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Children with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) may respond differently to COVID-19 immunization as compared with healthy children or adults with IBD. Those younger than 12 years receive a lower vaccine dose than adults. We sought to describe the safety and humoral immune response to COVID-19 vaccine in children with IBD.We recruited children with IBD, ages 5-17 years, who received ≥ 2 doses of the BNT162b2 vaccine by a direct-to-patient outreach and at select sites. Patient demographics, IBD characteristics, medication use, and vaccine adverse events were collected. A subset of participants had quantitative measurement of anti-receptor binding domain IgG antibodies after 2-part immunization.Our study population included 280 participants. Only 1 participant required an ED visit or hospitalization because of an adverse event. Of 99 participants who underwent anti-receptor binding domain IgG antibody measurement, 98 had a detectable antibody, with a mean antibody level of 43.0 μg/mL (SD 67) and a median of 22 μg/mL (interquartile range 12-38). In adjusted analyses, older age ( P = 0.028) and antitumor necrosis factor monotherapy compared with immunomodulators alone ( P = 0.005) were associated with a decreased antibody level. Antibody response in patients treated with antitumor necrosis factor combination vs monotherapy was numerically lower but not significant.Humoral immune response to COVID-19 immunization in children with IBD was robust, despite a high proportion of this pediatric cohort being treated with immunosuppressive agents. Severe vaccine-related AEs were rare. Overall, these findings provide a high level of reassurance that pediatric patients with IBD respond well and safely to SARS-CoV-2 vaccination.

The most massive stars dominate the chemical enrichment, mechanical and radiative feedback, and energy budget of their host environments. Yet how massive stars initially form and how they evolve throughout their lives is ambiguous. The mass loss of the most massive stars remains a key unknown in stellar physics, with consequences for stellar feedback and populations. In this work, we compare grids of very massive star (VMS) models with masses ranging from 80-1000Msun, for a range of input physics. We include enhanced winds close to the Eddington limit as a comparison to standard O-star winds, with consequences for present-day observations of ~50-100Msun stars. We probe the relevant surface H abundances (Xs) to determine the key traits of VMS evolution compared to O stars. We find fundamental differences in the behaviour of our models with the enhanced-wind prescription, with a convergence on the stellar mass at 1.6 Myr, regardless of the initial mass. It turns out that Xs is an important tool in deciphering the initial mass due to the chemically homogeneous nature of VMS above a mass threshold. We use Xs to break the degeneracy of the initial masses of both components of a detached binary, and a sample of WNh stars in the Tarantula nebula. We find that for some objects, the initial masses are unrestricted and, as such, even initial masses of the order 1000Msun are not excluded. Coupled with the mass turnover at 1.6 Myr, Xs can be used as a 'clock' to determine the upper stellar mass., Accepted for publication in MNRAS, 14 figures

Purpose To measure forces applied to the fetal neck, in a simulation model for breech delivery, in both lithotomy versus all-fours position. Methods We used a Laerdal SimMom simulator and a Birthing Baby together with PROMPT Flex Software. The descent of the fetus was accomplished using the Automatic Delivery Module 2. The baby was always in breech position; the SimMom in either all-fours or lithotomy positions. Sensors were located inside the fetal neck region to simulate forces applied to the plexus. Results The lowest force on the fetal neck region was recorded for the delivery in all-fours position without further maneuvers (mean force 58.70 Newton, standard deviation 2.54 N). As weight was added to the baby, the force increased (i.e. + 500 g, mean force 71.8 N, SD 3.08 N, p p = 0.02). Maneuvers for shoulder dystocia (the inverted type that can occur during breech delivery) led to significantly higher mean forces independent from birthing positions. Conclusion Breech delivery in all-fours position was associated with the lowest force acting on the fetal neck in our simulation model.

Substandard and falsified medicines are harmful to patients, causing prolonged illness, side effects, and preventable deaths. Moreover, they have an impact on the health system and society more broadly by leading to additional care, higher disease burden, productivity losses and loss of trust in health care. Models that estimate the health and economic impacts of substandard and falsified medicines can be useful for regulators to contextualize the problem and to make an economic case for solutions. Yet these models have not been systematically catalogued to date. We reviewed existing models that estimate the health and economic impact of substandard and falsified medicines to describe the varying modeling approaches and gaps in knowledge. We compared model characteristics, data sources, assumptions, and limitations. Seven models were identified. The models assessed the impact of antimalarial (n = 5) or antibiotic (n = 2) quality at a national (n = 4), regional (n = 2), or global (n = 1) level. Most models conducted uncertainty analysis and provided ranges around potential outcomes. We found that models are lacking for other medicines, few countries’ data have been analyzed, and capturing population heterogeneity remains a challenge. Providing the best estimates of the impact of substandard and falsified medicines on a level that is actionable for decision-makers is important. To enable this, research on the impact of substandard and falsified medicines should be expanded to more medicine types and classes and tailored to more countries that are affected, with greater specificity.

Chronic ThromboEmbolic Pulmonary Hypertension (CTEPH) is a potentially curative form of pulmonary hypertension, which continues to be underdiagnosed. Pulmonary ThromboEndarterectomy (PTE, also referred to as PEA for Pulmonary Endarterectomy) is a technically challenging procedure that requires careful patient selection, meticulous surgical techniques, and expertise in postoperative care. Over the last decade, there have been significant advances not only in the techniques of the operation, but also in the postoperative management of major complications. Furthermore, advances have been made not only in medical therapy, but also in percutaneous interventions, in the form of balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA). BPA and medical therapy are considered to be palliative; they are reserved for patients who are inoperable, or for those who continue to have symptomatic PH postoperatively. PTE remains the gold standard treatment for CTEPH, as long as the patient has evidence of surgically accessible disease, and the patient has acceptable surgical risk. All CTEPH patients should be evaluated and considered for surgery, and no patient should be turned down without consultation with a multidisciplinary team at an expert center. Furthermore, no amount of PH or degree of right heart failure is a contraindication to surgery, as long as there is corresponding level of disease. Excellent short- and long-term results can be achieved with current data suggesting significant advantage with 10-yr survival of 85–90%.

Whether preoperative treatment of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) with tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFis) increases the risk of postoperative infectious complications remains controversial. The primary aim of this study was to determine whether preoperative exposure to TNFis is an independent risk factor for postoperative infectious complications within 30 days of surgery.We conducted a multicenter prospective observational study of patients with IBD undergoing intra-abdominal surgery across 17 sites from the Crohn'sColitis Foundation Clinical Research Alliance. Infectious complications were categorized as surgical site infections (SSIs) or non-SSIs. Current TNFi exposure was defined as use within 12 weeks of surgery, and serum was collected for drug-level analyses. Multivariable models for occurrence of the primary outcome, any infection, or SSI were adjusted by predefined covariates (age, sex, preoperative steroid use, and disease type), baseline variables significantly associated (P.05) with any infection or SSI separately, and TNFi exposure status. Exploratory models used TNFi exposure based on serum drug concentration.A total of 947 patients were enrolled from September 2014 through June 2017. Current TNFi exposure was reported by 382 patients. Any infection (18.1% vs 20.2%, P = .469) and SSI (12.0% vs 12.6%, P = .889) rates were similar in patients currently exposed to TNFis and those unexposed. In multivariable analysis, current TNFi exposure was not associated with any infection (odds ratio, 1.050; 95% confidence interval, 0.716-1.535) or SSI (odds ratio, 1.249; 95% confidence interval, 0.793-1.960). Detectable TNFi drug concentration was not associated with any infection or SSI.Preoperative TNFi exposure was not associated with postoperative infectious complications in a large prospective multicenter cohort.

Background Web-based portals can enhance communication between patients and providers to support IBD self-management and improve care. We aimed to identify portal use patterns of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) to inform future web portal-based interventions and portal design. Methods Patients with IBD receiving care at the University of Michigan between 2012 and 2021 were identified. Meta-data from electronic logs of each patient’s most recent year of portal use were abstracted. Portal engagement was characterized in terms of intensity (ie, frequency of use); comprehensiveness (ie, number of portal functions used); and duration (ie, quarters per year of portal use). We used k-means clustering, a machine-learning technique, to identify groupings of portal users defined in terms of engagement features. Results We found 5605 patients with IBD who had accessed their portal account at least once. The average age was 41.2 years (SD 16.7), 3035 (54.2%) were female, and 2214 (39.5%) received immune-targeted therapies. We identified 3 patterns of portal engagement: (1) low intensity users (29.5%); (2) moderate intensity, comprehensive, and sustained users (63.3%); and (3) high intensity, comprehensive, sustained users (7.2%). Patients with more intense, comprehensive, and sustained use of the portal were older, female, with more comorbidities, and were more likely to receive immune-targeted therapies. Conclusion Understanding distinct patterns of portal use can inform portal-based interventions and portal design. Patient portals may be particularly helpful in delivering assistance to those with comorbidities and those receiving immune-targeted therapies—many of whom demonstrate more intense, comprehensive, and sustained portal use.

Background Given rapid innovation in advanced therapies for moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC), we investigated their comparative efficacy and safety during induction and maintenance through network meta-analysis. Methods Using Bayesian methods, endpoints of clinical remission and clinical response per Full Mayo score, and endoscopic improvement were assessed in bio-naive and -exposed populations. Safety was assessed in overall populations by all adverse events (AEs), serious AEs, discontinuation due to AEs, and serious infections. Phase 3 randomized controlled trials were identified via systematic literature review, including the following advanced therapies: infliximab, adalimumab, vedolizumab, golimumab, tofacitinib, ustekinumab, filgotinib, ozanimod, and upadacitinib. Random effects models were used to address between-study heterogeneity. Intent-to-treat (ITT) efficacy rates were calculated by adjusting maintenance outcomes by likelihood of induction response. Results Out of 48 trials identified, 23 were included. Across all outcomes and regardless of prior biologic exposure, ITT efficacy rates were highest for upadacitinib, owing to its highest ranking for all efficacy outcomes in induction and for all but clinical remission during maintenance among bio-naive induction responders. For all advanced therapies versus placebo, there were no significant differences in serious AEs or serious infections across therapies. For all AEs, golimumab had higher odds versus placebo during maintenance; for discontinuation due to AEs, upadacitinib had lower odds versus placebo during induction, while ustekinumab and vedolizumab had lower odds versus placebo during maintenance. Conclusions Upadacitinib may be the most efficacious therapy for moderately to severely active UC based on ITT analyses, with similar safety across advanced therapies.

BACKGROUND There is a great unmet need for advanced therapies that provide rapid, robust, and sustained disease control for patients with ulcerative colitis. We assessed the efficacy and safety of upadacitinib, an oral selective Janus kinase 1 inhibitor, as induction and maintenance therapy in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis. METHODS This phase 3, multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical programme consisted of two replicate induction studies (U-ACHIEVE induction [UC1] and U-ACCOMPLISH [UC2]) and a single maintenance study (U-ACHIEVE maintenance [UC3]). The studies were conducted across Europe, North and South America, Australasia, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region at 199 clinical centres in 39 countries (UC1), 204 clinical centres in 40 countries (UC2), and 195 clinical centres in 35 countries (UC3). Patients aged 16-75 years with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (Adapted Mayo score 5-9; endoscopic subscore 2 or 3) for at least 90 days were randomly assigned (2:1) to oral upadacitinib 45 mg once daily or placebo for 8 weeks (induction studies). Patients who achieved clinical response following 8-week upadacitinib induction were re-randomly assigned (1:1:1) to upadacitinib 15 mg, upadacitinib 30 mg, or placebo for 52 weeks (maintenance study). All patients were randomly assigned using web-based interactive response technology. The primary endpoints were clinical remission per Adapted Mayo score at week 8 (induction) and week 52 (maintenance). The efficacy analyses in the two induction studies were based on the intent-to-treat population, which included all randomised patients who received at least one dose of treatment. In the maintenance study, the primary efficacy analyses reported in this manuscript were based on the first 450 (planned) clinical responders to 8-week induction therapy with upadacitinib 45 mg once daily. The safety analysis population in the induction studies consisted of all randomised patients who received at least one dose of treatment; in the maintenance study, this population included all patients who received at least one dose of treatment as part of the primary analysis population. These studies are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02819635 (U-ACHIEVE) and NCT03653026 (U-ACCOMPLISH). FINDINGS Between Oct 23, 2018, and Sept 7, 2020, 474 patients were randomly assigned to upadacitinib 45 mg once daily (n=319) or placebo (n=155) in UC1. Between Dec 6, 2018, and Jan 14, 2021, 522 patients were randomly assigned to upadacitinib 45 mg once daily (n=345) or placebo (n=177) in UC2. In UC3, a total of 451 patients (21 from the phase 2b study, 278 from UC1, and 152 from UC2) who achieved a clinical response after 8 weeks of upadacitinib induction treatment were randomly assigned again to upadacitinib 15 mg (n=148), upadacitinib 30 mg (n=154), and placebo (n=149) in the primary analysis population. Statistically significantly more patients achieved clinical remission with upadacitinib 45 mg (83 [26%] of 319 patients in UC1 and 114 [34%] of 341 patients in UC2) than in the placebo group (seven [5%] of 154 patients in UC1 and seven [4%] of 174 patients; p

The burden of clinical heart failure, both heart failure with a reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) and with a preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), continues to increase both nationally and globally. This review summarizes the expanding role of multimodality imaging techniques in the evaluation and management these patients.Echocardiographic assessment for heart failure continues to expand and should include a robust hemodynamic and strain assessment. Nuclear techniques have also continued to evolve and advances including computed tomography attenuation correction for single photon emission-computed tomography positron-emission tomography increase diagnostic accuracy as well as provide information such as myocardial blood flow and viability assessment. Computed tomography imaging, already well established in the assessment of coronary and valvular disease, has increasing utility in the characterization of myopathy, and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) continues to expand its role in tissue characterization to a wider breadth of diseases, including right ventricular cardiomyopathy and left ventricle noncompaction.Although heart failure remains a clinical diagnosis based on history and examination, early imaging is critical for further assessment. Due to its widespread availability, affordability, and safety, transthoracic echocardiography has long been the mainstay tool for both initial evaluation as well as for periodic surveillance of heart failure patients, but advances in multimodality imaging are occurring at a rapid pace and promise to provide an increasing wealth of data to help manage such patients.

Background Pain is commonly experienced by patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Unfortunately, pain management is a challenge in IBD care, as currently available analgesics are associated with adverse events. Our understanding of the impact of opioid use on healthcare utilization among IBD patients remains limited. Methods A systematic search was completed using PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, and Scopus through May of 2020. The exposure of interest was any opioid medication prescribed by a healthcare provider. Outcomes included readmissions rate, hospitalization, hospital length of stay, healthcare costs, emergency department visits, outpatient visits, IBD-related surgeries, and IBD-related medication utilization. Meta-analysis was conducted on study outcomes reported in at least 4 studies using random-effects models to estimate pooled relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Results We identified 1969 articles, of which 30 met inclusion criteria. Meta-analysis showed an association between opioid use and longer length of stay (mean difference, 2.25 days; 95% CI, 1.29-3.22), higher likelihood of prior IBD-related surgery (RR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.32-2.25), and higher rates of biologic use (RR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.13-1.68) but no difference in 30-day readmissions (RR, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.86-1.61), immunomodulator use (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.89-1.44), or corticosteroid use (RR, 1.36; 95% CI, 0.88-2.10) in patients with IBD. On systematic review, opioid use was associated with increased hospitalizations, healthcare costs, emergency department visits, outpatient visits, and polypharmacy. Discussion Opioids use among patients with IBD is associated with increased healthcare utilization. Nonopioid alternatives are needed to reduce burden on the healthcare system and improve patient outcomes.

Background The therapeutic armamentarium to treat adult patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC) continues to evolve. With this rapid innovation, the comparative efficacy and safety of more recent advanced therapies remain unknown. Methods Bayesian network meta-analysis was used to indirectly compare the efficacy and safety of advanced therapies for induction (6–10 weeks) and maintenance (44–54 weeks post-induction response) in adults with moderately-to-severely active UC. Efficacy was assessed separately in bio-naïve and bio-exposed populations by clinical remission (Full Mayo score [FM] of ≤2 with no subscore >1), clinical response (decrease from baseline in FM ≥3 points and ≥30% with decrease in rectal bleeding score [RBS] of ≥1 or absolute RBS ≤1) and endoscopic improvement (endoscopic score ≤1); ad hoc analyses were conducted on upadacitinib (UPA) RCT data to produce FM outcomes. Safety was assessed by discontinuation due to adverse events (AEs), serious AEs, and serious infections. Induction therapies included UPA 45 mg, adalimumab 160/80 mg, filgotinib 100 and 200 mg, golimumab 200/100 mg, infliximab 10 and 5 mg/kg, ozanimod 0.92 mg, tofacitinib 10 mg, ustekinumab (UST) 6 mg/kg, and vedolizumab (VED) 300 mg. The maintenance analysis included low and high maintenance doses of these therapies. Phase 3 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) were identified via systematic literature review. Random effects models were used to account for expected heterogeneity in endpoints and study design. Guidelines from the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence were followed. Results Out of 31 RCTs identified, 23 were included (18 for induction and 14 for maintenance). Odds ratios vs. placebo (PBO), numbers needed to treat/harm, and surface under the cumulative ranking curve estimates are presented for efficacy in bio-naïve (Table 1) and bio-exposed (Table 2) populations and for safety in overall populations (Table 4). Intent-to-treat rates of maintenance efficacy outcomes adjusted by the likelihood of induction response show UPA to be consistently the most efficacious therapy (Table 3). There were no significant differences in serious AEs or serious infections for any advanced therapy vs PBO. For discontinuation due to AEs, only UPA had significantly lower odds vs PBO after induction, while UST and VED had significantly lower odds vs PBO after maintenance (Table 4). Conclusion In patients with moderately-to-severely active UC, UPA 45 mg induction and 30 mg maintenance appear more efficacious than other advanced therapies/PBO at inducing and maintaining clinical response, clinical remission, and endoscopic response, with no greater safety assessments vs PBO, over 1-year.

BackgroundClostridioides difficile infection (CDI) is a leading cause of health care–associated infection and may result in organ dysfunction, colectomy, and death. Published risk scores to predict severe complications from CDI demonstrate poor performance upon external validation. We hypothesized that building and validating a model using geographically and temporally distinct cohorts would more accurately predict risk for complications from CDI.MethodsWe conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study of adults diagnosed with CDI. After randomly partitioning the data into training and validation sets, we developed and compared 3 machine learning algorithms (lasso regression, random forest, stacked ensemble) with 10-fold cross-validation to predict disease-related complications (intensive care unit admission, colectomy, or death attributable to CDI) within 30 days of diagnosis. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC).ResultsA total of 3646 patients with CDI were included, of whom 217 (6%) had complications. All 3 models performed well (AUC, 0.88–0.89). Variables of importance were similar across models, including albumin, bicarbonate, change in creatinine, non-CDI-related intensive care unit admission, and concomitant non-CDI antibiotics. Sensitivity analyses indicated that model performance was robust even when varying derivation cohort inclusion and CDI testing approach. However, race was an important modifier, with models showing worse performance in non-White patients.ConclusionsUsing a large heterogeneous population of patients, we developed and validated a prediction model that estimates risk for complications from CDI with good accuracy. Future studies should aim to reduce the disparity in model accuracy between White and non-White patients and to improve performance overall.

Background We evaluated the health-related quality of life (HRQoL) benefits of upadacitinib (UPA) induction and maintenance treatment in a phase 3 study of patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) across a broad range of patient-centered outcomes. Methods Patients received UPA 45 mg once daily or placebo as induction treatment for 8 weeks. Patients who achieved clinical response were rerandomized to receive once daily UPA 15 mg, 30 mg, or placebo as maintenance treatment for 52 weeks. The percentages of patients reporting a clinically meaningful within-person change from baseline in the Ulcerative Colitis Symptoms Questionnaire, Inflammatory Bowel Disease Questionnaire, Work Productivity and Impairment Questionnaire, 36-Item Short Form Survey, and European Quality of Life-5 Dimension 5 Levels were evaluated at weeks 2 and 8 of induction and at weeks 0 and 52 of maintenance. Results Significant improvements from baseline in all HRQoL measures except the Work Productivity and Impairment Questionnaire–absenteeism were achieved with UPA (P Conclusions Induction treatment with UPA 45 mg significantly improved HRQoL measures. A significantly higher percentage of patients who responded to induction treatment with UPA maintained clinically meaningful improvements consistently across a wide range of HRQoL outcomes after 52 weeks of maintenance therapy with UPA (15 mg and 30 mg) compared with placebo. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Numbers: NCT02819635, NCT03653026).

Background Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 vaccination is recommended for all individuals with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), including those on immunosuppressive therapies; however, little is known about vaccine safety and efficacy in these patients or the impact of vaccination on IBD disease course. Methods We evaluated coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccine–related adverse events (AEs) and the effect of vaccination on IBD disease course among participants in the PREVENT-COVID (Partnership to Report Effectiveness of Vaccination in populations Excluded from iNitial Trials of COVID) study, a prospective, observational cohort study. Localized and systemic reactions were assessed via questionnaire. Disease flare was defined by worsening IBD symptoms and change in IBD medications. Outcomes were stratified by vaccine type and IBD medication classes. Results A total of 3316 individuals with IBD received at least 1 COVID-19 vaccine. Injection site tenderness (68%) and fatigue (46% dose 1, 68% dose 2) were the most commonly reported localized and systemic AEs after vaccination. Severe localized and systemic vaccine-related AEs were rare. The mRNA-1273 vaccine was associated with significantly greater severe AEs at dose 2 (localized 4% vs 2%, systemic 15% vs 10%; P < .001 for both). Prior COVID-19 infection, female sex, and vaccine type were associated with severe systemic reactions to dose 1, while age Conclusions Our findings provide reassurance that the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 vaccine is safe and well tolerated among individuals with IBD, which may help to combat vaccine hesitancy and increase vaccine confidence.

In the prospective multicenter Genesis study, we developed a prediction model for Cesarean delivery (CD) in term nulliparous women. The objective of this secondary analysis was to determine whether the Genesis model has the potential to predict maternal and neonatal morbidity associated with vaginal delivery.The national prospective Genesis trial recruited 2,336 nulliparous women with a vertex presentation between 39 + 0- and 40 + 6-weeks' gestation from seven tertiary centers. The prediction model used five parameters to assess the risk of CD: maternal age, maternal height, body mass index, fetal head circumference and fetal abdominal circumference. Simple and multiple logistic regression analyses were used to develop the Genesis model. The risk score calculated using this model were correlated with maternal and neonatal morbidity in women who delivered vaginally: postpartum hemorrhage (PPH), obstetric anal sphincter injury (OASI), shoulder dystocia, one- and five-minute Apgar score ≤ 7, neonatal intensive care (NICU) admission, cephalohematoma, fetal laceration, nerve palsy and fractures. The morbidities associated with spontaneous vaginal delivery were compared with those associated with operative vaginal delivery (OVD). The likelihood ratios for composite morbidity and the morbidity associated with OVD based on the Genesis risk scores were also calculated.A total of 1,845 (79%) nulliparous women had a vaginal delivery. A trend of increasing intervention and morbidity was observed with increasing Genesis risk score, including OVD (p 0.001), PPH (p 0.008), NICU admission (p 0.001), low Apgar score at one-minute (p 0.001) and OASI (p = 0.009). The morbidity associated with OVD was significantly higher compared to spontaneous vaginal delivery, including NICU admission (p 0.001), PPH (p = 0.022), birth injury (p 0.001), shoulder dystocia (p = 0.002) and Apgar score of7 at one-minute (p 0.001). The positive likelihood ratios for composite outcomes (where the OVD was excluded) increases with increasing risk score from 1.005 at risk score of 5% to 2.507 for risk score of50%.In women who ultimately achieved a vaginal birth, we have shown more maternal and neonatal morbidity in the setting of a Genesis nomogram-determined high-risk score for intrapartum CD. Therefore, the Genesis prediction tool also has the potential to predict a more morbid vaginal delivery.

Introduction Understanding the costs to increase vaccination demand among under-vaccinated populations, as well as costs incurred by beneficiaries and caregivers for reaching vaccination sites, is essential to improving vaccination coverage. However, there have not been systematic analyses documenting such costs for beneficiaries and caregivers seeking vaccination. Methods We searched PubMed, Scopus, and the Immunization Delivery Cost Catalogue (IDCC) in 2019 for the costs for beneficiaries and caregivers to 1) seek and know how to access vaccination (i.e., costs to immunization programs for social mobilization and interventions to increase vaccination demand), 2) take time off from work, chores, or school for vaccination (i.e., productivity costs), and 3) travel to vaccination sites. We assessed if these costs were specific to populations that faced other non-cost barriers, based on a framework for defining hard-to-reach and hard-to-vaccinate populations for vaccination. Results We found 57 studies describing information, education, and communication (IEC) costs, social mobilization costs, and the costs of interventions to increase vaccination demand, with mean costs per dose at $0.41 (standard deviation (SD) $0.83), $18.86 (SD $50.65) and $28.23 (SD $76.09) in low-, middle-, and high-income countries, respectively. Five studies described productivity losses incurred by beneficiaries and caregivers seeking vaccination ($38.33 per person; SD $14.72; n = 3). We identified six studies on travel costs incurred by beneficiaries and caregivers attending vaccination sites ($11.25 per person; SD $9.54; n = 4). Two studies reported social mobilization costs per dose specific to hard-to-reach populations, which were 2–3.5 times higher than costs for the general population. Eight studies described barriers to vaccination among hard-to-reach populations. Conclusion Social mobilization/IEC costs are well-characterized, but evidence is limited on costs incurred by beneficiaries and caregivers getting to vaccination sites. Understanding the potential incremental costs for populations facing barriers to reach vaccination sites is essential to improving vaccine program financing and planning.

Introduction Economic evidence on how much it may cost for vaccinators to reach populations is important to plan vaccination programs. Moreover, knowing the incremental costs to reach populations that have traditionally been undervaccinated, especially those hard-to-reach who are facing supply-side barriers to vaccination, is essential to expanding immunization coverage to these populations. Methods We conducted a systematic review to identify estimates of costs associated with getting vaccinators to all vaccination sites. We searched PubMed and the Immunization Delivery Cost Catalogue (IDCC) in 2019 for the following costs to vaccinators: (1) training costs; (2) labor costs, per diems, and incentives; (3) identification of vaccine beneficiary location; and (4) travel costs. We assessed if any of these costs were specific to populations that are hard-to-reach for vaccination, based on a framework for examining supply-side barriers to vaccination. Results We found 19 studies describing average vaccinator training costs at $0.67/person vaccinated or targeted (SD $0.94) and $0.10/dose delivered (SD $0.07). The average cost for vaccinator labor and incentive costs across 29 studies was $2.15/dose (SD $2.08). We identified 13 studies describing intervention costs for a vaccinator to know the location of a beneficiary, with an average cost of $19.69/person (SD $26.65), and six studies describing vaccinator travel costs, with an average cost of $0.07/dose (SD $0.03). Only eight of these studies described hard-to-reach populations for vaccination; two studies examined incremental costs per dose to reach hard-to-reach populations, which were 1.3–2 times higher than the regular costs. The incremental cost to train vaccinators was $0.02/dose, and incremental labor costs for targeting hard-to-reach populations were $0.16–$1.17/dose. Conclusion Additional comparative costing studies are needed to understand the potential differential costs for vaccinators reaching the vaccination sites that serve hard-to-reach populations. This will help immunization program planners and decision-makers better allocate resources to extend vaccination programs.