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Elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI) improves pulmonary disease in people with cystic fibrosis (PwCF), but its effect on gastrointestinal symptoms, which also affect quality of life, is not clear.PROMISE is a 56-center prospective, observational study of ETI in PwCF12 years and at least one F508del allele. Gastrointestinal symptoms, evaluated by validated questionnaires: Patient Assessment of Upper Gastrointestinal Disorders-Symptom (PAGI-SYM), Patient Assessment of Constipation-Symptom (PAC-SYM), Patient Assessment of Constipation-Quality of Life (PAC-QOL)), fecal calprotectin, steatocrit and elastase-1 were measured before and 6 months after ETI initiation. Mean difference and 95% confidence intervals were obtained from linear regression with adjustment for age and sex.438 participants fully completed at least 1 questionnaire. Mean (SD) for baseline PAGI-SYM, PAC-SYM, and PAC-QOL total scores were 0.56 (0.59), 0.47 (0.45), and 0.69 (0.53) out of maximum 5, 4, and 5, respectively (higher score indicates greater severity). Corresponding age- and sex-adjusted 6 months mean changes (95% CI) in total scores were -0.15 (-0.21, -0.09) for PAGI-SYM, -0.14 (-0.19, -0.09) for PAC-SYM, and -0.15 (-0.21, -0.10) for PAC-QOL. While statistically significant, changes were small and unlikely to be of clinical importance. Fecal calprotectin showed a change (95% CI) from baseline of -66.2 µg/g (-86.1, -46.2) at 6 months, while fecal elastase and steatocrit did not meaningfully change.After 6 months of ETI, fecal markers of inflammation decreased. Gastrointestinal symptoms improved, but the effect size was small. Pancreatic insufficiency did not improve.

People with cystic fibrosis (PwCF) suffer from gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms affecting their quality of life (QOL). Despite the relevance of GI symptoms to the overall health of PwCF, a paucity of studies only have comprehensively assessed the prevalence, severity and QOL of GI symptoms in both children and adults with Cystic Fibrosis (CF).Eligible participants ≥2 years of age across 26 US CF centers were followed for 4 weeks. Three validated GI electronic patient-reported outcome measures (ePROMs) with a recall period of 2 weeks and a stool-specific questionnaire were administered weekly over four weeks. Total and domain scores of ePROMs were evaluated overall and in subgroups using linear mixed-effect models.Of 402 enrolled, 58% were ≥ 18 years of age (52% male). The mean (SD) of the total score for PAC-SYM was 0.52 (0.55), for PAGI-SYM was 0.63 (0.67), and for PAC-QOL was 0.67 (0.55). For specific ePROM questions, prevalence of moderate to very severe symptoms were as follows: straining (20.3%), fullness (18.3%), incomplete bowel movements (17.1%), bloating (16.4%), distension (16.4%), abdominal pain (upper-5.1%, lower-7.5%). Comparing participants ≥18 versus18, a higher prevalence of bloating (63.7% versus 27.3%), lower abdominal pain (39.8% vs 26.2%), stomach fullness (75.6% versus 56.2%), and abdominal distension (60.2% versus 34.9%) was found. Both age groups reported high treatment dissatisfaction as measured with PAC-QOL, mean 1.39 (95% CI: 1.30, 1.47).GI symptoms were reported in all age ranges irrespective of gender, with higher prevalence observed amongst older and female subgroups. Dissatisfaction with GI targeted treatments were reported in a large proportion of participants despite therapy, highlighting an unmet need for clinical interventions.GOV: NCT03801993.

BACKGROUND: The Food and Drug Administration considers patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) an essential part of clinical research studies for approval of new drugs and new indications for existing drugs. GALAXY evaluated the feasibility of electronic PROMs (ePROMS) to conduct a comprehensive evaluation of gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms in persons with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). METHODS: Three validated GI ePROMs (PAC-SYM, PAGI-SYM and PAC-QOL) were combined with a Stool-Specific questionnaire to make up the GALAXY ePROMs and administered prospectively across 26 CF centers in the United States. The ePROMs were completed at enrollment visit and then electronically at weeks 1, 2 and 4. PwCF at least 2 years and older were eligible for the study. Reminders were only provided by the mobile application during the study window. RESULTS: There were 402 participants enrolled in GALAXY. Of those, 169 (42%) were under 18 years old and 193 (48%) were female. The proportion of all follow-up weeks with at least 1 ePROM fully completed was 80%, slightly higher in those ≥18 years of age (82.5%) compared to those

IntroductionTherapeutic advances have markedly increased life expectancy for those with cystic fibrosis (CF), resulting in a median predicted survival over 50 years. Consequently, people with CF (pwCF) are living through their reproductive years and the rate of pregnancy is rapidly rising. Despite the increased relevance of this topic, multicentre studies investigating the association between maternal health and choices made during pregnancy on maternal and fetal outcomes do not exist. Furthermore, there are very limited data on the outcomes following CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulator use during pregnancy and lactation.Methods and analysisMaternal andFetal Outcomes in theEra of Modulators(MAYFLOWERS) is a prospective, multicentre observational clinical trial which will enrol approximately 285 pregnant pwCF including those who are modulator ineligible and those who choose to continue or discontinue CFTR modulator therapy during pregnancy and lactation. The primary aim of this 35-month study is to assess whether lung function changes during pregnancy differ based on the continued use of modulators or other factors such as pre-existing comorbid conditions. Secondary objectives include evaluation of pregnancy related and obstetrical complications and changes in mental health.Ethics and disseminationThe design of this study required special consideration of study burden on pregnant and lactating people with chronic illness in the setting of a substantial number of unanswered questions under these conditions. MAYFLOWERS is the first prospective clinical trial examining pregnancy in CF; the outcomes will guide providers on pregnancy management in pwCF and others with chronic respiratory disease.

Nerve injury requiring surgical repair often results in poor functional recovery due to the inability of host axons to re-grow long distances and reform meaningful connections with the target muscle. While surgeons can re-route local axon fascicles to the target muscle, there are no technologies to provide an exogenous source of axons without sacrificing healthy nerves. Accordingly, we have developed tissue engineered neuromuscular interfaces (TE-NMIs) as the first injectable microtissue containing motor and sensory neurons in an anatomically-inspired architecture. TE-NMIs provide axon tracts that are intended to integrate with denervated distal structures and preserve regenerative capacity during prolonged periods without host innervation. Following implant, we found that TE-NMI axons promoted Schwann cell maintenance, integrated with distal muscle, and preserved an evoked muscle response out to 20-weeks post nerve transection in absence of innervation from host axons. By repopulating the distal sheath with exogenous axons, TE-NMIs also enabled putative delayed fusion with proximal host axons, a phenomenon previously not achievable in delayed repair scenarios due to distal axon degeneration. Here, we found immediate electrophysiological recovery after fusion with proximal host axons and improved axon maturation and muscle reinnervation at 24-weeks post-transection (4-weeks following delayed nerve fusion). These findings show that TE-NMIs provide the potential to improve functional recovery following delayed nerve repair.

Objectives To compare the term equivalent brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) findings between erythropoietin (Epo) treated and placebo control groups in infants 240/7-276/7 weeks of gestational age and to assess the associations between MRI findings and neurodevelopmental outcomes at 2 years corrected age. Study design The association between brain abnormality scores and Bayley Scales of Infant Development, Third Edition at 2 years corrected age was explored in a subset of infants enrolled in the Preterm Erythropoietin Neuroprotection Trial. Potential risk factors for neurodevelopmental outcomes such as treatment assignment, recruitment site, gestational age, inpatient complications, and treatments were examined using generalized estimating equation models. Results One hundred ten infants were assigned to Epo and 110 to placebo groups. 27% of MRI scans were rated as normal, and 60%, 10%, and 2% were rated as having mild, moderate, or severe abnormality. Brain abnormality scores did not significantly differ between the treatment groups. Factors that increased the risk of higher brain injury scores included intubation; bronchopulmonary dysplasia; retinopathy of prematurity; opioid, benzodiazepine, or antibiotic treatment >7 days; and periventricular leukomalacia or severe intraventricular hemorrhage diagnosed on cranial ultrasound. Increased global brain abnormality and white matter injury scores at term equivalent were associated with reductions in cognitive, motor, and language abilities at 2 years of corrected age. Conclusions Evidence of brain injury on brain MRIs obtained at term equivalent correlated with adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes as assessed by the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition at 2 years corrected age. Early Epo treatment had no effect on the MRI brain injury scores compared with the placebo group.

The reticulocyte index reticulocyte hemoglobin equivalent (Ret-He) was evaluated as a marker of iron status. This is a retrospective cohort study of all infants admitted to the University of Washington Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, who received Ret-He measurements as part of routine care within the first 120 days of life. A total of 730 Ret-He measurements from 249 infants were analyzed (median gestational age at birth 32.1 weeks; 49 infants

BACKGROUND Our understanding of the normative concentrations of urine biomarkers in premature neonates is limited. METHODS We evaluated urine from 750 extremely low gestational age (GA) neonates without severe acute kidney injury (AKI) to determine how GA affects ten different urine biomarkers at birth and over the first 30 postnatal days. Then, we investigated if the urine biomarkers changed over time at 27, 30, and 34 weeks postmenstrual age (PMA). Next, we evaluated the impact of sex on urine biomarker concentrations at birth and over time. Finally, we evaluated if urine biomarkers were impacted by treatment with erythropoietin (Epo). RESULTS We found that all ten biomarker concentrations differ at birth by GA and that some urine biomarker concentrations increase, while others decrease over time. At 27 weeks PMA, 7/10 urine biomarkers differed by GA. By 30 weeks PMA, 5/10 differed, and by 34 weeks PMA, only osteopontin differed by GA. About half of the biomarker concentrations differed by sex, and 4/10 showed different rates of change over time between males vs. females. We found no differences in urine biomarkers by treatment group. CONCLUSIONS The temporal patterns, GA, and sex differences need to be considered in urine AKI biomarker analyses. IMPACT Urine biomarker concentrations differ by GA at birth. Some urine biomarkers increase, while others decrease, over the first 30 postnatal days. Most urine biomarkers differ by GA at 27 weeks PMA, but are similar by 34 weeks PMA. Some urine biomarkers vary by sex in premature neonates. Urine biomarkers did not differ between neonates randomized to placebo vs. Epo.

Extremely preterm infants are among the populations receiving the highest levels of transfusions. Erythropoietin has not been recommended for premature infants because most studies have not demonstrated a decrease in donor exposure.To determine whether high-dose erythropoietin given within 24 hours of birth through postmenstrual age of 32 completed weeks will decrease the need for blood transfusions.The Preterm Erythropoietin Neuroprotection Trial (PENUT) is a randomized, double-masked clinical trial with participants enrolled at 19 sites consisting of 30 neonatal intensive care units across the United States. Participants were born at a gestational age of 24 weeks (0-6 days) to 27 weeks (6-7 days). Exclusion criteria included conditions known to affect neurodevelopmental outcomes. Of 3266 patients screened, 2325 were excluded, and 941 were enrolled and randomized to erythropoietin (n = 477) or placebo (n = 464). Data were collected from December 12, 2013, to February 25, 2019, and analyzed from March 1 to June 15, 2019.In this post hoc analysis, erythropoietin, 1000 U/kg, or placebo was given every 48 hours for 6 doses, followed by 400 U/kg or sham injections 3 times a week through postmenstrual age of 32 weeks.Need for transfusion, transfusion numbers and volume, number of donor exposures, and lowest daily hematocrit level are presented herein.A total of 936 patients (488 male [52.1%]) were included in the analysis, with a mean (SD) gestational age of 25.6 (1.2) weeks and mean (SD) birth weight of 799 (189) g. Erythropoietin treatment (vs placebo) decreased the number of transfusions (unadjusted mean [SD], 3.5 [4.0] vs 5.2 [4.4]), with a relative rate (RR) of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.59-0.75); the cumulative transfused volume (mean [SD], 47.6 [60.4] vs 76.3 [68.2] mL), with a mean difference of -25.7 (95% CI, 18.1-33.3) mL; and donor exposure (mean [SD], 1.6 [1.7] vs 2.4 [2.0]), with an RR of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.58-0.77). Despite fewer transfusions, erythropoietin-treated infants tended to have higher hematocrit levels than placebo-treated infants, most noticeable at gestational week 33 in infants with a gestational age of 27 weeks (mean [SD] hematocrit level in erythropoietin-treated vs placebo-treated cohorts, 36.9% [5.5%] vs 30.4% [4.6%] (P .001). Of 936 infants, 160 (17.1%) remained transfusion free at the end of 12 postnatal weeks, including 43 in the placebo group and 117 in the erythropoietin group (P .001).These findings suggest that high-dose erythropoietin as used in the PENUT protocol was effective in reducing transfusion needs in this population of extremely preterm infants.ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01378273.

Accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations at new locations are often of interest in air pollution studies on fine particulate matters (PM$_{2.5}$), in which data is usually not measured at all study locations. PM$_{2.5}$ is also a mixture of many different chemical components. Principal component analysis (PCA) can be incorporated to obtain lower-dimensional representative scores of such multi-pollutant data. Spatial prediction can then be used to estimate these scores at new locations. Recently developed predictive PCA modifies the traditional PCA algorithm to obtain scores with spatial structures that can be well predicted at unmeasured locations. However, these approaches require complete data, whereas multi-pollutant data tends to have complex missing patterns in practice. We propose probabilistic versions of predictive PCA which allow for flexible model-based imputation that can account for spatial information and subsequently improve the overall predictive performance., 36 pages, 8 figures, 5 tables. v2 is a pre peer-reviewed version that was submitted to Environmetrics. A final version with minor revisions was accepted for publication by Environmetrics on Oct 30, 2019, and will be linked to this version once published

Background Outcomes of extremely low gestational age neonates (ELGANs) may be adversely impacted by packed red blood cell (pRBC) transfusions. We investigated the impact of transfusions on neurodevelopmental outcome in the Preterm Erythropoietin (Epo) Neuroprotection (PENUT) Trial population. Methods This is a post hoc analysis of 936 infants 24-0/6 to 27-6/7 weeks' gestation enrolled in the PENUT Trial. Epo 1000 U/kg or placebo was given every 48 h × 6 doses, followed by 400 U/kg or sham injections 3 times a week through 32 weeks postmenstrual age. Six hundred and twenty-eight (315 placebo, 313 Epo) survived and were assessed at 2 years of age. We evaluated associations between BSID-III scores and the number and volume of pRBC transfusions. Results Each transfusion was associated with a decrease in mean cognitive score of 0.96 (95% CI of [-1.34, -0.57]), a decrease in mean motor score of 1.51 (-1.91, -1.12), and a decrease in mean language score of 1.10 (-1.54, -0.66). Significant negative associations between BSID-III score and transfusion volume and donor exposure were observed in the placebo group but not in the Epo group. Conclusions Transfusions in ELGANs were associated with worse outcomes. We speculate that strategies to minimize the need for transfusions may improve outcomes. Impact Transfusion number, volume, and donor exposure in the neonatal period are associated with worse neurodevelopmental (ND) outcome at 2 years of age, as assessed by the Bayley Infant Scales of Development, Third Edition (BSID-III). The impact of neonatal packed red blood cell transfusions on the neurodevelopmental outcome of preterm infants is unknown. We speculate that strategies to minimize the need for transfusions may improve neurodevelopmental outcomes.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether extremely low gestational age neonates (ELGANs) randomized to erythropoietin have better or worse kidney-related outcomes during hospitalization and at 22–26 months corrected gestational age (cGA) compared with those randomized to placebo. STUDY DESIGN: We performed an ancillary study to a multicenter double-blind, placebo-controlled randomized clinical trial of erythropoietin in ELGANs. RESULTS: The prevalence of severe (stage 2 or 3) acute kidney injury (AKI) was 18.2%. We did not find a statistically significant difference between those randomized to erythropoietin vs. placebo for in-hospital primary (severe AKI) or secondary outcomes (any AKI and serum creatinine [SCr]/ cystatin C values at days 0, 7, 9 and 14). At 22–26 months cGA, 16% of the cohort had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 30 mg/g, 23% had a systolic blood pressure (SBP) >95(th) percentile for age, and 40% had a diastolic blood pressure (DBP) >95(th) percentile for age. SBP >90(th) percentile occurred less often among recipients of erythropoietin (p95(th) percentile or DBP >90(th) or >95(th) percentiles. CONCLUSIONS: ELGANs have high rates of in-hospital AKI and kidney-related problems at 22–26 months cGA. Recombinant erythropoietin (rhEpo) may protect ELGANs against long-term elevated SBP, but does not appear to protect from AKI, low eGFR, albuminuria or elevated DBP at 22–26 months cGA.

BACKGROUND: High-dose erythropoietin has been shown to have a neuroprotective effect in preclinical models of neonatal brain injury, and phase 2 trials have suggested possible efficacy; however, the benefits and safety of this therapy in extremely preterm infants have not been established. METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind trial of high-dose erythropoietin, we assigned 941 infants who were born at 24 weeks 0 days to 27 weeks 6 days of gestation to receive erythropoietin or placebo within 24 hours after birth. Erythropoietin was administered intravenously at a dose of 1000 U per kilogram of body weight every 48 hours for a total of six doses, followed by a maintenance dose of 400 U per kilogram three times per week by subcutaneous injection through 32 completed weeks of postmenstrual age. Placebo was administered as intravenous saline followed by sham injections. The primary outcome was death or severe neurodevelopmental impairment at 22 to 26 months of postmenstrual age. Severe neurodevelopmental impairment was defined as severe cerebral palsy or a composite motor or composite cognitive score of less than 70 (which corresponds to 2 SD below the mean, with higher scores indicating better performance) on the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, third edition. RESULTS: A total of 741 infants were included in the per-protocol efficacy analysis: 376 received erythropoietin and 365 received placebo. There was no significant difference between the erythropoietin group and the placebo group in the incidence of death or severe neurodevelopmental impairment at 2 years of age (97 children [26%] vs. 94 children [26%]; relative risk, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.32; P = 0.80). There were no significant differences between the groups in the rates of retinopathy of prematurity, intracranial hemorrhage, sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, or death or in the frequency of serious adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: High-dose erythropoietin treatment administered to extremely preterm infants from 24 hours after birth through 32 weeks of postmenstrual age did not result in a lower risk of severe neurodevelopmental impairment or death at 2 years of age. (Funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; PENUT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01378273.)

In health-pollution cohort studies, accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations at new locations are needed, since the locations of fixed monitoring sites and study participants are often spatially misaligned. For multi-pollution data, principal component analysis (PCA) is often incorporated to obtain low-rank (LR) structure of the data prior to spatial prediction. Recently developed predictive PCA modifies the traditional algorithm to improve the overall predictive performance by leveraging both LR and spatial structures within the data. However, predictive PCA requires complete data or an initial imputation step. Nonparametric imputation techniques without accounting for spatial information may distort the underlying structure of the data, and thus further reduce the predictive performance. We propose a convex optimization problem inspired by the LR matrix completion framework and develop a proximal algorithm to solve it. Missing data are imputed and handled concurrently within the algorithm, which eliminates the necessity of a separate imputation step. We show that our algorithm has low computational burden and leads to reliable predictive performance as the severity of missing data increases., Comment: 26 pages, 5 figures, 5 tables, 1 supplemental file (available upon request). This v2 is a pre peer-reviewed version that was submitted to Environmetrics. A final version with minor revisions was accepted for publication by Environmetrics on Dec 13, 2021, and will be linked to this version once published

Objectives To test whether an increased iron dose is associated with improved neurodevelopment as assessed by the Bayley Scales of Infant Development, third edition (BSID-III) among infants enrolled in the Preterm Erythropoietin (Epo) Neuroprotection Trial (PENUT). Study design This is a post hoc analysis of a randomized trial that enrolled infants born at 24-28 completed weeks of gestation. All infants in PENUT who were assessed with BSID-III at 2 years were included in this study. The associations between enteral iron dose at 60 and 90 days and BSID-III component scores were evaluated using generalized estimating equations models adjusted for potential confounders. Results In total, 692 infants were analyzed (355 placebo, 337 Epo). Enteral iron supplementation ranged from 0 to 14.7 mg/kg/d (IQR 2.1-5.8 mg/kg/d) at day 60, with a mean of 3.6 mg/kg/d in infants treated with placebo and 4.8 mg/kg/d in infants treated with Epo. A significant positive association was seen between BSID-III cognitive scores and iron dose at 60 days, with an effect size of 0.77 BSID points per 50 mg/kg increase in cumulative iron dose (P = .03). Greater iron doses were associated with greater motor and language scores but did not reach statistical significance. Results at 90 days were not significant. The effect size in the infants treated with Epo compared with placebo was consistently greater. Conclusions A positive association was seen between iron dose at 60 days and cognitive outcomes. Our results suggest that increased iron supplementation in infants born preterm, at the doses administered in the PENUT Trial, may have positive neurodevelopmental effects, particularly in infants treated with Epo. Trial registration Clinicaltrials.gov : NCT01378273 .

Background Iron deficiency during critical windows of brain development is associated with suboptimal neurodevelopmental outcomes. Identifying markers of neonatal iron status that best correlate with neurodevelopmental outcome is critical for optimal management of iron supplementation of neonates. Aims We aimed to evaluate two markers of iron sufficiency, ferritin and zinc protoporphyrin-to-heme ratios (ZnPP/H), with neurodevelopmental outcomes. Study design This is a retrospective cohort study. Subjects All infants with concurrent ferritin and ZnPP/H measurements obtained between October 2014 and April 2017 and Bayley Scales of Infant Development, 3rd Edition (BSID-III) evaluated at 24 months corrected age were included. Outcome measures Associations between iron markers (minimum, maximum and median ferritin and ZnPP/H) and BSID-III score at 24 months were assessed. Results 223 lab measurements from 62 infants were assessed. Mean gestational age was 28.1 weeks (SD = 2.6) with a mean birth weight of 1.1 kg (SD = 0.4). Significant associations between maximum and median ZnPP/H and motor score, and between median ZnPP/H and cognitive score were observed. Trends were also seen with higher minimum, median and maximum ZnPP/H associated with lower BSID-III scores, but did not reach statistical significance (p > 0.05). The associations between ferritin values and BSID scores were less consistent. Conclusions A positive association was seen between ZnPP/H values and BSID-III scores. Trends between ferritin and BSID values were less consistent, potentially because ferritin is more affected by inflammation. Consideration should be given to using ZnPP/H preferentially to adjust iron supplementation in the NICU to improve neurodevelopmental outcomes.

Predicting long-term outcome in infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) remains an ongoing clinical challenge. We investigated plasma biomarkers and their association with 6-month outcomes in a nonhuman primate model of HIE with or without therapeutic hypothermia (TH) and erythropoietin (Epo). Twenty-nine Macaca nemestrina were randomized to control cesarean section (n = 7) or 20 min of umbilical cord occlusion (UCO, n = 22) with either no treatment (n = 11) or TH/Epo (n = 11). Initial injury severity was scored using 30-min arterial pH, base deficit, and 10-min Apgar score. Twenty-four plasma cytokines, chemokines, and growth factors were measured 3, 6, 24, 72, and 96 h after UCO. Interleukin 17 (IL-17) and macrophage-derived chemokine (MDC) differentiated the normal/mild from moderate/severe injury groups. Treatment with TH/Epo was associated with increased monocyte chemotactic protein-4 (MCP-4) at 3 h–6h, and significantly lower MCP-4 and MDC at 24 h–72h, respectively. IL-12p40 was lower at 24 h–72h in animals with death/cerebral palsy (CP) compared to survivors without CP. Baseline injury severity was the single best predictor of death/CP, and predictions did not improve with the addition of biomarker data. Circulating chemokines associated with the peripheral monocyte cell lineage are associated with severity of injury and response to therapy, but do not improve ability to predict outcomes.

Although shoulder arthroplasties generally are effective in improving patients’ comfort and function, the results are variable for reasons that are not well understood. We posed two questions: (1) What factors are associated with better 2-year outcomes after shoulder arthroplasty? (2) What are the sensitivities, specificities, and positive and negative predictive values of a multivariate predictive model for better outcome? Three hundred thirty-nine patients having a shoulder arthroplasty (hemiarthroplasty, arthroplasty for cuff tear arthropathy, ream and run arthroplasty, total shoulder or reverse total shoulder arthroplasty) between August 24, 2010 and December 31, 2012 consented to participate in this prospective study. Two patients were excluded because they were missing baseline variables. Forty-three patients were missing 2-year data. Univariate and multivariate analyses determined the relationship of baseline patient, shoulder, and surgical characteristics to a “better” outcome, defined as an improvement of at least 30% of the maximal possible improvement in the Simple Shoulder Test. The results were used to develop a predictive model, the accuracy of which was tested using a 10-fold cross-validation. After controlling for potentially relevant confounding variables, the multivariate analysis showed that the factors significantly associated with better outcomes were American Society of Anesthesiologists Class I (odds ratio [OR], 1.94; 95% CI, 1.03–3.65; p = 0.041), shoulder problem not related to work (OR, 5.36; 95% CI, 2.15–13.37; p < 0.001), lower baseline Simple Shoulder Test score (OR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.23–1.42; p < 0.001), no prior shoulder surgery (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.18–2.70; p = 0.006), humeral head not superiorly displaced on the AP radiograph (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.15–4.02; p = 0.017), and glenoid type other than A1 (OR, 4.47; 95% CI, 2.24–8.94; p < 0.001). Neither preoperative glenoid version nor posterior decentering of the humeral head on the glenoid were associated with the outcomes. The model predictive of a better result was driven mainly by the six factors listed above. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve generated from the cross-validated enhanced predictive model was 0.79 (generally values of 0.7 to 0.8 are considered fair and values of 0.8 to 0.9 are considered good). The false-positive fraction and the true-positive fraction depended on the cutoff probability selected (ie, the selected probability above which the prediction would be classified as a better outcome). A cutoff probability of 0.68 yielded the best performance of the model with cross-validation predictions of better outcomes for 236 patients (80%) and worse outcomes for 58 patients (20%); sensitivity of 91% (95% CI, 88%–95%); specificity of 65% (95% CI, 53%–77%); positive predictive value of 92% (95% CI, 88%–95%); and negative predictive value of 64% (95% CI, 51%–76%). We found six easy-to-determine preoperative patient and shoulder factors that were significantly associated with better outcomes of shoulder arthroplasty. A model based on these characteristics had good predictive properties for identifying patients likely to have a better outcome from shoulder arthroplasty. Future research could refine this model with larger patient populations from multiple practices. Level II, therapeutic study.

This research analyzed the relationship between extreme heat and Emergency Medical Service (EMS) calls in King County, WA, USA between 2007 and 2012, including the effect of community-level characteristics. Extreme heat thresholds for the Basic Life Support (BLS) data and the Advanced Life Support (ALS) data were found using a piecewise generalized linear model with Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The association between heat exposure and EMS call rates was investigated using a generalized estimating equations with Poisson mean model, while adjusting for community-level indicators of poverty, impervious surface, and elderly population (65+). In addition, we examined the effect modifications of these community-level factors. Extreme-heat thresholds of 31.1 °C and 33.5 °C humidex were determined for the BLS and ALS data, respectively. After adjusting for other variables in the model, increased BLS call volume was significantly associated with occurring on a heat day (relative rate (RR) = 1.080, p < 0.001), as well as in locations with higher percent poverty (RR = 1.066, p < 0.001). No significant effect modification was identified for the BLS data on a heat day. Controlling for other variables, higher ALS call volume was found to be significantly associated with a heat day (RR = 1.067, p < 0.001), as well as in locations with higher percent impervious surface (RR = 1.015, p = 0.039), higher percent of the population 65 years or older (RR = 1.057, p = 0.005), and higher percent poverty (RR = 1.041, p = 0.016). Furthermore, percent poverty and impervious surface were found to significantly modify the relative rate of ALS call volumes between a heat day and non-heat day. We conclude that EMS call volume increases significantly on a heat day compared to non-heat day for both call types. While this study shows that there is some effect modification between the community-level variables and call volume on a heat day, further research is necessary. Our findings also suggest that with adequate power, spatially refined analyses may not be necessary to accurately estimate the extreme-heat effect on health.

To evaluate ferritin and zinc protoporphyrin-to-heme (ZnPP/H) ratios as biomarkers of iron status in neonates, determine how specific clinical events affected these measures, and assess how iron status changed during hospitalization.We performed a retrospective study of all infants with paired ferritin and ZnPP/H measurements between October 2014 and May 2016. Concordance of these measurements, effects of sepsis, red blood cell transfusion, erythropoietin treatment, and iron supplementation were assessed. Iron status was measured over time.A total of 228 patients (mean birth weight 1.3 kg, median gestational age 29 weeks) were evaluated. Mean log ZnPP/H values in infants with and without sepsis were not significantly different (4.98 µmol/mol vs 4.97 µmol/mol, adjusted P = .103), whereas log-transformed ferritin values increased significantly during infection (5.23 ng/mL vs 4.04 ng/mL, adjusted P .001). Ferritin also increased more significantly than ZnPP/H following red blood cell transfusion (ferritin: mean 5.03 ng/mL vs 4.0 ng/mL, P .001; ZnPP/H: mean 4.85 µmol/mol vs 4.98 µmol/mol, P .001). The mean iron supplementations at 30, 60, and 90 days were 5.4, 6.9, and 7.4 mg/kg/day, respectively. Ferritin values decreased with advancing postnatal age (adjusted P .001), with 66% of ferritin values less than 76 ng/mL. Treatment with erythropoietin increased ZnPP/H, but not ferritin levels.Ferritin is more significantly affected by inflammatory events such as sepsis and transfusion than ZnPP/H, thus, ZnPP/H may be a more reliable marker of iron status in this population. Infants showed worsening iron sufficiency over time despite supplementation above American Academy of Pediatrics guidelines.

Marcel P Dijkers,1 Katherine G Akers,2 Sujay S Galen,3 Diane E Patzer,4 Phuong T Vu41Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Wayne State University, Detroit, 2Shiffman Medical Library, Wayne State University, Detroit, 3Physical Therapy Program, Wayne State University, Detroit, 4Center for Spinal Cord Injury Recovery, Rehabilitation Institute of Michigan, Detroit, MI, USAIn the article “Clinical effectiveness and safety of powered exoskeleton-assisted walking in patients with spinal cord injury: systematic review with meta-analysis”, published in the March issue of Medical Devices: Evidence and Research, Miller et al1 present a meta-analysis of the clinical effectiveness and safety of powered exoskeletons for spinal cord injury (SCI) patients. A close examination of this article shows surprising coincidences, in that two primary studies (references 25 and 33 in the reference list) report the same proportions and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of subjects able to ambulate with an exoskeleton without assistance (Figure 2 of the study), and two different primary studies (references 26 and 28) report the same mean and 95% CIs for the distance (in meters) walked in a 6-minute walk test (Figure 4 of the study).View the original paper by Miller and colleagues.