1. A Simple Noninvasive Score Predicts Gastroesophageal Varices in Patients With Chronic Viral Hepatitis
- Author
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Maria Graf, Marcello Piazza, Raimondo Cerini, Raffaele Liuzzi, Chiara Viola, Maria Quarto, Guglielmo Borgia, Ivan Gentile, Gentile, Ivan, C., Viola, M., Graf, R., Liuzzi, Quarto, Maria, Cerini, Raimondo, Piazza, Marcello, and Borgia, Guglielmo
- Subjects
esophageal varice ,Adult ,Male ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Cirrhosis ,non-invasive ,Esophageal and Gastric Varices ,Severity of Illness Index ,Gastroenterology ,Young Adult ,Hepatitis B, Chronic ,Esophageal varices ,Predictive Value of Tests ,Risk Factors ,Internal medicine ,Humans ,Medicine ,Endoscopy, Digestive System ,endoscopy ,Aged ,Retrospective Studies ,AST/ALT ratio ,business.industry ,Age Factors ,Hepatitis C ,Hepatitis C, Chronic ,Middle Aged ,Hepatitis B ,medicine.disease ,Logistic Models ,Predictive value of tests ,Practice Guidelines as Topic ,Female ,Viral disease ,business ,Viral hepatitis - Abstract
BACKGROUND: Guidelines recommend upper endoscopic screening of cirrhotic patients for gastroesophageal varices. Cirrhosis is not always distinguishable from chronic hepatitis. GOALS: To identify low-risk patients who can be spared upper endoscopy irrespective of a diagnosis of cirrhosis. STUDY: We evaluated 13 nonendoscopic variables as predictors of esophagogastric varices in 254 patients with hepatitis B or hepatitis C-related chronic liver disease who underwent upper endoscopy. RESULTS: Any size varices occurred in 30.3% (77/254), and large varices in 12.2% of patients (31/254). Age >50 years [odds ratio (OR): 11.29; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.33-54.67], platelet count 1 (OR: 2.83; 95% CI: 1.26-6.34) independently predicted varices by logistic regression. Using a score based on age >50 years, platelets 1 (1 point/predictor), only 3.2% of patients with a score
- Published
- 2009
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