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A persistent shortwave radiative bias of Southern Ocean (SO) clouds in climate models is strongly associated with incorrect cloud phase representation, which impacts precipitation. Measurements characterizing precipitation in low‐level mixed‐phase clouds, which frequently form over the SO, are rare, and our understanding of precipitation efficacy within these clouds remains limited. The simulated surface precipitation bias has an indirect effect on determining global climate sensitivity and a direct impact on the hydrological cycle. This study investigates the representation of low clouds, cloud variability, and precipitation statistics over the SO in real‐case Icosahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) simulations at the kilometer scale. The simulations are contrasted with 48 hr of continuous shipborne observations of open and closed‐cell stratocumuli, south of Tasmania. Our simulations show the significance of heavily rimed particle formation, their in‐cloud growth, and subcloud melting to capture the observed cloud‐precipitation vertical structure. In addition, supercooled drizzle formation impacts the vertical structure and precipitation statistics. ICON captures the observed intermittency of precipitation even at a standard vertical resolution of 200 m in the boundary layer but only captures the observed sparse distribution of intense precipitation (>1 mm hr−1) when the maximum vertical resolution is reduced to 100 m. However, the simulations of the 2‐day accumulated precipitation and the radiative effect are largely insensitive to the vertical resolution. The cloud reflectivity of the broken cloud deck is underestimated due to negative biases in cloud optical depth. Plain Language Summary: Stratocumulus (Sc) clouds cover a large portion of the Southern Ocean (SO), where they substantially cool the ocean surface. Our understanding of the complex physics of these clouds, which include both liquid and ice remains incomplete. Accordingly, the representation of these clouds in global climate and weather models remains biased. In particular, their timing, frequency of occurrence, cloud phase and distribution, cloud cover, and precipitation characteristics are still associated with uncertainties. This results in biases in the energy balance over the SO and global equilibrium climate sensitivity. We use measurements from the Clouds, Aerosols, Precipitation, Radiation, and atmospherIc Composition Over the southeRn oceaN (CAPRICORN) voyage south of Tasmania, to evaluate the representation of broken cloud fields, the dominant ice processes, and the precipitation characteristics in high‐resolution numerical simulations. Our results suggest that, in addition to capturing the observed discrete cloud events, graupel‐like particle formation, its growth in the cloud layer, and subsequent melting in the subcloud layer are critical processes in accurately representing the SO broken low cloud fields and precipitation characteristics during CAPRICORN. Additionally, compared to observations, the simulated clouds are too reflective. Key Points: In‐cloud heavy riming, subcloud melting, and supercooled processes are vital to capture observed SO low‐cloud‐precipitation structureA finer vertical grid spacing of 100 m or less is needed to capture the frequency of observed intense surface precipitation (>1 mm hr−1) eventsWhile the simulated precipitation statistics agree with observations, the clouds are associated with a negative radiative bias [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper considers theoretical and observed uncertainties in the estimates of ZDR and ρHV(0) using data from an operational S-band radar and a mobile X-band radar. Cases of widespread uniform precipitation including bright-band, clear air, and ash echoes from forest fires are all considered in order to obtain a wide range of ρHV(0) values as this along with the radar frequency and spectrum width determines the uncertainties. The theoretical uncertainties in these parameters provide a good estimate of the lower bound of the standard deviations of the observed values where these have been estimated using the adjacent data to the target pixel. The implications for the accuracy of precipitation estimation, particle identification, and estimates of drop-size distributions are discussed. Significance Statement: High-quality quantitative precipitation and particle size/classification retrievals using weather radar are strongly dependent on the accuracy of ZDR and ρHV(0). This paper examines the theoretical limits to the measurement accuracy and verifies these limits with radar data at 10- and 3-cm wavelengths. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The evaluation and quantification of Southern Ocean cloud–radiation interactions simulated by climate models are essential in understanding the sources and magnitude of the radiative bias that persists in climate models for this region. To date, most evaluation methods focus on specific synoptic or cloud-type conditions that do not consider the entirety of the Southern Ocean's cloud regimes at once. Furthermore, it is difficult to directly quantify the complex and non-linear role that different cloud properties have on modulating cloud radiative effect. In this study, we present a new method of model evaluation, using machine learning that can at once identify complexities within a system and individual contributions. To do this, we use an XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) model to predict the radiative bias within a nudged version of the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator – Atmosphere-only model, using cloud property biases as predictive features. We find that the XGBoost model can explain up to 55 % of the radiative bias from these cloud properties alone. We then apply SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) feature importance analysis to quantify the role each cloud property bias plays in predicting the radiative bias. We find that biases in the liquid water path are the largest contributor to the cloud radiative bias over the Southern Ocean, though important regional and cloud-type dependencies exist. We then test the usefulness of this method in evaluating model perturbations and find that it can clearly identify complex responses, including cloud property and cloud-type compensating errors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In Australia, hailstorms present considerable public safety and economic risks, where they are considered the most damaging natural hazard in terms of annual insured losses. Despite these impacts, the current climatological distribution of hailfall across the continent is still comparatively poorly understood. This study aims to supplement previous national hail climatologies, such as those based on environmental proxies or satellite radiometer data, with more direct radar-based hail observations. The heterogeneous and incomplete nature of the Australian radar network complicates this task and prompts the introduction of some novel methodological elements. We introduce an empirical correction technique to account for hail reflectivity biases at C band, derived by comparing overlapping C- and S-band observations. Furthermore, we demonstrate how object-based hail swath analysis may be used to produce resolution-invariant hail frequencies, and describe an interpolation method used to create a spatially continuous hail climatology. The maximum estimated size of hail (MESH) parameter is then applied to a mixture of over 50 operational radars in the Australian radar archive, resulting in the first nationwide, radar-based hail climatology. The spatiotemporal distribution of hailstorms is examined, including their physical characteristics, seasonal and diurnal frequency, and regional variations of such properties across the continent. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Large hail events are typically infrequent, with significant time gaps between occurrences at specific locations. However, when these events do happen, they can cause rapid and substantial economic losses within a matter of minutes. Therefore, it is crucial to have the ability to accurately observe and understand hail phenomena to improve the mitigation of this impact. While in situ observations are accurate, they are limited in number for an individual storm. Weather radars, on the other hand, provide a larger observation footprint, but current radar-derived hail size estimates exhibit low accuracy due to horizontal advection of hailstones as they fall, the variability of hail size distributions (HSDs), complex scattering and attenuation, and mixed hydrometeor types. In this paper, we propose a new radar-derived hail product developed using a large dataset of hail damage insurance claims and radar observations. We use these datasets coupled with environmental information to calculate a hail damage estimate (HDE) using a deep neural network approach aiming to quantify hail impact, with a critical success index of 0.88 and a coefficient of determination against observed damage of 0.79. Furthermore, we compared HDE to a popular hail size product (MESH), allowing us to identify meteorological conditions that are associated with biases on MESH. Environments with relatively low specific humidity, high CAPE and CIN, low wind speeds aloft, and southerly winds at the ground are associated with a negative MESH bias, potentially due to differences in HSD, hail hardness, or mixed hydrometeors. In contrast, environments with low CAPE, high CIN, and relatively high specific humidity aloft are associated with a positive MESH bias. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Clouds over the Southern Ocean can contain super-cooled liquid water, which means the water remains liquid below 0°C. This is because the water in these clouds has had little contact with pollution or dust, which can help water freeze. Super-cooled liquid water clouds reflect more sunlight back into space than ice clouds, which can affect the temperature of the ocean. The Southern Ocean is a unique environment with fewer ice nucleating particles, making it difficult to study. Scientists are conducting research expeditions to gather more data and improve climate models. [Extracted from the article]

Weather radars are increasingly being used to study the interaction between wildfires and the atmosphere, owing to the enhanced spatio-temporal resolution of radar data compared to conventional measurements, such as satellite imagery and in situ sensing. An important requirement for the continued proliferation of radar data for this application is the automatic identification of fire-generated particle returns (pyrometeors) from a scene containing a diverse range of echo sources, including clear air, ground and sea clutter, and precipitation. The classification of such particles is a challenging problem for common image segmentation approaches (e.g. fuzzy logic or unsupervised machine learning) due to the strong overlap in radar variable distributions between each echo type. Here, we propose the following two-step method to address these challenges: (1) the introduction of secondary, texture-based fields, calculated using statistical properties of gray-level co-occurrence matrices (GLCMs), and (2) a Gaussian mixture model (GMM), used to classify echo sources by combining radar variables with texture-based fields from (1). Importantly, we retain all information from the original measurements by performing calculations in the radar's native spherical coordinate system and introduce a range-varying-window methodology for our GLCM calculations to avoid range-dependent biases. We show that our method can accurately classify pyrometeors' plumes, clear air, sea clutter, and precipitation using radar data from recent wildfire events in Australia and find that the contrast of the radar correlation coefficient is the most skilful variable for the classification. The technique we propose enables the automated detection of pyrometeors' plumes from operational weather radar networks, which may be used by fire agencies for emergency management purposes or by scientists for case study analyses or historical-event identification. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]