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Aims Multiple risk scores to predict ischaemic stroke (IS) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have been developed. This study aims to systematically review these scores, their validations and updates, assess their methodological quality, and calculate pooled estimates of the predictive performance. Methods and results We searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies developing, validating, or updating risk scores for IS in AF patients. Methodological quality was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). To assess discrimination, pooled c-statistics were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. We identified 19 scores, which were validated and updated once or more in 70 and 40 studies, respectively, including 329 validations and 76 updates—nearly all on the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2. Pooled c-statistics were calculated among 6 267 728 patients and 359 373 events of IS. For the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2, pooled c-statistics were 0.644 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.635–0.653] and 0.658 (0.644–0.672), respectively. Better discriminatory abilities were found in the newer risk scores, with the modified-CHADS2 demonstrating the best discrimination [c-statistic 0.715 (0.674–0.754)]. Updates were found for the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 only, showing improved discrimination. Calibration was reasonable but available for only 17 studies. The PROBAST indicated a risk of methodological bias in all studies. Conclusion Nineteen risk scores and 76 updates are available to predict IS in patients with AF. The guideline-endorsed CHA2DS2-VASc shows inferior discriminative abilities compared with newer scores. Additional external validations and data on calibration are required before considering the newer scores in clinical practice. Clinical trial registration ID CRD4202161247 (PROSPERO).

Context Subclinical thyroid dysfunction and anemia are common disorders, and both have increasing prevalence with advancing age. Objective The aim of this study was to assess whether levothyroxine treatment leads to a rise in hemoglobin levels in older persons with subclinical hypothyroidism. Methods This preplanned combined analysis of 2 randomized controlled trials included community-dwelling persons aged 65 years and older with subclinical hypothyroidism who were randomly assigned to levothyroxine or placebo treatment. The levothyroxine dose was periodically titrated aiming at thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) level within the reference range, with mock titrations in the placebo group. The main outcome measure was the change in hemoglobin level after 12 months. Results Analyses included 669 participants (placebo n = 337, levothyroxine n = 332) with a median age of 75 years (range, 65-97) and mean baseline hemoglobin of 13.8 ± 1.3 g/dL. Although levothyroxine treatment resulted in a reduction in TSH from baseline after 12 months of follow-up compared with placebo, the change in hemoglobin level was not different between the levothyroxine and the placebo groups (−0.03 g/dL [95% CI, −0.16 to 0.11]). Similar results were found in stratified analyses including sex, age, or TSH levels. No difference in change of hemoglobin levels after 12 months was identified in 69 participants with anemia at baseline (−0.33 g/dL [95% CI, −0.87 to 0.21]). Conclusion In persons aged 65 years and older with subclinical hypothyroidism, treatment with levothyroxine does not lead to a rise in hemoglobin levels, regardless of the presence of anemia.

Aggressive pituitary tumors (APTs) and pituitary carcinomas (PCs) are heterogeneous with regard to clinical presentation, proliferative markers, clinical course, and response to therapy. Half of them show an aggressive course only many years after the first apparently benign presentation. APTs and PCs share several properties, but a Ki67 index greater than or equal to 10% and extensive p53 expression are more prevalent in PCs. Mutations in TP53 and ATRX are the most common genetic alterations; their detection might be of value for early identification of aggressiveness. Treatment requires a multimodal approach including surgery, radiotherapy, and drugs. Temozolomide is the recommended first-line chemotherapy, with response rates of about 40%. Immune checkpoint inhibitors have emerged as second-line treatment in PCs, with currently no evidence for a superior effect of dual therapy compared to monotherapy with PD-1 blockers. Bevacizumab has resulted in partial response (PR) in few patients; tyrosine kinase inhibitors and everolimus have generally not been useful. The effect of peptide receptor radionuclide therapy is limited as well. Management of APT/PC is challenging and should be discussed within an expert team with consideration of clinical and pathological findings, age, and general condition of the patient. Considering that APT/PCs are rare, new therapies should preferably be evaluated in shared standardized protocols. Prognostic and predictive markers to guide treatment decisions are needed and are the scope of ongoing research.

Background: In dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), outcome after catheter ablation of ventricular tachycardia (VT) is modest, compared with ischemic heart disease (IHD). Pleomorphic VT (PL-VT) has been associated with fibrotic remodeling and end-stage heart failure in IHD. The prognostic role of PL-VT in DCM is unknown. Methods: Consecutive IHD (2009–2016) or DCM (2008–2018) patients undergoing ablation for monomorphic VT were included. PL-VT was defined as ≥1 spontaneous change of the 12-lead VT-morphology during the same induced VT episode. Patients were followed for VT recurrence and mortality. Results: A total of 247 patients (86% men; 63±13 years; IHD n=152; DCM n=95) underwent ablation for monomorphic VT. PL-VT was observed in 22 and 29 patients with IHD and DCM, respectively (14% versus 31%, P =0.003). In IHD, PL-VT was associated with lower LVEF (28±9% versus 34±12%, P =0.02) and only observed in those with LVEF40%. During a median follow-up of 30 months, 79 (32%) patients died (IHD 48; DCM 31; P =0.88) and 120 (49%) had VT recurrence (IHD 59; DCM 61; P Conclusions: In IHD, PL-VT was associated with low LVEF and mortality. In DCM, PL-VT was not associated with mortality but a predictor of VT recurrence independent from LVEF. PL-VT in DCM may indicate a specific arrhythmic substrate difficult to control by current ablation techniques.

The medical research literature is abundant with regression analyses that include multiple covariates, so-called multivariable regression models. Despite their common application, the interpretation of their results is not always clear or claimed interpretations are not justified. To outline the distinctions between different interpretations, we describe several possible research objectives for which a multivariable regression analysis might be an appropriate way of analyzing the data. In addition, we describe caveats in the interpretation of results of multivariable regression analysis.

Background: Patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) who are undergoing catheter ablation of ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) are at risk of rapidly progressive heart failure (HF). Endocardial voltages decrease with loss of viable myocardium. Global left ventricular (LV) voltage as a surrogate for the amount of remaining viable myocardium may predict prognosis. Objectives: This study evaluated whether the newly proposed parameter volume-weighted (vw) unipolar voltage (UV) can predict HF-related adverse outcomes (HFOs), including death, heart transplantation, or ventricular assist device implantation, in DCM. Methods: In consecutive patients with DCM referred for VA ablation, vwUV was calculated by mathematically integrating UV over the left ventricle, divided by the endocardial LV surface area and wall thickness. Patients were followed for HFOs. Results: A total of 103 patients (57 ± 14 years of age; LV ejection fraction [LVEF], 39 ± 13%) were included. Median vwUV was 9.75 (IQR: 7.27-12.29). During a median follow-up of 24 months (IQR: 8-47 months), 25 patients (24%) died, and 16 had HFOs 7 months (IQR: 1-18 months) after ablation. Patients with HFOs had significantly lower LVEF (29% ± 10% vs 41% ± 12%), vw bipolar voltage (BV) (3.00 [IQR: 2.47-3.53] vs 5.00 [4.12-5.73]), and vwUV (5.94 [IQR: 5.28-6.55] vs 10.37 [IQR: 8.82-12.81]; all P < 0.001), than patients without HFOs. In Cox regression analysis and goodness-of-fit tests, vwUV was the strongest and independent predictor for HFOs (HR: 3.68; CI: 2.09-6.45; likelihood ratio chi-square, 33.05; P < 0.001). Conclusions: The novel parameter vwUV, as a surrogate for the amount of viable myocardium, identifies patients with DCM with VA who are at high risk for HF progression and mortality.

ContextNonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (NF-pNETs) are highly prevalent and constitute an important cause of mortality in patients with multiple endocrine neoplasia type 1 (MEN1). Still, the optimal age to initiate screening for pNETs is under debate.ObjectiveThe aim of this work is to assess the age of occurrence of clinically relevant NF-pNETs in young MEN1 patients.MethodsPancreatic imaging data of MEN1 patients were retrieved from the DutchMEN Study Group database. Interval-censored survival methods were used to describe age-related penetrance, compare survival curves, and develop a parametric model for estimating the risk of having clinically relevant NF-pNET at various ages. The primary objective was to assess age at occurrence of clinically relevant NF-pNET (size ≥ 20 mm or rapid growth); secondary objectives were the age at occurrence of NF-pNET of any size and pNET-associated metastasized disease.ResultsFive of 350 patients developed clinically relevant NF-pNETs before age 18 years, 2 of whom subsequently developed lymph node metastases. No differences in clinically relevant NF-pNET–free survival were found for sex, time frame, and type of MEN1 diagnosis or genotype. The estimated ages (median, 95% CI) at a 1%, 2.5%, and 5% risk of having developed a clinically relevant tumor are 9.5 (6.5-12.7), 13.5 (10.2-16.9), and 17.8 years (14.3-21.4), respectively.ConclusionAnalyses from this population-based cohort indicate that start of surveillance for NF-pNETs with pancreatic imaging at age 13 to 14 years is justified. The psychological and medical burden of screening at a young age should be considered.

Treatment with targeted therapy and immune checkpoint inhibitors has significantly improved survival of patients with advanced melanoma. Unfortunately, a large proportion of patients are either primary non-responders or will eventually develop secondary resistance. In 2017, Nosrati and colleagues published a prediction scale in the British Journal of Cancer, which included five clinical parameters that were associated with lower response to anti-PD-1 treatment; female sex (1 point), age 1]. This study used a derivation cohort of 228 patients treated in California, and a validation cohort of 87 patients treated in Switzerland. The primary outcome measure was best tumour response to treatment evaluated using computed tomography at 12 and 16 weeks after the first administration of anti-PD-1 monotherapy, and every 12 weeks thereafter. The aim of this correspondence is to validate the prediction scale, published by Nosrati and colleagues.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) have revolutionized cancer treatment but are associated with significant autoimmune endocrinopathies that pose both diagnostic and treatment challenges. The aim of this guideline is to provide clinicians with the best possible evidence-based recommendations for treatment and follow-up of patients with ICI-induced endocrine side-effects based on the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system. As these drugs have been used for a relatively short time, large systematic investigations are scarce. A systematic approach to diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up is needed, including baseline tests of endocrine function before each treatment cycle. We conclude that there is no clear evidence for the benefit of high-dose glucocorticoids to treat endocrine toxicities with the possible exceptions of severe thyroid eye disease and hypophysitis affecting the visual apparatus. With the exception of thyroiditis, most endocrine dysfunctions appear to be permanent regardless of ICI discontinuation. Thus, the development of endocrinopathies does not dictate a need to stop ICI treatment. ispartof: EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF ENDOCRINOLOGY vol:187 issue:6 pages:G1-G21 ispartof: location:England status: published

Introduction: Until now, well-differentiated bronchopulmonary neuroendocrine tumors (bpNET) occurring either sporadically (sp-bpNET) or in the context of multiple endocrine neoplasia type 1 (MEN1) and diffuse idiopathic pulmonary neuroendocrine cell hyperplasia (DIPNECH) are regarded as similar entities. However, in contrast to sp-bpNET: MEN1-related and DIPNECH-related bpNET rarely metastasize or lead to bpNET-related death. We aimed to describe and compare the course of the disease of sp-bpNET, DIPNECH- and MEN1-related bpNET. Methods: All patients with histologically confirmed MEN1-related bpNET from the DutchMEN Study Group database (1990-2017), patients with resected sp-bpNET and DIPNECH patients referred to a Dutch European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society center between 2000 and 2018 were included. Fisher's exact test was used for comparison between groups. The primary end point was disease-specific mortality (DSM). Kaplan-Meier and logrank test were used to compare survival. Cox regression was used to identify risk factors for DSM in the sp-bpNET subgroup. Results: We included 112 sp-bpNET, 29 MEN1, and 27 DIPNECH patients. Tumor classification was similar across subgroups. A total of 20 patients (18%) with sp-bpNET died because of bpNET, compared with none in the MEN1 group and DIPNECH group. Median disease-specific survival was 12.3 (confidence interval: 6.3–18.3) years for patients with sp-bpNET, and not estimable for the other subgroups (p < 0.001). Differences in baseline characteristics did not explain worse survival in sp-bpNET. Tumor classification and age at diagnosis were independent risk factors for DSM in sp-bpNET. Conclusions: Patients with sp-bpNET have a significantly higher DSM compared with MEN1 or DIPNECH-related bpNET, unexplained by differences in baseline characteristics. This implies that not all bpNET are similar entities.

Recent data have shown a decreasing overall mortality in acromegaly over the last decades. However, cancer incidence and cancer-related mortality still appear to be increased. Our aim was to obtain updated epidemiological data from Norway in a clinically well-defined cohort with complete register-based follow-up.Patients diagnosed with acromegaly from South-Eastern Norway between 1999-2019 (n = 262) and age and sex matched population controls (1:100) were included (n = 26,200). Mortality and cancer data were obtained from the Norwegian Cause of Death and Cancer Registry. Mortality and cancer incidence were compared by Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox regression; we report hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).Median age at diagnosis was 48.0 years (interquartile range (IQR): 37.6-58.0). Mean annual acromegaly incidence rate was 4.7 (95% CI 4.2-5.3) cases/10In this large cohort study, covering the period 1999-2019, patients were treated with individualized multimodal management. Mortality was not increased compared to the general population and comparable with recent registry studies from the Nordic countries and Europe. Overall cancer risk was slightly, but not significantly increased in the patients.

There are different ways to quantify the relation between two or more continuous variables. Some researchers use correlation coefficients; others will apply regression methods such as linear regression. In this paper, we show that the choice between correlation and regression is not purely a statistical one but largely depends on the research aims. Importantly, one should always inspect the data before using either of the two methods.

Objectives Chronic nonbacterial osteomyelitis (CNO) is a rare inflammatory bone disease. The distinct CNO subtype that affects the anterior chest wall is descriptively named sternocostoclavicular hyperostosis (SCCH) and mainly occurs in adults. Literature on CNO/SCCH is scattered and lacks diagnostic and therapeutic consensus. Methods Systematic review and meta-analysis aiming to characterize clinical presentation and therapeutic modalities applied in adult CNO/SCCH patients. Untransformed numerical data and double-arcsine transformed proportional data were pooled in a random effects model in R-4.0.5; proportions were reported with 95% CI. Results Forty studies were included, containing data on 2030 and 642 patients for aim 1 and 2, respectively. A female predisposition (67%, 95% CI 60, 73) and major diagnostic delay (5 years 95% CI 3, 7) were noted. Clinical presentation included chest pain (89%, 95% CI 79, 96) and swelling (79%, 95% CI 62, 91). Patients suffered from pustulosis palmoplantaris (53%, 95% CI 37, 68), arthritis (24%, 95% CI 11, 39) and acne (8%, 95% CI 4, 13). Inflammatory markers were inconsistently elevated. Autoantibody and HLA-B27 prevalence was normal, and histopathology unspecific. Increased isotope uptake (99%, 95% CI 96, 100) was a consistent imaging finding. Among manifold treatments, pamidronate and biologicals yielded good response in 83%, 95% CI 60, 98 and 56%, 95% CI 26, 85, respectively. Conclusion CNO/SCCH literature proves heterogeneous regarding diagnostics and treatment. Timely diagnosis is challenging and mainly follows from increased isotope uptake on nuclear examination. Biopsies, autoantibodies and HLA status are non-contributory, and biochemical inflammation only variably detected. Based on reported data, bisphosphonates and biologicals seem reasonably effective, but due to limitations in design and heterogeneity between studies the precise magnitude of their effect is uncertain. Fundamentally, international consensus seems imperative to advance clinical care for CNO/SCCH.

There are more and more possibilities to screen individuals early for health problems or risks thereof. When it comes to screening, it is tempting to think: the sooner a disease (risk) is detected, the better. But screening also has disadvantages, such as distress and fear among participants and the need for further diagnostics in the event of a positive result, with all the related medical risks and burden on the health care system. In short, screening is only useful if the benefits outweigh the disadvantages. In this article we discuss - by means of examples - ethical considerations relevant for weighing the benefits and disadvantages of screening. In closing we reflect on future legislation pertaining to screening that - in our opinion - leaves too much leeway for screening of which the disadvantages outweigh the benefits.

BackgroundMany older persons use the thyroid hormone levothyroxine which is often continued for life. Scientifically, there is much uncertainty whether simple continuation is the optimal approach. First, the physical need for levothyroxine can decrease with age thereby posing a higher risk of overtreatment and adverse effects. Second, large trials in subclinical hypothyroidism have shown no benefit for the use of levothyroxine. Interestingly, guidelines do not address re-evaluation of the indication. This self-controlled trial aims to determine the effects of discontinuation of levothyroxine treatment in older adults.Methods and analysisParticipants are community-dwelling subjects aged ≥60 years using levothyroxine continuously at a stable dosage of ≤150 µg and a level of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) Ethics and disseminationApproval was obtained from the institutional Medical Ethics Committee. The Older People Advisory Board Health and Well-being has reviewed the research proposal and their comments were used for improvement. In line with the funding policies of the grant organisation funding this study, the study results will be proactively disseminated to the general public and key public health stakeholders.Trial registration numberNL7978;NCT05821881.

Purpose In epidemiological research, measurements affected by medication, for example, blood pressure lowered by antihypertensives, are common. Different ways of handling medication are required depending on the research questions and whether the affected measurement is the exposure, the outcome, or a confounder. This study aimed to review handling of medication use in observational research. Methods PubMed was searched for etiological studies published between 2015 and 2019 in 15 high-ranked journals from cardiology, diabetes, and epidemiology. We selected studies that analyzed blood pressure, glucose, or lipid measurements (whether exposure, outcome or confounder) by linear or logistic regression. Two reviewers independently recorded how medication use was handled and assessed whether the methods used were in accordance with the research aim. We reported the methods used per variable category (exposure, outcome, confounder). Results A total of 127 articles were included. Most studies did not perform any method to account for medication use (exposure 58%, outcome 53%, and confounder 45%). Restriction (exposure 22%, outcome 23%, and confounders 10%), or adjusting for medication use using a binary indicator were also used frequently (exposure: 18%, outcome: 19%, confounder: 45%). No advanced methods were applied. In 60% of studies, the methods' validity could not be judged due to ambiguous reporting of the research aim. Invalid approaches were used in 28% of the studies, mostly when the affected variable was the outcome (36%). Conclusion Many studies ambiguously stated the research aim and used invalid methods to handle medication use. Researchers should consider a valid methodological approach based on their research question.

ObjectiveTo provide considerations for reporting and interpretation that can improve assessment of the credibility of exploratory analyses in aetiologic research.DesignMini-review of the literature and account of exploratory research principles.SettingThis study focuses on a particular type of causal research, namely aetiologic studies, which investigate the causal effect of one or multiple risk factors on a particular health outcome or disease. The mini review included aetiologic research articles published in four epidemiology journals in the first issue of 2021:American Journal of Epidemiology,Epidemiology,European Journal of Epidemiology, andInternational Journal of Epidemiology, specifically focusing on observational studies of causal risk factors of diseases.Main outcome measuresNumber of exposure-outcome associations reported, grouped by type of analysis (main, sensitivity, and additional).ResultsThe journal articles reported many exposure-outcome associations: a mean number of 33 (range 1-120) exposure-outcome associations for the primary analysis, 30 (0-336) for sensitivity analyses, and 163 (0-1467) for additional analyses. Six considerations were discussed that are important in assessing the credibility of exploratory analyses: research problem, protocol, statistical criteria, interpretation of findings, completeness of reporting, and effect of exploratory findings on future causal research.ConclusionsBased on this mini-review, exploratory analyses in aetiologic research were not always reported properly. Six considerations for reporting of exploratory analyses in aetiologic research were provided to stimulate a discussion about their preferred handling and reporting. Researchers should take responsibility for the results of exploratory analyses by clearly reporting their exploratory nature and specifying which findings should be investigated in future research and how.

In epidemiological research it is common to encounter measurements affected by medication use, such as blood pressure lowered by antihypertensive drugs. When one is interested in the relation between the variables not affected by medication, ignoring medication use can cause bias. Several methods have been proposed, but the problem is often ignored or handled with generic methods, such as excluding individuals on medication or adjusting for medication use in the analysis. This study aimed to investigate methods for handling measurements affected by medication use when one is interested in the relation between the unaffected variables and to provide guidance for how to optimally handle the problem. We focused on linear regression and distinguish between the situation where the affected measurement is an exposure, confounder or outcome. In the Netherlands Epidemiology of Obesity study and in several simulated settings, we compared generic and more advanced methods, such as substituting or adding a fixed value to the treated values, regression calibration, censored normal regression, Heckman’s treatment model and multiple imputation methods. We found that often-used methods such as adjusting for medication use could result in substantial bias and that methods for handling medication use should be chosen cautiously.

Objectives: Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI), its subsequent recurrences (rCDIs), and severe CDI (sCDI) provide a significant burden for both patients and the healthcare system. Identifying patients diagnosed with initial CDI who are at increased risk of developing sCDI/rCDI could lead to more cost-effective therapeutic choices. In this systematic review we aimed to identify clinical prognostic factors associated with an increased risk of developing sCDI or rCDI.Methods: PubMed, Embase, Emcare, Web of Science and COCHRANE Library databases were searched from database inception through March, 2021. The study eligibility criteria were cohort and caseecontrol studies. Participants were patients >= 18 years old diagnosed with CDI, in which clinical or laboratory factors were analysed to predict sCDI/rCDI. Risk of bias was assessed by using the Quality in Prognostic Research (QUIPS) tool and the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) tool modified for prognostic studies. Study selection was performed by two independent reviewers. Overview tables of prognostic factors were constructed to assess the number of studies and the respective effect direction and statistical significance of an association.Results: 136 studies were included for final analysis. Greater age and the presence of multiple comorbidities were prognostic factors for sCDI. Identified risk factors for rCDI were greater age, healthcareassociated CDI, prior hospitalization, proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) started during or after CDI diagnosis, and previous rCDI.Conclusions: Prognostic factors for sCDI and rCDI could aid clinicians to make treatment decisions based on risk stratification. We suggest that future studies use standardized definitions for sCDI/rCDI and systematically collect and report the risk factors assessed in this review, to allow for meaningful metaanalysis of risk factors using data of high-quality trials. (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd on behalf of European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases.

Background Whereas biochemical response is often used as a primary study outcome, improvement in symptoms and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is the relevant goal for patients to consider treatment successful. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the effect of treatment on symptoms and HRQoL in acromegaly. Methods Seven electronic databases were searched for longitudinal studies assessing patient-reported symptoms or HRQoL in acromegaly. Meta-analyses were performed to assess differences during treatment for the Acromegaly Quality of Life Questionnaire (AcroQoL) and Patient-Assessed Acromegaly Symptom Questionnaire (PASQ), and standardized mean difference (SMD) for individual symptoms (interpretation: 0.2 small, 0.5 moderate, and 0.8 large effect). Treatment-naive and previously treated patients were assessed separately. Results Forty-six studies with 3301 patients were included; 24 contributed to quantitative analyses. Thirty-six studies used medication as main treatment, 1 transsphenoidal adenomectomy, and 9 various treatments. Symptoms and HRQoL both improved: AcroQoL increased 2.9 points (95% CI, 0.5 to 5.3 points), PASQ decreased –2.3 points (95% CI, –1.3 to –3.3 points), and individual symptom scores decreased for paresthesia –0.9 (95% CI, –0.6 to –1.2), hyperhidrosis –0.4 (95% CI, –0.1 to –0.6), fatigue –0.3 (95% CI, –0.1 to –0.6), arthralgia –0.3 (95% CI, –0.1 to –0.5), headache –0.3 (95% CI, 0.0 to –0.6), and soft-tissue swelling –0.2 (95% CI, 0.0 to –0.4). Conclusion Symptoms and HRQoL improved during acromegaly treatment. Consensus is needed on which symptoms should be included in a potential core outcome set, taking into account symptom frequency, severity, and sensitivity to change, which can be used in clinical practice and as outcome in trials.

Objective Full blood count (FBC) and serum inflammation-based scores reflect systemic inflammation and predict outcomes in cancer, but little is known in pituitary adenomas (PAs). We aimed to characterise FBC and inflammation-based scores in PA patients and investigate their usefulness in predicting challenging disease course. Methods We studied 424 PA patients first operated at our centre with available pre-operative biochemical data. Patients with infection, malignancies, autoimmune or haematological conditions were excluded. Inflammation-based scores studied: Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), Lymphocyte-to-Monocyte Ratio (LMR), Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII), Neutrophil-Platelet Score (NPS), Prognostic Nutrition Index (PNI), and Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS). Results Cushing's disease patients had more platelets, leucocytes, neutrophils and monocytes, and higher NLR, NPS and SII. Serum inflammation-based scores didn't differ among non-Cushing PA subtypes. The glucocorticoid excess severity influenced leucocyte, eosinophil, basophil and platelet counts, and GPS in Cushing's disease. Patients with functioning non-Cushing PAs with suprasellar extension, cavernous sinus invasion and hypopituitarism had GPS >= 1, while NPS >= 1 was associated with suprasellar extension. More invasive and difficult to treat corticotrophinomas were associated with fewer platelets pre-operatively (< 299.5 x 10(9)/L predicting multimodal treatment). Non-functioning PA patients who suffered apoplexy had more leucocytes, neutrophils and monocytes, higher GPS >= 1 and fewer platelets; re-operated cases had fewer lymphocytes, higher NLR and PLR. Conclusions Serum inflammation-based scores may predict invasive/refractory PAs: GPS and PNI in non-functioning and functioning non-Cushing PAs; NPS in functioning non-Cushing PAs; NLR and PLR in non-functioning PAs. Platelets < 299.5 x 10(9)/L predict multimodal treatment in Cushing's disease. Further studies are needed to confirm these observations.

BackgroundAcute kidney injury (AKI) can affect hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), with estimates ranging between 0.5% and 40%. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies reporting incidence, mortality and risk factors for AKI in hospitalized COVID-19 patients.MethodsWe systematically searched 11 electronic databases until 29 May 2020 for studies in English reporting original data on AKI and kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Incidences of AKI and KRT and risk ratios for mortality associated with AKI were pooled using generalized linear mixed and random-effects models. Potential risk factors for AKI were assessed using meta-regression. Incidences were stratified by geographic location and disease severity.ResultsA total of 3042 articles were identified, of which 142 studies were included, with 49 048 hospitalized COVID-19 patients including 5152 AKI events. The risk of bias of included studies was generally low. The pooled incidence of AKI was 28.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 19.8–39.5] among hospitalized COVID-19 patients from the USA and Europe (20 studies) and 5.5% (95% CI 4.1–7.4) among patients from China (62 studies), whereas the pooled incidence of KRT was 7.7% (95% CI 5.1–11.4; 18 studies) and 2.2% (95% CI 1.5–3.3; 52 studies), respectively. Among patients admitted to the intensive care unit, the incidence of KRT was 20.6% (95% CI 15.7–26.7; 38 studies). Meta-regression analyses showed that age, male sex, cardiovascular disease, diabetes mellitus, hypertension and chronic kidney disease were associated with the occurrence of AKI; in itself, AKI was associated with an increased risk of mortality, with a pooled risk ratio of 4.6 (95% CI 3.3–6.5).ConclusionsAKI and KRT are common events in hospitalized COVID-19 patients, with estimates varying across geographic locations. Additional studies are needed to better understand the underlying mechanisms and optimal treatment of AKI in these patients.

Meta-analysis of individual participant data (IPD) is considered the "gold-standard" for synthesizing clinical study evidence. However, gaining access to IPD can be a laborious task (if possible at all) and in practice only summary (aggregate) data are commonly available. In this work we focus on meta-analytic approaches of comparative studies where aggregate data are available for continuous outcomes measured at baseline (pre-treatment) and follow-up (post-treatment). We propose a method for constructing pseudo individual baselines and outcomes based on the aggregate data. These pseudo IPD can be subsequently analysed using standard analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) methods. Pseudo IPD for continuous outcomes reported at two timepoints can be generated using the sufficient statistics of an ANCOVA model i.e., the mean and standard deviation at baseline and follow-up per group, together with the correlation of the baseline and follow-up measurements. Applying the ANCOVA approach, which crucially adjusts for baseline imbalances and accounts for the correlation between baseline and change scores, to the pseudo IPD results in identical estimates to the ones obtained by an ANCOVA on the true IPD. In addition, an interaction term between baseline and treatment effect can be added. There are several modelling options available under this approach, which makes it very flexible. Methods are exemplified using reported data of a previously published IPD metaanalysis of 10 trials investigating the effect of antihypertensive treatments on systolic blood pressure, leading to identical results compared with the true IPD analysis and of a meta-analysis of fewer trials, where baseline imbalance occurred. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.

Background Surgery is increasingly being omitted in older patients with operable breast cancer in the Netherlands. Although omission of surgery can be considered in frail older patients, it may lead to inferior outcomes in non‐frail patients. Therefore, the aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of omission of surgery on relative and overall survival in older patients with operable breast cancer. Methods Patients aged 80 years or older diagnosed with stage I–II hormone receptor‐positive breast cancer between 2003 and 2009 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. An instrumental variable approach was applied to minimize confounding, using hospital variation in rate of primary surgery. Relative and overall survival was compared between patients treated in hospitals with different rates of surgery. Results Overall, 6464 patients were included. Relative survival was lower for patients treated in hospitals with lower compared with higher surgical rates (90·2 versus 92·4 per cent respectively after 5 years; 71·6 versus 88·2 per cent after 10 years). The relative excess risk for patients treated in hospitals with lower surgical rates was 2·00 (95 per cent c.i. 1·17 to 3·40). Overall survival rates were also lower among patients treated in hospitals with lower compared with higher surgical rates (48·3 versus 51·3 per cent after 5 years; 15·0 versus 19·7 per cent after 10 years respectively; adjusted hazard ratio 1·07, 95 per cent c.i. 1·00 to 1·14). Conclusion Omission of surgery is associated with worse relative and overall survival in patients aged 80 years or more with stage I–II hormone receptor‐positive breast cancer. Future research should focus on the effect on quality of life and physical functioning., Although the selection criteria for omission of surgery in early‐stage breast cancer are ill defined in guidelines, the percentage of patients receiving surgical treatment declines in older age groups. This study evaluated the effect of omission of surgery on survival in patients aged 80 years and older. Omission of surgery was associated with worse relative and overall survival, but no effect was observed in the first 5 years. Surgery superior

BackgroundNon-dialytic conservative care (CC) has been proposed as a treatment option for patients with kidney failure. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims at comparing survival outcomes between dialysis and CC in studies where patients made an explicit treatment choice.MethodsFive databases were systematically searched from origin through 25 February 2021 for studies comparing survival outcomes among patients choosing dialysis versus CC. Adjusted and unadjusted survival rates were extracted and meta-analysis performed where applicable. Risk of bias analysis was performed according to the Cochrane Risk Of Bias In Non-randomized Studies of Interventions.ResultsA total of 22 cohort studies were included covering 21 344 patients. Most studies were prone to selection bias and confounding. Patients opting for dialysis were generally younger and had fewer comorbid conditions, fewer functional impairments and less frailty than patients who chose CC. The unadjusted median survival from treatment decision or an estimated glomerular filtration rate ConclusionsPatients opting for dialysis have an overall lower mortality risk compared with patients opting for CC. However, a high risk of bias and heterogeneous reporting preclude definitive conclusions and results cannot be translated to an individual level.

Purpose Recent data have shown a decreasing overall mortality in acromegaly over the last decades. However, cancer incidence and cancer-related mortality still appear to be increased. Our aim was to obtain updated epidemiological data from Norway in a clinically well-defined cohort with complete register-based follow-up. Methods Patients diagnosed with acromegaly from South-Eastern Norway between 1999–2019 (n = 262) and age and sex matched population controls (1:100) were included (n = 26,200). Mortality and cancer data were obtained from the Norwegian Cause of Death and Cancer Registry. Mortality and cancer incidence were compared by Kaplan–Meier analyses and Cox regression; we report hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Results Median age at diagnosis was 48.0 years (interquartile range (IQR): 37.6–58.0). Mean annual acromegaly incidence rate was 4.7 (95% CI 4.2–5.3) cases/106 person-years, and the point prevalence (2019) was 83 (95% CI 72.6–93.5) cases/106 persons. Overall mortality was not increased in acromegaly, HR 0.8 (95% CI 0.5–1.4), cancer-specific and cardiovascular-specific mortality was also not increased (HR: 0.7 (95% CI 0.3–1.8) and 0.8 (95% CI: 0.3–2.5) respectively). The HR for all cancers was 1.45 (1.0–2.1; p = 0.052). Conclusion In this large cohort study, covering the period 1999–2019, patients were treated with individualized multimodal management. Mortality was not increased compared to the general population and comparable with recent registry studies from the Nordic countries and Europe. Overall cancer risk was slightly, but not significantly increased in the patients.

Cushing's syndrome consists of the symptoms and signs associated with prolonged exposure to inappropriately elevated levels of free plasma glucocorticoids due to endogenous (cortisol) and exogenous (e.g., prednisolone, dexamethasone) sources. Iatrogenic Cushing's syndrome is common, occurring to some degree in most patients taking long-term corticosteroid therapy. Endogenous causes of Cushing's syndrome are rare and result in loss of the normal feedback mechanism of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis and the normal circadian rhythm of cortisol secretion. The most common endogenous cause is Cushing's disease, when a corticotroph pituitary adenoma secretes excess ACTH. Diagnosis of this challenging condition begins with clinical suspicion of Cushing's syndrome, based on the presence of clinical features more specific to the condition. Biochemical diagnosis is a two-step process wherein endogenous hypercortisolemia is first established, and then a pituitary source confirmed by use of biochemical and imaging modalities that allow differentiation from a nonpituitary source of ACTH. The final diagnosis often requires sophisticated hormonal testing and imaging procedures best performed in specialized referral centers. Transsphenoidal pituitary surgery remains the first-line therapeutic option in patients with Cushing disease, but late recurrences mandate life-long follow-up. Progress has been made in a better understanding of the biology of corticotroph adenomas, raising the possibility of more targeted medical therapies.

Background: Cushing’s syndrome (CS) is associated with an hypercoagulable state and an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Evidence-based guidelines on thromboprophylaxis strategies in patients with CS are currently lacking. We aimed to map the current clinical practice for thromboprophylaxis management in patients with CS across reference centers (RCs) of the European Reference Network on Rare Endocrine Conditions (Endo-ERN), which are endorsed specifically for the diagnosis and treatment of CS. Using the EU survey tool, a primary screening survey, and subsequently a secondary, more in-depth survey were developed. Results: The majority of the RCs provided thromboprophylaxis to patients with CS (n=23/25), although only one center had a standardized thromboprophylaxis protocol (n=1/23). RCs most frequently started thromboprophylaxis from CS diagnosis onwards (n=11/23), and the majority stopped thromboprophylaxis based on individual patient characteristics, rather than standardized treatment duration (n=15/23). Factors influencing the initiation of thromboprophylaxis were ‘medical history of VTE’ (n=15/23) and ‘severity of hypercortisolism’ (n=15/23). Low-Molecular-Weight-Heparin was selected as the first-choice anticoagulant drug for thromboprophylaxis by all RCs (n=23/23). Postoperatively, the majority of RCs reported ‘severe immobilization’ as an indication to start thromboprophylaxis in patients with CS (n=15/25). Most RCs (n=19/25) did not provide standardized testing for variables of hemostasis in the postoperative care of CS. Furthermore, the majority of the RCs provided preoperative medical treatment to patients with CS (n=23/25). About half of these RCs (n=12/23) took a previous VTE into account when starting preoperative medical treatment, and about two-thirds (n=15/23) included ‘reduction of VTE risk’ as a goal of treatment. Conclusions: There is a large practice variation regarding thromboprophylaxis management and perioperative medical treatment in patients with CS, even in Endo-ERN RCs. Randomized controlled trials are needed to establish the optimal prophylactic anticoagulant regimen, carefully balancing the increased risk of (perioperative) bleeding, and the presence of additional risk factors for thrombosis.

Context Serum inflammation-based scores reflect systemic inflammatory response and/or patients’ nutritional status, and may predict clinical outcomes in cancer. While these are well-described and increasingly used in different cancers, their clinical usefulness in the management of patients with endocrine tumors is less known. Evidence acquisition A comprehensive PubMed search was performed using the terms “endocrine tumor,” “inflammation,” “serum inflammation-based score,” “inflammatory-based score,” “inflammatory response-related scoring,” “systemic inflammatory response markers,” “neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio,” “neutrophil-to-platelet ratio,” “lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio,” “Glasgow prognostic score,” “neutrophil-platelet score,” “Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index,” and “Prognostic Nutrition Index” in clinical studies. Evidence synthesis The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio are the ones most extensively investigated in patients with endocrine tumors. Other scores have also been considered in some studies. Several studies focused in finding whether serum inflammatory biomarkers may stratify the endocrine tumor patients’ risk and detect those at risk for developing more aggressive and/or refractory disease, particularly after endocrine surgery. Conclusions In this review, we summarize the current knowledge on the different serum inflammation-based scores and their usefulness in predicting the phenotype, clinical aggressiveness, and disease outcomes and prognosis in patients with endocrine tumors. The value of such serum inflammation-based scores in the management of patients with endocrine tumors has been emerging over the last decade. However, further research is necessary to establish useful markers and their cut-offs for routine clinical practice for individual diseases.

Pregnancies are rare in women with pituitary adenomas, which ma y relate to hormone excess from secretory subtypes such as prolactinomas or corticotroph adenomas. Decrea sed fertility may also result from pituitary hormone deficiencies due to compression of the gland by large tumours an d/or surgical or radiation treatment of the lesion. Counselling premenopausal women with pituitary adenomas about t heir chance of conceiving spontaneously or with assisted reproductive technology, and the optimal pre-conc eption treatment, should start at the time of initial diagnosis. The normal physiological changes during pregnancy ne ed to be considered when interpreting endocrine tests in women with pituitary adenomas. Dose adjustments in hor mone substitution therapies may be needed across the trimesters. When medical therapy is used for pituitary horm one excess, consideration should be given to the known efficacy and safety data specific to pregnant women for each therapeutic option. In healthy women, pituitary gland size increases during pregnancy. Since some pituitary ade nomas also enlarge during pregnancy, there is a risk of visual impairment, especially in women with macroadenomas or tumours near the optic chiasm. Pituitary apoplexy represents a rare acute complication of adenomas requiring surv eillance, with surgical intervention needed in some cases. This guideline describes the choice and timing of diagno stic tests and treatments from the pre-conception stage until after delivery, taking into account adenoma size, locatio n and endocrine activity. In most cases, pregnant women with pituitary adenomas should be managed by a multidisciplinar y team in a centre specialised in the treatment of such tumours.