1. Power sector carbon reduction review for South Korea in 2030.
- Author
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Choo, Hyunwoong, Kim, Yong-Gun, and Kim, Dongwoo
- Subjects
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NATURAL gas , *ENERGY industries , *POLLUTION control costs , *CARBON taxes , *AMMONIA gas , *CO-combustion , *CARBON pricing , *FOREST restoration - Abstract
This study investigates the cost-effectiveness and decarbonization of four essential carbon reduction strategies to achieve Korea's recent 2030 NDC (Nationally Determined Contribution) goal in the power sector. Examining overseas experiences and identifying potentials and challenges in implementing these strategies in Korea, this study explores the performance of future Korean power systems under fifty-four configurations combining these strategies. The evaluation results indicate that: 1) Thirty-one of the fifty-four tested configurations can achieve the emission target (149.9 MtCO 2 e) with carbon abatement costs (COA) ranging from -$89 to $105/tCO 2 e. The optimal configuration with the lowest COA is a combination of nuclear restoration and renewable expansion strategies. 2) Renewable expansion significantly reduces the COA and levelized cost of electricity (LCOE). A pure renewable expansion strategy with photovoltaics of 68 GW and wind turbines of 35 GW attains the emission goal at a COA of -$54/tCO 2 e , in which the generation share of renewables reaches 42%. 3) A carbon tax of $104/tCO 2 e achieves the target if complemented by nuclear restoration. Otherwise, $120/tCO 2 e is needed. The COA and LCOE are increases by switching from cheap coal to expensive natural gas in both cases. 4) Twenty percent coal–ammonia co-firing combined with a carbon tax of $32/tCO 2 e and nuclear restoration can achieve the goal with relatively high costs compared with the optimal strategies. However, a co-firing strategy is limited because the generation shrinks at a minimum level when 40% ∼ mixing ratios are applied, or when the fuel price gap between ammonia and natural gas becomes large. [Display omitted] • Four essential carbon reduction strategies are examined for South Korea 2030. • Combinations of the strategies achieve the 2030 reduction target (149.9 MtCO 2 e). • The resulting carbon abatement costs (COA) are ranging from -$89 to $105/tCO 2 e. • The lowest COA is achieved by a mix of nuclear restoration and renewable expansion. • A pure renewable expansion strategy attains the goal at COA -$54/tCO 2 e. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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