6 results on '"Patricia D. McGavran"'
Search Results
2. Chronic beryllium disease and cancer risk estimates with uncertainty for beryllium released to the air from the Rocky Flats Plant
- Author
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Patricia D. McGavran, John E. Till, and Arthur S. Rood
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Lung Neoplasms ,Berylliosis ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,chemistry.chemical_element ,Air Pollutants, Occupational ,Atmospheric sciences ,Risk Assessment ,Environmental monitoring ,medicine ,Humans ,Aged ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Middle Aged ,medicine.disease ,Deposition (aerosol physics) ,chemistry ,Chronic Disease ,Environmental science ,Female ,Beryllium ,Geometric mean ,Risk assessment ,Cancer slope factor ,Beryllium Disease ,Research Article ,Environmental Monitoring - Abstract
Beryllium was released into the air from routine operations and three accidental fires at the Rocky Flats Plant (RFP) in Colorado from 1958 to 1989. We evaluated environmental monitoring data and developed estimates of airborne concentrations and their uncertainties and calculated lifetime cancer risks and risks of chronic beryllium disease to hypothetical receptors. This article discusses exposure-response relationships for lung cancer and chronic beryllium disease. We assigned a distribution to cancer slope factor values based on the relative risk estimates from an occupational epidemiologic study used by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to determine the slope factors. We used the regional atmospheric transport code for Hanford emission tracking atmospheric transport model for exposure calculations because it is particularly well suited for long-term annual-average dispersion estimates and it incorporates spatially varying meteorologic and environmental parameters. We accounted for model prediction uncertainty by using several multiplicative stochastic correction factors that accounted for uncertainty in the dispersion estimate, the meteorology, deposition, and plume depletion. We used Monte Carlo techniques to propagate model prediction uncertainty through to the final risk calculations. We developed nine exposure scenarios of hypothetical but typical residents of the RFP area to consider the lifestyle, time spent outdoors, location, age, and sex of people who may have been exposed. We determined geometric mean incremental lifetime cancer incidence risk estimates for beryllium inhalation for each scenario. The risk estimates were < 10(-6). Predicted air concentrations were well below the current reference concentration derived by the EPA for beryllium sensitization. Images Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 Figure 4 Figure 5 Figure 6
- Published
- 1999
3. Modeling of the Cerro Grande Fire at Los Alamos: An Independent Analysis of Exposure, Health Risk, and Communication with the Public
- Author
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Helen A. Grogan, Jill W. Aanenson, Patricia D. McGavran, Kathleen R. Meyer, H. Justin Mohler, S. Shawn Mohler, James R. Rocco, Arthur S. Rood, John E. Till, and Lesley H. Wilson
- Published
- 2006
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Risks to the public from historical releases of radionuclides and chemicals at the Rocky Flats Environmental Technology Site
- Author
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Arthur S. Rood, Warren K Sinclair, Jill W. Aanenson, Susan K. Rope, H Robert Meyer, Marilyn J Case, John E. Till, Paul G. Voillequé, H. Justin Mohler, Kathleen R. Meyer, Patricia D. McGavran, and Helen A. Grogan
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Engineering ,Percentile ,Colorado ,Adolescent ,Epidemiology ,chemistry.chemical_element ,Toxicology ,Risk Assessment ,Environmental health ,Neoplasms ,Environmental monitoring ,Humans ,Child ,Carbon Tetrachloride ,Aged ,Nuclear Warfare ,Radionuclide ,Inhalation Exposure ,business.industry ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Infant, Newborn ,Infant ,Environmental exposure ,Environmental Exposure ,Middle Aged ,Pollution ,Soil contamination ,Plutonium ,Environmental technology ,chemistry ,Child, Preschool ,Epidemiological Monitoring ,Solvents ,Female ,Beryllium ,Public Health ,business ,Risk assessment ,Environmental Monitoring - Abstract
This paper summarizes the methods and results of estimating risks of cancer incidence resulting from plutonium, carbon tetrachloride, and beryllium releases from operations at the Rocky Flats Environmental Technology Site, near Denver, Colorado, from 1953 through 1989. The key findings show that people who lived near the facility were exposed to plutonium mainly through inhalation during routine operations, from a major fire in 1957, and from plutonium resuspended from contaminated soil from an outdoor drum storage area, called the 903 Area. Results were presented for five exposure scenarios that were location-independent. Individuals described by the laborer scenario received the highest risk of all scenarios considered. Upper bound (95th percentile) incremental lifetime cancer incidence risks for the laborer scenario were in about the 10(-4) range (1 chance in 10,000) for developing cancer from Rocky Flats plutonium releases during a lifetime. At the 5th percentile level, the maximum cancer risk was about 10(-7) (1 chance in 10 million) for developing cancer during a lifetime. Estimated cancer risks at the 95th percentile level are within the range of for acceptable risks established by the US Environmental Protection Agency of 10(-6) to 10(-4). Carbon tetrachloride was found to be the chemical that presented the highest risk to the public. The 5th and 95th percentile risk values for exposure to carbon tetrachloride were 9.2x10(-7) and 2.5x10(-5), respectively.
- Published
- 2002
5. Stochastic estimates of exposure and cancer risk from carbon tetrachloride released to the air from the rocky flats plant
- Author
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Patricia D. McGavran, Arthur S. Rood, John E. Till, and Jill W. Aanenson
- Subjects
Colorado ,Evaporation ,Atmospheric sciences ,Atmosphere ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Risk Factors ,Physiology (medical) ,Neoplasms ,Humans ,Volatile organic compound ,Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality ,Carbon Tetrachloride ,chemistry.chemical_classification ,Radionuclide ,Air Pollutants ,Stochastic Processes ,Environmental engineering ,Environmental Exposure ,Atmospheric dispersion modeling ,Models, Theoretical ,chemistry ,Chemical Industry ,Carbon tetrachloride ,Environmental science ,Geometric mean ,Dispersion (chemistry) - Abstract
Carbon tetrachloride is a degreasing agent that was used at the Rocky Flats Plant (RFP) in Colorado to clean product components and equipment. The chemical is considered a volatile organic compound and a probable human carcinogen. During the time the plant operated (1953-1989), most of the carbon tetrachloride was released to the atmosphere through building exhaust ducts. A smaller amount was released to the air via evaporation from open-air burn pits and ground-surface discharge points. Airborne releases from the plant were conservatively estimated to be equivalent to the amount of carbon tetrachloride consumed annually by the plant, which was estimated to be between 3.6 and 180 Mg per year. This assumption was supported by calculations that showed that most of the carbon tetrachloride discharged to the ground surface would subsequently be released to the atmosphere. Atmospheric transport of carbon tetrachloride from the plant to the surrounding community was estimated using a Gaussian Puff dispersion model (RATCHET). Time-integrated concentrations were estimated for nine hypothetical but realistic exposure scenarios that considered variation in lifestyle, location, age, and gender. Uncertainty distributions were developed for cancer slope factors and atmospheric dispersion factors. These uncertainties were propagated through to the final risk estimate using Monte Carlo techniques. The geometric mean risk estimates varied from 5.2 x 10(-6) for a hypothetical rancher or laborer working near the RFP to 3.4 x 10(-9) for an infant scenario. The distribution of incremental lifetime cancer incidence risk for the hypothetical rancher was between 1.3 x 10(-6) (5% value) and 2.1 x 10(-5) (95% value). These estimates are similar to or exceed estimated cancer risks posed by releases of radionuclides from the site.
- Published
- 2001
6. Chrysotile Asbestos Inhalation Induces Tritiated Thymidine Incorporation by Epithelial Cells of Distal Bronchioles
- Author
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Patricia D. McGavran and Arnold R. Brody
- Subjects
Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine ,Pathology ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Clinical Biochemistry ,Asbestosis ,Bronchi ,medicine.disease_cause ,Epithelium ,Asbestos ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Alveolar duct ,Chrysotile ,medicine ,Animals ,Molecular Biology ,Inhalation ,Chemistry ,DNA ,Cell Biology ,respiratory system ,medicine.disease ,Rats ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Respiratory epithelium ,Thymidine - Abstract
Previous studies in a rat model of asbestosis have demonstrated increased incorporation of tritiated thymidine by bronchiolar and alveolar epithelial cells 19 to 72 h after a single, 5-h exposure to chrysotile asbestos. This increase in thymidine labeling occurred at the first alveolar duct bifurcations, where terminal bronchioles end and where asbestos deposition is most concentrated. To determine whether airways more proximal than the terminal bronchioles exhibit a similar type of proliferative response to asbestos, incorporation of tritiated thymidine by airway epithelial cells was determined by light microscopic autoradiography. Incorporation by the epithelium in regions of the trachea, mainstem bronchi, and bronchioles was measured in lung tissue from sham-exposed and chrysotile asbestos-exposed rats, zero and 33 h after exposure. Sham-exposed animals and those studied immediately after exposure exhibited no increases in tritiated thymidine incorporation at any airway level. Tritiated thymidine incorporation by epithelial cells of bronchioles in peripheral regions of the lungs was significantly increased, as much as 20-fold, 33 h after chrysotile exposure. In the same asbestos-exposed animals, epithelial cells of the trachea, the bronchi, and the larger bronchioles did not exhibit increased cell labeling. The fact that asbestos was deposited throughout all airway levels, yet increased thymidine incorporation is observed primarily in the peripheral bronchiolar regions, raises interesting questions regarding the mechanisms of asbestos-induced cell proliferation.
- Published
- 1989
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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