1. Ensemble machine learning using hydrometeorological information to improve modeling of quality parameter of raw water supplying treatment plants.
- Author
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Ortiz-Lopez C, Bouchard C, and Rodriguez MJ
- Subjects
- Water Purification methods, Models, Theoretical, Rivers, Machine Learning, Water Quality
- Abstract
Source and raw water quality may deteriorate due to rainfall and river flow events that occur in watersheds. The effects on raw water quality are normally detected in drinking water treatment plants (DWTPs) with a time-lag after these events in the watersheds. Early warning systems (EWSs) in DWTPs require models with high accuracy in order to anticipate changes in raw water quality parameters. Ensemble machine learning (EML) techniques have recently been used for water quality modeling to improve accuracy and decrease variance in the outcomes. We used three decision-tree-based EML models (random forest [RF], gradient boosting [GB], and eXtreme Gradient Boosting [XGB]) to predict two critical parameters for DWTPs, raw water Turbidity and UV absorbance (UV254), using rainfall and river flow time series as predictors. When modeling raw water turbidity, the three EML models (r
RF-Tu 2 =0.87, rGB-Tu 2 =0.80 and rXGB-Tu 2 =0.81) showed very good performance metrics. For raw water UV254, the three models (rRF-UV 2 =0.89, rGB-UV 2 =0.85 and rXGB-UV 2 =0.88) again showed very good performance metrics. Results from this study suggest that EML approaches could be used in EWSs to anticipate changes in the quality parameters of raw water and enhance decision-making in DWTPs., Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare the following financial interests/personal relationships which may be considered as potential competing interests:Christian Ortiz-Lopez reports financial support was provided by Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC). If there are other authors, they declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)- Published
- 2024
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