1. Predicting two-year return-to-sport failure after medial patellofemoral ligament reconstruction in patellar dislocation patients with bone abnormalities.
- Author
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Wang Q, Li K, Xu C, Ni Z, Chen X, Zhang Y, and Wang F
- Subjects
- Humans, Male, Female, Retrospective Studies, Young Adult, Adolescent, Adult, Plastic Surgery Procedures methods, Time Factors, Treatment Failure, Risk Factors, Patellofemoral Joint surgery, Patellofemoral Joint diagnostic imaging, Femur surgery, Femur diagnostic imaging, Patellar Ligament surgery, Patellar Ligament diagnostic imaging, Ligaments, Articular surgery, Ligaments, Articular diagnostic imaging, Predictive Value of Tests, Patellar Dislocation surgery, Patellar Dislocation diagnostic imaging, Patellar Dislocation etiology, Return to Sport, Nomograms
- Abstract
Purpose: To develop a comprehensive and validated personalized scoring system based on anatomical characteristics to predict the probability of failure to return to sport after medial patellofemoral ligament reconstruction in patients with patellar dislocation., Methods: 312 patients with medial patellofemoral ligament reconstruction in our hospital from 2013 to 2023 were included. Demographic and anatomical characteristics were collected retrospectively. A backward stepwise approach was used to identify independent predictors, and a nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of recurrence. The predictive performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration diagram and decision curve analysis., Results: Multivariate analysis showed that increased tibial tubercle-trochlear groove (TT-TG) distance, trochlear dysplasia, increased femoral anteversion angle, and patellar alta were independent risk factors for failure of return to sport after medial patellofemoral ligament reconstruction. Validation of this column graph in the training cohort and validation cohort showed strong predictive power, with areas under the curve of 0.850 and 0.844, respectively. The nomogram has good calibration and good clinical practicability., Conclusion: The study developed a personalized predictive nomogram with 4 predictors (increased TT-TG distance, trochlear dysplasia, increased femoral anteversion angle, and patellar alta) that allowed surgeons to stratify the risk of failure to return to sport after medial patellofemoral ligament reconstruction and recommend skeletal surgery for patients with these factors., Level of Evidence: Level III., Competing Interests: Declarations Ethics approval and consent to participate All procedures performed were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional review board and with the 1964 Helsinki Declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. The study was approved by the Ethics Review Committee of the Third Hospital of Hebei Medical University before study commencement (approval no. Ke2023-002-1). Patient consent statement Written informed consent was obtained from all the patients prior to the enrollment of this study. Consent for publication All authors confirm that they have read and approved the final version of this manuscript and consent to its submission for publication. The authors affirm that the manuscript is original, has not been published previously, and is not currently under consideration for publication elsewhere. If accepted, this manuscript will not be published elsewhere in any form, without prior written consent of the publisher. Furthermore, the authors declare that all figures, tables, and supplementary materials included in this manuscript are their own work, or they have obtained the necessary permission for use from the copyright holders, and proper acknowledgment has been made in the text. Competing interests The authors declare no competing interests., (© 2024. The Author(s).)
- Published
- 2024
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