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Background and aims: Non-invasive tests (NITs) are needed in clinical practice to replace histology for the identification of liver fibrosis and prognostication in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD). Novel collagen-derived fibrogenesis markers including N-terminal type III collagen pro-peptide (PRO-C3) are among the most promising tools in this field. The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of PRO-C3, the derivative ADAPT score, and other NITs for the identification of advanced fibrosis (stages 3-4) and changes over 12 months of follow-up. Methods: In this longitudinal study, 96 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were evaluated at baseline, of which 50 underwent a follow-up visit after 12 months. Clinical-biochemical parameters, liver stiffness (LS) by transient elastography, PRO-C3, and other NITs (ADAPT, FIB-4, NFS, APRI) were collected at baseline and follow-up. Results: LS showed the best accuracy for the identification of advanced fibrosis, with Area under the Receiving Operator Curve (AUROC) 0.82 (0.73-0.89) for a cut-off value of 9.4 kPa. Among the other NITs, the ADAPT score showed the best accuracy, with AUROC 0.80 (0.71-0.88) for a cut-off of 5.02 (Se 62%, Sp 89%, PPV 74%, NPV 83%). The comparison between the AUROC of LS with that of ADAPT was not statistically different (DeLong test p value 0.348). At follow-up, LS was slightly reduced, whilst PRO-C3 displayed a significant increase from baseline median 11.2 ng/mL to 13.9 ng/mL at follow-up ( p = 0.017). Accordingly, ADAPT score increased from median 5.3 to 6.1 ( p = 0.019). The other NITs did not significantly change over 12 months. Conclusions: The ADAPT score shows the best performance among non-invasive scores for the identification of advanced fibrosis, not different from LS. Collagen-derived biomarker PRO-C3 and the derivative score ADAPT display significant changes over time, and may be useful tools for monitoring the progression of liver disease or assessing responses to treatments.

The advent of direct antiviral agents (DAAs) has radically changed the natural history of hepatitis C virus (HCV) chronic liver disease. Even patients with cirrhosis may display improvements in liver function or features of portal hypertension following viral eradication. The aim of this study was to assess whether a HCV cure would lead to improvements in cirrhotic patients using simple, readily available tools in clinical practice, together with liver stiffness (LS) measurement. This is a retrospective study of cirrhotic patients with cured HCV infection, with or without previous decompensation. Clinical and biochemical parameters as well as LS measurements were collected before antiviral treatment with DAAs and after 6 months following sustained virological response. Hepatic synthesis was assessed by serum albumin levels. Portal hypertension was indirectly assessed by platelet count. Liver function was determined by the CHILD score. A total of 373 cirrhotic patients with successful HCV eradication were retrospectively included. After 6 months of follow-up, a significantly higher proportion of patients showed improved liver function, shifting from the CHILD B/C to CHILD A group, (71.4%, p < 0.001). Similarly, LS improved from a median of 19.3 kPa (14.7−27) at the baseline vs. a median of 11.6 (7.7−16.8 kPa) at follow-up (p < 0.001). The proportion of patients who showed improved hepatic synthesis was 66.0%, which was statistically different when compared to that of patients who had a worsened condition (0.3%) (p < 0.001). Moreover, when classifying the cohort according to the RESIST-HCV score, we found that a significant proportion of patients shifted into the “low risk” group following DAA treatment (52% baseline vs. 45.6% at follow-up, p = 0.004). Even in the decompensated patients, LS improved from 1.6 to 2-fold from the baseline. Antiviral treatment is effective in improving indirect signs of hepatic synthesis and portal hypertension. Similarly, the LS values displayed significant improvements, even in decompensated patients.