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Accurate snow depth observations are critical to assess water resources. More than a billion people rely on water from snow, most of which originates in the Northern Hemisphere mountain ranges. Yet, remote sensing observations of mountain snow depth are still lacking at the large scale. Here, we show the ability of Sentinel-1 to map snow depth in the Northern Hemisphere mountains at 1 km² resolution using an empirical change detection approach. An evaluation with measurements from ~4000 sites and reanalysis data demonstrates that the Sentinel-1 retrievals capture the spatial variability between and within mountain ranges, as well as their inter-annual differences. This is showcased with the contrasting snow depths between 2017 and 2018 in the US Sierra Nevada and European Alps. With Sentinel-1 continuity ensured until 2030 and likely beyond, these findings lay a foundation for quantifying the long-term vulnerability of mountain snow-water resources to climate change.

The timing and progression of the spring thaw transition in high northern latitudes (HNL) coincides with warmer temperatures and landscape thawing, promoting increased soil moisture and growing season onset of gross primary productivity (GPP), heterotrophic respiration (HR), and evapotranspiration (ET). However, the relative order and spatial pattern of these events is uncertain due to vast size and remoteness of the HNL. We utilized satellite environmental data records (EDRs) derived from complementary passive microwave and optical sensors to assess the progression of spring transition events across Alaska and Northern Canada from 2016 to 2020. Selected EDRs included land surface and soil freeze‐thaw status, solar‐induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) signifying canopy photosynthesis, root zone soil moisture (RZSM), and GPP, HR, and ET as indicators of ecosystem carbon and water‐energy fluxes. The EDR spring transition maps showed thawing as a precursor to rising RZSM and growing season onset. Thaw timing was closely associated with ecosystem activation from winter dormancy, including seasonal increases in SIF, GPP, and ET. The HR onset occurred closer to soil thawing and prior to GPP activation, reducing spring carbon (CO2) sink potential. The mean duration of the spring transition spanned ∼6 ± 1.5 weeks between initial and final onset events. Spring thaw timing and maximum RZSM were closely related to active layer thickness in HNL permafrost zones, with deeper active layers showing generally earlier thawing and greater RZSM. Our results confirm the utility of combined satellite EDRs for regional monitoring and better understanding of the complexity of the spring transition. Plain Language Summary: The transition from winter to spring in high northern latitudes coincides with warming and thawing temperatures, the release of soil moisture, and the start of the growing season. The pattern of spring transition events is hard to monitor due to vast size and remoteness of Arctic tundra and boreal forest. Here, we used environmental data records (EDRs) from recent satellite observations (2016–2020) to map spring transition events across Alaska and Northern Canada. The EDRs included surface and soil freeze‐thaw status, soil moisture, vegetation productivity and soil respiration, and evapotranspiration. The EDRs were used to classify the timing and order of spring activation in these processes. Spring thawing was closely linked with increased soil moisture, which coincided with the start of growing season. Rising carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from thawing soils generally preceded ecosystem uptake of CO2 from photosynthesis, reducing the spring carbon sink for atmosphere greenhouse gas emissions. On average, the spring transition spanned ∼6 weeks between initial and final onset events, with earlier timing in boreal forests than tundra. Earlier spring thawing and greater soil moisture levels also coincided with more extensive permafrost thawing. The satellite EDRs were effective in capturing multiple spring transition events and their climate sensitivity. Key Points: Satellite monitoring of complex of spring transition events in high northern latitudesSpring metrics linked with thaw‐related shifts in soil moisture and respiration, productivity, and water and energy fluxesSpring transition spans almost 6 weeks between initial landscape thaw and final growing season onset [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission Level-4 Soil Moisture (L4_SM) product provides 3-hourly, 9-km resolution, global estimates of surface (0-5 cm) and root-zone (0-100 cm) soil moisture and related land surface variables from 31 March 2015 to present with ~2.5day latency. The ensemble-based L4_SM algorithm assimilates SMAP brightness temperature (Tb) observations into the Catchment land surface model. This study describes the spatially distributed L4_SM analysis and assesses the observation-minus-forecast (O-F) Tb residuals and the soil moisture and temperature analysis increments. Owing to the climatological rescaling of the Tb observations prior to assimilation, the analysis is essentially unbiased, with global mean values of ~0.37 K for the O-F Tb residuals and practically zero for the soil moisture and temperature increments. There are, however, modest regional (absolute) biases in the O-F residuals (under ~3 K), the soil moisture increments (under ~0.01 m3 m-3), and the surface soil temperature increments (under ~1 K). Typical instantaneous values are ~6 K for O-F residuals, ~0.01 (~0.003) m3 m-3 for surface (root-zone) soil moisture increments, and ~0.6 K for surface soil temperature increments. The O-F diagnostics indicate that the actual errors in the system are overestimated in deserts and densely vegetated regions and underestimated in agricultural regions and transition zones between dry and wet climates. The O-F auto-correlations suggest that the SMAP observations are used efficiently in western North America, the Sahel, and Australia, but not in many forested regions and the high northern latitudes. A case study in Australia demonstrates that assimilating SMAP observations successfully corrects short-term errors in the L4_SM rainfall forcing.

This study investigates some of the benefits and drawbacks of assimilating Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) observations from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) into a land surface model over India. GRACE observes TWS depletion associated with anthropogenic groundwater extraction in northwest India. The model, however, does not represent anthropogenic groundwater withdrawals and is not skillful in reproducing the interannual variability of groundwater. Assimilation of GRACE TWS introduces long-term trends and improves the interannual variability in groundwater. But the assimilation also introduces a negative trend in simulated evapotranspiration whereas in reality evapotranspiration is likely enhanced by irrigation, which is also unmodeled. Moreover, in situ measurements of shallow groundwater show no trend, suggesting that the trends are erroneously introduced by the assimilation into the modeled shallow groundwater, when in reality the groundwater is depleted in deeper aquifers. The results emphasize the importance of representing anthropogenic processes in land surface modeling and data assimilation systems.

Uncertainties in L-band (1.4. GHz) microwave radiative transfer modeling (RTM) affect the simulation of brightness temperatures (Tb) over land and the inversion of satellite-observed Tb into soil moisture retrievals. In particular, accurate estimates of the microwave soil roughness, vegetation optical depth and scattering albedo for large-scale applications are difficult to obtain from field studies and often lack an estimate of uncertainty. Here, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation method is used to determine satellite-scale estimates of RTM parameters and their posterior uncertainty by minimizing the misfit between long-term averages and standard deviations of simulated and observed Tb at multiple incidence angles, at horizontal and vertical polarizations, and for morning and evening overpasses. Tb simulations are generated with the land model component of the Goddard Earth Observing System (version 5) and confronted with Tb observations from the Soil Moisture Ocean Salinity satellite mission. The maximum a posteriori density (MAP) parameter values reduce the root-mean-square differences between observed and simulated long-term Tb averages and standard deviations to 3.4. K and 2.3. K, respectively. The relative uncertainty of the posterior RTM parameter estimates is typically less than 25% of the MAP parameter value, whereas it exceeds 100% for literature-based prior parameter estimates. It is also shown that the parameter values estimated through Particle Swarm Optimization are in close agreement with those obtained from MCMC simulation. The MCMC results for the RTM parameter values and the uncertainties presented herein are directly relevant to the need for accurate Tb modeling in global land data assimilation systems. © 2014 Elsevier Inc.

Forcing a land surface model (LSM) offline with realistic global fields of precipitation, radiation, and near-surface meteorology produces realistic fields (within the context of the LSM) of soil moisture, temperature, and other land surface states. These fields can be used as initial conditions for precipitation and temperature forecasts with an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM). Their usefulness is tested in this regard by performing retrospective 1-month forecasts (for May through September, 1979–93) with the NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) seasonal prediction system. The 75 separate forecasts provide an adequate statistical basis for quantifying improvements in forecast skill associated with land initialization.Evaluation of skill is focused on the Great Plains of North America, a region with both a reliable land initialization and an ability of soil moisture conditions to overwhelm atmospheric chaos in the evolution of the meteorological fields. The land initialization does cause a small but statistically significant improvement in precipitation and air temperature forecasts in this region. For precipitation, the increases in forecast skill appear strongest in May through July, whereas for air temperature, they are largest in August and September. The joint initialization of land and atmospheric variables is considered in a supplemental series of ensemble monthly forecasts. Potential predictability from atmospheric initialization dominates over that from land initialization during the first 2 weeks of the forecast, whereas during the final 2 weeks, the relative contributions from the two sources are of the same order. Both land and atmospheric initialization contribute independently to the actual skill of the monthly temperature forecast, with the greatest skill derived from the initialization of both. Land initialization appears to contribute the most to monthly precipitation forecast skill.