34 results on '"Roser DJ"'
Search Results
2. Policy submission: A summary of the Institute's submission to the 2013 Defence White Paper
- Author
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Roser, DJ, Leece, DR, and Treloar, RB
- Published
- 2013
3. Policy submission: Australian defence force posture review
- Author
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Roser, DJ, Leece, DR, and Short, BH
- Published
- 2011
4. Policy submission: Army reserve modernisation - doug roser and david leece
- Author
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Roser, DJ and Leece, DR
- Published
- 2011
5. Potable reuse: Which chemicals to be concerned about
- Author
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Khan, SJ, Fisher, R, Roser, DJ, Khan, SJ, Fisher, R, and Roser, DJ
- Abstract
The growth of potable reuse as a planned water supply strategy has led to an increased focus on the presence and significance of trace chemical contaminants. By the use of reclaimed wastewater as a source, potable reuse projects require serious consideration to be given to the range and character of chemicals which may be present and may pose unacceptable risks to public health if not properly managed. The first step, required to assess and manage risks, is to consider the range of chemical contaminants which may be present. Although it is impossible to derive an exhaustive list, it is useful to consider broad categories and the specific types of challenges that may be posed by the chemicals within those categories. Such a broad categorisation of chemical contaminants is presented in this review and provides the basis for initial consideration by those tasked with assessing the water quality and treatment requirements of a potable reuse project. Chemicals, which may potentially be of concern in potable reuse projects, are diverse in terms of their (anthropogenic or natural) source, chemical characteristics and their likely human toxicity. Public health risk assessments are further complicated by the inevitable presence of unidentified chemicals and potential impacts of ‘mixture effects’ on the overall toxicity of complex, low-concentration chemical mixtures.
- Published
- 2019
6. Bayesian belief network modelling of chlorine disinfection for human pathogenic viruses in municipal wastewater
- Author
-
Carvajal, G, Roser, DJ, Sisson, SA, Keegan, A, Khan, SJ, Carvajal, G, Roser, DJ, Sisson, SA, Keegan, A, and Khan, SJ
- Abstract
Chlorine disinfection of biologically treated wastewater is practiced in many locations prior to environmental discharge or beneficial reuse. The effectiveness of chlorine disinfection processes may be influenced by several factors, such as pH, temperature, ionic strength, organic carbon concentration, and suspended solids. We investigated the use of Bayesian multilayer perceptron (BMLP) models as efficient and practical tools for compiling and analysing free chlorine and monochloramine virus disinfection performance as a multivariate problem. Corresponding to their relative susceptibility, Adenovirus 2 was used to assess disinfection by monochloramine and Coxsackievirus B5 was used for free chlorine. A BMLP model was constructed to relate key disinfection conditions (CT, pH, turbidity) to observed Log Reduction Values (LRVs) for these viruses at constant temperature. The models proved to be valuable for incorporating uncertainty in the chlor(am)ination performance estimation and interpolating between operating conditions. Various types of queries could be performed with this model including the identification of target CT for a particular combination of LRV, pH and turbidity. Similarly, it was possible to derive achievable LRVs for combinations of CT, pH and turbidity. These queries yielded probability density functions for the target variable reflecting the uncertainty in the model parameters and variability of the input variables. The disinfection efficacy was greatly impacted by pH and to a lesser extent by turbidity for both types of disinfections. Non-linear relationships were observed between pH and target CT, and turbidity and target CT, with compound effects on target CT also evidenced. This work demonstrated that the use of BMLP models had considerable ability to improve the resolution and understanding of the multivariate relationships between operational parameters and disinfection outcomes for wastewater treatment.
- Published
- 2017
7. Virus removal by ultrafiltration: Understanding long-term performance change by application of Bayesian analysis
- Author
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Carvajal, G, Branch, A, Sisson, SA, Roser, DJ, van den Akker, B, Monis, P, Reeve, P, Keegan, A, Regel, R, Khan, SJ, Carvajal, G, Branch, A, Sisson, SA, Roser, DJ, van den Akker, B, Monis, P, Reeve, P, Keegan, A, Regel, R, and Khan, SJ
- Abstract
Ultrafiltration is an effective barrier to waterborne pathogens including viruses. Challenge testing is commonly used to test the inherent reliability of such systems. Performance validation seeks to demonstrate the adequate reliability of the treatment system. Appropriate and rigorous data analysis is an essential aspect of validation testing. In this study we used Bayesian analysis to assess the performance of a full-scale ultrafiltration system which was validated and revalidated after five years of operation. A hierarchical Bayesian model was used to analyse a number of similar ultrafiltration membrane skids working in parallel during the two validation periods. This approach enhanced our ability to obtain accurate estimations of performance variability, especially when the sample size of some system skids was limited. This methodology enabled the quantitative estimation of uncertainty in the performance parameters and generation of predictive distributions incorporating those uncertainties. The results indicated that there was a decrease in the mean skid performance after five years of operation of approximately 1 log reduction value (LRV). Interestingly, variability in the LRV also reduced, with standard deviations from the revalidation data being decreased by a mean 0.37 LRV compared with the original validation data. The model was also useful in comparing the operating performance of the various parallel skids within the same year. Evidence of differences was obtained in 2015 for one of the membrane skids. A hierarchical Bayesian analysis of validation data provides robust estimations of performance and the incorporation of probabilistic analysis which is increasingly important for comprehensive quantitative risk assessment purposes.
- Published
- 2017
8. Planetary health impacts of the nutrition transition: understanding causal links and changes through time
- Author
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Hadjikakou, M, Roser, DJ, Wiedmann, T, Hadjikakou, M, Roser, DJ, and Wiedmann, T
- Abstract
Although not traditionally regarded as a central theme in Industrial Ecology, food production and consumption are directly related to health and well-being, on the one hand, and with resource use and environmental impacts on the other. Increasing affluence is said to be fuelling an ongoing ‘nutrition transition’, a term coined in the 1990s by the renowned public health academic Barry Popkin, used to describe more westernized, higher calorie and more meat-intensive diets, increasingly consumed around the world. Some aspects of this transition are already evident through rising rates of diet-related disease, but full quantification and identification of factor interdependencies (particularly those between environmental and other variables) is still incomplete. There is therefore a need to unpack and rigorously test proposed conceptual models, with the aim of building an unbiased model capable of explaining patterns and monitoring the ways they have changed through time and are likely to continue evolving in the future. The poster focuses on a small part of a holistic attempt to test a dominant conceptual model describing the phenomenon known as the nutrition transition. Data mining using Bayesian Belief Networks (BBNs) provides an ideal method to plot and test prior beliefs based on a large multivariate dataset comprised of indicators of socioeconomic development, dietary composition, environmental footprint indicators, and health risk factors at a national level covering a thirty-two year period (1980-2011). The results focus on the probabilistic relationships between affluence-driven dietary change and food-related MRIO-derived environmental footprints such as water use, land use (cropland and pasture), biomass, nitrogen and phosphorus have changed in recent decades. There is also an emphasis on how affluence compares to other variables such as geography, time or diverse socioeconomic factors in explaining the variance in dietary patterns and their associated enviro
- Published
- 2016
9. Quantifying the impact of runoff events on microbiological contaminant concentrations entering surface drinking source waters
- Author
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Signor, RS, Roser, DJ, Ashbolt, NJ, Ball, JE, Signor, RS, Roser, DJ, Ashbolt, NJ, and Ball, JE
- Abstract
Concentrations of microbiological contaminants in streams increase during rainfall-induced higher flow 'event' periods as compared to 'baseflow' conditions. If the stream feeds a drinking water reservoir, such periods of heightened pathogen loads may pose a challenge to the water treatment plant and subsequently a health concern to water consumers downstream. In order to manage this risk, it is desirable to first quantify the differences in surface water quality between baseflow and event conditions. The Event Mean Concentration (EMC) is a flow-weighted average concentration of a contaminant over the duration of a single event, proposed here as a standard parameter for quantifying the net effect of events on microbial water quality. Application of the EMC concept was assessed using flow and quality data for several events from an urbanised catchment. Expected mean EMCs were significantly larger than expected mean baseflow concentrations ( p-value≤0.012) for three microbial agents - Escherichia coli (13,000 [n = 7] v. 610 [n = 16] mpn/100 ml), Cryptosporidium (234 [n = 6] v. 51 [n = 16] oocysts/10 litres) and Campylobacter (48 [n = 5] v. 2.1 [n = 16] mpn/100 ml). These parameter estimates were complemented by estimating data variability and uncertainty in the form of second-order random variables. As such the results are in a format appropriate for potential use as components in probabilistic risk assessments evaluating the effect runoff events have on drinking water quality. © IWA Publishing 2005.
- Published
- 2005
10. Predicting recreational water quality and public health safety in urban estuaries using Bayesian Networks.
- Author
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Lloyd SD, Carvajal G, Campey M, Taylor N, Osmond P, Roser DJ, and Khan SJ
- Subjects
- Estuaries, Public Health, Bayes Theorem, Enterococcus, Water Quality, Environmental Monitoring methods
- Abstract
To support the reactivation of urban rivers and estuaries for bathing while ensuring public safety, it is critical to have access to real-time information on microbial water quality and associated health risks. Predictive modelling can provide this information, though challenges concerning the optimal size of training data, model transferability, and communication of uncertainty still need attention. Further, urban estuaries undergo distinctive hydrological variations requiring tailored modelling approaches. This study assessed the use of Bayesian Networks (BNs) for the prediction of enterococci exceedances and extrapolation of health risks at planned bathing sites in an urban estuary in Sydney, Australia. The transferability of network structures between sites was assessed. Models were validated using a novel application of the k-fold walk-forward validation procedure and further tested using independent compliance and event-based sampling datasets. Learning curves indicated the model's sensitivity reached a minimum performance threshold of 0.8 once training data included ≥ 400 observations. It was demonstrated that Semi-Naïve BN structures can be transferred while maintaining stable predictive performance. In all sites, salinity and solar exposure had the greatest influence on Posterior Probability Distributions (PPDs), when combined with antecedent rainfall. The BNs provided a novel and transparent framework to quantify and visualise enterococci, stormwater impact, health risks, and associated uncertainty under varying environmental conditions. This study has advanced the application of BNs in predicting recreational water quality and providing decision support in urban estuarine settings, proposed for bathing, where uncertainty is high., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Robust evaluation of performance monitoring options for ozone disinfection in water recycling using Bayesian analysis.
- Author
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Carvajal G, Branch A, Michel P, Sisson SA, Roser DJ, Drewes JE, and Khan SJ
- Subjects
- Bayes Theorem, Water, Disinfection, Ozone, Water Purification
- Abstract
Ozonation of wastewater has gained popularity because of its effectiveness in removing colour, UV absorbance, trace organic chemicals, and pathogens. Due to the rapid reaction of ozone with organic compounds, dissolved ozone is often not measurable and therefore, the common disinfection controlling parameter, concentration integrated over contact time (CT) cannot be obtained. In such cases, alternative parameters have been shown to be useful as surrogate measures for microbial removal including change in UV
254 absorbance (ΔUVA), change in total fluorescence (ΔTF), or O3 :TOC (or O3 :DOC). Although these measures have shown promise, a number of caveats remain. These include uncertainties in the associations between these measurements and microbial inactivation. Furthermore, previous use of seeded microorganisms with higher disinfection sensitivity compared to autochthonous microorganisms could lead to overestimation of appropriate log credits. In our study, secondary treated wastewater from a full-scale plant was ozonated in a bench-scale reactor using five increasing ozone doses. During the experiments, removal of four indigenous microbial indicators representing viruses, bacteria and protozoa were monitored concurrent with ΔUVA, ΔTF, O3 :DOC and PARAFAC derived components. Bayesian methods were used to fit linear regression models, and the uncertainty in the posterior predictive distributions and slopes provided a comparison between previously reported results and those reported here. Combined results indicated that all surrogate parameters were useful in predicting the removal of microorganisms, with a better fit to the models using ΔUVA, ΔTF in most cases. Average adjusted determination coefficients for fitted models were high (R2 adjusted >0.47). With ΔUVA, one unit decrease in LRV corresponded with a UVA mean reduction of 15-20% for coliforms, 59% for C. perfringens spores, and 11% for somatic coliphages. With ΔTF, a one unit decrease in LRV corresponded with a TF mean reduction of 18-23% for coliforms, 71% for C. perfringens spores, and 14% for somatic coliphages. Compared to previous studies also analysed, our results suggest that microbial reductions were more conservative for autochthonous than for seeded microorganisms. The findings of our study suggested that site-specific analyses should be conducted to generate models with lower uncertainty and that indigenous microorganisms are useful for the measurement of system performance even when censored observations are obtained., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Virus removal by ultrafiltration: Understanding long-term performance change by application of Bayesian analysis.
- Author
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Carvajal G, Branch A, Sisson SA, Roser DJ, van den Akker B, Monis P, Reeve P, Keegan A, Regel R, and Khan SJ
- Subjects
- Bayes Theorem, Humans, Reproducibility of Results, Ultrafiltration, Viruses, Water Purification
- Abstract
Ultrafiltration is an effective barrier to waterborne pathogens including viruses. Challenge testing is commonly used to test the inherent reliability of such systems. Performance validation seeks to demonstrate the adequate reliability of the treatment system. Appropriate and rigorous data analysis is an essential aspect of validation testing. In this study we used Bayesian analysis to assess the performance of a full-scale ultrafiltration system which was validated and revalidated after five years of operation. A hierarchical Bayesian model was used to analyse a number of similar ultrafiltration membrane skids working in parallel during the two validation periods. This approach enhanced our ability to obtain accurate estimations of performance variability, especially when the sample size of some system skids was limited. This methodology enabled the quantitative estimation of uncertainty in the performance parameters and generation of predictive distributions incorporating those uncertainties. The results indicated that there was a decrease in the mean skid performance after five years of operation of approximately 1 log reduction value (LRV). Interestingly, variability in the LRV also reduced, with standard deviations from the revalidation data being decreased by a mean 0.37 LRV compared with the original validation data. The model was also useful in comparing the operating performance of the various parallel skids within the same year. Evidence of differences was obtained in 2015 for one of the membrane skids. A hierarchical Bayesian analysis of validation data provides robust estimations of performance and the incorporation of probabilistic analysis which is increasingly important for comprehensive quantitative risk assessment purposes., (Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
13. Bayesian belief network modelling of chlorine disinfection for human pathogenic viruses in municipal wastewater.
- Author
-
Carvajal G, Roser DJ, Sisson SA, Keegan A, and Khan SJ
- Subjects
- Bayes Theorem, Chlorine, Disinfectants, Humans, Viruses, Disinfection, Wastewater
- Abstract
Chlorine disinfection of biologically treated wastewater is practiced in many locations prior to environmental discharge or beneficial reuse. The effectiveness of chlorine disinfection processes may be influenced by several factors, such as pH, temperature, ionic strength, organic carbon concentration, and suspended solids. We investigated the use of Bayesian multilayer perceptron (BMLP) models as efficient and practical tools for compiling and analysing free chlorine and monochloramine virus disinfection performance as a multivariate problem. Corresponding to their relative susceptibility, Adenovirus 2 was used to assess disinfection by monochloramine and Coxsackievirus B5 was used for free chlorine. A BMLP model was constructed to relate key disinfection conditions (CT, pH, turbidity) to observed Log Reduction Values (LRVs) for these viruses at constant temperature. The models proved to be valuable for incorporating uncertainty in the chlor(am)ination performance estimation and interpolating between operating conditions. Various types of queries could be performed with this model including the identification of target CT for a particular combination of LRV, pH and turbidity. Similarly, it was possible to derive achievable LRVs for combinations of CT, pH and turbidity. These queries yielded probability density functions for the target variable reflecting the uncertainty in the model parameters and variability of the input variables. The disinfection efficacy was greatly impacted by pH and to a lesser extent by turbidity for both types of disinfections. Non-linear relationships were observed between pH and target CT, and turbidity and target CT, with compound effects on target CT also evidenced. This work demonstrated that the use of BMLP models had considerable ability to improve the resolution and understanding of the multivariate relationships between operational parameters and disinfection outcomes for wastewater treatment., (Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. Enhanced antagonism of BST-2 by a neurovirulent SIV envelope.
- Author
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Matsuda K, Chen CY, Whitted S, Chertova E, Roser DJ, Wu F, Plishka RJ, Ourmanov I, Buckler-White A, Lifson JD, Strebel K, and Hirsch VM
- Subjects
- AIDS Dementia Complex etiology, Amino Acid Substitution, Animals, Antigens, CD physiology, Disease Models, Animal, GPI-Linked Proteins antagonists & inhibitors, GPI-Linked Proteins physiology, HIV-1, Host-Pathogen Interactions, Humans, Macaca mulatta, Membrane Glycoproteins genetics, Membrane Glycoproteins physiology, Retroviridae Proteins genetics, Retroviridae Proteins physiology, Simian Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome virology, Simian Immunodeficiency Virus genetics, Simian Immunodeficiency Virus physiology, Viral Load, Virulence genetics, Virus Replication genetics, Simian Immunodeficiency Virus pathogenicity
- Abstract
Current antiretroviral therapy (ART) is not sufficient to completely suppress disease progression in the CNS, as indicated by the rising incidence of HIV-1-associated neurocognitive disorders (HAND) among infected individuals on ART. It is not clear why some HIV-1-infected patients develop HAND, despite effective repression of viral replication in the circulation. SIV-infected nonhuman primate models are widely used to dissect the mechanisms of viral pathogenesis in the CNS. Here, we identified 4 amino acid substitutions in the cytoplasmic tail of viral envelope glycoprotein gp41 of the neurovirulent virus SIVsm804E that enhance replication in macrophages and associate with enhanced antagonism of the host restriction factor BM stromal cell antigen 2 (BST-2). Rhesus macaques were inoculated with a variant of the parental virus SIVsmE543-3 that had been engineered to contain the 4 amino acid substitutions present in gp41 of SIVsm804E. Compared with WT virus-infected controls, animals infected with mutant virus exhibited higher viral load in cerebrospinal fluid. Together, these results are consistent with a potential role for BST-2 in the CNS microenvironment and suggest that BST-2 antagonists may serve as a possible target for countermeasures against HAND.
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Modelling pathogen log10 reduction values achieved by activated sludge treatment using naïve and semi naïve Bayes network models.
- Author
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Carvajal G, Roser DJ, Sisson SA, Keegan A, and Khan SJ
- Subjects
- Bayes Theorem, Water Purification, Cryptosporidium parvum physiology, Giardia lamblia physiology, Models, Theoretical, Sewage parasitology, Waste Disposal, Fluid methods
- Abstract
Risk management for wastewater treatment and reuse have led to growing interest in understanding and optimising pathogen reduction during biological treatment processes. However, modelling pathogen reduction is often limited by poor characterization of the relationships between variables and incomplete knowledge of removal mechanisms. The aim of this paper was to assess the applicability of Bayesian belief network models to represent associations between pathogen reduction, and operating conditions and monitoring parameters and predict AS performance. Naïve Bayes and semi-naïve Bayes networks were constructed from an activated sludge dataset including operating and monitoring parameters, and removal efficiencies for two pathogens (native Giardia lamblia and seeded Cryptosporidium parvum) and five native microbial indicators (F-RNA bacteriophage, Clostridium perfringens, Escherichia coli, coliforms and enterococci). First we defined the Bayesian network structures for the two pathogen log10 reduction values (LRVs) class nodes discretized into two states (< and ≥ 1 LRV) using two different learning algorithms. Eight metrics, such as Prediction Accuracy (PA) and Area Under the receiver operating Curve (AUC), provided a comparison of model prediction performance, certainty and goodness of fit. This comparison was used to select the optimum models. The optimum Tree Augmented naïve models predicted removal efficiency with high AUC when all system parameters were used simultaneously (AUCs for C. parvum and G. lamblia LRVs of 0.95 and 0.87 respectively). However, metrics for individual system parameters showed only the C. parvum model was reliable. By contrast individual parameters for G. lamblia LRV prediction typically obtained low AUC scores (AUC < 0.81). Useful predictors for C. parvum LRV included solids retention time, turbidity and total coliform LRV. The methodology developed appears applicable for predicting pathogen removal efficiency in water treatment systems generally., (Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
16. Dose-response algorithms for water-borne Pseudomonas aeruginosa folliculitis.
- Author
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Roser DJ, Van Den Akker B, Boase S, Haas CN, Ashbolt NJ, and Rice SA
- Subjects
- Humans, Swimming Pools, Time Factors, Algorithms, Folliculitis microbiology, Pseudomonas Infections microbiology, Pseudomonas aeruginosa physiology, Water Microbiology
- Abstract
We developed two dose-response algorithms for P. aeruginosa pool folliculitis using bacterial and lesion density estimates, associated with undetectable, significant, and almost certain folliculitis. Literature data were fitted to Furumoto & Mickey's equations, developed for plant epidermis-invading pathogens: N l = A ln(1 + BC) (log-linear model); P inf = 1-e(-r c C) (exponential model), where A and B are 2.51644 × 107 lesions/m2 and 2.28011 × 10-11 c.f.u./ml P. aeruginosa, respectively; C = pathogen density (c.f.u./ml), N l = folliculitis lesions/m2, P inf = probability of infection, and r C = 4·3 × 10-7 c.f.u./ml P. aeruginosa. Outbreak data indicates these algorithms apply to exposure durations of 41 ± 25 min. Typical water quality benchmarks (≈10-2 c.f.u./ml) appear conservative but still useful as the literature indicated repeated detection likely implies unstable control barriers and bacterial bloom potential. In future, culture-based outbreak testing should be supplemented with quantitative polymerase chain reaction and organic carbon assays, and quantification of folliculitis aetiology to better understand P. aeruginosa risks.
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Pseudomonas aeruginosa dose response and bathing water infection.
- Author
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Roser DJ, van den Akker B, Boase S, Haas CN, Ashbolt NJ, and Rice SA
- Subjects
- Disease Outbreaks, Hot Temperature, Humans, Hygiene, Swimming Pools, Pseudomonas Infections microbiology, Pseudomonas aeruginosa pathogenicity, Skin Diseases, Bacterial microbiology, Water Microbiology
- Abstract
Pseudomonas aeruginosa is the opportunistic pathogen mostly implicated in folliculitis and acute otitis externa in pools and hot tubs. Nevertheless, infection risks remain poorly quantified. This paper reviews disease aetiologies and bacterial skin colonization science to advance dose-response theory development. Three model forms are identified for predicting disease likelihood from pathogen density. Two are based on Furumoto & Mickey's exponential 'single-hit' model and predict infection likelihood and severity (lesions/m2), respectively. 'Third-generation', mechanistic, dose-response algorithm development is additionally scoped. The proposed formulation integrates dispersion, epidermal interaction, and follicle invasion. The review also details uncertainties needing consideration which pertain to water quality, outbreaks, exposure time, infection sites, biofilms, cerumen, environmental factors (e.g. skin saturation, hydrodynamics), and whether P. aeruginosa is endogenous or exogenous. The review's findings are used to propose a conceptual infection model and identify research priorities including pool dose-response modelling, epidermis ecology and infection likelihood-based hygiene management.
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
18. Occurrence of ectoparasiticides in Australian beef cattle feedlot wastes.
- Author
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Coleman HM, Trinh T, Le-Minh N, Klein M, Roser DJ, Tucker RW, Stuetz RM, Peters G, and Khan SJ
- Subjects
- Animals, Australia, Cattle, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Pollution statistics & numerical data, Feces chemistry, Animal Husbandry, Antiparasitic Agents analysis, Environmental Pollutants analysis
- Abstract
A liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS) method was developed for the simultaneous analysis of 6 ectoparasiticides - 2 synthetic pyrethroids (deltamethrin, cypermethrin) and 4 macrocyclic lactones (abamectin, doramectin, ivermectin and eprinomectin) in biosolids. The method was used to investigate the occurrence of these ectoparasiticides in beef cattle feedlot wastes in Australia from 5 commercial feedlot operations which employ varying waste management practices. Deltamethrin and cypermethrin were not detected in any of the samples while abamectin, ivermectin, doramectin and eprinomectin were detected in some of the samples with concentrations ranging from 1 to 36 μg/kg dry weight (d.w.) freeze dried feedlot waste. Levels of macrocyclic lactones detected in the feedlot wastes varied and were dependent on sample type. The effect of seasonal variations and waste management practices were also investigated in this study., (Crown Copyright © 2012. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
19. Pathogenic Escherichia coli in rural household container waters.
- Author
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Jagals P, Barnard TG, Mokoena MM, Ashbolt N, and Roser DJ
- Subjects
- Escherichia coli genetics, Escherichia coli pathogenicity, Genes, Bacterial, Humans, Rural Population, South Africa, Escherichia coli isolation & purification, Household Articles, Water Microbiology, Water Supply statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Plastic containers in the range of 5-20 L are widely used - especially in rural African settings - to collect, transport and store water for domestic use, including drinking, bathing and hygiene. The pathogen content of the waters in these containers has not been adequately characterized as yet. This paper presents the primary findings of a synoptic survey of drinking water quality samples from these containers and involved collection of bacterial indicator and pathogenicity gene data. In total, 571 samples of a variety of waters were taken in rural communities in South Africa and the Escherichia coli numbers measured. Of the E. coli positive samples, 46% (n = 148) were screened for the presence of E. coli pathogen gene markers. Though synoptic, the survey provided many insights into the issues that drove the study. Container use markedly degraded water quality as judged by indicator counts, even where improved water supply services were in place. Household container use also appeared to promote regrowth or contamination of containers with pathogenic E. coli strains. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis also showed that the diversity of potential pathogenic E. coli carrying virulence genes was great. All seven genes screened for (Ial, Stx1, Stx2, EaeA, Eagg, ST, LT) were found in the waters, alone or as mixtures (number of different combinations = 31) including those characteristic of the more dangerous invasive and haemorrhagic E. coli strains. Given the central role of containers in the management of water supply to rural communities, it is clear the microbiology of these waters requires much further characterization.
- Published
- 2013
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. Inactivation of indicators and pathogens in cattle feedlot manures and compost as determined by molecular and culture assays.
- Author
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Klein M, Brown L, Ashbolt NJ, Stuetz RM, and Roser DJ
- Subjects
- Animal Husbandry methods, Animals, Bacteria isolation & purification, Cattle, Colony Count, Microbial, Polymerase Chain Reaction, Bacteria growth & development, Environmental Monitoring, Manure microbiology, Soil analysis, Soil Microbiology
- Abstract
Accurate and conservative information about pathogen inactivation rates is needed as the basis for safe manure management on beef cattle feedlots. The survival of indicators and pathogens in faecal pen manure, stockpiled manure and manure compost was measured with autochthonous indicator bacteria (Escherichia coli, Clostridium perfringens, enterococci, total coliforms) and pathogens (Listeria monocytogenes, Campylobacter jejuni) using culture and/or real-time quantitative PCR (qPCR) methods. Additionally, the manures were incubated at 20, 37, 50 and 60 °C in microcosms to quantify the persistence of autochthonous microorganisms and selected process performance surrogates (Clostridium sporogenes, green fluorescent protein-labelled E. coli and L. monocytogenes). Estimated qPCR cell counts indicated that up to four orders of magnitude more target cells were present compared with the culturable counts. Corresponding T(90) estimates were up to sixfold higher. This study demonstrates the benefits of nucleic acid-based quantification of pathogen inactivation in cattle manures and concludes that the concurrent analysis of microorganisms by molecular and culture methods provides complementary value., (© 2011 Federation of European Microbiological Societies. Published by Blackwell Publishing Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Estimating the risk from sewage treatment plant effluent in the Sydney catchment area.
- Author
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van den Akker B, Whiffin V, Cox P, Beatson P, Ashbolt NJ, and Roser DJ
- Subjects
- Cryptosporidium isolation & purification, Disinfection, Giardia isolation & purification, New South Wales, Risk Factors, Water parasitology, Water Microbiology, Water Purification methods, Sewage, Waste Disposal, Fluid, Water Pollution prevention & control
- Abstract
This study employed Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment (QMRA) to estimate the gastrointestinal risks associated with Cryptosporidium and Giardia discharged from three STPs located within the Lake Burragorang catchment. The QMRA considered baseline and various hazardous event scenarios (e.g. plant failure and heavy rainfall). Under baseline conditions, the combined effect of constructed barriers, catchment barriers and dilution reduced pathogen numbers from the discharge of all three STPs by 10 to 14 orders of magnitude. This was sufficient for the risk to be well below currently mooted benchmarks of 'tolerable risk', even when relatively conservative assumptions were applied. For all hazardous event scenarios, the level of risk remained low, which illustrated the benefit of multiple barriers. Provisionally it appears that the STPs currently discharging into the waterways of the catchment do not pose an unacceptable or unmanageable risk to Sydney's drinking water consumers.
- Published
- 2011
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. Diversity and abundance of zoonotic pathogens and indicators in manures of feedlot cattle in Australia.
- Author
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Klein M, Brown L, Tucker RW, Ashbolt NJ, Stuetz RM, and Roser DJ
- Subjects
- Animals, Australia, Bacteria classification, Bacteria genetics, Cattle, DNA, Bacterial genetics, DNA, Protozoan genetics, Parasites classification, Parasites genetics, Polymerase Chain Reaction, Bacteria isolation & purification, Biodiversity, DNA, Bacterial isolation & purification, DNA, Protozoan isolation & purification, Manure microbiology, Parasites isolation & purification
- Abstract
The occurrence of 10 pathogens and three fecal indicators was assessed by quantitative PCR in manures of Australian feedlot cattle. Most samples tested positive for one or more pathogens. For the dominant pathogens Campylobacter jejuni, Listeria monocytogenes, Giardia spp., Cryptosporidium spp., and eaeA-positive Escherichia coli, 10² to 10⁷ genome copies g⁻¹ (dry weight) manure were recovered.
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
23. Predicting pathogen risks to aid beach management: the real value of quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA).
- Author
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Ashbolt NJ, Schoen ME, Soller JA, and Roser DJ
- Subjects
- Animals, Feces microbiology, Gastrointestinal Diseases microbiology, Predictive Value of Tests, Probability, Public Policy, Risk Assessment, Sewage analysis, Sewage microbiology, Time Factors, Bathing Beaches standards, Environmental Monitoring methods, Recreation, Seawater microbiology, Water Microbiology, Water Pollution analysis
- Abstract
There has been an ongoing dilemma for agencies that set criteria for safe recreational waters in how to provide for a seasonal assessment of a beach site versus guidance for day-to-day management. Typically an overall 'safe' criterion level is derived from epidemiologic studies of sewage-impacted beaches. The decision criterion is based on a percentile value for a single sample or a moving median of a limited number (e.g. five per month) of routine samples, which are reported at least the day after recreator exposure has occurred. The focus of this paper is how to better undertake day-to-day recreational site monitoring and management. Internationally, good examples exist where predictive empirical regression models (based on rainfall, wind speed/direction, etc.) may provide an estimate of the target faecal indicator density for the day of exposure. However, at recreational swimming sites largely impacted by non-sewage sources of faecal indicators, there is concern that the indicator-illness associations derived from studies at sewage-impacted beaches may be inappropriate. Furthermore, some recent epidemiologic evidence supports the relationship to gastrointestinal (GI) illness with qPCR-derived measures of Bacteroidales/Bacteroides spp. as well as more traditional faecal indicators, but we understand less about the environmental fate of these molecular targets and their relationship to bather risk. Modelling pathogens and indicators within a quantitative microbial risk assessment framework is suggested as a way to explore the large diversity of scenarios for faecal contamination and hydrologic events, such as from waterfowl, agricultural animals, resuspended sediments and from the bathers themselves. Examples are provided that suggest that more site-specific targets derived by QMRA could provide insight, directly translatable to management actions., (Published by Elsevier Ltd.)
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
24. Monitoring bacterial indicators and pathogens in cattle feedlot waste by real-time PCR.
- Author
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Klein M, Brown L, van den Akker B, Peters GM, Stuetz RM, and Roser DJ
- Subjects
- Animals, Australia, Cattle, Green Fluorescent Proteins metabolism, Escherichia coli genetics, Housing, Animal, Manure microbiology, Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction methods
- Abstract
Quantitative microbial health risk assessment requires accurate enumeration of pathogens in hazard-containing matrices as part of the risk characterization process. As part of a risk management-oriented study of cattle feedlot waste contaminants, we investigated the utility of quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) for surveying the microbial constituents of different faecal wastes. The abundance of Escherichia coli and enterococci were first estimated in five cattle feedlot waste types from five localities. Bacteria were quantified using two culture methods and compared to the number of genome copies detected by qPCR targeted at E. coli and Enterococcus faecalis. Bacterial numbers detected in the different wastes (fresh faeces, pen manure, aged manure, composted manure, carcass manure compost) ranged from 10-(7) to 10(2)g(-1) (dry weight). Both indicator groups were detected by qPCR with a comparable sensitivity to culture methods across this range. qPCR measurements of E. coli and E. faecalis correlated well with MPN and spread plate data. As a second comparison, we inoculated green fluorescent protein (GFP) labeled reference bacteria into manure samples. GFP labeled E. coli and Listeria monocytogenes were detected by qPCR in concentrations corresponding to between 18% and 71% of the initial bacterial numbers, compared to only 2.5-16% by plating. Our results supported our selection of qPCR as a fast, accurate and reliable system for surveying the presence and abundance of pathogens in cattle waste., (Copyright 2009 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)
- Published
- 2010
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. Solar radiation disinfection of drinking water at temperate latitudes: inactivation rates for an optimised reactor configuration.
- Author
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Davies CM, Roser DJ, Feitz AJ, and Ashbolt NJ
- Subjects
- Absorption radiation effects, Catalysis radiation effects, Titanium chemistry, Ultraviolet Rays, Water Microbiology, Bioreactors, Climate, Disinfection methods, Geography, Microbial Viability radiation effects, Sunlight, Water Supply
- Abstract
Solar radiation-driven inactivation of bacteria, virus and protozoan pathogen models was quantified in simulated drinking water at a temperate latitude (34 degrees S). The water was seeded with Enterococcus faecalis, Clostridium sporogenes spores, and P22 bacteriophage, each at ca 1x10(5) mL(-1), and exposed to natural sunlight in 30-L reaction vessels. Water temperature ranged from 17 to 39 degrees C during the experiments lasting up to 6h. Dark controls showed little inactivation and so it was concluded that the inactivation observed was primarily driven by non-thermal processes. The optimised reactor design achieved S90 values (cumulative exposure required for 90% reduction) for the test microorganisms in the range 0.63-1.82 MJ m(-2) of Global Solar Exposure (GSX) without the need for TiO2 as a catalyst. High turbidity (840-920 NTU) only reduced the S(90) value by <40%. Further, when all S90 means were compared this decrease was not statistically significant (prob.>0.05). However, inactivation was significantly reduced for E. faecalis and P22 when the transmittance of UV wavelengths was attenuated by water with high colour (140 PtCo units) or a suboptimally transparent reactor lid (prob.<0.05). S90 values were consistent with those measured by other researchers (ca 1-10 MJ m(-2)) for a range of waters and microorganisms. Although temperatures required for SODIS type pasteurization were not produced, non-thermal inactivation alone appeared to offer a viable means for reliably disinfecting low colour source waters by greater than 4 orders of magnitude on sunny days at 34 degrees S latitude.
- Published
- 2009
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. Chemical contaminants in feedlot wastes: concentrations, effects and attenuation.
- Author
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Khan SJ, Roser DJ, Davies CM, Peters GM, Stuetz RM, Tucker R, and Ashbolt NJ
- Subjects
- Animal Husbandry, Animals, Australia, Cattle, Dioxins analysis, Industrial Waste analysis, Metals, Heavy analysis, Anti-Bacterial Agents analysis, Antiparasitic Agents analysis, Gonadal Steroid Hormones analysis, Mycotoxins analysis, Sewage analysis
- Abstract
Commercial feedlots for beef cattle finishing are potential sources of a range of trace chemicals which have human health or environmental significance. To ensure adequate protection of human and environmental health from exposure to these chemicals, the application of effective manure and effluent management practices is warranted. The Australian meat and livestock industry has adopted a proactive approach to the identification of best management practices. Accordingly, this review was undertaken to identify key chemical species that may require consideration in the development of guidelines for feedlot manure and effluent management practices in Australia. Important classes of trace chemicals identified include steroidal hormones, antibiotics, ectoparasiticides, mycotoxins, heavy metals and dioxins. These are described in terms of their likely sources, expected concentrations and public health or environmental significance based on international data and research. Androgenic hormones such as testosterone and trenbolone are significantly active in feedlot wastes, but they are poorly understood in terms of fate and environmental implications. The careful management of residues of antibiotics including virginiamycin, tylosin and oxytetracycline appears prudent in terms of minimising the risk of potential public health impacts from resistant strains of bacteria. Good management of ectoparasiticides including synthetic pyrethroids, macrocyclic lactones, fluazuron, and amitraz is important for the prevention of potential ecological implications, particularly towards dung beetles. Very few of these individual chemical contaminants have been thoroughly investigated in terms of concentrations, effects and attenuation in Australian feedlot wastes.
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Fate and transport of viruses during sewage treatment in a mound system.
- Author
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Charles KJ, Souter FC, Baker DL, Davies CM, Schijven JF, Roser DJ, Deere DA, Priscott PK, and Ashbolt NJ
- Subjects
- Bioreactors virology, Environmental Monitoring, Filtration instrumentation, Silicon Dioxide, Soil Microbiology, Water Microbiology, Water Purification methods, Bacteriophage PRD1 physiology, Sewage virology
- Abstract
Studies undertaken to assess the performance of filter materials to remove phosphorus in decentralised sewage systems have not reported on the broader performance of these systems. This study aimed to identify virus fate and transport mechanisms at the laboratory scale for comparison with field experiments on a mound system amended with blast furnace slag. Inactivation was a significant removal mechanism for MS2 bacteriophage, but not for PRD1 bacteriophage. Column studies identified rapid transport of PRD1. Laboratory studies predicted lower removal of PRD1 in a full scale system than was experienced in the field study, highlighting the importance of considering pH and flow rate in pathogen removal estimates. The results highlight the necessity for studying a range of organisms when assessing the potential for pathogen transport.
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
28. Microbial exposure assessment of an urban recreational lake: a case study of the application of new risk-based guidelines.
- Author
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Roser DJ, Davies CM, Ashbolt NJ, and Morison P
- Subjects
- Clostridium perfringens isolation & purification, Enterococcus isolation & purification, Escherichia coli isolation & purification, New South Wales, Risk Assessment, Guidelines as Topic, Recreation, Water Microbiology
- Abstract
New WHO and Australian guidelines promote a risk-management approach for minimising exposure to pathogens in recreational waters. Between 2003 and 2005, they were applied to Lake Parramatta (10 ha, 450 ML), a potential recreation site in Sydney, Australia. A three stage approach was developed involving (1) initial suitability assessment using historic data, (2) revised suitability assessment based on new data and (3) characterisation of hazardous (especially wet weather) events. Contrary to the stage 1 suitability classification, stage 2 baseline data indicated that during dry weather the lake had water quality sufficient for primary contact recreation (95th percentiles for enterococci = 19 MPN/100, n = 50) and the major pathogen source was wildfowl. Guideline principles provided a rationale for collecting microbiological and geographic data needed to understand local cycles of lake contamination/recovery. The concept of hazardous events was particularly useful. Studies of stormwater events led us to identify a transition point (> 10 mm rainfall in 24 h) where human-faecal pathogen risks increased and access needed to be controlled. Together baseline and event data yielded operational tools (i.e. event detection methods, action triggers, auditing criteria, remediation priorities) for minimising bather exposure.
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Microbial risk and removal--a utility perspective.
- Author
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Stanger M, Agutter PA, Lake RC, Ashbolt NJ, and Roser DJ
- Subjects
- Animals, Bacteria classification, Species Specificity, United Kingdom, Bacteria isolation & purification, Water parasitology, Water Microbiology
- Abstract
In this paper the results of a sampling programme, undertaken as part of the EU MicroRisk project, are described. This project was undertaken to ascertain the occurrence of pathogens and indicators in the River Thames and their subsequent removal through a treatment works. Appropriate physico-chemical surrogates, as determined by statistical correlation are proposed for the microorganisms identified in the raw water. This study shows that under normal raw water conditions the treatment works is able to remove microbial contamination with a significant margin of safety.
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Quantifying the impact of runoff events on microbiological contaminant concentrations entering surface drinking source waters.
- Author
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Signor RS, Roser DJ, Ashbolt NJ, and Ball JE
- Subjects
- Animals, Australia, Likelihood Functions, Campylobacter isolation & purification, Cryptosporidium isolation & purification, Escherichia coli isolation & purification, Fresh Water microbiology, Water Microbiology, Water Movements, Water Supply analysis
- Abstract
Concentrations of microbiological contaminants in streams increase during rainfall-induced higher flow 'event' periods as compared to 'baseflow' conditions. If the stream feeds a drinking water reservoir, such periods of heightened pathogen loads may pose a challenge to the water treatment plant and subsequently a health concern to water consumers downstream. In order to manage this risk, it is desirable to first quantify the differences in surface water quality between baseflow and event conditions. The Event Mean Concentration (EMC) is a flow-weighted average concentration of a contaminant over the duration of a single event, proposed here as a standard parameter for quantifying the net effect of events on microbial water quality. Application of the EMC concept was assessed using flow and quality data for several events from an urbanised catchment. Expected mean EMCs were significantly larger than expected mean baseflow concentrations (p-value< or =0.012) for three microbial agents - Escherichia coil (13,000 [n = 7] v. 610 [n = 16] mpn/100 ml), Cryptosporidium (234 [n = 6] v. 51 [n = 16] oocysts/10 litres) and Campylobacter (48 [n = 5] v. 2.1 [n = 16] mpn/100ml). These parameter estimates were complemented by estimating data variability and uncertainty in the form of second-order random variables. As such the results are in a format appropriate for potential use as components in probabilistic risk assessments evaluating the effect runoff events have on drinking water quality.
- Published
- 2005
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Hydrogen sulphide production tests and the detection of groundwater faecal contamination by septic seepage.
- Author
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Roser DJ, Ashbolt N, Ho G, Mathew K, Nair J, Ryken-Rapp D, and Toze S
- Subjects
- Environmental Monitoring, Filtration, Sanitation, Sensitivity and Specificity, Soil Pollutants analysis, Water Microbiology, Water Pollutants analysis, Feces, Hydrogen Sulfide analysis, Sewage
- Abstract
The 'H2S test' is being advanced for microbiological water quality testing where conventional coliform based methods are impractical or too expensive. It involves ambient temperature incubation of water samples with nutrient formulated to generate hydrogen sulphide when 'faecal' bacteria are present. Recently a WHO review identified several concerns including the limited number of comparative studies, formulation variability, and false positives and negatives. In response we have compared the H2S test's ability to detect and quantify faecal contamination in an aquifer impacted by septic tank leachfields with measurements obtained concurrently using conventional bacterial indicators, coliphages, faecal sterol biomarkers, Cryptosporidium and Giardia. Like these other analytes, H2S testing detected a contamination gradient ranging from high (septic liquid) to moderate (exfiltration zones), to background (e.g. domestic bores), corresponding to indicator removal + dilution by factors > 10(6). Presence/absence tests could not distinguish between heavily and slightly contaminated waters, whereas multi-tube testing (e.g. 10 x 10 mL arrays) did. It was concluded that while the WHO review concerns are justified, the H2S test performance shows promise in sanitary survey work, can be improved by employing an mpn approach and has potential to aid in the protection of source water and identifying contaminated groundwater.
- Published
- 2005
32. Effluent quality from 200 on-site sewage systems: design values for guidelines.
- Author
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Charles KJ, Ashbolt NJ, Roser DJ, McGuinness R, and Deere DA
- Subjects
- Micronutrients analysis, Micronutrients isolation & purification, Quality Control, Sewage, Waste Disposal, Fluid methods, Water Purification methods, Guidelines as Topic, Waste Disposal, Fluid standards, Water Purification standards
- Abstract
The quality of effluent from an on-site sewage treatment system is a critical factor in designing the disposal area and, hence, ensuring the sustained performance of the system. Contaminant concentrations in effluent are typically specified in regulatory guidelines or standards; however, the accuracy of these guideline values are brought into question due to the poor performance of septic tanks and the high failure rates of disposal systems reported here and elsewhere. Results from studies of septic tank effluent quality indicated that the effluent is of poorer quality than currently suggested by guidelines. Aerated wastewater treatment systems were found to perform to accreditation guidelines; however, insufficient nutrient data is presently available to assess nutrient loads. It is proposed that the 80th percentile of system performance be adopted as the design value for sizing effluent disposal areas to minimise failure associated with overloading. For septic tanks this equates to 660 mg L(-1) SS, 330 mg L(-1) BOD, 250 mg L(-1) TN and 36 mg L(-1) TP.
- Published
- 2005
33. Assessing the health implications of turbidity and suspended particles in protected catchments.
- Author
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Cinque K, Stevens MA, Roser DJ, Ashbolt NJ, and Leeming R
- Subjects
- Biomarkers analysis, Particle Size, Risk Assessment, South Australia, Bacteria isolation & purification, Public Health, Water Supply standards
- Abstract
The supply of unfiltered disinfected drinking water from Melbourne's fully protected catchments means that the water-quality managers must ensure that the source water poses no public health risk. High turbidity is currently used as a surrogate of pathogens, and harvesting of water is based on its measurement. The work presented here summarises suspended particle and associated pathogen, microbial indicator and faecal biomarker concentrations collected to (a) quantify turbidity in an Australian water supply system and (b) assess the possibility of increasing water harvesting from selected tributaries. Pathogens and microbial indicators were present in low numbers in these source waters; increased turbidity during storm events was not associated with an increase in pathogen concentration. The results confirmed that protected catchments, along with good management, were effective barriers to pathogen contamination. Aesthetic issues still need to be addressed, but no measurable increase in microbiological risk was associated with storm-generated particles.
- Published
- 2004
34. Application of most-probable-number statistics to direct enumeration of microorganisms.
- Author
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Roser DJ, Bavor HJ, and McKersie SA
- Abstract
A novel method for rapid determination of total microbial cell numbers was investigated. The method involves the application of most-probable-number estimation statistics to direct microscopic counting of microbial cells by using a particle sizing graticule. Its accuracy and reliability were tested with computer simulations of bacterial cell distributions encountered in ecological studies. Good estimates of cell numbers were obtained when the cell density varied from 3 to 6,000 cells per field, i.e., over 3 orders of magnitude. Low levels of contagion did not markedly influence cell estimates, although high levels, corresponding to discrete scattered microcolonies, did. However, these could be recognized visually. Estimates of cell numbers in Breed smears confirmed its speed and good correlation with the standard quadrat counting technique under real experimental conditions.
- Published
- 1987
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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