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Background There have been concerns about COVID-19 vaccination safety among frail older individuals. We investigated the relationship between COVID-19 mRNA vaccination and mortality among individuals aged ≥ 70 years and whether mortality varies across four groups of health services used. Methods In this nationwide cohort study, we included 688,152 individuals aged ≥ 70 years at the start of the Norwegian vaccination campaign (December 27, 2020). We collected individual-level data from the Norwegian Emergency Preparedness Register for COVID-19. Vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals were matched (1:1 ratio) on the date of vaccination based on sociodemographic and clinical characteristics. The main outcome was all-cause mortality during 21 days after first dose of COVID-19 mRNA vaccination. Kaplan-Meier survival functions were estimated for the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. We used Cox proportional-hazards regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of death between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs), overall and by use of health services (none, home-based, short- and long-term nursing homes) and age group. Results Between December 27, 2020, and March 31, 2021, 420,771 older individuals (61.1%) were vaccinated against COVID-19. The Kaplan-Meier estimates based on the matched study sample showed a small absolute risk difference in all-cause mortality between vaccinated and unvaccinated individuals, with a lower mortality in the vaccinated group (overall HR 0.28 [95% CI: 0.24–0.31]). Similar results were obtained in analyses stratified by use of health services and age group. Conclusion We found no evidence of increased short-term mortality among vaccinated individuals in the older population after matching on sociodemographic and clinical characteristics affecting vaccination and mortality. publishedVersion

Background: Whether the SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines may cause a transient increased stroke risk is uncertain. Methods: In a registry-based cohort of all adult residents at December 27, 2020, in Norway, we linked individual-level data on COVID-19 vaccination, positive SARS-CoV-2 test, hospital admissions, cause of death, health care worker status, and nursing home resident status extracted from the Emergency Preparedness Register for COVID-19 in Norway. The cohort was followed for incident intracerebral bleeding, ischemic stroke, and subarachnoid hemorrhage within the first 28 days after the first/second or third dose of mRNA vaccination until January 24, 2022. Stroke risk after vaccination relative to time not exposed to vaccination was assessed by Cox proportional hazard ratio, adjusted for age, sex, risk groups, health care personnel, and nursing home resident. Results: The cohort included 4 139 888 people, 49.8% women, and 6.7% were ≥80 years of age. During the first 28 days after an mRNA vaccine, 2104 people experienced a stroke (82% ischemic stroke, 13% intracerebral hemorrhage, and 5% subarachnoid hemorrhage). Adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) after the first/second and after the third mRNA vaccine doses were 0.92 (0.85–1.00) and 0.89 (0.73–1.08) for ischemic stroke, 0.81 (0.67–0.98) and 1.05 (0.64–1.71) for intracerebral hemorrhage, and 0.64 (0.46–0.87) and 1.12 (0.57–2.19) for subarachnoid hemorrhage, respectively. Conclusions: We did not find increased risk of stroke during the first 28 days after an mRNA SARS-CoV-2 vaccine.

Background Benefits of elevated high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels are challenged by reports demonstrating U-shaped relations between HDL-C levels and all-cause mortality; the association with cause-specific mortality is less studied. Methods A total of 344 556 individuals (20–79 years, 52 % women) recruited from population-based health screening during 1985–2003 were followed until the end of 2018 for all-cause and cause-specific mortality by serum HDL-C level at inclusion of 99 mg/dl (< 0.78, 0.78–1.01, 1.04–1.27, 1.30–1.53, 1.55–1.79, 1.81–2.04, 2.07–2.31, 2.33–2.56, >2.56 mmol/L). Hazard ratios (HRs) were adjusted for sex, age, calendar period, smoking, total cholesterol, triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, physical activity, educational length, body mass index and ill health. Results During a mean follow-up of 22 years, 69 505 individuals died. There were U-shaped associations between HDL-C levels and all-cause, cancer and non-cardiovascular disease/non-cancer mortality (non-CVD/non-cancer), whereas for CVD there was increased risk of death only at lower levels. With HDL-C stratum 50–59 mg/dl (1.30–1.53 mmol/L) as reference, HRs [95% confidence intervals (CIs)] for levels >99 mg/dl (>2.56 mmol/L) were 1.32 (1.21–1.43), 1.05 (0.89–1.24), 1.26 (1.09–1.46) and 1.68 (1.48–1.90) for all–cause, CVD, cancer and non–CVD/non–cancer mortality, respectively. For HDL-C levels Conclusions Higher HDL-C levels were associated with increased mortality risk of several diseases which also have been associated with heavy drinking, and lower HDL-C levels were associated with increased mortality from IHD, other CVDs, gastric cancer and diabetes.

Background: With recent changes in legislation regulating recreational and medical cannabis use around the globe, increased use in pregnancy is to be expected. Objectives: To investigate the association between cannabis use during pregnancy and birth outcomes. Method: Data from the Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study (MoBa), a prospective pregnancy cohort, were used. Participants were recruited from all over Norway between 1999 and 2008: 9,312 women with 10,373 pregnancies who reported use of cannabis before or in pregnancy. Women reported on their illegal drug use before pregnancy and at pregnancy weeks 17/18 and 30 and at 6 months postpartum. Linear regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted effects of prenatal cannabis exposure on birth outcomes. Results: In 10,101 pregnancies, women had used cannabis before pregnancy but not during pregnancy. In 272 pregnancies, women had used cannabis during pregnancy, and among these, in 63 pregnancies, women had used cannabis in at least 2 periods. In adjusted analyses for potential confounders, only cannabis use during at least 2 periods of pregnancy showed statistically significant effects on birth weight. The effect was observed in the complete cohort (B = −228 g, 95% CI = −354 to −102, p < 0.001) and for the subgroup where information about the child’s father was available (B = −225 g, 95% CI = −387 to −63, p = 0.01). Our results may indicate that prolonged use causes more harm, whereas short-term use did not indicate adverse effects on birth outcomes. Conclusions: There was a statistically significant and clinically relevant association between the use of cannabis during pregnancy and reduced birth weight. Clinicians should screen not only for cannabis use but also for the length and intensity of use as part of a comprehensive substance use screening This is an Open Access article licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-4.0 International License (CC BY-NC) (http://www.karger.com/Services/OpenAccessLicense), applicable to the online version of the article only. Usage and distribution for commercial purposes requires written permission.

IntroductionBreast cancer susceptibility gene (BRCA) mutation carriers are recommended to undergo early oophorectomy to prevent ovarian cancer. Premature loss of ovarian hormones may increase the risk of cardiovascular disease. Because women with preventive oophorectomy are mainly young and healthy, they rarely undergo specialized cardiological surveillance. We compared the risk of cardiovascular disease in women after preventive oophorectomy with reference women.MethodsIn an historical cohort study, we included 134 women aged ≤52 years after preventive oophorectomy and 268 age matched premenopausal reference women, aged 52 years or less, from the general population, excluding participants with diabetes or cardiovascular disease. The Norwegian risk assessment tool (NORRISK 2) was used to estimate 10 year cardiovascular risk. This algorithm was validated in a large Norwegian population and is based on age, smoking, systolic blood pressure, total and high density lipoprotein cholesterol, antihypertensive medication, and family history of cardiovascular disease. We also examined cardiometabolic factors (levels of triglycerides and high sensitivity C reactive protein, as well as body mass index and waist circumference) not included in the NORRISK 2 calculation.ResultsMedian age in the preventive oophorectomy and reference groups were 47 (range 33–52) and 46 (31–52) years, respectively. Mean time since surgery in the preventive oophorectomy group was 4.2 years (standard deviation (SD) 2.8). Ten year cardiovascular risk was similar in women after preventive oophorectomy and reference women (mean 1.15% (SD 1.00) vs 1.25 (1.09), respectively, p=0.4). Women in the preventive oophorectomy group had a lower body mass index (24.7 kg/m2 (4.0) vs 26.2 (4.8), p=0.003) and waist circumference (86 cm vs 89, p=0.006). The overall cardiovascular risk estimation was comparable among hormone therapy users and non-users, but hormone therapy users had lower total cholesterol and waist circumference.DiscussionWomen who underwent preventive oophorectomy had a similar risk of cardiovascular disease as population based reference women, estimated according to risk factors easily measured in general practice. Cardiometabolic risks were not increased in the preventive oophorectomy group.

Background The effect of oral anticoagulants (OAC) on prevention of stroke must be carefully balanced against the potential risk of bleeding in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). The net benefit of OAC in AF patients at intermediate risk of stroke remains unclear. Aim We aimed to determine whether the rates of ischemic and haemorrhagic stroke differ between users and non-users of OAC in a nationwide cohort of AF patients at intermediate risk of stroke. Method We investigated the association between initiation of OAC treatment and rates of ischemic and haemorrhagic stroke in a cohort of Norwegian patients with non-valvular AF aged ≥18 years with one non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk factor registered from 2011 to 2018, linking data from the Norwegian Population Registry, Patient Registry, Prescription Database and Cause of Death Registry. Individuals using OAC at baseline were excluded. Each individual had at least a three years look-back period for identification of their first non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk factor, after which they entered the study cohort and were followed until occurrence of stroke, death, emigration, higher CHA2DS2-VASc score or end of follow-up on December 31, 2018. Individuals were defined as exposed to OAC from the first redeemed prescription of OAC with a reimbursement code for AF and throughout follow-up. Rates of ischemic and haemorrhagic stroke were calculated as the number of stroke cases per 100 person-years, with 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results During 2011–2018, a total of 61,631 individuals with AF and intermediate risk of stroke were included (mean age 63,8±7,6 years (SD); 37% women), of whom 75% initiated OAC treatment. In total, 1709 ischemic strokes (405 cases in OAC users and 1304 in non-users) were registered during 214,738 person-years, and 378 haemorrhagic strokes (251 cases in OAC users and 127 in non-users) during 213,487 person-years. The rate of ischemic stroke was 0.39 (95% CI, 0.35–0.43) and 1.19 (95% CI, 1.12–1.25) per 100 person-years in OAC users and non-users, respectively. The haemorrhagic stroke rate was 0.24 (95% CI, 0.21–0-27) and 0.12 (95% CI, 0.10–0.14) per 100 person-years in OAC users and non-users, respectively. Both ischemic and haemorrhagic stroke rates were highest among those over 65 years of age (Figure 1). Conclusion In a nationwide cohort of Norwegian AF patients at intermediate risk of stroke, three out of four initiated treatment with OAC. Use of OAC was associated with a considerably lower rate of ischemic stroke compared to non-OAC use. Although haemorrhagic stroke rates were increased in the OAC-users vs. non-users, the hemorrhagic stroke rates were generally low. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Vestre Viken Health Trust Figure 1. Rates of ischemic and haemorrhagic stroke per 100 person-years in AF-patients at intermediate risk of stroke (CHA2DS2-VASc score 1 in men, score 2 in women) by OAC use during 2011 to 2018. Age corresponds to age at attainment of the first non-sex CHA2DS2-VASc risk factor.

AimsTo compare the population proportion at high risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) using the Norwegian NORRISK 1 that predicts 10-year risk of CVD mortality and the Norwegian national guidelines from 2009, with the updated NORRISK 2 that predicts 10-year risk of both fatal and non-fatal risk of CVD and the Norwegian national guidelines from 2017.MethodsWe included participants from the Norwegian population-based Tromsø Study (2015–2016) aged 40–69 years without a history of CVD (n=16 566). The total proportion eligible for intervention was identified by NORRISK 1 and the 2009 guidelines (serum total cholesterol ≥8 mmol/L, systolic blood pressure ≥160 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure ≥100 mm Hg) and NORRISK 2 and the 2017 guidelines (serum total cholesterol ≥7 mmol/L, low density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol ≥5 mmol/L, systolic blood pressure ≥160 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure ≥100 mm Hg).ResultsThe total proportion at high risk as defined by a risk score was 12.0% using NORRISK 1 and 9.8% using NORRISK 2. When including single risk factors specified by the guidelines, the total proportion eligible for intervention was 15.5% using NORRISK 1 and the 2009 guidelines and 18.9% using NORRISK 2 and the 2017 guidelines. The lowered threshold for total cholesterol and specified cut-off for LDL cholesterol stand for a large proportion of the increase in population at risk.ConclusionThe population proportion eligible for intervention increased by 3.4 percentage points from 2009 to 2017 using the revised NORRISK 2 score and guidelines.

Summary Background Studies suggest that high occupational physical activity increases mortality risk. However, it is unclear whether this association is causal or can be explained by a complex network of socioeconomic and behavioural factors. We aimed to examine the association between occupational physical activity and longevity, taking a complex network of confounding variables into account. Methods In this prospective cohort study, we linked data from Norwegian population-based health examination surveys, covering all parts of Norway with data from the National Population and Housing Censuses and the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. 437 378 participants (aged 18–65 years; 48·7% men) self-reported occupational physical activity (mutually exclusive groups: sedentary, walking, walking and lifting, and heavy labour) and were followed up from study entry (between February, 1974, and November, 2002) to death or end of follow-up on Dec 31, 2018, whichever came first. We estimated differences in survival time (death from all causes, cardiovascular disease, and cancer) between occupational physical activity categories using flexible parametric survival models adjusted for confounding factors. Findings During a median of 28 years (IQR 25–31) from study entry to the end of follow-up, 74 203 (17·0%) of the participants died (all-cause mortality), of which 20 111 (27·1%) of the deaths were due to cardiovascular disease and 29 886 (40·3%) were due to cancer. Crude modelling indicated shorter mean survival times among men in physically active occupations than in those with sedentary occupations. However, this finding was reversed following adjustment for confounding factors (birth cohort, education, income, ethnicity, prevalent cardiovascular disease, smoking, leisure-time physical activity, body-mass index), with estimates suggesting that men in occupations characterised by walking, walking and lifting, and heavy labour had life expectancies equivalent to 0·4 (95% CI −0·1 to 1·0), 0·8 (0·3 to 1·3), and 1·7 (1·2 to 2·3) years longer, respectively, than men in the sedentary referent category. Results for mortality from cardiovascular disease and cancer showed a similar pattern. No clear differences in survival times were observed between occupational physical activity groups in women. Interpretation Our results suggest that moderate to high occupational physical activity contributes to longevity in men. However, occupational physical activity does not seem to affect longevity in women. These results might inform future physical activity guidelines for public health. Funding The Norwegian Research Council (grant number 249932/F20).

PURPOSE: To improve the precision of prescription duration estimates when using the reverse waiting time distribution (rWTD).METHODS: For each patient we uniformly sampled multiple random index dates within a sampling window of length δ . For each index date, we identified the last preceding prescription redemption, if any, within distance δ . Based on all pairs of last prescription and index date, we estimated prescription durations using the rWTD with robust variance estimation. In simulation studies with increasing misspecification we investigated bias, root mean square error (RMSE) and coverage probability of the rWTD using multiple index dates (1, 5, 10, and 20). We applied the method to Danish data on warfarin prescriptions from 2013 to 2014 stratifying by and adjusting for sex and age. RESULTS: In simulation scenarios without misspecification, the relative bias was negligible (-0.04% to 0.01%) and nominal coverage probabilities almost retained (93.8%-95.4%). RMSE decreased with the number of random index dates (e.g., from 1.3 with 1 index date to 0.6 days with 5). With misspecification, the relative bias was higher irrespective of the number of index dates. Precision increased with the number of index dates, and hence coverage probabilities decreased. When estimating durations of warfarin prescriptions in Denmark, precision increased with number of index dates, in particular in strata with few patients (e.g., men 90+ years: width of 95% confidence interval was 16.2 days with 5 index dates versus 35.4 with 1).CONCLUSIONS: Increasing the number of random index dates used with the rWTD improved precision without affecting bias.

Aims Alcohol consumption has been linked to colorectal cancer (CRC) and also to the high-density lipoprotein cholesterol level (HDL-C). HDL-C has been associated with the incidence of CRC. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between self-reported alcohol consumption, HDL-C and incidence of CRC, separately for the two sites. Methods Altogether, 250,010 participants in Norwegian surveys have been followed-up for an average of 18 years with respect to a first-time outcome of colon or rectal cancer. During follow-up, 3023 and 1439 colon and rectal cancers were registered. Results For men, the HR per 1 drink per day was 1.05 with 95% confidence interval (0.98–1.12) for colon and 1.08 (1.02–1.15) for rectal cancer. The corresponding figures for women were 1.03 (0.97–1.10) and 1.05 (1.00–1.10). There was a positive association between alcohol consumption and HDL-C. HDL-C was inversely associated with colon cancer in men (0.74 (0.62–0.89) per 1 mmol/l) and positively associated with rectal cancer, although not statistically significant (1.15 (0.92–1.44). A robust regression that assigned weights to each observation and exclusion of weights ≤ 0.1 increased the HRs per 1 drink per day and decreased the HR per 1 mmol/l for colon cancer. The associations with rectal cancer remained unchanged. Conclusion Our results support a positive association between alcohol consumption and colon and rectal cancer, most pronounced for rectal cancer. Considering the positive relation between alcohol consumption and HDL-C, the inverse association between HDL-C and colon cancer in men remains unsettled., Short Summary: This study showed that the relation between alcohol consumption is somewhat stronger for rectal cancer than for colon cancer. Although there is a positive relation between levels of HDL and alcohol consumption, the relation between HDL and colon cancer in men is inverse. This finding warrants further studies.

Background Experimental animal studies suggest a novel role for the folate receptor 1 in β-cell differentiation in the pancreas, with potential implications for glycemic control. Objective We tested the hypothesis of a protective association between prenatal folic acid use and neonatal diabetes or hyperglycemia and type 1 diabetes in an observational cohort study using data from the national population health registers in Norway. Method All singleton pregnancies resulting in livebirths from 2005-2018 were identified. Prenatal exposure to folic acid was determined based on maternal report at antenatal care in early pregnancy. Diagnoses of neonatal diabetes, hyperglycemia, and type 1 diabetes for the children were identified. Associations were estimated with logistic regression or Cox proportional hazard model and included crude and adjusted estimates. Results Amongst 781,567 children, 69% had prenatal exposure to folic acid, 264 were diagnosed with neonatal diabetes or hyperglycemia, and 1390 with type 1 diabetes. Compared to children with no prenatal exposure to folic acid, children with prenatal exposure to folic acid had similar odds of having a neonatal diabetes or hyperglycemia diagnosis (adjusted odds ratio 0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.72, 1.25) and similar risk of being diagnosed with type 1 diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio 1.05, 95%CI 0.93, 1.18). Conclusion No association between prenatal folic acid exposure and neonatal diabetes/hyperglycemia or type 1 diabetes was found. These findings do not rule out a translational effect of the experimental results and future studies with longer follow-up and more precise information on the window of prenatal exposure are needed. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Background Stroke incidence rates declined in Norway during 2001 to 2014. Atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence rates were stable in the same period. Purpose We aimed to study time trends in incidence (first time) of acute stroke hospitalizations and stroke deaths associated with AF in Norway in the period 2001–2014. Methods Nationwide hospital discharge diagnoses in the Cardiovascular Disease in Norway (CVDNOR) database and in the National Patient Registry were linked to the National Cause of Death Registry. All hospitalizations with acute stroke (including ischemic stroke, intracerebral bleeding and unspecified stroke) and out-of-hospital deaths with stroke as underlying cause in individuals 25 years and older were obtained during 1994–2014. Incident stroke was defined as the first hospitalization or out-of-hospital death due to stroke with no hospitalization for acute stroke or stroke sequela the past 7 years. Stroke was defined as AF-related if AF was registered during a hospitalization the past 7 years, or as underlying or contributing cause of death up to 28 days after the stroke hospitalization. Age-standardized incidence rates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using direct standardization to the age-distribution in the Norwegian population per 2001. Age-adjusted average yearly incidence rate ratios (IRR) with 95% CIs were estimated by negative binomial regression analyses. Results From 2001 to 2014 we identified 157 580 incident stroke cases of which 38 317 were AF-related. The proportion of incident strokes that were related to AF increased from 20.6% in 2001 to 26.3% in 2014. Age-standardized incidence rates of AF-related strokes per 100,000 person years were stable at 88 (85, 92) in 2001 and 79 (76, 83) in 2014, corresponding to a 0% average yearly change, IRR 1.00 (0.99, 1.00). The age-standardized incidence rates of non-AF-related strokes per 100,000 person years decreased from 334 (328, 341) in 2001 to 214 (209, 219) in 2014, corresponding to a 3% average yearly decrease, IRR 0.97 (0.97, 0.97). Conclusion The favourable trend in total stroke incidence rates from 2001 to 2014 does not include AF-related strokes. This may suggest that AF has become accountable for a higher proportion of incident strokes or that AF detection improved over this period. Figure 1. Age-standardized incidence rates of stroke hospitalizations or out-of-hospital deaths per 100,000 person years (py) by year, illustrated as all strokes (blue horizontal line) and AF-related strokes (red horizontal line/height of red area). The height of the blue area illustrates the rate for non-AF related strokes. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Vestre Viken Hospital Trust (public hospital research fund)

Norwegian guidelines for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease recommend the use of the NORRISK-2 risk model, with some additions. We wished to investigate whether NORRISK-2 could predict cardiovascular disease in healthy Norwegian men who took part in the Oslo Ischaemia Study.NORRISK-2 scores were calculated for 2 014 men in the age group 40-60 years who were included in the Oslo Ischaemia Study in 1972-75. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate the hazard ratio for death and cardiovascular disease within ten years of the participants' initial assessment.No participant was lost to follow-up of the 2 014 men, 125 died in the first ten years after inclusion, 61 of whom died from cardiovascular disease. Those who died were older than those who survived, with a larger proportion of daily smokers, and they had higher systolic blood pressure and resting pulse, increased total cholesterol and lower physical fitness. The majority of those who died from acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke within ten years were classified in the high-risk group in NORRISK-2.NORRISK-2 satisfactorily identified the high-risk persons in this cohort of healthy, middle-aged Norwegian men. This supports use of the Norwegian guidelines in the decision on possible primary protection against cardiovascular disease.

Aim The aim of this study was to investigate whether the coffee brewing method is associated with any death and cardiovascular mortality, beyond the contribution from major cardiovascular risk factors. Methods and results Altogether, 508,747 men and women aged 20–79 participating in Norwegian cardiovascular surveys were followed for an average of 20 years with respect to cause-specific death. The number of deaths was 46,341 for any cause, 12,621 for cardiovascular disease (CVD), 6202 for ischemic heart disease (IHD), and 2894 for stroke. The multivariate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for any death for men with no coffee consumption as reference were 0.85 (082–0.90) for filtered brew, 0.84 (0.79–0.89) for both brews, and 0.96 (0.91–1.01) for unfiltered brew. For women, the corresponding figures were 0.85 (0.81–0.90), 0.79 (0.73–0.85), and 0.91 (0.86–0.96) for filtered, both brews, and unfiltered brew, respectively. For CVD, the figures were 0.88 (0.81–0.96), 0.93 (0.83–1.04), and 0.97 (0.89–1.07) in men, and 0.80 (0.71–0.89), 0.72 (0.61–0.85), and 0.83 (0.74–0.93) in women. Stratification by age raised the HRs for ages ≥60 years. The HR for CVD between unfiltered brew and no coffee was 1.19 (1.00–1.41) for men and 0.98 (0.82–1.15) for women in this age group. The HRs for CVD and IHD were raised when omitting total cholesterol from the model, and most pronounced in those drinking ≥9 of unfiltered coffee, per day where they were raised by 9% for IHD mortality. Conclusion Unfiltered brew was associated with higher mortality than filtered brew, and filtered brew was associated with lower mortality than no coffee consumption.

Background Norwegian guidelines for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease recommend the use of the NORRISK-2 risk model, with some additions. We wished to investigate whether NORRISK-2 could predict cardiovascular disease in healthy Norwegian men who took part in the Oslo Ischaemia Study. Material NORRISK-2 scores were calculated for 2 014 men in the age group 40-60 years who were included in the Oslo Ischaemia Study in 1972-75. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate the hazard ratio for death and cardiovascular disease within ten years of the participants' initial assessment. Results No participant was lost to follow-up of the 2 014 men, 125 died in the first ten years after inclusion, 61 of whom died from cardiovascular disease. Those who died were older than those who survived, with a larger proportion of daily smokers, and they had higher systolic blood pressure and resting pulse, increased total cholesterol and lower physical fitness. The majority of those who died from acute myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke within ten years were classified in the high-risk group in NORRISK-2. Interpretation NORRISK-2 satisfactorily identified the high-risk persons in this cohort of healthy, middle-aged Norwegian men. This supports use of the Norwegian guidelines in the decision on possible primary protection against cardiovascular disease.

PURPOSE: A pervasive problem in registry-based pharmacoepidemiological studies is what exposure duration to assign to individual prescriptions. The parametric waiting time distribution (WTD) has been proposed as a method to estimate such durations. However, when prescription durations vary due to seasonal stockpiling, WTD estimates will vary with choice of index date. To counter this, we propose using random index dates.METHODS: Within a calendar period of a given length, δ, we randomly sample individual index dates. We include the last prescription redemption prior to the index date in the analysis. Only redemptions within distance δ of the index date are included. In a simulation study with varying types and degrees of stockpiling at the end of the year, we investigated bias and precision of the reverse WTD with fixed and random index dates, respectively. In addition, we applied the new method to estimate durations of Norwegian warfarin prescriptions in 2014.RESULTS: In simulation settings with stockpiling, the reverse WTD with random index dates had low relative biases (-0.65% to 6.64%) and high coverage probabilities (92.0% to 95.3%), although when stockpiling was pronounced, coverage probabilities decreased (2.7% to 85.8%). Using a fixed index date was inferior. The estimated duration of warfarin prescriptions in Norway using random index dates was 131 (130; 132) days.CONCLUSIONS: In the presence of seasonal stockpiling, the WTD with random index dates provides estimates of prescription durations, which are more stable, less biased and with better coverage when compared to using a fixed index date.

Objective To study time trends in incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the entire Norwegian population from 2004 to 2014, by age and sex, and to estimate the prevalence of AF at the end of the study period. Methods A national cohort of patients with AF (≥18 years) was identified from inpatient admissions with AF and deaths with AF as underlying cause (1994– 2014), and AF outpatient visits (2008–2014) in the Cardiovascular Disease in Norway (CVDNOR) project. AF admissions or out-of-hospital death from AF, with no AF admission the previous 10 years defined incident AF. Age-standardised incidence rates (IR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated. All AF cases identified through inpatient admissions and outpatient visits and alive as of 31 December 2014 defined AF prevalence. Results We identified 175 979 incident AF cases (30% primary diagnosis, 69% secondary diagnosis, 0.6% outof-hospital deaths). AF IRs (95% confidence intervals) per 100 000 person years were stable from 2004 (433 (426–440)) to 2014 (440 (433–447)). IRs were stable or declining across strata of sex and age with the exception of an average yearly increase of 2.4% in 18–44 yearolds: IRR 1.024 (1.014–1.034). In 2014, the prevalence of AF in the adult population was 3.4%. Conclusions We found overall stable IRs of AF for the adult Norwegian population from 2004 to 2014. The prevalence of AF was 3.4% at the end of 2014, which is higher than reported in previous studies. Signs of an increasing incidence of early-onset AF (

To evaluate the predictive ability of the previously published NORRISK 2 cardiovascular risk model in Norwegian-born and immigrants born in South Asia living in Norway, and to add information about diabetes and ethnicity in an updated model for South Asians and diabetics (NORRISK 2-SADia). Design. We included participants (30–74 years) born in Norway (n = 13,885) or South Asia (n = 1942) from health surveys conducted in Oslo 2000–2003. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor information including self-reported diabetes was linked with information on subsequent acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and acute cerebral stroke in hospital and mortality registry data throughout 2014 from the nationwide CVDNOR project. We developed an updated model using Cox regression with diabetes and South Asian ethnicity as additional predictors. We assessed model performance by Harrell’s C and calibration plots. Results. The NORRISK 2 model underestimated the risk in South Asians in all quintiles of predicted risk. The mean predicted 13-year risk by the NORRISK 2 model was 3.9% (95% CI 3.7–4.2) versus observed 7.3% (95% CI 5.9–9.1) in South Asian men and 1.1% (95% CI 1.0–1.2) versus 2.7% (95% CI 1.7–4.2) observed risk in South Asian women. The mean predictions from the NORRISK 2-SADia model were 7.2% (95% CI 6.7–7.6) in South Asian men and 2.7% (95% CI 2.4–3.0) in South Asian women. Conclusions. The NORRISK 2-SADia model improved predictions of CVD substantially in South Asians, whose risks were underestimated by the NORRISK 2 model. The NORRISK 2-SADia model may facilitate more intense preventive measures in this high-risk population.

Purpose Since 2011, several direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs; dabigatran, rivaroxaban, apixaban) have been introduced as alternatives to warfarin for stroke prophylaxis in atrial fibrillation. We wanted to investigate changes in utilization of oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation in Norway following the introduction of DOACs. Methods Using nationwide registries, we identified all adults with pharmacy dispensings for warfarin or DOACs between January 2010 and December 2015 in Norway, and used ambulatory reimbursement codes to identify atrial fibrillation as indication. We defined incident use by a 1-year washout period. We describe trends in prevalent and incident use of warfarin and DOACs between 2010 and 2015, as well as patterns of treatment switching for incident users. Results One hundred twenty-nine thousand two hundred eighty-five patients filled at least one prescription for an oral anticoagulant for atrial fibrillation; the yearly number of incident users increased from 262 to 421 per 100,000 person-years; and the yearly share of incident users who initiated a DOAC increased to 82%. Half the prevalent users were on a DOAC by 2015. Within a year of drug initiation, 6, 12, 16 and 20% of incident users of apixaban, rivaroxaban, warfarin and dabigatran, respectively, switched oral anticoagulant. Conclusions Use of DOACs for anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation became more prevalent between 2010 and 2015 in Norway, at the expense of warfarin. © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany 2017. This is the authors' accepted and refereed manuscript to the article. Locked until 22 July 2018 due to copyright restrictions. The final publication is available at Springer via https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00228-017-2296-1

Background Guidelines for the prevention of cardiovascular disease recommend the estimation of an individual's total risk. We have developed a new model for the prediction of the 10-year risk of incident acute myocardial infarction or cerebral stroke based on Norwegian data, NORRISK 2. Design The model was based on 10-year follow-up of a large population-based cohort (CONOR) through linkage to the CVDNOR project, a database of cardiovascular disease hospital discharge diagnoses and mortality in Norway in 1994-2009. Methods We used the Fine and Gray regression model to estimate the 10-year risk adjusting for competing risk. The model population consisted of participants in 1994-1999 and the external validation population of participants in 2000-2003. We validated the model by area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration plots and analyses of sensitivity and specificity. Results The model population consisted of 31,445 men and 35,267 women aged 40-79 years with 3658 endpoints in men and 2459 in women. The external validation population consisted of 19,980 men and 19,309 women, of whom 1858 men and 874 women had an endpoint during follow-up. The area under the curve was 0.79 (0.79-0.80) in men and 0.84 (0.83-0.85) in women in the model population and was slightly lower in the external validation population. Calibration plots showed good agreement between observed and predicted risk. The sum of sensitivity and specificity was greatest around the suggested risk thresholds. Conclusion The NORRISK 2 model showed good validity in an external dataset and will be a valuable tool to guide decisions about preventive interventions in people without known previous cardiovascular disease.

PURPOSE An increasing consumption of opioids in the general population has been reported in several countries also among pregnant women. Limited information is available regarding the effect of prenatal exposure to analgesic opioids on long-term neurocognitive function in children. The primary aim of the study was to determine the association between prenatal exposure to analgesic opioids and language competence and communication skills at 3 years of age. METHODS The Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) prospectively included pregnant women during the period from 1999 to 2008. Participants reported medication use at pregnancy weeks 17-18 and 30, and 6 months after birth. Children's language competence and communication skills were reported by mothers on validated scales. RESULTS A total of 45 211 women with 51 679 singleton pregnancies were included. The use of analgesic opioids was reported in 892 pregnancies (1.7%). In adjusted analyses, no association between opioid use and reduced language competence or communication skills was found, OR = 1.04 (95%CI: 0.89-1.22) and OR = 1.10 (95%CI: 0.95-1.27), respectively. Both pain and use of paracetamol were associated with a small reduction in communication skills. No such association was found for language competence. CONCLUSION The use of analgesic opioids in pregnant women does not seem to affect language development or communication skills in children at 3 years of age. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Publisher's version (útgefin grein), Purpose: To describe recent international trends in antiepileptic drug (AED) use during pregnancy and individual patterns of use including discontinuation and switching. Methods: We studied pregnancies from 2006 to 2016 within linked population-based registers for births and dispensed prescription drugs from Denmark, Finland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, and New South Wales, Australia and claims data for public and private insurance enrollees in the United States. We examined the prevalence of AED use: the proportion of pregnancies with ≥1 prescription filled from 3 months before pregnancy until birth, and individual patterns of use by trimester. Results: Prevalence of AED use in almost five million pregnancies was 15.3 per 1000 (n = 75 249) and varied from 6.4 in Sweden to 34.5 per 1000 in the publicly-insured US population. AED use increased in all countries in 2006-2012 ranging from an increase of 22% in Australia to 104% in Sweden, and continued to rise or stabilized in the countries in which more recent data were available. Lamotrigine, clonazepam, and valproate were the most commonly used AEDs in the Nordic countries, United States, and Australia, respectively. Among AED users, 31% only filled a prescription in the 3 months before pregnancy. Most filled a prescription in the first trimester (59%) but few filled prescriptions in every trimester (22%). Conclusions: Use of AEDs in pregnancy rose from 2006 to 2016. Trends and patterns of use of valproate and lamotrigine reflected the safety data available during this period. Many women discontinued AEDs during pregnancy while some switched to another AED., This study was funded by NordForsk as part of the Nordic Pregnancy Drug Safety Studies (NorPreSS) (Project No: 83539) and the Research Council of Norway as part of the International Pregnancy Drug Safety Studies (InPreSS) (Project No: 273366). Linkage of Danish data was supported by the Danish Council for Independent Research (Project No: DFF‐6110‐00019) and Karen Elise Jensens Fond (2016), and grant NNF18OC0052029 from Novo Nordisk Fonden (Li). Linkage of the Australian data was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Project grant (No. 1028543). We thank Anders Engeland (Norwegian Institute of Public Health, University of Bergen, Norway), Anna Heino (National Institute for Health and Welfare, Finland), Mette Nørgaard (Aarhus University, Denmark), Pär Karlsson (Karolinska Institutet, Sweden), Jennifer Yland (Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, USA), Gregory Brill and Helen Mogun (Brigham and Women's Hospital & Harvard Medical School, USA) for providing assistance with analyses. The authors would like to thank the NSW Ministry of Health, the Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing and the Department of Human Services for providing data. The authors also thank the Centre for Health Record Linkage (CHeReL) and the Australian Institute for Health and Welfare for conducting the linkage of records.

Background The reported incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) has been inconsistent among studies. Purpose We aimed to study time trends in incidence (first time) of AF hospitalizations or AF deaths in Norway in the period 2004–2014 by age and sex. Methods Nationwide hospital discharge diagnoses in the Cardiovascular Disease in Norway (CVDNOR) database and in the National Patient Registry were linked to the National Cause of Death Registry. All hospitalizations with AF as primary or secondary diagnosis and out-of-hospital deaths with AF as underlying cause (ICD-9: 427.3 or ICD 10: I48; AF or atrial flutter) in individuals ≥18 years were obtained during 1994–2014. Incident AF was defined as first hospitalization or out-of-hospital death due to AF with no previous hospitalization for AF the past 10 years. Age-standardized incidence rates with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using direct standardization to the age-distribution in the Norwegian population per Jan 1st 2004. Age-adjusted average yearly incidence rate ratios (IRR) with 95% CIs were estimated by Poisson regression analyses. Accumulated prevalence during 1994–2014 was assessed in Norwegian residents 18 years and older per Dec 31st 2014. Results During 39,865,498 person years of follow up from 2004 to 2014 we identified 175,979 incident AF cases of which 30% were registered with AF as primary diagnosis, 69% as secondary diagnosis and 1% as out-of-hospital cause of death. The age-standardized incidence rate of AF hospitalization or out-of-hospital death per 100,000 person years was stable at 433 (426–440) in 2004 and 440 (433–447) in 2014. IRR were stable or declining across age groups of both sexes, except for the youngest age group 18–44 years, where incidence rates of AF hospitalization or out-of-hospital death increased by 2% per year, IRR 1.02 (1.01, 1.03). By 2014, the prevalence of AF assessed from hospital or death records was 2.9% in the adult population 18 years and older. Conclusion We found overall stable incidence rates of AF from 2004 to 2014 in the adult Norwegian population. Increased incidence rates of AF in the population 18–44 years are worrying and need further investigation. Acknowledgement/Funding The Norwegian Atrial Fibrillation Reseach Network

Purpose An increasing consumption of opioids has been reported. The primary aim of the present study was follow-up of neurocognitive development in children exposed to analgesic opioids during pregnancy, using three different validated instruments to assess language and communication development at 5 years. Methods The Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) prospectively included pregnant women 1999 to 2008. Participants reported medication use at pregnancy week 17/18 and 30, and 6 months after birth. Children's language competence and communication skills at 5 years were reported by mothers on three different validated scales; The Ages and Stages Questionnaire (ASQ), The Speech and Language Assessment Scale (SLAS) and The Twenty Statements about Language-Related Difficulties list (Language20Q). Results A total of 27 428 women with 33 407 singleton pregnancies were included. Use of analgesic opioids was reported in 584 pregnancies (1.7%). No associations between opioid use and lower language competence or communication skills were found. For ASQ, the OR of being in the lowest category vs the group with maximum mean score was 0.82 (95%CI 0.57, 1.17), for SLAS the OR of scoring worse than typical for age vs better than typical for age was 0.84 (0.61, 1.17) in children exposed to opioids in utero. For Language20Q using the best performance category as reference, the OR of scoring in the lower performance category was 0.57 (0.35, 0.91) with exposure to opioids. Conclusion Use of analgesic opioids in pregnant women does not seem to negatively affect language development or communication skills in children at 5 years.

Background and aim Hypertensive pregnancy disorders are associated with subsequent cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the extent to which this association is explained by shared risk factors is unknown. We aimed to evaluate whether hypertensive pregnancy disorder in first pregnancy is associated with increased subsequent risk of maternal CVD after adjustment for established CVD risk factors measured after pregnancy. Methods and results A total of 20,075 women with a first delivery registered in the Medical Birth Registry of Norway (1980–2003) participated in Cohort of Norway (CONOR) health surveys a mean (standard deviation) of 10.7 (5.5) years after delivery. They were then followed (median 11.4 years) for an incident fatal or non-fatal CVD event through linkage to the Cardiovascular Disease in Norway (CVDNOR) database and the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. Hypertensive pregnancy disorders were associated with an increased risk of CVD [Hazard ratio (HR) 2.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9–2.8], which remained significant after adjustment for established CVD risk factors including body mass index, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, serum glucose and lipid levels (HR 1.5; 95% CI 1.2–1.8). The population attributable fraction of CVD due to hypertensive pregnancy disorder was 4.3% (95% CI 1.9–6.6) after multivariable adjustment. Conclusion The association between hypertensive pregnancy disorders and CVD risk was mediated in part by related CVD risk factors measured 10 years following delivery. These results underline the importance of post-pregnancy follow-up of women with hypertensive pregnancy disorders focusing on modifiable, lifestyle related risk factors to prevent future CVD. © 2019. This is the authors’ accepted and refereed manuscript to the article. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

The aim of the study was to determine the effect of simultaneous use of folic acid supplements and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) by pregnant women on language development in their offspring at the age of 3 years.We conducted a cohort study of 45,266 women with 51,747 singleton pregnancies in the population-based Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort study (1999-2008). The association between the use of SSRIs with and without concomitant folic acid and language competence in the offspring was investigated using multinomial logistic regression. Self-reported use of folic acid supplements and SSRIs was prospectively collected in 4-week intervals during pregnancy and validated with prescription data and plasma concentrations, respectively. The children's language competence was measured by a validated language grammar rating scale and classified into 3 categories.Women reported the use of folic acid in 44,417 (85.8%) and SSRI in 372 (0.7%) of the pregnancies, 260 used the 2 simultaneously. Compared with women who used folic acid and no SSRIs, the adjusted relative risk ratio of lower language competence rose with the increased duration of simultaneous use of folic acid and SSRIs. After simultaneous use at 4 to 8 four-week intervals, the relative risk ratio reached 4.5 (95% confidence interval, 2.5-8.0) and 5.7 (2.5-13.0) for the intermediate and most delayed category, respectively, using the best language competence category as the reference. The use of SSRIs without folic acid was not significantly associated with an increased risk.We detected a significant association between long-term use of SSRIs during pregnancy and delayed language competence in the offspring only when folic acid supplementation was used concomitantly. This surprising result warrants further studies.

Background: The absolute educational differences in the mortality of Norwegian women and men increased during 1960–2000 and thereafter levelled off in men, but continued to widen in women. Which of the risk factors for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) might explain these trends? Aim: The aim of this study was to investigate trends in gender-specific, absolute educational differences in established risk factors during 1974–2002. Methods: We used cross-sectional data from 40–45-year-old women and men who participated in one of three health surveys in two counties, from the years 1974–1978, 1985–1988 and 2001–2002. To account for increasing educational attainment through the period we used a regression-based index of inequality (Slope Index of Inequality) to assess the educational gradients over time. Results: From 1974 to 2002, the mean levels of serum total cholesterol and blood pressure decreased and body mass index (BMI) increased in all subgroups by education in both sexes. In men, the educational gradient tended to diminish toward the null for serum total cholesterol and narrowed for systolic blood pressure, but increased for BMI. In women, the educational gradient increased to the double for smoking and increased for triglycerides. Conclusions: In two Norwegian counties, the NCD risk factors showed dynamic patterns during 1974–2002. For blood pressure and serum total cholesterol, the levels showed consistent beneficial changes in all educational subgroups, with a narrowing tendency for educational gradients in men. In women, the educational gradient for smoking increased markedly. Knowledge on midlife trends in the educational gradients of risk factors may help to explain recent and future NCD mortality.

Purpose To investigate risk factors for stroke in patients initiating oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation in Norway and their association with receiving DOACs versus warfarin. Methods From nationwide registries, we identified naïve users initiating treatment with warfarin, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or apixaban for atrial fibrillation from 2010 to 2015 in Norway. We studied temporal changes in the CHA2DS2-VASc score and its component risk factors. We used multiple logistic regressions to identify CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors associated with receiving DOACs versus warfarin in 2015. Results From 2010 to 2015, the yearly number of new oral anticoagulant users increased from 7588 to 13,344. All new users initiated warfarin in 2010, while 86% initiated a DOAC in 2015. The mean CHA2DS2-VASc score decreased from 3.2 (SD 1.7) to 3.1 (SD 1.6) in the same period. Vascular disease (0.56 [0.49–0.63]), congestive heart failure (OR 0.65 [95% CI 0.58–0.72]), and diabetes (0.83 [0.73–0.95]) decreased the odds of receiving DOACs instead of warfarin, and ischemic stroke/transient ischemic attack/arterial thromboembolism (1.31 [1.12–1.54]), age 65–74 (1.23 [1.06–1.43]), and female sex (1.22 [1.10–1.36]) increased it. Age ≥ 75 (reference age

ObjectiveThe primary objective was to study the risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and coronary heart disease (CHD) in patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia (FH) and compare with the risk in the general population.MethodsPatients with an FH mutation but without prior AMI (n=3071) and without prior CHD (n=2795) were included in the study sample during 2001–2009. We obtained data on all AMI and CHD hospitalisations in Norway. We defined incident cases as first time hospitalisation or out-of-hospital death due to AMI or CHD. We estimated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% CIs with indirect standardisation using incidence rates for the total Norwegian population stratified by sex, calendar year and 1 year age groups as reference rates.ResultsSIRs for AMI (95% CIs) were highest in the age group 25–39 years; 7.5 (3.7 to 14.9) in men and 13.6 (5.1 to 36.2) in women and decreased with age to 0.9 (0.4 to 2.1) in men and 1.8 (0.9 to 3.7) in women aged 70–79 years. Similarly, SIRs for CHD were highest among patients 25–39 years old; 11.1 (7.1–17.5) in men and 17.3 (9.6–31.2) in women and decreased 2.4 (1.4–4.2) in men and 3.2 (1.5–7.2) in women at age 70–79. For all age groups, combined SIRs for CHD were 4.2 (3.6–5.0) in men and 4.7 (3.9–5.7) in women.ConclusionPatients with FH are at severely increased risk of AMI and CHD compared with the general population. The highest excess risk was in the youngest group aged 25–39 years, in both sexes.

ObjectivesTo evaluate a Framingham 5-year cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk score in Indians and Europeans in New Zealand, and determine whether body mass index (BMI) and socioeconomic deprivation were independent predictors of CVD risk.MethodsWe included Indians and Europeans, aged 30–74 years without prior CVD undergoing risk assessment in New Zealand primary care during 2002–2015 (n=256 446). Risk profiles included standard Framingham predictors (age, sex, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol/high-density lipoprotein ratio, smoking and diabetes) and were linked with national CVD hospitalisations and mortality datasets. Discrimination was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) and calibration examined graphically. We used Cox regression to study the impact of BMI and deprivation on the risk of CVD with and without adjustment for the Framingham score.ResultsDuring follow-up, 8105 and 1156 CVD events occurred in Europeans and Indians, respectively. Higher AUCs of 0.76 were found in Indian men (95% CI 0.74 to 0.78) and women (95% CI 0.73 to 0.78) compared with 0.74 (95% CI 0.73 to 0.74) in European men and 0.72 (95% CI 0.71 to 0.73) in European women. Framingham was best calibrated in Indian men, and overestimated risk in Indian women and in Europeans. BMI and deprivation were positively associated with CVD, also after adjustment for the Framingham risk score, although the BMI association was attenuated.ConclusionsThe Framingham risk model performed reasonably well in Indian men, but overestimated risk in Indian women and in Europeans. BMI and socioeconomic deprivation could be useful predictors in addition to a Framingham score.

Purpose To study the association between coffee and alcoholic beverage consumption and alcoholic liver disease mortality. Methods In total, 219,279 men and women aged 30–67 years attended cardiovascular screening in Norway from 1994 to 2003. Linkage to the Cause of Death Registry identified 93 deaths from alcoholic liver disease. Coffee consumption was categorized into four levels: 0, 1–4, 5–8, and greater than or equal to 9 cups/d and alcohol consumption as 0, greater than 0 to less than 1.0, 1.0 to less than 2.0, and greater than or equal to 2.0 units/d, for beer, wine, liquor, and total alcohol consumption. Results The hazard ratios per one category of consumption were 2.06 (95% confidence interval 1.62–2.61), 0.68 (0.46–1.00), and 2.54 (1.92–3.36) for beer, wine, and liquor, respectively. Stratification at 5 cups/d (the mean) revealed a stronger association between alcohol consumption and alcoholic liver disease at less than 5 versus 5 or more cups/d. With less than 5 cups/d, 0 alcohol units/d as reference, the hazard ratio reached to 25.5 (9.2–70.5) for greater than or equal to 2 units/d, whereas with greater than or equal to 5 cups/d, it reached 5.8 (1.9–17.9) for greater than or equal to 2 units/d. A test for interaction was significant (P = .01). Conclusions Coffee and wine consumption were inversely associated with alcoholic liver disease death. Total alcohol consumption was adversely associated with alcoholic liver disease mortality and the strength of the association varied with the level of coffee consumption.

Objectives To estimate the association between prenatal exposure to selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs) and motor development in children considering the effect of maternal symptoms of anxiety and depression before, during and after pregnancy. Design Population-based prospective pregnancy cohort study. Setting The Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort study (MoBa) (1999–2008). Population A total of 51 404 singleton pregnancies. Methods Self-reported use of SSRIs was collected for the 6 months before pregnancy and prospectively during pregnancy. We used ordinal logistic regression as the statistical analysis. Main outcome measures Motor development was assessed by maternal reports of fine and gross motor development at child age 3 years by items from the Ages and Stages Questionnaire (ASQ). The maternal ASQ scores were compared with data from a MoBa sub-study where clinicians assessed motor development with the Gross and Fine Motor Mullen scales of early learning. Results In all 381 women (0.7%) reported use of SSRIs during pregnancy, of these 159 reported on at least two questionnaires (prolonged use). Prolonged SSRI exposure was associated with a delay in fine motor development, odds ratio 1.42 (95% CI 1.07–1.87) compared with no SSRI exposure, after adjusting for symptoms of anxiety and depression before and during pregnancy. Severity of maternal depression seemed to explain the association only partially. Stratifying on depression after pregnancy had no impact on the estimated effect of SSRIs. Conclusions Prolonged prenatal exposure to SSRIs was weakly associated with a delayed motor development at age 3 years, but not to the extent that the delay was of clinical importance. Tweetable abstract Long-term prenatal SSRI exposure is weakly associated with delayed motor development independent of depression.

The aim of the study was to examine if there was an association between use of anxiolytics and hypnotics in pregnancy and language competence in the offspring at age 3 years.The Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study (MoBa) is a prospective pregnancy cohort where the mothers were asked to report on their medication use at pregnancy week 17-18, 30, and at 6 months postpartum. A woman was defined as a user of anxiolytics and hypnotics during pregnancy if she had reported use of benzodiazepines or benzodiazepine-related drugs during pregnancy. Children's language competence was measured at age three by maternal report on a validated language grammar scale. We used ordinal logistic regression with estimated standard errors allowing for clustering of multiple pregnancies.Forty-five thousand and two hundred sixty-six women with 51,748 pregnancies were included in the study. The women reported use of anxiolytics and/or hypnotics in 395 pregnancies (0.8 %). The odds ratios of being in a group with lower language competence were 1.2 (0.9-1.5) and 1.7 (1.0-2.8) for short-term and long-term anxiolytics and hypnotics use, respectively. When adjusting for SSRI use during pregnancy, the odds ratios were 1.1 (0.83-1.41) and 1.4 (0.84-2.33), respectively. Children whose mothers took no anxiolytics and hypnotics during or before pregnancy were reference group.The results refute any strong association between prenatal use of anxiolytics and hypnotics and lower language competence in the offspring at age 3 years.

Background During pregnancy, many women experience sleep problems and anxiety that require treatment. The long-term safety for the child of maternal benzodiazepine (BZD) and z-hypnotic use during pregnancy remains controversial. Method We conducted a cohort and a sibling control study using data from the Norwegian Mother and Child Cohort Study. Data on use of BZD and z-hypnotics, internalizing and externalizing outcomes, and covariates were collected from mothers at gestational weeks 17 and 30 and when children were 0.5, 1.5, and 3 years of age. The total sample consisted of 71,996 children (19,297 siblings) at 1.5 years and 55,081 children (13,779 siblings) at 3 years. Short-term use was defined as use in one pregnancy period only. Long-term use was defined as use in two or more pregnancy periods. Linear full cohort random-effect and sibling-matched fixed-effect regression models were used to compare internalizing and externalizing behavior in children prenatally exposed compared to those unexposed in the full cohort of pregnancies accounting for family clusters, as well as within sibling clusters comparing pregnancies with discordant exposures. Propensity score (PS) adjustment included variables on indication for use (sleep problems, symptoms of anxiety and depression) and other potential confounding factors. Results Long-term prenatal exposure to BZD or z-hypnotics was associated with increased internalizing behavior in crude cohort analyses and at age 1.5 years after PS adjustment in sibling-matched fixed-effect models [β 0.60, 95% confidence interval 0.17–0.95]. Analyses on specific drug groups showed that prenatal exposure to BZD-anxiolytics was associated with increased internalizing problems at both 1.5 years [β 0.25, 0.01–0.49] and 3 years [β 0.26, 0.002–0.52] while exposure to z-hypnotics was not associated with any adverse outcomes after adjustment. Conclusion The findings suggest a moderate association between BZD-anxiolytic exposure and child internalizing problems that is not likely due to stable familial confounding factors.

We tested whether teetotalism explains the upturn in cardiovascular risk for non-drinkers and whether wine is a more favorable alcohol type. We studied 115,592 men and women aged 40–44 years who participated in the age 40 program in Norway in 1994–1999 and were followed for an average of 16 years with 550 cardiovascular deaths. Self-reported number of glasses of beer, wine and spirits during 14 days was transformed to alcohol units/day. One unit is approximately 8 grams of pure alcohol. The mean and median number of alcohol units/day were 0.70 and 0.46. Teetotallers had higher risk of dying from cardiovascular disease than alcohol consumers, multivariate adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) 1.97 (1.52–2.56). The use of alcohol-related deaths as endpoint substantiated a selection of previous alcohol users to the teetotal group. Without teetotallers there was no association between alcohol consumption and cardiovascular disease mortality. However, the multivariate adjusted hazard ratio per one unit/day of wine was 0.76 (0.58–0.99). The corresponding figures for beer and spirits were 1.04 (0.94–1.15) and 0.98 (0.75–1.29). The upturn in risk for non-drinkers could be explained by a higher risk for teetotallers who likely included previous alcohol users or teetotalers who started to drink during follow-up. Wine gave the most favorable risk estimates.

Background There is a lack of comprehensive patient-datasets regarding prevalence of severe hypertriglyceridemia (sHTG; triglycerides ≥10 mmol/L), frequency of co-morbidities, gene mutations, and gene characterization in sHTG. Using large surveys combined with detailed analysis of sub-cohorts of sHTG patients, we here sought to address these issues. Methods We used data from several large Norwegian surveys that included 681,990 subjects, to estimate the prevalence. Sixty-five sHTG patients were investigated to obtain clinical profiles and candidate disease genes. We obtained peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) from six male patients and nine healthy controls and examined expression of mRNAs involved in lipid metabolism. Results The prevalence of sHTG was 0.13 (95% CI 0.12-0.14)%, and highest in men aged 40-49 years and in women 60-69 years. Among the 65 sHTG patients, a possible genetic cause was found in four and 11 had experienced acute pancreatitis. The mRNA expression levels of carnitine palmitoyltransferase (CPT)-1A, CPT2, and hormone-sensitive lipase, were significantly higher in patients compared to controls, whereas those of ATP-binding cassette, sub-family G, member 1 were significantly lower. Conclusions In Norway, sHTG is present in 0.1%, carries considerable co-morbidity and is associated with an imbalance of genes involved in lipid metabolism, all potentially contributing to increased cardiovascular morbidity in sHTG.