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88 results on '"Reddie, Andrew W."'

1. Illustrations

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

2. 1 Shall We Play a Game? Fundamentals of Cyber Wargaming

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

3. Half Title Page

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

4. 14 Matrix Game Methodologies for Strategic Cyber and Information Warfare

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

5. Contributors

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

6. Part III: Conclusion

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

7. 15 Balancing Zealots and Skeptics About Emerging Technology: A Wargaming Blueprint for Innovation

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

8. 12 Develop the Dream: Prototyping a Virtual Cyber Wargame

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

9. 9 The Cyber 9/12 Strategy Challenge: Feedback Loops for Student Success

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

10. 13 Breathing Life into Military Doctrine through Cyber Gameplay

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

11. 11 Breaching the C-Suite: Cyber Wargaming in the Private Sector

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

12. 10 The Evolution of the North American Electric Reliability Corporation's Grid Security Exercise

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

13. 8 Playful Learning about Cybersecurity

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

14. Part II: Educational Games

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

15. 7 Games within Games: Cognition, Social Groups, and Critical Infrastructure

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

16. 6 Adding Time to the Cyber Kill Chain: The Merlin Tool for Wargaming

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

17. 4 Wargaming International and Domestic Crises: Island Intercept and Netwar

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

18. 2 Cyber Wargames as Synthetic Data

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

19. 5 Imperfect Information in Conventional Wargaming

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

20. Part I: Research Games

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

21. Acknowledgments

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

22. 3 Wargame Research on Cyber and Nuclear Crisis Dynamics

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

23. Title Page, Copyright

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

24. Other Titles of Interest from Georgetown University Press

Author

Schechter, Benjamin H., Kollars, Nina A., DeMuth, James, Lee, Hyong, Leitzel, Benjamin, Johnson, David H., Demchak, Chris C., Carvajal-Kim, Luis, Kovalsky, Maxim, Duncan, Matthew, Smith, III, Frank L., Shahwan Edwards, Safa, Haggman, Andreas, Shaffer, Rachael, Karppi, Steven, Peachey, Justin, Sepinsky, Jeremy, Lea, Catherine K., Schmitt, Paul S., McGrady, Ed, Dougherty, Chris, Jensen, Benjamin M., Banks, David, Schneider, Jacquelyn, Reinhardt, Jason C., Lakkaraju, Kiran, Goldblum, Bethany L., Booth, Ruby E., and Reddie, Andrew W.

Published
2024

25. Open-Source Assessments of AI Capabilities: The Proliferation of AI Analysis Tools, Replicating Competitor Models, and the Zhousidun Dataset

Author

Gupta, Ritwik, Walker, Leah, Glickman, Eli, Koizumi, Raine, Bhatnagar, Sarthak, and Reddie, Andrew W.

Subjects
Computer Science - Computers and Society
Abstract

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into military capabilities has become a norm for major military power across the globe. Understanding how these AI models operate is essential for maintaining strategic advantages and ensuring security. This paper demonstrates an open-source methodology for analyzing military AI models through a detailed examination of the Zhousidun dataset, a Chinese-originated dataset that exhaustively labels critical components on American and Allied destroyers. By demonstrating the replication of a state-of-the-art computer vision model on this dataset, we illustrate how open-source tools can be leveraged to assess and understand key military AI capabilities. This methodology offers a robust framework for evaluating the performance and potential of AI-enabled military capabilities, thus enhancing the accuracy and reliability of strategic assessments.

Published
2024

26. Evidence of the unthinkable: Experimental wargaming at the nuclear threshold

Author

Reddie, Andrew W and Goldblum, Bethany L

Subjects
Political Science, Human Society, Generic health relevance, experiments, nuclear weapons, wargaming, Applied Economics, Policy and Administration, Strategic, Defence & Security Studies, Development studies, Political science
Abstract

Ongoing nuclear modernization programs in Russia, China, and the USA have reopened longstanding debates among scholars concerning whether tailored nuclear weapons are likely to have destabilizing consequences for international security. Without data to adjudicate this debate, however, these discussions have remained entirely theoretical. In this article, we introduce an experimental wargaming platform, SIGNAL, to quantify the effect of tailored nuclear capabilities on the nuclear threshold in a simulated environment. We then compare these results with a survey experiment using scenarios related to military basing, cyber operations, and nuclear threats from the wargame environment. While the survey experiments suggest that the presence of tailored nuclear capabilities increases the likelihood of conflict escalation, this trend diminishes in the wargaming context. Across both data-generating processes, we find support for the proposition that lower-yield nuclear weapons are used as a substitute for their higher-yield counterparts. These results have consequences for recent and ongoing policy debates concerning strategic posture and the future of arms control. This work also makes methodological contributions to the design and application of experimental wargaming for social science research, particularly for scenarios where data are limited or non-existent.

Published
2023

27. Wargames as Data: Addressing the Wargamer's Trilemma

Author

Reddie, Andrew W., Booth, Ruby E., Goldblum, Bethany L., Lakkaraju, Kiran, and Reinhardt, Jason

Subjects
Economics - General Economics
Abstract

Policymakers often want the very best data with which to make decisions--particularly when concerned with questions of national and international security. But what happens when this data is not available? In those instances, analysts have come to rely on synthetic data-generating processes--turning to modeling and simulation tools and survey experiments among other methods. In the cyber domain, where empirical data at the strategic level are limited, this is no different--cyber wargames are quickly becoming a principal method for both exploring and analyzing the security challenges posed by state and non-state actors in cyberspace. In this chapter, we examine the design decisions associated with this method., Comment: 3 figures

Published
2023

30. Beyond New Start: The Future of Arms Control

Author

Reddie, Andrew W

Subjects
new start, arms control
Abstract

In February 2021, the Biden administration announced that it would exercise Article XIV of the New START Treaty—extending the last remaining bilateral arms control agreement between the United States and Russia for five years. The announcement came against the backdrop of a rapidly evolving arms control landscape. The collapse of the INF (Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces) Treaty and the U.S. withdrawal from the Open SkiesTreaty have led many to suggest that the existing arms control regime might be close to its end. Complicating matters arecgrowing calls for emerging military technologies like cyber andcartificial intelligence to be regulated by arms control agreements.These developments beg several questions for both policymakers and academics: Why does arms control matter today? What are the near-term challenges to the existing arms control regime? And what are the possible paths forward for arms control?

Published
2021

31. Experimental Wargames to Address the Complexity–Scarcity Gap

Author

Lakkaraju, Kiran, Reinhardt, Jason, Letchford, Joshua, Whetzel, Jonathan, Goldblum, Bethany L, and Reddie, Andrew W

Subjects
Clean Water and Sanitation
Abstract

National security decisions are driven by complex, interconnected contextual, individual, and strategic variables. Modeling and simulation tools are often used to identify relevant patterns, which can then be shaped through policy remedies. In the paper to follow, however, we argue that models of these scenarios may be prone to the complexity-scarcity gap, in which relevant scenarios are too complex to model from first principles and data from historical scenarios are too sparse - making it difficult to draw representative conclusions. The result are models that are either too simple or are unduly biased by the assumptions of the analyst. We outline a new method of quantitative inquiry - experimental wargaming - as a means to bridge the complexity-scarcity gap that offers human-generated, empirical data to inform a variety of model and simulation tasks (model building, calibration, testing, and validation). Below, we briefly describe SIGNAL - our first-of-a-kind experimental wargame designed to study strategic stability in conflict settings with nuclear weapons. We then highlight the potential utility of this data for modeling and simulation efforts in the future using this data.

Published
2020

32. The nuclear network: multiplex network analysis for interconnected systems

Author

Goldblum, Bethany L, Reddie, Andrew W, Hickey, Thomas C, Bevins, James E, Laderman, Sarah, Mahowald, Nathaniel, Wright, Austin P, Katzenson, Elie, and Mubarak, Yara

Subjects
Information and Computing Sciences, Communications Engineering, Engineering, Applied Computing, Behavioral and Social Science, Infectious Diseases, Brain Disorders, Network science, Multiplex modeling, Nuclear proliferation, Communications engineering, Applied computing
Abstract

States facing the decision to develop a nuclear weapons program do so within a broader context of their relationships with other countries. How these diplomatic, economic, and strategic relationships impact proliferation decisions, however, remains under-specified. Adding to the existing empirical literature that attempts to model state proliferation decisions, this article introduces the first quantitative heterogeneous network analysis of how networks of conflict, alliances, trade, and nuclear cooperation interact to spur or deter nuclear proliferation. Using a multiplex network model, we conceptualize states as nodes linked by different modes of interaction represented on individual network layers. Node strength is used to quantify factors correlated with nuclear proliferation and these are combined in a weighted sum across layers to provide a metric characterizing the proliferation behavior of the state. This multiplex network modeling approach provides a means for identifying states with the highest relative likelihood of proliferation—based only on their relationships to other states. This work demonstrates that latent conflict and nuclear cooperation are positively correlated with proliferation, while an increased trade dependence suggests a decreased proliferation likelihood. A case study on Iran’s controversial nuclear program and past nuclear activity is also provided. These findings have clear, policy-relevant conclusions related to alliance posture, sanctions policy, and nuclear assistance.

Published
2019

33. Next-generation wargames

Author

Reddie, Andrew W, Goldblum, Bethany L, Lakkaraju, Kiran, Reinhardt, Jason, Nacht, Michael, and Epifanovskaya, Laura

Subjects
Generic health relevance, General Science & Technology
Abstract

Technology enables new research designs, and more data

Published
2018

35. All hands on deck: advancing safeguards for naval nuclear materials

Author

Reddie, Andrew W and Goldblum, Bethany L

Subjects
Political Science
Abstract

With the continued use of unsafeguarded naval nuclear-propulsion programs in all nuclear-weapon states, the commissioning of an Indian nuclear submarine, and the potential investment in such programs by non-nuclear-weapon states including Brazil and South Korea, movement toward a regulatory regime for nuclear material in the naval sector has become imperative. Such a framework faces a recurring debate on adequately protecting sensitive military technology while delivering assurances that naval nuclear material is not diverted to nuclear-weapon programs. In this viewpoint, we examine various prospective mechanisms to regulate naval nuclear stocks and assess them in terms of their effectiveness and scope. Drawing on lessons from the drafting, negotiation, and implementation of the Model Additional Protocol, we recommend a safeguards regime for naval nuclear material via a protocol that supplements the existing global nuclear-governance system. This protocol provides a standardized yet flexible approach to naval nuclear-material safeguards across all states (whether nuclearweapon states, non-nuclear-weapon states, or outside the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons) to handle variations among naval nuclear fuel cycles and technologies.

Published
2018

39. CGSR_PoNG Workshop Summary

Author

Reddie, Andrew W., primary, Goldblum, Bethany, additional, Lakkaraju, Kiran, additional, Epifanovskaya, Laura, additional, Letchford, Joshua, additional, and Laderman, Sarah, additional

Published
2018
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