. In multivariable analyses, patient-level factors associated with an increased likelihood of switching were male sex, older age at ART initiation, and initial NNRTI-based regimen (p

Background: Globally, the population of adolescents living with perinatally acquired HIV (APHs) continues to expand. In this study, we pooled data from observational pediatric HIV cohorts and cohort networks, allowing comparisons of adolescents with perinatally acquired HIV in “real-life” settings across multiple regions. We describe the geographic and temporal characteristics and mortality outcomes of APHs across multiple regions, including South America and the Caribbean, North America, Europe, sub-Saharan Africa, and South and Southeast Asia. Methods and findings: Through the Collaborative Initiative for Paediatric HIV Education and Research (CIPHER), individual retrospective longitudinal data from 12 cohort networks were pooled. All children infected with HIV who entered care before age 10 years, were not known to have horizontally acquired HIV, and were followed up beyond age 10 years were included in this analysis conducted from May 2016 to January 2017. Our primary analysis describes patient and treatment characteristics of APHs at key time points, including first HIV-associated clinic visit, antiretroviral therapy (ART) start, age 10 years, and last visit, and compares these characteristics by geographic region, country income group (CIG), and birth period. Our secondary analysis describes mortality, transfer out, and lost to follow-up (LTFU) as outcomes at age 15 years, using competing risk analysis. Among the 38,187 APHs included, 51% were female, 79% were from sub-Saharan Africa and 65% lived in low-income countries. APHs from 51 countries were included (Europe: 14 countries and 3,054 APHs; North America: 1 country and 1,032 APHs; South America and the Caribbean: 4 countries and 903 APHs; South and Southeast Asia: 7 countries and 2,902 APHs; sub-Saharan Africa, 25 countries and 30,296 APHs). Observation started as early as 1982 in Europe and 1996 in sub-Saharan Africa, and continued until at least 2014 in all regions. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) duration of adolescent follow-up was 3.1 (1.5–5.2) years for the total cohort and 6.4 (3.6–8.0) years in Europe, 3.7 (2.0–5.4) years in North America, 2.5 (1.2–4.4) years in South and Southeast Asia, 5.0 (2.7–7.5) years in South America and the Caribbean, and 2.1 (0.9–3.8) years in sub-Saharan Africa. Median (IQR) age at first visit differed substantially by region, ranging from 0.7 (0.3–2.1) years in North America to 7.1 (5.3–8.6) years in sub-Saharan Africa. The median age at ART start varied from 0.9 (0.4–2.6) years in North America to 7.9 (6.0–9.3) years in sub-Saharan Africa. The cumulative incidence estimates (95% confidence interval [CI]) at age 15 years for mortality, transfers out, and LTFU for all APHs were 2.6% (2.4%–2.8%), 15.6% (15.1%–16.0%), and 11.3% (10.9%–11.8%), respectively. Mortality was lowest in Europe (0.8% [0.5%–1.1%]) and highest in South America and the Caribbean (4.4% [3.1%–6.1%]). However, LTFU was lowest in South America and the Caribbean (4.8% [3.4%–6.7%]) and highest in sub-Saharan Africa (13.2% [12.6%–13.7%]). Study limitations include the high LTFU rate in sub-Saharan Africa, which could have affected the comparison of mortality across regions; inclusion of data only for APHs receiving ART from some countries; and unavailability of data from high-burden countries such as Nigeria. Conclusion: To our knowledge, our study represents the largest multiregional epidemiological analysis of APHs. Despite probable under-ascertained mortality, mortality in APHs remains substantially higher in sub-Saharan Africa, South and Southeast Asia, and South America and the Caribbean than in Europe. Collaborations such as CIPHER enable us to monitor current global temporal trends in outcomes over time to inform appropriate policy responses., 0, SCOPUS: ar.j, info:eu-repo/semantics/published

Background Few low-income countries have virological monitoring widely available. We estimated the virological durability of first-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) after five years of follow-up among adult Ugandan and Zimbabwean patients in the DART study, in which virological assays were conducted retrospectively. Methods DART compared clinically driven monitoring with/without routine CD4 measurement. Annual plasma viral load was measured on 1,762 patients. Analytical weights were calculated based on the inverse probability of sampling. Time to virological failure, defined as the first viral load measurement ≥200 copies/mL after 48 weeks of ART, was analysed using Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox regression models. Results Overall, 65% of DART trial patients were female. Patients initiated first-line ART at a median (interquartile range; IQR) age of 37 (32–42) and with a median CD4 cell count of 86 (32–140). After 240 weeks of ART, patients initiating dual-class nucleoside reverse-transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) -non-nucleoside reverse-transcriptase (NNRTI) regimens containing nevirapine + zidovudine + lamivudine had a lower incidence of virological failure than patients on triple-NRTI regimens containing tenofovir + zidovudine + lamivudine (21% vs 40%; hazard ratio (HR) =0.48, 95% CI:0.38–0.62; p

Background: Lack of viral load monitoring of ART is known to be associated with slower switch from a failing regimen and thereby higher prevalence of MDR HIV-1. Many countries have continued to use thymidine analogue drugs despite recommendations to use tenofovir in combination with a cytosine analogue and NNRTI as first-line ART. The effect of accumulated thymidine analogue mutations (TAMs) on phenotypic resistance over time has been poorly characterized in the African setting. Patients and methods: A retrospective analysis of individuals with ongoing viral failure between weeks 48 and 96 in the NORA (Nevirapine OR Abacavir) study was conducted. We analysed 36 genotype pairs from weeks 48 and 96 of first-line ART (14 treated with zidovudine/lamivudine/nevirapine and 22 treated with zidovudine/lamivudine/abacavir). Phenotypic drug resistance was assessed using the Antivirogram assay (v. 2.5.01, Janssen Diagnostics). Results: At 96 weeks, extensive TAMs (≥3 mutations) were present in 50% and 73% of nevirapine- and abacavir-treated patients, respectively. The mean (SE) number of TAMs accumulating between week 48 and week 96 was 1.50 (0.37) in nevirapine-treated participants and 1.82 (0.26) in abacavir-treated participants. Overall, zidovudine susceptibility of viruses was reduced between week 48 [geometric mean fold change (FC) 1.3] and week 96 (3.4, P = 0.01). There was a small reduction in tenofovir susceptibility (FC 0.7 and 1.0, respectively, P = 0.18). Conclusions: Ongoing viral failure with zidovudine-containing first-line ART is associated with rapidly increasing drug resistance that could be mitigated with effective viral load monitoring.

SETTING: Centres participating in the Paediatric European Network for Treatment of AIDS (PENTA), including Thailand and Brazil. OBJECTIVE: To describe the incidence, presentation, treatment and treatment outcomes of tuberculosis (TB) in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected children. DESIGN: Observational study of TB diagnosed in HIV-infected children in 2011–2013. RESULTS: Of 4265 children aged

Objective The aim of the study was to evaluate the predictive value of clinical and molecular risk factors, including peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) and mitochondrial RNA (mtRNA), for the development of lactic acidosis (LA) and symptomatic hyperlactataemia (SHL). Methods In a substudy of a large multicentre, randomized trial of three antiretroviral regimens, all containing didanosine (ddI) and stavudine (d4T), in antiretroviral-naive, HIV-1-infected patients, patients with LA/SHL (‘cases’) were compared with those without LA/SHL in a univariate analysis, with significant parameters analysed in a multivariate model. In a molecular substudy, PBMC mtDNA and mtRNA from cases and matched controls at baseline and time of event were examined. Results In 911 subjects followed for a median of 192 weeks, 24 cases were identified (14 SHL and 10 LA). In univariate analysis, cases were more likely to be female (P=0.05) and to have a high body mass index (BMI) (P=0.02). In multivariate analyses, only BMI remained an independent predictor of the development of LA/SHL (P=0.03). Between cases and controls there was no significant difference in mtDNA copy number at baseline (389 vs. 411 copies/cell, respectively; P=0.60) or at time of event (329 vs. 474 copies/cell, respectively; P=0.21), in the change in mtDNA copy number from baseline to event (−65 vs. +113 copies/cell, respectively; P=0.12), in mtRNA expression at baseline or time of event, or in the change in mtRNA expression from baseline to event. Conclusion The development of LA/SHL was associated with increased BMI, but PBMC mtDNA and mtRNA did not predict LA/SHL. This demonstrates the ineffectiveness of routine measurement of PBMC mtDNA in patients on ddI and d4T as a means of predicting development of LA/SHL.

We investigated the effect of N348I alone and with M184V on nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI) drug susceptibility and replicative capacity in B and non-B HIV-1 isolates. N348I reduced the susceptibility to all NNRTI drugs across subtypes. The replication capacity of all viruses in a variety of cell lines was impaired by N348I. Interestingly, the N348I and M184V double mutation compensated for the reduced NNRTI drug susceptibility observed in the N348I single mutant and marginally improved viral replicative capacity.

Objectives: To describe the resistance mutations selected by a first-line regimen of zidovudine/lamivudine/tenofovir in the absence of real-time viral load monitoring. Design: A substudy of 300 participants from the Development of Antiretroviral Therapy in Africa trial in Uganda and Zimbabwe, which compared managing antiretroviral therapy with and without laboratory monitoring. Methods: Stored plasma samples from selected time points were assayed retrospectively for HIV-1 RNA. The pol gene in all baseline samples and those with HIV RNA >1000 copies per milliliter at weeks 24 and 48 were sequenced. Results: The proportion with HIV RNA >1000 copies per milliliter increased from 15% at 24 weeks to 24% at 48 weeks. Eighteen of 31 (58%) genotyped samples at 24 weeks had ≥1 major nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-associated mutations compared with 41 of 47 (87%) at 48 weeks. Excluding 1 nonadherent patient, a mean of 2.0 (95% confidence interval: 1.3 to 2.8) thymidine analogue mutations (TAMs) developed between weeks 24 and 48 among 14 patients with HIV RNA >1000 copies per milliliter at both time points. K65R was detected in 8 of 63 (13%) patients and was negatively associated with number of TAMs (P = 0.01) but not viral subtype (P = 0.30). Conclusions: A high rate of acquisition of TAMs, but not of K65R, among patients with prolonged viraemia was observed. However, most patients were virologically suppressed at 48 weeks, and long-term clinical and immunological outcomes in the Development of Antiretroviral Therapy in Africa trial were favorable.

Objective To evaluate whether the addition of a fourth drug for up to 32 weeks to a standard three-drug anti-retroviral combination decreases the risk of virological failure without increasing toxicity in treatment-naive patients. Design Induction/maintenance (IM) therapy [two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) + one non-NRTI (NNRTI) + one protease inhibitor for 24–32 weeks until plasma HIV RNA viral load (VL) ≤50 copies/ml then two NRTIs + NNRTI] was compared with standard therapy (ST) (two NRTIs + NNRTI). The primary endpoint was virological failure: VL >50 copies/ml at 32 (and 24) weeks or subsequent rebound to >400 copies/ml. Results 122 (62 IM, 60 ST) participants were randomized and followed for a median of 81 weeks (IQR 64–145). 52% were asymptomatic; median CD4+ T-cell count was 160x106/l (IQR 92-260) and median VL 98,830 copies/ml (IQR 37,500–241,290). In an intent-to-treat analysis, the proportion of participants with virological failure at or after 32 weeks was higher in the ST arm [26 (43%) versus 11 (18%), P=0.002]. The mean decrease in VL at 48 weeks was 0.84 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.15, 1.53) log10 copies/ml greater in the IM arm ( P=0.02). There were no significant differences between the two arms in the change in CD4+ T-cell count from baseline to 48 weeks, the number of participants with adverse events or the frequency of progression to AIDS/death. Drug resistance at failure was detected less frequently in the IM arm. Conclusions Starting antiretroviral therapy with an IM strategy improved virological outcomes compared with a three-drug regimen, without significantly increasing toxicity.

Summary Background Tuberculosis is the most common serious co-infection in people living with HIV worldwide, but little is known about its incidence in HIV-infected children living in high-resource settings with low tuberculosis prevalence. We aimed to assess the incidence and prevalence of tuberculosis in children with HIV living in the UK and Ireland to understand rates, risk factors, and outcomes of the disease in this group. Methods We did an analysis of children enrolled in CHIPS, an observational multicentre cohort of children receiving HIV care in the UK and Ireland. We assessed characteristics and prevalence of tuberculosis at baseline, measured incidence of disease through the follow-up period using the CHIPS database, and calculated associated risk factors in these children with multivariable logistic and Cox regression models. Findings Between Jan 1, 1996, to Sept 18, 2014, data for 1848 children with 14 761 years of follow-up were reported to CHIPS. 57 (3%) children were diagnosed with tuberculosis: 29 children had tuberculosis at presentation (prevalent tuberculosis) and 29 had the disease diagnosed during follow-up (incident tuberculosis), including one child with recurrent tuberculosis events. Median age at diagnosis was 9 years (IQR 5–12). 25 (43%) children had pulmonary tuberculosis, 24 (41%) had extrapulmonary tuberculosis with or without pulmonary involvement, and the remainder (n=9; 16%) had unspecified-site tuberculosis. The overall incidence rate for the follow-up period was 196 cases per 100 000 person-years (95% CI 137–283). In our multivariable model, tuberculosis at presentation was associated with more severe WHO immunological stage at baseline (odds ratio 0·25, 95% CI 0·08–0·74; p=0·0331; for none vs severe) and being born abroad (odds ratio 0·28, 0·10–0·73; p=0·0036; for UK and Ireland vs abroad). Incident tuberculosis was associated with time-updated more severe WHO immunological stage (hazard ratio 0·15, 95% CI 0·06–0·41; p=0·0056; for none vs severe) and older age at baseline (1·11, 0·47–2·63; p=0·0027; for age >10 years vs 5–9 years). Interpretation Tuberculosis rates in HIV-infected children in the UK and Ireland were higher than those reported in the general paediatric population. Further study is warranted of tuberculosis screening and preventive treatment for children at high-risk of this disease to avoid morbidity and mortality in this population. Funding NHS England, PENTA Foundation.

INITIO Trial International Co-ordinating Committee* Summary Background Antiretroviral therapy has greatly reduced HIV mortality and morbidity. However, the best sequence of regimens and implications of initial regimen for long-term therapeutic success are not well defi ned. Methods In INITIO, a large international randomised trial, we compared antiretroviral therapy with two nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors (didanosine+stavudine) plus either a non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (efavirenz, EFV) or a protease inhibitor (nelfi navir, NFV), or both (EFV/NFV), in patients with HIV-1 infection who had not previously received antiretroviral drugs. Primary outcomes were proportion with undetectable HIV RNA in plasma, and change in CD4 count from baseline at 3 years. Analyses were by intention-to-treat. This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN44582462. Findings We followed up 911 participants (297 EFV, 311 NFV, 303 EFV/NFV). At 3 years, the proportion with HIV RNA less than 50 copies per mL was highest in the EFV group (188 [74%] EFV, 162 [62%] NFV, 155 [62%] EFV/NFV; p=0·004). Mean (95% CI) increases in CD4 count were 316×10⁶ cells per L (288–343) for EFV, 289×10⁶ cells per L (262–316) for NFV, and 274×10⁶ cells per L (231–291) for EFV/NFV (p=0·1). Fewer participants in the EFV group than in the other groups stopped adequate antiretroviral therapy for more than 30 days (p=0·005). Participants in the EFV/NFV group had shorter time to stopping the initial regimen (p

Objectives To examine the generalizability of two large randomized controlled clinical trials of antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected individuals. Methods The demographic, clinical and laboratory characteristics of HIV-infected participants in two antiretroviral trials (Concorde and Delta) at three study sites were compared with those of two other groups of patients to whom the trial results would be applicable: eligible patients who were screened for the trials but who did not enrol, and eligible patients who were not approached or screened for the trials. Results Among enrolled participants in the Concorde and Delta trials there was an under-representation of patients who had acquired HIV infection heterosexually (P = 0.014) or through injecting drug use (P = 0.03), and a greater representation of homosexual men (P

We have developed a model to determine whether asymptomatic HIV-infected individuals who have a rapid CD4 cell decline are a subgroup who might benefit from early antiretroviral therapy. Data were obtained from a subgroup of participants in the Concorde and EACG020 trials, two randomized, double-blind, comparative trials of immediate (IMM) versus deferred (DEF) zidovudine therapy in asymptomatic HIV-infected individuals. The subgroup comprised 297 patients (IMM = 154, DEF = 143) who had at least one CD4 cell count before and after randomization. The median CD4 cell count at randomization was 491 x 10(6)/L, and the median follow-up was 61 months. The rate of CD4 decline before and after randomization was estimated using multi-level linear regression analysis, and patients were stratified into quartiles according to the rate of CD4 cell decline before randomization. Outcome measures were the development of AIDS, a 50% drop in CD4 count from the baseline, and death. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine whether the effect of zidovudine on disease progression varied according to the previous rate of CD4 decline. We found that a more rapid rate of CD4 decline before randomization was associated with a greater reduction in the rate of CD4 decline following IMM antiretroviral therapy (r = -0.5, P = 0.03). The greatest risk reduction in disease progression with IMM antiretroviral therapy was seen in the quartile of patients with the highest rate of CD4 decline (> or = 26 x 10(6) cells/L per 6 months) (hazards ratio (HR) = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.35-1.05). However, this effect was statistically significant in only the Concorde trial (HR = 0.48, 95% CI = 0.29-0.89). In contrast, we found no evidence in the EACG020 trial of any trend towards greater benefit in those with the most rapid CD4 cell decline. These findings suggest that asymptomatic patients with rapid CD4 cell decline are a subgroup likely to benefit from early antiretroviral therapy. This analytic approach should now be replicated in trials of combination therapy, and these should include viral load data.

We measured the effect(s) of CCR-5 genotype on disease progression by studying the frequency of a defective CCR-5 delta32 allele within a cohort of long-term infected individuals. An elevated frequency of CCR-5 delta32 heterozygotes within the cohort compared with a control population of blood donors was observed. An association between progression rate and CCR-5 delta32 heterozygosity was observed. Furthermore, analysis of proviral DNA V3 sequences from a subset of the cohort predicted that the majority of individuals (39 of 44) were infected with viruses predicted to utilize the beta-chemokine receptor CCR-5. The marked association between CCR-5 genotype and disease progression observed in this study may be a consequence of the predicted low frequency of CXCR-4-utilizing viruses present within the selected cohort.

The objectives of this study were to describe the clinical and radiological features at presentation, and the natural history of HIV-related bronchopulmonary Kaposi's sarcoma. A retrospective review of medical records and chest radiographs was performed in 106 HIV-infected homosexual men with bronchopulmonary Kaposi's sarcoma diagnosed at bronchoscopy between September 1988 and November 1994. The majority of patients had evidence of advanced HIV disease at diagnosis (median CD4 cell count was 15 x 10(6)/l, range 0-288), and 93% had had a diagnosis of cutaneous Kaposi's sarcoma for a median duration of 11 months prior to diagnosis of their bronchopulmonary disease. The most frequent symptoms at presentation were cough (92%), dyspnoea (69%), pleuritic pain (20%), haemoptysis (13%) and wheezing (10%). The most common radiological finding in 73% of our series was of poorly defined and confluent opacities, with predominant middle and lower zone involvement. Median survival was 4 months (range 0-37 months) from diagnosis and 9 months (range 1-25) from the onset of symptoms. Treatment with either chemotherapy or radiotherapy was associated with a significantly reduced risk of death (hazards ratio (HR)=0.48, 95% CI=0.26-0.87). Factors associated with a poor survival, after adjustment for treatment effect were older age (HR=1.79, 95% CI=1.22-2.84) for each 10-year increase in age; a history of pleuritic pain (HR=2.97, 95% CI=1.39-6.32); presence of pleural effusion on X-ray (HR=2.01, 95% CI=1.13-3.59) and a prior diagnosis of cutaneous Kaposi's sarcoma (HR=1.8, 95% CI=1.00, 3.24). Bronchopulmonary Kaposi's sarcoma occurs mainly in patients with advanced HIV disease and a prior history of cutaneous disease. Survival is poor, and adverse prognostic factors include older age at diagnosis and the presence of pleural disease.

BACKGROUND: In low-income countries, viral load (VL) monitoring of antiretroviral therapy (ART) is rarely available in the public sector for HIV-infected adults or children. Using clinical failure alone to identify first-line ART failure and trigger regimen switch may result in unnecessary use of costly second-line therapy. Our objective was to identify CD4 threshold values to confirm clinically-determined ART failure when VL is unavailable. METHODS: 3316 HIV-infected Ugandan/Zimbabwean adults were randomised to first-line ART with Clinically-Driven (CDM, CD4s measured but blinded) or routine Laboratory and Clinical Monitoring (LCM, 12-weekly CD4s) in the DART trial. CD4 at switch and ART failure criteria (new/recurrent WHO 4, single/multiple WHO 3 event; LCM: CD4

Context Therapies to decrease immune activation might be of benefit in slowing HIV disease progression. Objective To determine whether hydroxychloroquine decreases immune activation and slows CD4 cell decline. Design, Setting, and Patients Randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial performed at 10 HIV outpatient clinics in the United Kingdom between June 2008 and February 2011. The 83 patients enrolled had asymptomatic HIV infection, were not taking antiretroviral therapy, and had CD4 cell counts greater than 400 cells/μL. Intervention Hydroxychloroquine, 400 mg, or matching placebo once daily for 48 weeks. Main Outcome Measures The primary outcome measure was change in the proportion of activated CD8 cells (measured by the expression of CD38 and HLA-DR surface markers), with CD4 cell count and HIV viral load as secondary outcomes. Analysis was by intention to treat using mixed linear models. Results There was no significant difference in CD8 cell activation between the 2 groups (−4.8% and −4.2% in the hydroxychloroquine and placebo groups, respectively, at week 48; difference, −0.6%; 95% CI, −4.8% to 3.6%; P = .80). Decline in CD4 cell count was greater in the hydroxychloroquine than placebo group (−85 cells/μL vs −23 cells/μL at week 48; difference, −62 cells/μL; 95% CI, −115 to −8; P = .03). Viral load increased in the hydroxychloroquine group compared with placebo (0.61 log 10 copies/mL vs 0.23 log 10 copies/mL at week 48; difference, 0.38 log 10 copies/mL; 95% CI, 0.13 to 0.63; P = .003). Antiretroviral therapy was started in 9 patients in the hydroxychloroquine group and 1 in the placebo group. Trial medication was well tolerated, but more patients reported influenza-like illness in the hydroxychloroquine group compared with the placebo group (29% vs 10%; P = .03). Conclusion Among HIV-infected patients not taking antiretroviral therapy, the use of hydroxychloroquine compared with placebo did not reduce CD8 cell activation but did result in a greater decline in CD4 cell count and increased viral replication. Trial Registration isrctn.org Identifier: ISRCTN30019040

BACKGROUND: Guidance is needed on best medical management for advanced HIV disease with multidrug resistance (MDR) and limited retreatment options. We assessed two novel antiretroviral (ARV) treatment approaches in this setting. METHODS AND FINDINGS: We conducted a 2×2 factorial randomized open label controlled trial in patients with a CD4 count≤300 cells/µl who had ARV treatment (ART) failure requiring retreatment, to two options (a) re-treatment with either standard (≤4 ARVs) or intensive (≥5 ARVs) ART and b) either treatment starting immediately or after a 12-week monitored ART interruption. Primary outcome was time to developing a first AIDS-defining event (ADE) or death from any cause. Analysis was by intention to treat. From 2001 to 2006, 368 patients were randomized. At baseline, mean age was 48 years, 2% were women, median CD4 count was 106/µl, mean viral load was 4.74 log(10) copies/ml, and 59% had a prior AIDS diagnosis. Median follow-up was 4.0 years in 1249 person-years of observation. There were no statistically significant differences in the primary composite outcome of ADE or death between re-treatment options of standard versus intensive ART (hazard ratio 1.17; CI 0.86-1.59), or between immediate retreatment initiation versus interruption before re-treatment (hazard ratio 0.93; CI 0.68-1.30), or in the rate of non-HIV associated serious adverse events between re-treatment options. CONCLUSIONS: We did not observe clinical benefit or harm assessed by the primary outcome in this largest and longest trial exploring both ART interruption and intensification in advanced MDR HIV infection with poor retreatment options. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov NCT00050089.

BACKGROUND: We investigated virological response and the emergence of resistance in the Nevirapine or Abacavir (NORA) substudy of the Development of Antiretroviral Treatment in Africa (DART) trial. METHODS: Six hundred symptomatic antiretroviral-naive human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected adults (CD4 cell count, 1000 copies/mL, the residual activity of therapy was calculated as the reduction in HIV RNA level, compared with baseline. RESULTS: Overall, HIV RNA levels were lower in the nevirapine group than in the abacavir group at 24 and 48 weeks (P < .001), although no differences were observed at weeks 4 and 12. Virological responses were similar in the 2 treatment groups for baseline HIV RNA level

To assess whether trial participants who ceased efavirenz (EFV) because of neuropsychiatric events had elevated plasma concentrations, we performed a retrospective case-control study. EFV levels were measured by high-performance liquid chromatography in stored plasma from 35 cases and 75 matched controls. All had taken EFV for at least 4 weeks. Median EFV concentrations did not differ (P = 0.77). Measurement of EFV levels in plasma collected at variable times after the last dose did not predict central nervous system intolerance.

NYVAC-C (vP2010), a recombinant vector expressing HIV subtype C gag, pol, env and nef antigens, was tested in a phase I study in healthy, HIV negative volunteers in London and Lausanne. Twenty-four participants were randomised to receive NYVAC-C (20) or matching placebo (4) at weeks 0 and 4, and assessed for safety and immunogenicity over 48 weeks. There were no serious adverse events, and no clinical or laboratory abnormalities or other events that led to withdrawal, interruption or dose reduction of the NYVAC-C/placebo. Half of the 10 assessed responded in the ELISpot assay under stringent criteria, which informed the sample size for a DNA-NYVAC-C comparison to NYVAC-C alone.

The health-related quality of life (HRQoL) outcomes in HIV-infected, treatment-naive patients starting different HAART regimens in a 3-year, randomized, multinational trial were compared. HRQoL was measured in a subgroup of patients enrolled in the INITIO study (153/911), using a modified version of the MOS-HIV questionnaire. The regimens compared in the INITIO trial were composed by two NRTIs (didanosine + stavudine) plus either an NNRTI (efavirenz) or a PI (nelfinavir), or both (efavirenz + nelfinavir). Primary HRQoL outcomes were Physical and Mental Health Summary scores (PHS and MHS, respectively). During follow-up, an increase of PHS score was observed in all treatment arms. The MHS score remained substantially unchanged with the four-drug combination and showed with both NNRTI- and PI-based three-drug regimens a marked trend toward improvement, which became statistically significant when a multiple imputation method was used to adjust for missing data. Overall, starting all the combination regimens compared in the INITIO study was associated with a maintained or slightly improved HRQOL status, consistently with the positive immunological and virological changes observed in the main study. The observed differences in the MHS indicate a possible HRQoL benefit associated to the use of three-drug, two-class regimens and no additional benefit for the use of four-drug, three-class regimens, confirming that three-drug, two-class regimens that include two NRTIs plus either an NNRTI or a PI should be preferred as initial treatment of HIV infection.

To evaluate whether the addition of a fourth drug for up to 32 weeks to a standard three-drug antiretroviral combination decreases the risk of virological failure without increasing toxicity in treatment-naive patients.Induction/maintenance (IM) therapy [two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTIs) + one non-NRTI (NNRTI) + one protease inhibitor for 24-32 weeks until plasma HIV RNA viral load (VL)or =50 copies/ml then two NRTIs + NNRTI] was compared with standard therapy (ST) (two NRTIs + NNRTI). The primary endpoint was virological failure: VL50 copies/ml at 32 (and 24) weeks or subsequent rebound to400 copies/ml.122 (62 IM, 60 ST) participants were randomized and followed for a median of 81 weeks (IQR 64-145). 52% were asymptomatic; median CD4+ T-cell count was 160 x 10(6)/l (IQR 92-260) and median VL 98,830 copies/ml (IQR 37,500-241,290). In an intent-to-treat analysis, the proportion of participants with virological failure at or after 32 weeks was higher in the ST arm [26 (43%) versus 11 (18%), P = 0.002]. The mean decrease in VL at 48 weeks was 0.84 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.15, 1.53) log10 copies/ml greater in the IM arm (P = 0.02). There were no significant differences between the two arms in the change in CD4+ T-cell count from baseline to 48 weeks, the number of participants with adverse events or the frequency of progression to AIDS/death. Drug resistance at failure was detected less frequently in the IM arm.Starting antiretroviral therapy with an IM strategy improved virological outcomes compared with a three-drug regimen, without significantly increasing toxicity.

Background The long-term immunological benefit of protease inhibitor (PI)-sparing antiretroviral therapy (ART) using non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) remains poorly investigated. Methods A total of 120 ART-naive, HIV-1-infected participants were included in the immunology substudy of INITIO, an international randomized trial comparing two NRTIs (didanosine + stavudine) combined with either: one NNRTI (efavirenz; EFV), one non-boosted PI (nelfinavir; NFV), or one NNRTI + one PI (EFV/NFV). CD4+ T-cell counts, HIV-1 plasma RNA load (VL), T-cell pheno-type, T-cell proliferation and IFN-γ production against opportunistic/recall and HIV-1 antigens/peptides were compared at baseline and at week (W) 96 and W156. Results Participants (37 EFV, 44 NFV, 39 EFV/NFV) had similar baseline VL; median CD4+ T-cell counts/mm3 were: 144 (64–303) EFV, 212 (42–313) NFV and 257 (86–331) EFV/NFV. At W156, the proportion of patients with VL ≤50 copies/ml was not different between the arms ( P=0.3). From baseline to W156 there was a significant increase in CD4+ T-cell counts ( P+ T cells ( P+ T cells decreased significantly ( P+T-cells was significantly greater in the EFV arm at W96 ( P=0.03) and W156 ( P=0.01), but did not persist after adjusting for baseline CD4+ T-cell counts. During follow-up, responses to opportunistic pathogens increased in all patients while specific T-cell responses to HIV-1-p24 and gp160 recombinant proteins or to Gag and Nef peptides were not restored. Conclusion Regimens using/sparing PIs provide similar levels of long-term immune reconstitution even in patients with low CD4+ T-cell counts.

Survival data are described as interval censored when the failure time is not measured exactly but is known only to have occurred within a defined interval. In this paper, we describe and assess three methods for calculating pointwise confidence intervals for the non-parametric survivor function estimated from interval-censored data: the first based on the full information matrix, the second a modification of this approach involving deletion of rows and columns of the information matrix corresponding to zero estimates prior to inversion and the third based on likelihood ratio inference. In a simulation study the likelihood ratio method gave the most accurate confidence intervals with coverage consistently close to the nominal level of 95 per cent.

Objectives: To evaluate the efficacy and cost effectiveness of self applied podophyllotoxin 0.5% solution and podophyllotoxin 0.15% cream, compared to clinic applied 25% podophyllin in the treatment of genital warts over 4 weeks. Methods: We conducted a randomised controlled trial in 358 immunocompetent men and women with genital warts of 3 months’ duration or less. Results: In the principal analysis both podophyllotoxin solution (OR 2.93, 95% CI 1.56 to 5.50) and podophyllotoxin cream (OR 1.97, 95% CI 1.04 to 3.70) were associated with significantly increased odds of remission of all warts compared to podophyllin. We performed two further analyses. When subjects defaulting from follow up were assumed to have been cured odds of remission of all warts were also significantly increased both for podophyllotoxin solution (OR 3.04, 95% CI 1.68 to 5.49) and for podophyllotoxin cream (OR 2.46, 95% CI 1.38 to 4.40). When subjects defaulting from follow up were assumed not to have been cured odds of remission of all warts were significantly increased for podophyllotoxin solution (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.13 to 3.27), but not for podophyllotoxin cream (OR 1.17, 95% CI 0.69 to 2.00). Local side effects were seen in 24% of subjects, and recurrence of warts within 12 weeks of study entry in 43% of all initially cleared subjects, without statistically significant differences between the treatment groups. Direct, indirect, and total costs were similar across the three treatment groups. Podophyllotoxin solution was the most cost effective treatment, followed by podophyllotoxin cream, with podophyllin treatment being the least cost effective. Conclusions: Self treatment of anogenital warts with podophyllotoxin showed greater efficacy and cost effectiveness than clinic based treatment with podophyllin.

Most of the amikacin in low-clearance liposomal amikacin is excreted very slowly, offering the possibility of maintaining effective treatment of pulmonary tuberculosis with widely separated supervised doses. As a preliminary to explorations in humans, its efficacy was assessed in acute experimental murine tuberculosis by weekly counts of viable bacilli in spleen and lungs over a 4 week period. Liposomal amikacin in dosages of 160, 80 and 40 mg/kg given iv three times a week was 2.4-5.0 times more active than free amikacin and 6.6-6.7 times more active than streptomycin with the non-liposomal drugs given im five times a week. When the free amikacin and the streptomycin were also given iv three times a week, liposomal amikacin was 2.7-2.9 times more active than free amikacin and 3.7-5.6 more active than streptomycin. In a model of chronic tuberculosis, initial BCG vaccination was followed by challenge with virulent Mycobacterium tuberculosis and a 2 week stabilization period. Thereafter, treatment with liposomal amikacin 160 and 80 mg/kg three times a week for the first 4 weeks and then once a week for a further 4 weeks, had greater initial bactericidal activity than free amikacin 160 mg/kg five times a week, but had less eventual sterilizing activity than five times a week oral isoniazid 25 mg/kg or rifampicin 15 mg/kg. Although low-clearance liposomes increased the safety, potency and dosing interval of amikacin in these models, all aminoglycosides, including liposomal amikacin, were only bactericidal in the presence of bacillary metabolism and growth.

The diagnosis of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in children born to HCV-infected women is based on serologic assays and HCV RNA measurement by PCR. Interpretation of the results of these tests is hampered by uncertainty about the age distribution of loss of maternal antibody and the sensitivity and specificity of PCR at different ages. On the basis of findings from a recent vertical transmission study, we estimated the posttest probability of a child's being infected or uninfected under several test result scenarios. These estimates may assist clinicians in assessing the likelihood of infection in an individual child and in using the currently available assays cost effectively.

This study investigated the contribution of psychological factors to disease progression among long-term HIV-1 infected gay men. Participants completed self-report measures including coping strategies, life events, social support, personality and psychological morbidity and were followed clinically for up to 30 months. Cox proportional hazards survival analyses were carried out to CD4 < 200 × 106/l and AIDS-related complex (ARC) or AIDS diagnosis controlling for viral load, antiretroviral drug use and CD4 count. Only acceptance coping was a significant predictor of time to ARC or AIDS diagnosis: the risk of ARC or AIDS was almost 5 times greater for those scoring within the lowest tertile compared with those scoring in the highest tertile (HR = 4.7, 95% CI 1.8-12.3).

Background: The SARA trial recently demonstrated a non-inferior CD4 response, over median follow-up of 60 weeks, with a boosted protease inhibitor monotherapy (bPImono) maintenance second-line regimen compared with continuous combination therapy (CT), suggesting this approach could maintain effectiveness whilst improving tolerability and decreasing costs [International AIDS Conference 2010, LBPE16]. Analysis of virological response and genotypic drug resistance is reported here. Methods: Eligible participants in the DART trial who received 24 weeks of lopinavir/ritonavir-containing second-line CT were randomised to maintain current CT or to reduce to bPImono within a nested pilot trial (SARA). No real-time virology was performed, but stored plasma samples from time at switch to second-line, randomisation after 24 weeks of second-line, and 24 weeks after randomisation were assayed for HIV-1 RNA viral load (VL) by Roche Amplicor v1.5. Genotypic resistance was assessed on samples with VL >1000 c/ml at this latest time point, along with paired samples at switch to second-line. All analyses are intention-to-treat. Results: 192 participants were randomised to CT (n=95) or bPImono (n=97). 77% (135/173) had VL 1000 c/ml at week 24, 12 (2 CT, 10 bPImono) have been assessed genotypically. IAS major PI mutations at week 24, not present at switch to second-line, were detected in 2 bPImono participants only. One participant (VL=3600 c/ml) had I54V only, the other (VL=1490 c/ml) M46IM+V82AV. Both isolates were considered fully susceptible to darunavir. Conclusions: In this study based on retrospective virological testing, bPImono following 24 week second-line induction was associated with an increase in low level viraemia, although generally in the absence of PI resistance. Longer-term trials are required before definitive conclusions can be drawn about the effectiveness of PI monotherapy in populations without access to virological monitoring. Supplement: Abstracts of the Tenth International Congress on Drug Therapy in HIV Infection http://www.biomedcentral.com/content/pdf/1758-2652-13-S4-info.pdf Conference: Tenth International Congress on Drug Therapy in HIV Infection 7-11 November 2010 Glasgow, UK (Published: 8 November 2010) doi:10.1186/1758-2652-13-S4-O20 Cite this article as: Pillay et al.: O214. Virological findings from the SARA trial: boosted PI monotherapy as maintenance second-line ART in Africa. Journal of the International AIDS Society 2010 13(Suppl 4):O20. Full text: PubMed Central: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3112833/