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Objective:Healthcare facilities are a well-known high-risk environment for transmission of M. tuberculosis, the etiologic agent of tuberculosis (TB) disease. However, the link between M. tuberculosis transmission in healthcare facilities and its role in the general TB epidemic is unknown. We estimated the proportion of overall TB transmission in the general population attributable to healthcare facilities.Methods:We combined data from a prospective, population-based molecular epidemiologic study with a universal electronic medical record (EMR) covering all healthcare facilities in Botswana to identify biologically plausible transmission events occurring at the healthcare facility. Patients with M. tuberculosis isolates of the same genotype visiting the same facility concurrently were considered an overlapping event. We then used TB diagnosis and treatment data to categorize overlapping events into biologically plausible definitions. We calculated the proportion of overall TB cases in the cohort that could be attributable to healthcare facilities.Results:In total, 1,881 participants had TB genotypic and EMR data suitable for analysis, resulting in 46,853 clinical encounters at 338 healthcare facilities. We identified 326 unique overlapping events involving 370 individual patients; 91 (5%) had biologic plausibility for transmission occurring at a healthcare facility. A sensitivity analysis estimated that 3%–8% of transmission may be attributable to healthcare facilities.Conclusions:Although effective interventions are critical in reducing individual risk for healthcare workers and patients at healthcare facilities, our findings suggest that development of targeted interventions aimed at community transmission may have a larger impact in reducing TB.

Tuberculosis (TB) elimination requires interrupting transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis. We used a multidisciplinary approach to describe TB transmission in 2 sociodemographically distinct districts in Botswana (Kopanyo Study). During August 2012–March 2016, all patients who had TB were enrolled, their sputum samples were cultured, and M. tuberculosis isolates were genotyped by using 24-locus mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units–variable number of tandem repeats. Of 5,515 TB patients, 4,331 (79%) were enrolled. Annualized TB incidence varied by geography (range 66–1,140 TB patients/100,000 persons). A total of 1,796 patient isolates had valid genotyping results and residential geocoordinates; 780 (41%) patients were involved in a localized TB transmission event. Residence in areas with a high burden of TB, age

IntroductionCombining genomic and geospatial data can be useful for understanding Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) transmission in high tuberculosis burden settings.MethodsWe performed whole genome sequencing (WGS) on Mtb DNA extracted from sputum cultures from a population-based tuberculosis study conducted in 2012–2016 in Gaborone, Botswana. We used kernel density estimation, spatial K-functions, and created spatial distributions of phylogenetic trees. WGS-based clusters of isolates ≤5 single nucleotide polymorphisms were considered recent transmission, and large WGS-based clusters (≥10 members) were considered outbreaks.ResultsWe analyzed data from 1449 participants with culture-confirmed TB. Among these, 946 (65%) participants had both molecular and geospatial data. A total of 62 belonged to five large outbreaks (10–19 participants each). Geospatial clustering was detected in two of the five large outbreaks, suggesting heterogeneous spatial patterns within the community.ConclusionsIntegration of genomic and geospatial data identified distinct patterns of tuberculosis transmission in a high-tuberculosis burden setting. Targeted interventions in these smaller geographies may interrupt on-going transmission.

BackgroundClinical scores to determine early (6-month) antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality risk have not been developed for sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), home to 70% of people living with HIV. In the absence of validated scores, WHO eligibility criteria (EC) for ART care intensification are CD4 MethodsWe used Botswana XPRES trial data for adult ART enrollees to develop CD4-independent and CD4-dependent multivariable prognostic models for 6-month mortality. Scores were derived by rescaling coefficients. Scores were developed using the first 50% of XPRES ART enrollees, and their accuracy validated internally and externally using South African TB Fast Track (TBFT) trial data. Predictive accuracy was compared between scores and WHO EC.ResultsAmong 5553 XPRES enrollees, 2838 were included in the derivation dataset; 68% were female and 83 (3%) died by 6 months. Among 1077 TBFT ART enrollees, 55% were female and 6% died by 6 months. Factors predictive of 6-month mortality in the derivation dataset atp 37.5 °C (2 points). The same variables plus CD4 ConclusionsSensitivity of the CD4-independent score was nearly twice that of WHO stage in predicting 6-month mortality and could be used in settings lacking CD4 testing to inform ART care intensification. The CD4-dependent score improved specificity versus WHO EC. Both scores should be considered for scale-up in SSA.

Twenty-two clinics providing HIV care and treatment in Botswana where tuberculosis (TB) and HIV comorbidity is as high as 49%.To assess eligibility of TB preventive treatment (TPT) at antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation and at four follow-up visits (FUVs), and to describe the TB prevalence and associated factors at baseline and yield of TB diagnoses at each FUV.A prospective study of routinely collected data on people living with HIV (PLHIV) enrolled into care for the XpertOf 6041 PLHIV initiating ART, eligibility for TPT was 69% (4177/6041) at baseline and 93% (5408/5815); 95% (5234/5514); 96% (4869/5079); and 97% (3925/4055) at FUV1, FUV2, FUV3, and FUV4, respectively. TB prevalence at baseline was 11% and 2%, 3%, 3% and 6% at each subsequent FUV. At baseline, independent risk factors for prevalent TB were CD4200 cells/mmEligibility for TPT initiation is higher at visits post-ART initiation, while most cases of active TB were identified at ART initiation. Missed opportunities for TB further compromises TB control effort among PLHIV in Botswana.Veintidós consultorios que prestan atención y tratamiento relacionados con la infección por el virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH) en Botswana, donde la comorbilidad por tuberculosis (TB) e infección por el VIH puede alcanzar 49%.Evaluar los criterios para recibir el tratamiento preventivo de la TB (TPT) durante las consultas de iniciación y seguimiento del tratamiento antirretrovírico (TAR) y describir la prevalencia de TB y los factores asociados en el momento del inicio y el rendimiento del diagnóstico de TB en cada cita de seguimiento del TAR.Fue este un estudio prospectivo de los datos obtenidos sistemáticamente en las personas con infección por el VIH (PLHIV), inscritas en la atención para el estudio de evaluación del despliegue de la prueba XpertDe los 6041 PLHIV que iniciaron el TAR, 69% (4177/6041) cumplía los criterios para recibir el TPT al comienzo; 93% (5408/5815) en la primera consulta de seguimiento; 95% (5234/5514) en la segunda; 96% (4869/5079) en la tercera; y 97% (3925/4075) en la cuarta cita de seguimiento. La prevalencia inicial de TB fue 11% y durante el seguimiento fue 2%, 3%, 3% y 6%, respectivamente. Al comienzo del TAR, los factores de riesgo independientes de diagnóstico de TB fueron una cifra de linfocitos CD4200 células/mmLos pacientes cumplen las condiciones para recibir el TPT con mayor frecuencia en las consultas posteriores al comienzo del TAR, pero la mayoría de los casos de TB activa se detecta al iniciarlo. Las oportunidades desaprovechadas para detectar casos de TB dificultan aún más el control de esta enfermedad en las PLHIV en Botswana.

Contact investigation is one public health measure used to prevent tuberculosis by identifying and treating persons exposed to Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Contact investigations are a major tenet of global tuberculosis elimination efforts, but for many reasons remain ineffective. We describe a novel neighbor-based approach to reframe contact investigations.

Background Undiagnosed tuberculosis (TB) remains the most common cause of HIV-related mortality. Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) is being rolled out globally to improve TB diagnostic capacity. However, previous Xpert impact trials have reported that health system weaknesses blunted impact of this improved diagnostic tool. During phased Xpert rollout in Botswana, we evaluated the impact of a package of interventions comprising (1) additional support for intensified TB case finding (ICF), (2) active tracing for patients missing clinic appointments to support retention, and (3) Xpert replacing sputum-smear microscopy, on early (6-month) antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality. Methods At 22 clinics, ART enrollees > 12 years old were eligible for inclusion in three phases: a retrospective standard of care (SOC), prospective enhanced care (EC), and prospective EC plus Xpert (EC+X) phase. EC and EC+X phases were implemented as a stepped-wedge trial. Participants in the EC phase received SOC plus components 1 (strengthened ICF) and 2 (active tracing) of the intervention package, and participants in the EC+X phase received SOC plus all three intervention package components. Primary and secondary objectives were to compare all-cause 6-month ART mortality between SOC and EC+X and between EC and EC+X phases, respectively. We used adjusted analyses, appropriate for study design, to control for baseline differences in individual-level factors and intra-facility correlation. Results We enrolled 14,963 eligible patients: 8980 in SOC, 1768 in EC, and 4215 in EC+X phases. Median age of ART enrollees was 35 and 64% were female. Median CD4 cell count was lower in SOC than subsequent phases (184/μL in SOC, 246/μL in EC, and 241/μL in EC+X). By 6 months of ART, 461 (5.3%) of SOC, 54 (3.2%) of EC, and 121 (3.0%) of EC+X enrollees had died. Compared with SOC, 6-month mortality was lower in the EC+X phase (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.61–0.97, p = 0.029). Compared with EC enrollees, 6-month mortality was similar among EC+X enrollees. Conclusions Interventions to strengthen ICF and retention were associated with lower early ART mortality. This new evidence highlights the need to strengthen ICF and retention in many similar settings. Similar to other trials, no additional mortality benefit of replacing sputum-smear microscopy with Xpert was observed. Trial registration Retrospectively registered: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02538952)

Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission dynamics in high-burden settings are poorly understood. Growing evidence suggests transmission may be characterized by extensive individual heterogeneity in secondary cases (i.e., superspreading), yet the degree and influence of such heterogeneity is largely unknown and unmeasured in high burden-settings. We conducted a prospective, population-based molecular epidemiology study of TB transmission in both an urban and rural setting of Botswana, one of the highest TB burden countries in the world. We used these empirical data to fit two mathematical models (urban and rural) that jointly quantified both the effective reproductive number, [Formula: see text], and the propensity for superspreading in each population. We found both urban and rural populations were characterized by a high degree of individual heterogeneity, however such heterogeneity disproportionately impacted the rural population: 99% of secondary transmission was attributed to only 19% of infectious cases in the rural population compared to 60% in the urban population and the median number of incident cases until the first outbreak of 30 cases was only 32 for the rural model compared to 791 in the urban model. These findings suggest individual heterogeneity plays a critical role shaping local TB epidemiology within subpopulations.

Rifapentine has facilitated treatment shortening for latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) in combination with isoniazid once weekly for 3 months (3HP) or daily for 1 month (1HP). Our objective was to determine the optimal rifapentine dose for a 6-week monotherapy regimen (6wP) and predict clinical efficacy. Rifapentine and isoniazid pharmacokinetics were simulated in mice and humans. Mouse lung CFU data were used to characterize exposure-response relationships of 1HP, 3HP, and 6wP and translated to predict clinical efficacy. A 600-mg daily dose for 6wP delivered greater cumulative rifapentine exposure than 1HP or 3HP. The maximum regimen effect (Emax) was 0.24 day21. The regimen potencies, measured as the concentration at 50% of Emax (EC50), were estimated to be 2.12 mg/liter for 3HP, 3.72 mg/liter for 1HP, and 4.71 mg/liter for 6wP, suggesting that isoniazid contributes little to 1HP efficacy. Clinical translation predicted that 6wP reduces bacterial loads at a higher rate than 3HP and to a greater extent than 3HP and 1HP. 6wP (600 mg daily) is predicted to result in equal or better efficacy than 1HP and 3HP for LTBI treatment without the potential added toxicity of isoniazid. Results from ongoing and future clinical studies will be required to support these findings.

BackgroundPatients with non-tuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) or Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) pulmonary disease may have similar clinical presentation. The potential for misdiagnosis and inappropriate treatment exists in settings with limited testing capacity for Xpert® MTB/RIF (Xpert), phenotypic culture and NTM speciation. We describe treatment outcomes among people living with HIV (PLHIV) who received anti-tuberculosis treatment and were found to have NTM or MTB positive sputum cultures.MethodsPLHIV attending one of the 22 participating HIV clinics, who screened positive for ≥1 tuberculosis (TB) symptoms (cough, fever, night sweats, or weight loss) were asked to submit sputa for culture and speciation from August 2012 to November 2014. The national intensified TB case finding algorithms were followed: initially symptomatic patients were evaluated by testing sputum samples using a smear (smear-based TB diagnostic algorithm) and, after GeneXpert instruments were installed, by testing with Xpert (Xpert-based TB diagnostic algorithm). Within the study period, TB diagnostic algorithms used for MTB did not include screening, diagnosis, and management of NTM. Despite MTB negative culture, some symptomatic patients, including those with NTM positive culture, received empirical anti-TB treatment at the discretion of treating clinicians. Per the World Health Organization treatment outcomes classification: died, treatment failure or loss-to-follow-up were classified as unfavorable (unsuccessful) outcome; cured and treatment completed were classified as favorable (successful) outcome. Empiric treatment was defined as initiating treatment without or before receiving a test result indicating MTB. We compare treatment outcomes and characteristics among patients with NTM or MTB positive culture who received anti-TB treatment.ResultsAmong 314 PLHIV, who were found co-infected with TB, 146 cases had microbiological evidence; and for 131/146 MTB positive cultures were reported. One-hundred fifty-two of the 314 were clinically diagnosed with TB and treated empirically. Among those empirically treated for TB, 36/152 had culture results positive for NTM, and another 43/152 had culture results positive for MTB, reported after patients received empirical anti-TB treatment. Overall, MTB positive culture results were reported for 174 (131 plus 43) patients. Treatment outcomes were available for 32/36 NTM and 139/174 MTB; unfavorable outcomes were 12.5% and 8.7% for NTM and MTB, respectively, p = 0.514, respectively. For 34/36 tested NTM patients, all Xpert results indicated 'no MTB'. Among patients who initially received empiric anti-TB treatment and ultimately were found to have MTB positive culture, the unfavorable outcome was 11.8% (4/34), compared to 12.5% (4/32) of patients with NTM positive culture, Fisher's exact test p = 1.00.ConclusionsWhile the higher unfavorable outcome was non statistically significant, the impact of inappropriate treatment among NTM patients should not be overlooked. Our findings suggest that Xpert has the potential to rapidly rule-out NTM and avoid sub-optimal treatment; further research is needed to evaluate such potential.

Tuberculosis caused by concurrent infection with multiple Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains (i.e., mixed infection) challenges clinical and epidemiologic paradigms. We explored possible transmission mechanisms of mixed infection in a population-based, molecular epidemiology study in Botswana during 2012-2016. We defined mixed infection as multiple repeats of alleles at >2 loci within a discrete mycobacterial interspersed repetitive unit-variable-number tandem-repeat (MIRU-VNTR) result. We compared mixed infection MIRU-VNTR results with all study MIRU-VNTR results by considering all permutations at each multiple allele locus; matched MIRU-VNTR results were considered evidence of recently acquired strains and nonmatched to any other results were considered evidence of remotely acquired strains. Among 2,051 patients, 34 (1.7%) had mixed infection, of which 23 (68%) had recently and remotely acquired strains. This finding might support the mixed infection mechanism of recent transmission and simultaneous remote reactivation. Further exploration is needed to determine proportions of transmission mechanisms in settings where mixed infections are prevalent.

Twenty-two human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) clinics in Botswana.To compare sputum collection rates, sputum quality and volume, and tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis rates before and after field efforts to improve sputum collection among individuals newly diagnosed with HIV with TB symptoms.Newly diagnosed individuals living with HIV attending 22 HIV clinics in Botswana were screened for TB from August 2012 to March 2014. Starting in May 2013, a field intervention composed of the introduction of a tracking log for presumed TB patients, and patient instructions and sputum induction to improve sputum collection rates was implemented.Prior to the intervention, sputum collection rates were 44.1% (384/870). Subsequently, sputum collection increased to 58.3% (579/993) (Sputum collection rates among presumptive TB cases, as well as sputum quality and volume improved after implementation of the field intervention. To improve sputum collection rates, efforts at the program level should be ongoing.Vingt-deux dispensaires pour l’infection par le virus de l’immunodéficience humaine (VIH) au Botswana.Examiner les niveaux de qualité des crachats, leur volume, et le diagnostic de TB avant et après les efforts sur le terrain d’amélioration du recueil des crachats parmi les individus ayant récemment eu un diagnostic de VIH avec des symptômes de TB.Les personnes nouvellement diagnostiquées, vivant avec le VIH (PLHIV) fréquentant 22 dispensaires VIH au Botswana ont eu un dépistage de TB entre août 2012 et mars 2014. Les patients ayant des symptômes de TB ont été invités à fournir des échantillons de crachats. A partir de mai 2013, a été mise en œuvre une intervention de terrain composée de l’introduction d’un registre de suivi des patients présumés atteints de TB, de l’instruction du patient et de l’induction de crachats afin d’améliorer les taux de recueil de crachats. Les taux de recueil de crachats, leur qualité, leur volume et le rendement ont été comparés avant et après l’intervention.Avant l’intervention, les taux de recueil des crachats ont été de 44,1% (384/870). Le recueil de crachats a ensuite augmenté à 58,3% (579/993) (Les taux de recueil de crachats parmi les cas de TB présumés ainsi que la qualité et le volume des crachats se sont améliorés après la mise en œuvre de l’intervention sur le terrain. Des efforts continus sont cependant requis au niveau du programme afin d’améliorer les taux de recueil des crachats.Veintidós consultorios de atención de la infección por el virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana (VIH) en Botswana.Examinar la calidad y el volumen de las muestras de esputo y el diagnóstico de tuberculosis (TB) antes y después de ejecutar iniciativas sobre el terreno encaminadas a mejorar la recolección de esputo, en personas con diagnóstico reciente de infección por el VIH que presentan síntomas indicativos de TB.Se realizó el tamizaje de la TB en las personas con diagnóstico reciente de infección por el VIH que acudieron a 22 consultorios de atención de la infección por el VIH en Botswana, de agosto del 2012 a marzo del 2014. Se solicitaron muestras de esputo a los pacientes con síntomas de TB. A partir de mayo del 2013, se llevó a cabo una intervención sobre el terreno que comportaba la introducción de un registro de rastreo de los pacientes con presunción de tuberculosis, instrucciones a los pacientes y la inducción del esputo con el fin de mejorar las tasas de recolección de muestras de esputo. Se compararon las tasas de obtención de muestras, su calidad y su volumen antes y después de la intervención.La tasa de recolección de esputo fue 44,1% (384/870) antes de la intervención y 58,3% (579/993) después de la misma (Tras la introducción de una intervención sobre el terreno se mejoró la tasa de obtención de muestras de esputo, su calidad y su volumen en los casos con presunción de TB. Se precisan no obstante esfuerzos permanentes a escala programática que mejoren las tasas de recolección.

Background Xpert® MTB/RIF (Xpert) has high sensitivity for diagnosing tuberculosis (TB) compared to sputum-smear microscopy (smear) and can reduce time-to-diagnosis, time-to-treatment and potentially unfavorable patient-level treatment outcome. Methods People living with HIV (PLHIV) initiating antiretroviral therapy at 22 HIV clinics were enrolled and underwent systematic screening for TB (August 2012–November 2014). GeneXpert instruments were deployed following a stepped-wedge design at 13 centers from October 2012–June 2013. Treatment outcomes classified as an unfavorable outcome (died, treatment failure or loss-to-follow-up) or favorable outcome (cured and treatment completed). To determine outcome, smear was performed at month 5 or 6. Empiric treatment was defined as initiating treatment without/before receiving TB-positive results. Adjusting for intra-facility correlation, we compared patient-level treatment outcomes between patients screened using smear (smear arm)- and Xpert-based algorithms (Xpert arm). Results Among 6041 patients enrolled (smear arm, 1816; Xpert arm, 4225), 256 (199 per 2985 and 57 per 1582 person-years of follow-up in Xpert and smear arms, respectively; adjusted incidence rate ratio, 9.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.70–17.48; p p = 0.268). Compared to smear, in Xpert arm median days from sputum collection to TB treatment was 6 days (interquartile range [IQR] 2–17 versus 22 days [IQR] 3–51), p = 0.005; patients with available sputum test result had microbiologically confirmed TB in 59.0% (102/173) versus 41.9% (18/43), adjusted Odds Ratio [aOR], 2.00, 95% CI: 1.01–3.96, p = 0.048). In smear arm empiric treatment was 68.4% (39/57) versus 48.7% (97/199), aOR, 2.28, 95% CI: 1.24–4.20, p = 0.011), compared to Xpert arm. Conclusions TB treatment outcomes were similar between the smear and Xpert arms. However, compared to the smear arm, more patients in the Xpert arm received a TB diagnosis, had a microbiologically confirmed TB, and had a shorter time-to-treatment, and had a lower empiric treatment. Further research is recommended to identify potential gaps in the Botswana health system and similar settings. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02538952. Retrospectively registered on 2 September 2015.

Background Among people living with HIV (PLHIV), more flexible and sensitive tuberculosis (TB) screening tools capable of detecting both symptomatic and subclinical active TB are needed to (1) reduce morbidity and mortality from undiagnosed TB; (2) facilitate scale-up of tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT) while reducing inappropriate prescription of TPT to PLHIV with subclinical active TB; and (3) allow for differentiated HIV–TB care. Methods and findings We used Botswana XPRES trial data for adult HIV clinic enrollees collected during 2012 to 2015 to develop a parsimonious multivariable prognostic model for active prevalent TB using both logistic regression and random forest machine learning approaches. A clinical score was derived by rescaling final model coefficients. The clinical score was developed using southern Botswana XPRES data and its accuracy validated internally, using northern Botswana data, and externally using 3 diverse cohorts of antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive and ART-experienced PLHIV enrolled in XPHACTOR, TB Fast Track (TBFT), and Gugulethu studies from South Africa (SA). Predictive accuracy of the clinical score was compared with the World Health Organization (WHO) 4-symptom TB screen. Among 5,418 XPRES enrollees, 2,771 were included in the derivation dataset; 67% were female, median age was 34 years, median CD4 was 240 cells/μL, 189 (7%) had undiagnosed prevalent TB, and characteristics were similar between internal derivation and validation datasets. Among XPHACTOR, TBFT, and Gugulethu cohorts, median CD4 was 400, 73, and 167 cells/μL, and prevalence of TB was 5%, 10%, and 18%, respectively. Factors predictive of TB in the derivation dataset and selected for the clinical score included male sex (1 point), ≥1 WHO TB symptom (7 points), smoking history (1 point), temperature >37.5°C (6 points), body mass index (BMI) 10) yielded TB prevalence of 1%, 1%, 2%, and 6% in the lowest risk group and 33%, 22%, 26%, and 32% in the highest risk group for XPRES, XPHACTOR, TBFT, and Gugulethu cohorts, respectively. At clinical score ≥2, the number needed to screen (NNS) ranged from 5.0 in Gugulethu to 11.0 in XPHACTOR. Limitations include that the risk score has not been validated in resource-rich settings and needs further evaluation and validation in contemporary cohorts in Africa and other resource-constrained settings. Conclusions The simple and feasible clinical score allowed for prioritization of sensitivity and NPV, which could facilitate reductions in mortality from undiagnosed TB and safer administration of TPT during proposed global scale-up efforts. Differentiation of risk by clinical score cutoff allows flexibility in designing differentiated HIV–TB care to maximize impact of available resources., Andrew Auld and colleagues evaluate a clinical score for active tuberculosis in persons with HIV infection., Author summary Why was this study done? Tuberculosis (TB) remains the most common cause of death among people living with HIV (PLHIV) and is often undiagnosed at time of death. Rapid scale-up of tuberculosis preventive therapy (TPT) to 13 million PLHIV in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) has been proposed for 2021; however, active TB is commonly asymptomatic and therefore missed by current WHO-recommended 4-symptom TB screening rules. Therefore, more sensitive TB screening tools are needed to better facilitate early TB diagnosis and safer scale-up of TPT to PLHIV by avoiding TPT prescription to clients with asymptomatic active TB, who need TB treatment. What did the researchers do and find? We derived a TB risk score for PLHIV from XPRES trial data and validated the score on 3 external datasets. We prioritized high sensitivity and ability to correctly rule out TB (i.e., high negative predictive value (NPV)) at key time points in care such as HIV clinic enrollment and before TPT prescription. Both logistic regression and random forest machine learning approaches were used to identify the 6 most important predictors, commonly available in LMIC clinic settings. In the external datasets, TB risk score ≥2 had higher sensitivity (87% to 97%) than WHO 4-symptom screening rule and increased NPV by 0.3% to 1.7%. Three risk groups were identified by the score, with active TB prevalence in external datasets ranging from 1% to 6% in the lowest to 22% to 32% in the highest risk groups. What do these findings mean? Following further validation, this clinical score could improve early detection of active TB to reduce morbidity and mortality from undiagnosed TB. Use of the clinical score cutoff of ≥2 during the proposed TPT scale-up for 13 million PLHIV could potentially avoid many thousands of PLHIV with active TB being inappropriately prescribed TPT. By differentiating 3 risk groups, the score also allows for the development of differentiated service delivery models suitable for LMIC.

Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTBC) is divided into several major phylogenetic lineages, with differential distribution globally. Using population-based data collected over a three year period, we performed 24-locus Mycobacterial Interspersed Repeat Unit – Variable Number Tandem Repeat (MIRU-VNTR) genotyping on all culture isolates from two districts of the country that differ in tuberculosis (TB) incidence (Gaborone, the capital, and Ghanzi in the Western Kalahari). The study objective was to characterize the molecular epidemiology of TB in these districts. Overall phylogenetic diversity mirrored that reported from neighboring Republic of South Africa, but differences in the two districts were marked. All four major lineages of M. tuberculosis were found in Gaborone, but only three of the four major lineages were found in Ghanzi. Strain diversity was lower in Ghanzi, with a large proportion (38%) of all isolates having an identical MIRU-VNTR result, compared to 6% of all isolates in Gaborone with the same MIRU-VNTR result. This study demonstrates localized differences in strain diversity by two districts in Botswana, and contributes to a growing characterization of MTBC diversity globally.

BACKGROUND: Compared with smear microscopy, Xpert® MTB/RIF has the potential to reduce delays in tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis and treatment initiation, and improve treatment outcomes. We reviewed publications comparing treatment outcomes of drug-susceptible TB patients diagnosed using Xpert vs. smear. METHODS: Citations (2000–2016) reporting treatment outcomes of patients diagnosed using Xpert compared with smear were selected from PubMed, Scopus and conference abstracts. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis. Favorable (cured, completed) and unfavorable (failure, death, loss to follow-up) outcomes were pooled for meta-analysis; we also reviewed the number of TB cases diagnosed, time to treatment and empiric treatment. The Mantel-Haenszel method with a fixed-effect model was used; I(2) was calculated to measure heterogeneity. RESULTS: From 13 citations, 43 594 TB patients were included and 4825 were with known TB treatment outcome. From the pooled analysis, an unfavorable outcomes among those diagnosed using Xpert compared with smear was 20.2%, 541/2675 vs. 21.9%, 470/2150 (risk ratio 0.92, 95%CI 0.82–1.02). Statistical heterogeneity was low (I(2) = 0.0%, P = 0.910). Compared with smear, Xpert was reported to be superior in increasing the number of TB patients diagnosed (2/9 citations), increasing bacteriologically confirmed TB (7/9 citations), reducing empiric treatment (3/5 citations), reducing time to diagnosis (2/3 citations), and reducing time to treatment initiation (1/5 citations). CONCLUSIONS: Xpert implementation showed no discernible impact on treatment outcomes compared with conventional smear despite reduced time to diagnosis, time to treatment or reduced level of empiric treatment. Further research is required to learn more about gaps in the existing health system.

INTRODUCTION: The World Health Organization endorsed (2010) the use of Xpert MTB/RIF and countries are shifting from smear microscopy (smear)-based to Xpert MTB/RIF-based tuberculosis (TB) diagnostic algorithms. As with smear, sputum quality may predict the likelihood of obtaining a bacteriologically-confirmed TB when using Xpert MTB/RIF. METHODS: From 08/12-11/2014, all people living with HIV were recruited at 22 clinics. For patients screened positive using the four TB symptoms their sputa were tested by Xpert MTB/RIF and smear. Laboratorians assessed and recorded sputum appearance and volume. The yield of bacteriologically-positive sputum evaluated using Xpert MTB/RIF and smear, likelihood-ratios were calculated. RESULTS: Among 6,041 patients enrolled 2,296 were presumptive TB, 1,305 (56.8%) had > 1 sputa collected and 644/1,305 (49.3%) had both Xpert MTB/RIF and smear results. Since >1 sputa collected from 644 patients 954 sputa were tested by Xpert MTB/RIF and smear. Bacteriologically-positive sputum was two-fold higher with Xpert MTB/RIF 11.4% versus smear 5.3%, p < 0.001. Sputum appearance and quantity were not predictive of bacteriologically-positive results, except volume of 2ml to < 3ml, tested by Xpert MTB/RIF LR+=1.26 (95% CI, 1.05–1.50). CONCLUSION: Xpert MTB/RIF test yield to bacteriologically-positive sputum was superior to smear. Sputum quality and quantity, however, were not consistently predictive of bacteriologically-positive results by Xpert MTB/RIF or smear.

Background In 2011, the Botswana National Tuberculosis Program adopted World Health Organization guidelines and introduced Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) assay to support intensified case finding among people living with HIV enrolling in care. An evaluation was designed to assess performance under operational conditions to inform the national Xpert scale-up. Methods Xpert was implemented from August 2012 through November 2014 with 13 GeneXpert instruments (GeneXpert) deployed in a phased approach over nine months: nine centralized laboratory and four point-of-care (POC) peripheral clinics. Clinicians and laboratorians were trained on the four-symptom tuberculosis screening algorithm and Xpert testing. We documented our experience with staff training and GeneXpert performance. Test results were extracted from GeneXpert software; unsuccessful tests were analysed in relation to testing sites and trends over time. Results During 276 instrument-months of operation a total of 3,630 tests were performed, of which 3,102 (85%) were successful with interpretable results. Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex was detected for 447 (14%); of these, 36 (8%) were rifampicin resistant. Of all 3,630 Xpert tests, 528 (15%) were unsuccessful; of these 361 (68%) were classified as “error”, 119 (23%) as “invalid” and 48 (9%) as “no result”. The total number of recorded error codes was 385 and the most common reasons were related to sample processing (211; 55%) followed by power supply (77; 20%) and cartridge/module related (54; 14%). Cumulative incidence of unsuccessful test was similar between POC (17%, 95% CI: 11–25%) and centralized laboratory-based GeneXpert instruments (14%, 95% CI: 11–17%; p = 0.140). Conclusions Xpert introduction was successful in the Botswana setting. The incidence of unsuccessful test was similar by GeneXpert location (POC vs. centralized laboratory). However, unsuccessful test incidence (15%) in our settings was higher than previously reported and was mostly related to improper sample processing. Ensuring adequate training among Xpert testing staff is essential to minimize errors.

Author(s): Shin, Sanghyuk S; Modongo, Chawangwa; Boyd, Rosanna; Caiphus, Cynthia; Kuate, Lesego; Kgwaadira, Botshelo; Zetola, Nicola M | Abstract: BackgroundFew studies have examined multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes among HIV-infected persons after widespread expansion of antiretroviral therapy (ART). We describe MDR-TB treatment outcomes among HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected patients in Botswana after ART expansion.MethodsWe retrospectively reviewed data from patients who started MDR-TB therapy in Botswana during 2006-2013. Multivariable regression models were used to compare treatment outcomes between HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected patients.ResultsWe included 588 MDR-TB patients in the analysis, of whom, 47 (8.0%) and 9 (1.5%) were diagnosed with pre-extensively drug-resistant (XDR)-TB and XDR-TB, respectively. Of the 408 (69.4%) HIV-infected patients, 352 (86.0%) were on ART or started ART during treatment, and median baseline CD4 T-cell count was 234 cells/mm. Treatment success rates were 79.4% and 73.0% among HIV-uninfected and HIV-infected patients, respectively (P = 0.121). HIV-infected patients with CD4 T-cell count l100 cells/mm were more likely to die during treatment compared with HIV-uninfected patients (adjusted risk ratio = 1.890; 95% CI: 1.098 to 3.254).ConclusionsHigh rates of treatment success were achieved with programmatic management of MDR-TB and HIV in Botswana after widespread expansion of ART. However, a 2-fold increase in mortality was observed among HIV-infected persons with baseline CD4 l100 cells/mm compared with HIV-uninfected persons.

Background In 2012, as a pilot for Botswana’s national Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) rollout plans, intensified tuberculosis (TB) case finding (ICF) activities were strengthened at 22 HIV treatment clinics prior to phased activation of 13 Xpert instruments. Together, the strengthened ICF intervention and Xpert activation are referred to as the “Xpert package”. Methods The evaluation, called the Xpert Package Rollout Evaluation using a Stepped-wedge design (XPRES), has two key objectives: (1) to compare sensitivity of microscopy-based and Xpert-based pulmonary TB diagnostic algorithms in diagnosing sputum culture-positive TB; and (2) to evaluate impact of the “Xpert package” on all-cause, 6-month, adult antiretroviral therapy (ART) mortality. A pragmatic, stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial design was chosen. The design involves enrollment of three cohorts: (1) cohort R, a retrospective cohort of all study clinic ART enrollees in the 24 months before study initiation (July 31, 2012); (2) cohort A, a prospective cohort of all consenting patients presenting to study clinics after study initiation, who received the ICF intervention and the microscopy-based TB diagnostic algorithm; and (3) cohort B, a prospective cohort of all consenting patients presenting to study clinics after Xpert activation, who received the ICF intervention and the Xpert-based TB diagnostic algorithm. TB diagnostic sensitivity will be compared between TB culture-positive enrollees in cohorts A and B. All-cause, 6-month ART-mortality will be compared between cohorts R and B. With anticipated cohort R, A, and B sample sizes of about 10,131, 1,878, and 4,258, respectively, the study is estimated to have >80 % power to detect differences in pre-versus post-Xpert TB diagnostic sensitivity if pre-Xpert sensitivity is ≤52.5 % and post-Xpert sensitivity ≥82.5 %, and >80 % power to detect a 40 % reduction in all-cause, 6-month, ART mortality between cohorts R and B if cohort R mortality is ≥13/100 person-years. Discussion Only one small previous trial (N = 424) among ART enrolees in Zimbabwe evaluated, in a secondary analysis, Xpert impact on all-cause 6-month ART mortality. No mortality impact was observed. This Botswana trial, with its larger sample size and powered specifically to detect differences in all-cause 6-month ART mortality, remains well-positioned to contribute understanding of Xpert impact. Trial registration Retrospectively registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02538952. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-016-1905-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.