Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Štancar, Žiga, K. Kirov, Krassimir, Auriemma, Fulvio, Kim, Hyun-Tae, Poradzinski, Michal, Gallart, Daniel, Mantsinen, Mervi J., Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Štancar, Žiga, K. Kirov, Krassimir, Auriemma, Fulvio, Kim, Hyun-Tae, Poradzinski, Michal, Gallart, Daniel, and Mantsinen, Mervi J.
In the paper we present an overview of interpretive modelling of a database of JET-ILW 2021 D-T discharges using the TRANSP code. The main aim is to assess our capability of computationally reproducing the fusion performance of various D-T plasma scenarios using different external heating and D-T mixtures, and to understand the performance driving mechanisms. We find that interpretive simulations confirm a general power-law relationship between increasing external heating power and fusion output, which is supported by absolutely calibrated neutron yield measurements. A comparison of measured and computed D-T neutron rates shows that the calculations' discrepancy depends on the absolute neutron yield. The calculations are found to agree well with measurements for higher performing discharges with external heating power above ∼20 $\mathrm{MW}$, while low-neutron shots display an average discrepancy of around +40% compared to measured neutron yields. A similar trend is found for the ratio between thermal and beam-target fusion, where larger discrepancies are seen in shots with dominant beam-driven performance. We compare the observations to studies of JET-ILW D discharges, to find that on average the fusion performance is well modelled over a range of heating power, although an increased unsystematic deviation for lower-performing shots is observed. The ratio between thermal and beam-induced D-T fusion is found to be increasing weakly with growing external heating power, with a maximum value of $\gtrsim$1 achieved in a baseline scenario experiment. An evaluation of the fusion power computational uncertainty shows a strong dependence on the plasma scenario type and fusion drive characteristics, varying between ±25% and 35%. D-T fusion alpha simulations show that the ratio between volume-integrated electron and ion heating from alphas is $\lesssim$10 for the majority of analysed discharges. Alphas are computed to contribute between ∼15% and 40% to the total electron heat, This work has been carried out within the framework of the EUROfusion Consortium, funded by the European Union via the Euratom Research and Training Programme (Grant Agreement No. 101052200—EUROfusion). Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Commission. Neither the European Union nor the European Commission can be held responsible for them. This work has been part-funded by the EPSRC Energy Programme with grant number EP/W006839/1. The Barcelona Supercomputing Center part of this work has contributed through the Spanish National R&D Project PID2019-110854RB-I00 funded through MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033. In addition BSC are grateful for the support received from the Departament de Recerca i Universitats de la Generalitat de Catalunya via the Research Group Fusion Group with code: 2021 SGR 00908. The Laboratorio Nacional de Fusión contribution was funded in part via the Spanish National R&D Project PID2021-127727OB-I00 funded through MCIN/AEI /10.13039/501100011033., Peer Reviewed, "Article signat per 43 autors/es: Ž. Štancar, K.K. Kirov, F. Auriemma, H.-T. Kim, M. Poradziński, R. Sharma, R. Lorenzini, Z. Ghani, M. Gorelenkova, F. Poli, A. Boboc, S. Brezinsek, P. Carvalho, F.J. Casson, C.D. Challis, E. Delabie, D. Van Eester, M. Fitzgerald, J.M. Fontdecaba, D. Gallart, J. Garcia, L. Garzotti, C. Giroud, A. Kappatou, Ye.O. Kazakov, D.B. King, V.G. Kiptily, D. Kos, E. Lerche, E. Litherland-Smith, C.F. Maggi, P. Mantica, M.J. Mantsinen, M. Maslov, S. Menmuir, M. Nocente, H.J.C. Oliver, S.E. Sharapov, P. Sirén, E.R. Solano, H.J. Sun, G. Szepesi and JET Contributors", Postprint (published version)