1. Permafrost Cloud Feedback May Amplify Climate Change
- Author
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Philipp deVrese, Tobias Stacke, Veronika Gayler, and Victor Brovkin
- Subjects
permafrost ,hydrology ,clouds ,climate change ,Geophysics. Cosmic physics ,QC801-809 - Abstract
Abstract Rising temperatures entail important changes in the soil hydrologic processes of the northern permafrost zone. Using the ICON‐Earth System Model, we show that a large‐scale thaw of essentially impervious frozen soil layers may cause a positive feedback by which permafrost degradation amplifies the causative warming. The thawing of the ground increases its hydraulic connectivity and raises drainage rates which facilitates a drying of the landscapes. This limits evapotranspiration and the formation of low‐altitude clouds during the snow‐free season. A decrease in summertime cloudiness, in turn, increases the shortwave radiation reaching the surface, hence, temperatures and advances the permafrost degradation. Our simulations further suggest that the consequences of a permafrost cloud feedback may not be limited to the regional scale. For a near‐complete loss of the high‐latitude permafrost, they show significant temperature impacts on all continents and northern‐hemisphere ocean basins that raise the global mean temperature by 0.25 K.
- Published
- 2024
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