16 results on '"Pereira da Silva, Susana"'
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2. Fluctuating risk of acute kidney injury-related mortality for four weeks after exposure to air pollution: A multi-country time-series study in 6 countries
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Min, Jieun, Kang, Duk-Hee, Kang, Cinoo, Bell, Michelle L., Kim, Ho, Yang, Juyeon, Gasparrini, Antonio, Lavigne, Eric, Hashizume, Masahiro, Kim, Yoonhee, Fook Sheng Ng, Chris, Honda, Yasushi, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, Madureira, Joana, Leon Guo, Yue, Pan, Shih-Chun, Armstrong, Ben, Sera, Francesco, Masselot, Pierre, Schwartz, Joel, Maria Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana, Pyo Lee, Jung, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Won Lee, Jung, Kwag, Youngrin, Ha, Eunhee, and Lee, Whanhee
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- 2024
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3. Excess mortality attributed to heat and cold: a health impact assessment study in 854 cities in Europe
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Achilleos, Souzana, Kyselý, Jan, Indermitte, Ene, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., Ryti, Niilo, Pascal, Mathilde, Katsouyanni, Klea, Analitis, Antonis, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Michelozzi, Paola, Houthuijs, Danny, Ameling, Caroline, Rao, Shilpa, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, Madureira, Joana, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Tobias, Aurelio, Íñiguez, Carmen, Forsberg, Bertil, Åström, Christofer, Ragettli, Martina S., Surname, First name, Zafeiratou, Sofia, Vazquez Fernandez, Liliana, Monteiro, Ana, Rai, Masna, Zhang, Siqi, Aunan, Kristin, Masselot, Pierre, Mistry, Malcolm, Vanoli, Jacopo, Schneider, Rochelle, Iungman, Tamara, Garcia-Leon, David, Ciscar, Juan-Carlos, Feyen, Luc, Orru, Hans, Urban, Aleš, Breitner, Susanne, Huber, Veronika, Schneider, Alexandra, Samoli, Evangelia, Stafoggia, Massimo, de’Donato, Francesca, Armstrong, Ben, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, and Gasparrini, Antonio
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- 2023
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4. Seroprevalence of Protective Antibodies Against Influenza and the Reduction of the Influenza Incidence Rate: An Annual Repeated Cross‐Sectional Study From 2014 to 2019
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Guiomar, Raquel, primary, Pereira da Silva, Susana, additional, Costa, Inês, additional, Conde, Patricia, additional, Cristóvão, Paula, additional, Rodrigues, Ana Paula, additional, Fernandes, Aida, additional, Dias, Ana Paula, additional, Couto, Ana Rita, additional, Ramos, Angélica, additional, Moita, Carina, additional, Rodrigues, Carina, additional, Vale, Fátima, additional, Caldeira, Filomena, additional, Bruges Armas, Jácome, additional, Pereira‐Vaz, João, additional, Alves, José, additional, Freitas, Ludivina, additional, Martins, Luis, additional, Milho, Luís, additional, Mota‐Vieira, Luisa, additional, Lopes, Lurdes, additional, Freitas, Margarida, additional, Pessanha, Maria Ana, additional, Correia, Maria, additional, Marques, Maria Helena, additional, Cardoso, Maria João, additional, Peres, Maria João, additional, Cunha, Mário, additional, Amantegui, Patricia, additional, Mota, Paula, additional, Lopes, Paulo, additional, Pereira, Paulo, additional, Viseu, Regina, additional, Cabral, Rita, additional, Côrte‐Real, Rita, additional, Almeida, Sofia, additional, Soares, Vânia, additional, Mansinho, Kamal, additional, Hungnes, Olav, additional, and Nunes, Baltazar, additional
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- 2024
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5. Temporal variations in the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality: a pooled analysis of 380 urban areas over a 22-year period
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Schwarz, Maximilian, Peters, Annette, Stafoggia, Massimo, de'Donato, Francesca, Sera, Francesco, Bell, Michelle L, Guo, Yuming, Honda, Yasushi, Huber, Veronika, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Urban, Aleš, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Masselot, Pierre, Lavigne, Eric, Achilleos, Souzana, Kyselý, Jan, Samoli, Evangelia, Hashizume, Masahiro, Fook Sheng Ng, Chris, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, Madureira, Joana, Garland, Rebecca M, Tobias, Aurelio, Armstrong, Ben, Schwartz, Joel, Gasparrini, Antonio, Schneider, Alexandra, Breitner, Susanne, Kan, Haidong, Osorio, Samuel, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Maasikmets, Marek, Ryti, Niilo, Pascal, Mathilde, Katsouyanni, Klea, Analitis, Antonis, Entezari, Alireza, Mayvaneh, Fatemeh, Kim, Yoonhee, Alahmad, Barrak, Hurtado Diaz, Magali, Félix Arellano, Eunice Elizabeth, Rao, Shilpa, Diz-Lois Palomares, Alfonso, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Íñiguez, Carmen, Forsberg, Bertil, Ragettli, Martina S, Guo, Yue Leon, Pan, Shih-Chun, Li, Shanshan, and Zanobetti, Antonella
- Abstract
Ambient air pollution, including particulate matter (such as PM10and PM2·5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), has been linked to increases in mortality. Whether populations’ vulnerability to these pollutants has changed over time is unclear, and studies on this topic do not include multicountry analysis. We evaluated whether changes in exposure to air pollutants were associated with changes in mortality effect estimates over time.
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- 2024
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6. Cross-protection to new drifted influenza A(H3) viruses and prevalence of protective antibodies to seasonal influenza, during 2014 in Portugal
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Guiomar, Raquel, Pereira da Silva, Susana, Conde, Patrícia, Cristóvão, Paula, Maia, Ana Carina, Pechirra, Pedro, Rodrigues, Ana Paula, Nunes, Baltazar, Milho, Luís, Coelho, Ana Paula, Fernandes, Aida, Caseiro, Paula, Rodrigues, Fernando, Correia, Lurdes, Pereira-Vaz, João, Almeida, Sofia, Branquinho, Paula, Côrte-Real, Rita, Viseu, Regina, Peres, Maria João, Sanches, Raquel, Dantas, Filipa, Freitas, Ludovina, Andrade, Graça, Maurílio, Manuel, Caldeira, Filomena, Cabral Veloso, Rita, Mota-Vieira, Luisa, Soares, Marta, Couto, Ana Rita, Bruges-Armas, Jácome, Pinto, Rita Mouro, Sobrinho Simões, Joana, Costa, Maria do Rosário, Guimarães, João Tiago, Martins, Luís, and Cunha, Mário
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- 2017
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7. Excess mortality attributed to heat and cold: a health impact assessment study in 854 cities in Europe
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Masselot, Pierre, primary, Mistry, Malcolm, additional, Vanoli, Jacopo, additional, Schneider, Rochelle, additional, Iungman, Tamara, additional, Garcia-Leon, David, additional, Ciscar, Juan-Carlos, additional, Feyen, Luc, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Urban, Aleš, additional, Breitner, Susanne, additional, Huber, Veronika, additional, Schneider, Alexandra, additional, Samoli, Evangelia, additional, Stafoggia, Massimo, additional, de’Donato, Francesca, additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Armstrong, Ben, additional, Nieuwenhuijsen, Mark, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, Achilleos, Souzana, additional, Kyselý, Jan, additional, Indermitte, Ene, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J.K., additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Pascal, Mathilde, additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Analitis, Antonis, additional, Goodman, Patrick, additional, Zeka, Ariana, additional, Michelozzi, Paola, additional, Houthuijs, Danny, additional, Ameling, Caroline, additional, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Åström, Christofer, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Surname, First name, additional, Zafeiratou, Sofia, additional, Vazquez Fernandez, Liliana, additional, Monteiro, Ana, additional, Rai, Masna, additional, Zhang, Siqi, additional, and Aunan, Kristin, additional
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- 2023
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8. Coarse Particulate Air Pollution and Daily Mortality: A Global Study in 205 Cities
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Liu, Cong, primary, Cai, Jing, additional, Chen, Renjie, additional, Sera, Francesco, additional, Guo, Yuming, additional, Tong, Shilu, additional, Li, Shanshan, additional, Lavigne, Eric, additional, Correa, Patricia Matus, additional, Ortega, Nicolas Valdes, additional, Orru, Hans, additional, Maasikmets, Marek, additional, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., additional, Ryti, Niilo, additional, Breitner, Susanne, additional, Schneider, Alexandra, additional, Katsouyanni, Klea, additional, Samoli, Evangelia, additional, Hashizume, Masahiro, additional, Honda, Yasushi, additional, Ng, Chris Fook Sheng, additional, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, additional, la Cruz Valencia, César De, additional, Rao, Shilpa, additional, Palomares, Alfonso Diz-Lois, additional, Pereira da Silva, Susana, additional, Madureira, Joana, additional, Holobâc, Iulian Horia, additional, Fratianni, Simona, additional, Scovronick, Noah, additional, Garland, Rebecca M., additional, Tobias, Aurelio, additional, Íñiguez, Carmen, additional, Forsberg, Bertil, additional, Åström, Christofer, additional, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, additional, Ragettli, Martina S., additional, Guo, Yue-Liang Leon, additional, Pan, Shih-Chun, additional, Milojevic, Ai, additional, Bell, Michelle L., additional, Zanobetti, Antonella, additional, Schwartz, Joel, additional, Gasparrini, Antonio, additional, and Kan, Haidong, additional
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- 2022
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9. Air pollution mixture complexity and its effect on PM 2.5 -related mortality: A multicountry time-series study in 264 cities.
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Masselot, Pierre, Kan, Haidong, Kharol, Shailesh K., Bell, Michelle L., Sera, Francesco, Lavigne, Eric, Breitner, Susanne, das Neves Pereira da Silva, Susana, Burnett, Richard T., Gasparrini, Antonio, Brook, Jeffrey R., Guo, Yuming, Honda, Yasushi, Huber, Veronika, Jaakkola, Jouni J. K., Urban, Aleš, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Orru, Hans, Maasikmets, Marek, and Pascal, Mathilde
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- 2024
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10. EQA in Air Microbiology - PNAEQ 2019
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Cano, Manuela, Correia, Helena, Pereira da Silva, Susana, and Faria, Ana Paula
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AEQ ,Ar e Saúde Ocupacional ,Air Microbiology ,External Quality Assessment ,EQA ,Microbiologia do Ar ,Programa Nacional de Avaliação Externa da Qualidade ,Avaliação Externa da Qualidade ,PNAEQ - Abstract
EQA implemented in 2010; Evaluation of the air sampling and analysis for the quantification of airborne bacteria and fungi: Sampling equipment used; Culture media (2012); Incubation temperature; Evaluation at 2 different sampling points (different 2 rounds per year (summer and winter). N/A
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- 2019
11. Estimates of global seasonal influenza-associated respiratory mortality: a modelling study
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Iuliano, A Danielle, primary, Roguski, Katherine M, additional, Chang, Howard H, additional, Muscatello, David J, additional, Palekar, Rakhee, additional, Tempia, Stefano, additional, Cohen, Cheryl, additional, Gran, Jon Michael, additional, Schanzer, Dena, additional, Cowling, Benjamin J, additional, Wu, Peng, additional, Kyncl, Jan, additional, Ang, Li Wei, additional, Park, Minah, additional, Redlberger-Fritz, Monika, additional, Yu, Hongjie, additional, Espenhain, Laura, additional, Krishnan, Anand, additional, Emukule, Gideon, additional, van Asten, Liselotte, additional, Pereira da Silva, Susana, additional, Aungkulanon, Suchunya, additional, Buchholz, Udo, additional, Widdowson, Marc-Alain, additional, Bresee, Joseph S, additional, Azziz-Baumgartner, Eduardo, additional, Cheng, Po-Yung, additional, Dawood, Fatimah, additional, Foppa, Ivo, additional, Olsen, Sonja, additional, Haber, Michael, additional, Jeffers, Caprichia, additional, MacIntyre, C Raina, additional, Newall, Anthony T, additional, Wood, James G, additional, Kundi, Michael, additional, Popow-Kraupp, Therese, additional, Ahmed, Makhdum, additional, Rahman, Mahmudur, additional, Marinho, Fatima, additional, Sotomayor Proschle, C Viviana, additional, Vergara Mallegas, Natalia, additional, Luzhao, Feng, additional, Sa, Li, additional, Barbosa-Ramírez, Juliana, additional, Sanchez, Diana Malo, additional, Gomez, Leandra Abarca, additional, Vargas, Xiomara Badilla, additional, Acosta Herrera, aBetsy, additional, Llanés, María Josefa, additional, Fischer, Thea Kølsen, additional, Krause, Tyra Grove, additional, Mølbak, Kåre, additional, Nielsen, Jens, additional, Trebbien, Ramona, additional, Bruno, Alfredo, additional, Ojeda, Jenny, additional, Ramos, Hector, additional, an der Heiden, Matthias, additional, del Carmen Castillo Signor, Leticia, additional, Serrano, Carlos Enrique, additional, Bhardwaj, Rohit, additional, Chadha, Mandeep, additional, Narayan, Venkatesh, additional, Kosen, Soewarta, additional, Bromberg, Michal, additional, Glatman-Freedman, Aharona, additional, Kaufman, Zalman, additional, Arima, Yuzo, additional, Oishi, Kazunori, additional, Chaves, Sandra, additional, Nyawanda, Bryan, additional, Al-Jarallah, Reem Abdullah, additional, Kuri-Morales, Pablo A, additional, Matus, Cuitláhuac Ruiz, additional, Corona, Maria Eugenia Jimenez, additional, Burmaa, Alexander, additional, Darmaa, Oyungerel, additional, Obtel, Majdouline, additional, Cherkaoui, Imad, additional, van den Wijngaard, Cees C, additional, van der Hoek, Wim, additional, Baker, Michael, additional, Bandaranayake, Don, additional, Bissielo, Ange, additional, Huang, Sue, additional, Lopez, Liza, additional, Newbern, Claire, additional, Flem, Elmira, additional, Grøneng, Gry M, additional, Hauge, Siri, additional, de Cosío, Federico G, additional, de Moltó, Yadira, additional, Castillo, Lourdes Moreno, additional, Cabello, Maria Agueda, additional, von Horoch, Marta, additional, Medina Osis, Jose, additional, Machado, Ausenda, additional, Nunes, Baltazar, additional, Rodrigues, Ana Paula, additional, Rodrigues, Emanuel, additional, Calomfirescu, Cristian, additional, Lupulescu, Emilia, additional, Popescu, Rodica, additional, Popovici, Odette, additional, Bogdanovic, Dragan, additional, Kostic, Marina, additional, Lazarevic, Konstansa, additional, Milosevic, Zoran, additional, Tiodorovic, Branislav, additional, Chen, Mark, additional, Cutter, Jeffery, additional, Lee, Vernon, additional, Lin, Raymond, additional, Ma, Stefan, additional, Cohen, Adam L, additional, Treurnicht, Florette, additional, Kim, Woo Joo, additional, Delgado-Sanz, Concha, additional, de mateo Ontañón, Salvador, additional, Larrauri, Amparo, additional, León, Inmaculada León, additional, Vallejo, Fernando, additional, Born, Rita, additional, Junker, Christoph, additional, Koch, Daniel, additional, Chuang, Jen-Hsiang, additional, Huang, Wan-Ting, additional, Kuo, Hung-Wei, additional, Tsai, Yi-Chen, additional, Bundhamcharoen, Kanitta, additional, Chittaganpitch, Malinee, additional, Green, Helen K, additional, Pebody, Richard, additional, Goñi, Natalia, additional, Chiparelli, Hector, additional, Brammer, Lynnette, additional, and Mustaquim, Desiree, additional
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- 2018
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12. Influenza seroprotection correlates with predominant circulating viruses during 2014/15 and 2015/16 seasons in Portugal
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Guiomar, Raquel, Cristóvão, Paula, Conde, Patrícia, Costa, Inês, Pechirra, Pedro, Rodrigues, Ana Paula, Pereira da Silva, Susana, Nunes, Baltazar, Mouro Pinto, Rita, Sobrinho Simões, Joana, Costa, Maria do Rosário, Guimarães, João Tiago, Rodrigues, Fernando, Correia, Lurdes, Pereira-Vaz, João, Caseiro, Paula, Cabral Veloso, Rita, Mota Vieira, Luísa, Pimentel Couto, Ana Rita, Santos, Margarida, Bruges Armas, Jácome, Branquinho, Paula, Corte-Real, Rita, Martins, Luís, Cunha, Mário, Almeida, Sofia, Viseu, Regina, Inácio, Filipe, Peres, Maria João, Milho, Luís, Fernandes, Aida, Maurílio, Manuel, Caldeira, Filomena, Sanches, Raquel, Dantas, Filipa, Freitas, Ludivina, Andrade, Graça, and Mota, Paula
- Subjects
Infecções Respiratórias ,Serology ,Gripe ,Estados de Saúde e de Doença ,Influenza - Abstract
Rede Portuguesa de Laboratórios para o Diagnóstico da Gripe BACKGROUND: Population immune profile for influenza is highly affected by circulating influenza viruses, thus changing the risk of infection for influenza. This study aims to assess influenza immunity in the Portuguese population by age groups, during 2014 and 2015 and establish a relationship between seroprotection and circulating influenza viruses in 2014/15 and 2015/16 seasons. METHODS: Two cross-sectional studies were developed based on a convenience serum sample collected in June 2014 (n=626) and July 2015 (n=675) in hospitals from mainland and Azores and Madeira.Serums equally represent all age groups. Antibody titers were evaluated by HI assay for strains recommended for seasonal influenza vaccine northern hemisphere,2014/15 and 2015/2016. Seroprevalences were estimated for each strain by age group and the association with seasonal cumulative influenza-like illness (ILI) rates for influenza virus during both seasons was analised. RESULTS: In June 2014 the highest seroprotection was observed for influenza A(H3) (39.0%; 95% CI: 36.2-43.8%) and A(H1)pdm09 (29.7; 95% CI: 26.3-33.4%), with higher levels in children 5-14 years old. In 2014/2015 a dominant circulation of influenza B/Yamagata was observed with high incidence rates in individuals under 65 years old, the ones that had lower seroprotection. Although before the start of the season high protection for A(H3) was observed, the circulation of the new drift A(H3) strains had gained an immunological advantage,in accordance with A(H3) elevated incidence rates observed during 2014/15. In July 2015 the highest seroprotection was observed for influenza B/ Yamagata (55.1%; 95% CI: 51.4-58.9%), 2.4 times the estimated 2014.This increase was even more pronounced in younger (≤ 4 years old), 6.3 times increase in 2015.This fact is in agreement with the predominant influenza B virus detected and the high ILI incidence rate observed in children during 2014/2015 epidemic. Seroprotection levels for influenza A in July 2015 were not significantly different from 2014.During 2015/16 season, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 was predominant, with high incidence rate in < 65 year old. Influenza B/Victoria lineage,although detected at low levels increased in frequency, in agreement with the lowest level of seroprotection detected in the general population before the start of 2015/2016 season (21.8%; 95% CI: 18.7-24.0%). CONCLUSIONS There was a correlation between virus circulation, incidence rates for each age group and the previous seroprotection for seasonal influenza viruses.Our study highlights the value of measuring the serological profile for influenza to establishe risk groups for infection for which an increase preventive measures, including vaccination, should be fostered. info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
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- 2016
13. Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis
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He, Cheng, Breitner-Busch, Susanne, Huber, Veronika, Chen, Kai, Zhang, Siqi, Gasparrini, Antonio, Bell, Michelle, Kan, Haidong, Royé, Dominic, Armstrong, Ben, Schwartz, Joel, Sera, Francesco, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria, Honda, Yasushi, Jaakkola, Jouni J K, Ryti, Niilo, Kyselý, Jan, Guo, Yuming, Tong, Shilu, de’Donato, Francesca, Michelozzi, Paola, Coelho, Micheline de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio, Saldiva, Paulo Hilario Nascimento, Lavigne, Eric, Orru, Hans, Indermitte, Ene, Pascal, Mathilde, Goodman, Patrick, Zeka, Ariana, Kim, Yoonhee, Diaz, Magali Hurtado, Arellano, Eunice Elizabeth Félix, Overcenco, Ala, Klompmaker, Jochem, Rao, Shilpa, Palomares, Alfonso Diz-Lois, Carrasco, Gabriel, Seposo, Xerxes, Pereira da Silva, Susana das Neves, Madureira, Joana, Holobaca, Iulian-Horia, Scovronick, Noah, Acquaotta, Fiorella, Kim, Ho, Lee, Whanhee, Hashizume, Masahiro, Tobias, Aurelio, Íñiguez, Carmen, Forsberg, Bertil, Ragettli, Martina S, Guo, Yue Leon, Pan, Shih-Chun, Osorio, Samuel, Li, Shanshan, Zanobetti, Antonella, Dang, Tran Ngoc, Van Dung, Do, and Schneider, Alexandra
- Abstract
ObjectiveTo examine the associations between characteristics of daily rainfall (intensity, duration, and frequency) and all cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality.DesignTwo stage time series analysis.Setting645 locations across 34 countries or regions.PopulationDaily mortality data, comprising a total of 109 954 744 all cause, 31 164 161 cardiovascular, and 11 817 278 respiratory deaths from 1980 to 2020.Main outcome measureAssociation between daily mortality and rainfall events with return periods (the expected average time between occurrences of an extreme event of a certain magnitude) of one year, two years, and five years, with a 14 day lag period. A continuous relative intensity index was used to generate intensity-response curves to estimate mortality risks at a global scale.ResultsDuring the study period, a total of 50 913 rainfall events with a one year return period, 8362 events with a two year return period, and 3301 events with a five year return period were identified. A day of extreme rainfall with a five year return period was significantly associated with increased daily all cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, with cumulative relative risks across 0-14 lag days of 1.08 (95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.11), 1.05 (1.02 to 1.08), and 1.29 (1.19 to 1.39), respectively. Rainfall events with a two year return period were associated with respiratory mortality only, whereas no significant associations were found for events with a one year return period. Non-linear analysis revealed protective effects (relative risk <1) with moderate-heavy rainfall events, shifting to adverse effects (relative risk >1) with extreme intensities. Additionally, mortality risks from extreme rainfall events appeared to be modified by climate type, baseline variability in rainfall, and vegetation coverage, whereas the moderating effects of population density and income level were not significant. Locations with lower variability of baseline rainfall or scarce vegetation coverage showed higher risks.ConclusionDaily rainfall intensity is associated with varying health effects, with extreme events linked to an increasing relative risk for all cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. The observed associations varied with local climate and urban infrastructure.
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- 2024
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14. The Stability of Self-Reported Adverse Experiences in Childhood
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Pereira da Silva, Susana Sofia, primary and da Costa Maia, Ângela, additional
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- 2013
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15. Rainfall events and daily mortality across 645 global locations: two stage time series analysis.
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He C, Breitner-Busch S, Huber V, Chen K, Zhang S, Gasparrini A, Bell M, Kan H, Royé D, Armstrong B, Schwartz J, Sera F, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, Honda Y, Jaakkola JJK, Ryti N, Kyselý J, Guo Y, Tong S, de'Donato F, Michelozzi P, Coelho MSZS, Saldiva PHN, Lavigne E, Orru H, Indermitte E, Pascal M, Goodman P, Zeka A, Kim Y, Diaz MH, Arellano EEF, Overcenco A, Klompmaker J, Rao S, Palomares AD, Carrasco G, Seposo X, Pereira da Silva SDN, Madureira J, Holobaca IH, Scovronick N, Acquaotta F, Kim H, Lee W, Hashizume M, Tobias A, Íñiguez C, Forsberg B, Ragettli MS, Guo YL, Pan SC, Osorio S, Li S, Zanobetti A, Dang TN, Van Dung D, and Schneider A
- Subjects
- Humans, Global Health statistics & numerical data, Cause of Death trends, Mortality trends, Time Factors, Rain, Cardiovascular Diseases mortality, Respiratory Tract Diseases mortality
- Abstract
Objective: To examine the associations between characteristics of daily rainfall (intensity, duration, and frequency) and all cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality., Design: Two stage time series analysis., Setting: 645 locations across 34 countries or regions., Population: Daily mortality data, comprising a total of 109 954 744 all cause, 31 164 161 cardiovascular, and 11 817 278 respiratory deaths from 1980 to 2020., Main Outcome Measure: Association between daily mortality and rainfall events with return periods (the expected average time between occurrences of an extreme event of a certain magnitude) of one year, two years, and five years, with a 14 day lag period. A continuous relative intensity index was used to generate intensity-response curves to estimate mortality risks at a global scale., Results: During the study period, a total of 50 913 rainfall events with a one year return period, 8362 events with a two year return period, and 3301 events with a five year return period were identified. A day of extreme rainfall with a five year return period was significantly associated with increased daily all cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality, with cumulative relative risks across 0-14 lag days of 1.08 (95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.11), 1.05 (1.02 to 1.08), and 1.29 (1.19 to 1.39), respectively. Rainfall events with a two year return period were associated with respiratory mortality only, whereas no significant associations were found for events with a one year return period. Non-linear analysis revealed protective effects (relative risk <1) with moderate-heavy rainfall events, shifting to adverse effects (relative risk >1) with extreme intensities. Additionally, mortality risks from extreme rainfall events appeared to be modified by climate type, baseline variability in rainfall, and vegetation coverage, whereas the moderating effects of population density and income level were not significant. Locations with lower variability of baseline rainfall or scarce vegetation coverage showed higher risks., Conclusion: Daily rainfall intensity is associated with varying health effects, with extreme events linked to an increasing relative risk for all cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. The observed associations varied with local climate and urban infrastructure., Competing Interests: Competing interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/disclosure-of-interest/ and declare: Support from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation no financial relationships with any organizations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)
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- 2024
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16. Ozone-related acute excess mortality projected to increase in the absence of climate and air quality controls consistent with the Paris Agreement.
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Domingo NGG, Fiore AM, Lamarque JF, Kinney PL, Jiang L, Gasparrini A, Breitner S, Lavigne E, Madureira J, Masselot P, das Neves Pereira da Silva S, Sheng Ng CF, Kyselý J, Guo Y, Tong S, Kan H, Urban A, Orru H, Maasikmets M, Pascal M, Katsouyanni K, Samoli E, Scortichini M, Stafoggia M, Hashizume M, Alahmad B, Diaz MH, la Cruz Valencia C, Scovronick N, Garland RM, Kim H, Lee W, Tobias A, Íñiguez C, Forsberg B, Åström C, Ragettli MS, Guo YL, Pan SC, Colistro V, Bell M, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, Schneider A, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, and Chen K
- Abstract
Short-term exposure to ground-level ozone in cities is associated with increased mortality and is expected to worsen with climate and emission changes. However, no study has yet comprehensively assessed future ozone-related acute mortality across diverse geographic areas, various climate scenarios, and using CMIP6 multi-model ensembles, limiting our knowledge on future changes in global ozone-related acute mortality and our ability to design targeted health policies. Here, we combine CMIP6 simulations and epidemiological data from 406 cities in 20 countries or regions. We find that ozone-related deaths in 406 cities will increase by 45 to 6,200 deaths/year between 2010 and 2014 and between 2050 and 2054, with attributable fractions increasing in all climate scenarios (from 0.17% to 0.22% total deaths), except the single scenario consistent with the Paris Climate Agreement (declines from 0.17% to 0.15% total deaths). These findings stress the need for more stringent air quality regulations, as current standards in many countries are inadequate., Competing Interests: Declaration of Interests The authors declare no competing interests.
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- 2024
- Full Text
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