502 results on '"PUBLIC expenditure forecasting"'
Search Results
2. Screening Diabetic Retinopathy Using an Automated Retinal Image Analysis System in Independent and Assistive Use Cases in Mexico: Randomized Controlled Trial.
- Author
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Noriega, Alejandro, Meizner, Daniela, Camacho, Dalia, Enciso, Jennifer, Quiroz-Mercado, Hugo, Morales-Canton, Virgilio, Almaatouq, Abdullah, and Pentland, Alex
- Subjects
DIABETIC retinopathy ,RETINAL imaging ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,OPHTHALMOLOGISTS ,BLINDNESS - Abstract
Background: The automated screening of patients at risk of developing diabetic retinopathy represents an opportunity to improve their midterm outcome and lower the public expenditure associated with direct and indirect costs of common sight-threatening complications of diabetes. Objective: This study aimed to develop and evaluate the performance of an automated deep learning-based system to classify retinal fundus images as referable and nonreferable diabetic retinopathy cases, from international and Mexican patients. In particular, we aimed to evaluate the performance of the automated retina image analysis (ARIA) system under an independent scheme (ie, only ARIA screening) and 2 assistive schemes (ie, hybrid ARIA plus ophthalmologist screening), using a web-based platform for remote image analysis to determine and compare the sensibility and specificity of the 3 schemes. Methods: A randomized controlled experiment was performed where 17 ophthalmologists were asked to classify a series of retinal fundus images under 3 different conditions. The conditions were to (1) screen the fundus image by themselves (solo); (2) screen the fundus image after exposure to the retina image classification of the ARIA system (ARIA answer); and (3) screen the fundus image after exposure to the classification of the ARIA system, as well as its level of confidence and an attention map highlighting the most important areas of interest in the image according to the ARIA system (ARIA explanation). The ophthalmologists' classification in each condition and the result from the ARIA system were compared against a gold standard generated by consulting and aggregating the opinion of 3 retina specialists for each fundus image. Results: The ARIA system was able to classify referable vs nonreferable cases with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 98%, a sensitivity of 95.1%, and a specificity of 91.5% for international patient cases. There was an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 98.3%, a sensitivity of 95.2%, and a specificity of 90% for Mexican patient cases. The ARIA system performance was more successful than the average performance of the 17 ophthalmologists enrolled in the study. Additionally, the results suggest that the ARIA system can be useful as an assistive tool, as sensitivity was significantly higher in the experimental condition where ophthalmologists were exposed to the ARIA system's answer prior to their own classification (93.3%), compared with the sensitivity of the condition where participants assessed the images independently (87.3%; P=.05). Conclusions: These results demonstrate that both independent and assistive use cases of the ARIA system present, for Latin American countries such as Mexico, a substantial opportunity toward expanding the monitoring capacity for the early detection of diabetes-related blindness. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Tracking Federal Awards: USAspending.gov and Other Data Sources.
- Author
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Teefy, Jennifer
- Subjects
PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,PUBLIC finance ,UNITED States. Federal Funding Accountability & Transparency Act of 2006 ,GOVERNMENT accountability ,PUBLIC administration - Abstract
USAspending.gov, available at http://www.USAspending.gov, is a government source for data on federal awards by state, congressional district (CD), county, city, and zip code. The awards data in USAspending.gov are provided by federal agencies and represent contracts, grants, loans, and other forms of financial assistance. USAspending.gov also provides tools for examining the broader picture of federal spending obligations within the categories of budget function, agency, and object class. Using USAspending.gov to locate and compile accurate data on federal awards can be challenging due, in part, to continuing data quality issues that have been identified by the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO). Users of USAspending.gov need to be aware that while search results may be useful for informing consideration of certain questions, these results may be incomplete or contain inaccuracies. USAspending.gov was created under P.L. 109-282, the Federal Funding Accountability and Transparency Act of 2006 (FFATA), and is being enhanced under requirements in P.L. 113-101, the Digital Accountability and Transparency Act of 2014 (DATA Act). Other federal awards data sources reviewed in this report include the following: • Federal Procurement Data System (FPDS); • Census Federal Audit Clearinghouse; • U.S. Budget: Aid to State and Local Governments; • Census Federal Aid to States (FAS) and Consolidated Federal Funds Report (CFFR); and • Additional federal grant awards databases, including sources tracking medical, scientific, and technical research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
4. Queensland July to December 2018.
- Author
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Williams, Paul D.
- Subjects
- *
21ST century international relations , *ECONOMIC forecasting , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *CREDIT ratings , *UNEMPLOYMENT , *GOVERNMENT business enterprises , *FINANCING of disaster relief ,QUEENSLAND politics & government - Abstract
The article discusses political and economic issues concerning Queensland from July to December 2018. Topics explored include the economic outlook for the region with regard to government spending, credit rating, and unemployment, the business performance of government-owned energy and water companies, and the disaster recovery funding allotted by state and federal governments to address damages brought by natural disasters.
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
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5. The effect of charter schools on districts' student composition, costs, and efficiency: The case of New York state.
- Author
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Buerger, Christian and Bifulco, Robert
- Subjects
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CHARTER schools , *SCHOOL enrollment , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *SCHOOL choice , *EDUCATION costs - Abstract
Highlights • Charter schools change the costs and efficiency of providing education in school districts. • Cost increases are driven by increases in share of poor students in traditional public schools. • Charter school increases the efficiency of providing education. The effects are larger in the long than in the short-run. • The cost increases are larger in the short-run than the efficiency gains, but in the long run efficiency gains offset cost increases. Abstract Charter schools can influence a school district's costs by reducing economies of scale and by changing the share of high cost students a district serves, but might also increase the district's efficiency through competition. Utilizing data for New York State school districts from 1998/99 to 2013/14, we estimate difference-in-differences models to assess the effect of charter schools on enrollment and student composition. Then, we estimate an expenditure function, using data prior to the charter school program, to measure the costs associated with reaching a given performance standard for students in various need categories and different enrollments. Next, using the entire data set, we run a second expenditure function to determine changes in efficiency associated with charter school entry. We find that charter schools increase the cost of providing education, and that these cost increases are larger than short-run efficiency gains, but are offset by efficiency gains in the long term. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. Auto Regressive Distributed Lag Analysis of the Impact of Public Expenditure and Economic Growth in Nigeria.
- Author
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Emmanuel, Oyedokun Godwin and Prosper, Efionayi O.
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PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,PUBLIC spending ,ECONOMIC development ,GROSS domestic product ,NIGERIAN politics & government - Abstract
This study examined the impact of government expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria. Time series data for twenty-two years' period were sourced from secondary sources and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was used in estimating relationship exists among variables of interest. Real Gross Domestic Product, a proxy for economic growth was adopted as the dependent variable while Total Recurrent Expenditure and Total Capital Expenditure constituted the independent variables. The result of the study shows that the public expenditure has a positive relationship but insignificant impact on the economic growth of Nigeria for the period under study. The study recommends amongst others that government should allocate more of its resources to the priority sectors of the economy such as economic services in the form of agriculture, education, construction as well as to infrastructural development, in order to encourage the growth of the economy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
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7. An Examination of the Super Bowl Stock Market Predictor.
- Author
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Krueger, Thomas M. and Kennedy, William F.
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STOCK exchanges ,ECONOMIC forecasting ,INVESTORS ,STOCKS (Finance) ,SUPER Bowl (Football game) ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,ECONOMIC indicators ,FINANCIAL markets ,STATISTICS ,FORECASTING - Abstract
Few prediction schemes have been more accurate, and at the same time more perplexing, than the Super Bowl Stock Market Predictor, which asserts that the league affiliation of the Super Bowl winner predicts stock market direction. In this study, we examine the record and statistical significance of this anomaly and demonstrate that an investor would have clearly outperformed the market by reacting to Super Bowl game outcomes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1990
- Full Text
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8. Space Employment in Los Angeles: A Declining Role in the Aerospace Industry?
- Author
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Holman, Mary A. and Konkel, Ronald M.
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AEROSPACE industries ,JOB creation ,EMPLOYMENT ,HUMAN space flight ,UNITED States appropriations & expenditures ,MATHEMATICAL models of economics ,BUSINESS requirements analysis ,BUSINESS forecasting ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,FORECASTING - Abstract
The authors analyze employment and economic trends associated with the aerospace industry in California as of 1968, focusing mostly on Los Angeles county. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), especially the manned space flight program, has increased the U.S. federal government's spending in the aerospace industry, keeping the industry stable. However, the state of California foresees a drop in spending by the federal government and has initiated public contracts in transportation, crime prevention, education, and pollution control in an effort to promote companies in the aerospace industry to diversify.
- Published
- 1968
- Full Text
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9. An Econometric Model for Southern California and Forecasts for 1967.
- Author
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Puffer, Frank W. and Williams, Robert M.
- Subjects
ECONOMETRIC models ,ECONOMIC forecasting ,REGIONAL economics ,VIETNAM War, 1961-1975 ,ECONOMIC statistics ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,RATIONAL expectations (Economic theory) ,PRICE inflation ,ECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC history - Abstract
The authors present an economic forecasting model which they use to predict the annual growth of Southern California for 1967 using information from 1953 through 1961. Some of the assumptions used include a further escalation of U.S. involvement in the Vietnam War, strong inflationary pressure, and that U.S. defense expenditures and defense department payrolls in the area will remain unchanged. The econometric model predicts that the economy of Southern California will grow faster than that of the U.S. for 1967.
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- 1967
- Full Text
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10. Marketing's Job For The 1960s.
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Keener, J. W.
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NINETEEN sixties ,ECONOMIC expansion ,MARKETING planning ,ECONOMIC forecasting ,MARKET potential ,DEMOGRAPHIC change ,INTERNATIONAL competition ,BUSINESS forecasting ,ECONOMIC demand ,MARKETING strategy ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,FORECASTING ,COMPETITIVE advantage in business ,MARKETING research ,UNITED States economy, 1961-1971 ,ECONOMICS - Abstract
Vast growth of consumer markets in the 1960s is now clearly seen, but what special risks and opportunities face the marketing man? How fast will he have to run just to stay even with his competition? And what new competitive forces will he meet? Mr. Keener, President of The B. F. Goodrich Company, suggests that complacent expectation of a steadily expanding economy is not enough. Profitable operation during the next decade will depend on how a company meets a specific list of challenges, and the author discusses these challenges. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1960
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. UK forecast tables.
- Subjects
GROSS domestic product ,BALANCE of payments ,LABOR market ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,FORECASTING - Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. US arts support in the Trump era.
- Author
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Farrell, Betty
- Subjects
- *
BUDGET cuts , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *GOVERNMENT agencies , *FINANCING of environmental protection , *SERVICES for poor people - Published
- 2017
- Full Text
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13. A PROGRAM APPROACH TO FEDERAL BUDGETING.
- Author
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Burrows, Don S.
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PROGRAM budgeting ,COST control ,BUDGET reform ,UNITED States federal budget ,BUDGET function classification ,GOVERNMENT accounting ,BUDGET process ,WASTE in government spending ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,FINANCING of human services ,COST accounting ,GOVERNMENT policy ,PREVENTION - Abstract
The article discusses a program approach to planning Federal Government budgets in the United States. The current budget structure is based on aggregate costs at multiprogram agencies. Budget reform will make the "plan of action" more understandable to Congress and the public, as well as a more accurate measure for the cost of individual government programs and their end-product of safeguarding the public welfare. Topics include the process for justifying agency appropriations, differences between corporate and government budgeting, an example of the program approach that uses costing to define objectives and discourage waste in government spending.
- Published
- 1949
14. THE FEDERAL BUDGET: A CHALLENGE TO BUSINESSMEN.
- Author
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Welcker, John W.
- Subjects
PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,UNITED States federal budget ,GOVERNMENT spending policy ,PUBLIC finance ,UNITED States economic policy, 1933-1945 ,POST-World War II Period ,TAXATION ,PUBLIC-private sector cooperation ,CAPITAL investments ,UNITED States armed forces appropriations & expenditures ,ECONOMIC conversion of defense industries - Abstract
The article focuses on the outlook for a federal postwar budget in the United States that could range from $15 billion to $25 billion. A comparison of prewar and estimated postwar federal expenditures shows that government spending is divided into the two categories of inescapable expenditures--the interest on the public debt, military and nonmilitary expenses, veterans' assistance, agricultural aid, and social security--and foreign and domestic discretionary expenditures. Fiscal policy is expected to continue deficit financing in order to avoid higher taxes during the transition to a peacetime economy. Topics include a tax program that would lead to a balanced budget in ten years and the role of business in providing capital for economic expansion.
- Published
- 1944
15. AN APPROACH TO POSTWAR PLANNING.
- Author
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Gustin, R. P. and Holme, S. A.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC forecasting ,CENTRAL economic planning ,POSTWAR reconstruction ,BUSINESS planning ,STRATEGIC planning ,POST-World War II Period ,FOREIGN investments ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,EMPLOYMENT stabilization ,CAPITAL investments ,NEW product development ,UNITED States economic policy, 1945-1960 ,ECONOMICS - Abstract
The article discusses the idea of economic planning post-World War II, using General Electric Co.'s planning strategies as a reference model. The author gives suggestions to what the most important factors necessary for post war planning are, including development of plans to convert war plants back to peacetime production with as little delay as possible, development of plans to utilize new materials and new products developed during the war, and development of a long-term program of investment in underdeveloped countries. According to the author, these plans should be able to be developed because of the United States' ability to produce and to satisfy the needs of the American people.
- Published
- 1942
16. BMI Research: Emerging Europe Monitor: Central Europe & Baltic States.
- Subjects
GROSS domestic product ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,MACROECONOMICS - Abstract
A country report for Central Europe and Baltic region countries is presented by publisher Business Monitor Int. Ltd. on political risk and macroeconomics with topics like gross domestic product forecast of Poland, public expenditure growth in Czech Republic, and investment grade status of Hungary.
- Published
- 2016
17. REVENUE BUDGET VARIANCE AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE SPENDING: EMPERICAL EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIAN LOCAL GOVERNMENTS.
- Author
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FAHLEVI, HERU and KURNIAWAN, YOGI
- Subjects
- *
PUBLIC spending , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *MULTIPLE regression analysis , *CAPITAL investments , *BUDGET ,INDONESIAN economy - Abstract
This study aims to examine the influence of variance of region own source revenue (or Pendapatan Asli Daerah), variance of regional fiscal balance fund (or Dana Perimbangan), and financial surplus from previous year (sisa lebih perhitungan anggaran/SiLPA) for capital expenditures. The samples of this study are 345 local governments in Indonesia. Data were obtained from the local government budget and the budget realization reports (between 2010 and 2014). Multiple regression analysis was applied to analysis the collected data. This study demonstrated that the variance of region owns source revenue, the variance of regional fiscal balance and financial surplus from previous year affected significantly both individually and collectively capital expenditures. Thus, it is suggested that local govements need to carefully estimate and budget their revenues in order to enhance the allocation and realization of capital expenditures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
18. OPTIMIZING THE SIZE OF THE ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION EXPENDITURE IN THE EUROPEAN UNION.
- Author
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Holt, Alina Georgiana
- Subjects
- *
ENVIRONMENTAL protection & economics , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting - Abstract
General economic theory acknowledges the existence of two main arguments that explains the difference in size of the public sector in different countries. A first category of arguments is based on the Wagners law, according to which the share of government spending in GDP will increase by a degree of proportionality greater than one if GDP growth (elasticity above par). As states increase their incomes, becoming richer, the demand for public goods increases in the same direction with increasing capacity to collect revenues. The second argument is the political nature and focus on that for reelection, government policy makers, especially those related to government spending, tend to be inconsistent over time with the economic evolution, geared towards large deficits a comprehensive public sectors. The prevention of pollution and restoring damage caused in the past is an important issue considered in managing the revenues and expenditures budgets of central and local public authorities and other categories of private operators in the economy. Thus, Government which has made a number of strong international obligations targeting environmental protection, should provide funds to cover expenses resulting from the implementation of environmental programs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
19. Elusive Public Participation: Citizen Decision-Making in Budget Formulation Process in the City of Harare, Zimbabwe.
- Author
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Masvaure, Steven
- Subjects
- *
DECISION making , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *LOCAL government , *DELIBERATIVE democracy ,ZIMBABWEAN politics & government - Abstract
Decentralisation envisages the public contributing to decision-making and governance in state institutions. The decentralised state is not complete without actors like ordinary people contributing to decision-making in local government institutions. Evidence of decentralisation in Africa reveals that there are very few cases of successful public participation in local government institutions. This paper focuses on the effectiveness of public participation in the decision-making process in decentralised local government institutions in Zimbabwe. It contributes to the broad literature on transitioning from traditional representation in democracies to citizen-centred and citizen-driven decision-making. The paper explores how the residents of the City of Harare (COH) contribute to decision-making through the city's budget formulating process. The decision-making process is examined under the key elements of public participation which are inclusiveness, openness, accountability and responsiveness. This study is based on the interviews and observations made during the 2015 budget formulation process in the COH. The study findings reveal that public participation is not effective, and there are serious issues which need to be addressed to improve public participation in the COH. There is very little public participation to the extent that the residents do not have control of what happens in the COH except for voting for councillors. It is proper to argue that in the COH, there are no proper community participation platforms. This leads to a lack of accountability, openness, responsiveness and effectiveness of the system of public participation in the COH. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
20. THE BUDGET: HEY GUYS, GET REAL.
- Author
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Gleckman, Howard, Magnusson, Paul, and Crock, Stan
- Subjects
UNITED States economic policy ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,BUDGET deficits ,TAX cuts ,MILITARY budgets ,MEDICARE laws ,DOMESTIC economic assistance ,UNITED States presidential elections ,UNITED States politics & government, 2001-2009 - Abstract
Dismisses as election-year gamesmanship a five-year budget proposal by U.S. president George W. Bush that he claims would cut the federal deficit in half. Details of the Bush administration's plans for reducing the deficit, which include a freezing of domestic spending unlikely to be approved by Congress; Observation that the Bush proposal does not include the additional spending likely to be needed in Iraq and Afghanistan; Charge that the administration is trying to hide the long-term costs of the new Medicare drug law by failing to offer ten-year projections; Prediction that members of Congress will battle proposed cuts to transportation spending and new subsidies to energy companies; Reactions of Republicans to the budget deficits; Speculation about whether the Congress will agree to make permanent Bush's tax cuts; Claim that Bush's problem is his unwillingness to make cuts in the biggest areas of government spending: defense and entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. INSET: Mopping Up The Red Ink.
- Published
- 2004
21. NEW STRATEGY, NEW THREATS The Fiscal 1972 Military Budget.
- Author
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Tammen, Ronald L.
- Subjects
MILITARY budgets ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,OPERATING budgets ,MILITARY strategy ,UNITED States armed forces -- Finance ,UNITED States armed forces - Abstract
The article focuses on the new strategy and threats in the 1972 Military Budget of the U.S. The U.S. President Richard Milhous Nixon submitted a $80.2 billion military budget to Congress and his Secretary of Defense attempted to justify the figure in the annual Defense Report. A chart comprised of selected U.S. military programs with its corresponding fund allotment, estimated cost, status and a comparison in the 1971 fiscal year funding is presented in the article. As reflected by the press, general feeling in Washington is that military spending for 1972 will fare better. Some factors remain constant regardless of some Congressional actions.
- Published
- 1971
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
22. The Decade of Adjustment: A Review of Austerity Trends 2010-2020 in 187 Countries.
- Author
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Ortiz, Isabel, Cummins, Matthew, Capaldo, Jeronim, and Karunanethy, Kalaivani
- Subjects
PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,AUSTERITY - Abstract
The report examines the government spending projections of the International Monetary Fund, an international organization, for several countries between 2005 and 2020 by using the United Nations Global Policy Model and discusses the impact of austerity trends on welfare and social progress.
- Published
- 2015
23. President's FY 2016 Budget Request Prioritizes Clean Energy and Climate Action.
- Author
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Carson, Erin and Mercurio, Angelique
- Subjects
UNITED States federal budget ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,CLEAN energy industries -- Finance ,CLEAN energy ,BUDGET reform - Abstract
The report on the 2016 budget request of U.S. President Barack Obama which emphasizes on climate action and clean energy is presented. Topics discussed include the budget appropriation for clean energy research and development, possible repeal of tax preferences in oil, natural gas and oil, and the dismissal of proposed budget reforms.
- Published
- 2015
24. Different Questions, Different Projections: While Gallup polling says spending is going up, Monmouth's paints a grimmer retail picture. Two different questions yielding opposite forecasts. How is that possible?
- Author
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Mellman, Mark
- Subjects
DEMOGRAPHIC surveys ,PUBLIC opinion polls ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting - Abstract
The article discusses the challenge of interpreting holiday spending forecasts from different polls, highlighting contradictory results from Gallup and Monmouth University due to variations in question wording, potential misinterpretations, and demographic factors.
- Published
- 2023
25. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF MACEDONIAN GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES FOR THE PERIOD 2006 - 2013.
- Author
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Brunilda, Hoxhalli, Juxhen, Duzha, and Agim, Mamuti
- Subjects
PUBLIC spending ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,STATISTICS ,GROSS domestic product ,ECONOMIC history - Abstract
The main purpose of the present study is to develop a statistical analysis of the government expenditure for Macedonia during the period January 2006- September 2013 The source of the official data is the Macedonian Institute of Statistics. The Kolmogorov's Central Limit Theorem, "fair game" concept in the sense of Stein-Vorobiev, Kolmogorov-Smirnov-Lilliefors test and Shapiro-Wilk test are applied. The government expenditure is estimated based on current price or as a percentage of GDP. Some results of the present study include: * The official data of quarterly government expenditure for Macedonia during the period January 2006-September 2013 contradicts the CLT at the confidence level 95%. * The official data of quarterly government expenditure expressed as a fraction of GDP for Macedonia during the period January 2006-September 2013 satisfies CLT at the confidence level 95%. * The government expenditure process in Macedonia during the period January 2006-September 2013 is an unfair game at the confidence level 95%. * The government expenditure as a fraction of GDP in Macedonia during the period January 2006-September 2013 is a fair game at the confidence level 95%. * The official data of quarterly GDP for Macedonia during the period January 2006-September 2013 satisfies CLT at the confidence level 95%. * The quarterly GDP in Macedonia during the period January 2006-September 2013 is an unfair game at the confidence level 95%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
26. Determining Relative Weights of Inflation Uncertainty in Turkey via CPI and Its Components.
- Author
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GÖKTAŞ, Pınar and ÇIMAT, Ali
- Subjects
- *
CONSUMER price indexes , *INFLATION forecasting , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *UNCERTAINTY - Abstract
This study aims to investigate the interaction of main expenditures groups of CPI with the fluctuations taking place at the level of general prices and calculate the relative weights of theirs uncertainties within inflation uncertainty. Since there might be structural breaks in the investigated variables, Bai-Perron test, GARCH-type models are constructed by including the breaks in the fluctuation measurement and ARDL approach has been used to determine the long-term relationship between the variables. Contrary to expectations, it was revealed that the expenditure group having the greatest impact on inflation uncertainty is not "food, beverage and tobacco" expenditure group but "transportation". [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
27. "STRIPPED OF ALL PHRASES" ROMANIAN POLITICS AND ROMANIAN NATIONAL EXPENDITURES.
- Author
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KING, RONALD F. and MARIAN, COSMIN GABRIEL
- Subjects
BUDGET ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,REPRESENTATIVE government - Abstract
This article attempts to link 'who governs' in Romania with 'what they do when governing'. It utilizes time series analysis of actual expenditures since the revolution, and examines the division of outlays between national budgets and local authority budgets; between capital, current, and transfer allocations; and across the various substantive purposes for state expenditure. The main hypotheses are that the government in power, the political party of the Prime Minister who heads that government, the incentives of electoral law, and the timing of the election cycle should all prove statistically relevant, causing visible deflections from long-term expenditure trends. Most often, however, no systematic variation is observed, raising questions about the degree of actual representation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
28. IT'S A BAD TIME TO BE A FINANCE MINISTER.
- Author
-
Owens, Jeffrey
- Subjects
COMMERCIAL crimes ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,FINANCE ministers - Abstract
The article focuses on the tax levels, government expenditures, and financial crimes, which have to be dealt by the finance ministers in the governments.
- Published
- 2015
29. Industry Report: Healthcare: Germany.
- Subjects
HEALTH care industry ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,POPULATION aging ,FOREIGN exchange rates -- Forecasting ,INTERNATIONAL markets ,PHARMACEUTICAL industry - Abstract
The article provides information on the healthcare industry in Germany and provides forecast from 2009-2018. Among the key indicators that were included in the forecast are the total healthcare expenditure, aging population, and foreign exchange rates. Information regarding the country's healthcare budgets, comparison of pharmaceutical industry in the international market, and major disease trends is presented.
- Published
- 2013
30. Methods of Voting.
- Author
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DeBruyne, Nese F.
- Subjects
APPROPRIATIONS & expenditures of the United States Dept. of Defense ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,FISCAL policy - Abstract
The article discusses the types and the manner of voting and votes are undertaken in the chambers of the U.S. Congress in terms of authorization and appropriation for the U.S. Department of Defense (DOD). It mentions that there are several types the members of the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate can formulate legislations for the DOD including division vote, teller vote and recorded vote. It cites the process of budgetary appropriation by the U.S. Congress for the agency.
- Published
- 2017
31. Empirical evidence on fiscal forecasting in Eurozone countries.
- Author
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de Deus, Joseph David Barroso Vasconcelos and de Mendonça, Helder Ferreira
- Subjects
- *
FISCAL policy , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *EMPIRICAL research , *DATABASES ,ECONOMIC conditions in the Eurozone - Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the literature on the determinant factors of government budget balance forecast errors for Eurozone countries based on four different database sources from 1998 to 2011. Design/methodology/approach – Besides the analysis on quality and efficiency of government budget balance projections, panel data analysis is made from different methods taking into account economic, political, institutional and governance factors, and lagged forecast errors for estimations of budget balance forecast errors. Findings – The results show that even with the concern and pressure due to the fiscal crisis in the Eurozone, the bias in fiscal forecasts remains. Originality/value – One contribution of this paper, in comparison to other studies, is the use of longer time periods for the analysis of forecast errors as well as the employment of different data sources for detecting systematic patterns of errors, and the use of various estimation methods for the fiscal forecast error determinants, which gives insights into the reliability and robustness of results obtained in earlier studies. In particular, the introduction of variables such as fiscal council and fiscal rules allows one to check whether institutional behavior may change the effect from debt on fiscal forecast errors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Manitoba.
- Author
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Signorelli, Andrea
- Subjects
PUBLIC spending ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,LEGISLATIVE bodies ,CANADIAN politics & government - Abstract
The article offers information related to the politics and government of Manitoba, a province in Canada. Topics discussed include the operating expenditure of provincial government, the move of politician Heather Stefanson during an opposition day motion about his request to conduct a comprehensive audit of the Investors Group Field construction project, and the changes adopted by the Legislative Assembly to its rules, orders and forms of proceeding.
- Published
- 2015
33. 'Space Obesity': The Effect of Remoteness on County Obesity.
- Author
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Guettabi, Mouhcine and Munasib, Abdul
- Subjects
- *
OBESITY , *PUBLIC expenditure forecasting , *ECONOMIES of agglomeration , *REMOTE sensing , *RECREATION centers - Abstract
We test if remoteness of a county is one of the environmental factors that contribute to obesity. First, we employ geographically weighted regressions ( GWRs) that allow us to observe local or regional patterns. We find that county obesity rate is spatially non-stationary, remoteness affects county obesity rates, and there are spatial heterogeneities in how distance affects county obesity rates. Next, we refine our estimates of the effect of remoteness on county obesity rate using a random effect model that accounts for county-level unobserved heterogeneity. Even after accounting for these heterogeneities and state fixed effects, we find measurable impact of remoteness on county obesity rate. Splitting the sample into metro and non-metro counties, we find that remoteness matters more for the obesity rates in the metro counties. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. When Budgeting Was Easier: Eisenhower and the 1960 Budget.
- Author
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Penner, Rudolph G.
- Subjects
BUDGET ,FISCAL policy ,OPERATING costs ,PUBLIC spending ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting - Abstract
The paper looks back to time when budgeting was easier and budget outcomes were superior. Although it is impossible to replicate the past exactly, there are certain characteristics of past budgets that might be emulated. The paper focuses on Eisenhower's battles to balance the 1960 budget. The task was not easy and the result had to be bipartisan since Democrats had significant majorities in the House and Senate. But budgeting was less difficult than it is today, because almost all spending was controlled by annual appropriations, and popular, rapidly growing entitlements for the elderly were very much less important. The president's budget was also much more prestigious and influential. Approaches to gaining more control over entitlements are explored as is the more difficult task of restoring the influence of the president's budget. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2014
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Industry Report: Healthcare: Brazil.
- Subjects
MEDICAL care ,GROSS domestic product ,MEDICAL care financing ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,GOVERNMENT revenue - Abstract
The article presents an overview and forecast of the healthcare industry of Brazil as of October 2013. It says that the country's health spending has increased by 9% in gross domestic product (GDP) terms in 2012 , based on the World Health Organisation (WHO). It states that Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts that the total healthcare spending will increase to US$233bn by 2017. It adds that the country's tax revenue will remain high accounting to 36% of GDP.
- Published
- 2013
36. Industry Report: Telecoms and technology: Peru.
- Subjects
TELECOMMUNICATION industry forecasting ,INFORMATION technology forecasting ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,GROSS domestic product ,INVESTMENTS - Abstract
The article presents economic forecasts related to telecommunications and technology in Peru by 2017. It states that information technology (IT) spending is expected to increase an approximate 50% in nominal terms to U.S. $4.9 billion (bn) by 2017 depending on the stability of gross domestic product (GDP) and investment. Moreover, it presents several tables which show data on telecommunications in the country from 2008-2017.
- Published
- 2013
37. Country/Territory Report - Kuwait.
- Subjects
KUWAITI economy, 1991- ,ECONOMIC forecasting ,PETROLEUM product sales & prices ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,PRICE inflation ,FOREIGN exchange rates ,ECONOMIC structure - Abstract
The article provides an overview of the economic and financial condition of Kuwait as of November 23, 2012. It is predicted that the oil prices of the country will decrease due to government-parliament crisis. Its fiscal current expenditure is expected to lead non-oil growth. Outlook on its inflation, exchange rates, economic policy, external sector, and economic structure are also presented.
- Published
- 2012
38. Country Report: Bolivia.
- Subjects
MONETARY policy ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,NATURAL gas - Abstract
The article presents an outlook of monetary policy for 2013-2017 in Bolivia. It mentions that the public expenditure will be high and the non-financial public sector (NFPS) remains surplus. It mentions that the Banco Central de Bolivia (BCB) will resume its policy of appreciation in the medium term. It focuses on the continues growth in domestic demand and natural-gas production.
- Published
- 2012
39. Telecoms and technology report.
- Subjects
TELECOMMUNICATION industry forecasting ,INFORMATION technology forecasting ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,SUBSCRIPTION services ,FOREIGN investments - Abstract
The article offers information on the forecast on the telecommunication and technology sector in Colombia from 2007 to 2016. It states that the country's spending on information technology (IT) is expected to increase by an average of 8.7% from an estimated 6.2 billion U.S. dollars in 2011 to 9.6 billion U.S. dollars in 2012. It says that the number of mobile subscribers is expected to grow across the forecast period, while foreign investment will play a major role in the industry expansion.
- Published
- 2012
40. BMI Research: Poland Defence & Security Report: Industry Forecast Scenario.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC forecasting ,DEFENSE industries ,SECURITY sector ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,DEFENSE procurement - Abstract
The article presents the economic forecast of Poland's defence and security sector for 2012. It is expected that the country's defence expenditure will hover at around 9 percent of the total budget despite slow gross domestic product (GDP) growth and European Union (EU) membership. It notes that technical modernisation has been one of its main defence priorities and is focused on acquiring new command, control and communication equipment.
- Published
- 2012
41. BMI Research: Egypt Defence & Security Report: Industry Forecast Scenario.
- Subjects
MILITARY budgets ,MACROECONOMICS ,ECONOMIC forecasting ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting - Abstract
The article presents a forecast analysis of the status of the armed forces, defense expenditure, defense trade, and macro economic outlook in Egypt for the first quarter of 2012. Accordingly, the country has enough number of armed forces to supply any demand for military defense. It is anticipated that Egypt will incur greater military expenditure given its need to fulfill military requirements through training and deployment.
- Published
- 2012
42. Economic forecast.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC conditions in Malaysia ,ECONOMIC forecasting ,GROSS domestic product ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,PRICE inflation - Abstract
The article presents the economic forecast for Malaysia from 2011 to 2016. It says that the real gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to have a 5.5% average growth per year from 2012-2016, in which it is forecasted to increase by 4.4% in 2012 and public spending is expected to increase by an average of 4.7% a year from 2012-2016. It says that consumer price inflation is expected to be at 3.2% in 2012.
- Published
- 2011
43. Healthcare report.
- Subjects
MEDICAL care financing ,HEALTH insurance finance ,GOVERNMENT programs ,PUBLIC spending ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,DRUG prices ,GOVERNMENT policy - Abstract
The article offers information related to the healthcare in Turkey. It mentions that the healthcare system has been undergoing a prolonged period of transition under the Health Transformation Programme. From 2003-13 the government aims to improve healthcare outcomes and access through the gradual extension of universal health insurance. It states that healthcare spending forecasts are complicated due to pricing of pharmaceuticals. Moreover, a chart on pharmaceutical sales in 2006-10 is presented.
- Published
- 2011
44. Healthcare report.
- Subjects
MEDICAL economics ,HEALTH & welfare funds ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,ECONOMIC trends ,ECONOMIC conditions in Chile, 1988- ,CHARTS, diagrams, etc. - Abstract
The article reports on the trends and outlook of healthcare spending in Chile from 2006-2015. It states that the healthcare spending of the country from 2006 has increased due to the creation of universal access under a voucher scheme El Plan Universal de Garantías Explícitas or Plan AUGE in 2005. Moreover, several tables and charts are presented which compare the healthcare spending trends and forecast of Chile to several countries from 2006-2015 including the U.S., Japan and China.
- Published
- 2011
45. Country/Territory Report - Saudi Arabia.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC forecasting ,GROSS domestic product ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,EXPORTS & economics ,ECONOMIC history - Abstract
The August 24, 2011 issue of "Country Intelligence: Report" for Saudi Arabia is presented. The real gross domestic product (GDP) growth of Saudi Arabia is anticipated to 5.7% in 2011 as output of oil accelerates and economic activity's domestic driver completely rebound. It predicts that exports and government spending, key drivers in the 2010 economic recovery, to remain to bolster overall economic activity in Saudi Arabia.
- Published
- 2011
46. Economic forecast.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC forecasting ,GROSS domestic product ,ECONOMIC development ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,SAVINGS ,PRICE inflation - Abstract
The article discusses Indian economic forecast for 2011-2015. It estimates real gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 9.1% in 2010-2011 and 8.9% in 2011-2012, after which growth will decrease slightly to average 8.9% per year in 2012-2013 to 2015-2016. It also states that private investment and government spending will lead economic growth, while private consumption will remain the largest component of GDP. It also forecasts 8.3% increase in consumer price inflation in 2011.
- Published
- 2011
47. BMI Research: India Defence & Security Report: Industry Forecast Scenario.
- Subjects
DEFENSE industries ,MILITARY readiness & economics ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,INDIAN economy ,GROSS domestic product ,FINANCE ,DEFENSIVE (Military science) - Abstract
The article presents a forecast on the defence and security industry of India in 2011. It notes that the announcement of A. K. Antony that a Chair in Defence Economics would be established at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analysis (IDSA) implies that the Indian government is focusing more on how it spends its money. It tells that the projected growth in its economy should enable India to spend more on defence but keep the total defence budget below 3% of gross domestic product (GDP).
- Published
- 2011
48. Economic forecast.
- Subjects
ECONOMIC forecasting ,ECONOMIC conditions in China, 2000- ,ECONOMIC expansion ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,LIQUIDITY (Economics) - Abstract
The article forecasts the economy of China for 2011-2015. It projects that the economic expansion of the country will decrease by 9% in 2011 due to an end of its stimulus spending. Increasing input costs will be considered the primary threat during the forecast period caused by the rising demand and strong liquidity growth. It is expected that the deficit in the country's services will grow during this period.
- Published
- 2011
49. Healthcare report.
- Subjects
HEALTH care industry ,MEDICAL care financing ,GROSS domestic product ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting - Abstract
The article provides an overview and outlook of the healthcare industry in Saudi Arabia for 2010 and beyond. Accordingly, the country has spent about 4.6% of its gross domestic product (GDP) on the healthcare sector in 2010. It is projected that Saudi Arabia's healthcare spending will uphold to expand beyond February 2011. In addition, it also mentions the important role of population growth on the country's healthcare sector.
- Published
- 2011
50. Healthcare report.
- Subjects
HEALTH care industry ,PUBLIC expenditure forecasting ,GROSS domestic product ,ECONOMICS - Abstract
The article presents the forecast by the Economic Intelligence Unit (EIU) Ltd. for the health care industry in Thailand from 2006 to 2015. It provides an overview on the health care market depicting the gross domestic product (GDP) and expenditure, including its funding and provision. It notes that the country spends less on healthcare as a proportion of GDP than most of Southeast Asia's other economies and estimates that in 2009 the country spent 3.3% of GDP on healthcare.
- Published
- 2010
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