33 results on '"R. H. J. Wang"'
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2. The shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions to 2500
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M. Meinshausen, Z. R. J. Nicholls, J. Lewis, M. J. Gidden, E. Vogel, M. Freund, U. Beyerle, C. Gessner, A. Nauels, N. Bauer, J. G. Canadell, J. S. Daniel, A. John, P. B. Krummel, G. Luderer, N. Meinshausen, S. A. Montzka, P. J. Rayner, S. Reimann, S. J. Smith, M. van den Berg, G. J. M. Velders, M. K. Vollmer, and R. H. J. Wang
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Geology ,QE1-996.5 - Abstract
Anthropogenic increases in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are the main driver of current and future climate change. The integrated assessment community has quantified anthropogenic emissions for the shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios, each of which represents a different future socio-economic projection and political environment. Here, we provide the greenhouse gas concentrations for these SSP scenarios – using the reduced-complexity climate–carbon-cycle model MAGICC7.0. We extend historical, observationally based concentration data with SSP concentration projections from 2015 to 2500 for 43 greenhouse gases with monthly and latitudinal resolution. CO2 concentrations by 2100 range from 393 to 1135 ppm for the lowest (SSP1-1.9) and highest (SSP5-8.5) emission scenarios, respectively. We also provide the concentration extensions beyond 2100 based on assumptions regarding the trajectories of fossil fuels and land use change emissions, net negative emissions, and the fraction of non-CO2 emissions. By 2150, CO2 concentrations in the lowest emission scenario are approximately 350 ppm and approximately plateau at that level until 2500, whereas the highest fossil-fuel-driven scenario projects CO2 concentrations of 1737 ppm and reaches concentrations beyond 2000 ppm by 2250. We estimate that the share of CO2 in the total radiative forcing contribution of all considered 43 long-lived greenhouse gases increases from 66 % for the present day to roughly 68 % to 85 % by the time of maximum forcing in the 21st century. For this estimation, we updated simple radiative forcing parameterizations that reflect the Oslo Line-By-Line model results. In comparison to the representative concentration pathways (RCPs), the five main SSPs (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) are more evenly spaced and extend to lower 2100 radiative forcing and temperatures. Performing two pairs of six-member historical ensembles with CESM1.2.2, we estimate the effect on surface air temperatures of applying latitudinally and seasonally resolved GHG concentrations. We find that the ensemble differences in the March–April–May (MAM) season provide a regional warming in higher northern latitudes of up to 0.4 K over the historical period, latitudinally averaged of about 0.1 K, which we estimate to be comparable to the upper bound (∼5 % level) of natural variability. In comparison to the comparatively straight line of the last 2000 years, the greenhouse gas concentrations since the onset of the industrial period and this studies' projections over the next 100 to 500 years unequivocally depict a “hockey-stick” upwards shape. The SSP concentration time series derived in this study provide a harmonized set of input assumptions for long-term climate science analysis; they also provide an indication of the wide set of futures that societal developments and policy implementations can lead to – ranging from multiple degrees of future warming on the one side to approximately 1.5 ∘C warming on the other.
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- 2020
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3. The increasing atmospheric burden of the greenhouse gas sulfur hexafluoride (SF6)
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P. G. Simmonds, M. Rigby, A. J. Manning, S. Park, K. M. Stanley, A. McCulloch, S. Henne, F. Graziosi, M. Maione, J. Arduini, S. Reimann, M. K. Vollmer, J. Mühle, S. O'Doherty, D. Young, P. B. Krummel, P. J. Fraser, R. F. Weiss, P. K. Salameh, C. M. Harth, M.-K. Park, H. Park, T. Arnold, C. Rennick, L. P. Steele, B. Mitrevski, R. H. J. Wang, and R. G. Prinn
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
We report a 40-year history of SF6 atmospheric mole fractions measured at the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) monitoring sites, combined with archived air samples, to determine emission estimates from 1978 to 2018. Previously we reported a global emission rate of 7.3±0.6 Gg yr−1 in 2008 and over the past decade emissions have continued to increase by about 24 % to 9.04±0.35 Gg yr−1 in 2018. We show that changing patterns in SF6 consumption from developed (Kyoto Protocol Annex-1) to developing countries (non-Annex-1) and the rapid global expansion of the electric power industry, mainly in Asia, have increased the demand for SF6-insulated switchgear, circuit breakers, and transformers. The large bank of SF6 sequestered in this electrical equipment provides a substantial source of emissions from maintenance, replacement, and continuous leakage. Other emissive sources of SF6 occur from the magnesium, aluminium, and electronics industries as well as more minor industrial applications. More recently, reported emissions, including those from electrical equipment and metal industries, primarily in the Annex-1 countries, have declined steadily through substitution of alternative blanketing gases and technological improvements in less emissive equipment and more efficient industrial practices. Nevertheless, there are still demands for SF6 in Annex-1 countries due to economic growth, as well as continuing emissions from older equipment and additional emissions from newly installed SF6-insulated electrical equipment, although at low emission rates. In addition, in the non-Annex-1 countries, SF6 emissions have increased due to an expansion in the growth of the electrical power, metal, and electronics industries to support their continuing development. There is an annual difference of 2.5–5 Gg yr−1 (1990–2018) between our modelled top-down emissions and the UNFCCC-reported bottom-up emissions (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change), which we attempt to reconcile through analysis of the potential contribution of emissions from the various industrial applications which use SF6. We also investigate regional emissions in East Asia (China, S. Korea) and western Europe and their respective contributions to the global atmospheric SF6 inventory. On an average annual basis, our estimated emissions from the whole of China are approximately 10 times greater than emissions from western Europe. In 2018, our modelled Chinese and western European emissions accounted for ∼36 % and 3.1 %, respectively, of our global SF6 emissions estimate.
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- 2020
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4. Recent increases in the atmospheric growth rate and emissions of HFC-23 (CHF3) and the link to HCFC-22 (CHClF2) production
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P. G. Simmonds, M. Rigby, A. McCulloch, M. K. Vollmer, S. Henne, J. Mühle, S. O'Doherty, A. J. Manning, P. B. Krummel, P. J. Fraser, D. Young, R. F. Weiss, P. K. Salameh, C. M. Harth, S. Reimann, C. M. Trudinger, L. P. Steele, R. H. J. Wang, D. J. Ivy, R. G. Prinn, B. Mitrevski, and D. M. Etheridge
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
High frequency measurements of trifluoromethane (HFC-23, CHF3), a potent hydrofluorocarbon greenhouse gas, largely emitted to the atmosphere as a by-product of the production of the hydrochlorofluorocarbon HCFC-22 (CHClF2), at five core stations of the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) network, combined with measurements on firn air, old Northern Hemisphere air samples and Cape Grim Air Archive (CGAA) air samples, are used to explore the current and historic changes in the atmospheric abundance of HFC-23. These measurements are used in combination with the AGAGE 2-D atmospheric 12-box model and a Bayesian inversion methodology to determine model atmospheric mole fractions and the history of global HFC-23 emissions. The global modelled annual mole fraction of HFC-23 in the background atmosphere was 28.9 ± 0.6 pmol mol−1 at the end of 2016, representing a 28 % increase from 22.6 ± 0.4 pmol mol−1 in 2009. Over the same time frame, the modelled mole fraction of HCFC-22 increased by 19 % from 199 ± 2 to 237 ± 2 pmol mol−1. However, unlike HFC-23, the annual average HCFC-22 growth rate slowed from 2009 to 2016 at an annual average rate of −0.5 pmol mol−1 yr−2. This slowing atmospheric growth is consistent with HCFC-22 moving from dispersive (high fractional emissions) to feedstock (low fractional emissions) uses, with HFC-23 emissions remaining as a consequence of incomplete mitigation from all HCFC-22 production.Our results demonstrate that, following a minimum in HFC-23 global emissions in 2009 of 9.6 ± 0.6, emissions increased to a maximum in 2014 of 14.5 ± 0.6 Gg yr−1 and then declined to 12.7 ± 0.6 Gg yr−1 (157 Mt CO2 eq. yr−1) in 2016. The 2009 emissions minimum is consistent with estimates based on national reports and is likely a response to the implementation of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) to mitigate HFC-23 emissions by incineration in developing (non-Annex 1) countries under the Kyoto Protocol. Our derived cumulative emissions of HFC-23 during 2010–2016 were 89 ± 2 Gg (1.1 ± 0.2 Gt CO2 eq.), which led to an increase in radiative forcing of 1.0 ± 0.1 mW m−2 over the same period. Although the CDM had reduced global HFC-23 emissions, it cannot now offset the higher emissions from increasing HCFC-22 production in non-Annex 1 countries, as the CDM was closed to new entrants in 2009. We also find that the cumulative European HFC-23 emissions from 2010 to 2016 were ∼ 1.3 Gg, corresponding to just 1.5 % of cumulative global HFC-23 emissions over this same period. The majority of the increase in global HFC-23 emissions since 2010 is attributed to a delay in the adoption of mitigation technologies, predominantly in China and East Asia. However, a reduction in emissions is anticipated, when the Kigali 2016 amendment to the Montreal Protocol, requiring HCFC and HFC production facilities to introduce destruction of HFC-23, is fully implemented.
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- 2018
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5. Atmospheric histories and emissions of chlorofluorocarbons CFC-13 (CClF3), ΣCFC-114 (C2Cl2F4), and CFC-115 (C2ClF5)
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M. K. Vollmer, D. Young, C. M. Trudinger, J. Mühle, S. Henne, M. Rigby, S. Park, S. Li, M. Guillevic, B. Mitrevski, C. M. Harth, B. R. Miller, S. Reimann, B. Yao, L. P. Steele, S. A. Wyss, C. R. Lunder, J. Arduini, A. McCulloch, S. Wu, T. S. Rhee, R. H. J. Wang, P. K. Salameh, O. Hermansen, M. Hill, R. L. Langenfelds, D. Ivy, S. O'Doherty, P. B. Krummel, M. Maione, D. M. Etheridge, L. Zhou, P. J. Fraser, R. G. Prinn, R. F. Weiss, and P. G. Simmonds
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
Based on observations of the chlorofluorocarbons CFC-13 (chlorotrifluoromethane), ΣCFC-114 (combined measurement of both isomers of dichlorotetrafluoroethane), and CFC-115 (chloropentafluoroethane) in atmospheric and firn samples, we reconstruct records of their tropospheric histories spanning nearly 8 decades. These compounds were measured in polar firn air samples, in ambient air archived in canisters, and in situ at the AGAGE (Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment) network and affiliated sites. Global emissions to the atmosphere are derived from these observations using an inversion based on a 12-box atmospheric transport model. For CFC-13, we provide the first comprehensive global analysis. This compound increased monotonically from its first appearance in the atmosphere in the late 1950s to a mean global abundance of 3.18 ppt (dry-air mole fraction in parts per trillion, pmol mol−1) in 2016. Its growth rate has decreased since the mid-1980s but has remained at a surprisingly high mean level of 0.02 ppt yr−1 since 2000, resulting in a continuing growth of CFC-13 in the atmosphere. ΣCFC-114 increased from its appearance in the 1950s to a maximum of 16.6 ppt in the early 2000s and has since slightly declined to 16.3 ppt in 2016. CFC-115 increased monotonically from its first appearance in the 1960s and reached a global mean mole fraction of 8.49 ppt in 2016. Growth rates of all three compounds over the past years are significantly larger than would be expected from zero emissions. Under the assumption of unchanging lifetimes and atmospheric transport patterns, we derive global emissions from our measurements, which have remained unexpectedly high in recent years: mean yearly emissions for the last decade (2007–2016) of CFC-13 are at 0.48 ± 0.15 kt yr−1 (> 15 % of past peak emissions), of ΣCFC-114 at 1.90 ± 0.84 kt yr−1 (∼ 10 % of peak emissions), and of CFC-115 at 0.80 ± 0.50 kt yr−1 (> 5 % of peak emissions). Mean yearly emissions of CFC-115 for 2015–2016 are 1.14 ± 0.50 kt yr−1 and have doubled compared to the 2007–2010 minimum. We find CFC-13 emissions from aluminum smelters but if extrapolated to global emissions, they cannot account for the lingering global emissions determined from the atmospheric observations. We find impurities of CFC-115 in the refrigerant HFC-125 (CHF2CF3) but if extrapolated to global emissions, they can neither account for the lingering global CFC-115 emissions determined from the atmospheric observations nor for their recent increases. We also conduct regional inversions for the years 2012–2016 for the northeastern Asian area using observations from the Korean AGAGE site at Gosan and find significant emissions for ΣCFC-114 and CFC-115, suggesting that a large fraction of their global emissions currently occur in northeastern Asia and more specifically on the Chinese mainland.
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- 2018
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6. Historical greenhouse gas concentrations for climate modelling (CMIP6)
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M. Meinshausen, E. Vogel, A. Nauels, K. Lorbacher, N. Meinshausen, D. M. Etheridge, P. J. Fraser, S. A. Montzka, P. J. Rayner, C. M. Trudinger, P. B. Krummel, U. Beyerle, J. G. Canadell, J. S. Daniel, I. G. Enting, R. M. Law, C. R. Lunder, S. O'Doherty, R. G. Prinn, S. Reimann, M. Rubino, G. J. M. Velders, M. K. Vollmer, R. H. J. Wang, and R. Weiss
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Geology ,QE1-996.5 - Abstract
Atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) concentrations are at unprecedented, record-high levels compared to the last 800 000 years. Those elevated GHG concentrations warm the planet and – partially offset by net cooling effects by aerosols – are largely responsible for the observed warming over the past 150 years. An accurate representation of GHG concentrations is hence important to understand and model recent climate change. So far, community efforts to create composite datasets of GHG concentrations with seasonal and latitudinal information have focused on marine boundary layer conditions and recent trends since the 1980s. Here, we provide consolidated datasets of historical atmospheric concentrations (mole fractions) of 43 GHGs to be used in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project – Phase 6 (CMIP6) experiments. The presented datasets are based on AGAGE and NOAA networks, firn and ice core data, and archived air data, and a large set of published studies. In contrast to previous intercomparisons, the new datasets are latitudinally resolved and include seasonality. We focus on the period 1850–2014 for historical CMIP6 runs, but data are also provided for the last 2000 years. We provide consolidated datasets in various spatiotemporal resolutions for carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), as well as 40 other GHGs, namely 17 ozone-depleting substances, 11 hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs), 9 perfluorocarbons (PFCs), sulfur hexafluoride (SF6), nitrogen trifluoride (NF3) and sulfuryl fluoride (SO2F2). In addition, we provide three equivalence species that aggregate concentrations of GHGs other than CO2, CH4 and N2O, weighted by their radiative forcing efficiencies. For the year 1850, which is used for pre-industrial control runs, we estimate annual global-mean surface concentrations of CO2 at 284.3 ppm, CH4 at 808.2 ppb and N2O at 273.0 ppb. The data are available at https://esgf-node.llnl.gov/search/input4mips/ and http://www.climatecollege.unimelb.edu.au/cmip6. While the minimum CMIP6 recommendation is to use the global- and annual-mean time series, modelling groups can also choose our monthly and latitudinally resolved concentrations, which imply a stronger radiative forcing in the Northern Hemisphere winter (due to the latitudinal gradient and seasonality).
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- 2017
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7. Changing trends and emissions of hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) and their hydrofluorocarbon (HFCs) replacements
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P. G. Simmonds, M. Rigby, A. McCulloch, S. O'Doherty, D. Young, J. Mühle, P. B. Krummel, P. Steele, P. J. Fraser, A. J. Manning, R. F. Weiss, P. K. Salameh, C. M. Harth, R. H. J. Wang, and R. G. Prinn
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
High-frequency, in situ global observations of HCFC-22 (CHClF2), HCFC-141b (CH3CCl2F), HCFC-142b (CH3CClF2) and HCFC-124 (CHClFCF3) and their main HFC replacements, HFC-134a (CH2FCF3), HFC-125 (CHF2CF3), HFC-143a (CH3CF3) and HFC-32 (CH2F2), have been used to determine their changing global growth rates and emissions in response to the Montreal Protocol and its recent amendments. Global mean mole fractions of HCFC-22, -141b, and -142b have increased throughout the observation period, reaching 234, 24.3 and 22.4 pmol mol−1, respectively, in 2015. HCFC-124 reached a maximum global mean mole fraction of 1.48 pmol mol−1 in 2007 and has since declined by 23 % to 1.14 pmol mol−1 in 2015. The HFCs all show increasing global mean mole fractions. In 2015 the global mean mole fractions (pmol mol−1) were 83.3 (HFC-134a), 18.4 (HFC-125), 17.7 (HFC-143a) and 10.5 (HFC-32). The 2007 adjustment to the Montreal Protocol required the accelerated phase-out of emissive uses of HCFCs with global production and consumption capped in 2013 to mitigate their environmental impact as both ozone-depleting substances and important greenhouse gases. We find that this change has coincided with a stabilisation, or moderate reduction, in global emissions of the four HCFCs with aggregated global emissions in 2015 of 449 ± 75 Gg yr−1, in CO2 equivalent units (CO2 eq.) 0.76 ± 0.1 Gt yr−1, compared with 483 ± 70 Gg yr−1 (0.82 ± 0.1 Gt yr−1 CO2 eq.) in 2010 (uncertainties are 1σ throughout this paper). About 79 % of the total HCFC atmospheric burden in 2015 is HCFC-22, where global emissions appear to have been relatively similar since 2011, in spite of the 2013 cap on emissive uses. We attribute this to a probable increase in production and consumption of HCFC-22 in Montreal Protocol Article 5 (developing) countries and the continuing release of HCFC-22 from the large banks which dominate HCFC global emissions. Conversely, the four HFCs all show increasing mole fraction growth rates with aggregated global HFC emissions of 327 ± 70 Gg yr−1 (0.65 ± 0.12 Gt yr−1 CO2 eq.) in 2015 compared to 240 ± 50 Gg yr−1 (0.47 ± 0.08 Gt yr−1 CO2 eq.) in 2010. We also note that emissions of HFC-125 and HFC-32 appear to have increased more rapidly averaged over the 5-year period 2011–2015, compared to 2006–2010. As noted by Lunt et al. (2015) this may reflect a change to refrigerant blends, such as R-410A, which contain HFC-32 and -125 as a 50 : 50 blend.
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- 2017
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8. Global and regional emissions estimates of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a, CH3CHF2) from in situ and air archive observations
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P. G. Simmonds, M. Rigby, A. J. Manning, M. F. Lunt, S. O'Doherty, A. McCulloch, P. J. Fraser, S. Henne, M. K. Vollmer, J. Mühle, R. F. Weiss, P. K. Salameh, D. Young, S. Reimann, A. Wenger, T. Arnold, C. M. Harth, P. B. Krummel, L. P. Steele, B. L. Dunse, B. R. Miller, C. R. Lunder, O. Hermansen, N. Schmidbauer, T. Saito, Y. Yokouchi, S. Park, S. Li, B. Yao, L. X. Zhou, J. Arduini, M. Maione, R. H. J. Wang, D. Ivy, and R. G. Prinn
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
High frequency, in situ observations from 11 globally distributed sites for the period 1994–2014 and archived air measurements dating from 1978 onward have been used to determine the global growth rate of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a, CH3CHF2). These observations have been combined with a range of atmospheric transport models to derive global emission estimates in a top-down approach. HFC-152a is a greenhouse gas with a short atmospheric lifetime of about 1.5 years. Since it does not contain chlorine or bromine, HFC-152a makes no direct contribution to the destruction of stratospheric ozone and is therefore used as a substitute for the ozone depleting chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs). The concentration of HFC-152a has grown substantially since the first direct measurements in 1994, reaching a maximum annual global growth rate of 0.84 ± 0.05 ppt yr−1 in 2006, implying a substantial increase in emissions up to 2006. However, since 2007, the annual rate of growth has slowed to 0.38 ± 0.04 ppt yr−1 in 2010 with a further decline to an annual average rate of growth in 2013–2014 of −0.06 ± 0.05 ppt yr−1. The annual average Northern Hemisphere (NH) mole fraction in 1994 was 1.2 ppt rising to an annual average mole fraction of 10.1 ppt in 2014. Average annual mole fractions in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) in 1998 and 2014 were 0.84 and 4.5 ppt, respectively. We estimate global emissions of HFC-152a have risen from 7.3 ± 5.6 Gg yr−1 in 1994 to a maximum of 54.4 ± 17.1 Gg yr−1 in 2011, declining to 52.5 ± 20.1 Gg yr−1 in 2014 or 7.2 ± 2.8 Tg-CO2 eq yr−1. Analysis of mole fraction enhancements above regional background atmospheric levels suggests substantial emissions from North America, Asia, and Europe. Global HFC emissions (so called “bottom up” emissions) reported by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are based on cumulative national emission data reported to the UNFCCC, which in turn are based on national consumption data. There appears to be a significant underestimate ( > 20 Gg) of “bottom-up” reported emissions of HFC-152a, possibly arising from largely underestimated USA emissions and undeclared Asian emissions.
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- 2016
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9. Global emissions of HFC-143a (CH3CF3) and HFC-32 (CH2F2) from in situ and air archive atmospheric observations
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S. O'Doherty, M. Rigby, J. Mühle, D. J. Ivy, B. R. Miller, D. Young, P. G. Simmonds, S. Reimann, M. K. Vollmer, P. B. Krummel, P. J. Fraser, L. P. Steele, B. Dunse, P. K. Salameh, C. M. Harth, T. Arnold, R. F. Weiss, J. Kim, S. Park, S. Li, C. Lunder, O. Hermansen, N. Schmidbauer, L. X. Zhou, B. Yao, R. H. J. Wang, A. J. Manning, and R. G. Prinn
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
High-frequency, in situ observations from the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE), for the period 2003 to 2012, combined with archive flask measurements dating back to 1977, have been used to capture the rapid growth of HFC-143a (CH3CF3) and HFC-32 (CH2F2) mole fractions and emissions into the atmosphere. Here we report the first in situ global measurements of these two gases. HFC-143a and HFC-32 are the third and sixth most abundant hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) respectively and they currently make an appreciable contribution to the HFCs in terms of atmospheric radiative forcing (1.7 ± 0.04 and 0.7 ± 0.02 mW m−2 in 2012 respectively). In 2012 the global average mole fraction of HFC-143a was 13.4 ± 0.3 ppt (1σ) in the lower troposphere and its growth rate was 1.4 ± 0.04 ppt yr−1; HFC-32 had a global mean mole fraction of 6.2 ± 0.2 ppt and a growth rate of 1.1 ± 0.04 ppt yr−1 in 2012. The extensive observations presented in this work have been combined with an atmospheric transport model to simulate global atmospheric abundances and derive global emission estimates. It is estimated that 23 ± 3 Gg yr−1 of HFC-143a and 21 ± 11 Gg yr−1 of HFC-32 were emitted globally in 2012, and the emission rates are estimated to be increasing by 7 ± 5% yr−1 for HFC-143a and 14 ± 11% yr−1 for HFC-32.
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- 2014
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10. Atmospheric three-dimensional inverse modeling of regional industrial emissions and global oceanic uptake of carbon tetrachloride
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X. Xiao, R. G. Prinn, P. J. Fraser, R. F. Weiss, P. G. Simmonds, S. O'Doherty, B. R. Miller, P. K. Salameh, C. M. Harth, P. B. Krummel, A. Golombek, L. W. Porter, J. H. Butler, J. W. Elkins, G. S. Dutton, B. D. Hall, L. P. Steele, R. H. J. Wang, and D. M. Cunnold
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
Carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) has substantial stratospheric ozone depletion potential and its consumption is controlled under the Montreal Protocol and its amendments. We implement a Kalman filter using atmospheric CCl4 measurements and a 3-dimensional chemical transport model to estimate the interannual regional industrial emissions and seasonal global oceanic uptake of CCl4 for the period of 1996–2004. The Model of Atmospheric Transport and Chemistry (MATCH), driven by offline National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis meteorological fields, is used to simulate CCl4 mole fractions and calculate their sensitivities to regional sources and sinks using a finite difference approach. High frequency observations from the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) and the Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and low frequency flask observations are together used to constrain the source and sink magnitudes, estimated as factors that multiply the a priori fluxes. Although industry data imply that the global industrial emissions were substantially declining with large interannual variations, the optimized results show only small interannual variations and a small decreasing trend. The global surface CCl4 mole fractions were declining in this period because the CCl4 oceanic and stratospheric sinks exceeded the industrial emissions. Compared to the a priori values, the inversion results indicate substantial increases in industrial emissions originating from the South Asian/Indian and Southeast Asian regions, and significant decreases in emissions from the European and North American regions.
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- 2010
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11. HFC-23 (CHF3) emission trend response to HCFC-22 (CHClF2) production and recent HFC-23 emission abatement measures
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R. G. Prinn, R. H. J. Wang, R. F. Weiss, J. Mühle, P. Salameh, A. McCulloch, C. Harth, P. J. Fraser, M. Leist, L. P. Steele, P. B. Krummel, L. J. M. Kuijpers, M. Rigby, B. R. Miller, S. O'Doherty, B. R. Greally, and P. G. Simmonds
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Physics ,QC1-999 ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
HFC-23 (also known as CHF3, fluoroform or trifluoromethane) is a potent greenhouse gas (GHG), with a global warming potential (GWP) of 14 800 for a 100-year time horizon. It is an unavoidable by-product of HCFC-22 (CHClF2, chlorodifluoromethane) production. HCFC-22, an ozone depleting substance (ODS), is used extensively in commercial refrigeration and air conditioning, in the extruded polystyrene (XPS) foam industries (dispersive applications) and also as a feedstock in fluoropolymer manufacture (a non-dispersive use). Aside from small markets in specialty uses, HFC-23 has historically been considered a waste gas that was, and often still is, simply vented to the atmosphere. Efforts have been made in the past two decades to reduce HFC-23 emissions, including destruction (incineration) in facilities in developing countries under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change's (UNFCCC) Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), and by process optimization and/or voluntary incineration by most producers in developed countries. We present observations of lower-tropospheric mole fractions of HFC-23 measured by "Medusa" GC/MSD instruments from ambient air sampled in situ at the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) network of five remote sites (2007–2009) and in Cape Grim air archive (CGAA) samples (1978–2009) from Tasmania, Australia. These observations are used with the AGAGE 2-D atmospheric 12-box model and an inverse method to produce model mole fractions and a "top-down" HFC-23 emission history. The model 2009 annual mean global lower-tropospheric background abundance is 22.6 (±0.2) pmol mol−1. The derived HFC-23 emissions show a "plateau" during 1997–2003, followed by a rapid ~50% increase to a peak of 15.0 (+1.3/−1.2) Gg/yr in 2006. Following this peak, emissions of HFC-23 declined rapidly to 8.6 (+0.9/−1.0) Gg/yr in 2009, the lowest annual emission of the past 15 years. We derive a 1990–2008 "bottom-up" HFC-23 emission history using data from the United Nations Environment Programme and the UNFCCC. Comparison with the top-down HFC-23 emission history shows agreement within the stated uncertainties. In the 1990s, HFC-23 emissions from developed countries dominated all other sources, then began to decline and eventually became fairly constant during 2003–2008. By this point, with developed countries' emissions essentially at a plateau, the major factor controlling the annual dynamics of global HFC-23 emissions became the historical rise of developing countries' HCFC-22 dispersive use production, which peaked in 2007. Thereafter in 2007–2009, incineration through CDM projects became a larger factor, reducing global HFC-23 emissions despite rapidly rising HCFC-22 feedstock production in developing countries.
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- 2010
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12. Global and regional emissions estimates of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a, CH3CHF2) from in situ and air archive observations
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Jens Mühle, Michela Maione, Ray F. Weiss, Stephan Henne, Diane J. Ivy, Bo Yao, S. Park, Paul J. Fraser, Stefan Reimann, Angelina Wenger, Ben R. Miller, Norbert Schmidbauer, B. L. Dunse, Lingxi Zhou, Tim Arnold, Shanlan Li, Paul B. Krummel, Takuya Saito, Jgor Arduini, Mark Lunt, Peter Simmonds, L. P. Steele, Chris Rene Lunder, Alistair J. Manning, Simon O'Doherty, Dickon Young, Christina M. Harth, Archie McCulloch, Ove Hermansen, Ronald G. Prinn, Matthew Rigby, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Yoko Yokouchi, and Martin K. Vollmer
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Atmospheric Science ,Ozone ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Northern Hemisphere ,1,1-Difluoroethane ,010501 environmental sciences ,Mole fraction ,Atmospheric sciences ,01 natural sciences ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,chemistry ,United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change ,Greenhouse gas ,Ozone layer ,Environmental science ,Southern Hemisphere ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
High frequency, in situ observations from 11 globally distributed sites for the period 1994–2014 and archived air measurements dating from 1978 onward have been used to determine the global growth rate of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a, CH3CHF2). These observations have been combined with a range of atmospheric transport models to derive global emission estimates in a top-down approach. HFC-152a is a greenhouse gas with a short atmospheric lifetime of about 1.5 years. Since it does not contain chlorine or bromine, HFC-152a makes no direct contribution to the destruction of stratospheric ozone and is therefore used as a substitute for the ozone depleting chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs). The concentration of HFC-152a has grown substantially since the first direct measurements in 1994, reaching a maximum annual global growth rate of 0.84 ± 0.05 ppt yr−1 in 2006, implying a substantial increase in emissions up to 2006. However, since 2007, the annual rate of growth has slowed to 0.38 ± 0.04 ppt yr−1 in 2010 with a further decline to an annual average rate of growth in 2013–2014 of −0.06 ± 0.05 ppt yr−1. The annual average Northern Hemisphere (NH) mole fraction in 1994 was 1.2 ppt rising to an annual average mole fraction of 10.1 ppt in 2014. Average annual mole fractions in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) in 1998 and 2014 were 0.84 and 4.5 ppt, respectively. We estimate global emissions of HFC-152a have risen from 7.3 ± 5.6 Gg yr−1 in 1994 to a maximum of 54.4 ± 17.1 Gg yr−1 in 2011, declining to 52.5 ± 20.1 Gg yr−1 in 2014 or 7.2 ± 2.8 Tg-CO2 eq yr−1. Analysis of mole fraction enhancements above regional background atmospheric levels suggests substantial emissions from North America, Asia, and Europe. Global HFC emissions (so called “bottom up” emissions) reported by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are based on cumulative national emission data reported to the UNFCCC, which in turn are based on national consumption data. There appears to be a significant underestimate ( > 20 Gg) of “bottom-up” reported emissions of HFC-152a, possibly arising from largely underestimated USA emissions and undeclared Asian emissions.
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- 2016
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13. Subtropical and midlatitude ozone trends in the stratosphere: Implications for recovery
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Hans Claude, J. A. E. van Gijsel, James M. Russell, Prijitha J. Nair, Thierry Leblanc, Lucien Froidevaux, D. P. J. Swart, A. Thomas, Richard Querel, R. H. J. Wang, Beverly J. Johnson, Joseph M. Zawodny, John Anderson, Jayanarayanan Kuttippurath, and Wolfgang Steinbrecht
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Atmospheric Science ,Ozone ,Subtropics ,Atmospheric sciences ,Latitude ,Trace gas ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Geophysics ,Altitude ,chemistry ,Space and Planetary Science ,Climatology ,Middle latitudes ,Ozone layer ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Stratosphere - Abstract
We present a comprehensive analysis of the trends of stratospheric ozone in the midlatitudes and subtropics. The analysis is performed using ground-based and space-based measurements over the light detection and ranging stations for the period 1985–2012. Also, trends are estimated for the zonal mean data made from a merged satellite data set, Global OZone Chemistry And Related trace gas Data records for the Stratosphere, over 1979–2012. The linear trends in stratospheric ozone are estimated using piecewise linear trend (PWLT) functions. The ozone trends during the increasing phase of halogens (before 1997) range from −0.2 ± 0.08 to −1 ± 0.07% yr−1 in the midlatitudes and −0.2 ± 0.06 to −0.7 ± 0.05 % yr−1 in the subtropics at 15–45 km, depending on altitude. In 1997–2012, the PWLT analyses show a positive trend, significantly different from zero at the 95% confidence intervals, toward ozone recovery in the middle- and low-latitude upper stratosphere (35–45 km), and the trends are about +0.5 ± 0.07% yr−1 at midlatitudes and about +0.3 ± 0.05% yr−1 at subtropical latitudes. However, negative and insignificant trends are estimated in the lower stratosphere (15–20 km) over 1997–2012 in the midlatitudes, mainly due to the dynamics, as demonstrated by the large (50–60%) contributions from the quasi-biennial oscillation, El Nino–Southern Oscillation, and planetary wave activity to recent ozone changes. This suggests that the ozone changes are governed by the interannual variations in meteorology and dynamics of the regions; these factors will influence the recovery detection time and the behavior of the recovery path to pre-1980 levels.
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- 2015
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14. Global emissions of HFC-143a (CH3CF3) and HFC-32 (CH2F2) from in situ and air archive atmospheric observations
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Ray F. Weiss, Martin K. Vollmer, Stefan Reimann, Dickon Young, Ove Hermansen, Simon O'Doherty, Bo Yao, Benjamin R. Miller, Shanlan Li, Jooil Kim, Paul B. Krummel, Norbert Schmidbauer, L. P. Steele, Lingxi Zhou, Peter Simmonds, Tim Arnold, Chris Rene Lunder, Jens Mühle, Christina M. Harth, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Sunyoung Park, Alistair J. Manning, Paul J. Fraser, Ronald G. Prinn, Matthew Rigby, B. Dunse, and Diane J. Ivy
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Troposphere ,Atmosphere ,In situ ,Atmospheric Science ,Atmosphere of Earth ,Meteorology ,13. Climate action ,Chemistry ,Growth rate ,Radiative forcing ,Atmospheric sciences ,Mole fraction ,7. Clean energy - Abstract
High-frequency, in situ observations from the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE), for the period 2003 to 2012, combined with archive flask measurements dating back to 1977, have been used to capture the rapid growth of HFC-143a (CH3CF3) and HFC-32 (CH2F2) mole fractions and emissions into the atmosphere. Here we report the first in situ global measurements of these two gases. HFC-143a and HFC-32 are the third and sixth most abundant hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) respectively and they currently make an appreciable contribution to the HFCs in terms of atmospheric radiative forcing (1.7 ± 0.04 and 0.7 ± 0.02 mW m−2 in 2012 respectively). In 2012 the global average mole fraction of HFC-143a was 13.4 ± 0.3 ppt (1σ) in the lower troposphere and its growth rate was 1.4 ± 0.04 ppt yr−1; HFC-32 had a global mean mole fraction of 6.2 ± 0.2 ppt and a growth rate of 1.1 ± 0.04 ppt yr−1 in 2012. The extensive observations presented in this work have been combined with an atmospheric transport model to simulate global atmospheric abundances and derive global emission estimates. It is estimated that 23 ± 3 Gg yr−1 of HFC-143a and 21 ± 11 Gg yr−1 of HFC-32 were emitted globally in 2012, and the emission rates are estimated to be increasing by 7 ± 5% yr−1 for HFC-143a and 14 ± 11% yr−1 for HFC-32.
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- 2014
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15. Atmospheric three-dimensional inverse modeling of regional industrial emissions and global oceanic uptake of carbon tetrachloride
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Christina M. Harth, Amram Golombek, Simon O'Doherty, Geoff S. Dutton, James W. Elkins, Paul J. Fraser, Paul B. Krummel, L. W. Porter, James H. Butler, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Peter Simmonds, L. P. Steele, Ronald G. Prinn, Ray F. Weiss, X. Xiao, Brian G Miller, B. D. Hall, Derek M. Cunnold, Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Prinn, Ronald G., Xiao, X., and Golombek, Amram
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Atmospheric Science ,South asia ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Chemical transport model ,Inversion (meteorology) ,010501 environmental sciences ,Southeast asian ,7. Clean energy ,01 natural sciences ,Ozone depletion ,lcsh:QC1-999 ,lcsh:Chemistry ,Atmosphere of Earth ,lcsh:QD1-999 ,13. Climate action ,Climatology ,Montreal Protocol ,lcsh:Physics ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Carbon tetrachloride (CCl4) has substantial stratospheric ozone depletion potential and its consumption is controlled under the Montreal Protocol and its amendments. We implement a Kalman filter using atmospheric CCl4 measurements and a 3-dimensional chemical transport model to estimate the interannual regional industrial emissions and seasonal global oceanic uptake of CCl4 for the period of 1996–2004. The Model of Atmospheric Transport and Chemistry (MATCH), driven by offline National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis meteorological fields, is used to simulate CCl4 mole fractions and calculate their sensitivities to regional sources and sinks using a finite difference approach. High frequency observations from the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) and the Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and low frequency flask observations are together used to constrain the source and sink magnitudes, estimated as factors that multiply the a priori fluxes. Although industry data imply that the global industrial emissions were substantially declining with large interannual variations, the optimized results show only small interannual variations and a small decreasing trend. The global surface CCl4 mole fractions were declining in this period because the CCl4 oceanic and stratospheric sinks exceeded the industrial emissions. Compared to the a priori values, the inversion results indicate substantial increases in industrial emissions originating from the South Asian/Indian and Southeast Asian regions, and significant decreases in emissions from the European and North American regions., United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Grant NNX07AE89G), United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Grant NAG5-12669), United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Grant NAG5-12099), National Science Foundation (U.S.) (grant ATM-0120468), United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Grant NNX07AF09G), United States. National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Grant NNX07AE87G), Great Britain. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (grants EPG 1/1/159), Great Britain. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (grant CPEG 24), Great Britain. Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (grants GA01081), Australia. Bureau of Meteorology, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research
- Published
- 2010
16. HFC-23 (CHF3) emission trend response to HCFC-22 (CHClF2) production and recent HFC-23 emission abatement measures
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Ronald G. Prinn, Matthew Rigby, Paul B. Krummel, Ray F. Weiss, Peter Simmonds, Jens Mühle, B. R. Greally, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Archie McCulloch, Simon O'Doherty, C. M. Harth, L. P. Steele, Benjamin R. Miller, Michael Leist, L. J. M. Kuijpers, and Paul J. Fraser
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Atmospheric Science ,Ozone ,Meteorology ,Chemistry ,business.industry ,Chlorodifluoromethane ,Raw material ,Incineration ,Clean Development Mechanism ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change ,Air conditioning ,Environmental protection ,Greenhouse gas ,business - Abstract
HFC-23 (also known as CHF3, fluoroform or trifluoromethane) is a potent greenhouse gas (GHG), with a global warming potential (GWP) of 14 800 for a 100-year time horizon. It is an unavoidable by-product of HCFC-22 (CHClF2, chlorodifluoromethane) production. HCFC-22, an ozone depleting substance (ODS), is used extensively in commercial refrigeration and air conditioning, in the extruded polystyrene (XPS) foam industries (dispersive applications) and also as a feedstock in fluoropolymer manufacture (a non-dispersive use). Aside from small markets in specialty uses, HFC-23 has historically been considered a waste gas that was, and often still is, simply vented to the atmosphere. Efforts have been made in the past two decades to reduce HFC-23 emissions, including destruction (incineration) in facilities in developing countries under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change's (UNFCCC) Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), and by process optimization and/or voluntary incineration by most producers in developed countries. We present observations of lower-tropospheric mole fractions of HFC-23 measured by "Medusa" GC/MSD instruments from ambient air sampled in situ at the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) network of five remote sites (2007–2009) and in Cape Grim air archive (CGAA) samples (1978–2009) from Tasmania, Australia. These observations are used with the AGAGE 2-D atmospheric 12-box model and an inverse method to produce model mole fractions and a "top-down" HFC-23 emission history. The model 2009 annual mean global lower-tropospheric background abundance is 22.6 (±0.2) pmol mol−1. The derived HFC-23 emissions show a "plateau" during 1997–2003, followed by a rapid ~50% increase to a peak of 15.0 (+1.3/−1.2) Gg/yr in 2006. Following this peak, emissions of HFC-23 declined rapidly to 8.6 (+0.9/−1.0) Gg/yr in 2009, the lowest annual emission of the past 15 years. We derive a 1990–2008 "bottom-up" HFC-23 emission history using data from the United Nations Environment Programme and the UNFCCC. Comparison with the top-down HFC-23 emission history shows agreement within the stated uncertainties. In the 1990s, HFC-23 emissions from developed countries dominated all other sources, then began to decline and eventually became fairly constant during 2003–2008. By this point, with developed countries' emissions essentially at a plateau, the major factor controlling the annual dynamics of global HFC-23 emissions became the historical rise of developing countries' HCFC-22 dispersive use production, which peaked in 2007. Thereafter in 2007–2009, incineration through CDM projects became a larger factor, reducing global HFC-23 emissions despite rapidly rising HCFC-22 feedstock production in developing countries.
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- 2010
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17. Global and regional emissions estimates of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a, CH3CHF2) from in situ and air archive observations
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P. G. Simmonds, M. Rigby, A. J. Manning, M. F. Lunt, S. O'Doherty, D. Young, A. McCulloch, P. J. Fraser, S. Henne, M. K. Vollmer, S. Reimann, A. Wenger, J. Mühle, C. M. Harth, P. K. Salameh, T. Arnold, R. F. Weiss, P. B. Krummel, L. P. Steele, B. L. Dunse, B. R. Miller, C. R. Lunder, O. Hermansen, N. Schmidbauer, T. Saito, Y. Yokouchi, S. Park, S. Li, B. Yao, L. X. Zhou, J. Arduini, M. Maione, R. H. J. Wang, and R. G. Prinn
- Abstract
High frequency, ground-based, in situ measurements from eleven globally-distributed sites covering 1994–2014, combined with measurements of archived air samples dating from 1978 onward and atmospheric transport models, have been used to estimate the growth of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a, CH3CHF2) mole fractions in the atmosphere and the global emissions required to derive the observed growth. HFC-152a is a significant greenhouse gas but since it does not contain chlorine or bromine, HFC-152a makes no direct contribution to the destruction of stratospheric ozone and is therefore used as a substitute for the ozone depleting chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs). HFC-152a has exhibited substantial atmospheric growth since the first measurements reaching a maximum annualised global growth rate of 0.81 ± 0.05 ppt yr−1 in 2006, implying a substantial increase in emissions up to 2006. However, since 2007, the annualised rate of growth has slowed to 0.38 ± 0.04 ppt yr−1 in 2010 with a further decline to an average rate of change in 2013–2014 of −0.06 ± 0.05 ppt yr−1. The average Northern Hemisphere (NH) mixing ratio in 1994 was 1.2 ppt rising to a mixing ratio of 10.2 ppt in December 2014. Average annual mixing ratios in the Southern Hemisphere (SH) in 1994 and 2014 were 0.34 and 4.4 ppt, respectively. We estimate global emissions of HFC-152a have risen from 7.3 ± 5.6 Gg yr−1 in 1994 to a maximum of 54.4 ± 17.1 Gg yr−1 in 2011, declining to 52.5 ± 20.1 Gg yr−1 in 2014 or 7.2 ± 2.8 Tg-CO2 eq yr−1. Analysis of mixing ratio enhancements above regional background atmospheric levels suggests substantial emissions from North America, Asia and Europe. Global HFC emissions (so called "bottom up" emissions) reported by the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are based on cumulative national emission data reported to the UNFCCC, which in turn are based on national consumption data. There appears to be a significant underestimate of "bottom-up" global emissions of HFC-152a, possibly arising from largely underestimated USA emissions and undeclared Asian emissions.
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- 2015
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18. Supplementary material to 'Global emissions of HFC-143a (CH3CF3) and HFC-32 (CH2F2) from in situ and air archive atmospheric observations'
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S. O'Doherty, M. Rigby, J. Mühle, D. J. Ivy, B. R. Miller, D. Young, P. G. Simmonds, S. Reimann, M. K. Vollmer, P. B. Krummel, P. J. Fraser, L. P. Steele, B. Dunse, P. K. Salameh, C. M. Harth, T. Arnold, R. F. Weiss, J. Kim, S. Park, S. Li, C. Lunder, O. Hermansen, N. Schmidbauer, L. X. Zhou, B. Yao, R. H. J. Wang, A. J. Manning, and R. G. Prinn
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- 2014
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19. Evidence for Substantial Variations of Atmospheric Hydroxyl Radicals in the Past Two Decades
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Simon O'Doherty, Paul J. Fraser, Peter Simmonds, Ronald G. Prinn, Archie McCulloch, Jian Yu Huang, Derek M. Cunnold, Benjamin R. Miller, Christina M. Harth, Ray F. Weiss, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, and L. W. Porter
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Troposphere ,Atmosphere ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Multidisciplinary ,Chemistry ,Radical ,Atmospheric chemistry ,Hydroxyl radical ,Growth rate ,Atmospheric sciences ,Greenhouse effect ,Ozone depletion - Abstract
The hydroxyl radical (OH) is the dominant oxidizing chemical in the atmosphere. It destroys most air pollutants and many gases involved in ozone depletion and the greenhouse effect. Global measurements of 1,1,1-trichloroethane (CH 3 CCl 3 , methyl chloroform) provide an accurate method for determining the global and hemispheric behavior of OH. Measurements show that CH 3 CCl 3 levels rose steadily from 1978 to reach a maximum in 1992 and then decreased rapidly to levels in 2000 that were lower than the levels when measurements began in 1978. Analysis of these observations shows that global OH levels were growing between 1978 and 1988, but the growth rate was decreasing at a rate of 0.23 ± 0.18% year −2 , so that OH levels began declining after 1988. Overall, the global average OH trend between 1978 and 2000 was −0.64 ± 0.60% year −1 . These variations imply important and unexpected gaps in current understanding of the capability of the atmosphere to cleanse itself.
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- 2001
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20. A history of chemically and radiatively important gases in air deduced from ALE/GAGE/AGAGE
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P. M. Midgley, Derek M. Cunnold, Peter Simmonds, Simon O'Doherty, Christina M. Harth, Ray F. Weiss, L. P. Steele, Archie McCulloch, Jian Yu Huang, Ronald G. Prinn, Ben R. Miller, G. A. Sturrock, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Paul J. Fraser, F. N. Alyea, and Dana E. Hartley
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Pollution ,Atmospheric Science ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Soil Science ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric sciences ,Troposphere ,Atmosphere ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Stratosphere ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology ,media_common ,Chlorofluorocarbon ,Ecology ,Paleontology ,Forestry ,Ozone depletion ,Trace gas ,Geophysics ,Atmosphere of Earth ,chemistry ,Space and Planetary Science ,Climatology ,Environmental science - Abstract
We describe in detail the instrumentation and calibrations used in the Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment (ALE), the Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (GAGE), and the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) and present a history of the majority of the anthropogenic ozone-depleting and climate-forcing gases in air based on these experiments. Beginning in 1978, these three successive automated high-frequency in situ experiments have documented the long-term behavior of the measured concentrations of these gases over the past 20 years, and show both the evolution of latitudinal gradients and the high-frequency variability due to sources and circulation. We provide estimates of the long-term trends in total chlorine contained in long-lived halocarbons involved in ozone depletion. We summarize interpretations of these measurements using inverse methods to determine trace gas lifetimes and emissions. Finally, we provide a combined observational and modeled reconstruction of the evolution of chlorocarbons by latitude in the atmosphere over the past 60 years which can be used as boundary conditions for interpreting trapped air in glaciers and oceanic measurements of chlorocarbon tracers of the deep oceanic circulation. Some specific conclusions are as follows: (1) International compliance with the Montreal Protocol is so far resulting in chlorofluorocarbon and chlorocarbon mole fractions comparable to target levels; (2) mole fractions of total chlorine contained in long-lived halocarbons (CCl 2 F 2 , CCl 3 F, CH 3 CCl 3 , CCl 4 , CHClF 2 , CCl 2 FCClF 2 , CH 3 Cl, CH 2 Cl 2 , CHCl 3 , CCl 2 =CCl 2 ) in the lower troposphere reached maximum values of about 3.6 ppb in 1993 and are beginning to slowly decrease in the global lower atmosphere; (3) the chlorofluorocarbons have atmospheric lifetimes consistent with destruction in the stratosphere being their principal removal mechanism; (4) multiannual variations in chlorofluorocarbon and chlorocarbon emissions deduced from ALE/GAGE/AGAGE data are consistent approximately with variations estimated independently from industrial production and sales data where available (CCl 2 F 2 (CFC-12) and CCl 2 FCClF 2 (CFC-113) show the greatest discrepancies); (5) the mole fractions of the hydrochlorofluorocarbons and hydrofluorocarbons, which are replacing the regulated halocarbons, are rising very rapidly in the atmosphere, but with the exception of the much longer manufactured CHClF 2 (HCFC-22), they are not yet at levels sufficient to contribute significantly to atmospheric chlorine loading. These replacement species could in the future provide independent estimates of the global weighted-average OH concentration provided their industrial emissions are accurately documented; (6) in the future, analysis of pollution events measured using high-frequency in situ measurements of chlorofluorocarbons and their replacements may enable emission estimates at the regional level, which, together with industrial end-use data, are of sufficient accuracy to be capable of identifying regional noncompliance with the Montreal Protocol.
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- 2000
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21. Characterizing sampling biases in the trace gas climatologies of the SPARC Data Initiative
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Lesley Smith, Adam Bourassa, A. Rozanov, Jessica L. Neu, Erkki Kyrölä, Alan G. Jones, Kirstin Krüger, R. A. Fuller, Joachim Urban, Susann Tegtmeier, Jill Anderson, John C. Gille, Bernd Funke, Juan A. Añel, Yasuko Kasai, T. von Clarmann, D. A. Degenstein, Samuel Brohede, Michaela I. Hegglin, Lucien Froidevaux, R. H. J. Wang, Matthew Toohey, and Kaley A. Walker
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Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Nonuniform sampling ,Sampling (statistics) ,02 engineering and technology ,Atmospheric sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Latitude ,Trace gas ,Troposphere ,Atmosphere ,Geophysics ,13. Climate action ,Space and Planetary Science ,Climatology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Stratosphere ,021101 geological & geomatics engineering ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Sampling bias - Abstract
Monthly zonal mean climatologies of atmospheric measurements from satellite instruments can have biases due to the non-uniform sampling of the atmosphere by the instruments. We characterize potential sampling biases in stratospheric trace gas climatologies of the Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate (SPARC) Data Initiative using chemical fields from a chemistry climate model simulation and sampling patterns from 16 satellite-borne instruments. The exercise is performed for the long-lived stratospheric trace gases O3 and H2O. Monthly sample biases for O3 exceed 10% for many instruments in the high latitude stratosphere and in the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere, while annual mean sampling biases reach values of up to 20% in the same regions for some instruments. Sampling biases for H2O are generally smaller than for O3, although still notable in the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere and Southern Hemisphere high latitudes. The most important mechanism leading to monthly sampling bias is the non-uniform temporal sampling of many instruments, i.e., the fact that for many instruments, monthly means are produced from measurements which span less than the full month in question. Similarly, annual mean sampling biases are well explained by non-uniformity in the month-to-month sampling by different instruments. Non-uniform sampling in latitude and longitude are shown to also lead to non-negligible sampling biases, which are most relevant for climatologies which are otherwise free of sampling biases due to non-uniform temporal sampling.
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- 2013
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22. Validation of operational ozone profiles from the Ozone Monitoring Instrument
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Janne Hakkarainen, M. Kroon, Rigel Kivi, Lucien Froidevaux, R. H. J. Wang, J. P. Veefkind, and J. F. de Haan
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Atmospheric Science ,Meteorology ,Soil Science ,Global Ozone Monitoring by Occultation of Stars ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Ozone layer ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Nadir ,Tropospheric ozone ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology ,Remote sensing ,Ozone Monitoring Instrument ,Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment ,Ecology ,Paleontology ,Forestry ,Microwave Limb Sounder ,Geophysics ,Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer ,chemistry ,Space and Planetary Science ,Environmental science - Abstract
[1] In this paper we present the validation results of the operational vertical ozone profiles retrieved from the nadir observations by the Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI) aboard the NASA Earth Observing System (EOS) Aura platform. The operational ozone profile retrieval algorithm was developed at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and the OMI mission data has been processed and made publicly available. Advantages of these nadir sounded ozone profiles are the excellent spatial resolution at nadir and daily global coverage while the vertical resolution is limited to 6–7 km. Comparisons with well-validated ozone profile recordings by the Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) and the Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES), both aboard the NASA EOS-Aura platform, provide an excellent opportunity for validation because of the large amount of collocations with OMI due to the instruments significant geographical overlap. In addition, comparisons with collocated ozone profiles from the Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE-II), the Halogen Occultation Experiment (HALOE), the Global Ozone Monitoring by the Occultation of Stars (GOMOS) and the Optical Spectrograph and Infrared Imager System (OSIRIS) satellite instruments and balloon-borne electrochemical concentration cell (ECC) ozonesondes are presented. OMI stratospheric ozone profiles are found to agree within 20% with global correlative data except for both the polar regions during local spring. For ozone in the troposphere OMI shows a systematic positive bias versus the correlative data sets of order 60% in the tropics and 30% at midlatitude regions. The largest source of error in the tropospheric ozone profile is the fit to spectral stray light in the operational algorithm.
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- 2011
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23. HFC-23 (CHF3) emission trend response to HCFC-22 (CHClF2) production and recent HFC-23 emission abatement measures
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B. R. Miller, M. Rigby, L. J. M. Kuijpers, P. B. Krummel, L. P. Steele, M. Leist, P. J. Fraser, A. McCulloch, C. Harth, P. Salameh, J. Mühle, R. F. Weiss, R. G. Prinn, R. H. J. Wang, S. O'Doherty, B. R. Greally, and P. G. Simmonds
- Abstract
HFC-23 (also known as CHF3, fluoroform or trifluoromethane) is a potent greenhouse gas (GHG), with a global warming potential (GWP) of 14 800 for a 100-year time horizon. It is an unavoidable by-product of HCFC-22 (CHClF2, chlorodifluoromethane) production. HCFC-22, an ozone depleting substance (ODS), is used extensively in commercial refrigeration and air conditioning, in the extruded polystyrene (XPS) foam industries (dispersive applications) and also as a feedstock in fluoropolymer manufacture (a non-dispersive use). Aside from small markets in specialty uses, HFC-23 has historically been considered a waste gas that was, and often still is, simply vented to the atmosphere. Efforts have been made in the past two decades to reduce HFC-23 emissions, including destruction (incineration) in facilities in developing countries under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change's (UNFCCC) Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), and by process optimization and/or voluntary incineration by most producers in developed countries. We present observations of lower-tropospheric mole fractions of HFC-23 measured by "Medusa" GC/MSD instruments from ambient air sampled in situ at the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) network of five remote sites and in Cape Grim air archive (CGAA) samples (1978–2009) from Tasmania, Australia. These observations are used with the AGAGE 2-D atmospheric 12-box model and an inverse method to produce model mole fractions and a "top-down" HFC-23 emission history. The model 2009 annual mean global lower-tropospheric background abundance is 22.8 (±0.2) pmol mol−1. The derived HFC-23 emissions show a "plateau" during 1997–2003, followed by a rapid ~50% increase to a peak of 15.0 (+1.3/−1.2) Gg/yr in 2006. Following this peak, emissions of HFC-23 declined rapidly to 8.6 (+0.9/−1.0) Gg/yr in 2009, the lowest annual emission of the past 15 years. We derive a 1990–2008 "bottom-up" HFC-23 emission history using data from the United Nations Environment Programme and the UNFCCC. Comparison with the top-down HFC-23 emission history shows agreement within the stated uncertainties. In the 1990s, HFC-23 emissions from developed countries dominated all other sources, then began to decline and eventually became fairly constant during 2003–2008. From the beginning of that plateau, the major factor determining the annual dynamics of global HFC-23 emissions became the historical rise of HCFC-22 production for dispersive uses in developing countries to a peak in 2007. Thereafter in 2007–2009, incineration through CDM projects became a larger factor, reducing global HFC-23 emissions despite rapidly rising HCFC-22 feedstock production in developing countries.
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- 2010
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24. Supplementary material to 'HFC-23 (CHF3) emission trend response to HCFC-22 (CHClF2) production and recent HFC-23 emission abatement measures'
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B. R. Miller, M. Rigby, L. J. M. Kuijpers, P. B. Krummel, L. P. Steele, M. Leist, P. J. Fraser, A. McCulloch, C. Harth, P. Salameh, J. Mühle, R. F. Weiss, R. G. Prinn, R. H. J. Wang, S. O'Doherty, B. R. Greally, and P. G. Simmonds
- Published
- 2010
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25. Global and regional emissions of HFC-125 (CHF2CF3) from in situ and air archive atmospheric observations at AGAGE and SOGE observatories
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Ray F. Weiss, Ronald G. Prinn, Christina M. Harth, B. R. Greally, Paul B. Krummel, L. W. Porter, Derek M. Cunnold, Ove Hermansen, B. L. Dunse, Chris Rene Lunder, Norbert Schmidbauer, L. P. Steele, Simon O'Doherty, Jens Mühle, Martin K. Vollmer, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Benjamin R. Miller, Archie McCulloch, Alistair J. Manning, Paul J. Fraser, Peter Simmonds, and Stefan Reimann
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,Meteorology ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Climate change ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Radiative forcing ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric sciences ,Troposphere ,Atmosphere ,Geophysics ,Atmosphere of Earth ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change ,Greenhouse gas ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Kyoto Protocol ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] High-frequency, in situ observations from the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) and System for Observation of halogenated Greenhouse gases in Europe (SOGE) networks for the period 1998 to 2008, combined with archive flask measurements dating back to 1978, have been used to capture the rapid growth of HFC-125 (CHF2CF3) in the atmosphere. HFC-125 is the fifth most abundant HFC, and it currently makes the third largest contribution of the HFCs to atmospheric radiative forcing. At the beginning of 2008 the global average was 5.6 ppt in the lower troposphere and the growth rate was 16% yr−1. The extensive observations have been combined with a range of modeling techniques to derive global emission estimates in a top-down approach. It is estimated that 21 kt were emitted globally in 2007, and the emissions are estimated to have increased 15% yr−1 since 2000. These estimates agree within approximately 20% with values reported to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) provided that estimated emissions from East Asia are included. Observations of regionally polluted air masses at individual AGAGE sites have been used to produce emission estimates for Europe (the EU-15 countries), the United States, and Australia. Comparisons between these top-down estimates and bottom-up estimates based on reports by individual countries to the UNFCCC show a range of approximately four in the differences. This process of independent verification of emissions, and an understanding of the differences, is vital for assessing the effectiveness of international treaties, such as the Kyoto Protocol.
- Published
- 2009
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26. Optimal estimation of the soil uptake rate of molecular hydrogen from the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment and other measurements
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Simon O'Doherty, Peter Simmonds, Paul J. Fraser, Ray L. Langenfelds, L. W. Porter, Xiangming Xiao, Ray F. Weiss, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Paul B. Krummel, L. P. Steele, Ronald G. Prinn, Jian Yu Huang, and Paul C. Novelli
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Atmospheric Science ,Hydrogen ,Soil Science ,chemistry.chemical_element ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric sciences ,Sink (geography) ,Troposphere ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Tropospheric ozone ,Stratosphere ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology ,Hydrology ,geography ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Ecology ,Northern Hemisphere ,Paleontology ,Forestry ,Geophysics ,Atmosphere of Earth ,chemistry ,Space and Planetary Science ,Soil water ,Environmental science - Abstract
[1] Hydrogen (H2), a proposed clean energy alternative, warrants detailed investigation of its global budget and future environmental impacts. The magnitudes and seasonal cycles of the major (presumably microbial) soil sink of hydrogen have been estimated from high-frequency in situ AGAGE H2 observations and also from more geographically extensive but low-frequency flask measurements from CSIRO and NOAA-GMD using the Kalman filter in a two-dimensional (2-D) global transport model. Hydrogen mole fractions exhibit well-defined seasonal cycles in each hemisphere with their phase difference being only about 3 months. The global production rate of H2 is estimated to be 103 ± 10 Tg yr−1 with only a small estimated interannual variation. Soil uptake (84 ± 8 Tg yr−1) represents the major loss process for H2 and accounts for 81% of the total destruction. Strong seasonal cycles are deduced for the soil uptake of H2. The soil sink is a maximum over the northern extratropics in summer and peaks only 2 to 3 months earlier in the Northern Hemisphere than in the Southern Hemisphere. Oxidation by tropospheric OH (18 ± 3 Tg yr−1) accounts for 17% of the destruction, with the remainder due to destruction in the stratosphere. The calculated global burden is 191 ± 29 Tg, indicating an overall atmospheric lifetime of 1.8 ± 0.3 years. Hydrogen in the troposphere (149 ± 23 Tg burden) has a lifetime of 1.4 ± 0.2 years.
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- 2007
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27. Observations of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a) at AGAGE and SOGE monitoring stations in 1994–2004 and derived global and regional emission estimates
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Graham Nickless, Martin K. Vollmer, Simon O'Doherty, Norbert Schmidbauer, Michela Maione, Frode Stordal, Paul J. Fraser, Ronald G. Prinn, Ove Hermansen, Ray F. Weiss, Konrad Stemmler, Jian Yu Huang, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Alistair J. Manning, R. G. Derwent, Archie McCulloch, Jgor Arduini, B. L. Dunse, Derek M. Cunnold, Chris Rene Lunder, Paul B. Krummel, Peter Simmonds, B. R. Greally, Doris Folini, Stefan Reimann, and L. W. Porter
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,Meteorology ,Northern Hemisphere ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric sciences ,Annual cycle ,Geophysics ,Atmosphere of Earth ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Middle latitudes ,Greenhouse gas ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Mixing ratio ,Environmental science ,Tonne ,Southern Hemisphere ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] Ground-based in situ measurements of 1,1-difluoroethane (HFC-152a, CH3CHF2) which is regulated under the Kyoto Protocol are reported under the auspices of the AGAGE (Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment) and SOGE (System of Observation of halogenated Greenhouse gases in Europe) programs. Observations of HFC-152a at five locations (four European and one Australian) over a 10 year period were recorded. The annual average growth rate of HFC-152a in the midlatitude Northern Hemisphere has risen from 0.11 ppt/yr to 0.6 ppt/yr from 1994 to 2004. The Southern Hemisphere annual average growth rate has risen from 0.09 ppt/yr to 0.4 ppt/yr from 1998 to 2004. The 2004 average mixing ratio for HFC-152a was 5.0 ppt and 1.8 ppt in the Northern and Southern hemispheres, respectively. The annual cycle observed for this species in both hemispheres is approximately consistent with measured annual cycles at the same locations in other gases which are destroyed by OH. Yearly global emissions of HFC-152a from 1994 to 2004 are derived using the global mean HFC-152a observations and a 12-box 2-D model. The global emission of HFC-152a has risen from 7 Kt/yr to 28 Kt/yr from 1995 to 2004. On the basis of observations of above-baseline elevations in the HFC-152a record and a consumption model, regional emission estimates for Europe and Australia are calculated, indicating accelerating emissions from Europe since 2000. The overall European emission in 2004 ranges from 1.5 to 4.0 Kt/year, 5–15% of global emissions for 1,1-difluoroethane, while the Australian contribution is negligible at 5–10 tonnes/year
- Published
- 2007
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28. Global trends, seasonal cycles, and European emissions of dichloromethane, trichloroethene, and tetrachloroethene from the AGAGE observations at Mace Head, Ireland, and Cape Grim, Tasmania
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Ben R. Miller, Alistair J. Manning, Ronald G. Prinn, Derek M. Cunnold, Simon O'Doherty, B. R. Greally, Peter Simmonds, Paul B. Krummel, R. G. Derwent, Paul J. Fraser, L. W. Porter, Ray F. Weiss, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Archie McCulloch, and B. L. Dunse
- Subjects
Pollution ,Atmospheric Science ,Meteorology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Soil Science ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Cape ,Trend surface analysis ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Biomass burning ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology ,media_common ,Dichloromethane ,Ecology ,Paleontology ,Forestry ,Geophysics ,chemistry ,Space and Planetary Science ,Western europe ,Environmental chemistry ,Environmental science ,Mace - Abstract
[1] In situ observations (every 4 hours) of dichloromethane (CH 2 Cl 2 ) from April 1995 to December 2004 and trichloroethene (C 2 HCl 3 ) and tetrachloroethene (C 2 Cl 4 ) from September 2000 to December 2004 are reported for the Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) station at Mace Head, Ireland. At a second AGAGE station at Cape Grim, Tasmania, CH 2 Cl 2 and C 2 Cl 4 data collection commenced in 1998 and 2000, respectively. C 2 HCl 3 is below the limit of detection at Cape Grim except during pollution episodes. At Mace Head CH 2 Cl 2 shows a downward trend from 1995 to 2004 of 0.7±0.2 ppt yr -1 (ppt: expressed as dry mole fractions in 10 12 ), although from 1998 to 2004 the decrease has been only 0.3 ± 0.1ppt yr -1 . Conversely, there has been a small but significant growth of 0.05 ± 0.01 ppt yr -1 in CH 2 Cl 2 at Cape Grim. The time series for C 2 HCl 3 and C 2 Cl 4 are relatively short for accurate trend analyses; however, we observe a small but significant decline in C 2 Cl 4 (0.18 ± 0.05 ppt yr -1 ) at Mace Head. European emissions inferred from AGAGE measurements are compared to recent estimates from industry data and show general agreement for C 2 HCl 3 . Emissions estimated from observations are lower than industry emission estimates for C 2 Cl 4 and much lower in the case of CH 2 Cl 2 . A study of wildfires in Tasmania, uncontaminated by urban emissions, suggests that the biomass burning source of CH 2 Cl 2 may have been previously overestimated. All three solvents have distinct annual cycles, with the phases and amplitudes reflecting their different chemical reactivity with OH as the primary sink.
- Published
- 2006
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29. Evidence for variability of atmospheric hydroxyl radicals over the past quarter century
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Paul B. Krummel, Paul J. Fraser, Stefan Reimann, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Archie McCulloch, L. W. Porter, Benjamin R. Miller, J. Huang, Peter Simmonds, Derek M. Cunnold, Ray F. Weiss, Simon O'Doherty, Christina M. Harth, and Ronald G. Prinn
- Subjects
Ozone ,Radical ,Southern oscillation ,Ozone depletion ,Quarter century ,Trace gas ,Atmosphere ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Geophysics ,chemistry ,Environmental chemistry ,Climatology ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Greenhouse effect - Abstract
[1] The hydroxyl free radical (OH) is the major oxidizing chemical in the atmosphere, destroying about 3.7 petagrams (Pg) of trace gases each year, including many gases involved in ozone depletion, the greenhouse effect and urban air pollution. Measurements of 1,1,1-trichloroethane (methyl chloroform, CH3CCl3), which reacts with OH, provide the most accurate method currently utilized for determining the global behavior of OH. We report that CH3CCl3 levels rose steadily from 1978 to reach a maximum in 1992 and have since decreased rapidly to levels in 2004 about 30% of the levels when measurements began in 1978. Analysis of these observations shows that global average OH levels had a small maximum around 1989 and a larger minimum around 1998, with OH concentrations in 2003 being comparable to those in 1979. This post-1998 recovery of OH reported here contrasts with the situation 4 years ago when reported OH was decreasing. The 1997–1999 OH minimum coincides with, and is likely caused by, major global wildfires and an intense El Nino event at this time.
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- 2005
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30. SPARC Data Initiative: A comparison of ozone climatologies from international satellite limb sounders
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Alan G. Jones, D. Pendlebury, D. A. Degenstein, Bernd Funke, Jessica L. Neu, Yasuko Kasai, Erkki Kyrölä, Michaela I. Hegglin, Susann Tegtmeier, R. A. Fuller, B. Nardi, Lucien Froidevaux, John Anderson, T. von Clarmann, Ellis E. Remsberg, Lesley Smith, Matthew Toohey, Samuel Brohede, Gretchen Lingenfelser, John C. Gille, Jerry Lumpe, Kaley A. Walker, Adam Bourassa, Kirstin Krüger, A. Rozanov, Joachim Urban, and R. H. J. Wang
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,010501 environmental sciences ,Atmospheric sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Ozone depletion ,Latitude ,Mesosphere ,SCIAMACHY ,Troposphere ,Geophysics ,13. Climate action ,Space and Planetary Science ,Middle latitudes ,Climatology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Satellite ,Stratosphere ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
A comprehensive quality assessment of the ozone products from 18 limb-viewing satellite instruments is provided by means of a detailed intercomparison. The ozone climatologies in form of monthly zonal mean time series covering the upper troposphere to lower mesosphere are obtained from LIMS, SAGE I/II/III, UARS-MLS, HALOE, POAM II/III, SMR, OSIRIS, MIPAS, GOMOS, SCIAMACHY, ACE-FTS, ACE-MAESTRO, Aura-MLS, HIRDLS, and SMILES within 1978–2010. The intercomparisons focus on mean biases of annual zonal mean fields, interannual variability, and seasonal cycles. Additionally, the physical consistency of the data is tested through diagnostics of the quasi-biennial oscillation and Antarctic ozone hole. The comprehensive evaluations reveal that the uncertainty in our knowledge of the atmospheric ozone mean state is smallest in the tropical and midlatitude middle stratosphere with a 1σ multi-instrument spread of less than ±5%. While the overall agreement among the climatological data sets is very good for large parts of the stratosphere, individual discrepancies have been identified, including unrealistic month-to-month fluctuations, large biases in particular atmospheric regions, or inconsistencies in the seasonal cycle. Notable differences between the data sets exist in the tropical lower stratosphere (with a spread of ±30%) and at high latitudes (±15%). In particular, large relative differences are identified in the Antarctic during the time of the ozone hole, with a spread between the monthly zonal mean fields of ±50%. The evaluations provide guidance on what data sets are the most reliable for applications such as studies of ozone variability, model-measurement comparisons, detection of long-term trends, and data-merging activities.
- Published
- 2013
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31. SPARC Data Initiative: Comparison of water vapor climatologies from international satellite limb sounders
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T. von Clarmann, Gretchen Lingenfelser, R. A. Fuller, Ellis E. Remsberg, A. Rozanov, Michaela I. Hegglin, Jerry Lumpe, Susann Tegtmeier, Bernd Funke, Lucien Froidevaux, Joachim Urban, Kaley A. Walker, R. H. J. Wang, John Anderson, Matthew Toohey, Alan G. Jones, D. Pendlebury, and Katja Weigel
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,010501 environmental sciences ,Atmospheric sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Standard deviation ,SCIAMACHY ,Troposphere ,Atmosphere ,Geophysics ,13. Climate action ,Space and Planetary Science ,Polar vortex ,Climatology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Satellite ,Stratosphere ,Water vapor ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Within the SPARC Data Initiative, the first comprehensive assessment of the quality of 13 water vapor products from 11 limb-viewing satellite instruments (LIMS, SAGE II, UARS-MLS, HALOE, POAM III, SMR, SAGE III, MIPAS, SCIAMACHY, ACE-FTS, and Aura-MLS) obtained within the time period 1978-2010 has been performed. Each instrument's water vapor profile measurements were compiled into monthly zonal mean time series on a common latitude-pressure grid. These time series serve as basis for the ‘climatological’ validation approach used within the project. The evaluations include comparisons of monthly or annual zonal mean cross-sections and seasonal cycles in the tropical and extra-tropical upper troposphere and lower stratosphere averaged over one or more years, comparisons of inter-annual variability, and a study of the time evolution of physical features in water vapor such as the tropical tape recorder and polar vortex dehydration. Our knowledge of the atmospheric mean state in water vapor is best in the lower and middle stratosphere of the tropics and mid-latitudes, with a relative uncertainty of ±2-6% (as quantified by the standard deviation of the instruments’ multi-annual means). The uncertainty increases towards the polar regions (±10-15%), the mesosphere (±15%), and the upper troposphere/lower stratosphere below 100 hPa (±30-50%), where sampling issues add uncertainty due to large gradients and high natural variability in water vapor. The minimum found in multi-annual (1998-2008) mean water vapor in the tropical lower stratosphere is 3.5 ppmv (±14%), with slightly larger uncertainties for monthly mean values. The frequently used HALOE water vapor dataset shows consistently lower values than most other datasets throughout the atmosphere, with increasing deviations from the multi-instrument mean below 100 hPa in both the tropics and extra-tropics. The knowledge gained from these comparisons and regarding the quality of the individual datasets in different regions of the atmosphere will help to improve model-measurement comparisons (e.g. for diagnostics such as the tropical tape recorder or seasonal cycles), data merging activities, and studies of climate variability.
- Published
- 2013
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32. Rapid growth of hydrofluorocarbon 134a and hydrochlorofluorocarbons 141b, 142b, and 22 from Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) observations at Cape Grim, Tasmania, and Mace Head, Ireland
- Author
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Jian Yu Huang, Peter Simmonds, G. A. Sturrock, Derek M. Cunnold, L. W. Porter, Stephen A. Montzka, Paul B. Krummel, Ronald G. Prinn, Ben R. Miller, Simon O'Doherty, Ray F. Weiss, DB Ryall, Alistair J. Manning, Peter K. Salameh, R. H. J. Wang, Archie McCulloch, R. G. Derwent, and Paul J. Fraser
- Subjects
Pollution ,Atmospheric Science ,Meteorology ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Soil Science ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Atmosphere ,Troposphere ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology ,media_common ,Ecology ,Paleontology ,Forestry ,Trace gas ,Geophysics ,Atmosphere of Earth ,chemistry ,Space and Planetary Science ,Western europe ,Environmental science ,Hydrofluorocarbon - Abstract
[1] An update of in situ Advanced Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (AGAGE) hydrofluorocarbon (HFC)/hydrochlorofluorocarbon (HCFC) measurements made at Mace Head, Ireland, and Cape Grim, Tasmania, from 1998 to 2002 are reported. HCFC-142b, HCFC-141b, HCFC-22 and HFC-134a show continued rapid growth in the atmosphere at mean rates of 1.1, 1.6, 6.0, and 3.4 ppt/year, respectively. Emissions inferred from measurements are compared to recent estimates from consumption data. Minor updates to the industry estimates of emissions are reported together with a discussion of how to best determine OH concentrations from these trace gas measurements. In addition, AGAGE measurements and derived emissions are compared to those deduced from NOAA-Climate Monitoring and Diagnostics Laboratory flask measurements (which are mostly made at different locations). European emission estimates obtained from Mace Head pollution events using the Nuclear Accident Model (NAME) dispersion model and the best fit algorithm (known as simulated annealing) are presented as 3-year rolling average emissions over Europe for the period 1999–2001. Finally, the measurements of HCFC-141b, HCFC-142b, and HCFC-22 discussed in this paper have been combined with the Atmospheric Lifetime Experiment (ALE)/Global Atmospheric Gases Experiment (GAGE)/AGAGE measurements of CFC-11, CFC-12, CFC-113, CCl4, and CH3CCl3 to produce the evolution of tropospheric chlorine loading.
- Published
- 2004
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33. Climate forcings in Goddard Institute for Space Studies SI2000 simulations
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L. Bishop, Reto Ruedy, T. Novakov, Ina Tegen, Timothy M. Hall, Nick Rayner, John R. Christy, Drew Shindell, D. Koch, Larissa Nazarenko, Sydney Levitus, Andrew A. Lacis, Peter Stone, David E. Parker, Benjamin D. Santer, Richard C. Willson, Anne M. Thompson, James Hansen, S. M. Hollandsworth, R. H. J. Wang, Yuhang Wang, Judith Lean, Larry W. Thomason, Richard S. Stolarski, Makiko Sato, Daniel J. Jacob, John I. Antonov, and Jennifer A. Logan
- Subjects
Earth's energy budget ,Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,Global temperature ,Global warming ,Climate commitment ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Forestry ,Global change ,Aquatic Science ,Radiative forcing ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric sciences ,Geophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Climate sensitivity ,Climate model ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] We define the radiative forcings used in climate simulations with the SI2000 version of the Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) global climate model. These include temporal variations of well-mixed greenhouse gases, stratospheric aerosols, solar irradiance, ozone, stratospheric water vapor, and tropospheric aerosols. Our illustrations focus on the period 1951–2050, but we make the full data sets available for those forcings for which we have earlier data. We illustrate the global response to these forcings for the SI2000 model with specified sea surface temperature and with a simple Q-flux ocean, thus helping to characterize the efficacy of each forcing. The model yields good agreement with observed global temperature change and heat storage in the ocean. This agreement does not yield an improved assessment of climate sensitivity or a confirmation of the net climate forcing because of possible compensations with opposite changes of these quantities. Nevertheless, the results imply that observed global temperature change during the past 50 years is primarily a response to radiative forcings. It is also inferred that the planet is now out of radiation balance by 0.5 to 1 W/m 2 and that additional global warming of about 0.5� C is already ‘‘in the pipeline.’’ INDEX TERMS: 1620 Global Change: Climate dynamics (3309); 1635 Global Change: Oceans (4203); 1650 Global Change: Solar variability
- Published
- 2002
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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