1. AlphaFold2 can predict single-mutation effects
- Author
-
McBride, John M., Polev, Konstantin, Abdirasulov, Amirbek, Reinharz, Vladimir, Grzybowski, Bartosz A., and Tlusty, Tsvi
- Subjects
Quantitative Biology - Biomolecules ,Physics - Biological Physics ,Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution - Abstract
AlphaFold2 (AF) is a promising tool, but is it accurate enough to predict single mutation effects? Here, we report that the localized structural deformation between protein pairs differing by only 1-3 mutations -- as measured by the effective strain -- is correlated across \num{3901} experimental and AF-predicted structures. Furthermore, analysis of ${\sim} 11000$ proteins shows that the local structural change correlates with various phenotypic changes. These findings suggest that AF can predict the range and magnitude of single-mutation effects on average, and we propose a method to improve precision of AF predictions and to indicate when predictions are unreliable.
- Published
- 2022