1,332 results on '"Observational evidence"'
Search Results
2. Observational Evidence of Aerosol Radiation Modifying Photochemical Ozone Profiles in the Lower Troposphere.
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Shi, Shuangshuang, Zhu, Bin, Tang, Guiqian, Liu, Cao, An, Junlin, Liu, Duanyang, Xu, Jiaping, Xu, Honghui, Liao, Hong, and Zhang, Yanlin
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TROPOSPHERIC aerosols , *AEROSOLS , *OZONE , *ATMOSPHERIC aerosols , *OZONE layer , *TROPOSPHERE - Abstract
Aerosol optical effects can trigger complex changes in solar shortwave radiation (SW) in the atmosphere, resulting in significant impacts on the photochemistry and vertical structure of ozone. This paper provides observational evidence of aerosol absorbing and scattering effects on modifying the SW and ozone profiles in the low troposphere. Using field vertical measurements and observation‐based model simulations, we demonstrated that absorbing aerosols decreased SW, resulting in substantial inhibition of ozone production throughout the boundary layer (BL). A similar inhibition effect occurred within the lower BL under sufficient scattering aerosols. However, the scattering augmentation effect played an additional role in enhancing the photolysis rate and promoting ozone generation in the upper BL. Hence, the observational evidence as well as our model simulations disentangled the radiative effects of different types of aerosols on the vertical structures of ozone. Plain Language Summary: Atmospheric aerosols can modify incident solar radiation by scattering and absorption, resulting in significant impacts on the photolysis rate and photochemical products in the lower troposphere. Such influences could be physically understood, but can only be observed with a detailed vertical measurement system. In this study, through vertical observational data analysis and observational constrained numerical simulations, we found that absorbing aerosols can weaken the shortwave radiation (SW) and photolysis rate in the entire layer, resulting in less ozone formation. In contrast, scattering aerosols enhance the SW and photolysis rate above the aerosol layer and promote ozone formation. Overall, the radiative effects of aerosols lead to an ozone decrease in the low layer and an increase above the boundary layer. Key Points: Observational evidence of aerosols modifying ozone profiles through their direct radiative effectsAn observation‐based model disentangles the radiative effects of aerosols of different typesAerosol scattering augmentation effect promotes ozone formation in the upper boundary layer [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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3. Bayesian network meta-analysis methods for combining individual participant data and aggregate data from single arm trials and randomised controlled trials.
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Singh, Janharpreet, Gsteiger, Sandro, Wheaton, Lorna, Riley, Richard D., Abrams, Keith R., Gillies, Clare L., and Bujkiewicz, Sylwia
- Abstract
Background: Increasingly in network meta-analysis (NMA), there is a need to incorporate non-randomised evidence to estimate relative treatment effects, and in particular in cases with limited randomised evidence, sometimes resulting in disconnected networks of treatments. When combining different sources of data, complex NMA methods are required to address issues associated with participant selection bias, incorporating single-arm trials (SATs), and synthesising a mixture of individual participant data (IPD) and aggregate data (AD). We develop NMA methods which synthesise data from SATs and randomised controlled trials (RCTs), using a mixture of IPD and AD, for a dichotomous outcome.Methods: We propose methods under both contrast-based (CB) and arm-based (AB) parametrisations, and extend the methods to allow for both within- and across-trial adjustments for covariate effects. To illustrate the methods, we use an applied example investigating the effectiveness of biologic disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We applied the methods to a dataset obtained from a literature review consisting of 14 RCTs and an artificial dataset consisting of IPD from two SATs and AD from 12 RCTs, where the artificial dataset was created by removing the control arms from the only two trials assessing tocilizumab in the original dataset.Results: Without adjustment for covariates, the CB method with independent baseline response parameters (CBunadjInd) underestimated the effectiveness of tocilizumab when applied to the artificial dataset compared to the original dataset, albeit with significant overlap in posterior distributions for treatment effect parameters. The CB method with exchangeable baseline response parameters produced effectiveness estimates in agreement with CBunadjInd, when the predicted baseline response estimates were similar to the observed baseline response. After adjustment for RA duration, there was a reduction in across-trial heterogeneity in baseline response but little change in treatment effect estimates.Conclusions: Our findings suggest incorporating SATs in NMA may be useful in some situations where a treatment is disconnected from a network of comparator treatments, due to a lack of comparative evidence, to estimate relative treatment effects. The reliability of effect estimates based on data from SATs may depend on adjustment for covariate effects, although further research is required to understand this in more detail. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2022
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- View/download PDF
4. Second-line treatments in advanced biliary tract cancer: systematic literature review of efficacy, effectiveness and safety.
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Khankhel, Zarmina S, Goring, Sarah, Bobiak, Sarah, Lamy, Francois-Xavier, Nayak, Dweeti, Garside, Jamie, Reese, Emily S, and Schoenherr, Nancy
- Abstract
Background: A systematic review was conducted to understand clinical, economic and health-related quality-of-life outcomes in second-line biliary tract cancer. Materials & methods: The review followed established recommendations. The feasibility of network meta-analysis revealed limited networks, thus synthesis was limited to a summary of reported ranges, percentiles and medians. Results: The review included 62 trials and observational studies highly variable with respect to key baseline characteristics. Commonly evaluated second-line treatments included fluoropyrimidine-, gemcitabine- and S-1-based regimens. Across active treatment arms, median overall survival ranged from 3.5 to 15.0 months (median: 6.9), median progression-free survival from 1.4 to 6.5 months (median: 2.9) and objective response from 0 to 36.4%. Outcomes were similar between study types, with a few notable outliers. Treatment-related/emergent adverse events were infrequently reported; no studies reported economic or health-related quality-of-life outcomes. Conclusions: Biliary tract cancer is a difficult-to-treat disease with poor prognosis. Despite evolving treatment landscapes, more recent studies did not show clinical outcome improvement, highlighting an unmet need among advanced/metastatic patients. A systematic review of published literature was undertaken to understand the clinical, economic and health-related quality-of-life impact of second-line biliary tract cancer (BTC). A total of 62 relevant studies were identified. The patient populations included across these studies were highly variable with respect to key patient characteristics (i.e., age, sex, physical functioning and tumor type). Commonly evaluated treatments included fluoropyrimidine-, gemcitabine- and S-1-based regimens. Reported values for key outcomes varied substantially, somewhat explained by a few outlier studies. Median overall survival ranged from 3.5 to 15.0 months, median progression-free survival from 1.4 to 6.5 months and objective response from 0 to 36.4%. Treatment-related/emergent adverse events were infrequently reported; no studies reported economic or health-related quality-of-life outcomes. The results demonstrate that BTC is a difficult-to-treat disease with poor prognosis. Despite evolving treatment landscapes, more recent studies did not show clinical outcome improvement, highlighting an unmet need among advanced/metastatic second-line BTC patients. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
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5. Climate Change, Security, Sensors
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Giovanni P. Gregori
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climate change ,observational evidence ,solid object performance ,natural or manmade catastrophes ,AE monitoring ,clean energy ,Physics ,QC1-999 - Abstract
A concise threefold illustration is given: (i) of climate change on the gigayear (Ga) time scale through the nanosecond (nsec) time scale, (ii) of the role of the performance of solid materials, concerning both manmade and natural structures with reference to security, and (iii) of the exploitation of the electrostatic energy of the atmospheric electrical circuit—which is an enormous reservoir of natural “clean” energy. Several unfortunate misunderstandings are highlighted that bias the present generally agreed beliefs. The typical natural pace of the Earth’s “electrocardiogram”, ~27.4 Ma, is such that, at present, for the first time humankind must challenge an Earth’s “heartbeat”. A correct use of sensors is needed to get an efficient monitoring of the ongoing climate change. Both anthropic and natural drivers are to be considered. A brief reminder is given about sensors that ought to monitor solid materials—with application (i) to every kind of machinery, building, viaduct or bridge, vehicle, aircraft, rocket, etc. and (ii) for a correct (and unprecedented) monitoring of the electric field at ground, which is the prerequisite for the exploitation of the electrostatic energy of the atmosphere. In every case, a systemic approach is always needed. Every specialized investigation often misses the true physics of phenomena. The resulting great complication can be tackled by means of suitable approximate and “simple” models, which always have to be correctly tested. The impact on the biosphere is manifested as a steady regeneration of microorganisms at the deep ocean floors, supplied by endogenous CH4. Microorganisms are thus the beginning of an ever rejuvenating food chain. The natural climate change implies a permanent evolution of living forms. On the longer time-scale, a permanent cycle occurs of species extinction and/or generation. In addition, owing to such a process, some living forms are likely to also exist underground on other planetary objects. That is, life ought to be a ubiquitous intrinsic endogenic feature of matter in the universe, while life’s survival, evolution and/or extinction, ought to depend on the available hosting environment.
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- 2020
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6. The secret enemy during a flight: Economy class syndrome.
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Şabanoğlu, Cengiz
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VENOUS thrombosis , *PULMONARY embolism , *BLOOD coagulation , *AIRCRAFT cabins , *THROMBOEMBOLISM , *ACTIVATED protein C resistance - Abstract
Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) are the major causes of morbidity and mortality in immobile patients. There is observational evidence that intercontinental air travel is associated with a high incidence of DVT and PTE during or within 48 hours of long-distance flights. This situation is known as the economy class syndrome and can affect both the cabin crew and passengers. The term "economy class syndrome" refers to the occurrence of thrombotic events that mainly occur in passengers in the economy class of the aircraft during long-haul flights. This syndrome results from several factors related to the aircraft cabin and the passenger, acting together to predispose to excessive blood coagulation, which can result in venous thromboembolism. In this review, we have shared the relationship between air travel and the formation of DVT and PTE. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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7. Snow Depth Trends from CMIP6 Models Conflict with Observational Evidence
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Tingjun Zhang, Shichang Kang, Xinyue Zhong, and Jian Wang
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Atmospheric Science ,Observational evidence ,Climatology ,Environmental science ,Snow - Abstract
In this study, we compiled a high-quality, in situ observational dataset to evaluate snow depth simulations from 22 CMIP6 models across high-latitude regions of the Northern Hemisphere over the period 1955–2014. Simulated snow depths have low accuracy (RMSE = 17–36 cm) and are biased high, exceeding the observed baseline (1976–2005) on average (18 ± 16 cm) across the study area. Spatial climatological patterns based on observations are modestly reproduced by the models (normalized root-mean-square deviations of 0.77 ± 0.20). Observed snow depth during the cold season increased by about 2.0 cm over the study period, which is approximately 11% relative to the baseline. The models reproduce decreasing snow depth trends that contradict the observations, but they all indicate a precipitation increase during the cold season. The modeled snow depths are insensitive to precipitation but too sensitive to air temperature; these inaccurate sensitivities could explain the discrepancies between the observed and simulated snow depth trends. Based on our findings, we recommend caution when using and interpreting simulated changes in snow depth and associated impacts.
- Published
- 2022
8. Tidal Disruption Events
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Suvi Gezari
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Demographics ,Astrophysics::High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena ,FOS: Physical sciences ,General Physics and Astronomy ,Astrophysics::Cosmology and Extragalactic Astrophysics ,Astrophysics ,01 natural sciences ,law.invention ,Tidal disruption event ,Observational evidence ,law ,ROSAT ,0103 physical sciences ,Center (algebra and category theory) ,010303 astronomy & astrophysics ,Astrophysics::Galaxy Astrophysics ,High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena (astro-ph.HE) ,Physics ,Supermassive black hole ,010308 nuclear & particles physics ,Astronomy ,Astronomy and Astrophysics ,Accretion (astrophysics) ,Galaxy ,Black hole ,Stars ,Space and Planetary Science ,Astrophysics::Earth and Planetary Astrophysics ,Astrophysics - High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena ,Flare - Abstract
The concept of stars being tidally ripped apart and consumed by a massive black hole (MBH) lurking in the center of a galaxy first captivated theorists in the late 1970's. The observational evidence for these rare but illuminating phenomena for probing otherwise dormant MBHs, first emerged in archival searches of the soft X-ray ROSAT All-Sky Survey in the 1990's; but has recently accelerated with the increasing survey power in the optical time domain, with tidal disruption events (TDEs) now regarded as a class of optical nuclear transients with distinct spectroscopic features. Multiwavelength observations of TDEs have revealed panchromatic emission, probing a wide range of scales, from the innermost regions of the accretion flow, to the surrounding circumnuclear medium. I review the current census of 56 TDEs reported in the literature, and their observed properties can be summarized as follows: $\bullet$ The optical light curves follow a power-law decline from peak that scales with the inferred central black hole mass as expected for the fallback rate of the stellar debris, but the rise time does not. $\bullet$ The UV/optical and soft X-ray thermal emission come from different spatial scales, and their intensity ratio has a large dynamic range, and is highly variable, providing important clues as to what is powering the two components. $\bullet$ They can be grouped into three spectral classes, and those with Bowen fluorescence line emission show a preference for a hotter and more compact line-emitting region, while those with only He II emission lines are the rarest class., 46 pages, 10 figures, author's version (before copy-editing) of invited review to appear in Annual Reviews of Astronomy and Astrophysics, Volume 59 (2021)
- Published
- 2021
9. The Role of Irrigation Expansion on Historical Climate Change: Insights From CMIP6
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A. Al‐Yaari, A. Ducharne, W. Thiery, F. Cheruy, D. Lawrence, and Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering
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COUPLED MODEL ,LAND-COVER CHANGE ,Science & Technology ,EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ,Environmental Sciences & Ecology ,Geology ,GREAT-PLAINS IRRIGATION ,irrigation ,TREND ANALYSIS ,SOLAR-RADIATION ,trend ,Physical Sciences ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ,WATER ,Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ,Life Sciences & Biomedicine ,VERSION ,TEMPERATURE ,Irrigation ,climate ,Environmental Sciences ,CMIP6 ,OBSERVATIONAL EVIDENCE ,General Environmental Science - Abstract
To produce food for a growing world population, irrigated areas have increased from approximately 0.63 million km2 of land in 1900 to 3.1 million km2 of land in 2005. Despite this massive expansion, irrigation is still overlooked in most state-of-the-art Earth system models (ESMs) involved in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). To our knowledge, only three CMIP6 models represent irrigation activities: CESM2, GISS-E2-1-G, and NorESM2-LM. Here, we investigate the role of irrigation on historical climate at global and regional scales by analyzing trends of key surface climate variables in CMIP6 simulations during 1900?2014. The three models including irrigation show distinct behavior from the 15 models without irrigation over intensively irrigated areas (i.e., >50% of grid cell area is equipped by irrigation): both annual (months that correspond to monthly air temperature higher than 274 K) mean latent heat flux (LHF) and soil moisture increase over time, in contrast to the modelswithout irrigation that show no trend or even a negative trend. The positive LHF trend over intensively irrigated areas in the irrigation-on models is consistent with three satellite-based LHF products. While annual (considering the warmest month in a year) warming trends are found in these regions for most of the no-irrigation models, the increase in LHF induces a cooling trend for the models with irrigation, which was not confirmed by observational air temperature data sets. These findings, supported by satellite data, indicate the importance of improved representation of land management in the next generation of ESM.
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- 2022
10. Are coffee's alleged health protective effects real or artifact? The enduring disjunction between relevant experimental and observational evidence.
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James, Jack E.
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PSYCHOPHARMACOLOGY consultation , *SCIENTIFIC observation , *PHYSIOLOGICAL effects of caffeine , *PHYSIOLOGICAL effects of coffee , *HEALTH , *BLOOD pressure , *CARDIOVASCULAR diseases - Abstract
Background: There is a large corpus of observational evidence claiming that coffee is health protective and a similarly large corpus of experimental psychopharmacological evidence to suggest that habitual caffeine consumption may be harmful to health.Aim: The purpose of this study was to examine the disjunction between observational and experimental findings with specific reference to the implications of coffee/caffeine consumption for elevated blood pressure, cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes and neurodegenerative disease.Method: Illustrative recent major reviews alleging health protective effects from coffee consumption were examined in light of findings from relevant experimental studies of caffeine.Findings: Decades-long coffee consumption is but one of countless lifestyle variables that may benefit or harm health. Contradictions concerning the implications of coffee/caffeine consumption for health between observational and experimental research are attributable mostly to poor control over potential confounders in observational studies.Conclusion: When considered in the context of experimental evidence concerning caffeine's known pharmacological actions, there is reason to be sceptical about observational findings alleging health-protective effects from coffee consumption. Long-term randomised trials are needed to end the enduring interpretative disjunction between observational and experimental evidence concerning coffee/caffeine consumption and health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2018
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11. Georges Cuvier
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McBirney, Alexander and Cook, Stanton
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- 2009
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12. Belief and evidence
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Ploug, Thomas
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- 2009
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13. The secret enemy during a flight: Economy class syndrome
- Author
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Cengiz Şabanoğlu
- Subjects
Venous Thrombosis ,Travel ,Aircraft ,business.industry ,Incidence ,Crew ,Articles ,Adversary ,medicine.disease ,Observational evidence ,Venous thrombosis ,Economy ,Risk Factors ,RC666-701 ,medicine ,Diseases of the circulatory (Cardiovascular) system ,Humans ,Pulmonary Embolism ,business ,human activities ,Venous thromboembolism ,Air travel - Abstract
Deep venous thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary thromboembolism (PTE) are the major causes of morbidity and mortality in immobile patients. There is observational evidence that intercontinental air travel is associated with a high incidence of DVT and PTE during or within 48 hours of long-distance flights. This situation is known as the economy class syndrome and can affect both the cabin crew and passengers. The term “economy class syndrome” refers to the occurrence of thrombotic events that mainly occur in passengers in the economy class of the aircraft during long-haul flights. This syndrome results from several factors related to the aircraft cabin and the passenger, acting together to predispose to excessive blood coagulation, which can result in venous thromboembolism. In this review, we have shared the relationship between air travel and the formation of DVT and PTE.
- Published
- 2021
14. Longitudinal Observational Evidence of the Impact of Emotion Regulation Strategies on Affective Expression
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Kael Rowan, Daniel McDuff, Eunice Jun, and Mary Czerwinski
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05 social sciences ,Physical health ,020207 software engineering ,02 engineering and technology ,Affect (psychology) ,Developmental psychology ,Human-Computer Interaction ,Cognitive reappraisal ,Age and gender ,Observational evidence ,Mood ,Expression (architecture) ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,0501 psychology and cognitive sciences ,Observational study ,Psychology ,050107 human factors ,Software - Abstract
The ability to regulate our emotions plays an important role in our psychological and physical health. Regulating emotions influences how and when emotions are expressed. We performed a large scale, longitudinal observational study to investigate the effect of emotion regulation ability on expressed affect. We found that expression of negative affect increased throughout the day. For people who suppress emotion this increase is slower that for those who do not. For those with stronger cognitive reappraisal abilities, though not significant, there was a trend for higher positive affect and negative affect increased significantly less steeply, suggesting that they might experience more positive and less negative affect. These results reflect some of the first results based on large scale, continuous tracking of behavioral expression of emotion longitudinally. Our results demonstrate the need to carefully consider the time of day and emotion regulation ability, in addition to gender and age, when attempting to automatically infer affective states for facial behavior.
- Published
- 2021
15. Liquidity defaults and progressive lending in microfinance: A lab‐in‐the field experiment in Bolivia
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Tinka Koster, Robert Lensink, Francesco Cecchi, and Research programme EEF
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REPAYMENT PERFORMANCE ,Microfinance ,Geography, Planning and Development ,COMPETITION ,BANGLADESH ,progressive lending ,Monetary economics ,Development ,CREDIT ,Ontwikkelingseconomie ,Market liquidity ,law.invention ,Observational evidence ,Development Economics ,Incentive ,Loan ,law ,microfinance ,Economics ,Default ,International Policy ,Credit limit ,Internationaal Beleid ,lab-in-the-field experiment - Abstract
Many microfinance institutions (MFIs) use dynamic incentives in combination with progressive lending schemes to reduce defaults. However, the specific role of progressive lending has never been tested empirically, while observational evidence in other contexts points to potentially adverse effects. Using an experimental approach, we study the impact of progressive lending on overborrowing, attending to the possibility that progressive lending may actually increase liquidity defaults. We organize a framed field experiment in the municipality of Coroico, Bolivia, inviting 271 members of an MFI to participate in an experimental game. In Bolivia, the penetration rates of microfinance are among the highest in the world, progressive lending systems are a common practice, and the concept and practices of microfinance are well known among most people. We find that participants who borrowed over multiple rounds with progressively increasing borrowing caps showed increased liquidity defaults once the caps became unconstraining compared to those without progressive lending. We speculate that this result stems from anchoring borrowing loan requests on the credit limit set by the lender and formalize this rationale in a model for credit demand and naive borrowers. MFIs should consider the potential perverse anchoring effects of progressive lending when designing policies aimed at reducing overborrowing.
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- 2021
16. Ambient lighting, use of outdoor spaces and perceptions of public safety: evidence from a survey experiment
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Jacob Kaplan and Aaron Chalfin
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Perceived safety ,021110 strategic, defence & security studies ,Scrutiny ,Place-based crime control ,Strategy and Management ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,02 engineering and technology ,Survey experiment ,Observational evidence ,Street lighting ,Perception ,SAFER ,Ambient lighting ,050501 criminology ,Original Article ,Marketing ,Psychology ,Law ,Safety Research ,0505 law ,media_common - Abstract
Observational evidence suggests that better ambient lighting leads people to feel safer when spending time outdoors in their community. We subject this finding to greater scrutiny and elaborate on the extent to which improvements in street lighting affect routine activities during nighttime hours. We report evidence from a survey experiment that examines individuals’ perceptions of safety under two different intensities of nighttime ambient lighting. Brighter street lighting leads individuals to feel safer and over half of survey respondents are willing to pay an additional $400 per year in taxes in order to finance a hypothetical program which would replace dim yellow street lights with brighter LED lights. However, poor lighting does not change people’s willingness to spend time outdoors or to engage in behaviors which mitigate risk. Results suggest that street lighting is a means through which policymakers can both control crime and improve community well-being. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1057/s41284-021-00296-0.
- Published
- 2021
17. Characterising optical array particle imaging probes: implications for small-ice-crystal observations
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S. O'Shea, J. Crosier, J. Dorsey, L. Gallagher, W. Schledewitz, K. Bower, O. Schlenczek, S. Borrmann, R. Cotton, C. Westbrook, and Z. Ulanowski
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Stereoscopic imaging ,Atmospheric Science ,Materials science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Field (physics) ,Ice crystals ,lcsh:TA715-787 ,lcsh:Earthwork. Foundations ,01 natural sciences ,lcsh:Environmental engineering ,010309 optics ,Observational evidence ,Sample volume ,0103 physical sciences ,Particle imaging ,Particle ,Cirrus ,lcsh:TA170-171 ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Remote sensing - Abstract
The cloud particle concentration, size, and shape data from optical array probes (OAPs) are routinely used to parameterise cloud properties and constrain remote sensing retrievals. This paper characterises the optical response of OAPs using a combination of modelling, laboratory, and field experiments. Significant uncertainties are found to exist with such probes for ice crystal measurements. We describe and test two independent methods to constrain a probe's sample volume that remove the most severely mis-sized particles: (1) greyscale image analysis and (2) co-location using stereoscopic imaging. These methods are tested using field measurements from three research flights in cirrus. For these cases, the new methodologies significantly improve agreement with a holographic imaging probe compared to conventional data-processing protocols, either removing or significantly reducing the concentration of small ice crystals (< 200 µm) in certain conditions. This work suggests that the observational evidence for a ubiquitous mode of small ice particles in ice clouds is likely due to a systematic instrument bias. Size distribution parameterisations based on OAP measurements need to be revisited using these improved methodologies.
- Published
- 2021
18. Magnetic Reconnection Phenomena in Interplanetary Space
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Wei, Fengsi, Hu, Qiang, Feng, Xueshang, Fan, Quanlin, Chian, A. C.-L., editor, Cairns, I. H., editor, Gabriel, S. B., editor, Goedbloed, J. P., editor, Hada, T., editor, Leubner, M., editor, Nocera, L., editor, Stening, R., editor, Toffoletto, F., editor, Uberoi, C., editor, Valdivia, J. A., editor, Villante, U., editor, Wu, C.-C., editor, and Yan, Y., editor
- Published
- 2003
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19. Searching for Observational Evidence for Binary Star Systems in Gamma-ray Bursts
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Liang Li
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Physics ,Observational evidence ,Space and Planetary Science ,Astrophysics::High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena ,Binary star ,Spectral properties ,GRB 130427A ,Astronomy and Astrophysics ,Observational study ,Spectral analysis ,Astrophysics ,Gamma-ray burst - Abstract
We search for observational evidence that is in agreement with the model of a binary star system in gamma-ray bursts (GRBs), as presented in [1–3]. The model predicts three distinctly temporal and spectral properties, which could be identified by the observational data. Here we present a detailed time-resolved spectral analysis for several bright GRBs (GRB 130427A, 160509A, 160625B, and 190114C), and find that all of them are consistent with the expectation predicted by the model.
- Published
- 2021
20. Koronavírusvakcina-vademecum
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Balázs Rékassy, Laszlo Zavori, and Gábor Xantus
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2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,Observational evidence ,Convalescent plasma ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Death toll ,business.industry ,Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) ,Medicine ,Context (language use) ,General Medicine ,business ,Humanities ,Disease course - Abstract
Összefoglaló. A SARS-CoV-2 okozta megbetegedés (COVID–19) a cikk megírásáig a világon több mint 82 millió embert érintett, a halálos áldozatok száma 1,8 millió (2,2%). Hazánkban eddig 300 000 feletti esetszámot regisztráltak, a cikk megjelenésének idején már várhatóan több mint 10 000 halottal (3%). Habár a megbetegedésnek oki gyógyszeres terápiája egyelőre nincs, egyes antivirális szerek és a rekonvaleszcens plazma alkalmazása a tapasztalatok szerint csökkentik a vírusterhelést, és ezzel hozzájárulnak a beteg gyógyulásához. Az eddig példa nélküli epidemiológiai rendelkezések nem tudták megállítani, csak lelassítani a betegség terjedését, ezért a megelőzés tűnik az egyetlen, a közeljövőben tömegek számára is elérhető megoldásnak. A jelen cikk nem egy virológiai vagy biotechnológiai szakmunka, sokkal inkább egy összefoglaló házi- és általános orvosok számára, amely ismerteti a jelenleg engedélyezett, illetve a közeljövőben forgalomba kerülő védőoltások előnyeit és hátrányait a COVID–19 tágabb kontextusában. Írásunkban bemutatjuk a leggyakoribb álhíreket, rémhíreket is, valamint ezek cáfolatát is annak érdekében, hogy kollégáink felkészültebben tudják betegeiket informálni, valamint segíteni a vakcináció fontosságával kapcsolatos döntéshozatalt. Egy járvány megfékezésének legkézenfekvőbb módja a társadalmi szintű védettség megvalósítása. A nyájimmunitás kialakulása nélkül nagy valószínűséggel e jelenlegi pandémia sem állítható meg. Amennyiben egyéni és társadalmi szinten is vissza szeretnénk térni a vírus előtti életünkhöz, újra élvezve az akadálytalan áru- és kereskedelmi forgalom jelentette előnyöket, akkor a tömeges oltás tűnik a leghatékonyabb eszköznek ennek eléréséhez. A fertőző betegségek számának és mortalitásának a 20. században tapasztalt jelentős csökkenése egyértelműen a társadalmi szintű átoltottságnak, valamint a higiénés körülmények javulásának köszönhető. Az oltás ugyan önkéntes, de felvételének kérdése pandémiás helyzetben valószínűleg nemcsak egyéni döntés, de társadalmi felelősségvállalás kérdése is. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(8): 283–292. Summary. Out of more than 82 million people worldwide, 1.8 million (2.2%) succumbed to SARS-CoV-2 disease (COVID–19). In 2020, more than 300 000 cases were registered in Hungary, and by the time of publication of this article, the death toll would probably exceed 10 000 (3%). Currently no causative drug therapy is available, however, observational evidence suggests that certain antivirals and the use of convalescent plasma may change the disease course. The unprecedented, strict epidemiological provisions managed to slow down the spread of the disease though they could not stop it. It seems that prevention remains the only readily available option to beat COVID–19. This is not a virology or biotechnology paper, but an unbiased review for general practitioners, aiming to summarize the advantages/disadvantages of the (emergency) authorized and soon-to-be-launched vaccines in the wider context of COVID–19. We also intended to address and debunk the most common misconceptions, aiming to help both doctors and patients to make a fact-based, informed decision about vaccination. Herd immunity is paramount to combat COVID pandemic. Without population-level vaccination, we are unlikely to regain the quality of life, the freedom of travel and the unrestricted economy/commerce we enjoyed before. It is obvious that the significant reduction in morbity/mortality of infectious diseases in the 20th century was achieved through advancements in vaccinology and improved hygiene. Albeit voluntary, vaccination in a pandemic situation is probably not only an individual decision, but social responsibility as well. Orv Hetil. 2021; 162(8): 283–292.
- Published
- 2021
21. Explosive nucleosynthesis of a metal-deficient star as the source of a distinct odd-even effect in the solar twin HIP 11915
- Author
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Diego Lorenzo-Oliveira, Martin Asplund, Amanda I. Karakas, Jorge Melendez, and Jhon Yana Galarza
- Subjects
Physics ,010308 nuclear & particles physics ,Star (game theory) ,Metallicity ,FOS: Physical sciences ,Sigma ,Astronomy and Astrophysics ,Astrophysics::Cosmology and Extragalactic Astrophysics ,Astrophysics ,01 natural sciences ,Spectral line ,Observational evidence ,Supernova ,Stars ,Astrophysics - Solar and Stellar Astrophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Nucleosynthesis ,0103 physical sciences ,Astrophysics::Solar and Stellar Astrophysics ,Astrophysics::Earth and Planetary Astrophysics ,010303 astronomy & astrophysics ,Astrophysics::Galaxy Astrophysics ,Solar and Stellar Astrophysics (astro-ph.SR) - Abstract
The abundance patterns observed in the Sun and in metal-poor stars show a clear odd-even effect. An important question is whether the odd-even effect in solar-metallicity stars is similar to the Sun, or if there are variations that can tell us about different chemical enrichment histories. In this work, we report for the first time observational evidence of a differential odd-even effect in the solar twin HIP 11915, relative to the solar odd-even abundance pattern. The spectra of this star were obtained with high resolving power (140 000) and signal-to-noise ratio ($\sim$420) using the ESPRESSO spectrograph and the VLT telescope. Thanks to the high spectral quality, we obtained extremely precise stellar parameters ($\sigma(T_{\rm eff})$ = 2 K, $\sigma(\rm{[Fe/H]})$ = 0.003 dex, and $\sigma(\log g)$ = 0.008 dex). We determine the chemical abundance of 20 elements ($Z\leq39$) with high precision ($\sim$0.01 dex), which shows a strong pattern of the odd-even effect even after performing Galactic Chemical Evolution corrections. The odd-even effect is reasonably well-reproduced by a core-collapse supernova of 13 $\rm{M_{\odot}}$ and metallicity Z = 0.001 diluted into a metal-poor gas of 1 $\rm{M_{\odot}}$. Our results indicate that HIP 11915 has an odd-even effect slightly different than the Sun, thus confirming a different supernova enrichment history., Comment: 5 pages, 2 figures and 2 tables
- Published
- 2021
22. Time constraints and travel behaviour
- Author
-
David Metz
- Subjects
050210 logistics & transportation ,education.field_of_study ,05 social sciences ,Geography, Planning and Development ,Population ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,food and beverages ,021107 urban & regional planning ,Transportation ,02 engineering and technology ,Land value ,Time saving ,Upper and lower bounds ,Travel time ,Observational evidence ,0502 economics and business ,Econometrics ,education ,Computer Science::Databases ,Mathematics - Abstract
Considerable observational evidence indicates that travel time, averaged across a population, is stable at about an hour a day. This implies both an upper and a lower bound to time that can be expe...
- Published
- 2020
23. Foehn-like Wind in the Mountains of Southeastern Brazil as Seen by the Eta Model Simulation
- Author
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Gustavo Sueiro, Sin Chan Chou, Pablo Luis Antico, and Marcelo Enrique Seluchi
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,South America ,Observational evidence ,mountain weather ,Climatology ,Meteorology. Climatology ,foehn wind ,Model simulation ,Foehn wind ,vento foehn ,meteorologia de montanha ,Serra da Mantiqueira ,QC851-999 ,Geology ,América do Sul - Abstract
The present study gives evidence of the occurrence of foehn-like wind on the eastern slopes of the mountains at Southeastern Brazil. A particular case was detected based on observational evidence on 4 July 2015 near the city of Cruzeiro, state of Sao Paulo, on the Serra da Mantiqueira mountains. Results obtained from numerical simulations are consistent with the foehn wind occurrence deducted from the analysis of regional patterns and time series of selected meteorological parameters. Resumo O presente trabalho evidencia a ocorrência de vento tipo foehn nas encostas orientais das serras do Sudeste do Brasil. Um caso particular foi detectado a partir de evidências observacionais em 4 de Julho de 2015 perto da cidade de Cruzeiro, Estado de São Paulo, na Serra da Mantiqueira. Os resultados obtidos por simulações numéricas são consistentes com a ocorrência de vento foehn, como pode ser visto a partir da análise de padrões regionais e séries temporais de certos parâmetros meteorológicos.
- Published
- 2020
24. Mining Data in Electronic Health Record Systems: Opportunities for Librarians.
- Author
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Hamasu, Claire, Burroughs, Catherine M., Glenn, Emily, and Ball, Andrea L.
- Subjects
- *
INFORMATION storage & retrieval systems , *MEDICAL databases , *LIBRARY associations , *MEDICAL librarians , *MEDICAL libraries , *MEDICAL records , *PROGRAMMING languages , *DATA mining , *EVIDENCE-based medicine , *OCCUPATIONAL roles - Abstract
In the past decade, the National Network of Libraries of Medicine (NNLM) and the Medical Library Association recognized an important trend of health sciences librarian involvement in electronic health records (EHR). This trend continues as librarians seek to help solve information challenges in health care settings. In 2016, two regions of the NNLM sponsored a forum focusing on the use of EHR data. Attended by 77 librarians, clinicians and bioinformaticians, the forum confirmed that there are opportunities for librarians to develop roles related to use and analysis of EHR data as evidence for patient care, patient safety and quality improvement. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. Combining randomized and non-randomized evidence in network meta-analysis.
- Author
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Efthimiou, Orestis, Mavridis, Dimitris, Debray, Thomas P. A., Samara, Myrto, Belger, Mark, Siontis, George C. M., Leucht, Stefan, and Salanti, Georgia
- Subjects
- *
STATISTICS , *DATA analysis , *TREATMENT effectiveness , *STATISTICAL models - Abstract
Non-randomized studies aim to reveal whether or not interventions are effective in real-life clinical practice, and there is a growing interest in including such evidence in the decision-making process. We evaluate existing methodologies and present new approaches to using non-randomized evidence in a network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) when the aim is to assess relative treatment effects. We first discuss how to assess compatibility between the two types of evidence. We then present and compare an array of alternative methods that allow the inclusion of non-randomized studies in a network meta-analysis of RCTs: the naïve data synthesis, the design-adjusted synthesis, the use of non-randomized evidence as prior information and the use of three-level hierarchical models. We apply some of the methods in two previously published clinical examples comparing percutaneous interventions for the treatment of coronary in-stent restenosis and antipsychotics in patients with schizophrenia. We discuss in depth the advantages and limitations of each method, and we conclude that the inclusion of real-world evidence from non-randomized studies has the potential to corroborate findings from RCTs, increase precision and enhance the decision-making process. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2017
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. On the connection between AMOC and observed land precipitation in Northern Hemisphere: a comparison of the AMOC indicators
- Author
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Yazhou Zhang, Jing Zhang, Jianping Li, Yusen Liu, Cheng Sun, Fei Xie, Zhanqiu Gong, Ruiqiang Ding, and Tiejun Xie
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Northern Hemisphere ,Climatic variables ,Tropics ,Climate change ,010502 geochemistry & geophysics ,01 natural sciences ,Sea surface temperature ,Observational evidence ,Climatology ,Environmental science ,Precipitation ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Decadal climate prediction has been one of the most popular topics in recent climate change studies. It is closely linked to our daily life, deeply affecting the wellbeing of people and global economic growth. Among those climate variables, precipitation is essential for industrial and agricultural productions but it’s also hard to precisely predict. In this study, we provide observational evidence for the relationship of mean precipitation in the Northern Hemisphere (NH), NH tropics and Sahel with the five Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) indicators on the multidecadal time scale. We conclude that precipitation in those three regions exhibits a consistent multidecadal variability from 1901 to 2015. The correlations between NH precipitation and AMOC indicators are strong and significant. The NAO-based AMOC indicator leads the precipitation by 8 years and the correlation coefficient reaches 0.9 higher than other oceanic indicators. It is the NAO that forces the AMOC transporting heat to the North Atlantic and induces sea surface temperature (SST) dipole which eventually affects the multidecadal precipitation change in NH. As the AMOC_NAO indicator leads the precipitation, we employ it as a predictor and construct a linear model to make a future prediction based on historical data. It indicates that the precipitation will decrease in the following few years, and then will rise again.
- Published
- 2020
27. Observational Evidence that Radiative Heating Modifies the Life Cycle of Tropical Anvil Clouds
- Author
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William L. Smith, Joel R. Norris, Mandana M. Thieman, Blaž Gasparini, Casey J. Wall, Odran Sourdeval, Université de Lille, CNRS, Laboratoire d'Optique Atmosphérique (LOA) - UMR 8518, Laboratoire d’Optique Atmosphérique - UMR 8518 (LOA), and Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université de Lille-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Observational evidence ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,[SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics] ,Climatology ,Convective clouds ,Deep convection ,Diurnal effects ,Cloud microphysics ,Cloud radiative effects ,Mesoscale processes ,Environmental science ,Radiant heat ,010502 geochemistry & geophysics ,01 natural sciences ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
A variety of satellite and ground-based observations are used to study how diurnal variations of cloud radiative heating affect the life cycle of anvil clouds over the tropical western Pacific Ocean. High clouds thicker than 2 km experience longwave heating at cloud base, longwave cooling at cloud top, and shortwave heating at cloud top. The shortwave and longwave effects have similar magnitudes during midday, but only the longwave effect is present at night, so high clouds experience a substantial diurnal cycle of radiative heating. Furthermore, anvil clouds are more persistent or laterally expansive during daytime. This cannot be explained by variations of convective intensity or geographic patterns of convection, suggesting that shortwave heating causes anvil clouds to persist longer or spread over a larger area. It is then investigated if shortwave heating modifies anvil development by altering turbulence in the cloud. According to one theory, radiative heating drives turbulent overturning within anvil clouds that can be sufficiently vigorous to cause ice nucleation in the updrafts, thereby extending the cloud lifetime. High-frequency air motion and ice-crystal number concentration are shown to be inversely related near cloud top, however. This suggests that turbulence depletes or disperses ice crystals at a faster rate than it nucleates them, so another mechanism must cause the diurnal variation of anvil clouds. It is hypothesized that radiative heating affects anvil development primarily by inducing a mesoscale circulation that offsets gravitational settling of cloud particles.
- Published
- 2020
28. In defense of a divided opposition: programmatic distribution and ethnic minor party support
- Author
-
Elizabeth Carlson
- Subjects
Opportunity cost ,Sociology and Political Science ,media_common.quotation_subject ,05 social sciences ,Ethnic group ,Opposition (politics) ,Experimental research ,0506 political science ,Observational evidence ,Political economy ,Voting ,Political science ,0502 economics and business ,Political Science and International Relations ,050602 political science & public administration ,050207 economics ,media_common - Abstract
Why do so many voters in African countries vote for minor ethnic parties instead of unifying into a powerful multi-ethnic opposition coalition? I present a model that demonstrates that as the incumbent devotes more resources to programmatic goods, which voters can access regardless of how they voted, the opportunity cost of voting for a sincerely preferred, but losing, candidate decreases. I provide experimental and cross-national observational evidence that voters are more likely to support a minor party as they perceive more or more valuable goods being distributed programmatically. Those who perceive poor distribution, or only clientelist distribution, instead vote strategically for a major opposition party. In general, support for minor parties increases along with positive outcomes and approval of the incumbent.
- Published
- 2020
29. Hypothesis: What is the Best We Can Do with Hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19?
- Author
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Yicheng Ni, Lei Chen, Sheng Ye, Yuanbo Feng, Charles Jonscher, Yue Li, Stefaan Mulier, and Shuncong Wang
- Subjects
medicine.medical_specialty ,2019-20 coronavirus outbreak ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Epidemiology ,business.industry ,Public health ,Disease progression ,Scientific reasoning ,Hydroxychloroquine ,030204 cardiovascular system & hematology ,03 medical and health sciences ,Observational evidence ,0302 clinical medicine ,Pandemic ,medicine ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Intensive care medicine ,business ,medicine.drug - Abstract
There are widespread anecdotal reports of seemingly successful treatment among the early (three to seven days from symptoms) stage coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients with the drug hydroxychloroquine (HCQ), and randomized placebo-controlled trials of HCQ in outpatient settings are underway. In this note, we (1) report observational evidence and present scientific reasoning as to why early treatment with HCQ may succeed while treatment later in the disease progression is likely to fail and (2) hypothesize a public health regime under which HCQ may be used to mitigate the impact of the current pandemic.
- Published
- 2020
30. Greater flood risks in response to slowdown of tropical cyclones over the coast of China
- Author
-
Jianfeng Li, Yongqin David Chen, Maofeng Liu, Xihui Gu, Dongdong Kong, Yangchen Lai, Thian Yew Gan, Qingquan Li, and Guofeng Wu
- Subjects
translation speed ,Percentile ,Multidisciplinary ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Flood myth ,Slowdown ,fungi ,0208 environmental biotechnology ,02 engineering and technology ,01 natural sciences ,020801 environmental engineering ,Observational evidence ,Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences ,Southern china ,local rainfall totals ,Climatology ,General Circulation Model ,Physical Sciences ,flood risks ,Environmental science ,tropical cyclones ,Tropical cyclone ,China ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Significance Torrential rains induced by tropical cyclones (TCs) are a major trigger of catastrophic flood hazards. Devastating TCs causing unprecedented floods in recent years were usually characterized with low translation speeds. We find that both observations and numerical simulations show a significant slowdown of TCs over the coast of China. Our analyses of long-term observations exhibit a significant increase in extreme rainfall amounts induced by TCs, and significant inverse relationships between TC translation speeds and local rainfall totals over the study period. Our probability analysis reveals the association of higher local rainfall totals and slow-moving TCs. We provide observational evidence that slowdown of TCs tends to elevate local rainfall totals and thus impose greater flood risks at the regional scale., The total amount of rainfall associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) over a given region is proportional to rainfall intensity and the inverse of TC translation speed. Although the contributions of increase in rainfall intensity to larger total rainfall amounts have been extensively examined, observational evidence on impacts of the recently reported but still debated long-term slowdown of TCs on local total rainfall amounts is limited. Here, we find that both observations and the multimodel ensemble of Global Climate Model simulations show a significant slowdown of TCs (11% in observations and 10% in simulations, respectively) from 1961 to 2017 over the coast of China. Our analyses of long-term observations find a significant increase in the 90th percentile of TC-induced local rainfall totals and significant inverse relationships between TC translation speeds and local rainfall totals over the study period. The study also shows that TCs with lower translation speed and higher rainfall totals occurred more frequently after 1990 in the Pearl River Delta in southern China. Our probability analysis indicates that slow-moving TCs are more likely to generate heavy rainfall of higher total amounts than fast-moving TCs. Our findings suggest that slowdown of TCs tends to elevate local rainfall totals and thus impose greater flood risks at the regional scale.
- Published
- 2020
31. Observational Evidence for the Involvement of Dicarboxylic Acids in Particle Nucleation
- Author
-
Hui Wang, Rongzhi Tang, Zijing Zhang, Yan Ma, Dongjie Shang, Min Hu, Yujue Wang, Jun Zheng, Wenfei Zhu, Song Guo, Zhijun Wu, Shiyi Chen, Linlin Shi, Limin Zeng, Xuena Yu, Shengrong Lou, Tinja Olenius, Xin Fang, and Xin Li
- Subjects
inorganic chemicals ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Ecology ,Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis ,Inorganic chemistry ,Sulfuric acid ,010501 environmental sciences ,01 natural sciences ,Pollution ,Ammonia ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Observational evidence ,chemistry ,Environmental Chemistry ,Molecule ,Particle ,Particle nucleation ,Waste Management and Disposal ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
Gaseous dicarboxylic acids (diacids) are suggested to participate in atmospheric new particle formation via bonding with sulfuric acid (SA), ammonia (NH3), amines, and other molecules. However, the...
- Published
- 2020
32. Outpatient versus Inpatient Parotidectomy: A Systematic Review and Meta‐analysis
- Author
-
Jeremy L. Freeman, Ian J. Witterick, S. Mark Taylor, Chris Walsh, David Forner, and Daniel D. Lee
- Subjects
Inpatients ,medicine.medical_specialty ,business.industry ,General surgery ,Outpatient surgery ,Parotidectomy ,03 medical and health sciences ,Observational evidence ,0302 clinical medicine ,Ambulatory Surgical Procedures ,Otorhinolaryngology ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Meta-analysis ,Outpatients ,medicine ,Humans ,Parotid Gland ,Surgery ,Parotid Diseases ,Emergency Service, Hospital ,030223 otorhinolaryngology ,Head and neck ,business - Abstract
Parotidectomies are commonly performed procedures by head and neck surgeons. Although parotidectomies are historically inpatient procedures, recent observational evidence has highlighted the potential for parotidectomies to be performed on an outpatient basis. This systematic review and meta-analysis sought to compare complications and unplanned health care utilization between patients undergoing outpatient versus inpatient parotidectomy.A systematic review was performed using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library.Studies comparing the outcomes of outpatient parotidectomy with those of inpatient parotidectomy were included. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Postoperative complications (hematoma, facial nerve dysfunction, seroma, fistulisation, Frey syndrome, and wound infection) and rates of 30-day readmission, reintervention, and emergency department presentation were compared.We screened 1018 nonduplicate articles to include 5 studies, all of which were retrospective cohort studies. There were fewer complications found in the outpatient group (relative risk = 0.61, 95% confidence interval: 0.40-0.93). Outpatient procedures were more commonly performed on patients who lived close to the hospital, had fewer comorbidities, and had less extensive planned surgery.Outpatient parotidectomy appears safe in select patients with outcomes comparable with inpatient surgery. However, evidence overall is of low quality, and further work is needed to delineate a satisfactory set of criteria for appropriate patient identification.
- Published
- 2020
33. Throat aurora observed by DMSP/SSUSI in a global view
- Author
-
Desheng Han, Su Zhou, Yongliang Zhang, Sneha A. Gokani, and R. Selvakumaran
- Subjects
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Astronomy ,Defense Meteorological Satellite Program ,Noon ,010502 geochemistry & geophysics ,01 natural sciences ,Radar observations ,Observational evidence ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,stomatognathic system ,Throat ,embryonic structures ,medicine ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Magnetopause ,biological phenomena, cell phenomena, and immunity ,Geology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
Throat aurora was defined based on the ground observations near local noon and has been suggested to be the ground signature of an indentation on the subsolar magnetopause. A global view of the auroral oval with throat aurora will be critical for inferring global processes at the magnetopause, but it has never been achieved. Using imaging spectrograph observations from Defense Meteorological Satellite Program satellites, for the first time, here we show typical throat auroras in a global view and reveal some important observational facts as follows. (1) The throat auroras can be as long as ~8 degrees in latitudinal direction, which is hardly to be fully seen in the ground-based camera. (2) The plasma flows and field aligned currents associated with throat aurora show consistences with previous radar observations, which have been suggested to be the observational evidence of magnetopause reconnection. (3) Most importantly, we confirmed that the electron and ion precipitations associated with throat aurora are always spatially separated, i.e., electrons in the east and ions in the west. The observational results not only establish a new picture of the aurora oval near local noon, but also provide important support to a conceptual model of throat aurora.
- Published
- 2020
34. Parametric Subharmonic Instability of the Semidiurnal Internal Tides at the East China Sea Shelf Slope
- Author
-
Hao Wei, Liang Zhao, and Wei Yang
- Subjects
Subharmonic ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,010505 oceanography ,Mooring system ,Geophysics ,Internal wave ,Oceanography ,01 natural sciences ,Instability ,Observational evidence ,Mixing (physics) ,Geology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Parametric statistics ,China sea - Abstract
On the basis of measurements from an observing mooring system, the observational evidence of parametric subharmonic instability (PSI) that transfers energy from semidiurnal internal tides (ITs) to the subharmonic waves at the East China Sea continental shelf slope is presented for the first time. Although the mooring station is very close to the energetic semidiurnal IT generation site, about 76% of the observed shear variance is contained in the near-inertial band, which is found to have comparable upward- and downward-propagating energy components. Bispectra and bicoherence estimates further confirm the occurrence of PSI transferring energy from the low-mode M2 ITs (vertical wavelength of ~1000 m) to high-mode subharmonic waves (vertical wavelength of ~200 m). The calculated energy transfer rate reveals an averaged net value of ~5 × 10−9 W kg−1. Strong temporal variation of is found that is not exactly in phase with the semidiurnal energy flux. After looking into the local vorticity fields, it is strongly suggested that the varying background relative vorticity associated with the evolving Kuroshio has modified the efficiency of PSI at the mooring location through changing the local effective inertial frequency.
- Published
- 2020
35. Dragonfly flight: morphology, performance and behaviour
- Author
-
Robin J. Wootton
- Subjects
0106 biological sciences ,Wing ,biology ,business.industry ,010607 zoology ,Morphology (biology) ,Flight behaviour ,Odonata ,biology.organism_classification ,Dragonfly ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,Observational evidence ,Insect Science ,Aerospace engineering ,business ,Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics - Abstract
Odonata flight performance capabilities and behaviour and their body and wing form diversity are explored, and their interrelationships discussed theoretically and from observational evidence. Over...
- Published
- 2020
36. Observational evidence that a feedback control system with proportional-integral-derivative characteristics is operating on atmospheric surface temperature at global scale
- Author
-
L. Mark W. Leggett and David A. Ball
- Subjects
Surface (mathematics) ,Atmospheric Science ,Scale (ratio) ,Feedback control ,PID controller ,lcsh:QC851-999 ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric temperature ,global surface temperature ,Observational evidence ,lcsh:Oceanography ,Control theory ,Control system ,time series analysis ,Environmental science ,lcsh:Meteorology. Climatology ,lcsh:GC1-1581 ,Time series ,control system ,empirical - Abstract
Here we provide statistically significant observational evidence that a feedback control system moderating atmospheric temperature is presently operating coherently at global scale. Further, this control system is of a sophisticated type, involving the corrective feedback not only of a linear error term but also its derivative and its integral. This makes it of the same type as the most widely used control system developed by humans, the proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control system.
- Published
- 2020
37. Observational Evidence of Regional Climate Change
- Author
-
Beniston, Martin and Beniston, Martin
- Published
- 1998
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Impacts of land cover transitions on surface temperature in China based on satellite observations
- Author
-
Yuzhen Zhang and Shunlin Liang
- Subjects
land cover changes ,surface climate ,observational evidence ,surface albedo ,evapotranspiration ,Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering ,TD1-1066 ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 ,Science ,Physics ,QC1-999 - Abstract
China has experienced intense land use and land cover changes during the past several decades, which have exerted significant influences on climate change. Previous studies exploring related climatic effects have focused mainly on one or two specific land use changes, or have considered all land use and land cover change types together without distinguishing their individual impacts, and few have examined the physical processes of the mechanism through which land use changes affect surface temperature. However, in this study, we considered satellite-derived data of multiple land cover changes and transitions in China. The objective was to obtain observational evidence of the climatic effects of land cover transitions in China by exploring how they affect surface temperature and to what degree they influence it through the modification of biophysical processes, with an emphasis on changes in surface albedo and evapotranspiration (ET). To achieve this goal, we quantified the changes in albedo, ET, and surface temperature in the transition areas, examined their correlations with temperature change, and calculated the contributions of different land use transitions to surface temperature change via changes in albedo and ET. Results suggested that land cover transitions from cropland to urban land increased land surface temperature (LST) during both daytime and nighttime by 0.18 and 0.01 K, respectively. Conversely, the transition of forest to cropland tended to decrease surface temperature by 0.53 K during the day and by 0.07 K at night, mainly through changes in surface albedo. Decreases in both daytime and nighttime LST were observed over regions of grassland to forest transition, corresponding to average values of 0.44 and 0.20 K, respectively, predominantly controlled by changes in ET. These results highlight the necessity to consider the individual climatic effects of different land cover transitions or conversions in climate research studies. This short-term analysis of land cover transitions in China means our estimates should represent local temperature effects. Changes in ET and albedo explained
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Observing the climate impact of large wildfires on stratospheric temperature
- Author
-
Andrea Steiner, Matthias Stocker, and Florian Ladstädter
- Subjects
geography ,Multidisciplinary ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Science ,Natural hazards ,Atmospheric temperature ,Article ,Atmospheric composition ,Atmosphere ,Observational evidence ,Volcano ,Climate impact ,Climatology ,Atmospheric science ,Medicine ,Environmental science ,Ecosystem ,Stratosphere ,Climate sciences - Abstract
In the future, large wildfires are expected to become more frequent and intense. Not only do they pose a serious threat to people and ecosystems, but they also affect the Earth's atmosphere. Aerosols from large wildfires can even reach the stratosphere where they can linger for months to years. However, little is known about their impact on climate. In particular, the potential of large wildfires to cause temperature changes in the stratosphere has hardly been studied.In our study, we analyze two extreme wildfire events, those in 2017 in North America and those in 2019/20 in Australia, using new satellite observational data. We find strong effects of the fires on the atmospheric temperature structure and short-term climate in the stratosphere. The results show significant warming of the lower stratosphere by up to 10 K within the aerosol clouds emitted by the wildfires immediately after their formation. The climate signal in the lower stratosphere persists for several months, reaching 1 K for the 2017 North American wildfires and a remarkable 3.5 K for the 2019/20 Australian wildfires. This is stronger than any signal from volcanic eruptions in the past two decades. Such extreme events potentially influence the atmospheric composition and stratospheric temperature trends, underscoring their importance for future climate.Improved knowledge of the temperature signals from extreme wildfires is particularly important for trend analysis. Our ongoing research on this topic aims to further improve the separation of natural variability from anthropogenic influences in climate trend detection, especially in the stratosphere.
- Published
- 2021
40. East Asian summer monsoon enhanced by COVID-19
- Author
-
Chao He, Wen Zhou, Tim Li, Tianjun Zhou, and Yuhao Wang
- Subjects
Troposphere ,Observational evidence ,Atmospheric Science ,Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) ,Climatology ,Latent heating ,East asian summer monsoon ,Environmental science ,Precipitation ,Monsoon ,Aerosol - Abstract
Anthropogenic emissions decreased dramatically during the COVID-19 pandemic, but its possible effect on monsoon is unclear. Based on coupled models participating in the COVID Model Intercomparison Project (COVID-MIP), we show modeling evidence that the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) is enhanced in terms of both precipitation and circulation, and the amplitude of the forced response reaches about 1/3 of the standard deviation for interannual variability. The response of EASM to COVID-19 is consistent with the response to the removal of all anthropogenic aerosols simulated by atmospheric component models, which confirms the dominant role of the fast response to reduced aerosols. The observational evidence, i.e., the anomalously strong EASM observed in 2020 and 2021, also supports the simulated enhancement of EASM. The essential mechanism for the enhanced EASM in response to COVID-19 is the enhanced zonal thermal contrast between Asian continent and the western North Pacific in the troposphere, particularly at the upper troposphere, due to the reduced aerosol concentration over Asian continent and the associated latent heating feedback. As the enhancement of EASM is a fast response to the reduction in aerosols, the effect of COVID-19 on EASM dampens soon after the rebound of emissions based on the models participating in COVID-MIP.
- Published
- 2021
41. Frequency dispersion amplifies tsunamis caused by outer-rise normal faults
- Author
-
Kentaro Imai, Naotaka Chikasada, Toshitaka Baba, Yuichiro Tanioka, and Shuichi Kodaira
- Subjects
Multidisciplinary ,Solid Earth sciences ,Science ,Ocean bottom ,Natural hazards ,Article ,Water depth ,Observational evidence ,Ocean sciences ,Frequency dispersion ,Natural hazard ,Trench ,Medicine ,Submarine pipeline ,Seismology ,Geology - Abstract
Although tsunamis are dispersive water waves, hazard maps for earthquake-generated tsunamis neglect dispersive effects because the spatial dimensions of tsunamis are much greater than the water depth, and dispersive effects are generally small. Furthermore, calculations that include non-dispersive effects tend to predict higher tsunamis than ones that include dispersive effects. Although non-dispersive models may overestimate the tsunami height, this conservative approach is acceptable in disaster management, where the goal is to save lives and protect property. However, we demonstrate that offshore frequency dispersion amplifies tsunamis caused by outer-rise earthquakes, which displace the ocean bottom downward in a narrow area, generating a dispersive short-wavelength and pulling-dominant (water withdrawn) tsunami. We compared observational evidence and calculations of tsunami for a 1933 Mw 8.3 outer-rise earthquake along the Japan Trench. Dispersive (Boussinesq) calculations predicted significant frequency dispersion in the 1933 tsunami. The dispersive tsunami deformation offshore produced tsunami inundation heights that were about 10% larger than those predicted by non-dispersive (long-wave) calculations. The dispersive tsunami calculations simulated the observed tsunami inundation heights better than did the non-dispersive tsunami calculations. Contrary to conventional practice, we conclude that dispersive calculations are essential when preparing deterministic hazard maps for outer-rise tsunamis.
- Published
- 2021
42. Observational Evidence of Transient Lobe Reconnection Triggered by Sudden Northern Enhancement of IMF Bz
- Author
-
Hongqiao Hu, Zhiwei Wang, Jianjun Liu, Ze-Jun Hu, Jianyong Lu, Desheng Han, and Ye-Wen Wu
- Subjects
Observational evidence ,Geophysics ,medicine.anatomical_structure ,Space and Planetary Science ,Ionospheric convection ,medicine ,Transient (oscillation) ,Astrophysics ,Geology ,Lobe - Published
- 2021
43. Long-Term Amplitude and Period Variations of δ Scuti Stars: A Sign of Chaos?
- Author
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Breger, M., Takeuti, M., editor, and Buchler, J.-R., editor
- Published
- 1993
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Hubble Space Telescope [O III] emission-line kinematics in two nearby QSO2s:a case for X-ray feedback
- Author
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Falcao, Anna Trindade, Kraemer, S. B., Fischer, T. C., Crenshaw, D. M., Revalski, M., Schmitt, H. R., Maksym, W. P., Vestergaard, M., Elvis, M., Gaskell, C. M., Hamann, F., Ho, L. C., Hutchings, J., Mushotzky, R., Netzer, H., Storchi-Bergmann, T., Turner, T. J., Ward, M. J., Falcao, Anna Trindade, Kraemer, S. B., Fischer, T. C., Crenshaw, D. M., Revalski, M., Schmitt, H. R., Maksym, W. P., Vestergaard, M., Elvis, M., Gaskell, C. M., Hamann, F., Ho, L. C., Hutchings, J., Mushotzky, R., Netzer, H., Storchi-Bergmann, T., Turner, T. J., and Ward, M. J.
- Abstract
We present a dynamical study of the narrow-line regions in two nearby type 2 quasars (QSO2s). We construct dynamical models based on detailed photoionization models of the emission-line gas, including the effects of internal dust, to apply to observations of large-scale outflows from these active galactic nuclei (AGNs). We use Mrk 477 and Mrk 34 in order to test our models against recent Hubble Space Telescope (HST) Space Telescope Imaging Spectrograph (STIS) observations of [O III] emission-line kinematics, since these AGNs possess more energetic outflows than found in Seyfert galaxies. We find that the outflows within 500 pc are consistent with radiative acceleration of dusty gas, however the outflows in Mrk 34 are significantly more extended and may not be directly accelerated by radiation. We characterize the properties of X-ray winds found from the expansion of [O III]-emitting gas close to the black hole. We show that such winds possess the kinetic energy density to disturb [O III] gas at similar to 1.8 kpc, and have sufficient energy to entrain the [O III] clouds at similar to 1.2 kpc. Assuming that the X-ray wind possesses the same radial mass distribution as the [O III] gas, we find that the peak kinetic luminosity for this wind is 2 per cent of Mrk 34's bolometric luminosity, which is in the 0.5-5 per cent range required by some models for efficient feedback. Our work shows that, although the kinetic luminosity as measured from [O III]-emitting gas is frequently low, X-ray winds may provide more than one order of magnitude higher kinetic power.
- Published
- 2021
45. Agnosticism and the Atheistic Argument from Suffering
- Author
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Dore, Clement and Dore, Clement
- Published
- 1991
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. Associations of greenspace and cardiorespiratory mortality are driven by private residential gardens: observational evidence from UK Biobank
- Author
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Susan Hodgson, Daniela Fecht, John S. Gulliver, Catriona Mackay, Paolo Vineis, Samuel Yutong Cai, and Charlotte J. Roscoe
- Subjects
Observational evidence ,business.industry ,Environmental health ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Medicine ,Cardiorespiratory fitness ,business ,Biobank ,General Environmental Science - Published
- 2021
47. Observation of rescue behaviour in wild boar (Sus scrofa)
- Author
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Hynek Burda, Monika Faltusová, Michaela Masilkova, Tomáš Kušta, Václav Silovský, Miloš Ježek, and Jan Rohla
- Subjects
Restraint, Physical ,Evolution ,Swine ,Science ,media_common.quotation_subject ,Spatial Behavior ,Empathy ,Article ,Observational evidence ,Wild boar ,biology.animal ,Animals ,Social Behavior ,media_common ,Social facilitation ,Multidisciplinary ,biology ,Adult female ,Behavior, Animal ,Prosocial behavior ,Photo documentation ,Medicine ,Female ,Psychology ,Social psychology ,Zoology - Abstract
Here, we provide unique photo documentation and observational evidence of rescue behaviour described for the first time in wild boar. Rescue behaviour represents an extreme form of prosocial behaviour that has so far only been demonstrated in a few species. It refers to a situation when one individual acts to help another individual that finds itself in a dangerous or stressful situation and it is considered by some authors as a complex form of empathy. We documented a case in which an adult female wild boar manipulated wooden logs securing the door mechanism of a cage trap and released two entrapped young wild boars. The whole rescue was fast and particular behaviours were complex and precisely targeted, suggesting profound prosocial tendencies and exceptional problem-solving capacities in wild boar. The rescue behaviour might have been motivated by empathy because the rescuer female exhibited piloerection, a sign of distress, indicating an empathetic emotional state matching or understanding the victims. We discuss this rescue behaviour in the light of possible underlying motivators, including empathy, learning and social facilitation.
- Published
- 2021
48. Evidence on a Class of Azimuthally Propagating Dipolarization Structures in the Earth's Magnetosphere from 4 to 30 Re
- Author
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John Wygant, Cynthia A Cattell, S. Tian, Vassilis Angelopoulos, and Geoffrey D. Reeves
- Subjects
Condensed Matter::Quantum Gases ,Physics ,Observational evidence ,Class (set theory) ,Magnetosphere ,Earth (chemistry) ,Astrophysics - Abstract
We report observational evidence for a class of coherent magnetic dipolarization structures that are long lived and radially extensive. The reported dipolarization structures, a subset of general d...
- Published
- 2021
49. Electric Field Enlarges Raindrops Beneath Electrified Clouds: Observational Evidence
- Author
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S. D. Pawar, V. Gopalakrishnan, Earle Williams, and Dipjyoti Mudiar
- Subjects
Physics ,Observational evidence ,Geophysics ,Electric field ,Condensation ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences - Published
- 2021
50. Observational Evidence of Lightning‐Generated Ultrafine Aerosols
- Author
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Yan Yin, Yuxuan Pei, Kui Chen, Jinghua Chen, Zheng Shi, Li-Juan Shen, and Honglei Wang
- Subjects
Observational evidence ,Geophysics ,Meteorology ,General Earth and Planetary Sciences ,Environmental science ,Lightning ,Aerosol - Published
- 2021
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